Global Battery Demand Nears 1TWh in 2024 as LFP Market Share Surges

Battery

EV Growth and China Lead Surge in Battery Demand

Global battery demand reached nearly 1TWh in 2024, largely driven by rising electric vehicle (EV) adoption, according to the IEA's latest EV Outlook 2025. The Focus Keyphrase "global battery demand" continues to dominate energy transition narratives as EV sales accelerate across major economies.

EV battery demand alone exceeded 950GWh, accounting for more than 85% of total battery consumption. China led with 59% of EV battery demand, followed by the U.S. and EU, each holding a 13% share. The IEA projects battery demand will more than triple to over 3TWh by 2030 under current national policies. While supply of critical minerals is currently in surplus, the IEA warns that depressed prices could deter future investment, risking lithium and nickel shortages by decade’s end.

Battery Manufacturing Grows Faster Than Demand

Global battery manufacturing capacity grew by nearly 30% to 3.3TWh in 2024, tripling actual demand. If all announced projects proceed, capacity could reach 6.5TWh by 2030, outpacing the IEA’s projected demand.

South Korea led overseas battery capacity expansion with over 400GWh deployed in 2024, far ahead of Japan (60GWh) and China (30GWh). If planned projects materialize, South Korea could produce over 1TWh annually by 2030, almost double China’s expected output. As a result, China’s global manufacturing share is projected to fall from 85% in 2024 to two-thirds by 2030, diversifying global supply chains.

LFP Dominates Market as Regional Dynamics Shift

Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries now make up nearly half of the global EV battery market, with Chinese producers holding a de facto monopoly, especially in Europe and the U.S. European OEMs are increasingly opting for LFP chemistries to cut costs, displacing South Korean suppliers.

South Korean battery makers’ EU market share fell to 60% in 2024, down from 80% in 2022, while their U.S. market share rose to 35%, closing in on Japan’s 48%. Major Korean firms — LG Energy Solution, SK On, Samsung SDI — are all preparing for mass LFP production to compete in this fast-growing segment.

Meanwhile, LFP adoption in Southeast Asia, Brazil, and India has surpassed 50% of battery electric car sales, signaling rapid global penetration. However, Japanese battery makers face domestic setbacks, highlighted by Nissan’s cancellation of its Kyushu LFP plant amid restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The rise in global battery demand underscores a structural transformation in energy, mobility, and manufacturing. While demand growth is robust, the oversupply of battery capacity and volatility in mineral prices highlight the sector’s growing pains. As LFP continues its global ascent, regional competition and vertical integration will shape the future of the battery ecosystem.

China LFP Supply Deal Between Wanrun and CATL Secures 1.32 Million Tonnes

Wanrun

China LFP supply deal reached historic proportions as Hubei Wanrun New Energy Technology signed a five-year agreement to deliver 1.32 million tonnes of lithium-iron-phosphate cathode materials to CATL. The massive China LFP supply contract from May 2025 through May 2030 represents one of the largest battery materials procurement agreements in the industry, highlighting CATL's aggressive expansion strategy and LFP technology's growing market dominance.

Strategic Partnership Drives Battery Technology Innovation

China LFP supply partnership extends beyond simple procurement to encompass joint research and development initiatives. Wanrun and CATL agreed to collaborate on high-density LFP product iteration and mass production capabilities while jointly exploring new energy market opportunities. CATL committed to purchasing at least 80% of promised monthly quantities, providing Wanrun with guaranteed revenue streams and production planning certainty.

Meanwhile, Wanrun demonstrated strong operational performance with 2024 LFP production reaching 233,108 tonnes, representing 51% growth from 2023. Sales volumes increased 39% to 228,240 tonnes during the same period, reflecting robust market demand and the company's expanding manufacturing capabilities. This performance trajectory supports the substantial supply commitments made to CATL.

CATL's Market Leadership Drives Demand Growth

However, CATL's explosive growth trajectory necessitates secured raw material supplies for sustained market expansion. The battery giant sold 120 GWh of batteries in Q1 2025, marking 30% year-over-year growth and reinforcing its position as China's largest battery producer. CATL raised $4.6 billion through Hong Kong Stock Exchange share sales on May 20th, specifically targeting global battery market expansion financing.

Therefore, the Wanrun supply agreement aligns perfectly with CATL's international growth strategy and capital deployment plans. The five-year commitment provides production stability while supporting CATL's aggressive capacity expansion across multiple global markets. This strategic partnership model demonstrates how Chinese battery companies integrate vertically to secure critical material supplies.

LFP Technology Gains Global Market Share

Furthermore, lithium-iron-phosphate batteries captured nearly half of the global electric vehicle battery market in 2024 according to the International Energy Agency. LFP technology offers significant advantages including lower manufacturing costs and enhanced safety performance compared to ternary battery alternatives. These benefits drive increasing adoption across automotive manufacturers seeking cost-effective energy storage solutions.

As a result, the Wanrun-CATL partnership positions both companies advantageously within the rapidly expanding LFP segment. China's dominance in LFP production creates competitive advantages for domestic battery manufacturers while supporting the country's electric vehicle industry leadership. The supply agreement reinforces China's integrated approach to battery supply chain control from raw materials through finished products.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Wanrun-CATL supply agreement exemplifies China's systematic approach to battery supply chain integration, securing critical materials access while driving technology innovation through strategic partnerships. This 1.32 million tonne commitment reflects both companies' confidence in LFP technology's long-term market prospects and China's continued dominance in global battery manufacturing despite increasing international competition.

Global Energy Storage Market Expands as China Drives Record Growth

China Energy Storage

Global energy storage market growth accelerated in 2025, with China remaining the main force behind new capacity additions and technology diversification. The country’s cumulative operating power storage capacity reached 213.3GW by the end of the year, accounting for 43% of the global total.

China energy storage growth was especially strong in new-type energy storage, which includes lithium-ion batteries and vanadium redox flow batteries but excludes pumped hydro. China’s new-type storage capacity rose to 144.7GW, representing more than two-thirds of its total storage fleet and 51.9% of global new-type installations.

The global energy storage market also became more diversified. Pumped hydro’s share of global operating capacity fell below 50% for the first time, while new-type storage expanded rapidly to 278.7GW/687.5GWh.

China Leads Storage Deployment as VRFB Projects Gain Share

China’s energy storage sector remained dominated by lithium-ion batteries in 2025. However, lithium-ion’s share slipped slightly as several large long-duration storage projects using all-vanadium redox flow battery technology came online.

This shift matters because grid storage demand is no longer only about short-duration battery systems. Longer-duration applications are gaining relevance as renewable penetration rises and power systems require more flexibility, peak shifting and grid stability.

