U.S. Tariff Hike Puts Pressure on China’s Tantalum Feedstock Market

Tantalum

The recent U.S. decision to impose a 25% tariff on Chinese unwrought tantalum is set to create significant challenges for the tantalum feedstock market. This move, part of the Section 301 tariffs, will come into effect on September 27, having been delayed from August. The new tariffs will impact the demand for tantalum feedstock materials, including ores, pentoxide, and potassium fluotantalate, creating uncertainty within the market.

Impact of U.S. Tariff on Chinese Exports

China has long been a leading supplier of unwrought tantalum to the U.S., responsible for around 40% of total U.S. imports of this critical material between 2020 and mid-September 2024. In the first seven months of 2024 alone, the U.S. imported 177 tons of unwrought tantalum, a figure that already surpasses the total imports for all of 2023.

However, the volume of Chinese tantalum exported to the U.S. has been steadily declining. The U.S. imported 321 tons in 2023, a 56% drop from the 730 tons imported in 2022. Of this, only 131 tons came from China, marking the lowest level in years. This downward trend is likely to accelerate further as the tariffs come into effect, prompting U.S. buyers to reconsider their reliance on Chinese tantalum.

Lower Demand for Tantalum Feedstock

As a result of the anticipated reduction in downstream demand, producers of tantalum feedstock in China are already feeling the pressure. For instance, Chinese potassium fluotantalate producers have reported receiving lower bids from tantalum smelters in recent days. Bid prices have dropped to approximately ¥830-840/kg, down from ¥850/kg before the mid-autumn holiday in mid-September.

The electronics industry, a major consumer of tantalum, is also likely to be affected. Some companies are now required to avoid sourcing tantalite from Africa due to a dispute between the International Tin Supply Chain Initiative (ITSCI) and the Responsible Minerals Initiative (RMI). This dispute, combined with the U.S. tariff hike, is leading to further hesitation among tantalum smelters to source feedstock from Africa.

Chinese Smelters' Response and Outlook

Despite the current challenges, some Chinese smelters are optimistic about domestic supply. “We are not short of feedstock because there is ample tantalum scrap feedstock supply, which is sufficient to feed China’s domestic tantalum production,” commented a source from a South China-based smelter. However, many smelters and traders remain cautious, focusing on fulfilling domestic orders while closely monitoring global market developments.

With the U.S. tariff hike set to take effect, the outlook for China's tantalum feedstock market remains uncertain. Tantalum suppliers are attempting to raise their prices, but market participants believe the increased tariffs will make it difficult to conclude new deals at elevated prices.

As the U.S. prepares to implement its new tariffs on Chinese tantalum, the ripple effects are being felt throughout the supply chain. From lower demand in the electronics sector to falling bid prices for feedstock, the market faces a challenging road ahead. While Chinese producers remain resilient with alternative feedstock sources, the long-term impact of the tariffs could reshape global supply chains and market dynamics.

US Antimony feedstock sourcing expands to secure smelter supply

US Antimony feedstock

US Antimony feedstock sourcing broadened across the US and overseas to stabilize operations. The company moved to secure inputs for its Montana and Mexico smelters. As a result, it advanced domestic mining claims and lined up new international suppliers. However, it also flagged issues with Australian material quality and logistics.

Domestic expansion: Alaska and Montana

US Antimony feedstock sourcing grew with new Alaska claims, including a 150-acre site near Fairbanks. The firm expects faster permitting since the land is neither federal nor state. Meanwhile, reacquired claims beside its Montana smelter should deliver stibnite within months. Therefore, domestic ore should lower supply risk and trucking distances.

International diversification: Bolivia and Chad

Bolivia will supply up to 150 t/month of antimony flake starting in early 2026. A 10 t pilot shipment arrives at the Montana smelter in August. Additionally, two sources in Chad will feed the Madero smelter, starting with 80 t. Subsequent deliveries should reach 100 t/month to support steady throughput. Canada also lifted feedstock to 857 t year-to-date, up 121 percent.

Australian sourcing faces setbacks following a 50 t shipment held 82 days by Chinese customs. Concurrently, incoming ore showed elevated arsenic and iron, pressuring processing costs. However, broader sourcing and scrap blending can offset penalties and maintain recoveries. Therefore, the portfolio approach underpins more reliable antimony supply for strategic markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Diversification is the right hedge as geopolitics and impurities raise feedstock risk. Watch ramp discipline in Bolivia and Chad and impurity management in Montana. If logistics hold, US Antimony can claw back margin despite uneven market conditions.

Lynas Secures Malaysian Rare Earth Feedstock for Processing Plant

Lynas Rare Earths

Lynas Rare Earths has signed a groundbreaking Malaysian rare earth feedstock agreement with Kelantan state. The Australian producer partnered with Menteri Besar investment agency for ionic clay supplies. This strategic deal ensures Malaysian rare earth feedstock for Lynas's local processing operations.

Heavy Rare Earths Supply from Kelantan Deposits

The agreement covers mixed rare earth carbonates from Malaysia's ionic clay deposits. These deposits contain high concentrations of valuable heavy rare earths. Meanwhile, Lynas became the first non-Chinese separated heavy rare earths producer recently. The company now produces dysprosium and will add terbium production in June.

Both parties will collaborate on Malaysia's broader rare earth sector development. However, specific supply volumes remain undisclosed pending final negotiations. The feedstock delivery begins once Kelantan mining operations commence. Currently, Lynas sources carbonate from its Australian Mount Weld mine exclusively.

