US EV Charger Domestic Content Rule Could Reshape Charging Supply Chains

US, EV Charger

US EV charger domestic content rule could significantly reshape the charging equipment market. The US Department of Transportation has proposed raising domestic content requirements from 55pc to 100pc for federally funded EV chargers. The proposal would also end the Buy America public interest waiver introduced in 2023. As a result, the US EV charger domestic content rule could force a major reset in sourcing, assembly, and project execution.

This matters because federally funded EV chargers sit at the center of public charging expansion in the United States. If the proposal is adopted, projects in the acquisition or installation phase would need final assembly in the US and fully domestic components. That would sharply tighten compliance expectations. Therefore, the US EV charger domestic content rule would go well beyond a minor procurement change.

The proposal also arrives against a weak deployment backdrop. The Biden administration allocated $7.5bn in 2021 for EV charging stations. Yet only eight operational charging stations had been installed by June 2024. Consequently, the new rule raises a core policy question: will stricter domestic sourcing accelerate industrial buildout or slow charger deployment further?

Buy America EV Chargers Policy Now Favors Full Domestic Sourcing

Buy America EV chargers policy is clearly moving toward a far stricter interpretation. The earlier waiver allowed federally backed projects to move forward under more flexible sourcing rules. Removing that waiver would end that transition path. As a result, manufacturers and project developers would face a much narrower compliance window.

This shift could support domestic manufacturing if suppliers can scale quickly enough. US-based charger assembly, components, and sub-systems could all benefit from stronger policy protection. However, the transition may be difficult for companies still relying on mixed international supply chains. Therefore, Buy America EV chargers policy may reward a small group of prepared suppliers first.

The biggest challenge may be component depth. Final assembly in the US is one requirement. Full US-made EV charger components is a much harder threshold. That means the rule could expose weak points in power electronics, connectors, enclosures, and other charging hardware inputs. Meanwhile, compliance verification may become more complex for project owners.

Federally Funded EV Chargers Could Face a New Trade-Off

Federally funded EV chargers may now face a sharper trade-off between industrial policy and rollout speed. A 100pc domestic content rule can strengthen US manufacturing intent. But it can also reduce supplier flexibility and raise procurement friction. As a result, charger deployment timelines may face new pressure during the transition.

That trade-off matters because the current buildout has already moved slowly. Public charging expansion depends not only on funding, but also on permitting, grid connection, equipment supply, and contractor readiness. A stricter sourcing rule adds one more layer to that process. Therefore, federally funded EV chargers may become a test case for how far domestic content policy can go without harming project delivery.

The broader industrial signal is still important. Washington appears to be treating EV charging infrastructure as a strategic manufacturing category, not only a transport category. That places chargers closer to the wider US reshoring agenda. Consequently, the US EV charger domestic content rule could influence how future clean infrastructure policies are designed.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This proposal matters because it turns EV chargers into a more explicit industrial policy tool. The US is no longer only trying to fund charging growth. It is trying to localize the entire equipment chain behind that growth. If domestic suppliers cannot scale fast enough, deployment may slow before it strengthens.

Stellantis Net Loss Shows Cost of Resetting EV Strategy

Stellantis EV

Stellantis net loss reached €22.3bn in 2025 as the global automaker absorbed major charges linked to a strategic reset in electric vehicles. The result highlights how quickly automakers are reassessing electrification plans as customer demand, regulation, pricing, and capital discipline change across the global auto market.

Most of the Stellantis net loss came in the second half of the year, when the company reported a €20.1bn loss. Full-year charges reached €25.4bn, largely tied to what Stellantis described as a profound strategic shift to better match customer demand and regulatory realities.

The company’s brands include Jeep, Peugeot, and Vauxhall. Net revenues fell by 2pc from 2024 to €153.5bn, as foreign exchange pressure and first-half pricing declines outweighed gains from volume and product mix.

EV Supply Chain Resizing Drives Heavy Charges

Stellantis net loss reflects the financial cost of scaling back EV ambitions after earlier expectations proved too aggressive. The company said the charges include product plan changes, EV supply chain resizing, warranty provision adjustments, and previously announced workforce reductions.

The reset shows that automakers are moving from rapid EV expansion toward more flexible technology portfolios. Stellantis now wants to focus on customers’ freedom to choose from a full range of vehicle technologies, rather than relying on a faster linear shift toward battery electric vehicles.

This shift carries major implications for battery materials, power electronics, component suppliers, and EV manufacturing investments. If automakers slow or rebalance EV programs, suppliers exposed to batteries, motors, lightweight materials, and dedicated EV platforms may face weaker demand visibility.

Automakers Rebalance Electrification and Balance Sheet Risk

Stellantis plans to return to profitable growth in 2026 after absorbing the cost of what management called over-estimating the pace of the energy transition. The company will not pay an annual dividend in 2026 and has approved up to €5bn in hybrid bond issuance to protect its balance sheet.

This balance sheet response matters because automakers need capital for multiple technologies at once. Battery EVs, hybrids, combustion platforms, software, emissions compliance, and regional manufacturing all compete for investment. The challenge is no longer simply building EV capacity; it is allocating capital across uncertain demand pathways.

For the wider automotive supply chain, Stellantis’ reset is a warning signal. Electrification remains a long-term direction, but the transition is becoming less uniform, more regional, and more financially disciplined. Suppliers must prepare for a market where hybrid, EV, and combustion demand coexist longer than earlier forecasts suggested.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Stellantis’ 2025 loss shows that the energy transition is entering a harder capital cycle. The winners will not be the companies with the boldest EV targets, but those that manage technology flexibility, supply chain exposure, and balance sheet risk with discipline.

EV demand low into early 2026 forces GM to reset its EV roadmap

GM

EV demand low into early 2026 is forcing GM to reset its electrification roadmap. The company now expects a sharp slowdown in US EV demand from October, with weakness extending into early 2026. As a result, GM EV strategy will focus less on volume and more on profitability, cost reduction and flexible product planning while EV demand low into early 2026 reshapes investment priorities.

EV demand low into early 2026 shifts focus from growth to profitability

GM is refocusing its EV portfolio on returns as EV demand low into early 2026 erodes earlier growth assumptions. Management will target lower material costs through larger battery modules and new chemistries, seeking better pack economics across upcoming models. This shift shows how GM EV strategy is moving from pure scale to margin protection in a cooling market.

However, the company still holds a meaningful EV position despite the slowdown. GM delivered more than 66,000 EVs in the US during the third quarter, capturing a 16.5pc market share. Even so, the $1.6bn charge tied to converting the Orion, Michigan plant back to internal combustion output signals a decisive retreat from some earlier EV capacity bets. GM will also end production of its BrightDrop electric delivery van after weaker than expected fleet demand.