Independent energy storage became China’s main application model, accounting for around 60% of total installed capacity. This shows that storage is increasingly being deployed as standalone grid infrastructure, not only as an accessory to solar or wind projects.

Chinese manufacturers also strengthened their global position. Sungrow, Tesla, CRRC Zhuzhou Institute, BYD and Envision Energy ranked as the world’s top five energy storage system shipment providers in 2025, highlighting the growing concentration of supply among large integrated players.

Lithium Demand Rises as Storage Becomes a Core Battery Market

The global energy storage market reached 496.2GW of cumulative operating power storage capacity by the end of 2025, up 33.3% from the previous year. New installations hit a record 123.9GW, led by China, the US and Europe, while the Middle East and Latin America gained momentum.

The US added 18.4GW/48.3GWh of new-type storage capacity in 2025, while Europe added 15.4GW/32.1GWh. These figures show that storage growth is becoming global, even though China remains the dominant scale market.

Energy storage is also reshaping battery materials demand. The sector accounted for 25% of global lithium demand in 2025, up sharply from 5% in 2020, making storage one of the most important demand drivers for lithium carbonate, lithium iron phosphate materials and battery supply chains.

Stronger storage demand helped push battery-grade lithium carbonate prices to 158,000-168,000 yuan/t at the end of March, up 120% from a year earlier. This confirms that stationary storage has moved from a secondary battery market into a major force in lithium pricing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s dominance in energy storage shows how quickly battery supply chains can scale when policy, manufacturing and grid demand align. The next phase will test whether lithium, vanadium and power equipment supply can keep pace with global storage deployment.

US Turkey LFP Battery Partnership Targets 7GWh Production by 2027

Our Next Energy

US Turkey LFP battery partnership emerged as Our Next Energy (ONE) contracted Turkish manufacturer Pomega Energy Storage Technologies to produce 7GWh of lithium iron phosphate battery cells. The strategic US Turkey LFP battery collaboration targets 2GWh production in 2026 escalating to 5GWh in 2027, supporting ONE's energy storage solutions for utility, commercial, and industrial customers while bridging manufacturing capacity before domestic US production commences.

Strategic Manufacturing Timeline Bridges International and Domestic Production

US Turkey LFP battery production will focus on ONE's 314Ah LFP battery cells manufactured at Pomega's Ankara facility. The Turkish facility maintains 3GWh installed capacity and currently undergoes qualification for global export markets. This partnership provides immediate manufacturing access while ONE develops its Michigan-based grid battery production line scheduled for 2027 operations.

Meanwhile, the collaboration enables ONE to meet near-term customer demands without delayed market entry. Founder and CEO Mujeeb Ijaz emphasized the partnership's role in supporting customer commitments during the transition to US-based manufacturing capabilities. The phased approach reduces market risks while ensuring continuous supply chain operations across international and domestic facilities.

Turkish Manufacturing Hub Supports Global Battery Supply Chains

However, Pomega's Ankara facility represents Turkey's growing position in global battery manufacturing ecosystems. The facility's 3GWh capacity and export qualification process demonstrate Turkish manufacturing capabilities in advanced energy storage technologies. Turkey's strategic geographic position provides advantageous access to European, Middle Eastern, and Asian markets for battery exports.

Therefore, the partnership leverages Turkey's industrial infrastructure while supporting ONE's expansion strategy across utility-scale energy storage markets. Turkish manufacturing costs and skilled workforce availability create competitive advantages for large-scale battery production. The collaboration also strengthens US-Turkey commercial relationships in critical technology sectors driving clean energy transitions.

Market Positioning for Utility-Scale Energy Storage Growth

Furthermore, the LFP battery production targets utility, commercial, and industrial energy storage applications experiencing rapid market expansion. Lithium iron phosphate technology offers safety and cost advantages compared to alternative battery chemistries, particularly for large-scale stationary storage installations. The 314Ah cell specification aligns with industry requirements for grid-scale energy storage systems.

As a result, ONE's dual-facility strategy positions the company competitively across North American and international markets during the critical 2026-2027 period. The Turkish production capacity provides flexibility while Michigan facility development progresses, ensuring market presence during peak demand growth. This geographic diversification reduces supply chain risks while maximizing market opportunities across multiple regions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

ONE's partnership with Turkish manufacturer Pomega exemplifies how US battery companies strategically leverage international manufacturing partnerships to bridge capacity gaps before domestic production scaling, particularly important as global LFP demand accelerates faster than domestic manufacturing development. The collaboration demonstrates Turkey's emerging role as a strategic manufacturing hub for critical battery technologies, positioning the country advantageously within global energy storage supply chains serving both European and American markets.

Latam EV Market Set for Massive 2025 Expansion Driven by Chinese Automakers

Latam EV Market

The Latam EV market will experience unprecedented growth in 2025 as electric vehicle sales in Latin America and emerging markets double to 1 million units. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), Chinese automakers drive this expansion by offering significantly cheaper models than traditional Western brands. The Latam EV market surge represents a critical shift in global automotive demand that will substantially increase battery materials consumption across the region.

Chinese Battery Technology Advantages Fuel Market Penetration

Chinese automakers captured 75% of all EV sales in emerging economies by leveraging superior cost advantages in battery pack manufacturing. China produces cheaper battery packs due to intense competition, enhanced manufacturing efficiency, supply chain integration, and access to skilled workforces. Meanwhile, Chinese battery pack prices fell 30% compared to only 10-15% decreases in Europe and the United States.

BYD and GWM electric vehicles now compete directly with conventional petrol cars in key Latam EV market segments. In Brazil, BYD's largest market outside China, the price gap between battery electric cars and conventional vehicles narrowed to just 25%. Therefore, Chinese manufacturers achieve price parity with internal combustion engines in Thailand and approach competitive pricing across Latin America.

Regional Manufacturing Expansion Promises Further Cost Reductions

Local production capacity remains minimal, with only 5% of EVs sold in emerging markets produced regionally currently. GWM and BYD plan to establish factories in Latin America by late 2026, potentially driving down costs further. As a result, these manufacturing facilities will bypass import tariffs while reducing transportation costs for the expanding Latam EV market.

Regional battery material demand will surge as local EV production scales rapidly across Latin America. Lithium, cobalt, nickel, and other critical minerals consumption will increase substantially to support growing battery manufacturing requirements. However, Latin America possesses significant lithium reserves, particularly in Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile, creating opportunities for vertical supply chain integration.

Global EV sales exceeded 17 million units in 2024, capturing 20% market share worldwide. The IEA projects 2025 sales will surpass 20 million units, representing over 25% of global automotive sales. Consequently, the Latam EV market expansion contributes meaningfully to this accelerating global electrification trend.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Latam EV market boom signals a fundamental shift in global battery materials demand geography, with Chinese manufacturers leveraging cost advantages to penetrate price-sensitive emerging markets. This expansion will create substantial new demand for lithium, cobalt, and nickel while potentially enabling Latin America to capture more value from its abundant critical mineral resources through local processing and battery manufacturing integration.

