Europe Faces Deindustrialization Crisis Amidst Unfair Competition and Policy Struggles

Aperam

Europe’s stainless steel industry is at a critical crossroads, facing existential challenges due to high raw material costs and increasing competition from Asian producers. According to Timoteo di Maulo, CEO of Aperam, the European sector is particularly vulnerable due to its reliance on more expensive, environmentally-friendly processes, while Asian producers benefit from cheaper, carbon-intensive nickel pig iron (NPI). Speaking at the SMR International and Special Steels Conference in Rome, di Maulo warned, “Europe will die if it cannot create a level playing field,” likening the current situation to playing European football against American football, a game neither possible nor fair.

Stainless Steel Demand Decline and Unequal Standards

Market data from SMR revealed that real stainless steel demand in Europe is expected to fall by 6% in 2024, following a decline of 3% in 2022 and 8% in 2023. The gap in production methods between Europe and Asian competitors is widening, as Indian and Chinese producers are not required to use high scrap ratios, giving them a distinct cost advantage. European steelmakers, driven by stringent EU decarbonization policies, are forced to use higher-priced scrap, further straining the industry's competitiveness.

Di Maulo emphasized that while both Europe and Asia rely on ferro-nickel and NPI, European producers face additional financial burdens that threaten the industry’s long-term viability. The decarbonization measures that Europe imposes on its steelmakers are not mirrored in Asia, where efforts to reduce carbon emissions fall short of European standards.

The situation is compounded by the upcoming European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), set to take effect in 2026. Di Maulo described CBAM as an experimental policy that risks accelerating deindustrialization by limiting raw material imports while incentivizing the import of finished goods. Other industry leaders echoed these concerns, warning that CBAM, conceived as a tax but transformed into a green policy tool, is impractical and will further weaken Europe's position in global trade.

Industry Leaders Call for Pragmatic Solutions

At the same conference, Indian producer Jindal Stainless highlighted India’s dependence on NPI due to rapid industrial growth and a shortage of scrap metal. Ratan Jindal, chairman of the company, pointed out that proposed restrictions on scrap imports, such as the EU Waste Shipment Regulation, will only exacerbate this issue.

The consensus among European stainless steel executives is that CBAM, as it currently stands, is deeply flawed. Spanish producer Acerinox’s CEO, Bernardo Velazquez, stressed the difficulty of applying CBAM uniformly across Europe due to differing national tax systems. Italian steelmaker Marcegaglia’s CEO, Antonio Marcegaglia, criticized CBAM for being limited to early stages of the production cycle and for failing to address the broader economic realities of the stainless steel industry. Dimitri Menecali of Arvedi AST added that without addressing Scope 3 emissions—those created further down the supply chain—CBAM would not effectively promote sustainability.

The industry is calling for more coordinated policies and international alliances to ensure Europe's stainless steel sector remains competitive. As di Maulo stated, “There is a role for industrialization in Europe, in innovation, high performance, and service-oriented materials.”

Nippon Kosice Mill Move Builds Direct European Steel Hub

U.S Steel, Kosice Mill

Nippon Kosice mill ownership is moving into a new phase as Nippon Steel begins the transition to take direct control of US Steel’s Slovakia-based Kosice operation. The move positions the plant as a key European operating hub inside Nippon’s global steel network.

Nippon Kosice mill control matters because the facility is one of Central Europe’s major integrated steel assets. It has crude steel capacity of 4.5mn t/yr and produced 3.2mn t in the 2025 fiscal year.

Nippon Kosice mill operations include three blast furnaces and downstream lines for hot rolling, cold rolling, annealing, tinplate, galvanizing and non-oriented electrical steel. That product range gives the site relevance across automotive, electrical, energy, packaging and construction supply chains.

The mill has been wholly owned by US Steel since 2000. US Steel became a subsidiary of Nippon in 2025, and the latest move will put Nippon in direct control of Kosice’s operations.

