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Acute Tungsten Shortage Drives Record Prices Across Global Supply Chains

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Acute Tungsten Shortage Drives Record Prices Across Global Supply Chains
Tungsten

The acute tungsten shortage is pushing global tungsten prices to record highs in 2026. Supply remains extremely tight across concentrate, APT, and downstream products. Low inventories and restricted Chinese export licences are worsening the squeeze. As a result, the acute tungsten shortage is becoming one of the most severe specialty metals disruptions in the market.

The current problem starts at the raw material level. Global production of tungsten concentrates has declined, while available western supply remains far below demand. Market participants now describe an estimated shortfall of around 13,000t of contained tungsten in the western market. Therefore, the acute tungsten shortage is no longer a regional issue. It is a structural supply crisis.

Pricing shows how quickly the market has tightened. Tungsten concentrate prices in Rotterdam surged to record levels in late January. European APT prices also climbed sharply as concentrate costs and export restrictions combined. Consequently, global tungsten prices are rising across the entire value chain.

Chinese Supply Constraints Are Tightening the Tungsten Concentrate Shortage

Chinese supply constraints remain the core driver of the tungsten concentrate shortage. China produces about 80pc of global tungsten supply and still dominates export availability. However, domestic ore shortages have intensified after mine shutdowns and weak new project development. Meanwhile, China’s 2025 mining quota fell from the previous year.

Trade data reinforces that tightening pattern. Chinese exports of tungsten concentrate declined sharply in 2025, while Chinese imports rose strongly. That means even China is pulling in more raw material to support its own processing base. As a result, less material is reaching overseas buyers.

APT export licences have added another bottleneck. Western customers may secure limited licences, but actual shipment still depends on concentrate availability. That creates a second layer of uncertainty on top of already weak feedstock supply. Therefore, the tungsten concentrate shortage is now feeding directly into delayed APT deliveries and higher prices.

Consumers are also paying much more for feedstock. Payables for concentrate have risen sharply as buyers compete for scarce supply. That shift reflects a market where sellers hold stronger leverage and buyers have fewer alternatives. Consequently, procurement conditions are becoming more difficult even for experienced consumers.

Japan and Europe Face Growing Pressure as Recycling Lags Demand

Japan and Europe are now feeling the full pressure of the acute tungsten shortage. Europe faces critically tight APT availability because it depends heavily on Chinese supply and licensing. Japan faces similar pressure after new Chinese restrictions on dual-use exports added more uncertainty. Therefore, both regions are competing harder for a smaller pool of material.

Japan’s position is especially sensitive. The country has no domestic tungsten mining base and depends heavily on imported tungsten products. Buyers are now seeking tungsten-containing scrap, but that market is also tight. As a result, recycling cannot yet solve the immediate supply problem.

Recycling capacity may grow, but it will take time. Japan is expanding tungsten recycling capability in response to lower Chinese exports. However, significant new output will not arrive quickly. Meanwhile, downstream consumers still need metal today, not years from now.

This means the market will likely remain strained for some time. Concentrate shortages, limited export licences, and weak scrap availability are all reinforcing one another. Therefore, the acute tungsten shortage is likely to keep global tungsten prices elevated unless primary supply improves materially.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Tungsten is now showing how vulnerable specialty metal supply chains become when one country dominates both mining and exports. This market is not just tight. It is structurally exposed. Unless new western supply or faster recycling emerges, tungsten buyers may face prolonged price pressure and continued allocation risk.

Tungsten Offtake Deal Strengthens EQ Resources’ Role in Tight Western Supply Chains

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Tungsten Offtake Deal Strengthens EQ Resources’ Role in Tight Western Supply Chains
EQ Resources

Tungsten offtake deal activity is accelerating as Western buyers seek secure supply in a market facing concentrate shortages and sharp price increases. EQ Resources binding agreement with Traxys highlights how tungsten has moved from a niche industrial metal into a strategic supply-chain concern for Europe, North America, and advanced manufacturing sectors.

The Australian producer will sell 3,500 t/yr of tungsten oxide in concentrate to Traxys for five years. Pricing will follow ammonium paratungstate indexes, giving the agreement direct exposure to a market that has rallied sharply over the past year. EQ Resources estimates the deal at A$678mn, or about $479mn.

The tungsten offtake deal also includes a €15mn prepayment that will support refinancing of EQR’s Saloro mining complex in Spain. This matters because European tungsten supply has become increasingly important as buyers face limited concentrate availability and rising concerns over Chinese export restrictions on downstream tungsten products.

Traxys Agreement Supports Saloro Financing and Market Access

The Traxys agreement gives EQ Resources a stronger commercial platform for its tungsten output. Offtake deals are especially important in tight specialty metal markets because they can support financing, improve customer visibility, and reduce marketing risk for producers.

Saloro remains a key asset in this strategy. The Spanish operation gives EQR exposure to European tungsten production at a time when the region is trying to strengthen local and allied supply chains. However, Saloro’s production fell by 13pc year on year in July-September because of declining ore grades, showing that asset optimisation remains critical.

EQR used the quarter to improve ore processing and concentrator plants at Saloro. These upgrades are important because tungsten concentrate supply is not only about mine ownership. It also depends on recovery performance, grade management, processing efficiency, and the ability to deliver consistent concentrate quality into long-term contracts.

Tungsten Price Rally Raises Strategic Value of Concentrate Supply

The tungsten offtake deal comes during an exceptional rally in ammonium paratungstate prices. Super Metal Price assessed tungsten APT at $1,700–1,900/mtu in-warehouse Rotterdam, up by about 390pc from a year earlier. That surge reflects a critical shortage of tungsten concentrates in Europe and tighter availability of downstream tungsten products.

Chinese export restrictions have added pressure to the market. Tungsten is essential for cutting tools, hard metals, defence systems, mining equipment, aerospace components, and high-temperature industrial applications. Any disruption in concentrate or intermediate product availability can quickly affect manufacturing supply chains.

EQR has already built a wider offtake base. The company previously agreed to supply tungsten concentrate to Asian, North American, and European producers, and also signed a five-year offtake deal with US producer Elmet Technologies. The Traxys agreement strengthens that pattern and reinforces EQ Resources’ position as a relevant non-Chinese tungsten supplier.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Tungsten is becoming a clear example of how specialty metals can move from overlooked inputs to strategic bottlenecks. The Traxys-EQR deal shows that secure concentrate access, financing, and processing reliability now matter as much as headline mine capacity.