Tariff exposure falls as GM doubles down on North American supply chains

Tariff relief and localisation are cushioning GM as EV demand low into early 2026 complicates planning. The company cut its 2025 tariff exposure by $500mn, now guiding to $3.5bn-4.5bn in potential duties. Recent tariff measures on some vehicle imports have had limited impact on GM because of years spent strengthening North American supply chains.

As a result, sourcing strategies have become a core pillar of GM EV strategy. Management highlighted investments in magnet supply and its stake in Lithium Americas as examples of upstream de-risking. These moves help secure critical materials for both EV and hybrid programs while limiting exposure to geopolitical shocks. Still, quarterly profit fell to $1.3bn from $3bn a year earlier, underlining how a softer EV ramp and restructuring costs weigh on near-term earnings.

The Metalnomist Commentary

GM’s reset shows that profitability is now the dominant theme in Western EV markets. For metals producers, slower EV growth into 2026 could delay some demand, but localisation of magnets, batteries and power electronics remains structurally bullish. Suppliers that can offer both competitive pricing and North American footprint will be best positioned as GM and peers rebalance their EV roadmaps.

Tesla and Rivian EV Deliveries Rise as US Tax Credit Expires

Tesla

Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries surged in the third quarter as US buyers raced to secure incentives. The jump in Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries highlights how strongly policy deadlines can pull demand forward. As a result, automakers now face a more uncertain sales outlook in a post-incentive US EV market.

Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries both increased, but their strategic positions differ. Tesla delivered more than 497,000 vehicles in the quarter, up by 7pc year on year. Meanwhile, Rivian delivered 13,201 vehicles, marking a 32pc increase from a year earlier. This divergence shows that Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries are growing from very different scales, with Tesla defending volume leadership and Rivian still in ramp-up mode.

However, much of the strength in Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries reflects a rush ahead of policy change. US consumers accelerated purchases before the $7,500 federal EV tax credit expired on 30 September. This incentive had supported EV affordability and narrowed the cost gap with combustion models. Now that the tax credit has ended, manufacturers must rely more on price cuts, financing offers and brand strength.

Energy storage and competition reshape the US EV landscape

Tesla’s third quarter also underlined its shift into broader clean-energy infrastructure. The company deployed 12.5GWh of energy storage products, an 81pc increase from the third quarter of 2024. These storage deployments support grid stability and fast-charging networks, and they diversify earnings beyond vehicle sales. As a result, Tesla’s integrated model may cushion the impact of any slowdown in pure EV demand.

Competition around Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries is intensifying as legacy automakers scale production. General Motors reported a 107pc surge in EV deliveries to 66,501 units in the third quarter. GM expects sales to normalise in the fourth quarter, once the pre-expiry demand bulge passes. Therefore, US EV market growth will increasingly depend on sustained consumer confidence rather than one-off policy deadlines.

Rivian trims outlook as policy tailwinds fade

Rivian’s revised guidance shows the limits of relying on one strong quarter. The company narrowed its full-year delivery outlook to 41,500–43,500 vehicles. The upper end is 5pc lower than its August guidance, signalling caution on demand and ramp-up execution. Investors will watch whether Rivian can manage costs and scale production while incentives fall away.

As a result, Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries now sit at the intersection of policy, pricing and competition. The next test will be how both brands perform without the powerful pull of a federal tax credit. Their ability to hold margins, maintain growth and expand product lines will shape upstream demand for batteries, critical minerals and low-carbon materials.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The spike in Tesla and Rivian EV deliveries illustrates how sharply fiscal incentives can front-load EV demand. With the US tax credit gone, supply-chain planners from cathode producers to aluminium and copper suppliers should expect more volatile order cycles. Over the medium term, winners in the EV race will be those automakers that pair cost discipline with secure access to critical materials, not just headline delivery growth.

Volkswagen ID.4 Production Halt Shows US EV Demand Pressure

Volkswagen EV

Volkswagen ID.4 production in the US will end as the German automaker shifts its Chattanooga, Tennessee, plant toward higher-volume internal combustion vehicle output. The decision reflects weaker electric vehicle demand in the US and the need to protect North American manufacturing utilisation.

Volkswagen said the EV market continues to challenge the industry and requires measured decisions. The company will stop producing the ID.4 at Chattanooga and begin assembling the all-new second-generation Atlas from mid-April 2026.

Volkswagen ID.4 production has been strategically important because the model is the company’s top-selling EV in the US. However, the ID.4 sold 22,373 units in 2025, far below the Atlas, which sold 71,044 units and remained Volkswagen’s second-best-selling model for the past three years.

The decision shows how automakers are adjusting production footprints as EV adoption slows. US EV sales fell by 27% year on year to 216,300 units in the first quarter, creating pressure on manufacturers to rebalance plant capacity, dealer inventory and product planning.

Chattanooga Shift Prioritises Higher-Volume SUV Demand

The Chattanooga plant will now focus on the second-generation Atlas, a three-row sport utility vehicle with much stronger US sales momentum. This gives Volkswagen a clearer volume base in a market where larger SUVs remain commercially attractive.

The move is not a full retreat from the ID.4. Volkswagen said model-year 2026 ID.4 vehicles will remain available through current inventory, supporting US demand into 2027. The company also plans a future version of the ID.4 for North America, although details have not yet been disclosed.

Still, the production shift is significant. Automakers rarely remove capacity from a model unless demand, margin or manufacturing strategy has changed. In this case, Volkswagen appears to be choosing a higher-volume SUV platform over a slower-moving EV in the near term.

This reflects a wider industry trend. EV demand has become more uneven as consumers respond to vehicle prices, charging access, policy uncertainty and changing incentive structures. Automakers now need more flexible production strategies rather than relying on straight-line EV growth forecasts.

EV Slowdown Could Weigh on Battery Materials Demand

Volkswagen ID.4 production changes also matter for the battery materials supply chain. Lower EV output can reduce near-term demand for lithium, nickel, graphite, manganese, copper, aluminium and rare earth magnet materials linked to electric drivetrains and battery systems.

The effect will not come from Volkswagen alone. The bigger issue is that several automakers are reassessing EV production rates in response to slower consumer adoption. If this pattern continues, battery material demand growth may become more volatile than earlier industry forecasts suggested.

For suppliers, the shift creates a timing problem. Many battery, cathode, anode and recycling investments were planned around rapid EV market expansion. Slower model-level output can leave material producers exposed to weaker offtake, lower utilisation and price pressure.

At the same time, Volkswagen’s decision does not eliminate long-term EV demand. It shows that the transition may move in phases, with automakers balancing EVs, hybrids and combustion vehicles depending on regional demand. North America may therefore remain a more mixed powertrain market than China or parts of Europe.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Volkswagen’s ID.4 decision shows that EV strategy is now being tested by real factory economics. The energy transition is still moving forward, but automakers will increasingly prioritise models that protect utilisation, margins and supply-chain stability.

Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal reshapes North American chassis supply

Aludyne

The Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal marks a significant reshaping of North America’s chassis and structures supply chain. Aludyne will sell most of its North American precision casting, machining and manufacturing plants to Linamar for $300mn, with closing expected within 30 days. The transaction transfers a broad footprint of Tier 1 assets at a time when the regional automotive sector faces EV uncertainty and capacity rebalancing. As a result, the Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal strengthens Linamar’s position with OEMs while allowing Aludyne to exit capital-intensive operations.

Linamar deepens chassis portfolio with Aludyne plants

The Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal will fold Aludyne’s US and Mexican plants into Linamar’s structures and chassis division. Linamar gains established North American production of knuckles, subframes, control arms and axle housings, all core safety-critical components. This expansion enhances Linamar’s ability to offer integrated chassis solutions, which helps automakers rationalise suppliers and reduce logistics complexity.

Meanwhile, the Aludyne assets complement Linamar’s recent move into Europe through the purchase of George Fischer’s iron foundry in Leipzig. Together, these acquisitions expand Linamar’s geographic and product reach across cast and machined suspension and structural parts. Therefore, the company positions itself as a global Tier 1 partner able to support multi-platform programmes across internal combustion, hybrid and battery electric vehicles.

EV headwinds force rethink of giga-casting strategy

At the same time, Linamar is trying to divest its aluminium die giga-casting plant in Welland, Ontario, completed in 2024. That facility was originally designed to make large structural castings for EV platforms, targeting long-term supply to major OEMs. However, the end of US EV tax credits under President Donald Trump has weakened demand visibility for high-volume EV structures. This shift explains why the Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal now looks more attractive than betting solely on giga-casting growth.

As a result, Linamar appears to be pivoting back toward a diversified mix of cast and machined chassis parts, with less exposure to a single EV-heavy technology bet. The acquisition balances risk by anchoring the group in essential underbody and suspension components that remain necessary across all powertrains. For automakers, a stronger Linamar could offer greater resilience in North American sourcing, even as EV policy volatility complicates long-term platform planning.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Aludyne Linamar auto parts deal underlines how policy-driven EV headwinds are reshaping capital allocation in the auto supply chain. Tier 1 suppliers are moving away from single-technology bets toward diversified portfolios of foundational components and regional footprints. For metals suppliers and casting houses, the key will be aligning product mix with flexible, multi-powertrain platforms rather than relying on overly optimistic EV adoption curves.

Comexport to assemble GM Chinese EVs in Brazil

Comexport

Comexport to assemble GM Chinese EVs marks a major shift in Brazil’s role within global EV supply chains. The Brazilian foreign trade firm will assemble GM’s new Spark EUV, a Chinese electric vehicle sold under the Chevrolet brand, at the former Ford-owned PACE industrial hub. As a result, the Comexport to assemble GM Chinese EVs deal turns a decommissioned plant into a regional platform for imported Chinese SKD units.

The project uses a flexible contract-assembly model rather than an equity partnership or joint venture. Comexport will import semi-knocked-down Spark units from China, already welded, painted and partially manufactured, and then complete final assembly at PACE. Meanwhile, GM will supervise production quality and pay Comexport per unit, ensuring OEM control over standards while limiting capital exposure. Therefore, the Comexport to assemble GM Chinese EVs contract gives GM fast market access with lower fixed costs.

PACE becomes Brazil’s first multi-brand EV assembly hub

PACE will emerge as Brazil’s first and only multi-brand vehicle assembly line once all client negotiations close. The plant, acquired by Comexport in 2024 from the state of Ceara, will serve at least three carmakers, with GM confirmed as the first anchor client. Initially, the facility will operate below its 80,000 vehicle per year capacity and gradually ramp up as the local supply chain matures.

GM plans for all Spark units sold in Brazil to be assembled as SKD imports over time. However, the company will first bring in fully built consumer-ready vehicles while Comexport stabilises processes and tooling. As the supply chain “nationalises”, more Brazilian auto-parts suppliers will enter the platform, supporting localisation targets and potentially unlocking tax and industrial policy incentives. This phased approach reduces ramp-up risk while anchoring long term EV manufacturing in northeastern Brazil.

Chinese EV platforms deepen their footprint in Latin America

The project highlights how Chinese EV platforms penetrate Latin America via global OEM brands and contract assemblers. The Spark is a Chinese-developed model from the joint venture between GM, SAIC and Wuling, sold domestically as the Baojun Yep Plus. Therefore, Brazilian consumers will buy a Chevrolet-badged vehicle that originates from a Chinese EV architecture. PACE will exclusively assemble hybrids and EVs, increasing the likelihood that future clients will also be Chinese or China-linked automakers.

For GM, this structure supports a broader strategy of leveraging Chinese small-EV know-how while maintaining brand control in key emerging markets. For Brazil, the Comexport to assemble GM Chinese EVs model could accelerate EV adoption, technology transfer and supplier upgrading, especially in battery, electronics and lightweight components. However, policymakers and local OEMs will also scrutinise the impact on domestic manufacturers and industrial competitiveness as Chinese-origin platforms gain share.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This deal illustrates how decommissioned legacy plants can be repurposed into EV assembly hubs bound into China-centric technology networks. By combining SKD imports, contract assembly and gradual localisation, Comexport and GM create a flexible template that other brands may copy across Latin America. Market participants should watch how quickly local suppliers move into higher value EV components and how Brazil balances openness to Chinese platforms with support for domestic champions.

Europe EV Growth Rises as Incentives Mask Fragile Demand Signals

Europe EV

Europe EV growth accelerated last month as battery electric vehicle sales rose by 41%, supported by tax incentives, fleet buying and carmakers’ efforts to meet emissions targets. The increase looks strong on paper, but the drivers of demand remain uneven across markets.

Battery electric vehicle sales outpaced plug-in hybrid sales, which rose by 32% across the EU, EFTA and UK. Regular hybrid vehicle sales increased by 15%, while petrol and diesel sales continued to decline across major European markets.

Europe EV growth was strongest in large markets such as France, Germany and Italy. Spain again stood out for plug-in hybrid growth, showing that national policy, consumer economics and model availability continue to shape adoption differently.

The headline growth is important for battery metals and automotive supply chains. Higher BEV sales support long-term demand for lithium, nickel, manganese, graphite, copper, aluminium and rare earth magnets.

Incentives and Fleet Orders Drive the Near-Term Recovery

Tax policy remains one of the main engines behind Europe EV growth. Several member states entered the year with revised company car rules, income-linked subsidies or accelerated depreciation schemes for electric vehicles.

These measures have favoured fleet buyers more than private consumers. Corporate fleets can respond faster to tax incentives, depreciation benefits and emissions rules because they buy vehicles in larger volumes and plan replacements more systematically.

France has tightened the link between EV support and income. Germany’s recovery has been supported by targeted incentives reintroduced in January after earlier policy volatility disrupted demand.