Direct Control Strengthens Technology, Sales and Procurement

Nippon’s direct ownership strategy is aimed at improving Kosice’s competitiveness through closer coordination on technology, sales and procurement. This is more than a corporate restructuring.

Integrated steel mills increasingly need stronger technical support to serve higher-grade markets. Customers in automotive, electrical equipment, construction and energy are demanding better surface quality, tighter tolerances, stronger coating performance and more advanced steel grades.

Kosice already has a broad industrial customer base across Europe. Direct integration with Nippon could help the mill improve product development and align more closely with global customers that require high-value steel.

Procurement is also important. European steelmakers face pressure from raw material costs, energy prices, carbon rules and import competition. A stronger link to Nippon’s global network could improve sourcing discipline and operating efficiency.

The plant’s non-oriented electrical steel capability is especially strategic. NOES is used in electric motors, generators and other equipment tied to electrification. As electric vehicles, industrial motors and grid equipment expand, electrical steel quality becomes increasingly important.

Tinplate and galvanizing lines also give Kosice exposure to packaging, automotive and construction demand. These downstream assets allow the mill to capture more value than a basic slab or hot-rolled coil producer.

Central and Eastern Europe Offer High-Grade Steel Growth

Nippon expects steel demand in Central and Eastern Europe to keep growing. That regional view is central to the Kosice strategy.

Manufacturing relocation into the region could support demand for higher-grade steel. Automotive suppliers, electrical equipment producers, energy companies and construction manufacturers all need reliable local steel supply.

Kosice is well placed geographically to serve those markets. Slovakia sits near important automotive and industrial clusters, giving the mill a logistics advantage for regional customers.

The move also gives Nippon a stronger European production base at a time when the steel industry is becoming more regional. Customers increasingly value supply security, shorter delivery routes and stable technical support.

For European steel supply chains, direct Nippon control could bring more disciplined investment and product strategy. The challenge will be upgrading competitiveness while managing Europe’s high energy costs and decarbonisation pressure.

Nippon’s high-value manufacturing technology could help Kosice move further into specialised grades. That would be important if regional demand shifts from commodity steel toward automotive sheet, electrical steel, coated products and precision cold-rolled materials.

The broader industrial meaning is clear. Nippon is not treating Kosice as a passive inherited asset from US Steel. It is positioning the mill as a strategic European platform.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Nippon’s Kosice move shows that global steelmakers are concentrating control around regional hubs with high-grade potential. The key test will be whether Nippon can turn Kosice from a legacy integrated mill into a more competitive supplier for Europe’s automotive, electrical and energy transition markets.

European Ferro-Molybdenum Prices Hit Three-Year High on Concentrate Squeeze

Ferro-Molybdenum

European ferro-molybdenum prices have climbed to a three-year high as tight molybdenum concentrate supply, stronger Chinese steel demand and logistical constraints push the market higher. The rally has lifted prices sharply since the start of the year.

European ferro-molybdenum prices were last assessed at $70.90-71.50/kg in-warehouse Rotterdam on 19 May, up by about 25% from the start of the year. Molybdenum oxide prices also rose to $30.50-30.80/lb duty unpaid Rotterdam, up by 28% over the same period.

European ferro-molybdenum prices are being driven mainly by raw material tightness rather than a broad recovery in European steel demand. Molybdenum concentrate availability has tightened structurally, limiting oxide and ferro-molybdenum production flexibility.

The key problem is that molybdenum is mostly produced as a by-product of copper mining. That means supply cannot quickly respond to higher prices, leaving the market exposed when concentrate availability tightens or downstream demand rises.

Concentrate Tightness Drives the Molybdenum Chain Higher

Molybdenum concentrate is the starting point for the supply chain. It is converted into molybdenum oxide, which then feeds ferro-molybdenum production for alloy steel and stainless steel applications.

Concentrate prices in China have risen by about 29% since January, peaking at 5,235 yuan/mtu on 13 May. That cost increase has moved through the value chain and supported higher oxide and ferro-molybdenum prices.