Trinity Tungsten Drilling Campaign Targets Larger Rwanda Supply Base

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Trinity Tungsten Drilling Campaign Targets Larger Rwanda Supply Base
Trinity, Rwanda

Trinity tungsten drilling has begun at the Nyakabingo mine in Rwanda as the company works to expand one of Africa’s largest tungsten deposits. The campaign is designed to confirm deeper mineralised vein extensions and support long-term mine sustainability.

Trinity tungsten drilling is strategically important because tungsten supply is increasingly tied to defence, aerospace, cutting tools, electronics and energy applications. Rwanda’s role could grow if Nyakabingo moves from semi-industrial production toward full-scale operations.

Trinity tungsten drilling will target depths of about 850m from the surface. The company may consider additional exploration across the licensed area depending on drilling results.

Nyakabingo currently produces 100-110 t/month of wolframite grading 66-70% tungsten. The deposit hosts an estimated 115,502t of recoverable tungsten, with further resource potential at depth.

Nyakabingo Expansion Strengthens African Tungsten Supply

Nyakabingo has been active since the 1930s, making it a long-established tungsten operation with renewed strategic relevance. The current drilling campaign aims to extend the mine’s resource base and support future output growth.

This matters because tungsten supply chains remain narrow and strategically sensitive. Buyers in defence and advanced manufacturing need stable, traceable and qualified sources of tungsten-bearing material.

Trinity is expanding resources while scaling mining and processing capacity. That combination is important because additional reserves only create supply value if mining and processing systems can handle higher output.

The company is also positioning itself for downstream value addition. This reflects a wider shift in critical minerals, where producing countries and miners increasingly want to capture more value beyond raw concentrate.

Rwanda could benefit from that trend. Tin, tungsten and tantalum are all strategically important minerals, and Trinity’s operations give the country a stronger role in supply chains linked to electronics, industrial tools and defence materials.

Wolframite Processing Upgrade Reduces Scale-Up Risk

Trinity recently commissioned a 5 t/hr pilot plant to test an improved wolframite processing flowsheet. The pilot plant is intended to bridge the gap toward a planned 60 t/hr facility under study.

This step is commercially important. Processing performance will determine recovery, concentrate quality, operating costs and the ability to scale output reliably.

The company also installed a closed-loop water treatment system. That supports environmental management and could help improve operating resilience as mining and processing expand.

Trinity has an offtake agreement with US-based Global Tungsten & Powders, while Traxys handles deliveries. This gives the company an established route into international tungsten markets.

The offtake structure also links Rwanda’s tungsten output to western supply-chain security. Global Tungsten & Powders is a key downstream player, and its relationship with Trinity gives Nyakabingo additional strategic relevance.

Trinity’s broader portfolio includes tin and tantalum production from the Rutongo and Musha mines. Rutongo produces 40-70 t/month of tin, while Musha produces 30-40 t/month.

The expansion at Nyakabingo therefore fits a larger critical minerals platform. Trinity is not only developing tungsten. It is building a tin, tungsten and tantalum supply base with growing relevance to electronics, defence and industrial manufacturing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Trinity’s drilling campaign shows that African tungsten supply could become more important as western buyers seek diversified sources. The real test will be whether Nyakabingo can convert deeper resources and pilot processing into reliable full-scale output.

Japan Tungsten Plant to Cut Sumitomo Electric’s Reliance on China

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Japan Tungsten Plant to Cut Sumitomo Electric’s Reliance on China
Sumitomo Electric

Japan tungsten plant investment by Sumitomo Electric Industries will expand domestic tungsten powder capacity and strengthen Japan’s critical mineral supply chain. The company plans to build a new facility in Toyama city with about ¥15.9bn, or $100mn, in investment.

The new plant will be operated by group company Allied Material and is scheduled to start operations in the first half of fiscal 2028. Sumitomo Electric said the project will expand its tungsten supply capacity by around 50%.

Japan tungsten plant development matters because tungsten is essential for cemented carbide cutting tools, semiconductors, electronic components and advanced industrial manufacturing. The investment also reflects Tokyo’s wider effort to reduce exposure to China-dominated critical material supply chains.

Tungsten Powder Capacity Supports High-End Manufacturing

The Toyama facility will expand production capacity for tungsten powder near Sumitomo Electric’s existing plant. The company has not yet disclosed the precise capacity of the new line.

Tungsten powder is a key input for cemented carbide tools used in metal cutting and precision machining. These tools support automotive, aerospace, electronics, machinery and industrial equipment production.

The material also has strategic relevance in semiconductors and electronic components. This makes tungsten more than a tooling metal; it is part of the materials base behind advanced manufacturing and technology supply chains.

Japan Backs Domestic Recycling and Supply Security

The Japanese government will cover about ¥7.5bn of the investment through a subsidy aimed at securing critical mineral supply chains. This public support shows that tungsten is now treated as a strategic industrial material.

Global tungsten supply remains heavily dependent on China. Sumitomo Electric said it currently relies on China for about 30% of its tungsten imports.

The new Japan tungsten plant will help the company strengthen its domestic recycling system and gradually reduce that dependence. Recycling will be especially important because secondary tungsten can improve supply resilience without relying only on new mined material.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Sumitomo Electric’s investment shows that tungsten security is becoming a manufacturing competitiveness issue. Japan is not only adding capacity; it is building a recycling-backed buffer for cutting tools, semiconductors and advanced components.

ReElement tungsten deal deepens US–Uzbek strategic metals ties

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ReElement tungsten deal deepens US–Uzbek strategic metals ties
Tungsten

The ReElement tungsten deal creates a new supply route for high-purity tungsten into the US market. Under the agreement, American Resources (AREC) will source tungsten concentrate from Uzbek miner TMK for refining by ReElement and other US processors. This structure supports US efforts to secure critical minerals outside traditional supply hubs.

The partnership positions the ReElement tungsten deal at the intersection of upstream mining and advanced refining technologies. TMK will provide concentrate while ReElement applies its refining capabilities to deliver high-purity tungsten products. As a result, US manufacturers in aerospace, defense, energy and hard-metal tooling gain an alternative source for one of the most strategic refractory metals.

Critically, the ReElement tungsten deal aligns with broader US policy to diversify supply chains. Tungsten remains vital for armor-piercing munitions, cutting tools and high-temperature alloys. Therefore, long-term, multi-party collaborations like this one can reduce exposure to geopolitical risk and price shocks in tungsten markets.