Global Lithium-Ion Battery Shipments Surge in 2024, Driven by EV and Energy Storage Demand

Lithium-Ion Battery

Global shipments of lithium-ion batteries experienced a significant surge in 2024, fueled by robust growth in both the electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage sectors, according to data from Chinese research institution EV Tank.  This surge is projected to continue its upward trajectory through 2030, marking a promising period for the lithium and battery metals markets.

EV Battery Market Driven by China, Despite Global Economic Headwinds

In 2024, global EV power battery shipments reached an impressive 1,051GWh, representing a 22% year-on-year increase.  This growth was primarily propelled by the continued strength of China's EV market.  Government incentives, such as old vehicle trade-in subsidies, provided a significant boost, offsetting a slowdown observed in European and US markets due to weakened economic conditions and rising inflation.  This highlights the critical role of government policy in supporting the EV sector.

Energy Storage Battery Shipments See Explosive Growth

The energy storage battery segment also witnessed remarkable expansion, with global shipments soaring by 65% to 370GWh.  This surge can be attributed to several factors, including China's government-led initiatives promoting energy storage systems for wind and solar power generation, declining manufacturing costs, and strong demand in the US, partly driven by the investment tax credit.  Furthermore, growing GWh-level orders from emerging markets like the UK, Saudi Arabia, and Australia contributed to the overall growth.

China Dominates Lithium-Ion Battery Production

Overall, global lithium-ion battery shipments increased by 29% year-on-year to 1,545GWh in 2024.  China played a dominant role, accounting for 79% of the total, with shipments reaching 1,215GWh, a substantial 37% increase.  The sustained demand growth within China, coupled with the country's substantial investments in overseas production capacity, has solidified its position as a leading force in the global lithium-ion battery market.

Sodium-Ion Battery Adoption Slower Than Expected

While lithium-ion batteries continue to dominate, the adoption of sodium-ion batteries has been slower than initially anticipated.  EV Tank estimates China's sodium-ion battery shipments to have more than doubled to 2GWh in 2024 from 0.7GWh in 2023. However, this figure falls short of earlier projections of 3GWh per year. The primary reason for this slower uptake is the higher manufacturing costs associated with sodium-ion batteries compared to ternary and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) lithium-ion batteries, as well as lead-acid batteries.  Currently, the average manufacturing cost for lithium-ion batteries stands at 0.50 yuan/Wh as of June 2024, significantly lower than the 0.60 yuan/Wh for sodium-ion batteries, according to EV Tank.  This cost differential presents a significant challenge for the widespread adoption of sodium-ion technology.

Future Outlook: Continued Growth Projected

EV Tank forecasts continued growth in global lithium-ion battery shipments, projecting a rise to 1,899GWh in 2025 and an even more significant jump to 5,127GWh by 2030.  This optimistic outlook underscores the increasing demand for batteries across various applications, driven by the ongoing transition to electric mobility and the growing importance of energy storage solutions. The declining lithium carbonate feedstock prices, caused by supply expansions, have helped reduce manufacturing costs for lithium-ion batteries, further supporting market growth.

Lithium-Ion Battery Copper Foil Shipments Surge as Ultra-Thin Products Gain Share

Copper Foil

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments rose sharply in 2025 as global battery production expanded and manufacturers shifted toward thinner materials to reduce copper costs. Global shipments reached 1.302mn t, up 41.7% from 2024, according to Chinese research institute EV Tank.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil demand remains closely tied to electric vehicle and energy storage growth. Copper foil is a key current collector in lithium-ion batteries, making it essential to cell performance, energy density and manufacturing cost.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments were dominated by China, which accounted for 82.9% of global deliveries in 2025. EV Tank expects global shipments to reach 2.615mn t by 2030, implying continued expansion as battery output scales.

The product mix changed quickly during the year. The share of 8μm foil declined, while 6μm remained the mainstream product and accounted for more than 70% of total shipments.

Ultra-Thin Foil Gains Momentum on Copper Cost Pressure

Ultra-thin copper foil gained share as battery producers looked for ways to reduce copper input costs. Persistently high global copper prices pushed cell manufacturers to use thinner foil while maintaining battery performance.

The combined share of 5μm and 4.5μm ultra-thin foil rose to 24% in 2025. This is a major shift for a material category that requires tighter production control, better surface quality and stronger consistency.

Thinner copper foil can help reduce battery weight and improve energy density. It also lowers the amount of copper used per cell, which becomes increasingly important when copper prices remain elevated.

EV Tank expects 5μm and thinner foil to become a key material for high-end batteries. This reflects the industry’s move toward lighter, higher-energy-density cell designs.

However, thinner foil also raises manufacturing difficulty. Producers must control pinholes, tensile strength, elongation, surface roughness and coating compatibility more precisely.

That technical barrier could separate higher-end suppliers from lower-cost producers. As battery customers shift toward thinner grades, qualification and process reliability will become more important than simple capacity.

China Leads Supply as Competition Intensifies

China’s 82.9% share of global shipments shows its dominant role in battery copper foil supply. The country has built large-scale capacity around its lithium-ion battery ecosystem, supported by domestic EV, energy storage and cell manufacturing growth.

Competition intensified in 2025 as the market recovered and producers brought earlier-built capacity on line. This created a more fluid ranking among suppliers.

Longdian Wason ranked first with a 12.2% market share. Huachuang New Material followed after capacity ramp-ups lifted output and sales.

Defu Technology and Jiayuan Technology ranked third and fourth, respectively. Seven companies in the top 10 changed positions during the year, showing how quickly capacity, customer access and product mix are reshaping the sector.

Battery makers also increased procurement from second-tier suppliers to improve supply stability. This suggests buyers are trying to diversify supplier bases rather than rely only on leading producers.

For copper markets, the trend is strategically important. Battery copper foil growth creates a direct link between copper demand and battery technology. But the move toward ultra-thin foil also means battery growth will not translate into copper demand on a simple one-to-one basis.

The sector is therefore entering a more technical phase. Volume growth remains strong, but material intensity, foil thickness, supplier qualification and copper price pressure will all shape future demand.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The copper foil market shows how battery growth can lift copper demand while also forcing material thrift. High copper prices are pushing battery makers toward thinner foil, making technology and process control as important as raw capacity.

Global Solid-State Electrolyte Shipments Surge as Semi-Solid Batteries Scale

Solid state electrolyte

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are rising rapidly as semi-solid batteries move toward vehicle adoption and full solid-state battery commercialisation advances. Chinese research institute EV Tank said shipments reached 4,100t in 2025, more than doubling from a year earlier.