Chinese steel demand has intensified the squeeze. Mills purchased around 30,000t of ferro-molybdenum in March-April, up 10% from a year earlier.

This buying absorbed much of China’s available spot concentrate and oxide supply. As a result, less material has been available for export to other consuming regions.

Market participants initially expected demand to slow after pre-holiday buying ahead of the 1-5 May Labour Day holiday. Instead, sustained steel mill demand kept buyers active and tightened availability further.

The Centerra Gold Langeloth outage in the US also supported the rally. An explosion near the facility’s acid unit on 29 January led to a suspension of operations, removing an important source of molybdenum oxide and ferro-molybdenum from the prompt market.

The facility’s direct global supply share is limited. However, its outage tightened nearby availability and strengthened bullish sentiment, allowing traders and producers to raise offers more aggressively.

Supply Constraints Outweigh European Demand Recovery

The current rally is largely supply-led. European steel demand has not recovered strongly enough to explain the scale of the price increase on its own.

Logistical constraints have made the situation worse. Financing, freight and inventory bottlenecks have reduced spot availability among trading firms.

Some sellers have also withheld material in expectation of further price gains. At the same time, buyers have resisted higher offers, reducing spot liquidity and creating sharper price movements.

Truckload enquiries have remained limited in recent weeks. This suggests that physical tightness and cautious seller behaviour are driving prices more than a surge in end-user consumption.

For alloy producers and steelmakers, the rally raises cost pressure. Ferro-molybdenum is used to improve strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance in steels used across energy, chemicals, engineering, defence and industrial equipment.

The market’s vulnerability reflects molybdenum’s by-product nature. Even if prices rise sharply, copper mines cannot quickly increase molybdenum output just to meet alloy demand.

That makes the molybdenum chain highly sensitive to disruptions. Concentrate shortages, converter outages, Chinese buying and trading bottlenecks can all create price moves that exceed the underlying change in steel consumption.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The molybdenum rally shows how by-product metals can move violently when small supply disruptions meet concentrated demand. European buyers are not facing a simple steel-demand story; they are facing a raw material chain where concentrate availability now controls ferro-alloy pricing.

Germany's Olaf Scholz Urges Unified EU Support for EVs and Steelmakers

Scholz

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has called on the European Union (EU) to implement comprehensive measures to boost electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing and protect its steel industry from overcapacity and dumping. Speaking at an EU leaders' meeting, Scholz emphasized the importance of collaboration within the bloc and avoiding conflicts with major trading partners like China.

Scholz specifically urged Brussels to seek a "good conclusion" with Beijing regarding countervailing duties on Chinese battery electric vehicle (BEV) imports. EU negotiators are exploring a price commitment mechanism to address concerns about cheap imports, but Scholz opposed punitive duties, arguing, "It makes no sense having a conflict about this."

EV Manufacturing and Emissions Targets

To support European carmakers, Scholz proposed that the EU reconsider its stringent greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions targets for light passenger vehicles. The upcoming target of 93.6g CO2/km for 2025-2029, a 15% reduction from 2021 levels, has faced criticism for its ambitious timelines. Scholz suggested easing penalties for automakers unable to meet these requirements by 2025, stating, "It makes no sense to burden [car manufacturers] with additional penalties for not achieving results."

The targets will tighten further, reaching 49.5g CO2/km from 2030-2034 and zero emissions by 2035, effectively banning internal combustion engine vehicles. Scholz called for a balanced approach, ensuring that penalties do not hinder firms’ liquidity, especially as they ramp up investments in electro-mobility.

Additionally, Scholz proposed a "common subsidy concept" across EU member states to stimulate EV production and enhance Europe’s competitiveness in the global automotive market.

Addressing Steel Industry Challenges

Scholz also highlighted the urgent need for the EU to tackle overcapacity, dumping, and the influx of cheap steel imports that threaten European steelmakers. He advocated for a unified strategy to safeguard the bloc's industrial base, underscoring the strategic importance of the steel sector to the EU's economy and energy transition goals.