Beyond tungsten: pathway to germanium, lithium and rare earths

The agreement also lays groundwork for future cooperation in germanium, lithium and rare earth elements. ReElement has signalled that the ReElement tungsten deal is only the first step in a wider strategic partnership with TMK and Uzbekistan. This could eventually extend into a multi-metal platform for critical minerals.

Germanium and rare earth elements are central to semiconductors, optics and permanent magnets, while lithium underpins global battery supply chains. By starting with tungsten and then expanding scope, the parties can test logistics, quality and financing frameworks before scaling into other sensitive metals. As a result, this phased approach lowers execution risk while still supporting long-term diversification goals.

Uzbekistan trade deal provides political and financial tailwind

The ReElement tungsten deal also benefits from a supportive diplomatic backdrop. The US and Uzbekistan recently signed a broader trade and economic agreement, under which Tashkent plans to invest and purchase around $35bn in key US sectors over three years. This political framework should ease regulatory processes and encourage additional capital flows into mining and refining projects.

For Uzbekistan, TMK’s partnership with ReElement and AREC showcases its ambition to move deeper into global critical minerals supply chains. Meanwhile, US stakeholders gain access to new Central Asian resources without fully depending on legacy suppliers. If successfully implemented, the partnership could become a model for similar deal structures across other critical minerals.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This agreement illustrates how mid-tier refiners like ReElement are becoming pivotal in rewiring critical mineral supply chains. Starting with tungsten, the partnership could mature into a broader multi-metal bridge between US technology sectors and Central Asian resources. Market participants should watch how quickly the parties move from concentrate shipments to scalable, multi-metal offtake platforms.

GTP Tungsten Oxide Stockpile Expansion Strengthens US Defense Supply

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GTP Tungsten Oxide Stockpile Expansion Strengthens US Defense Supply
GTP Tungsten & Powders

GTP tungsten oxide stockpile plans will expand US access to one of the most strategically sensitive defense metals. Global Tungsten and Powders plans to raise tungsten oxide production capacity at its Towanda, Pennsylvania, plant to about 12,000 t/yr.

The GTP tungsten oxide stockpile will support US defense and critical industries, with initial deliveries expected later this year. The company did not disclose the exact volume dedicated to the reserve.

The GTP tungsten oxide stockpile is significant because tungsten is essential for armour-piercing ammunition, aircraft engine components, electronics, hard metals and other high-performance applications. Defence currently accounts for about 10% of global tungsten demand, but that share is rising as military budgets expand.

GTP, part of Austria’s Plansee group, already has around 10,000 t/yr of tungsten oxide capacity, although output can vary by about 15% depending on operating conditions. The planned expansion would give the US a stronger domestic platform for strategic tungsten oxide supply.

Recycling-Based Supply Supports Traceability and Security

The stockpile will use tungsten oxide sourced from recycled scrap and concentrates. This structure is important because US strategic materials procurement increasingly requires clear sourcing, traceability and supply-chain security.

Recycling is already central to GTP’s Towanda operation. Recycled material accounted for the majority of supply in 2025, when the plant recorded a recycling rate of 90%.

This gives the project a stronger compliance profile. Tungsten supply chains are exposed to geopolitical risk, concentrated processing and origin scrutiny, so recycled feedstock can help reduce dependence on higher-risk primary sources.

Tungsten recycling also supports industrial resilience. Scrap recovery can preserve valuable metal units inside the US system while reducing exposure to foreign concentrate availability.

For defense users, the key requirement is not only tonnage. They need reliable, traceable and qualified material that can be converted into powders, carbides, alloys and components without supply interruption.

The Towanda expansion therefore addresses a strategic gap. It does not only increase tungsten oxide capacity; it creates a more controlled domestic reserve tied to recycled and traceable inputs.

Stockpiling Moves From Emergency Buffer to Industrial Tool

Plansee US Holding has formed a joint venture with Manhattan Five to establish the stockpile. Manhattan Five will oversee warehousing, logistics and long-term asset management, while Plansee will lead production growth and supply.

The structure separates metal production from storage and asset management. That distinction matters because strategic stockpiles require more than buying material. They need inventory systems, logistics, inspection, rotation policies and long-term custody control.

The Defense Logistics Agency manages strategic and critical material procurement for the National Defense Stockpile. This system supports military and federal customers that need access to critical materials during supply disruptions.

The GTP project aligns with broader US priorities and could qualify for support from the Department of Defense, Department of Energy or the Export-Import Bank of the United States.

Washington is also preparing Project Vault, a proposed $12bn critical minerals stockpile for US manufacturers. The programme would be funded by $2bn in private capital and a loan.

The broader policy direction is clear. The US is moving from passive dependence on global tungsten markets toward active supply-chain positioning through stockpiles, domestic processing, recycling and public-private financing.

For tungsten markets, this could tighten competition for clean feedstock, especially recycled scrap and compliant concentrates. It may also raise the strategic value of processors that can meet US sourcing and traceability rules.

The Metalnomist Commentary

GTP’s tungsten oxide expansion shows that US stockpiling is becoming more industrially sophisticated. The strategic advantage will come not from holding material alone, but from linking stockpiles to recycling, domestic processing and qualified defense supply chains.

China’s policies are reshaping the global tungsten market

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China’s policies are reshaping the global tungsten market
International Tungsten Industry Association

China’s tightening controls are fundamentally reshaping the global tungsten market and forcing buyers to rethink supply strategies. The global tungsten market now faces record prices, acute shortages outside China and rising geopolitical risk. As a result, investors and consumers across the global tungsten market are reassessing where to source and where to deploy capital.

China’s export controls on ammonium paratungstate (APT) and tungsten trioxide have sharply reduced export availability. At the same time, China’s surging appetite for tungsten concentrates has deepened shortages in Europe and other consuming regions. Therefore, tungsten prices have climbed to record levels in both APT and concentrate markets.

Meanwhile, import data show that China has become an aggressive buyer of concentrates, with first-half 2025 imports up 75pc year on year. This shift has pushed European and Japanese buyers to pursue alternative strategies, including buying concentrates instead of APT and intensifying recycling and non-Chinese partnerships.

Supply shock exposes vulnerabilities in the global tungsten market

China accounts for roughly 80pc of global APT supply and is now exporting far less material. Since Beijing expanded its export licence regime in February, APT exports dropped by 42pc in January-June 2025 versus a year earlier. Similarly, exports of tungsten trioxide fell by 76pc, leaving European consumers scrambling for units.