Strategic Shift in Southeast Asian Rare Earth Processing

This partnership transforms Malaysia's rare earth industry positioning significantly. Malaysia considered export bans to boost domestic processing capabilities last year. Therefore, this deal aligns with national downstream development objectives perfectly. Lynas gains critical supply chain diversification beyond Australian sources.

The Malaysian rare earth feedstock agreement strengthens regional processing independence from China. Furthermore, ionic clay deposits offer superior heavy rare earth concentrations. As a result, Lynas can expand specialty rare earth production capacity. This development positions Malaysia as a global rare earth processing hub.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Lynas's Malaysian feedstock agreement represents a masterful supply chain strategy combining local sourcing with established processing infrastructure. This partnership accelerates Malaysia's rare earth ambitions while giving Lynas competitive access to high-value heavy rare earth deposits. The deal exemplifies successful resource nationalism that benefits both foreign investors and host countries.

Inner Mongolia rare earth developments accelerate Baotou’s magnet and feedstock dominance

China’s Inner Mongolia Mining

Inner Mongolia rare earth developments accelerate China’s magnet and feedstock capacity in Baotou. Output capacity for rare earth new materials nears 300,000 tonnes per year. As a result, the region becomes China’s largest comprehensive production base. Producers also expand upstream supplies to match downstream investments.

Magnet manufacturing surge in Baotou

Baotou anchors magnet manufacturing scale and technology leadership. Ten of China’s top fifteen magnet plants operate in the city. Combined nameplate exceeds 159,000 tonnes per year. Actual magnet output rose 34.5% to 75,000 tonnes in 2024.

Jinli Magnet adds a third phase, lifting output to 40,000 tonnes per year. It becomes the largest single-site NdFeB producer globally. Grain boundary penetration reduces heavy rare earth consumption below industry averages. JLM supplies BYD and partners strategically with Goldwind. Wolong commissioned China’s largest permanent magnet motor plant in March 2025. It can produce NEV, low-speed high-power, and wind turbine motors. Ande Xinai started a 120,000 tonne refractory plant using 6,000 tonnes of La and Ce.

Feedstock expansion and exchange liquidity

Inner Mongolia rare earth developments also transform feedstock and market infrastructure. The Baotou Rare Earths Exchange traded 77,000 tonnes REO from January to May 2025. Turnover reached 5.8 billion yuan with 1,103 registered enterprises. Northern Rare Earth holds 44.56% and leads integrated expansion.

NRE’s Huamei plant began phase one in October 2024. It adds 106,661 t per year extraction and separation capacity. It processes 198,000 t per year mixed concentrate, or 115,018 t REO equivalent. Precipitation and crystallisation capacity totals 141,070 t per year. Burning capacity reaches 39,600 t per year. NRE starts phase two construction in the second half of 2025. This complex will become the world’s largest rare earth feedstock base.

Therefore, Inner Mongolia rare earth developments underpin magnets, motors, and catalysts growth. Downstream buyers should expect improved availability, yet watch pricing discipline.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Inner Mongolia is building a full-stack advantage from concentrate to motors. Success depends on yield, heavy-REE thrift, and environmental compliance. Watch contract terms and qualification timelines for high-performance magnets.

Increased Supplies and Weak Demand Pressure Chinese Rare Earths

As global supplies continue to rise and demand from downstream industries slows, market participants anticipate short-term downward pressure on Chinese rare earth markets. Consecutive output increases, driven by higher ore feedstock supplies from China’s mining quotas and imports from major supplier countries, coupled with reduced capacity utilization in the magnet industry, have resulted in elevated inventories across many rare earth companies. This has prompted suppliers to destock materials at comparatively lower prices. Pessimism regarding short-term demand outlooks is growing, particularly in light of the global economic downturn.

China's rare earth output has steadily increased over recent years, supported by higher mining quotas and ore feedstock imports. Metalnomist projects that China’s total quotas for rare earth mining products in 2024 will rise by 10-15% compared to the previous year, reaching 280,000-290,000 tons. The production of praseodymium-neodymium oxide from these quotas is expected to reach approximately 44,500-45,500 tons this year, up from around 40,000 tons in 2023.

Imports of ore feedstock from Southeast Asian countries, including Myanmar (Burma), Laos, and Malaysia, are projected to increase by 3-5% in 2024, reaching around 60,000 tons of rare earth oxide (REO), as rising shipments from Laos outweigh declines from Myanmar and Malaysia. Conversely, China’s rare earth metal ore imports from the US are likely to decrease by over 30% from the previous year, falling below 28,000 tons of REO, due to increased domestic consumption in the US. US-based rare earth producer MP Materials more than doubled its praseodymium-neodymium oxide production during April-June and expects a further 50% increase in the third quarter, further reducing its exports to China.

Metalnomist forecasts China’s production of praseodymium-neodymium oxide using ore feedstock imports from Southeast Asia and the US to reach around 20,000-21,000 tons in 2024. Overall, China’s praseodymium-neodymium oxide output is expected to rise to approximately 92,000-95,000 tons this year, representing a 10% increase from 2023.

China's total production of dysprosium oxide in 2024 is expected to increase to around 3,600-3,700 tons, including approximately 400 tons from domestic mining quotas, 2,000 tons from ore feedstock imports, and around 1,000 tons from neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnet scraps. Terbium oxide production is also projected to rise to around 650 tons, with around 75 tons produced from China’s mining quotas, 390 tons from ore feedstock imports, and 180 tons from NdFeB magnet scraps.