Greenland Resources Molybdenum Supply Deal Strengthens Europe’s Steel Alloy Chain

Greenland Resources

Greenland Resources molybdenum supply plans gained further commercial support after the Canadian mine developer signed an MOU with Rogesa for long-term molybdenum products. Rogesa is a subsidiary of German steelmakers Dillinger and Saarstahl, making the agreement directly relevant to Europe’s steel alloy supply chain.

The MOU covers potential supply of ferro-molybdenum, molybdenum oxide and briquettes from Greenland Resources’ Malmbjerg project in eastern Greenland. The molybdenum ore would later be refined in Belgium before entering European industrial markets.

Greenland Resources molybdenum supply remains subject to project development and future commercial arrangements, as the agreement does not yet disclose final volumes. However, the deal adds another offtake signal for a project that Europe increasingly views through the lens of raw material security.

Malmbjerg Project Adds Strategic Value to European Alloy Supply

The Malmbjerg molybdenum project has gained strategic relevance because molybdenum is essential for high-performance steels, stainless steels, tool steels and specialty alloys. It improves strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance in demanding industrial applications.

The project received a 30-year exploitation permit in June 2025, but commercial production has not yet started. This makes offtake interest important because long-term buyers can support financing, project confidence and future market positioning.

The EU’s support for the project also highlights its strategic value. Canada’s natural resources department has conditionally approved a C$7mn grant, while Europe has signalled willingness to help fund the project as part of its broader critical raw materials strategy.

Rogesa Agreement Builds on Wider Offtake Momentum

The Rogesa MOU adds to a growing list of Greenland Resources molybdenum supply agreements. The company has already signed offtake MOUs with Hempel, Cogne, Outokumpu and GMH Group.

This pattern shows that European industrial buyers are looking for more secure molybdenum supply outside traditional channels. For steelmakers, reliable access to molybdenum matters because alloy availability can influence product quality, cost control and production planning.

The planned refining route through Belgium also strengthens the European value-chain angle. If Malmbjerg advances, the project could connect Greenlandic ore, European refining and regional steel alloy demand into a more resilient supply model.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Rogesa MOU shows that molybdenum is becoming part of Europe’s wider raw material security agenda. Greenland Resources still needs to move Malmbjerg into production, but its growing offtake base gives the project stronger strategic credibility.

Greenland Resources to supply Mo to GMH Group under long-term MOU

Greenland Resources

Greenland Resources to supply Mo to GMH Group as Europe tightens its strategy on critical alloying inputs. Greenland Resources to supply Mo to GMH Group through a long-term memorandum of understanding. Therefore, the deal adds another European steel anchor to Malmbjerg’s offtake portfolio.

Greenland Resources to supply Mo to GMH Group in multiple product forms. The company plans to deliver ferro-molybdenum, molybdenum oxide, and briquettes. Meanwhile, a refinery in Belgium will process material produced from Malmbjerg ore, supporting European value-added conversion.

Greenland Resources to supply Mo to GMH Group from its Malmbjerg project in eastern Greenland. Malmbjerg holds a 30-year exploitation permit granted in June 2025. As a result, the project can frame multi-decade supply discussions even before full commercial ramp-up.

Why GMH’s molybdenum sourcing matters for specialty steel

GMH Group operates in steel markets where molybdenum directly upgrades performance. Molybdenum improves high-temperature strength and corrosion resistance in critical grades. Therefore, stable Mo supply can protect margins in engineering steel, energy, and industrial tooling demand cycles.

European steelmakers also face growing procurement risk for alloying elements. Logistics, permitting delays, and geopolitical friction can disrupt minor metal flows. However, long-term Mo agreements can shorten sourcing lead times and stabilise quality specifications.

Malmbjerg builds a European offtake network around Mo products

The GMH MOU follows earlier offtake agreements Greenland Resources signed with European industrial buyers. Those deals include Hempel, Cogne, and Outokumpu. Meanwhile, adding another German buyer increases the project’s commercial credibility with financiers and export credit agencies.