This matters because fleet-led growth can be less stable than broad consumer adoption. Fleet orders can lift sales quickly, but private demand is still sensitive to price, charging access, financing costs and residual value concerns.

Carmakers are also working to meet CO₂ limits. This creates another demand driver that is not purely consumer-led. Automakers may use pricing, leasing and fleet channels to push EV registrations when regulatory targets tighten.

For metals markets, the distinction matters. Stable private adoption creates more predictable battery material demand. Incentive-driven fleet demand can be more volatile if policy changes or budget support weakens.

Oil Shock Adds Uncertainty to EV Demand Outlook

Higher oil prices after the US-Iran war have revived the question of whether fuel costs are pushing consumers toward electric vehicles. However, the evidence is not yet clear.

EV demand was already rising in key markets before the oil shock. Early-year growth appears to reflect incentives, fleet orders and emissions compliance more than a direct consumer shift caused by higher fuel costs.

There is also a timing lag. Vehicle orders usually appear in sales data several weeks later, and delivery times vary by model and country. Any clear oil-price effect may not appear until June or July.

This caution is important because monthly EV data can be distorted by local registration patterns. The UK, for example, often sees a March registration spike because of its plate change system.

The broader strategic message remains clear. If Europe wants to reduce exposure to oil shocks, it needs consistent carbon rules, pollution-based taxation, charging infrastructure and long-term industrial policy.

Stop-start subsidies can create temporary sales jumps, but they can also damage market confidence. Stable rules are more useful for automakers, battery producers, charging companies and metals suppliers.

Europe EV growth therefore remains real but fragile. The region is moving away from petrol and diesel, yet the pace still depends heavily on policy design and fleet purchasing behaviour.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe EV growth is not yet a clean demand signal for battery metals because incentives and fleet buying are doing much of the work. The stronger long-term signal will come when private buyers adopt EVs without policy volatility or fuel-price panic.

EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target faces united EV industry push

EV

The EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target is now defended by Europe’s leading EV manufacturers. Over 150 e-mobility firms urge Brussels to stand firm and protect the zero-emission deadline. Therefore the EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target has become a symbol of industrial credibility and climate ambition.

Industry leaders argue that policy stability underpins Europe’s EV investment, jobs and charging infrastructure expansion. They highlight hundreds of billions of euros already committed across the electric vehicle value chain. As a result, they warn that political backtracking would undermine investor confidence and weaken Europe’s green industrial strategy.

Investment, jobs and the EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target

The EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target gives manufacturers a clear roadmap for capital deployment. Signatories point to over 150,000 new jobs created in gigafactories, retooled car plants and charging networks. Meanwhile, they stress that skills, grid resilience and supply chains already adapt to this long-term regulatory signal.

These commitments stretch from battery gigafactories in France and Germany to upgraded plants in Slovakia and Belgium. Therefore any delay to the EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target would freeze project pipelines and defer hiring plans. The letter argues that such hesitation would reward more aggressive global competitors, particularly Chinese EV and battery makers.

Policy flexibility, global competition and EV demand momentum

The European Commission has already proposed short term flexibility on CO2 targets between 2025 and 2027. However, climate officials insist that the 2035 zero-emission goal for new cars and vans remains intact. This combination seeks to ease the transition while preserving long term certainty for investors and suppliers.

Market data shows that electric mobility continues to expand despite policy debate. Battery electric vehicle registrations in Europe rose by 34pc year on year in early 2025. As a result, industry leaders argue that weakening the trajectory now would waste hard won demand momentum.

The letter further warns that relaxing the deadline would “permanently hand the advantage” to global rivals. Europe’s EV champions see the 2035 target as a competitive anchor against heavily supported Chinese manufacturers. Therefore, they urge Brussels to pair regulatory certainty with bolder support for localized batteries, components and charging infrastructure.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The industry’s defence of the EU 2035 combustion engine phase-out target highlights how deeply capital is now locked into electrification. For metals, batteries and charging players, regulatory wobble is a larger risk than short term demand volatility. If the EU holds course while sharpening implementation tools, Europe can still shape the global EV race rather than react to it.

STMicro targets new sources of silicon chip demand

STMicro

STMicro is betting on new sources of silicon chip demand from AI data centres and advanced EV platforms. The company sees silicon and silicon carbide (SiC) devices as core growth engines, even as it trims some near-term capital spending. As a result, STMicro is repositioning its portfolio toward photonics, high-voltage power electronics and next-generation vehicle systems that can unlock new sources of silicon chip demand across several end markets.

Photonics and AI servers anchor new sources of silicon chip demand

STMicro is using silicon photonics to capture new sources of silicon chip demand from hyperscale AI data centres. In the third quarter, the firm reported rising orders for silicon photonics integrated circuit prototypes from its 300mm fabs. This confirms internal expectations that photonics ICs will become a meaningful revenue driver as AI server build-outs accelerate worldwide.

Meanwhile, the company is tightening its integration into the AI infrastructure ecosystem through the Starlight Consortium. The consortium connects substrate suppliers, device makers and system integrators to develop high-speed optical solutions for data centres, telecoms and automotive. In parallel, STMicro is collaborating with Nvidia on an 800V DC AI data centre architecture that combines SiC, gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon technologies. The firm has also demonstrated a GaN prototype with over 98pc conversion efficiency, underscoring how power density and efficiency now drive silicon chip demand as much as raw compute.

SiC, EV power electronics and a more selective capex strategy

STMicro is broadening SiC usage beyond traction inverters and onboard chargers to new power roles in active suspension inverters. This expands the addressable market in EVs just as advanced driver-assistance systems increase demand for sensors and control chips. However, weaker-than-expected EV programmes in Europe and China have delayed the full impact, forcing the company’s main automotive customer to cut orders.

Therefore STMicro is trimming near-term SiC capex as it transitions production from 150mm to 200mm wafers. The company will slow some investments in SiC conversion while maintaining its 300mm expansion plans in Agrate, Italy, and Crolles, France. These fabs continue to see solid order visibility, particularly for data-centre power modules and optical components. STMicro expects EV growth and SiC restocking to resume in 2026, once inventory drawdowns run their course and regional electrification policies translate into firmer demand.

The Metalnomist Commentary

STMicro’s push into photonics and SiC power devices shows how new sources of silicon chip demand are shifting toward AI infrastructure and complex EV systems. For the wider materials chain, this means sustained pull for high-purity silicon, SiC substrates and GaN epitaxy, even if near-term EV softness delays some projects. Suppliers that align with 300mm and 200mm wafer roadmaps and can support AI-class power densities will be best positioned as these new demand waves crystallise from 2026 onward.