As a result, European APT prices have surged to fresh highs of $580–645/mtu duty unpaid Rotterdam. This represents a roughly 20pc increase since the start of the year and a jump from $550–600/mtu only days earlier. European tungsten concentrate prices have followed, rising to $500–520/dmtu in-warehouse Rotterdam, up nearly 30pc year on year.

Consequently, downstream consumers and midstream processors are re-engineering their sourcing models. Buyers are shifting from APT to concentrates where possible and are strengthening ties with alternative suppliers such as Vietnam. Meanwhile, Japanese buyers are boosting recycling rates and deepening co-operation with smelters in Germany and the US to reduce exposure to China.

However, traders find themselves squeezed as limited material flows directly to end users. Many trading houses are sidelined in spot activity and instead look to position themselves with long-term strategies and optionality. This structural shift underlines how fragile and concentrated current tungsten supply chains remain.

Uncertain outlook complicates investment in non-Chinese tungsten projects

On paper, today’s high prices and tightness strongly support new western tungsten projects. Yet equity and debt investors remain wary about whether current conditions in the global tungsten market are durable. Many tungsten mining projects are years from production, and investors fear that a shift in Chinese policy could quickly loosen fundamentals.

Geopolitics further clouds the investment case. The evolving US-China trade conflict and Europe’s position “in the middle” both influence tungsten flows but do not offer clear long-term signals. The US is accelerating efforts to secure domestic supply and support new mines, while Europe is also expected to attract investment as it seeks strategic autonomy. Still, long-term policy direction remains uncertain.

At the same time, Chinese producers stress that tightness reflects genuine domestic demand, not a short-term export tactic. China’s industrial strategy has moved from low-cost manufacturing toward high-value sectors such as photovoltaics. Forecasts suggest tungsten-wire demand from the PV sector could grow 40–50pc annually over the next five years, requiring around 8,000t of tungsten by 2027.

Therefore, it appears unlikely that China will import large volumes of concentrates only to flood European markets later. While China clearly has the ability to do so, conference participants see that scenario as implausible given the strength of its internal consumption. For now, the base case is high but stabilising prices, with the next few months likely to shape long-term procurement and investment decisions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s gradual pivot from “world’s tungsten factory” to voracious downstream consumer is forcing a structural repricing of risk. For miners and financiers outside China, the challenge is to move before the window closes, yet not overbuild into a market still governed by Beijing’s policy choices. Buyers who secure diversified, traceable tungsten supply now may find that this period of pain ultimately buys them strategic resilience.

Pioneer Minerals Springfield Tungsten Project Targets US Critical Minerals Supply

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Pioneer Minerals Springfield Tungsten Project Targets US Critical Minerals Supply
Pioneer Minerals

Pioneer Minerals Springfield tungsten project development has advanced after the Australian critical minerals explorer signed a non-binding MOU with Mineral Technologies to assess tungsten processing in Idaho. The agreement will evaluate whether tungsten concentrate can be commercially produced from ore and tailings at the site.

The Pioneer Minerals Springfield tungsten project could offer a near-term staged pathway to production if processing tests confirm viable recovery. The work will focus on technical programmes designed to assess mineral processing, concentrate quality and project development potential.

The Pioneer Minerals Springfield tungsten project is strategically relevant because US tungsten supply has tightened following Chinese export controls introduced in February 2025. Tungsten remains essential for defense, aerospace, electronics, cutting tools, hard metals and other high-performance industrial applications.

Tungsten Processing Tests Could Unlock Ore and Tailings Value

Pioneer Minerals and Mineral Technologies will assess the feasibility of producing tungsten concentrate from both ore and tailings at Springfield. This approach could improve project economics by recovering value from previously mined or stockpiled material.

Tailings recovery is especially important in critical minerals because it can reduce development timelines, lower mining intensity and make use of material already available at the site. If successful, it could support a faster route to domestic tungsten supply than a conventional greenfield mine.

The companies will also evaluate gallium mineralisation and potential recovery at the site. Gallium adds strategic value because it is used in semiconductors, optics, defense systems and advanced electronics, while non-China supply remains limited.

China Controls Raise US Tungsten Security Concerns

China remains the dominant tungsten producer, accounting for about 79% of global mined output in 2025. Its export controls, combined with declining ore grades, have increased pressure on US supply chains.

The US Geological Survey has identified tungsten as essential for economic and national security, and the metal remains on the US critical minerals list. This status could strengthen the case for government support as Pioneer prepares funding applications for domestic critical mineral production.

Pioneer’s plan fits Washington’s broader effort to rebuild critical minerals capacity through mining, processing, recycling and advanced materials projects. The main challenge will be converting technical studies into a reliable concentrate supply route that can meet industrial and defense specifications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Pioneer’s Springfield project shows how tungsten security is becoming a processing and recovery challenge, not only a mining issue. If ore, tailings and gallium recovery can be integrated, the site could become a small but strategically useful addition to the US critical minerals chain.

China Tungsten Exports Resume in Europe with Limited Volumes

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China Tungsten Exports Resume in Europe with Limited Volumes
China Tungsten

China tungsten exports restarted in European markets for the first time since February stoppages, though shipment volumes remain constrained at maximum 1 tonne per delivery. The resumption of China tungsten exports follows months of supply disruption caused by Chinese export controls announced February 4th, creating acute shortages for US and European buyers dependent on tungsten ingots for defense and industrial applications.

Small-Scale Shipments Signal Cautious Market Re-entry

China tungsten exports currently originate primarily from smaller state-owned manufacturers rather than major producers. Market sources report receiving new shipments in Rotterdam while additional material remains in transit to European destinations. However, volumes stay extremely limited compared to pre-control periods, reflecting continued regulatory uncertainty and cautious export policies from Chinese suppliers.

Meanwhile, delivery timelines extend significantly with current orders potentially shipping in July for immediate purchases. Traders quote current prices at $56 per kilogram on a cost-insurance-freight basis, representing substantial increases from historical levels. The extended lead times demonstrate supply chain disruptions that persist despite the resumption of limited export activities.

Export Controls Create Ongoing Market Uncertainty

However, tungsten metal products face complex regulatory environments despite not appearing on initial dual-use licensing lists. While other tungsten products required explicit export licenses from February 4th, tungsten ingots experienced de facto export halts through administrative restrictions. This regulatory ambiguity creates persistent uncertainty for international buyers seeking reliable supply sources.

Therefore, US and European buyers continue struggling to secure sufficient alternative tungsten sources outside Chinese production. The global tungsten market's dependence on Chinese suppliers becomes evident through months of supply shortages following export control implementation. Alternative sourcing efforts prove inadequate for meeting industrial demand requirements across defense and manufacturing sectors.

