Global Battery Demand Nears 1TWh in 2024 as LFP Market Share Surges

Battery

EV Growth and China Lead Surge in Battery Demand

Global battery demand reached nearly 1TWh in 2024, largely driven by rising electric vehicle (EV) adoption, according to the IEA's latest EV Outlook 2025. The Focus Keyphrase "global battery demand" continues to dominate energy transition narratives as EV sales accelerate across major economies.

EV battery demand alone exceeded 950GWh, accounting for more than 85% of total battery consumption. China led with 59% of EV battery demand, followed by the U.S. and EU, each holding a 13% share. The IEA projects battery demand will more than triple to over 3TWh by 2030 under current national policies. While supply of critical minerals is currently in surplus, the IEA warns that depressed prices could deter future investment, risking lithium and nickel shortages by decade’s end.

Battery Manufacturing Grows Faster Than Demand

Global battery manufacturing capacity grew by nearly 30% to 3.3TWh in 2024, tripling actual demand. If all announced projects proceed, capacity could reach 6.5TWh by 2030, outpacing the IEA’s projected demand.

South Korea led overseas battery capacity expansion with over 400GWh deployed in 2024, far ahead of Japan (60GWh) and China (30GWh). If planned projects materialize, South Korea could produce over 1TWh annually by 2030, almost double China’s expected output. As a result, China’s global manufacturing share is projected to fall from 85% in 2024 to two-thirds by 2030, diversifying global supply chains.

LFP Dominates Market as Regional Dynamics Shift

Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries now make up nearly half of the global EV battery market, with Chinese producers holding a de facto monopoly, especially in Europe and the U.S. European OEMs are increasingly opting for LFP chemistries to cut costs, displacing South Korean suppliers.

South Korean battery makers’ EU market share fell to 60% in 2024, down from 80% in 2022, while their U.S. market share rose to 35%, closing in on Japan’s 48%. Major Korean firms — LG Energy Solution, SK On, Samsung SDI — are all preparing for mass LFP production to compete in this fast-growing segment.

Meanwhile, LFP adoption in Southeast Asia, Brazil, and India has surpassed 50% of battery electric car sales, signaling rapid global penetration. However, Japanese battery makers face domestic setbacks, highlighted by Nissan’s cancellation of its Kyushu LFP plant amid restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The rise in global battery demand underscores a structural transformation in energy, mobility, and manufacturing. While demand growth is robust, the oversupply of battery capacity and volatility in mineral prices highlight the sector’s growing pains. As LFP continues its global ascent, regional competition and vertical integration will shape the future of the battery ecosystem.