CMOC Brazil Gold Acquisition Expands Its South American Precious Metals Footprint

CMOC

The CMOC Brazil gold acquisition marks a clear expansion beyond the company’s traditional base metals profile. Equinox Gold said it completed the sale of the Aurizona mine, the RDM mine, and the Bahia Complex to a CMOC subsidiary on 23 January for total consideration of up to $1.015 billion. CMOC had previously said the package would add roughly 8 tonnes of annual gold production and deepen its South American resource base. 

The timing of the CMOC Brazil gold acquisition also matters. Gold demand hit a record 5,002 tonnes in 2025, according to the World Gold Council, while Reuters reported prices rose above $5,300 per ounce in late January. Goldman Sachs also raised its end-2026 gold forecast to $5,400 per ounce, showing how strongly the market now values gold as a reserve and risk hedge. 

This deal fits a wider strategy of gold market diversification. CMOC had already announced the Brazil purchase in December and said its Ecuadorian Odin gold project could eventually lift total gold output above 20 tonnes per year. Therefore, gold is becoming a more deliberate portfolio pillar rather than a side exposure. 

Brazilian Gold Mines Add Immediate Production but Also Integration Risk

Brazilian gold mines give CMOC something many miners want in a strong gold market. They offer producing assets with existing processing infrastructure rather than long-dated development optionality. That can support cash flow quickly and shorten the payback period compared with earlier-stage projects. 

However, integration risk has already appeared around the transaction. Reuters reported in March that a Brazilian court halted the transfer of some Bahia mineral rights tied to the sale after a challenge from state-run CBPM. Equinox said the sale had already been concluded and that the ruling referred only to one Bahia asset, Santa Luz. 

That does not erase the strategic logic of the acquisition. It does show that cross-border mining deals can face legal friction even after closing. As a result, CMOC’s ability to manage local regulatory relationships may become as important as ore grade or gold price. 

Gold Market Diversification Matters Beyond Gold Alone

Gold market diversification is also relevant to the wider metals chain. Reuters reported in 2025 that Chinese copper smelters were partially offsetting negative treatment and refining charges with stronger by-product revenues such as gold. In other words, gold is helping support margins in parts of the industrial metals system, not only in standalone precious metals mining. 

That connection matters for a company like CMOC. The group is already known for copper, cobalt, molybdenum, niobium, and phosphate. Adding more gold exposure can strengthen earnings resilience when other commodity segments face tighter margins or weaker processing economics. 

The CMOC Brazil gold acquisition therefore looks bigger than a simple asset purchase. It gives the company immediate gold production, broader South American scale, and a stronger hedge against volatility in other commodity chains. If gold stays structurally strong, this move could prove timely as well as strategic. 

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC is no longer treating gold as a secondary opportunity. It is building a more balanced portfolio around metals that offer both industrial relevance and financial defensiveness. If the company manages Brazil well, the CMOC Brazil gold acquisition could become one of its smarter cycle-timing decisions. 

China’s CMOC meets cobalt output guidance as DRC export curbs reshape supply

CMOC

China’s CMOC meets cobalt output guidance for 2025 after steady performance at its DRC assets. China’s CMOC meets cobalt output guidance with 117,549 tonnes of cobalt from Tenke Fungurume and Kisanfu. China’s CMOC meets cobalt output guidance despite DRC export restrictions that disrupted feedstock flows.

CMOC’s 2025 output rose slightly from 114,165 tonnes in 2024. The company kept its 2026 cobalt guidance at 100,000–120,000 tonnes, matching its 2025 range. Meanwhile, higher copper prices supported earnings because copper remains the main by-product.

Copper strength funds CMOC’s Kisanfu expansion

Copper prices stayed strong through 2025 and hit a new record in early January 2026. The rally reflected tight concentrate supply, rate cuts, and tariff risk expectations. Therefore, CMOC can finance growth while defending margins in a volatile cobalt market.

CMOC is investing $1.08bn in the Kisanfu Phase II project. The project targets an extra 100,000 tonnes per year of copper cathode output, with start-up expected in 2027. However, the company has not disclosed the cobalt capacity uplift, although the market expects a meaningful increase.

DRC export restrictions tighten the feedstock pipeline

DRC policy changes remain the core swing factor for cobalt availability. The government halted cobalt feedstock exports from 22 February to 15 October 2025, then shifted to a quota system for late 2025 and 2026–27. Meanwhile, procedural delays prevented any feedstock exports in the fourth quarter of 2025.

The government has now approved a limited number of hydroxide truck shipments. Those shipments have reached Lubumbashi, a key logistics hub. As a result, market participants expect the first new feedstock to reach China in April, after royalties are paid and cargoes clear onward transport.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC’s results show how copper economics can cushion cobalt volatility inside integrated Cu-Co systems. However, DRC export controls introduce timing risk that can ripple into battery chemical supply chains. Producers that diversify refining routes and secure compliant logistics will gain resilience.

CMOC meets 2025 cobalt guidance as copper strength offsets DRC export curbs and quota delays.