Tight European Market Maintains Price Pressure

Furthermore, European tungsten markets remain extremely tight with minimal warehouse inventory available for immediate delivery. Limited stock levels mean small resumptions in Chinese exports cannot immediately relieve price pressures or supply constraints. Market participants describe conditions as "total lottery" scenarios where securing tungsten ingots depends largely on timing and supplier relationships.

As a result, prompt tungsten prices maintain elevated levels despite the resumption of small-scale Chinese shipments. The constrained supply environment supports premium pricing while buyers compete for limited available material. Industrial consumers face continued procurement challenges that affect production planning and cost structures across tungsten-dependent manufacturing sectors.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China's limited tungsten export resumption highlights the persistent vulnerability of global supply chains dependent on single-source suppliers for critical materials, particularly when geopolitical tensions influence trade policies. The constrained volumes and regulatory uncertainty demonstrate how export controls can fundamentally reshape commodity markets, forcing Western buyers to reassess supply security strategies for defense-critical materials like tungsten.

OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains faces a new conflict test

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OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains faces a new conflict test
ITSCI

OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains is under fresh pressure as conflict reshapes tantalum sourcing from central Africa. ITSCI warns that OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains cannot deliver mine-by-mine disclosure once material is smelted. However, the group argues that OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains should mean deeper engagement with upstream schemes, not blanket disengagement.

OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains has hard technical limits

OEMs increasingly ask which specific mine sits behind each component in their products. ITSCI stresses this is technically impossible after smelting. Smelters can receive ore from any of 3,000 ITSCI-monitored mine sites across the Great Lakes Region.

Through ITSCI, smelters know the precise mine origin of incoming tagged consignments. However, smelters routinely blend those inputs with concentrates from other countries. Once material is smelted, minerals lose mine-level identity and cannot be traced back. Therefore, OEM expectations of exact mine mapping at product level do not match process realities.

Instead, ITSCI says OEMs should plug into programme data on monitored mines, local context and production trends. Yet only seven downstream companies are associate members today. As a result, governance influence and feedback from the largest electronics and auto brands remains limited.

Disengagement from Great Lakes 3T supply hits conflict regions and buyers

Some OEMs, including Apple, have told suppliers to stop sourcing tantalum from DRC and Rwanda. They fear any link to non-state armed groups in contested mining areas. However, ITSCI argues that exiting these regions should be reserved for last-resort situations. Responsible sourcing from the Great Lakes Region remains possible under robust due diligence and monitoring.

The DRC is a major producer of tantalum, tungsten and tin concentrates, the so-called 3T conflict minerals. Tantalum feeds capacitor powders used in data centres, EVs, notebooks and wearables. Therefore, blanket withdrawal from the region risks shrinking legal supply just as demand for advanced electronics grows.

Meanwhile, China has consolidated its position as the largest buyer of central African tantalum and niobium concentrates. Chinese imports from Rwanda and DRC edged higher year on year in January–July. At the same time, many DRC mine sites fell under M23 control and can no longer be independently monitored. This combination of conflict, opaque trade flows and limited OEM engagement heightens systemic ESG risk.

The Metalnomist Commentary

ITSCI’s message is blunt: perfect mine-level transparency is impossible, but better OEM upstream traceability in 3T supply chains is not. Brands that simply walk away from DRC and Rwanda may reduce headline risk, yet they also cede influence to buyers less concerned with ESG. The real test will be whether more OEMs join and fund upstream schemes, using their leverage to improve conditions rather than abandon challenging regions.

Tungsten West Requires $93M to Restart Hemerdon Mine Amid Supply Crunch

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Tungsten West Requires $93M to Restart Hemerdon Mine Amid Supply Crunch
Tungsten West

UK Miner Seeks Financing as Global Tungsten Prices Surge

Tungsten West requires $93M to restart Hemerdon mine, targeting a 2026 relaunch amid tightening global tungsten supplies. The UK-based company detailed its plans to recommence production at the Hemerdon site in Devon, home to the world’s third-largest tungsten deposit. The total estimated cost excludes financing charges, with the company aiming to secure funding by the end of 2025.

Tungsten West is currently in talks with government-backed agencies in the UK, US, and EU, alongside specialist mining investors, tungsten intermediaries, and end-users. The mine is projected to produce 332,000 metric tonne units (mtu) of tungsten trioxide and 462 tonnes of tin annually over an initial 11-year span, with an additional four years of processing stockpiled material. Although the project was originally slated to restart in 2021, inflation and permitting delays pushed the timeline back.

Supply Shortages and Chinese Export Restrictions Drive Urgency

The decision comes amid tightening global tungsten supply, with prices sharply rising in response to falling inventories and limited Chinese exports. Since February, Beijing has expanded export licence requirements, further restricting global access to tungsten. As a result, European tungsten concentrate prices surged this week to $330–350/dmtu, up over 30% from January’s $260–270/dmtu levels—marking the highest since the benchmark’s inception in 2017.

Meanwhile, European APT prices climbed to $410–430/dmtu, with critically low stockpiles exacerbating upward pressure. As Tungsten West requires $93M to restart Hemerdon mine, the company positions itself as a vital alternative source for downstream consumers increasingly exposed to price volatility and supply chain risk.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Tungsten West’s financing push is timely and strategically critical. With China tightening control over exports and European inventories dwindling, the Hemerdon mine could become a cornerstone in rebalancing Western tungsten supply chains—if capital is secured before market constraints worsen.

EU Tungsten Prices Surge Amid Tight Supply and China Export Controls

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EU Tungsten Prices Surge Amid Tight Supply and China Export Controls
EU Tungsten Scrap

Export Restrictions and Low Inventories Drive Up Tungsten Prices in Europe

European tungsten prices have surged to multi-year highs due to restricted supply, dwindling inventories, and newly imposed Chinese export controls. The Focus Keyphrase "EU tungsten prices" has gained attention from global buyers navigating a market reshaped by policy shifts and geopolitical uncertainty.

European tungsten concentrate prices are now $310–320/dmtu in Rotterdam warehouses, up from $260–270/dmtu in early January — the highest level since the index’s launch in 2017. This price rally stems from low inventories and tightening global supply, particularly as China has lowered its tungsten mining quota and extended export licensing to include more products.

Western Buyers Lock in Long-Term Contracts Amid Risk

Western buyers are responding to this supply disruption by securing multi-year offtake deals. According to Australia-based producer EQ Resources, these contracts often include large prepayments to hedge against delays in Chinese export licence approvals.