Product flexibility also signals a practical approach to customer needs. Some buyers prefer oxide for downstream conversion, while others prefer ferro-alloy units. Therefore, offering multiple forms can widen the reachable customer base and reduce single-product exposure.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This MOU strengthens Malmbjerg’s positioning as a Europe-oriented molybdenum supply option. However, project execution and refining readiness will decide whether the contracts translate into real volumes. The winners will be those who lock in specifications early and qualify supply chains fast.

European Stainless Steel Market Faces Mixed Trends Amid Price Stabilization

European stainless steel prices have recently stabilized, buoyed by projected supply constraints and unexpected demand spikes, yet the broader market remains under pressure.

Stabilization in Stainless Steel Prices

Over the past two weeks, European stainless steel prices have shown signs of stabilization, largely due to projected supply tightness following production cuts by Acerinox at its Acerinox Europa plant in Los Barrios, Cadiz, Spain, and a maintenance stoppage at Outokumpu's Finnish facility.

An unexpected increase in buyer interest in Germany led to slight price rises. However, the momentum is expected to fade as service centers delay purchases to next year amid persistent low demand across most regions.

Raw Material Insights: Stainless Steel Scrap and Ferro-Alloys

Stainless Steel Scrap

Despite low domestic demand, stainless steel scrap prices saw an unexpected boost last week, fueled by mounting export interest.

Ferro-Alloys

The ferro-molybdenum market has faced high price pressure, averaging $51.10/kg over the past month. Rising material costs and heightened Asian demand have driven prices up, challenging European producers who are focusing on lower-margin steels to sustain operations. Meanwhile, Indian ferro-chrome exports to Europe have contributed to excess supply, driving prices downward in early autumn.

Prices of high-carbon ferro-chrome (65% Cr) dropped by 8% in September, with further declines in October as producers in Kazakhstan and India slashed offers. However, with long-term contracts for 2024 expected to conclude shortly, a price rebound may be on the horizon.

Demand and Market Outlook

Demand for stainless steel and its raw materials remains subdued. Some European steelmakers may shut operations earlier for the winter due to low order volumes. This pessimistic outlook could prolong the market challenges for the remainder of 2024.

Derichebourg Recycling Results Rise on Non-Ferrous Strength and Scrap Policy Support

Chhattisgarh, Ferro‑alloy

Derichebourg recycling results improved in the first half of the company’s 2025-26 financial year as stronger non-ferrous demand, higher prices and increased metal volumes lifted earnings. The French recycling group reported Ebitda of €177.8mn for October-March, up almost 10% from a year earlier.

Derichebourg recycling results show how metal recyclers are benefiting from two linked forces. Non-ferrous scrap demand remains firm, while European steel policy is encouraging mills to source more feedstock from within the region.

Derichebourg recycling results also point to continued momentum in the second half. The company expects April-September performance to be comparable to the first half and forecasts full-year Ebitda of €350mn-370mn.

The market responded positively to the filing, with Derichebourg’s share price rising above €10 from €9.50 after the results were released.

Non-Ferrous Metals Drive Earnings Growth

Non-ferrous metals were the main earnings driver. Derichebourg sold 357,100t of non-ferrous metals in the first half, up 4.4% from a year earlier.

Revenue from the non-ferrous segment rose by nearly 20% to €1bn. The average non-ferrous price was almost 15% higher than in the same period last year.

Copper sales were especially strong, rising by 17%. Aluminium sales, excluding ingots, increased by 10%, supported by firm industrial demand.

However, the picture was not uniformly positive. Aluminium ingot sales fell by 15%, while lead sales dropped by 4%, mainly because of weaker demand from the automotive industry.

This split matters for recyclers. Copper and aluminium scrap remain exposed to electrification, infrastructure and industrial manufacturing, while automotive weakness can still pressure selected downstream products.