Lithium-Ion Battery Copper Foil Shipments Surge as Ultra-Thin Products Gain Share

Copper Foil

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments rose sharply in 2025 as global battery production expanded and manufacturers shifted toward thinner materials to reduce copper costs. Global shipments reached 1.302mn t, up 41.7% from 2024, according to Chinese research institute EV Tank.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil demand remains closely tied to electric vehicle and energy storage growth. Copper foil is a key current collector in lithium-ion batteries, making it essential to cell performance, energy density and manufacturing cost.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments were dominated by China, which accounted for 82.9% of global deliveries in 2025. EV Tank expects global shipments to reach 2.615mn t by 2030, implying continued expansion as battery output scales.

The product mix changed quickly during the year. The share of 8μm foil declined, while 6μm remained the mainstream product and accounted for more than 70% of total shipments.

Ultra-Thin Foil Gains Momentum on Copper Cost Pressure

Ultra-thin copper foil gained share as battery producers looked for ways to reduce copper input costs. Persistently high global copper prices pushed cell manufacturers to use thinner foil while maintaining battery performance.

The combined share of 5μm and 4.5μm ultra-thin foil rose to 24% in 2025. This is a major shift for a material category that requires tighter production control, better surface quality and stronger consistency.

Thinner copper foil can help reduce battery weight and improve energy density. It also lowers the amount of copper used per cell, which becomes increasingly important when copper prices remain elevated.

EV Tank expects 5μm and thinner foil to become a key material for high-end batteries. This reflects the industry’s move toward lighter, higher-energy-density cell designs.

However, thinner foil also raises manufacturing difficulty. Producers must control pinholes, tensile strength, elongation, surface roughness and coating compatibility more precisely.

That technical barrier could separate higher-end suppliers from lower-cost producers. As battery customers shift toward thinner grades, qualification and process reliability will become more important than simple capacity.

China Leads Supply as Competition Intensifies

China’s 82.9% share of global shipments shows its dominant role in battery copper foil supply. The country has built large-scale capacity around its lithium-ion battery ecosystem, supported by domestic EV, energy storage and cell manufacturing growth.

Competition intensified in 2025 as the market recovered and producers brought earlier-built capacity on line. This created a more fluid ranking among suppliers.

Longdian Wason ranked first with a 12.2% market share. Huachuang New Material followed after capacity ramp-ups lifted output and sales.

Defu Technology and Jiayuan Technology ranked third and fourth, respectively. Seven companies in the top 10 changed positions during the year, showing how quickly capacity, customer access and product mix are reshaping the sector.

Battery makers also increased procurement from second-tier suppliers to improve supply stability. This suggests buyers are trying to diversify supplier bases rather than rely only on leading producers.

For copper markets, the trend is strategically important. Battery copper foil growth creates a direct link between copper demand and battery technology. But the move toward ultra-thin foil also means battery growth will not translate into copper demand on a simple one-to-one basis.

The sector is therefore entering a more technical phase. Volume growth remains strong, but material intensity, foil thickness, supplier qualification and copper price pressure will all shape future demand.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The copper foil market shows how battery growth can lift copper demand while also forcing material thrift. High copper prices are pushing battery makers toward thinner foil, making technology and process control as important as raw capacity.

Global Battery Demand Nears 1TWh in 2024 as LFP Market Share Surges

Battery

EV Growth and China Lead Surge in Battery Demand

Global battery demand reached nearly 1TWh in 2024, largely driven by rising electric vehicle (EV) adoption, according to the IEA's latest EV Outlook 2025. The Focus Keyphrase "global battery demand" continues to dominate energy transition narratives as EV sales accelerate across major economies.

EV battery demand alone exceeded 950GWh, accounting for more than 85% of total battery consumption. China led with 59% of EV battery demand, followed by the U.S. and EU, each holding a 13% share. The IEA projects battery demand will more than triple to over 3TWh by 2030 under current national policies. While supply of critical minerals is currently in surplus, the IEA warns that depressed prices could deter future investment, risking lithium and nickel shortages by decade’s end.

Battery Manufacturing Grows Faster Than Demand

Global battery manufacturing capacity grew by nearly 30% to 3.3TWh in 2024, tripling actual demand. If all announced projects proceed, capacity could reach 6.5TWh by 2030, outpacing the IEA’s projected demand.

South Korea led overseas battery capacity expansion with over 400GWh deployed in 2024, far ahead of Japan (60GWh) and China (30GWh). If planned projects materialize, South Korea could produce over 1TWh annually by 2030, almost double China’s expected output. As a result, China’s global manufacturing share is projected to fall from 85% in 2024 to two-thirds by 2030, diversifying global supply chains.

LFP Dominates Market as Regional Dynamics Shift

Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries now make up nearly half of the global EV battery market, with Chinese producers holding a de facto monopoly, especially in Europe and the U.S. European OEMs are increasingly opting for LFP chemistries to cut costs, displacing South Korean suppliers.

South Korean battery makers’ EU market share fell to 60% in 2024, down from 80% in 2022, while their U.S. market share rose to 35%, closing in on Japan’s 48%. Major Korean firms — LG Energy Solution, SK On, Samsung SDI — are all preparing for mass LFP production to compete in this fast-growing segment.

Meanwhile, LFP adoption in Southeast Asia, Brazil, and India has surpassed 50% of battery electric car sales, signaling rapid global penetration. However, Japanese battery makers face domestic setbacks, highlighted by Nissan’s cancellation of its Kyushu LFP plant amid restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The rise in global battery demand underscores a structural transformation in energy, mobility, and manufacturing. While demand growth is robust, the oversupply of battery capacity and volatility in mineral prices highlight the sector’s growing pains. As LFP continues its global ascent, regional competition and vertical integration will shape the future of the battery ecosystem.

GM Invests $625 Million in US Thacker Pass Lithium Mine to Secure EV Supply Chain

Lithium Americas (LAC)

General Motors (GM) has made a significant investment in the Thacker Pass lithium mine, located in Nevada and owned by Lithium Americas (LAC). The automaker will inject $625 million into the project, acquiring a 38% stake, marking the largest investment in a lithium mining project by a US carmaker to date. This deal comes as part of a broader effort to strengthen the supply chain for electric vehicle (EV) materials, following a $2.3 billion loan commitment from the US Department of Energy to support Thacker Pass earlier this year.

Jeff Morrison, GM's senior vice-president of global purchasing and supply chain, emphasized the importance of this partnership: "We're pleased with the significant progress Lithium Americas is making to help GM achieve our goal to develop a resilient EV material supply chain. Sourcing critical EV raw materials, like lithium, from suppliers in the US is expected to help us manage battery cell costs, deliver value to our customers and investors, and create jobs."

The first phase of development at Thacker Pass will be backed by an initial cash infusion of $330 million from GM. This phase aims to produce 40,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate annually, all of which GM will secure through an offtake agreement. This supply is projected to be sufficient for approximately 800,000 electric vehicles, highlighting the scale and significance of this partnership in meeting future EV demand.