#Cobalt, #Copper, #CMOC, #DRC, #TenkeFungurume, #Kisanfu, #BatteryMaterials, #CriticalMinerals, #SupplyChainRisk, #TheMetalnomist

CMOC Copper Output Rises as DRC Mines Strengthen China Supply

CMOC

CMOC copper output increased in the first quarter of 2026 as higher production from the company’s Democratic Republic of Congo copper-cobalt mines lifted supply. The Chinese diversified metals producer produced 187,880t of copper in January-March, up 10% from a year earlier.

CMOC copper output was supported by stronger production at the Tenke Fungurume and Kisanfu mines. These assets are central to China’s copper and cobalt feedstock security because they supply large volumes of cathode and intermediate material from one of the world’s most important copper-cobalt districts.

CMOC copper output is expected to remain a major market focus this year. The company is targeting 760,000-820,000t of copper production in 2026, after producing 741,100t in 2025.

The result reinforces the DRC’s role as China’s largest imported copper cathode source. China imported 275,359t of copper cathode from the DRC in the first quarter, equal to 37.5% of total imports.

Tenke and Kisanfu Anchor CMOC’s Copper Growth

CMOC’s first-quarter copper growth reflects the scale and strategic importance of its DRC operations. Tenke Fungurume and Kisanfu remain core assets for the company’s copper-cobalt portfolio.

The company plans to expand output at Kisanfu by adding 100,000 t/yr of copper cathode capacity. Completion is targeted for 2027.

The expansion could also lift cobalt capacity. CMOC has not disclosed the planned increase, but market participants expect Kisanfu’s cobalt capacity to rise by more than 30,000 t/yr.

This matters because copper and cobalt are increasingly linked in DRC project economics. Higher copper output can bring additional cobalt units into the market, depending on ore composition, processing rates and export rules.

The London Metal Exchange approval of CMOC’s TFM-1 copper cathode brand adds another layer of market significance. The brand, produced at Tenke Fungurume, was approved for listing on 27 March and has a registered production capacity of 270,000 t/yr.

Exchange approval improves brand visibility and market acceptance. It can also support trade liquidity, financing and customer confidence for DRC-origin copper cathode.
China’s copper cathode import structure shows why this is important. The DRC already supplies more than one-third of China’s imported cathode, making Congolese supply critical to Chinese refined copper availability.

The China grade-A copper cathode premium was steady at $55-70/t cif Shanghai on 23 April. The range narrowed from $55-75/t a week earlier, showing a relatively stable but cautious spot market.

Cobalt Output Stays Flat as Quotas Restrict Feedstock Flows

CMOC’s cobalt production was largely unchanged in the first quarter. The company produced 30,508t of cobalt, up only 0.3% from a year earlier.

The company set its 2026 cobalt output guidance at 100,000-120,000t. That is broadly stable against 117,549t produced in 2025.

The flat cobalt outlook reflects a more complicated market. The DRC suspended cobalt feedstock exports from 22 February to 15 October 2025 before moving to a quota-based export system for the fourth quarter of 2025 and for 2026-27.

Administrative delays have slowed the quota system. The DRC extended fourth-quarter 2025 quotas to 31 March 2026 because of slow processing.

The effect on Chinese imports has been severe. China imported only 1,278t cobalt metal equivalent of cobalt intermediate feedstock in January-February, down 96% from a year earlier.

Cobalt hydroxide prices remained stable at $25.95-26.10/lb cif China on 23 April. But the stability masks a market still shaped by restricted DRC export flows, delayed allocations and uncertainty over quota administration.

For CMOC, the copper side of the portfolio is showing clear growth. The cobalt side remains more exposed to policy risk, export controls and administrative timing in the DRC.

The Kisanfu expansion could increase future cobalt availability, but the market impact will depend on whether DRC export rules allow material to move smoothly to downstream refiners.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC’s first-quarter results show that DRC copper remains essential to China’s refined copper supply, while cobalt is increasingly constrained by policy rather than production alone. The strategic issue is no longer just mine output, but whether export quotas, brand approvals and logistics can keep critical metal flows moving.

CMOC Copper Output Rose in 2025 on Stronger DRC Production

Copper Wire

CMOC copper output increased in 2025 as the Chinese diversified metals producer lifted production from its copper-cobalt operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company produced 741,100t of copper during the year, up 14% from 2024.

The increase was driven by higher output from both the Tenke Fungurume copper-cobalt mine and the Kisanfu copper-cobalt mine. These assets remain central to CMOC’s copper growth strategy and to China’s access to African copper cathode supply.

CMOC copper output is expected to rise again in 2026, with the company targeting production of 760,000-820,000t. CMOC also plans to expand copper production at Kisanfu by another 100,000 t/yr in 2027.

DRC Assets Strengthen CMOC’s Copper Growth Platform

CMOC’s production growth reinforces the strategic importance of the DRC in global copper supply. The country has become one of the most important sources of copper cathode for China, supported by large-scale mining, solvent extraction and electrowinning capacity.

Tenke Fungurume remains a key asset in this system. The mine has copper cathode capacity of 270,000 t/yr, and its TFM-1 copper cathode brand was approved by the London Metal Exchange for listing on 27 March.

The LME approval strengthens the marketability of CMOC’s DRC-produced copper. Exchange-listed status can improve brand recognition, liquidity and acceptance among global buyers, especially in refined copper markets where cathode quality and deliverability matter.