Over the past decade, many magnet plants have reduced their consumption of ferro-dysprosium and terbium metal by more than 70% to cut production costs. Market participants warn that this could lead to a surplus of over 1,000 tons of dysprosium oxide and more than 200 tons of terbium oxide this year, unless China’s State Reserve Bureau intervenes with stockpiling efforts to alleviate inventory pressures on rare earth separation plants.

Expansion Slows Amidst Growing Competition

The average operating rates at most of China’s magnet plants have declined to around 60% over the past two months, driven by falling magnet prices and reduced consumer orders during the traditional off-season. China’s rough NdFeB magnet output reached 270,000-280,000 tons in 2023, an 8% increase from the previous year. Some market participants expect production to rise to around 300,000 tons in 2024, as large-scale magnet plants boost operations to secure more market share and consumer orders. However, medium and small magnet plants have been forced to reduce their operating rates to below 50% or suspend operations entirely due to profitability and cash flow challenges.

Major Chinese magnet manufacturer Jinli Magnet aims to increase its production capacity to 38,000 tons per year for rough NdFeB magnets by the end of 2024, and to 40,000 tons per year for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets and advanced magnetic components by 2025. Currently, the company’s output capacity stands at 23,000 tons per year. Meanwhile, Yantai Zhenghai Magnetic Material plans to reach an output capacity of 36,000 tons per year for permanent magnetic materials by 2026.

A few magnet plants have slowed their output expansions, as fierce price competition in downstream applications, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry, has severely squeezed profit margins. "I heard that major Chinese NEV manufacturer BYD was required to use cerium-iron-boron (CeFeB) magnets instead of NdFeB in a bid to reduce its production costs and enhance global competitiveness," a source from a magnet plant revealed.

China's production of CeFeB magnets is forecast to rise to over 100,000 tons this year, up from approximately 70,000 tons in 2023, the source added.

China’s Gallium Expansion Slows as Germanium Supply Diversifies: Key Market Insights

China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNMA)

The Chinese gallium (Ga) production expansion has encountered significant hurdles, while germanium (Ge) supply sources are increasingly diversifying to mitigate feedstock shortages. According to Li Yilan, a senior analyst at the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNMA), the pace of new gallium production projects in China has slowed due to decreasing Ga content in bauxite, the primary feedstock for gallium extraction. As a result, many production projects have been delayed, and some that did launch have scaled back or halted operations altogether. However, the diversification of germanium supply chains signals a shift in how the industry is adapting to global demand pressures.

Slowdown in Gallium Production Expansion

China’s gallium output for 2024 is forecast to reach 950 tons, a 14% increase compared to the previous year. Despite this increase, the growth rate of gallium production capacity has slowed considerably. In particular, China’s gallium capacity rose by 40% this year, but the full realization of this capacity has been hindered by difficulties in securing sufficient feedstock from bauxite. The lower Ga content in bauxite has made it harder for producers to maintain a consistent supply of gallium, forcing many projects to delay their timelines or reduce output.

The demand for gallium, particularly from the magnet manufacturing sector (which consumes 46% of the metal), has increased gradually over the past two years. Additionally, the rise in demand for gallium oxide phosphor in electronics has offset the reduced demand from the solar cell sector. This demand shift has been a key factor in the slight increase in Chinese gallium exports, which rose by 35% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2024, totaling 48.4 tons. This increase is partly due to disruptions in last year’s exports caused by the country’s export control schemes, which limited overseas shipments.

Germanium Supply Diversification and Emerging Markets

While gallium production faces slowdowns, germanium’s supply chain is showing signs of diversification, especially as producers look beyond China for feedstock. Tight feedstock availability in China has prompted several producers to seek alternative sources for germanium. Notably, the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s state-owned mining company, Gecamines, has begun exporting germanium concentrates to Belgium. This move is part of a broader trend of extracting germanium from non-traditional sources, such as copper-cobalt ores in the Congo and coal and nickel in Indonesia. These new extraction routes are expected to increase the overall supply of germanium.

China’s germanium output is projected to exceed 200 tons in 2024, up from 190 tons the previous year. Strong demand from the infrared and solar cell sectors, which use germanium in various applications, has driven prices upward in recent months. However, the rapid rise in prices has caused a significant drop in exports. Between January and September 2024, China exported just 18.8 tons of germanium, a 46% decrease compared to the same period in 2023. Higher prices and more stringent export license procedures have pushed international buyers to explore other sources for germanium, further boosting the trend toward diversified supply.

Conclusion

The global markets for gallium and germanium are undergoing significant shifts, with production challenges in China affecting gallium’s expansion and leading to a diversification of germanium supply chains. While gallium demand remains steady, especially from magnet and phosphor industries, production issues are slowing the pace of growth. On the other hand, germanium's increasing extraction from countries like the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Indonesia is easing the reliance on Chinese supply. The metal markets are adapting, and these dynamics will likely continue to influence pricing and production trends in the coming years.

China Expands Copper and Aluminium Duty Exemptions for 2025

Recycled Copper

In a bid to promote sustainable growth, China has announced expanded import duty exemptions on recycled copper and aluminium feedstocks for 2025. This change is part of the country’s broader strategy to bolster green and low-carbon development in its metal industries. The move reflects China’s ongoing efforts to ease restrictions on secondary copper and aluminium imports, which could have significant implications for both domestic and international markets.