Recent lithium carbonate prices have shown some volatility, with rates declining to $9.30-9.60/kg CIF China from $9.50-9.80/kg as recorded on October 8.

The collaboration between GM and LAC underscores the growing importance of domestic lithium production for the US EV industry and the need for a stable supply chain for critical raw materials. As electric vehicles gain popularity, such strategic partnerships are crucial in ensuring sustainable growth and meeting market demand.

Global Solid-State Electrolyte Shipments Surge as Semi-Solid Batteries Scale

Solid state electrolyte

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are rising rapidly as semi-solid batteries move toward vehicle adoption and full solid-state battery commercialisation advances. Chinese research institute EV Tank said shipments reached 4,100t in 2025, more than doubling from a year earlier.

The increase marks an important early-stage signal for the battery materials industry. Electrolytes are one of the core materials that determine the energy density, safety and commercial viability of solid-state batteries.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are still small compared with conventional lithium-ion battery materials. However, the growth rate shows that downstream producers are beginning to prepare for larger semi-solid and solid-state battery output.

EV Tank expects global solid-state electrolyte shipments to reach 229,000t by 2030. That would imply a compound annual growth rate of more than 120% from 2025 to 2030, making electrolytes one of the fastest-growing segments in advanced battery materials.

The forecast reflects both technological progress and industrial positioning. Battery producers, automakers and materials companies are now investing ahead of expected demand from electric vehicles, energy storage systems and high-end electronics.

Semi-Solid Batteries Create the First Commercial Demand Base

Semi-solid batteries are likely to provide the first meaningful demand base for solid-state battery electrolytes. EV Tank expects these batteries to begin vehicle adoption from 2026, ahead of full solid-state battery mass production.

This timing matters because semi-solid batteries can act as a bridge technology. They offer improved safety and performance compared with conventional liquid-electrolyte batteries, while avoiding some of the most difficult technical barriers facing all-solid-state cells.

Semi-solid battery growth is already supporting electrolyte shipments. These products still use electrolyte systems that may differ from fully solid-state designs, but they create early commercial demand for sulphide, oxide, polymer, halide and composite electrolyte materials.

Full solid-state batteries are expected to enter small-scale mass production from 2027. That stage will likely remain limited at first because large-scale production still faces technical, cost and qualification challenges.

The market therefore looks likely to develop in phases. Semi-solid batteries will drive early electrolyte consumption, while full solid-state batteries will gradually expand once production processes, interfaces and reliability improve.

Electrolytes are central to this transition. They influence ion conductivity, safety, cycle life, energy density and compatibility with electrodes. Any weakness in electrolyte performance can limit the entire battery system.

This is why electrolyte development is becoming a strategic battleground. Battery makers cannot scale solid-state technology only by changing cell design. They need stable, high-quality electrolyte materials that can be produced consistently at industrial scale.

Capacity expansion is accelerating in response. EV Tank expects producers with annual electrolyte capacity at the thousand-tonne level to emerge within the next one to two years.

That would mark a shift from laboratory and pilot-scale material production toward early industrial supply. It would also create a more competitive market among electrolyte producers seeking qualification with battery manufacturers.

For battery materials suppliers, this creates a new growth category. Electrolytes may become a higher-value segment within the battery chain, especially if producers can meet strict requirements for purity, particle control, stability and conductivity.

For automakers, the key issue is reliability. Vehicle adoption requires materials that can perform under harsh cycling, temperature and safety conditions. This means electrolyte suppliers must pass long qualification cycles before volume demand can fully develop.

Technology Routes and Cost Cuts Shape the Scale-Up

Solid-state battery electrolyte technology remains diversified, especially in semi-solid batteries. Sulphide, oxide, polymer and halide routes are developing in parallel, while both single-electrolyte and composite-electrolyte solutions are being adopted.

This diversity shows that the industry has not yet settled on a single dominant material route. Different technologies offer different advantages in conductivity, stability, manufacturability, cost and safety.

Sulphide electrolytes currently dominate the roadmap for full solid-state batteries. They offer high ionic conductivity and are widely viewed as one of the most promising routes for high-performance battery cells.

However, sulphide systems also face challenges. They require careful handling, moisture control and interface engineering. These factors can raise production complexity and slow commercial scale-up.

Oxide electrolytes offer strong chemical and thermal stability, but they can face processing and interface resistance challenges. Polymer electrolytes offer manufacturing flexibility, but often struggle with conductivity at room temperature. Halide electrolytes are gaining interest because of their electrochemical stability and potential compatibility with high-voltage cathodes.

Composite electrolyte solutions may become increasingly important. By combining material systems, producers can try to balance conductivity, flexibility, stability and manufacturability.

Cost reduction is also becoming a major commercial driver. EV Tank said improvements in material quality and production processes lowered costs across several technology routes in 2025.

Sulphide electrolyte costs fell by more than 35% during the year. This is significant because cost remains one of the biggest obstacles to wider solid-state battery adoption.

Lower electrolyte costs improve the competitiveness of solid-state batteries against conventional lithium-ion technologies. They also make it easier for battery makers to test commercial deployment in premium vehicles, high-performance energy storage and other demanding applications.

Still, cost reduction alone will not guarantee rapid commercialisation. The industry must also solve interface stability, dendrite control, manufacturing yield, pressure management and long-term cycle reliability.

This explains why some major automakers remain cautious. BYD chief scientist Lian Yubo has said solid-state batteries still face core technical bottlenecks and that liquid and solid-state batteries should develop as complementary technologies.

Great Wall Motor also does not expect large-scale commercialisation of all-solid-state batteries in the near term. This caution suggests that the market may grow strongly, but unevenly.

The commercial pathway is therefore not a simple replacement of liquid batteries. Conventional lithium-ion batteries, semi-solid batteries and full solid-state batteries are likely to coexist for years, each serving different cost and performance segments.

This has important implications for materials demand. Solid-state growth could increase demand for lithium metal, high-nickel cathodes, sulphur-based materials, oxides, halides and specialty chemical precursors. But it may not immediately reduce demand for conventional electrolytes, separators or liquid battery components.

The forecast of 229,000t of global solid-state electrolyte shipments by 2030 points to a large materials opportunity. But the final market size will depend on how quickly automakers adopt semi-solid batteries and how successfully full solid-state batteries move from demonstration to reliable mass production.

For supply chains, qualification will be decisive. Battery makers will not buy electrolyte materials only because capacity exists. They will need stable quality, competitive pricing, proven performance and reliable long-term supply.

For policymakers, solid-state batteries are increasingly tied to advanced manufacturing and energy security. Countries that control electrolyte technology and battery production could gain strategic advantage in next-generation electric vehicles and storage systems.