China’s Copper Supply Chain Leans Heavily on DRC Cathode

The DRC remained China’s largest source of copper cathode imports in 2025. China imported 1.44mn t of copper cathode from the country, accounting for 37.6% of total imports.

This trade flow highlights the depth of China’s dependence on DRC copper supply. As domestic demand from grids, manufacturing, electric vehicles and energy infrastructure continues, stable access to DRC cathode remains strategically important.

CMOC copper output growth also has wider market implications. Additional production from Tenke Fungurume and Kisanfu can help offset disruptions in other copper regions, but it also increases the role of African supply in balancing global refined copper markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC’s 2025 copper growth shows how the DRC has become a core pillar of China’s refined copper security. The next strategic question is whether rising African cathode supply can remain reliable amid infrastructure, policy and geopolitical risks.

CMOC Raises Tungsten and Niobium Output in Q1 2025

CMOC Tungsten

CMOC Increases Strategic Metal Production Amid Strong Demand

Chinese diversified metals producer CMOC—also known as China Molybdenum or Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum—boosted tungsten and niobium output in the first quarter of 2025. This aligns with its broader production targets and strategy to solidify its role in global critical minerals supply chains.

CMOC reported 1,993 metric tonnes of tungsten metal equivalent during January–March, up by 3.8% year-on-year. This represents 27–31% of its full-year production target of 6,500–7,500 tonnes.

Niobium Output Also Gains Ground

In the same period, CMOC produced 2,616 metric tonnes of ferro-niobium, marking a 4.4% increase over Q1 2024 levels. This output accounted for 25–28% of the company’s 2025 goal of 9,500–10,500 tonnes of ferro-niobium.

CMOC is China’s second-largest tungsten concentrate producer after China Minmetals and remains a key player in niobium supply, an essential input in high-strength steel and superalloys.

The company’s diversified portfolio includes molybdenum, copper, cobalt, and phosphate fertilizers, all of which are critical to industrial and clean energy applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC’s stable Q1 growth in tungsten and niobium suggests strategic alignment with China’s broader resource security policy. As global demand for aerospace, defense, and battery materials rises, producers like CMOC are ramping up output to secure market share and pricing leverage in 2025.

CMOC Molybdenum Output Fell in 2025 Despite Stronger China Demand

CMOC

CMOC molybdenum output declined in 2025 as lower ore grades at key Chinese mines reduced production. The diversified metals producer, also known as Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum, produced 13,906t of molybdenum metal equivalent, down 9.7% from a year earlier.

The decline was linked to lower original ore content at the Sandaozhuang Molybdenum Tungsten Mine and the Shangfanggou Molybdenum Mine. CMOC’s molybdenum sales also fell by 6.1% on the year to 14,058t.

CMOC molybdenum output weakened even as broader molybdenum demand improved. This contrast shows that mine-grade pressure can limit producer performance despite stronger consumption from steel and energy-related sectors.

Chinese Molybdenum Consumption Rose on Steel Demand

China’s molybdenum market strengthened in 2025 as demand for molybdenum-containing steel increased. CMOC said Chinese molybdenum consumption rose by 9.3% on the year to 152,000t.

Steelmakers purchased around 153,000t of molybdenum alloy in 2025, up 6.3% from a year earlier. Demand was supported by continued use of molybdenum-bearing steels in wind power and other industrial applications requiring strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance.

China produced 133,000t of molybdenum in 2025, accounting for 43.3% of global output. Production increased slightly by 0.8% from the previous year, reinforcing China’s central role in the global molybdenum supply chain.

Global Market Remained Balanced as Demand Outpaced Supply Growth

Global molybdenum output rose by 3.2% to 307,000t in 2025, while global demand increased by 4.5% to 303,000t. The data point to a broadly balanced market, with demand growing faster than supply but not enough to create a major deficit.

CMOC expects molybdenum demand to remain firm in 2026, supported by continued development of the molybdenum-containing steel market. However, the company lowered its 2026 production target to 11,500–14,500t of molybdenum metal equivalent, compared with its 2025 target of 12,000–15,000t.

The lower guidance suggests CMOC molybdenum output may remain constrained by mine quality and operational factors. For alloy buyers, this keeps attention on Chinese mine performance, steel-sector consumption and the availability of molybdenum units for higher-value applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CMOC’s result shows that molybdenum demand strength does not automatically translate into higher producer output. As wind power and specialty steel continue to support consumption, ore grade and mine productivity will become more important pricing and supply variables.

CMOC's Cobalt and Copper Output Soars in 2024, Boosting China's Supply

CMOC's

Chinese mining giant CMOC has reported a significant surge in its copper and cobalt production for 2024, primarily fueled by increased output from its operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).  This production boost has subsequently impacted China's imports of these critical metals.