Derichebourg’s non-ferrous performance shows that scrap is becoming a strategic raw material, not only a waste recovery business. Buyers increasingly need reliable recycled metal flows for cost control, carbon reduction and supply security.

CBAM and Steel Quotas Support Ferrous Scrap Outlook

Ferrous scrap revenue fell by 5% to €649.9mn because lower average prices offset higher volumes. Derichebourg sold 2.13mn t of ferrous scrap, up 2.2% from a year earlier.

European mills increased scrap purchases ahead of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism coming into force in January. CBAM has added complexity to imported steel and raw material calculations, pushing some steelmakers toward European suppliers.

The company also expects ferrous scrap demand to strengthen after the EU introduces new steel quotas and customs duties in July. These measures could support regional scrap flows by making local feedstock more attractive.

Turkey also contributed to stronger scrap demand as steel production increased. That remains important because Turkish mills are major seaborne scrap buyers and can influence European collection and export markets.

Derichebourg is also expanding geographically. The company agreed to acquire Germany’s Scholz Recycling, which operates 180 sites including joint ventures across Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovenia, Austria and Romania.

The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026. It will strengthen Derichebourg’s recycling network in eastern Europe, where its presence has been smaller.

The acquisition fits the wider market direction. European recyclers are scaling up as policy, carbon rules and industrial demand make scrap supply more valuable.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Derichebourg’s results show that recycling is becoming a policy-supported industrial supply chain. CBAM, steel trade measures and non-ferrous demand are turning scrap networks into strategic assets for European metals security.

EU CBAM Downstream Goods Expansion Targets Cars, Fridges and Components

EU CBAM

EU CBAM downstream goods coverage is set to expand from 1 January 2028 under a draft European Council compromise text. The proposal would apply the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism to steel-intensive finished goods and components, including cars, washing machines, fridges and a wider range of downstream products.

The move marks a significant shift in Europe’s carbon trade policy. Until now, CBAM has focused mainly on basic materials and selected upstream products, but the new proposal would extend protection further along the industrial value chain.

EU CBAM downstream goods expansion directly addresses a long-standing concern in the steel market. Without downstream coverage, importers could bypass carbon costs by bringing in finished products or components instead of covered steel inputs.

Downstream Protection Becomes Central to Steel Competitiveness

Downstream protection has been strongly supported by parts of the European steel market, including distributors association Eurometal. The argument is straightforward: CBAM cannot protect European steel producers if foreign manufacturers can export carbon-intensive finished goods into the EU without equivalent carbon costs.

The proposed expansion would therefore widen the policy shield around European steel-intensive manufacturing. Cars, appliances, machinery parts and components all contain embedded steel, and their inclusion could reduce the risk of carbon leakage moving further down the value chain.

This matters for European industrial competitiveness. Steelmakers, processors, distributors and manufacturers are all exposed if carbon pricing raises domestic production costs while finished imports remain outside the mechanism.

Verification Capacity Remains a Key Implementation Risk

The draft text also points to possible agreements for mutual recognition of third-country accreditation bodies. This is designed to address a major implementation bottleneck: the limited number of recognised verification bodies able to carry out CBAM audits.

Only six verification bodies have so far been recognised, which may be insufficient for the number of steel mills and exporters seeking approval before the deadline. Without broader verification capacity, CBAM implementation could face delays, disputes and administrative pressure.

The European Parliament is also moving through its own process. Dutch centre-left member Mohammed Chahim has been appointed to draft the legal report, with an environment committee vote expected on 6 July and an indicative plenary vote scheduled for September. That process will shape parliament’s position before final negotiations with EU member states.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The EU CBAM downstream goods proposal shows that Brussels is moving from carbon accounting toward industrial border protection. If adopted, it could reshape trade flows for steel, appliances, automotive components and machinery by forcing carbon costs deeper into finished-product supply chains.