Expansion of Duty Exemptions

Under the new policy, China will expand the HS code 74040000 to include “recycled copper and alloy feedstock” for 2025, up from just "recycled brass copper feedstock" and "recycled copper feedstock" in 2024. Similarly, the HS code 76020000 will also broaden to cover “recycled aluminium and alloy feedstock” from the previous scope of "recycled cast aluminum alloy feedstock" in 2024. The import duties for both categories will remain at zero for 2025, continuing the exemptions in place for 2024.

This expansion is intended to enhance the country’s circular economy and support the shift toward greener practices in the recycling and processing of metals. According to China’s Ministry of Commerce, the adjustments will help promote low-carbon development, driving demand for sustainable production methods.

The move follows an increase in China’s copper scrap imports, which saw a 14% rise from January to November in 2024 compared to the previous year, signaling a positive trend for the country's metal recycling sector.

Continued Duties on Other Base Metals

While China is easing import duties on certain recycled metals, the government has decided to keep export duties on various base metals, minor metals, ferro-alloys, and rare earths in place for 2025. This includes maintaining the 40% export duty on ferro-chrome, a 25% duty on silico-manganese and ferro-silicon, and a 20% export duty on ferro-manganese. These duties align with China’s broader objective of controlling the export of energy-intensive and pollution-heavy products.

The country will also continue with export duties on a variety of concentrates, such as lead, zinc, tantalum, and niobium, as well as a 20% duty on tin, tungsten, and antimony concentrates, which are less frequently exported due to China’s limited domestic resources of these metals. Additionally, China will maintain duties on several metals, including a 5-15% export duty on copper, nickel, and zinc alloys and products.

China's new policy also includes a zero import duty on spodumene for 2025, marking another significant move in its strategic approach to securing key raw materials for its growing battery and electronics industries.

China's Praseodymium-Neodymium Prices Rise Amid Tight Supply and Strong Demand

China’s Praseodymium-Neodymium market has seen significant price increases over the past two weeks, fueled by a combination of tight spot oxide availability and robust demand from the magnet industry. Market analysts expect this trend to persist through the end of the month, with intensified restocking activities by metal and magnet producers further supporting prices.

Oxide separation plants and trading houses have raised their offers due to firm production costs for ore feedstock and consistent purchases from metal producers, who have also seen rising transaction prices. The uptrend in oxide prices, coupled with narrow profit margins for mining firms outside China, has contributed to higher prices in the ore feedstock market. Many ore suppliers have either withdrawn their sales or increased their offers recently, reflecting the prevailing market conditions.

Trading firms, eager to capitalize on the price gains after months of market fluctuations, have been more active in restocking. Large-scale magnet manufacturing plants have continued their regular purchases of praseodymium-neodymium metal, gradually accepting higher prices in line with the rising cost of oxide feedstock. Even medium and small magnet producers, despite their smaller purchase volumes, have made purchases at the higher prices, reinforcing the overall price uptrend in the metal feedstock market.

Expectations of increased magnet demand following the summer lull have further strengthened market predictions of continued price rises. As a result, many oxide and metal producers are holding firm on prices, anticipating higher offers in the near future.

The release of Northern Rare Earth’s (NRE) listed prices for September delivery of praseodymium-neodymium next week is also anticipated to reflect these recent price gains. The slowdown in the growth of light rare earth production quotas and reduced ore feedstock imports from the U.S. and Southeast Asia are additional factors contributing to the tightening of spot supplies, which may lead to further price increases in the coming months.

However, some market participants remain cautious, focusing on the fundamentals of physical demand and the operating rates of downstream magnet producers before making further predictions about price movements.

China Nickel Sulphate Market Holds Firm Amid Supply Tightness and Weak NCM Demand

Nickel Sulphate

China nickel sulphate prices have remained stable for over a month due to constrained supply and sluggish demand from the NCM battery sector. Despite declining output and elevated feedstock costs, producers have resisted lowering prices to protect margins. The China nickel sulphate market is now facing a complex supply-demand imbalance shaped by both upstream disruptions and shifting downstream preferences.

Feedstock Supply Disruptions Tighten Production Margins

Nickel sulphate output in April dropped to 30,000 tonnes (nickel metal equivalent), down 13% month-on-month and 18% year-on-year. Cumulative output for January–April stood at 127,000 tonnes, 1.6% lower than the previous year, according to CNIA data. This production cut stems from limited availability of mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP) and nickel matte, both critical inputs for sulphate production. Heavy rainfall in Morowali, Indonesia, disrupted MHP production in March and April, reducing output by 5,500 tonnes. At the same time, matte producers in China shifted to more profitable nickel pig iron (NPI), reducing matte availability. Consequently, the payable indicators for MHP and matte rose significantly, eroding margins and compelling some plants—like those in Guangxi—to convert from matte to MHP feedstock. These factors have kept the China nickel sulphate market tight despite weak demand.