DRC Operations Drive Record Production

CMOC's cobalt production more than doubled in 2024, reaching 114,165 tonnes (metal equivalent), compared to 55,526 tonnes in 2023. This dramatic increase is attributed to higher output from the company's Tenke Fungurume copper-cobalt mine (TFM) and the newly developed Kisanfu copper-cobalt mine (KFM) in the DRC. KFM commenced production in the first half of 2023.  CMOC acquired a 56% stake in TFM from Freeport-McMoRan in 2016, increasing its ownership to 80% in 2017. The acquisition of KFM was completed in December 2020.  KFM is jointly owned by CMOC (71.25%), Brunp, a subsidiary of Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), (23.75%), and DRC's state-owned Gecamines.

The company also saw a substantial rise in copper production, reaching 650,161 tonnes in 2024, a 55% increase year-on-year and 14% above its annual production guidance. This growth is partly due to the three new production lines at its mixed ore project at TFM reaching full capacity in the first half of 2024.  TFM now boasts five production lines with a combined capacity of 450,000 tonnes per year.  The KFM mine has achieved a copper capacity of 150,000 tonnes per year.

Impact on China's Metal Imports

The increased cobalt output from CMOC's DRC operations has significantly impacted China's feedstock imports.  Customs data reveals that China imported 172,580 tonnes of cobalt metal equivalent of intermediate products between January and November, a 74% surge compared to the same period the previous year.  Notably, approximately 98.7% of these imports originated from the DRC, a region where the world's two largest cobalt feedstock producers, CMOC and Glencore, operate copper and cobalt mines.  CMOC also holds a 30% stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt, a joint venture with Huayou Cobalt and Tsingshan in Indonesia.

Looking ahead, CMOC is pursuing further production expansions as part of its five-year plan starting in 2025. These plans include the West Area project at TFM and the second phase of KFM, both of which are currently in the preliminary exploration stage.

CMOC Boosts Tungsten and Niobium Output in 2024

CMOC

CMOC, also known as Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum, a prominent Chinese diversified minerals producer, has reported increased production of both tungsten and niobium in 2024 compared to the previous year. This positive performance underscores the company's strong operational capabilities and its position in the global metals market.

Increased Tungsten Production Driven by Higher Recycling Rate

CMOC's tungsten production reached 8,288 tonnes of metal equivalent in 2024, a 4% increase year-on-year. The company attributed this growth to a higher recycling rate for hard-processing ores, demonstrating its commitment to resource optimization and efficiency.  As the second-largest tungsten concentrate producer in China, following China Minmetals, CMOC plays a vital role in the domestic and international tungsten supply chains.

Record-Breaking Ferro-Niobium Output

CMOC also achieved a record high in ferro-niobium production, with 10,024 tonnes of metal equivalent, a 5% increase compared to 2023. This achievement highlights the company's growing presence in the niobium market, a crucial metal used in various high-tech applications.

Diversified Portfolio

Beyond tungsten and niobium, CMOC's diversified portfolio includes the production and trading of molybdenum, copper, cobalt, and phosphate fertilizer. This broad range of products positions the company as a key player in the global minerals industry.

China's CMOC Reports Decline in Molybdenum Output Amid Lower Ore Grades

China Molybdenum Co. (CMOC), a leading diversified metals producer, has reported a 12% drop in molybdenum output for the first half of 2024, citing lower metal grades in the ores mined. The Henan-based company produced 7,349 tons of molybdenum metal equivalent from January to June, down from the same period last year. Sales also saw a decline, dropping by 8.3% to 7,185 tons.

Despite the decrease in production, CMOC remains on track to meet its annual target of 12,000 to 15,000 tons, having achieved approximately 54% of this goal in the first half of the year. The company is optimistic about the second half, expecting demand to increase further, driven by new projects in the metallurgical and chemical industries.

China remains a dominant force in the global molybdenum market, producing 64,900 tons in the first half of the year, accounting for 44.5% of the global total. Consumption within the country reached 66,500 tons, representing 45.7% of global demand.

Chinese steelmakers, in particular, have shown a strong appetite for molybdenum, purchasing 72,652 tons of ferro-molybdenum between January and June—a 25% increase compared to the previous year. CMOC attributes this surge to the country’s push for high-quality industrial development, which has boosted the demand for molybdenum-containing steel.

With molybdenum output expected to continue declining due to lower ore grades, CMOC anticipates a supportive market environment for the remainder of the year.

China's CMOC Reports Higher 1H Tungsten and Niobium Output

Chinese diversified minerals producer CMOC, also known as Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum, recorded a significant increase in tungsten and niobium production in the first half of the year compared to the same period last year.

The company produced 4,020 tons of metal equivalent tungsten between January and June, up from 3,813 tons a year earlier. This increase is attributed to a higher recycling rate of hard-to-process ores, according to the firm.

CMOC sold 3,994 tons of metal equivalent tungsten in the first half of the year, marking a 12% increase year-on-year.

In addition, the company produced 5,082 tons and sold 5,178 tons of metal equivalent ferro-niobium in the same period, representing year-on-year increases of 8% and 12%, respectively.

CMOC is the second-largest tungsten concentrate producer in China, following China Minmetals, and it also engages in the production and trading of molybdenum, copper, cobalt, and phosphate fertilizer.

CMOC Molybdenum Output Declines Slightly in 2024

CMOC

CMOC, also known as Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum and China Molybdenum, a diversified metals producer based in Henan, China, has reported a slight decrease in molybdenum production for 2024. The company produced 15,396 tonnes of molybdenum metal equivalent, a 2% reduction compared to the previous year. This decline is attributed to lower grades of original ore.