The increase marks an important early-stage signal for the battery materials industry. Electrolytes are one of the core materials that determine the energy density, safety and commercial viability of solid-state batteries.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are still small compared with conventional lithium-ion battery materials. However, the growth rate shows that downstream producers are beginning to prepare for larger semi-solid and solid-state battery output.

EV Tank expects global solid-state electrolyte shipments to reach 229,000t by 2030. That would imply a compound annual growth rate of more than 120% from 2025 to 2030, making electrolytes one of the fastest-growing segments in advanced battery materials.

The forecast reflects both technological progress and industrial positioning. Battery producers, automakers and materials companies are now investing ahead of expected demand from electric vehicles, energy storage systems and high-end electronics.

Semi-Solid Batteries Create the First Commercial Demand Base

Semi-solid batteries are likely to provide the first meaningful demand base for solid-state battery electrolytes. EV Tank expects these batteries to begin vehicle adoption from 2026, ahead of full solid-state battery mass production.

This timing matters because semi-solid batteries can act as a bridge technology. They offer improved safety and performance compared with conventional liquid-electrolyte batteries, while avoiding some of the most difficult technical barriers facing all-solid-state cells.

Semi-solid battery growth is already supporting electrolyte shipments. These products still use electrolyte systems that may differ from fully solid-state designs, but they create early commercial demand for sulphide, oxide, polymer, halide and composite electrolyte materials.

Full solid-state batteries are expected to enter small-scale mass production from 2027. That stage will likely remain limited at first because large-scale production still faces technical, cost and qualification challenges.

The market therefore looks likely to develop in phases. Semi-solid batteries will drive early electrolyte consumption, while full solid-state batteries will gradually expand once production processes, interfaces and reliability improve.

Electrolytes are central to this transition. They influence ion conductivity, safety, cycle life, energy density and compatibility with electrodes. Any weakness in electrolyte performance can limit the entire battery system.

This is why electrolyte development is becoming a strategic battleground. Battery makers cannot scale solid-state technology only by changing cell design. They need stable, high-quality electrolyte materials that can be produced consistently at industrial scale.

Capacity expansion is accelerating in response. EV Tank expects producers with annual electrolyte capacity at the thousand-tonne level to emerge within the next one to two years.

That would mark a shift from laboratory and pilot-scale material production toward early industrial supply. It would also create a more competitive market among electrolyte producers seeking qualification with battery manufacturers.

For battery materials suppliers, this creates a new growth category. Electrolytes may become a higher-value segment within the battery chain, especially if producers can meet strict requirements for purity, particle control, stability and conductivity.

For automakers, the key issue is reliability. Vehicle adoption requires materials that can perform under harsh cycling, temperature and safety conditions. This means electrolyte suppliers must pass long qualification cycles before volume demand can fully develop.

Technology Routes and Cost Cuts Shape the Scale-Up

Solid-state battery electrolyte technology remains diversified, especially in semi-solid batteries. Sulphide, oxide, polymer and halide routes are developing in parallel, while both single-electrolyte and composite-electrolyte solutions are being adopted.

This diversity shows that the industry has not yet settled on a single dominant material route. Different technologies offer different advantages in conductivity, stability, manufacturability, cost and safety.

Sulphide electrolytes currently dominate the roadmap for full solid-state batteries. They offer high ionic conductivity and are widely viewed as one of the most promising routes for high-performance battery cells.

However, sulphide systems also face challenges. They require careful handling, moisture control and interface engineering. These factors can raise production complexity and slow commercial scale-up.

Oxide electrolytes offer strong chemical and thermal stability, but they can face processing and interface resistance challenges. Polymer electrolytes offer manufacturing flexibility, but often struggle with conductivity at room temperature. Halide electrolytes are gaining interest because of their electrochemical stability and potential compatibility with high-voltage cathodes.

Composite electrolyte solutions may become increasingly important. By combining material systems, producers can try to balance conductivity, flexibility, stability and manufacturability.

Cost reduction is also becoming a major commercial driver. EV Tank said improvements in material quality and production processes lowered costs across several technology routes in 2025.

Sulphide electrolyte costs fell by more than 35% during the year. This is significant because cost remains one of the biggest obstacles to wider solid-state battery adoption.

Lower electrolyte costs improve the competitiveness of solid-state batteries against conventional lithium-ion technologies. They also make it easier for battery makers to test commercial deployment in premium vehicles, high-performance energy storage and other demanding applications.

Still, cost reduction alone will not guarantee rapid commercialisation. The industry must also solve interface stability, dendrite control, manufacturing yield, pressure management and long-term cycle reliability.

This explains why some major automakers remain cautious. BYD chief scientist Lian Yubo has said solid-state batteries still face core technical bottlenecks and that liquid and solid-state batteries should develop as complementary technologies.

Great Wall Motor also does not expect large-scale commercialisation of all-solid-state batteries in the near term. This caution suggests that the market may grow strongly, but unevenly.

The commercial pathway is therefore not a simple replacement of liquid batteries. Conventional lithium-ion batteries, semi-solid batteries and full solid-state batteries are likely to coexist for years, each serving different cost and performance segments.

This has important implications for materials demand. Solid-state growth could increase demand for lithium metal, high-nickel cathodes, sulphur-based materials, oxides, halides and specialty chemical precursors. But it may not immediately reduce demand for conventional electrolytes, separators or liquid battery components.

The forecast of 229,000t of global solid-state electrolyte shipments by 2030 points to a large materials opportunity. But the final market size will depend on how quickly automakers adopt semi-solid batteries and how successfully full solid-state batteries move from demonstration to reliable mass production.

For supply chains, qualification will be decisive. Battery makers will not buy electrolyte materials only because capacity exists. They will need stable quality, competitive pricing, proven performance and reliable long-term supply.

For policymakers, solid-state batteries are increasingly tied to advanced manufacturing and energy security. Countries that control electrolyte technology and battery production could gain strategic advantage in next-generation electric vehicles and storage systems.

For the metals market, the key point is that battery innovation changes materials demand before full commercial adoption arrives. Producers begin scaling supply years before the technology reaches mass-market vehicles, creating early demand signals and investment cycles.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments therefore offer a useful indicator of where advanced battery manufacturing is moving. The numbers remain small, but the growth curve is steep enough to attract capital, competition and supply-chain restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Solid-state electrolyte growth shows that next-generation battery competition is moving upstream into materials engineering. The market will expand quickly, but full solid-state batteries still need technical proof before they can reshape EV and energy storage supply chains at scale.