EU Ferro-Alloy Safeguards Face Legal Challenge From Grondmet

Ferro-alloy

EU Ferro-alloy safeguards are facing a legal challenge after German alloy trader Grondmet filed an action for annulment with the EU’s General Court. The case could become an important test of how Europe balances import protection, industrial competitiveness, and raw material access for alloy consumers.

Grondmet is disputing the legal basis for safeguards implemented by the EU on 19 November 2025. The company argues that the measures do not meet the European Commission’s own thresholds because a recent, sudden, sharp, and significant rise in imports cannot be substantiated for ferro-silicon or ferro-manganese.

The challenge matters because ferro-alloys are essential inputs for steelmaking, foundries, stainless steel, and specialty alloy production. If safeguards raise costs or restrict access without clear market justification, downstream manufacturers could face additional pressure at a time when European industry is already struggling with energy costs and regulatory burdens.

Grondmet Questions Import Evidence and Product Grouping

Grondmet’s case focuses on whether the EU properly assessed the ferro-alloy market before applying safeguards. The company says the Commission failed to conduct a product-specific assessment and wrongly treated different grades and qualities as homogeneous product groups.

This point is commercially important. Ferro-silicon, ferro-manganese, and other ferro-alloys are not interchangeable in many industrial applications. Grade, chemistry, impurity limits, origin, and delivery reliability can determine whether a material is suitable for a specific steel or alloy recipe.

Grondmet also argues that out-of-quota price thresholds are disconnected from actual market conditions. The company specifically says the ferro-silicon threshold is misaligned with prevailing prices and lacks clear economic or methodological justification. If accepted by the court, this argument could weaken the basis for applying broad safeguards across differentiated alloy products.

Energy Costs Remain Europe’s Deeper Ferro-Alloy Problem

EU ferro-alloy safeguards also raise a wider competitiveness question. Grondmet argues that the primary structural challenge for European ferro-alloy producers is energy cost, not import pressure. This is a critical distinction because ferro-alloy production is highly power-intensive.

If high electricity prices are the main reason European producers are losing competitiveness, import safeguards may not solve the underlying problem. They may instead shift costs to steelmakers, foundries, traders, and industrial buyers that depend on competitively priced alloying materials.

The legal process could also attract wider industry participation. An action for annulment allows third parties to intervene either in support of or against the challenge. Grondmet has invited European traders, producers, and consumers to join the case, suggesting that the dispute may become a broader debate over EU industrial policy and market access.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Grondmet case highlights a growing tension in European metals policy. Protection tools may support producers in the short term, but they can weaken downstream competitiveness if they do not address the real cost problem: energy.

EU Car Emissions Policy Divides States as 2035 and ETS 2 Battles Intensify

EU, ETS

EU car emissions policy is becoming a major fault line between member states as governments debate how much flexibility automakers should receive after 2035 and how quickly carbon pricing should expand into road transport and buildings.

France, Spain and Sweden defended continued electrification, while Poland called for greater flexibility in vehicle CO2 rules and further changes to ETS 2. The European Commission’s current proposal would replace the existing 100% tailpipe-emissions reduction requirement for new cars and vans from 2035 with a 90% reduction, with the remaining emissions compensated through low-carbon steel, e-fuels or biofuels. 

EU car emissions policy increasingly matters for metals markets because the regulatory outcome will influence the pace of EV adoption, internal-combustion vehicle production and material demand across batteries, copper, aluminium and automotive steels.

At the same time, disagreements over ETS 2 show that Europe is still negotiating how quickly consumers and transport markets should absorb the cost of decarbonisation.

2035 Flexibility Could Reshape Automotive Metals Demand

The Commission’s proposed flexibility would allow plug-in hybrids, range extenders, mild hybrids and some internal-combustion vehicles to remain in the market beyond 2035, provided manufacturers meet the wider emissions framework. 

That matters because the automotive material mix changes significantly depending on powertrain.

Battery electric vehicles typically require larger battery packs and more copper-intensive electrical systems. They directly support demand for lithium, graphite and selected nickel and manganese products depending on battery chemistry.