NCM Battery Demand Shrinks as LFP Dominance Grows

While supply tightens, demand has faltered. NCM and NCA batteries, once dominant, have lost significant market share to lithium iron phosphate (LFP) chemistries. As of April, NCM batteries accounted for just 20% of China’s battery output, while NCA stood at 17%, down from a combined 65% in 2019. This shift has impacted upstream nickel demand, causing several international projects to stall. In recent months, Eramet and BASF withdrew from their Weda Bay refining JV, and Hanrui Cobalt cancelled its MHP investment in Indonesia. Meanwhile, automakers like Volkswagen are pivoting toward LFP technology to cut costs. Demand for NCM batteries is expected to remain weak through Q2 2024, with some exporters front-loading shipments earlier in the year due to global trade tensions. As a result, the China nickel sulphate market remains under pressure, with producers navigating tight margins amid uncertain downstream growth.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s nickel sulphate market exemplifies the structural turbulence within the EV battery supply chain. As feedstock constraints collide with weakening demand for NCM chemistries, producers must brace for lower growth visibility and rising volatility across Asia’s nickel value chain.

Yahua Terminates Finniss Lithium Offtake Deal with Core Lithium Following Project Suspension

Yahua Lithium

Chinese lithium producer Yahua terminated its spodumene offtake agreement with Australia's Core Lithium for the suspended Finniss project operations. The Yahua Finniss lithium deal termination follows Core Lithium's decision to halt operations at the Australian project in July 2024. Core Lithium agreed to pay Yahua a $2 million settlement to resolve the contractual obligations under the original 2019 offtake agreement for the Yahua Finniss lithium supply arrangement.

Original Offtake Agreement Targeted 75,000 Tonnes Annual Spodumene Supply

The terminated offtake agreement required Yahua to purchase at least 75,000 metric tonnes per year of spodumene concentrate from Core Lithium's Finniss project. The parties signed this long-term supply contract in 2019 when lithium market fundamentals appeared more favorable for Australian project development. However, the Finniss project faced operational challenges and market headwinds that ultimately led to the suspension of mining activities.

Core Lithium's decision to halt operations reflects broader challenges facing Australian lithium projects amid volatile pricing and operational complexities. The $2 million settlement payment compensates Yahua for the terminated supply relationship while releasing both parties from future contractual obligations. Meanwhile, the Yahua Finniss lithium deal termination demonstrates the risks facing long-term offtake agreements when projects encounter operational difficulties.

Diversified Supply Strategy Shields Yahua from Feedstock Disruption

Yahua emphasized that the Finniss project termination will not affect its lithium feedstock supply security due to diversified sourcing strategies. The Chinese lithium producer owns the Kamativi lithium assets in Zimbabwe, providing direct control over spodumene production and processing operations. As a result, this backward integration strategy reduces Yahua's dependence on third-party Australian suppliers for critical lithium raw materials.

The company maintains additional supply agreements with established lithium miners including Australia's Pilbara Minerals and other global producers. These diversified supply relationships ensure consistent feedstock availability despite individual project disruptions or market volatility. Therefore, Yahua's multi-sourced approach provides operational flexibility and supply chain resilience across different geographic regions and mining operations.

Yahua's response to the Finniss project termination highlights the importance of supply diversification in the volatile lithium market. Chinese lithium processors increasingly pursue backward integration strategies and multiple supplier relationships to manage supply risks. Consequently, the Yahua Finniss lithium deal termination reinforces the strategic value of diversified sourcing approaches for lithium chemical producers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Yahua-Core Lithium offtake termination illustrates the fragility of long-term supply agreements in volatile commodity markets, particularly for emerging lithium projects facing operational and financial pressures. Yahua's emphasis on supply diversification through asset ownership and multiple supplier relationships reflects the evolving risk management strategies of Chinese lithium processors seeking to secure feedstock supplies amid market uncertainty and project development challenges.

MTM Critical Metals raises $33mn for Texas metals recovery

MTM Critical Metals

Funding secured for a 2026 start

MTM Critical Metals raises $33mn for Texas metals recovery through an A$50mn placement. The pre-permitted site targets commercial operations in 2026. Institutional investors led by Petra Capital backed the raise. The plan strengthens a US critical minerals hub. MTM Critical Metals raises $33mn for Texas metals recovery to accelerate build-out.

Technology, feedstock and partnerships

The company will deploy Flash Joule Heating to recover high-value metals. The FJH process has recovered antimony and gallium from e-waste. Long-term agreements secure 1,100 t/yr of e-scrap feedstock. Dynamic Lifecycle will supply 700 t/yr for five years. MTM will rebrand as Metallium as construction advances.

MTM will allocate 40pc to site and infrastructure. It will direct 25pc to FJH system construction. Around 15pc will fund feedstock procurement. Remaining funds support working capital and commissioning. As a result, the project remains staged and capital efficient.

The firm seeks US government support to de-risk execution. Meanwhile, a new agreement covers mixed rare earth carbonate from Brazil. Meteoric Resources’ Caldeira project could feed future REE separation. The Texas site adds optionality beyond e-waste streams. This broadens revenue across antimony, gallium, and rare earths.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This raise advances midstream capacity where supply chains remain fragile. If feedstock ramps smoothly and FJH scales, Metallium could become a key US recycler for strategic metals.

Huayang aluminium smelter to launch in Shanxi by 2026

Huayang

The Huayang aluminium smelter will start in Yangquan, Shanxi, by September 2026. Huayang will develop the project in two phases totaling 394,000 t per year. Phase one begins construction in September 2025 and launches a year later. The first phase will add 294,000 t per year of new capacity.

Capacity and timeline

The Huayang aluminium smelter expands China’s primary aluminium footprint in a key resource base. Shanxi holds large bauxite reserves and strong alumina output. Therefore, the smelter should access stable feedstock and logistics. Meanwhile, the complete design targets 394,000 t per year across two stages.