China's Graphite Market to Grow in 2025 Despite Oversupply and Geopolitical Challenges

China Graphite

China's graphite flake market is set to expand further in 2025, driven primarily by sustained demand from the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry. Despite challenges such as oversupply and geopolitical uncertainties, the market remains resilient due to the critical role of graphite in producing lithium-ion battery components like anodes.

The NEV industry, a major consumer of graphite, has grown exponentially in China over the past decade, supported by the country's decarbonization agenda. In 2023, NEV production reached 11.345 million units (up 35% year-on-year), with sales climbing 36% to 11.262 million units. By October 2023, NEVs accounted for 46.8% of China's auto market, up from 26% in 2022.

To meet rising demand, China's domestic graphite flake production increased from 930,000 tons in 2020 to 1.2 million tons in 2023. Major companies, such as China Minmetals Heilongjiang Graphite, have launched large-scale projects, including a 6 million tons/year graphite flake ore production complex. Additional capacity expansions are underway, including projects by Heilongjiang Ruitong, Heilongjiang Longda, and Inner Mongolia Hengyu.

Export Licensing Challenges and Geopolitical Headwinds

However, Beijing's introduction of export licensing controls on graphite products like flake and spherical graphite is curbing exports. From January to October 2023, Chinese graphite flake exports dropped 23% year-on-year to 49,647 tons. Exports to India plummeted to zero, compared with 9,379 tons in the same period last year, largely due to the new regulatory restrictions.

Exporters must now comply with stringent licensing procedures that require detailed documentation, including technical descriptions, end-user identity verification, and export contracts. This move aligns with China's broader export control legislation for dual-use items, which applies to goods that have both civilian and military applications.

China also reduced tax rebates for spherical graphite exports, an essential component in lithium-ion batteries, from 13% to 9%, effective December 1, 2023. Meanwhile, stricter inspections on US-bound graphite shipments reflect escalating trade tensions between the two countries. Policies such as the US Inflation Reduction Act and the EU's Critical Raw Materials Act are further encouraging global battery manufacturers to diversify supply chains away from China.

Global Battery Producers Adapt

In response to export restrictions and potential US tariff hikes, Chinese battery manufacturers are increasing overseas investments. BTR, a major battery material producer, recently launched an 80,000 tons/year anode material plant in Indonesia and began building additional facilities in Morocco. Similarly, Shijiazhuang Shangtai is investing $154 million to establish a 50,000 tons/year anode material plant in Malaysia.

Such initiatives are helping companies hedge against geopolitical risks while ensuring a stable supply of raw materials for the growing global battery market.

Uncertain Political Climate

Political developments, such as a potential re-election of Donald Trump as US president, could further disrupt the global electric vehicle (EV) market. Trump's policies favor traditional energy sources and could lead to increased tariffs on lithium-ion batteries and related raw materials. This uncertainty underscores the importance of diversifying supply chains and expanding overseas production.

Ronbay Secures Major Sodium-Ion Battery Cathode Order, Strengthening Market Presence

Ningbo Ronbay

Expanding Sodium-Ion Battery Cathode Production

Ningbo Ronbay, a leading Chinese battery cathode active material (CAM) manufacturer, has secured a 3,000-tonne order for sodium-ion battery cathode material from an undisclosed client. The company announced the deal on January 20, reinforcing its position as a key player in China’s sodium-ion battery market.

Ronbay has been heavily investing in sodium-ion cathode materials, committing 3 billion yuan ($413 million) in September 2023 to construct a 50,000-tonne-per-year production complex, which is set to launch by 2026. This investment aligns with the growing global demand for sodium-ion batteries, expected to reach 23GWh in 2025.

China’s Sodium-Ion Battery Industry Gains Momentum

China’s leading battery manufacturers, including CATL, BYD, and Hithium, have accelerated their sodium-ion battery production. BYD, for example, started construction on a 30 GWh per year sodium-ion battery plant in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province, in early 2024. These expansions indicate increasing market confidence in sodium-ion battery technology, particularly for two-wheeled and three-wheeled vehicles, energy storage, and power applications.

The Chinese government has also actively promoted sodium-ion battery development as part of its 2021-2025 energy strategy, emphasizing the battery’s cost advantages, resource abundance, and environmental benefits compared to lithium-ion batteries. However, despite strong governmental backing, sodium-ion battery shipments in 2024 fell short of earlier expectations due to higher manufacturing costs compared to lithium-ion and lead-acid batteries, according to Chinese research institution EV Tank.

Ronbay’s Role in the Growing Sodium-Ion Market

With this latest order, Ronbay strengthens its leadership in sodium-ion cathode production, ensuring steady market growth despite industry challenges. The company’s large-scale investment and expanding production capacity position it to capitalize on rising sodium-ion battery adoption while supporting China's push for alternative battery technologies.

As demand for low-cost and sustainable energy storage solutions rises, sodium-ion batteries could play a crucial role in diversifying the global battery supply chain, particularly as a viable alternative to lithium-ion technology.

Liyuan Begins Phase 2 Expansion of Indonesian LFP Production Plant

Changzhou Liyuan

Chinese Lithium Iron Phosphate Producer Expands Capacity to Meet Growing Global Demand

Chinese lithium iron phosphate (LFP) producer Changzhou Liyuan has officially started building Phase 2 of its production plant in Indonesia. The second phase of the plant, with a designed capacity of 90,000 tonnes per year (t/yr), aims to strengthen Liyuan's position in the growing global LFP market. However, specific details about the construction period and expected launch date have yet to be disclosed.

This expansion follows the successful completion of the first phase, which began in July 2023 and had a capacity of 30,000 t/yr. The first batch of LFP material is expected to be produced in January 2025. Located in the Kendal Industrial Park in Central Java, Indonesia, this plant represents a significant step in China’s strategic investment in overseas battery material production.

Strategic Investment in Overseas Capacity

Liyuan's plant in Indonesia is the first overseas LFP production project by a Chinese company with a capacity exceeding 10,000 t/yr. This milestone reflects China's growing commitment to securing international battery feedstock resources. While many Chinese investments in Indonesia have historically focused on primary materials or intermediates, this project marks a shift toward direct investment in battery materials, essential for the global electric vehicle (EV) market.

The expansion also highlights the broader trend of Chinese battery firms investing heavily in overseas manufacturing capacity. These investments are seen as crucial for diversifying supply chains and mitigating geopolitical risks, ensuring a stable supply of LFP materials amidst increasing global demand.

Rising Demand for LFP in the Power Battery Market

LFP's popularity in the power battery market has surged due to its lower manufacturing costs and enhanced safety compared to other battery chemistries. As the demand for electric vehicles continues to rise, LFP's market share is expected to grow even further, with Liyuan's expanded capacity playing a key role in meeting this demand.