For the metals market, the key point is that battery innovation changes materials demand before full commercial adoption arrives. Producers begin scaling supply years before the technology reaches mass-market vehicles, creating early demand signals and investment cycles.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments therefore offer a useful indicator of where advanced battery manufacturing is moving. The numbers remain small, but the growth curve is steep enough to attract capital, competition and supply-chain restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Solid-state electrolyte growth shows that next-generation battery competition is moving upstream into materials engineering. The market will expand quickly, but full solid-state batteries still need technical proof before they can reshape EV and energy storage supply chains at scale.

Neo Estonia Magnet Production Begins with First Traction Motor Samples

Neo Performance Materials

Neo Performance Materials has shipped its first samples under its new Neo Estonia magnet production facility. The company produced 18,000 sintered magnet units at its Narva plant, meeting electric vehicle (EV) traction motor standards. These magnets are now being tested by a key European customer for performance validation.

Strategic Facility Targets EV Supply Chain Localization

The Estonia plant has an initial capacity of 2,000 t/yr, with plans to scale to 5,000 t/yr. It marks a critical step in Europe's strategy to localize its EV supply chain. Backed by Export Development Canada and the EU’s Just Transition Fund, the $75 million facility is designed to reduce reliance on Asian magnet suppliers.

Commercial Production Expected by Late 2026

Neo expects to receive production part approval in early 2026. Full commercial production is set to begin later that year. A leading European EV traction motor manufacturer has already secured 35% of the plant’s first-phase output, confirming strong early demand for Neo Estonia magnet production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Neo’s new Estonia facility demonstrates how permanent magnet supply chains are shifting westward. With EV demand growing, Neo Estonia magnet production could be a cornerstone of European critical materials independence.

US New Tariffs Could Disrupt China's Non-Exempt Metals Exports

China Tariffs

New tariffs on lithium, rare earth magnets, and more could affect China's metal exports to the US.

The United States has announced significant new tariffs on Chinese imports, with a notable focus on metals. While many non-ferrous metals and ferro-alloys have been exempted, some crucial exports from China, like lithium, rare earth magnets, and lithium-ion batteries, will face substantial increases in tariff rates. These changes are set to have a lasting impact on the trade between the US and China, especially in the energy storage and electric vehicle (EV) sectors.

High Tariffs on Lithium-Ion Batteries and Energy Storage

As of April 9, the US will implement an 82.4% tariff on electric vehicle (EV) power batteries and a 57.4% tariff on non-EV lithium-ion batteries from China. This substantial hike in tariffs will make Chinese-made batteries far more expensive and may eliminate the possibility of Chinese EV power batteries entering the US market. US consumers will likely absorb these costs, potentially leading to inflation in the US battery industry, especially in the energy storage sector.

China’s lithium-ion battery exports to the US had already been on the rise, with a 59% increase in exports during the first two months of the year. However, these new tariffs are expected to curb the growth of China's battery exports to the US and negatively affect lithium feedstock prices, which are currently at a four-year low.

Impact on Rare Earth Magnets

Rare earth magnets are another key area of concern, as these products were not exempted from the new tariffs. Despite some uncertainty about the exact tariff implementation, producers in China are anxious about the potential 54% tariff on rare earth magnets. China remains the dominant supplier of rare earth magnets globally, and while the US does have some alternatives, they are mostly focused on military applications with significantly higher prices. This makes it unlikely that the US can fully escape its dependence on China, especially for civilian applications.

China’s exports of rare earth magnets to the US in 2022 accounted for 12% of its total exports, and while tariffs could reduce this figure, China’s competitive pricing in the civil sector ensures its continued dominance in the global market.

Copper, Aluminium, and Hafnium: Other Affected Metals

While copper and aluminium are exempt from this latest round of tariffs, the copper industry remains on edge. US authorities are investigating the potential security implications of copper imports, and there’s speculation that a tariff may be imposed in the future. As for aluminium, Chinese exports are already subject to a steep 70% tariff, which is expected to discourage further aluminium exports to the US, pushing Chinese suppliers to seek alternative markets.

Hafnium, a critical metal used in aerospace applications, will also face a significant tariff hike, moving from 34% to 79%. This change could prompt US buyers to source hafnium from other regions, like Rotterdam, where the tariff is considerably lower.

Conclusion

The new US tariffs on Chinese metals exports are set to reshape the global metals market, particularly for lithium-ion batteries, rare earth magnets, and hafnium. While some sectors, like copper and aluminium, may have avoided immediate tariff hikes, long-term implications for the industry remain uncertain. The tariff increase on key metal exports from China to the US is expected to alter supply chains and increase costs for US consumers, especially in the EV and energy storage markets.

Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant anchors Europe’s mine-to-magnet strategy

Neo

Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant is emerging as a key pillar in Europe’s drive to localise magnet supply. Neo Performance Materials has officially opened the Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant in Narva, with phase 1 capacity of 2,000 t/yr. The Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant is designed to scale up to 5,000 t/yr, directly targeting fast-growing EV and industrial demand.

Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant secures EV-grade offtake and EU support

The new plant has already shipped sintered magnet samples that meet EV traction motor grade standards. Neo produced around 18,000 assembled magnet pieces during initial runs, demonstrating commercial readiness for Europe’s automotive supply chain. As a result, a top European traction motor supplier has committed to buy 35pc of phase 1 output.

The Neo Estonia rare earth magnet plant also benefits from early support under the EU’s Just Transition fund. This political backing signals Brussels’ intent to build strategic magnet capacity closer to European automakers. Meanwhile, the phased design allows Neo to ramp from 2,000 t/yr to 5,000 t/yr as demand for permanent magnets in EVs, wind turbines and industrial motors accelerates.

Neo is building more than a stand-alone factory in Narva. The company already operates a 3,000 t/yr light rare earth separation plant at Silmet, west of Narva. Therefore, the Estonia hub brings Europe closer to an integrated mine-to-magnet route, reducing over-reliance on Chinese rare earth processing and magnet supply.

Bosch deal accelerates Neo’s mine-to-magnet roadmap beyond Estonia

Neo’s newly announced multi-year contract with Bosch significantly strengthens visibility for future magnet volumes. Under the agreement, Neo will reserve “significant annual magnet production capacity” for the German manufacturer. This commitment supports long-term planning and underpins the business case for expanding magnet capacity beyond Estonia.

At the same time, the Bosch agreement hastens the roadmap for Neo’s next magnet plants in Europe or North America. In addition, the deal positions Neo as a strategic partner for Tier 1 auto suppliers seeking secure rare earth magnet sourcing. For OEMs facing tight margins on EV platforms, diversified magnet supply with transparent ESG credentials is becoming a competitive advantage.

Neo’s strategy of combining separation capacity at Silmet with downstream magnet production in Narva aligns with broader mine-to-magnet ambitions in the Atlantic region. While raw material security still depends on upstream feedstock, Europe now gains an important building block in a more resilient rare earth supply chain.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe’s long-discussed mine-to-magnet vision is finally moving from PowerPoint to production lines in places like Narva. Neo’s Estonia complex shows how modest-scale, strategically placed magnet plants can de-risk supply for EV and industrial customers. The real test will be whether upstream feedstock, policy support and OEM offtakes scale fast enough to match China’s entrenched dominance.