Exceeding Annual Target

Despite the year-on-year decrease, CMOC's 2024 molybdenum output still surpassed its internal target range of 12,000-15,000 tonnes metal equivalent. The company did not provide any details regarding molybdenum sales figures.

Chinese Firms Intensify Investments in Cu-Co Mining in the Democratic Republic of Congo

In a strategic maneuver to secure a steady supply of crucial resources, Chinese enterprises are significantly amplifying their investments in the copper-cobalt reserves of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). This initiative addresses China's limited cobalt resources and the enduringly strong copper market.

Leading the charge are prominent entities such as diversified metals producer CMOC, China Railways Resources, China Nonferrous Metal Mining, Norin Mining, Excellent Mining, and Huayou Cobalt. According to data compiled by Metalnomist, the DRC produced approximately 167,000 metric tons of cobalt feedstock in 2023, with Chinese mining companies contributing around 59% of this total output. Presently, Chinese investments account for over 62% of the DRC’s total cobalt reserves, a remarkable increase from roughly 25% in 2016. This proportion is anticipated to expand further following Norin Mining's acquisition of Dubai-based Chemaf Resources (CRL).

China’s dependency on imported cobalt, which constitutes nearly 99% of its primary feedstock, has propelled these extensive investments. The DRC remains the foremost supplier of cobalt feedstock to China, accounting for 84% of China's total imports in 2023, trailed by Indonesia (10%), Papua New Guinea (1.6%), and New Caledonia (1.5%).

This domestic resource shortfall has driven Chinese mining firms to intensify their investments in the DRC’s copper and cobalt assets over recent years. CMOC, a global titan in mining cobalt, copper, tungsten, molybdenum, and niobium with operations spanning China, the DRC, Australia, and Brazil, acquired a 56% stake in the Tenke Fungurume copper-cobalt mine (TFM) from US-based Freeport-McMoRan in 2016, later increasing its stake to 80% in 2017. Additionally, CMOC finalized its acquisition of the Kisanfu copper-cobalt mine (KFM) in December 2020.

With copper prices maintaining an upward trajectory since early this year, achieving new heights on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) and London Metals Exchange (LME) in mid-May, mining firms have been further incentivized to augment their investments in the DRC’s copper-cobalt mines.

Norin Mining's acquisition of CRL, which controls two copper-cobalt mines in the DRC, underscores this trend. Norin Mining Kingco, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Norin Mining, has entered into a share purchase agreement with CRL’s parent company Chemaf to acquire all of Chemaf's shares in CRL. The financial details of the transaction remain undisclosed, yet CRL anticipates completing the deal in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Nevertheless, the state mining company Gecamines has expressed opposition to the sale of Chemaf Resources, potentially delaying the acquisition process. A source familiar with the matter noted, "The acquisition is expected to be delayed for a while because of Gecamines' opposition, but it will probably be resolved later without significantly impacting the acquisition."

Chemaf SA is progressing with the expansion of the Etoile mine (Etoile phase 2) to process mixed and sulphide ore, alongside developing a new Mutoshi mine. Both projects, in advanced stages of development, have the potential to collectively produce over 75,000 metric tons of copper and 20,000 metric tons of cobalt hydroxide annually. These new ventures are expected to commence production in 2025, post-acquisition.

Cobalt Supply Glut May Persist for Two Years, Glencore Warns

The global cobalt market is expected to experience an oversupply lasting up to two years, following an announcement from mining giant Glencore that it will halt stockpiling and release its cobalt hydroxide into the market, industry sources told Metalnomist. Glencore CEO Gary Nagle confirmed during the company’s recent second-quarter results that the cessation of stockpiling means cobalt from its Katanga and Mutanda operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) will soon enter the market. The firm had been stockpiling since early 2023, but Nagle did not disclose the current stock levels.

"They are going to show more availability," one trader commented. "I don't think it's going to make a huge difference to anything; prices were going to come off further. Hydroxide prices could drift further down from where they are now."

In the first half of 2024, Glencore produced 15,900 metric tonnes of cobalt metal equivalent, a decrease of 5,800 tonnes from the same period in 2023. The company plans to increase production in the second half of the year.

"They'll see another 30,000 tonnes coming out of the African business," Glencore CFO Steve Kalmin noted. "That’s not just Katanga, it's also Mutanda as we look to increase throughput rates on both copper and cobalt in the second half."

Meanwhile, Glencore competitor China Molybdenum Co. (CMOC) produced 54,024 metric tonnes of cobalt metal equivalent from January to June, nearly tripling the 19,418 tonnes produced in the same period last year. This increase, driven by its Tenke Fungurume and newly developed Kisanfu mines in the DRC, has contributed to the ongoing supply glut that could persist for up to two years, according to Nagle.

As cobalt from Glencore and CMOC floods the market, prices across the cobalt complex are likely to continue their downward trend. Market participants believe that the high demand for copper, driven by electrification, will keep copper prices elevated, further contributing to the surplus of cobalt, which is often produced as a by-product.