In conclusion, Liyuan’s Phase 2 expansion in Indonesia marks a strategic move to enhance global production capacity and supply chain diversification. With the growing importance of LFP in the energy transition, this project is a significant step forward for both Liyuan and China’s battery material supply chain.

China Battery Overcapacity Crackdown Targets Price Wars and Overseas Expansion

China Battery

China battery overcapacity concerns deepened after government authorities held another meeting with leading power and energy storage battery producers on 9 April. The meeting signalled stronger regulatory pressure on disorderly competition, low-price strategies and excessive capacity expansion in the lithium battery sector.

The meeting brought together 16 major battery producers and several industry associations. It was the second such regulatory session since January, showing that Beijing sees battery overcapacity as a structural industrial risk rather than a short-term market adjustment.

China battery overcapacity has grown as domestic and overseas capacity plans have moved far ahead of actual demand. Regulators are now seeking capacity early-warning mechanisms, stronger market-order controls and tighter oversight of aggressive price competition.

Regulators Target Involution-Style Competition

Chinese authorities said the meeting aimed to implement senior government directives against “involution-style” competition. This term refers to excessive internal rivalry that destroys margins, weakens investment discipline and creates unsustainable price wars.

Regulators also discussed a negative list of irrational competitive practices in the power and energy storage battery industry. This would give authorities a clearer tool to identify and restrict behaviour that destabilises the market.

The new focus on the “externalisation of involution” is especially important. It shows that Beijing is now concerned not only about domestic overcapacity, but also about excessive overseas expansion by Chinese battery producers.

Chinese battery companies have accelerated global plant construction to serve overseas demand and reduce exposure to geopolitical restrictions. But if too much capacity is exported abroad, price pressure could spread into global power battery and energy storage markets.

Capacity Mismatch Creates Pressure Across Battery Materials

China’s power and energy storage battery output reached 1,755.6GWh in 2025, up 60.1% from a year earlier. Sales rose by 63.6% to 1,700.5GWh, confirming strong demand growth but also exposing the scale of capacity pressure.

Planned national capacity has climbed close to 5,000GWh. That implies utilisation rates below 40%, which helps explain why regulators are concerned about price wars and weak production discipline.

The issue also matters for battery materials. Overcapacity can pressure cathode active materials, precursors, lithium carbonate, graphite, copper foil, separators and electrolytes if producers chase volumes rather than margins.

Chinese battery firms are also becoming more important abroad. CATL, BYD, Gotion High-Tech, Farasis Energy, SVOLT Energy and CALB recorded 218GWh of overseas power battery installations in 2025, accounting for 47.2% of the global market.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s battery crackdown shows that scale alone is no longer enough. The next phase of battery competition will reward disciplined capacity, stronger technology, regional supply-chain positioning and healthier margins over pure volume growth.

Gotion Foresees Lithium-Iron-Phosphate Batteries Dominating Global EV Market

In a significant shift for the electric vehicle (EV) industry, Gotion, a leading Chinese battery manufacturer, predicts that lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) and lithium-manganese-iron-phosphate (LMFP) battery chemistries will dominate the global EV battery market within the next two to five years. Speaking at the ASEAN Battery Technology Conference in Singapore on August 21, Gotion's Asia-Pacific president, Cheng Qian, projected that these battery types could account for nearly 70 percent of the global market share, with the remainder being held by nickel-cobalt-manganese (NCM) batteries.

Qian emphasized that LFP battery technology is poised to take over the entire energy storage system sector, surpassing even the International Energy Agency's (IEA) forecast of 80 percent dominance. He attributed this trend to advancements in LFP battery range and the increasing demand for faster charging capabilities among EV consumers. NCM batteries, he noted, would be relegated to use in high-performance and ultra-long-range vehicles.

The transition has already begun to impact the nickel market and is gaining momentum among South Korean battery manufacturers. These companies are anticipating strong demand for more affordable EVs, driven by the cost-effectiveness of LFP batteries. Samsung SDI and SK On, for instance, are preparing to launch mass production of LFP batteries by 2026.

Adding to this momentum, LG Energy Solution (LGES) recently secured a contract to supply 39GWh of LFP batteries to Renault's EV division, Ampere, from its largest battery plant in Europe for the period 2025-2030. LGES is also planning to shift to LFP batteries for a U.S. energy storage project after initially supplying NCM batteries.

Expansion into Two-Wheeler Market

Gotion also predicts a significant shift toward LFP and LMFP batteries in the global two-wheeler EV market, which has been predominantly powered by NCM batteries. Cost reductions will be crucial for major two-wheeler markets in the Asia-Pacific region, including India, Indonesia, and Thailand, Qian noted.

India, which experienced a 30 percent surge in two-wheeler EV sales during its fiscal year 2023-24, reaching a record high of 944,126 units, is poised for further growth. Indonesia is similarly ambitious, aiming to deploy 2 million electric motorcycles by 2025, escalating to 13 million by 2030. The nation has introduced a $458 million subsidy program to incentivize electric motorcycle adoption.

The Philippines has also outlined its EV roadmap, emphasizing the lower upfront costs of electric tricycles and motorcycles as key drivers for EV adoption. The country aims to achieve a 50 percent share of electric motorcycles and tricycles by 2030, increasing to 60 percent by 2040.

CATL Battery Sales Surge 30pc in Q1 2025 on Global Energy Storage Demand

CATL Battery

Energy Storage and European Growth Propel CATL Battery Sales

CATL battery sales reached 120 GWh in Q1 2025, marking a 30pc increase from the same period last year. The company attributed the surge to expanding demand in energy storage markets in the Middle East and Australia.

Roughly 20pc of Q1 sales supported energy storage projects, highlighting CATL’s strategic diversification beyond electric vehicles. The firm also noted that its production capacity remains fully utilized, driven by global demand momentum.

CATL Strengthens Position in Europe, Navigates US Tariffs

CATL’s European battery market share climbed to 38pc in 2024, up from 17pc in 2021.

Its German plant turned profitable, reinforcing CATL’s foothold in the region amid favorable regulatory and demand conditions.

Meanwhile, US market exposure remains limited, and CATL has implemented contingency plans to counteract trade policy risks. The company is also negotiating with customers to mitigate the effects of tariff uncertainty on business continuity.

Financials Reflect Strong Q1 Momentum

CATL posted a net income of 14bn yuan ($1.92bn) for Q1 2025, up 33pc year-on-year, bolstered by geographic and sectoral diversification. This performance underscores CATL’s operational agility in a fragmented and politically sensitive global battery market.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CATL’s Q1 growth underscores its success in diversifying across regions and energy applications. Its resilience in the face of tariff pressures signals strong strategic planning and global supply chain positioning.