Gotion Slovakia battery plant anchors new EU battery supply hub

Gotion Slovakia battery plant

Gotion Slovakia battery plant construction has begun, marking a major step in Europe’s race for local EV cell capacity. The Gotion Slovakia battery plant will be the country’s first gigafactory and a key node in China–EU battery supply chains. As a result, the Gotion Slovakia battery plant positions Slovakia as a new player in Europe’s electrification map.

Gotion Slovakia battery plant targets EU gigafactory scale

The first phase of the Gotion Slovakia battery plant will add 20GWh a year of lithium-ion capacity. Gotion plans pilot production in 2026, with commercial volumes starting in 2027 and feeding customers across EU markets. This timing aligns with accelerating European EV and energy storage demand, as automakers seek diversified cell suppliers.

Meanwhile, the Surany facility will be Slovakia’s first battery gigafactory, strengthening Central Europe’s role as an automotive manufacturing corridor. Products will likely support both passenger EVs and stationary storage, given Gotion’s broad lithium-ion portfolio. Therefore, OEMs and Tier-1 suppliers in the EU gain another large-scale, non-European cell source inside the single market.

Chinese battery makers accelerate overseas footprint

Gotion has rapidly expanded outside China, with projects in Morocco, Thailand, Japan and the US adding to 20 global plants. The company targets 300GWh a year of installed capacity by 2025, including 100GWh outside China, to serve regionalised EV supply chains. However, its planned Michigan cathode and anode plant was cancelled after policy disagreements with local authorities.

As a result, Europe and emerging markets now absorb more of Gotion’s outbound investment as geopolitical trade risks rise. Chinese battery makers are building overseas to diversify customers, reduce tariff exposure and align with “local-for-local” industrial policies. These projects also hedge against potential future export controls on advanced battery materials and equipment.

Export controls delayed but policy risk remains

China has postponed planned export restrictions on certain high-end lithium batteries, key equipment, cathode materials and artificial graphite. The one-year delay followed talks between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump and removes an immediate brake on Chinese firms’ overseas expansion. However, the episode underscores how quickly regulation can reshape the global battery value chain.

In the near term, Gotion and its peers gain critical time to lock in projects and qualify products with Western OEMs. Longer term, governments may still tighten controls around strategic battery technologies and materials. Therefore, assets like the Gotion Slovakia battery plant will be increasingly valued for their on-shore, policy-resilient capacity.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Gotion’s Slovakia project is another sign that gigafactory competition is shifting from pure cost to geopolitical resilience. For European automakers, Chinese-backed plants inside the EU offer cost-effective capacity but deepen strategic interdependence. The next question is whether Brussels and national governments will pair such investments with stronger upstream and recycling policies to secure the full battery value chain.

Tesla Launches Texas Lithium Hydroxide Refinery: A Game Changer for EV Battery Production

Tesla Lithium Hydroxide Refinery

Tesla has officially begun operations at its lithium hydroxide refinery in Texas, marking a significant step in the company’s strategy to control its supply chain for critical battery materials. Located near Corpus Christi, the new facility aims to process lithium at scale, securing Tesla’s position as a major player in the electric vehicle (EV) market and ensuring a more stable supply of this vital element.

Tesla’s Vision for Lithium Refining at Scale

Following the groundbreaking of the facility in May 2024, Tesla has now successfully processed raw materials through its kiln. This refinery is a pivotal part of Tesla's plan to reduce its reliance on third-party suppliers and mitigate the effects of skyrocketing lithium prices. Tesla’s CEO, Elon Musk, emphasized that while lithium is abundant globally, the slow pace of extraction and refinement has created a bottleneck. The Texas refinery is designed to address this challenge by processing lithium more efficiently and directly at scale.

The facility is capable of refining lithium hydroxide, a key component in EV battery production. Tesla's refinery will primarily process spodumene concentrate, the most common raw material used to produce lithium hydroxide. However, the company has also announced plans to process recycled batteries and manufacturing scrap at the facility in the future, which would further enhance the sustainability and efficiency of its operations.

Advanced Refining Technology and Sustainable Practices

One of the most notable features of Tesla's new refinery is its acid-free lithium refining method, which reduces environmental impact compared to traditional refining techniques. The byproduct of this process—comprising sand and limestone—can be used in construction materials, further contributing to the sustainability goals of Tesla’s operations.

The refinery has a projected capacity of 50 GWh/yr, though Tesla has not disclosed a specific timeline for ramping up to full production capacity. The company’s efforts to diversify its lithium supply chain are also evident in its sourcing strategy. In 2023, Tesla sourced over 75% of its lithium from mining and refining companies, including industry giants such as Albemarle, Acradium, Ganfeng, and Yahua.

Implications for the EV Industry and Lithium Supply Chain

Tesla’s Texas lithium refinery represents a critical move in the global shift toward more sustainable and efficient lithium extraction. As demand for electric vehicles continues to surge, securing a stable and cost-effective supply of lithium is paramount. This refinery could serve as a model for other manufacturers looking to mitigate risks associated with lithium shortages and price volatility.

While Tesla has yet to provide full details on the ramp-up timeline, the opening of this facility signals the company’s ongoing commitment to innovating within the energy and automotive sectors, ensuring that it remains a leader in the electric vehicle industry.

Lucid critical minerals partnership targets stronger US EV supply chains

Lucid Motors

Lucid Motors has formed the Lucid critical minerals partnership to bolster domestic sourcing for EV manufacturing. The collaboration, called MINAC, unites prospective US producers and Lucid to accelerate critical mineral development. As a result, the Lucid critical minerals partnership seeks to reduce reliance on foreign inputs and strengthen national supply resilience.

How MINAC plans to accelerate supply

MINAC will identify regulatory and technical hurdles that slow US critical mineral projects. It will also foster long-term agreements between producers, automakers, and parts suppliers. Therefore, the Lucid critical minerals partnership aims to convert pilot output into bankable supply for EV supply chains.

Partners and policy alignment

Lucid partnered with Alaska Energy Metals, Graphite One, Electric Metals, and RecycLiCo to launch MINAC. Meanwhile, the initiative aligns with President Donald Trump’s March executive order promoting domestic critical mineral production. The Lucid critical minerals partnership positions US automakers to secure future feedstock more predictably.

MINAC’s structure targets timely procurement for nickel, graphite, and other battery materials. However, success depends on permitting progress and commercial offtake execution. As a result, sustained coordination across producers and OEMs will be essential.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This move signals OEMs are stepping upstream as policy and geopolitics reshape battery material flows. Watch for binding offtake, permitting milestones, and financing that translate policy momentum into metal at scale.