"Copper is going to stay high for at least a few years," a trader told Metalnomist. "Some are predicting prices as high as $12,000 to $15,000 per tonne in the near term."

The continued oversupply of cobalt hydroxide, coupled with falling prices in the DRC, could result in further declines in cobalt metal prices. Metalnomist assessed European chemical grade metal prices at $11.90-$12.75 per pound yesterday, but lower prices are already being observed in the Chinese domestic market, with some traders reporting prices as low as $10.50 per pound.

"Single-figure metal is possible," one trader warned, "I don’t really want to see it."

IXM cobalt force majeure highlights DRC export ban risks

IXM cobalt

Switzerland-based IXM has declared force majeure on its cobalt deliveries from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The announcement follows the DRC government’s decision to extend its cobalt export ban until September. This IXM cobalt force majeure underscores the rising risks in global cobalt supply chains.

Export ban pressures cobalt markets

The DRC cobalt export ban, first enacted in February, was designed to stabilize prices amid oversupply. However, its extension has made it “legally and practically impossible” for IXM suppliers, including Tenke Fungurume Mining and Kisanfu Mining, to ship material. IXM, owned by China Molybdenum (CMOC), said it could no longer meet customer obligations. As a result, no forward deliveries are guaranteed.

Market uncertainty and supply chain risks

The IXM cobalt force majeure does not halt mining production but blocks exports, which could lead to significant stockpiling inside the DRC. Market participants warn that inventories of intermediate products could be exhausted by March if the ban continues. CMOC, the world’s largest cobalt producer, aims to deliver 100,000–120,000t of cobalt this year, but much of it may never reach international buyers.

IXM global head of refined metal Tom Mackay called for “responsibility and certainty” in addressing the ban, reflecting industry frustration over the lack of clarity. The IXM cobalt force majeure highlights the vulnerability of downstream industries — from EV battery makers to aerospace suppliers — to geopolitical and regulatory shocks in the DRC, which controls the bulk of global cobalt output.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The IXM cobalt force majeure represents a structural stress point in critical minerals supply chains. With the DRC holding overwhelming cobalt dominance, the extension of its export ban will likely intensify calls for diversification of supply sources and acceleration of recycling projects in North America, Europe, and Asia.

DRC Copper Output Growth Accelerates as Cobalt Exports Collapse

DRC Copper mining

DRC copper output growth strengthened in 2025 as major producers lifted volumes across the country. The Democratic Republic of Congo produced 3.4mn t of copper in 2025, up from 3.1mn t in 2024. That marks a 10pc annual increase. As a result, DRC copper output growth remains one of the most important supply stories in the global copper market.

This increase matters because the DRC is already one of the world’s key copper jurisdictions. Higher output from CMOC, Ivanhoe, and other major operators supported the national result. The country is becoming even more important to global copper supply. Therefore, DRC copper production 2025 confirms the DRC’s rising weight in the energy and industrial metals chain.

CMOC led the market last year. Its Tenke Fungurume mine produced 519,000t of copper, while Kisanfu added 228,000t. Kamoa-Kakula, the joint venture between Ivanhoe and Zijin, produced 400,000t. Consequently, DRC copper output growth is being driven by a concentrated group of very large operations.

DRC Copper Production 2025 Shows Strong Mine-Level Momentum

DRC copper production 2025 reflects strong mine-level performance from the country’s biggest operators. Large-scale projects continued to deliver higher volumes even as the market remained focused on geopolitical risk and resource nationalism. That gives the DRC a stronger position in global copper negotiations. As a result, copper is becoming an even more strategic pillar of the country’s mining economy.

This growth also improves the DRC’s relevance to western supply chains. Copper demand remains closely tied to electrification, grid buildout, and industrial investment. Countries and companies looking for large-scale copper supply cannot ignore the DRC. Therefore, DRC copper output growth is not only a mining statistic. It is a strategic supply-chain signal.

Congo Cobalt Export Ban Has Changed the Other Side of the Metals Story

Congo cobalt export ban created a very different picture for the country’s other key battery metal. Cobalt shipments fell by almost 80pc in 2025 because of the export restriction. The government imposed the ban after global oversupply drove cobalt prices to record lows. As a result, the DRC used policy intervention to support value rather than pure export volume.

This matters because the DRC remains the world’s largest cobalt producer. Cobalt is still important for electric vehicles and electronics, even as battery chemistry trends evolve. The government has since moved toward a quota system after the export ban. Therefore, Congo cobalt export ban shows that the DRC is willing to manage supply more actively when market conditions weaken.

The US-DRC minerals agreement adds another strategic layer. Officials said the December cooperation deal could improve investor confidence in minerals exploration. The agreement gives the United States preferential status to source critical minerals from the DRC and process them for global markets. Consequently, the DRC is trying to combine stronger copper growth with deeper geopolitical relevance.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The DRC now presents two very different metals stories at once. Copper is expanding through giant mines, while cobalt is being managed through policy restraint. That combination shows the country is no longer just a resource exporter. It is becoming a more active force in shaping how critical minerals reach the global market.