Meanwhile, the defense sector's growing demand for tungsten is driving further contract activity. Almonty Industries, for instance, has signed a multi-year agreement to supply tungsten oxide to U.S.-based TPW for military applications. These agreements underscore the metal's strategic importance and the urgency among buyers to secure long-term supply.

However, some traders question how long the upward momentum can last. While markets like Vietnam remain willing to pay premium prices, others find current rates difficult to accept.

APT Prices Rise as Chinese Controls Disrupt Market

The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT), a key tungsten intermediate, has also spiked. European APT prices now range between $395–405/dmtu, a 20% increase since January and the highest since 2013. China’s restrictions have further worsened European availability, leading to extremely low warehouse stock levels.

As a workaround, some buyers have started importing ammonium tungstate (ATM), which is not currently subject to export controls. Although ATM cannot be converted into oxide, it is usable in limited applications. Industry sources caution that ATM could be restricted if the trade environment worsens.

Adding to the cost pressure, concentrate payables have jumped to 80–85% of APT price, up from the typical 70%, reflecting the sharp increase in feedstock costs.

The Metalnomist Commentary

EU tungsten prices are being reshaped not just by market forces, but by geopolitics. With China tightening control over its critical minerals, Western buyers are being pushed into a new era of strategic procurement. As APT and concentrate prices continue to climb, Europe’s reliance on Chinese tungsten remains a vulnerability — one that may prompt diversification strategies and renewed investment in local supply chains.

Almonty Tungsten Oxide Supply for US Defense Strengthens Critical Mineral Chain

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Almonty Tungsten Oxide Supply for US Defense Strengthens Critical Mineral Chain
Tungsten Parts Wyoming

Strategic Agreement Secures Domestic Defense Supply

Almonty Industries has signed a binding deal to supply tungsten oxide for US defense programs through Tungsten Parts Wyoming (TPW). The agreement ensures a monthly minimum of 40t of tungsten oxide for three years, reinforcing North America's critical mineral security. The agreement includes a hard price floor and automatic annual renewal, though pricing details remain undisclosed.

Multi-National Processing and Supply Chain

TPW will send the tungsten oxide to Metal Tech, an Israeli processor, for conversion into tungsten metal powder. Processing will occur in Israel or the US, after which the powder will feed into TPW’s products used in US military programs. These include tungsten super shot, blasting media, and specialized components for defense-grade applications.

Sandong Mine to Anchor Long-Term Supply

Tungsten oxide deliveries will begin once Almonty launches commercial-scale output from its Sandong mine in South Korea. The mine targets 2.3mn t/yr of oxide in its first phase, with nearly half committed to US-based Global Tungsten & Powders. Almonty also signed an offtake agreement with South Korea’s SeAH for all molybdenum output from the same project.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This deal marks a critical step toward onshoring and diversifying tungsten supply chains for US defense. As geopolitical risks mount, multi-national processing and guaranteed offtakes offer essential redundancy and resilience.

USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement targets defence and technology supply chains

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USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement targets defence and technology supply chains
US Strategic Metals(USSM)

USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement signals a new defence and technology supply partnership between Washington and Islamabad. The agreement links US Strategic Metals with Pakistan's Frontier Works Organisation on critical minerals production and processing. The USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement targets defence, aerospace and technology supply chains that require secure mineral inputs. As a result, both partners hope to accelerate investment into Pakistan’s emerging polymetallic resources.

Polymetallic refinery anchors USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement

The planned polymetallic refinery sits at the heart of the USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement. The partners plan a $500mn investment to design, build and operate the facility in Pakistan. Therefore, the refinery will develop and process multiple critical minerals for export and domestic use. This integrated approach can improve recovery rates and reduce logistics costs across antimony, copper, tungsten and rare earth streams.

The USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement directly targets defence and aerospace buyers seeking non Chinese supply options. Pakistan can leverage its geology and strategic location to serve US and allied markets. However, project success will require clear permitting processes and strong community engagement on environmental issues. Investors will also watch governance standards closely, given the involvement of a military engineering organisation.

Immediate exports of antimony, copper and rare earths

Immediate export commitments add urgency to the USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement. Pakistan plans rapid shipments of antimony, copper, tungsten and rare earth elements to the US. As a result, downstream processors and defence contractors could see new supply channels ahead of the refinery start up. These initial flows may help test logistics, quality control and traceability systems before full scale operations.

The USSM Pakistan critical minerals agreement also sits within a broader geopolitical context. Washington continues to seek diversified sources of critical minerals beyond China and Russia. Meanwhile, Pakistan aims to reposition itself as a strategic mining and processing hub. Therefore, sustained execution on this agreement could reshape regional critical mineral trade patterns.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This agreement highlights how mid tier refiners and new jurisdictions enter the critical minerals race. If governance and execution remain strong, Pakistan could secure a durable role in US aligned critical mineral supply chains. However, market participants should monitor project timelines, community consent and export controls that may affect long term volumes.

Civil Aircraft Tariff Exemption Shields Aerospace Trade but Metal Duties Remain

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Civil Aircraft Tariff Exemption Shields Aerospace Trade but Metal Duties Remain
Airplanes parts

Civil aircraft tariff exemption rules will shield commercial aircraft, engines, parts, components, and subassemblies from the latest US import tariff. However, the carve-out does not remove existing tariff pressure on several critical aerospace metals used across aircraft manufacturing and high-performance supply chains.

The latest US measure applies a temporary 10pc tariff on most imports for 150 days from 24 February, with a possible 15pc rate subject to official implementation. Civil aviation products are excluded under annex I, covering all non-military aircraft and their related engines, parts, components, and other subassemblies.

The exemption follows strong aerospace industry resistance to earlier trade action. Commercial aviation supply chains are deeply global, and aircraft production depends on cross-border movement of precision parts, engines, structures, avionics, and certified materials. A broad tariff on these flows would have raised costs across Boeing, Airbus suppliers, engine makers, maintenance providers, and aerospace metals processors.

Aerospace Supply Chains Avoid Direct Aircraft Tariff Shock

The civil aircraft tariff exemption protects one of the most globally integrated industrial supply chains from immediate disruption. Commercial aircraft manufacturing depends on certified components moving repeatedly between countries before final assembly, delivery, and maintenance.