Yuneng to Expand LFP and LMFP Cathode Capacity to Meet Battery Market Growth

Yuneng

$899 Million Investment Targets Higher Energy Density Materials

Hunan Yuneng, China’s largest lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material producer, will significantly expand production capacity to serve surging demand in the lithium-ion battery sector. The company plans to raise 4.8bn yuan ($899mn) for a new project producing 320,000 t/yr of lithium manganese iron phosphate (LMFP), 75,000 t/yr of ultra-long cycle LFP, and 100,000 t/yr of iron phosphate feedstock.

The LMFP line, located in Anning, Yunnan province, will also be able to produce LFP. Yuneng expects construction to finish within four years. Meanwhile, the ultra-long cycle LFP and iron phosphate plants in Fuquan, Guizhou province, will be built within 12 months, strengthening the company’s diversified product portfolio.

Performance Advantages and Market Competition

LMFP cathodes provide higher energy density, longer driving ranges for EVs, better winter performance, and lower manufacturing costs than standard LFP. However, they have shorter life cycles and weaker charge-discharge capacity. Major players such as CATL, BYD, and Eve Energy are also investing in LMFP technology, intensifying competition in the high-performance cathode market.

Yuneng achieved 101% LFP capacity utilization in 2024, producing 735,462t—up 46% from 2023. Sales reached 710,565t, with 41% directed to the energy storage sector. LFP batteries continue to dominate China’s lithium-ion battery market, holding an 80% production share from January to April 2024, far exceeding the share of ternary chemistries such as NCA/NCM.

Strategic Outlook for Cathode Materials Expansion

By expanding LFP and LMFP output, Yuneng positions itself to capture additional market share as both EV adoption and energy storage demand accelerate. The cost advantage of LFP remains a key factor in China’s battery market dominance, while LMFP technology offers potential for premium applications once lifecycle limitations are addressed.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Yuneng’s investment demonstrates how Chinese cathode producers are racing to scale capacity in response to both domestic and global demand. While LFP will remain the dominant chemistry in China’s battery market, LMFP could emerge as a niche solution for applications requiring higher energy density—if manufacturers can resolve its durability challenges.

Honda Ontario EV Plan Suspended Amid Slower Market Growth Projections

Honda EV

Honda suspended its ambitious C$15 billion ($10.7 billion) Honda Ontario EV plan to build a comprehensive electric vehicle value chain in Canada. Chief Executive Toshihiro Mibe announced the two-year delay during the company's first-quarter earnings presentation, citing slower-than-expected EV market growth. The Honda Ontario EV plan postponement represents a significant setback for Canada's battery materials supply chain development and critical mineral processing ambitions.

Comprehensive Battery Supply Chain Project Faces Market Reality

The Honda Ontario EV plan encompassed a complete electric vehicle manufacturing ecosystem in Alliston, Ontario, including an EV assembly plant and standalone battery manufacturing facility. Honda partnered with Posco Future M to develop cathode and precursor materials facilities while collaborating with Asahi Kasei on separator plant construction. Meanwhile, this integrated approach aimed to reduce supply chain dependencies while supporting Honda's goal of 100% battery and fuel cell EV sales by 2040.

The comprehensive nature of the Honda Ontario EV plan positioned Canada as a strategic hub for North American electric vehicle production. Honda's investment would have created substantial demand for Canadian critical minerals, particularly lithium, nickel, and cobalt for battery cathode materials. However, slower market adoption rates have forced automakers to reassess their aggressive electrification timelines and associated capital investments.

Critical Mineral Processing Ambitions Face Automotive Headwinds

Canada's strategy to capture value from its abundant critical mineral resources through downstream processing suffers a major blow from the Honda Ontario EV plan suspension. The project represented a key opportunity to establish domestic battery materials manufacturing capabilities using Canadian lithium, nickel, and graphite resources. As a result, the delay undermines government efforts to build integrated critical mineral supply chains within North America.

Posco Future M's planned cathode and precursor facilities would have processed Canadian-sourced critical minerals into high-value battery materials for Honda's EV production. The partnership promised technology transfer and manufacturing expertise to establish Canada's position in global battery supply chains. Therefore, the Honda Ontario EV plan postponement reduces near-term demand prospects for Canadian critical mineral producers seeking domestic processing partnerships.

The two-year delay reflects broader challenges facing automaker electrification strategies as consumer adoption lags initial projections. Honda joins other manufacturers reassessing EV investment timelines amid market uncertainty and profitability concerns. Consequently, critical mineral demand growth may moderate as automakers adjust production capacity plans to match actual market conditions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Honda's decision to pause its massive Ontario investment reflects the gap between aggressive EV transition rhetoric and market reality, highlighting risks for critical mineral producers banking on rapid battery demand growth. This setback underscores the importance of diversified demand strategies for Canadian critical mineral projects, as automotive electrification timelines prove more volatile than anticipated across the industry.

BYD Achieves Record-High EV Production and Sales in 2024, Cementing Market Dominance

BYD

China’s leading new energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer, BYD, has set a new industry benchmark by exceeding 4 million units in EV production and sales in 2024. With a 41% year-on-year growth, BYD continues to dominate the global NEV market, reinforcing its commitment to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs).

BYD’s Historic NEV Production and Sales Growth

BYD’s total NEV production for 2024 reached 4.304 million units, marking a 41% increase from 2023. Notably, the company completely ceased production of gasoline-powered vehicles in March 2022, focusing entirely on electric mobility.

• December 2024 Production: 466,441 units, a 41% increase from the previous year.

• BEVs: 189,759 units (+7.6% YoY)
• PHEVs: 270,960 units (more than double YoY)

• Total 2024 Sales: 4.272 million units, accounting for 100% of BYD’s vehicle sales.

• December Sales: 514,809 units (+41% YoY)
• BEV Sales: 207,734 units (+8.9% YoY)
• PHEV Sales: 301,706 units (more than double YoY)

These figures place BYD at the forefront of China’s rapidly expanding NEV industry, which produced 11.345 million units between January and November 2024—a 35% increase compared to the previous year. Industry experts forecast that China’s total NEV sales will surpass 13 million units in 2024, further solidifying the country’s leadership in EV adoption.

BYD’s Power Battery Expansion and Market Position

In addition to its dominance in the EV sector, BYD is also a major player in power and energy storage batteries. The company installed 23.495GWh of power batteries in December and 194.705GWh throughout 2024—a 29% year-on-year increase.

BYD ranks second among China’s top power battery manufacturers:

1. CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology): 211.7GWh (45% market share)
2. BYD: 117.5GWh (25% market share)
3. CALB: 32.3GWh (7% market share)

These figures indicate BYD’s growing influence in the global lithium battery market, positioning it as a formidable competitor to CATL in the race for next-generation energy storage solutions.