LME Copper Cathode Supply Could Rise as Chinese Smelters Push EQ Listings

Chinese Copper

LME copper cathode supply could increase as more Chinese smelters seek to register equivalent quality cathodes on the London Metal Exchange. The move reflects a push to capture higher premiums for material that is close to LME-registered brands in quality.

The near-term impact on LME copper cathode supply is likely to be limited. However, more registrations could gradually widen deliverable copper availability and give buyers more alternatives to traditional registered cathode brands.

Chinese smelters are targeting the premium gap between EQ cathode and fully registered material. African-origin registered copper usually earns a higher premium than EQ cathode, but it still trades below Chilean registered brands because many African cathodes are solvent-extraction and electrowinning products with slightly higher impurity levels.

DRC Cathode Listings Expand China-Linked LME Supply

The London Metal Exchange recently approved China Nonferrous Mining’s SMD copper cathode brand for listing. The brand is produced at the Deziwa project in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has copper cathode capacity of 80,000 t/yr.

The Deziwa project is jointly owned by CNMC and the DRC’s state-owned mining company. It hosts 4.6mn t of copper metal resources and 420,000t of cobalt metal resources, giving it strategic value across both copper and battery metal supply chains.

CNMC’s production profile also shows a shift toward more refined copper output. The group produced 130,232t of copper cathode in 2025, up 3% from a year earlier, while copper blister output fell by 33% to 192,266t.

The LME has also approved CMOC’s TFM 1 copper cathode brand for listing. That brand is produced at Tenke Fungurume in the DRC, reinforcing the country’s growing role in exchange-deliverable copper supply.

Premium Strategy Could Reshape Refined Copper Trade Flows

LME copper cathode supply strategy is becoming more important as Chinese-linked producers look to improve market access and price realisation. Listing cathode brands can improve buyer acceptance, increase liquidity and narrow discounts against established registered brands.

The DRC is already China’s largest source of copper cathode imports. China imported 1.44mn t of copper cathode from the DRC in 2025, equal to 37.6% of total imports.

More LME-approved DRC brands could change how buyers view African cathode. If quality, documentation and deliverability improve, some buyers may become less dependent on higher-premium registered material from other origins.

Still, the immediate effect should remain modest. LME registration does not automatically mean large volumes will flow onto warrant, but it does increase optionality for producers, traders and consumers in a market where brand status affects pricing power.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Chinese EQ cathode push shows that copper competition is moving into brand approval, deliverability and premium capture. The bigger implication is that DRC copper is becoming not only a Chinese import source, but a growing part of the LME-recognised refined copper system.

DRC Suspends Cobalt Exports for Four Months to Address Global Oversupply

DRC

Temporary Export Ban Aims to Support Falling Cobalt Prices

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), the world’s largest cobalt producer, will halt all cobalt exports for four months. The decision, announced by mineral markets regulator Arecoms, seeks to counter falling cobalt prices driven by global oversupply. The suspension will apply to all cobalt exported from the DRC, regardless of whether it is produced by industrial, semi-industrial, or artisanal mining.

Market Skepticism and Past Precedents

Cobalt prices have declined steadily since 2022, mainly due to significant production growth in the DRC. China’s CMOC, now a major global copper and cobalt producer, has notably expanded its operations. Despite the new ban, many market participants remain cautious. The DRC has previously announced export bans that were either not enforced or only partially implemented. For now, copper exports will continue as usual, making the effectiveness of the new ban uncertain.

Industry Reactions and Supply Chain Risks

Traders warn that such sudden policy changes damage the DRC’s reputation as a reliable cobalt source. Concentrated supply from one country has discouraged investment in alternative cobalt sources. Industry stakeholders say the unpredictability of export restrictions increases risk across the global battery and metals supply chain.

Quota System Likely for DRC Cobalt Export Restart Amid Rising Global Prices

DRC cobalt

Market Expects DRC to Shift From Export Ban to Cobalt Quotas

The Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to transition from a cobalt export ban to a quota-based system, as global prices rise and domestic revenues remain frozen. This policy shift is emerging as the most probable path forward, according to market participants attending the Cobalt Institute’s annual conference in Singapore.

The Focus Keyphrase "DRC cobalt export quotas" has become central to ongoing discussions. Since the DRC imposed a blanket cobalt export ban in February, cobalt hydroxide prices have nearly doubled. However, no royalties have flowed into the Congolese treasury, prompting calls for a more dynamic system that maintains pricing leverage while restoring revenue.

Traders suggest the decision is being driven directly by Kinshasa and the presidential office, not just Gecamines. The political goal appears to be the establishment of a long-term supply management system, similar to OPEC’s oil model, to prevent global oversupply and capture more value for the DRC.

Stockpiles Shrinking as Market Braces for Supply Squeeze

Despite record production by CMOC (30,000t) and Glencore (9,500t) in Q1, the export halt has created dislocation. Cobalt hydroxide stocks are building up within the DRC, while inventories outside the country are being depleted. Estimates put global stockpiles at 50,000–70,000t, but availability varies by holder and strategy.

Some traders are withholding shipments to capitalize on rising prices, while others warn of a looming shortage. By August, inventories in China could be critically low, leading to what one source described as a “crunch scenario” if no new material enters the pipeline.