Feedstock, technology, and market impact

The Huayang aluminium smelter will adopt 600 kA electrolytic baths. This technology offers high efficiency and lower specific energy use. As a result, unit costs and emissions intensity could improve. Shanxi’s integrated chain should further enhance reliability and working capital.

Regional supply will tighten competition for power and contracts. However, phased commissioning reduces operational risk during ramp-up. Therefore, downstream buyers may secure term volumes early. Market participants will track energy pricing and carbon metrics closely.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Huayang’s phased build balances speed with risk control in a feedstock-rich province. If 600 kA lines deliver as planned, cost and carbon performance should strengthen. Watch power tariffs, carbon policy, and start-up curves through 2026–2027.

Iluka and RareX Partner on Kenya’s Mrima Hill Rare Earths Project

RareX

Iluka and RareX rare earths partnership

Iluka and RareX rare earths partnership marks a significant step in securing sustainable feedstock for Australia’s Eneabba refinery. Iluka Resources and RareX announced a strategic alliance to develop Kenya’s Mrima Hill rare earth and niobium project, aiming to support Iluka’s downstream processing plans.

The Mrima Hill site, owned by the Kenyan government, may supply critical materials to Iluka’s 23,000 t/yr Eneabba rare earth oxide refinery in Western Australia. The Eneabba refinery is currently under construction, with initial feedstock sourced from Iluka’s domestic concentrate stockpile.

Securing Offtake and Joint Venture Rights in Kenya

Iluka and RareX formed a consortium with plans to operate Mrima Hill as a joint venture with Kenya’s state-owned National Mining Corporation (NAMICO). The deal includes a binding offtake term sheet, granting Iluka exclusive rights to purchase all rare earth and heavy mineral products at a 10% discount.

However, the agreement is contingent on government approval and commercial-scale production. Iluka currently holds a 25% stake in the consortium, and will pay RareX $10 million upon receipt of the mining license.

Expanding Iluka’s Rare Earth Feedstock Strategy

Iluka and RareX rare earths partnership adds international supply diversity to Iluka’s refining roadmap. The Eneabba plant will initially run on a 1 million tonne stockpile but aims to supplement it with external sources like Mrima Hill and Browns Range.

Iluka also signed a rare earth concentrate agreement with Northern Minerals for 30,500 tonnes from the Browns Range project. Additionally, Iluka is developing domestic mining capacity to produce 20,000 t/yr of concentrates in the future.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This Iluka and RareX rare earths partnership reflects growing global urgency to diversify rare earth supply chains beyond China. With government approval, Mrima Hill could become a vital node in Australia’s downstream rare earth production strategy.

ReElement Starts Rare Earth Shipments, Eyes Expansion in Indiana and Africa

ReElement

U.S. Refiner Targets Antimony Market as China Cuts Off Exports

ReElement Technologies has officially commenced commercial shipments of magnet-grade rare earth oxides, signaling a major milestone for the Indiana-based critical minerals refiner. Operating from its 700m² Noblesville facility, the company recovers both light and heavy rare earth elements from recycled feedstock such as end-of-life permanent magnets used in wind turbines and electric vehicles.

Daily production capacity at Noblesville ranges from 5–10 kilograms of rare earth oxides and 15–25 kilograms of battery-grade lithium carbonate. Although initial shipment volumes remain undisclosed, the move marks a pivotal step in ReElement’s scale-up strategy.

Marion Plant to Scale RE and Lithium Refining by Year-End

To meet rising demand, ReElement is transitioning operations to its new 50,000m² refinery in Marion, Indiana. The first phase, expected to go online by year-end 2025, will enable annual production of 2,000 metric tonnes (t) of rare earth oxides and 5,000t of lithium carbonate or hydroxide.

Crucially, Marion will process feedstock not only from recycled materials but also from ore sources—broadening ReElement’s flexibility and competitiveness. This diversification aligns with U.S. government efforts to localize critical minerals supply chains amid geopolitical disruptions.

African JV Targets New Refining Capacity and Localized Supply

ReElement is also expanding globally through a $100 million joint venture with South Africa’s Novare Holdings. The two firms plan to build critical mineral refining capacity across Africa, starting with site development in the second half of 2025.

Under the agreement, ReElement will deploy its proprietary chromatography-based separation technology, while Novare provides funding and local operational oversight. Feedstock for the African facility will come from domestic and regional sources. Capacity figures have not yet been finalized.

ReElement Enters Antimony Market Amid Chinese Export Ban

In response to China’s ban on antimony exports to the U.S., ReElement is moving aggressively into antimony refining. The company will process ore sourced from a South African supplier into antimony sulfide and antimony oxide, with commercial-scale production slated for the Marion plant.

ReElement has already processed sample ore at Noblesville, and it expects to begin refining 1,000t/month initially. The company also plans to co-locate modular refining units near downstream military manufacturers that use antimony-containing materials.

This move positions ReElement to fill a critical supply gap in the U.S. antimony market while tapping into high-margin opportunities in defense applications.

Xianglu Expands Tungsten Wire Production in China

Tungsten Wire

Surge in Tungsten Wire Output

China’s Xianglu Tungsten has significantly expanded its production of super-fine tungsten wire at its Chaozhou facility in Guangdong province. The plant is now producing 500mn meters of wire per month, targeting an annual capacity of 30bn meters that was first outlined in September 2023. This rapid scale-up underscores Xianglu’s growing role as a leading supplier of downstream tungsten products.