Conclusion

BYD’s record-breaking EV production and sales in 2024 underscore its dominance in China’s NEV and battery industries. With strong growth in both BEV and PHEV sales, the company is well-positioned to expand its global market share. As China’s NEV production surpasses 13 million units in 2024, BYD’s continued investment in power batteries and energy storage will further reinforce its standing as a global EV leader.

Panasonic Reports Increased Profits in Q3 2024, Driven by Storage Battery Demand and AI Growth

Panasonic

Japanese Battery Maker Sees Strong Performance in Automotive and Storage Battery Segments Amid Growing AI Demand

Panasonic, a leading Japanese battery producer, reported a notable increase in profits for the third fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2024. The company posted a profit of ¥132.2 billion ($862 million), marking a 15% rise compared to the same period last year. This growth was primarily driven by stronger sales of its storage battery systems, especially to data centers, fueled by the rising adoption of generative artificial intelligence (AI) technologies.

Growth in Storage Battery Sales and AI Demand

Panasonic’s strong performance in the storage battery segment reflects the growing demand for energy storage solutions, particularly for data centers. The company did not disclose specific sales volumes but highlighted that AI's rapid growth has significantly contributed to increased sales of its storage battery systems. This aligns with global trends, where AI's demands for high-performance computing infrastructure are pushing data centers to invest in more efficient energy solutions.

In response to the strong growth in the storage battery sector, Panasonic has revised its full-year outlook. The company raised its profit forecast for its battery segment by ¥15 billion, now projecting ¥124 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. Panasonic expects the demand for storage batteries driven by AI technologies to continue, further enhancing its financial outlook.

Automotive Battery Sales and US Production Facilities

Panasonic's automotive battery business also saw a significant boost, with profits increasing by ¥2.6 billion compared to the previous year. This growth was attributed to higher battery shipments from its Nevada plant in the United States, where improved productivity has helped meet the rising demand for batteries in electric vehicles (EVs). The company’s investments in new battery production facilities in Kansas and Japan’s Wakayama prefecture helped offset initial investment costs.

Despite the potential impact of recent US tariff hikes on imports from Canada and Mexico, Panasonic anticipates minimal disruption to its operations. The company emphasized that its major battery production bases, including those in Kansas, are located within the US, which should shield it from significant negative effects from these tariffs.

Confidence in the Global EV Market

Looking ahead, Panasonic remains confident in the global EV market's growth, despite potential slowdowns in certain regions. The company believes that the overall expansion of the electric vehicle market will continue, regardless of fluctuations in growth rates. Panasonic's strategy of investing in battery production only in response to confirmed client demand ensures that the company will likely achieve a solid return on its investments, positioning it well for future growth.

In conclusion, Panasonic’s impressive performance in Q3 2024 underscores its strong position in the battery industry. With a robust outlook for storage batteries driven by AI and sustained growth in its automotive battery sector, Panasonic is poised for continued success.

CATL Begins Construction of 25 GWh/yr Battery Plant in Fujian

CATL

China’s largest battery manufacturer, CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd.), has started building its No. 5 plant at the Fuding battery production complex in Fujian province. The plant, with an annual production capacity of 25 GWh, is part of CATL’s strategy to expand its dominance in the global new energy power battery market.

Key Details of the Project

• Investment: 6.47 billion yuan ($910 million).
• Timeline: Construction is set to finish by June 2025, with production commencing shortly afterward.
• Fuding Complex: CATL’s largest single battery production site, with a total capacity of 120 GWh/yr, has already completed four plants.

A 1 GWh lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) battery typically requires 2,300 tons of lithium carbonate feedstock, underscoring the significant demand for lithium resources that the plant will generate.

CATL’s Global Production Leadership

• Current Output: CATL produced 211 GWh of batteries from January to June 2024, accounting for 65% of its total capacity of 323 GWh/yr.
• Growth: This represents a 37% increase from 154 GWh during the same period last year.
• Global Footprint: CATL operates 13 production bases worldwide, solidifying its leadership in the energy storage and electric vehicle battery sectors.

Concerns About Potential Oversupply

China’s power battery production has led global growth over the past decade, driven by surging demand from the new energy vehicle (NEV) market. However, rapid capacity expansions have raised concerns about potential oversupply, which could pressure margins and disrupt market dynamics, according to industry participants.

Strategic Importance

CATL’s latest expansion in Fujian aligns with its mission to support the fast-growing NEV market while staying ahead of competitors. The additional capacity will play a critical role in meeting the global shift toward renewable energy and electric mobility.

China’s Gotion Predicts LFP Batteries Will Dominate Global EV Market

Gotion High-Tech

Chinese battery producer Gotion High-Tech forecasts that lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) and lithium-manganese-iron-phosphate (LMFP) batteries will claim up to 70% of the global electric vehicle (EV) battery market in the next 2-5 years. Speaking at the ASEAN Battery Technology Conference in Singapore, Gotion’s Asia-Pacific president Cheng Qian highlighted the rising prominence of LFP chemistry, particularly in affordable EVs and energy storage systems.

The Rise of LFP Batteries

Qian projected that LFP batteries will dominate not only the global EV market but also the entire energy storage system (ESS) sector, exceeding even the IEA’s 80% forecast. He attributed this growth to advancements in LFP battery range and faster charging times, catering to the needs of everyday EV consumers. In contrast, nickel-cobalt-manganese (NCM) batteries are expected to remain essential only for high-performance and long-range EVs.

This shift has placed pressure on the nickel market, as manufacturers pivot to cost-efficient LFP solutions. South Korean giants such as Samsung SDI and SK On are preparing to mass-produce LFP batteries by 2026. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution (LGES) has committed to supplying 39GWh of LFP batteries to Renault's EV division Ampere, underscoring Europe’s growing focus on LFP technology.

Two-Wheeler EV Transition in Asia-Pacific

The two-wheeler EV market, particularly in Asia-Pacific, is also expected to transition from NCM to LFP batteries. India, Indonesia, and the Philippines are leading this shift due to cost concerns and government initiatives.

• India: Achieved record EV sales in FY2023-24, with two-wheeler EV sales rising 30% year-on-year to 944,126 units.
• Indonesia: Aims for 2 million electric motorcycles by 2025, supported by a $458 million subsidy program launched in March 2023.
• Philippines: Targets a 50% electric motorcycle and tricycle share by 2030, with cost efficiency driving adoption.

A Global Shift in Battery Technology

With its affordability and sustainability, LFP battery technology is reshaping the global EV landscape, especially in cost-sensitive markets. Companies like Gotion, LGES, and Samsung SDI are at the forefront of this transformation, signaling a shift towards accessible and efficient energy solutions.