The pressure is already visible in spot markets: Chinese hydroxide material trades at $15–16/lb, western standard at $17–18/lb, and alloy grade cobalt at $19–20/lb, depending on region and grade.

Export Enforcement Signals Shift to Strategic Resource Governance

The DRC’s export ban is being strictly enforced, with military-backed customs units now operating at Kasumbalesa, the country’s primary cobalt export route to Zambia. The sophisticated level of enforcement has convinced many in the market that a structured quota system is the inevitable next step.

Meanwhile, comparisons are being drawn with Indonesia’s nickel quota system, although differences in market structure mean the analogy is not perfect. Still, the strategic intent is clear: the DRC is asserting greater control over its cobalt exports to maximize pricing power and domestic benefit.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The move toward DRC cobalt export quotas reflects a broader trend: resource-rich nations are reclaiming leverage in critical mineral supply chains. As global cobalt demand grows, especially for EV batteries and aerospace alloys, market players must prepare for a more politically managed and price-sensitive landscape. The DRC’s emerging strategy could become a blueprint for other producers.

Copper Prices Plunge Amid Rising Inventories and Global Recession Fears

Copper prices have plummeted to a two-month low as rising global stockpiles and fears of an impending economic recession weigh heavily on the market. The London Metal Exchange (LME) three-month copper prices dropped to $8,714 per metric tonne on August 5, a significant decline from the record high of $11,104.50 per metric tonne reached on May 20. Similarly, the most traded September contracts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed at 71,390 yuan per tonne ($9,934/t) on August 7, down from a historical high of 88,940 yuan per tonne on May 20.

The decline in copper prices has been driven by a surge in global exchange copper stocks, which soared to a three-year high of 556,033 metric tonnes on August 2, up from 215,269 metric tonnes in December 2023. This increase is largely attributed to rapid output growth and subdued demand from China, the world’s largest consumer of copper.

Global refined copper production saw a 6% year-on-year increase from January to May, fueled by capacity expansions in China and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Chinese smelters alone added approximately 800,000 tonnes per year of new capacity, primarily in the second half of 2023. CMOC, a diversified metals and minerals producer, reported a doubling of copper production from its DRC operations to 313,400 tonnes during the first half of 2024.

Further production increases are anticipated as new projects come online in the latter half of the year. US-based mining giant Freeport McMoran recently completed the construction of its Manyar smelter in Indonesia, with a production capacity of 300,000 tonnes per year, set to begin copper cathode manufacturing soon. Additionally, Indonesia’s Amman Mineral Nusa Tenggara and China’s Jinchuan Group are expected to add significant capacity in the coming months.

Despite the surge in output, copper demand growth has lagged, particularly in China. Demand is projected to increase by only 2-3% this year, hindered by a 21.8% decline in the completion of new housing projects during the first half of the year. The power grid sector, China’s second-largest consumer of copper, has also seen moderate demand growth, with investments shifting toward aluminum-intensive ultra-high voltage grids.

Emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and solar photovoltaics have seen steady copper demand growth, but not enough to offset the slowdown in the real estate and power grid sectors. Market participants remain cautious about the overall outlook.

Macroeconomic concerns have further exacerbated the situation. Weaker-than-expected US employment data for July, coupled with declining manufacturing indices in both the US and China, have fueled fears of a global recession. The US Federal Reserve’s emergency meeting on August 5, following a collapse in Japan’s stock market, has added to the uncertainty.

However, some positive factors may support copper prices in the near term. A continued shortage of copper concentrate feedstock and the suspension of several Chinese secondary copper processors due to a tax rebate cancellation may lead to production cuts. Additionally, a strike at BHP’s Escondida copper mine in Chile could further tighten supply.

The rapid development of the artificial intelligence (AI) industry in the US is expected to drive copper demand in the grid system, particularly in states like Virginia, where commercial electricity demand has surged due to the growth of AI databases.

China’s Cobalt Prices Surge Amid DRC Feedstock Supply Suspension

DRC Cobalt

Extended Supply Halt from DRC Fuels Price Rally in Chinese Cobalt Market

Cobalt prices in China are set to continue their upward trend as supply disruptions from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) persist. Market participants anticipate that the rally will hold until the DRC government lifts its suspension on cobalt feedstock exports.

DRC Suspension Puts Pressure on Global Supply

Most traders expect Chinese cobalt metal prices to climb toward ¥300/kg under current supply conditions. “We may hit the ¥300/kg level soon,” said a Chinese trader. “But whether prices move beyond that will depend entirely on how long the DRC suspension continues.”

Despite stable production at DRC mines, the export restriction has reduced global feedstock availability. “If the suspension continues for four months, inventories outside the DRC could be exhausted,” warned a second source. Companies with lower inventory buffers may face serious operational risks.

China Relies Heavily on DRC for Cobalt Imports

China imported approximately 188,560 tonnes of cobalt metal equivalent in intermediate forms in 2024 — a 65% increase from 2023. Notably, 99% of these imports originated from the DRC. Key suppliers include CMOC and Glencore, which operate major copper-cobalt mines in the African nation.

As China remains the world’s largest cobalt refining hub, any prolonged supply disruption from the DRC could have far-reaching effects on the battery and electronics industries.