This carve-out also supports the July EU-US agreement that restored transatlantic free trade on aircraft and component parts. That matters because Europe and the United States remain tightly connected in aircraft structures, engines, landing gear, fasteners, forgings, castings, and advanced materials.

However, the exemption does not mean aerospace manufacturers are free from trade cost risk. Tariffs can still affect upstream materials and intermediate inputs before they become certified aircraft parts. This creates a split market where finished aviation components may be protected, while key metals used to make them still face separate tariff regimes.

Critical Aerospace Metals Still Face Tariff Exposure

Critical aerospace metals remain exposed through existing Section 301 and Section 232 measures. Section 301 tariffs of 25pc on various materials used in aircraft and associated parts still apply. This keeps cost pressure on parts of the aerospace materials chain even after the civil aircraft carve-out.

Annex II also maintains exemptions for several critical materials, including titanium, cobalt, chromium, rhenium, nickel, tantalum, tungsten, and niobium. These materials are essential for aircraft engines, high-temperature alloys, fasteners, structural components, landing systems, and other demanding aerospace applications.

Hafnium stands out because it is not included in annex II and is therefore subject to the new tariff. That is strategically relevant because hafnium is used in high-temperature and advanced alloy applications, including aerospace and defence-related supply chains. The omission shows how narrow tariff classifications can create unexpected cost exposure for small but critical materials.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The civil aircraft tariff exemption protects final aerospace trade, but it does not fully protect the metals value chain behind it. The real risk now sits in the gap between tariff-exempt aircraft parts and tariff-exposed specialty materials.

DRC Mine Guard Plan Puts Critical Minerals Security at the Centre of Supply Chains

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DRC Mine Guard Plan Puts Critical Minerals Security at the Centre of Supply Chains
DRC, Inspectorate of Mines

DRC mine guard plans mark a major escalation in the country’s effort to secure critical minerals supply chains. The Democratic Republic of Congo’s General Inspectorate of Mines will develop a paramilitary unit to protect mine sites, ore transport routes, processors and border corridors.

The DRC mine guard will be created as part of a strategic partnership involving the US and UAE. The project is expected to cost up to $100mn and will use existing training facilities.

The DRC mine guard could deploy up to 20,000 troops over the next two years. Recruitment is expected to begin in May, with the first operational contingent of 2,500-3,000 officers targeted for deployment by December.

The plan reflects the growing strategic value of Congolese minerals. The DRC is a major producer of copper, cobalt, tantalum, tin and tungsten, all of which are critical to batteries, electronics, defence systems, energy infrastructure and advanced manufacturing.

Mineral Security Becomes a Formal State Priority

The mine guard will be tasked with securing mine sites across the DRC and protecting ore shipments from mines to processors and border posts. It will gradually replace forces currently deployed to defend mining assets.

The unit is expected to cover the Greater Katanga and Greater Eastern regions by the end of 2027. It is then planned to expand to all mining provinces by the end of 2028.

This regional focus is important. Greater Katanga is central to copper and cobalt production, while eastern DRC is tied to several strategic minerals and long-running security challenges.

The plan shows that mineral security is becoming part of formal state policy. Mine protection is no longer only a company-level issue involving private security, local forces or site-specific arrangements.

For producers, a more structured security framework could reduce disruption risk if implemented effectively. It could improve transport reliability, protect export flows and lower exposure to armed interference around mining corridors.

However, execution will be critical. A large paramilitary force operating across mining regions must be governed transparently to avoid creating new operational, political or human-rights risks.

US and UAE Partnership Signals Strategic Minerals Competition

The mine guard plan is linked to a broader US-DRC strategic partnership agreed in December 2025. That agreement included expanded US access to DRC critical minerals and a wider minerals-for-security-style framework.

The agreements were part of the Washington accords, a US-backed peace deal between the DRC and Rwanda designed to reduce conflict in eastern DRC. But fighting has continued, with the Rwanda-backed M23 group still controlling several major towns and mining assets. Rwanda denies backing the group.

This makes the security dimension central to mineral strategy. Western governments want more reliable access to DRC copper, cobalt and other critical minerals, but supply cannot be secured only through offtake agreements or financing.

Physical control of mine sites, transport routes and border flows is becoming just as important as ownership and processing capacity.

For the US, the DRC offers one of the fastest routes to large-scale copper and cobalt supply outside China-dominated value chains. For the DRC, security partnerships could bring funding, international backing and more leverage over strategic mineral flows.

The creation of a mine guard also signals that critical minerals are now treated as national security assets. Copper and cobalt are no longer only mining commodities. They are inputs for batteries, grids, defence manufacturing and geopolitical supply-chain competition.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The DRC mine guard plan shows that critical minerals security is moving from boardrooms into the field. The key question is whether this force can protect supply chains without adding new governance risks to one of the world’s most strategic mining regions.

DRC-Rwanda minerals pact aims to stabilise 3T supply chains

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DRC-Rwanda minerals pact aims to stabilise 3T supply chains
DRC-Rwanda minerals

The DRC-Rwanda minerals pact follows a US-brokered peace deal. Both governments pledged to respect borders and stop supporting armed groups. The DRC-Rwanda minerals pact launches a regional integration framework for investment. It targets transparent supply chains for tantalum, tungsten and tin. The agreement aims to restore stability after 18 months of disruption.

Supply risks and market impact

Conflict shut key monitored mine sites across eastern DRC. M23 seized Rubaya and advanced on Goma and Bukavu earlier this year. As a result, 3T concentrate flows tightened and logistics stalled. Traders face uncertainty until export channels clear under the pact.

US bilateral minerals deals may follow the peace agreement. Therefore, buyers could gain clearer access and improved traceability. Producers may restart shipments once security improves in North and South Kivu. However, timelines depend on enforcement and local compliance.

What changes for responsible sourcing

The pact prioritises investment and transparency across critical mineral supply chains. Meanwhile, miners expect oversight to separate legal output from illicit material. This could reduce price volatility for tantalum, tungsten and tin. The DRC-Rwanda minerals pact, if implemented, strengthens ethical sourcing claims.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The peace framework creates a pathway, but execution remains decisive. Investors should watch border security, export procedures, and on-site audits. If governance holds, premiums for verified 3T units may compress.

Burundi Mining Suspension Raises 3T Conflict Minerals Supply Risk

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Burundi Mining Suspension Raises 3T Conflict Minerals Supply Risk
Burundi mining

Burundi mining suspension measures have halted nearly all mining operations in the country, leaving only Sotrevo Mining and Sonalek Mining allowed to continue operating. The move creates new uncertainty for tantalum, tungsten and tin supply from one of Africa’s smaller but strategically important 3T mineral producers.