The expansion has already impacted the company’s financial results. Revenues for January–March rose 4.2% year on year to 481mn yuan ($66.9mn). More notably, revenue from the tungsten wire segment surged sevenfold, though the company did not disclose the exact figure. Demand is being driven by the photovoltaic sector, where fine tungsten wire is used as a cutting tool for silicon wafer slicing.

Market Impact and Price Influence

Tungsten wires totaling 100mn meters typically consume about 4t of tungsten concentrate, highlighting Xianglu’s role as a major consumer of feedstock. Alongside peers Xiamen Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten, Xianglu’s bi-monthly bidding prices significantly influence spot tungsten markets. Collectively, term contracts from these firms account for 60–70% of China’s tungsten feedstock demand, according to industry estimates.

In June, Xianglu raised its bid prices to Yn171,000/t for 50% wolframite concentrate and Yn251,000/t for APT, reflecting increases of Yn8,500/t and Yn9,500/t respectively. Xiamen Tungsten also lifted APT bids to Yn250,000/t, reinforcing an upward trend in feedstock prices. These price moves suggest sustained strength in demand, even as downstream industries navigate broader economic pressures.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Xianglu’s tungsten wire expansion highlights the intersection of renewable energy growth and raw material demand. As photovoltaic installations surge, tungsten’s strategic role is intensifying. With pricing power concentrated in a few Chinese firms, global buyers remain highly exposed to policy, energy, and cost dynamics within China’s tungsten industry.

Cyclic Lime Rare Earth Recycling Partnership Targets Electric Scooter Motor Magnets

Cyclic Materials

Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling partnership launched as Canadian recycler Cyclic Materials contracted with electric scooter company Lime to recover rare earth elements from decommissioned motors. The Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling collaboration will process magnets from Lime's retired electric bike and scooter fleet across US and Canadian operations, establishing a circular economy model for critical materials recovery from urban mobility infrastructure.

Hydrometallurgical Processing Creates Closed-Loop Supply Chain

Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling operations will utilize Cyclic's dual-facility processing network spanning Mesa, Arizona, and Kingston, Ontario. The Kingston facility employs hydrometallurgical processes to produce mixed rare earth oxide from recovered magnet materials. Mesa represents Cyclic's first US processing location, expanding the company's geographic reach for North American rare earth recycling operations.

Meanwhile, the partnership targets Lime's substantial fleet of over 270,000 electric bikes and scooters operating across 280 cities globally. This scale provides consistent feedstock volumes for rare earth recovery operations while addressing end-of-life disposal challenges for electric mobility devices. The collaboration demonstrates practical applications of circular economy principles in urban transportation sectors.

Scaling Operations Address Growing E-Mobility Waste Streams

However, Cyclic and Lime plan operational commencement within weeks, with activity scaling throughout 2025 as fleet retirement cycles mature. The timing aligns with growing volumes of first-generation electric scooters and bikes reaching end-of-life status after several years of intensive urban deployment. This natural replacement cycle creates predictable feedstock availability for recycling operations.

Therefore, the partnership addresses critical material recovery from permanent magnets containing neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium essential for motor performance. These rare earth elements maintain high value and strategic importance for electric vehicle and renewable energy applications. Recovery operations reduce dependence on primary mining while supporting domestic rare earth supply chain resilience.

Urban Mobility Recycling Model Demonstrates Industry Leadership

Furthermore, Lime's commitment to rare earth recycling complements existing battery recycling partnerships with companies like Redwood Materials. This comprehensive approach to component recycling establishes industry best practices for sustainable electric mobility operations. The integrated recycling strategy addresses both battery and motor component end-of-life management across Lime's global fleet.

As a result, the Cyclic partnership positions Lime as a leader in sustainable urban mobility practices while creating valuable secondary rare earth supply sources. The collaboration demonstrates how service-based mobility companies can contribute to critical materials circularity while managing operational costs through material recovery value. This model could influence broader electric vehicle and mobility industry recycling practices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Cyclic-Lime partnership represents an innovative approach to rare earth recycling that leverages the predictable replacement cycles of commercial electric mobility fleets to create sustainable feedstock streams for critical materials recovery. This collaboration demonstrates how urban mobility companies can transition from being solely consumers of critical materials to active participants in circular supply chains, potentially serving as a model for broader transportation electrification sectors.

Blue Whale Materials and Call2Recycle Join Forces to Strengthen U.S. Lithium-Ion Battery Recycling

Blue Whale Materials (BWM)

Strategic partnership ensures consistent battery feedstock for BWM’s 50,000t facility in Oklahoma

BWM and Call2Recycle Partner to Secure Sustainable Battery Feedstock

Blue Whale Materials (BWM), a prominent U.S. battery recycler, has entered a partnership with Call2Recycle to ensure steady access to end-of-life lithium-ion batteries. Through this agreement, BWM will process batteries collected across the country via Call2Recycle’s well-established collection network. This collaboration is expected to support domestic supply chain resilience for critical battery materials.

Robert Kang, CEO and co-founder of BWM, emphasized the strategic value of partnering with North America’s leading battery collection organization. He stated that reliable feedstock access is vital to advancing the company’s long-term goal of building a secure and sustainable battery supply ecosystem.

New Facility in Oklahoma to Process 50,000t Annually by Mid-2025

BWM is set to launch its large-scale battery recycling facility in Bartlesville, Oklahoma, in the second quarter of 2025. Once fully operational, the facility will be capable of processing up to 50,000 metric tonnes of spent lithium-ion batteries per year. The location is strategically positioned to serve a growing network of battery sources, reinforcing domestic battery recycling infrastructure at a time when demand for critical minerals continues to rise.

This move supports broader efforts to reduce dependence on imported battery materials and aligns with the U.S. government’s clean energy and sustainability targets. Furthermore, it underscores the vital role of collaboration between recyclers and collectors in closing the battery lifecycle loop.

China Copper Scrap Cash Spreads Widen Amid Price Fluctuations

China Copper Scrap

Cash spreads for Chinese copper scrap imports have increased from last week due to lower copper prices on major exchanges.  Scrap sellers maintained firm offers as LME copper prices fell to a four-month low of $8,757/tonne on December 31st.

Import Arbitrage Loss and Tariff Exemptions

China's copper scrap import arbitrage loss widened to -1,000 yuan/tonne ($137/tonne) this week, compared to a small profit in late December. This widening loss is attributed to lower domestic spot copper metal prices relative to LME prices, resulting in limited trading activity.  Despite this, China will expand its import duty exemptions on more recycled copper feedstocks in 2025. The government has broadened the products included under HS code 74040000 to "recycled copper and alloy feedstock" for 2025, from "recycled brass copper feedstock and recycled copper feedstock" in 2024. The import duty for this HS code remains at zero for both years.  However, market participants remain cautious about importing copper scrap from the US, even with the expanded tariff exemptions in 2025.

Market Outlook and Price Rebound

LME three-month copper prices have since rebounded, rising from a close of $8,781.50/tonne on December 31st to a close of $8,980/tonne on January 7th.  Positive investor sentiment has been fueled by the People's Bank of China announcement of increased financial support for technology innovation and consumption, along with measures to enhance liquidity, safeguard capital markets, and potential reductions in interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio for banks.

Chinese Tantalum Smelters Push Back Against Rising Tantalite Feedstock Prices

Tantalum

Supply tightness and weak US demand cap upside despite recent price gains

Chinese tantalum smelters are resisting recent increases in tantalite feedstock prices, citing tight profit margins and weak downstream demand. Although prices for tantalite have been climbing since late January, smelters are holding firm due to ongoing cost pressures and limited pricing power.

For now, this standoff is unlikely to disrupt near-term production. Most Chinese smelters still maintain adequate inventories of tantalite and are operating steadily. However, rising feedstock costs are squeezing margins, especially since smelters have been unable to lift their offers for key intermediates like potassium fluotantalate and tantalum pentoxide.

African supply disruptions and speculative trading drive short-term volatility

Supply disruptions in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) have fueled short-term price speculation in the market. Armed conflict in the region has disrupted mining operations and reduced material flow, prompting traders to raise spot offers.

However, other African suppliers—including those outside Rwanda and the DRC—are stepping in to meet demand. Market participants expect that increasing alternative supply and cautious downstream buying will limit any significant upside in tantalite prices.

US tariffs weaken Chinese exports, limit demand outlook

China’s tantalum export outlook has deteriorated due to weakened demand from its largest buyer—the United States. Since September 2024, US importers have scaled back purchases following the implementation of a 25% tariff on unwrought tantalum exports from China.

This policy shift, introduced under former President Joe Biden’s administration, has significantly reduced orders for key Chinese producers. Currently, the US accounts for approximately 50% of China’s tantalum exports, making this a critical concern for the sector.

Without a reversal in trade policy or a pickup in global demand, Chinese smelters are expected to tread cautiously in their procurement strategies throughout 2025.

Quebec Lithium Refinery Seeks 140,000 Tonnes Annual Spodumene Supply

Lithium Universe (LU7)

Lithium Universe's Quebec lithium refinery targets 140,000 tonnes yearly spodumene concentrate feedstock agreements. The Becancour facility negotiates with operational and near-term developers for decade-long supply contracts. This ambitious Quebec lithium refinery project strengthens North America's battery materials processing capacity significantly.

Phased Production Ramp-Up Starting 2028

LU7 plans strategic production scaling beginning with 56,000 tonnes in 2028. The company increases intake to 98,000 tonnes by 2029 before reaching full capacity. Meanwhile, the Quebec lithium refinery maintains ownership of all produced battery-grade lithium carbonate. The processor will purchase spodumene at benchmark prices for market flexibility.

Domestic processing offers substantial economic advantages over Chinese refinement alternatives. Furthermore, Canadian production saves $1,000-1,100 per tonne in transportation costs alone. The 25% import tariff elimination provides additional competitive advantages for North American buyers.

Competitive Economics Support Project Viability

The feasibility study reveals operating costs of $3,931 per tonne for processing. Capital investment totals $549 million with breakeven at $14,000/t lithium carbonate pricing. Therefore, current market conditions support strong project economics and profitability potential. LU7 remains flexible on feedstock sources including Brazil and African suppliers.

The Quebec lithium refinery avoids tolling arrangements to maintain product control completely. Moreover, this strategy allows direct sales to customers or spot market opportunities. As a result, Becancour positions itself as a strategic Western lithium processing hub. The facility addresses critical supply chain gaps in North American battery manufacturing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

LU7's feedstock search highlights North America's lithium processing bottleneck despite abundant upstream projects in development. The $1,000+/t transportation savings versus Chinese processing creates a compelling value proposition, but securing 140,000 tonnes of spodumene annually remains challenging given limited operational North American mines. Success depends on synchronizing refinery startup with emerging Canadian spodumene producers like Nemaska and Sayona.