Burundi mining suspension measures require mining companies and co-operatives to apply for new operating permits before restarting. The government said operating approvals and the state’s share of production will be decided case by case.

Burundi mining suspension rules also introduce the threat of severe sanctions for companies that ignore the new requirements. This signals a stronger state push to control mineral production, permitting and revenue sharing.

The decision matters because Burundi supplies 3T concentrates at a time when buyers are already sensitive to conflict minerals risk, origin documentation and supply disruption across central and eastern Africa.

Permit Reset Raises Supply Risk for 3T Minerals

The suspension affects all mining sites except those operated by Sotrevo Mining and Sonalek Mining. Sotrevo produces tantalum, tungsten and tin, while Sonalek Mining also remains exempt from the suspension.

The ministry’s decision effectively resets the operating framework for much of Burundi’s mining sector. Producers that previously operated under existing arrangements must now seek new approval before they can resume work.

This creates immediate supply-chain uncertainty. Buyers may face delays in shipments, reduced availability and additional documentation requirements while companies wait for permit decisions.

Burundi produced 421t of 3T concentrates in 2024, according to industry supply-chain data referenced in the source material. That volume is not large compared with global mined supply, but it matters for buyers seeking diversified and traceable African material.

Tantalum is critical for capacitors used in electronics, aerospace, defence systems and medical devices. Tungsten supports hard metals, cutting tools, defence applications and industrial machinery. Tin is essential for solder, electronics assembly and coatings.

The suspension therefore affects more than local mining companies. It reaches downstream electronics, tooling, defence and manufacturing supply chains that depend on stable 3T material flows.

Conflict Mineral Markets Face New Compliance Pressure

Burundi has gained importance because conflict and instability in other major 3T-producing countries have increased demand for its material. Buyers looking to diversify regional supply have turned to Burundian concentrates as an alternative source.

The new suspension complicates that trend. Even if the government aims to strengthen oversight, the immediate effect is to reduce clarity for exporters, traders and downstream consumers.

The case-by-case permit process could also reshape the country’s mining structure. Companies with stronger compliance systems, clearer production records and better state relationships may be better positioned to restart.

For responsible sourcing programmes, the policy shift adds another layer of due diligence. Buyers will need to confirm not only mine origin and chain of custody, but also whether suppliers hold valid new operating permits.

The state’s share of production will also be decided individually. This could change project economics and create different cost structures across operators.

Burundi’s decision reflects a wider trend in critical minerals. Resource-holding governments increasingly want more control over production, exports and domestic value capture.

For 3T markets, the timing is sensitive. Supply chains already face scrutiny under conflict minerals rules, while manufacturers need stable feedstock for electronics, aerospace, defence and industrial applications.

If the suspension is resolved quickly, the market impact may stay limited. If permitting delays continue, Burundi’s role as a flexible alternative source of 3T concentrates could weaken.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Burundi’s mining suspension shows how even smaller suppliers can affect strategic mineral confidence. In 3T markets, regulatory clarity and traceability are now as important as mined volume itself.

Almonty Montana tungsten project strengthens US critical minerals supply

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Rio Tinto battery swap trial signals step-change in low-carbon mining
Almonty Industries

Almonty Montana tungsten project will strengthen US tungsten supply as the company acquires Gentung Browns Lake in Montana. The asset ranks among the most advanced undeveloped US tungsten projects, according to Almonty Industries. As a result, the deal positions Almonty as a key North American tungsten concentrate supplier.

Strategic acquisition terms and project timeline

Almonty Industries will acquire Gentung Browns Lake for $9.75mn in a combined cash and share transaction. The package includes $750,000 in cash and $9mn in Almonty shares, aligning seller incentives with long-term project success. However, the relatively modest entry cost underscores the value upside if tungsten prices tighten.

Almonty expects production at the Almonty Montana tungsten project could begin as early as the second half of 2026. This timing would place new US tungsten output into the market amid ongoing concerns about Chinese supply dominance. Therefore, the project fits broader US and allied efforts to diversify strategic metals sourcing.

Permits, infrastructure and processing advantages

The acquisition also includes plant permits, water rights and tungsten processing equipment from a Montana-based operator. These assets shorten the development timeline and can lower initial capital intensity for the Almonty Montana tungsten project. Meanwhile, existing permits reduce early-stage regulatory risk, always a critical factor for US mining projects.

Almonty plans to use the acquired equipment to process ore from Gentung Browns Lake once mining starts. Integrating permits, water rights and processing infrastructure allows a more streamlined ramp-up path. As a result, the project can move faster from feasibility work to cash-generating tungsten concentrate production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This move confirms Almonty’s strategy to build a multi-asset tungsten portfolio anchored in OECD jurisdictions. For the US, incremental output from Montana will not replace Chinese supply, but it will matter for defense and high-performance alloy chains. Investors should watch how Almonty sequences capex and offtake deals as tungsten regains attention as a strategic metal.

Canada backs Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project to diversify W and Mo supply

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Canada backs Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project to diversify W and Mo supply
Northcliff W, Mo project

Canada will fund the Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project with $8.2mn to accelerate development. The Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project aims to strengthen North American supply chains. This move complements US support and positions the Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project for key pre-construction milestones.

Updated study and engineering to unlock project value

The funding will update the 2013 feasibility study and complete basic engineering. Meanwhile, US Title III funds support offtake talks and financial planning. The study outlines an open-pit mine producing APT and molybdenum for 27 years. Planned output targets 557,000t of ammonium paratungstate and 1,860t of molybdenum annually. As a result, the project could become a significant non-Chinese W and Mo source.

Permitting, offtake, and timelines remain critical

Construction has been delayed since 2022 and no start date is set. Next steps include construction and operating permits plus binding offtake agreements. Therefore, stakeholder engagement and environmental compliance will shape the development path. Strong commercial contracts will also de-risk financing amid volatile tungsten prices.

Strategic context: defense demand and China controls

Rising defense demand is tightening tungsten availability across North America. Beijing expanded export licenses on select tungsten products, amplifying supply risk. Consequently, Canada and the US are investing to localize critical minerals. The Sisson asset could reduce import dependence and enhance alloy, tooling, and munitions supply. Market diversification should also stabilize APT pricing and downstream manufacturing plans.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Policy capital is flowing to projects that target tangible offtake and near-term tonnage. If Sisson secures permits and contracts, it can anchor a North American tungsten hub and improve molybdenum balance for alloy makers.