Hybrids require much smaller batteries, reducing battery mineral intensity per vehicle. However, they still consume more copper and electrical components than conventional combustion vehicles.

Continued ICE production would also sustain demand for metals and components linked to traditional powertrains, including speciality steels, aluminium castings and exhaust-system materials.

Low-carbon steel is becoming another strategic element. Under the Commission proposal, EU-made low-carbon steel could contribute to compensating the remaining emissions permitted after 2035. 

This could create a new commercial advantage for European steelmakers investing in lower-carbon production. Automotive decarbonisation would then depend not only on the vehicle powertrain but also on the embedded emissions of its materials.

The industrial argument is therefore becoming more complex than EV versus ICE. Europe is increasingly debating whether decarbonisation should be measured through tailpipe emissions alone or through a broader combination of powertrain, fuels and lower-carbon materials.

ETS 2 Debate Highlights Cost of Europe’s Transition

The political divide extends beyond cars to carbon pricing.

ETS 2 is designed to expand emissions trading to fuels used in buildings, road transport and additional sectors. Its full launch is currently scheduled for 2028, while EU institutions have also been strengthening its market stability reserve to reduce excessive price volatility. 

Poland is pushing for stronger mechanisms to control carbon prices and has argued for further flexibility around implementation.

The issue is important because ETS 2 could eventually increase the carbon cost associated with road fuels and heating. Governments are therefore balancing emissions objectives against household costs, inflation and industrial competitiveness.

For metals and manufacturing, carbon market design has indirect but significant consequences. Faster electrification supports grids, charging infrastructure and electrical metals demand. Slower implementation could extend fossil fuel consumption and delay part of that investment cycle.

Germany has meanwhile focused on the longer-term availability of allowances under the existing ETS, highlighting concern over how rapidly the emissions cap declines as Europe approaches its 2040 climate targets.

These debates show that Europe has broadly agreed on the direction of travel but not on the speed or industrial structure of the transition.

The eventual policy mix will influence where manufacturers invest, which automotive technologies survive and how quickly European material supply chains need to adapt.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe’s automotive debate is shifting from a simple ICE-versus-EV argument toward a contest over technology, carbon pricing and material origin. For metals markets, the final policy balance will determine how quickly demand moves toward batteries, copper and low-carbon steel.

Derichebourg Recycling Results Rise on Strong Non-Ferrous Demand

Derichebourg

Derichebourg recycling results strengthened in the first half of its 2025-26 financial year as higher non-ferrous metal volumes and prices lifted profitability. The French recycling group reported Ebitda of €177.8mn for October-March, up almost 10% from a year earlier.

Derichebourg recycling results also benefited from rising copper and aluminium volumes. The company expects similar performance in the April-September second half, supported by firm non-ferrous demand and improving conditions for ferrous scrap.

Derichebourg recycling results highlight a broader shift in Europe. Scrap is becoming more strategically valuable as steelmakers respond to CBAM, new trade measures and pressure to reduce carbon intensity.

Full-year Ebitda is expected at €350mn-370mn. The company’s share price also moved above €10 following the results announcement, from around €9.50 previously.

Copper and Aluminium Lift Non-Ferrous Performance

Derichebourg sold 357,100t of non-ferrous metals during the first half, up 4.4% from a year earlier. Segment revenue increased by almost 20% to €1bn as average non-ferrous prices rose by nearly 15%.

Copper delivered the strongest volume increase, with sales rising by 17%. Aluminium volumes excluding ingots increased by 10%.

These gains show continued demand for recycled metals tied to electrification, infrastructure and industrial manufacturing. Copper scrap is particularly important as buyers look for additional metal units outside constrained primary mine supply.

Aluminium recycling also benefits from tighter sustainability requirements. Secondary aluminium requires significantly less energy than primary production and can help manufacturers lower embedded carbon.

But automotive weakness affected some product categories. Aluminium ingot sales fell by 15%, while lead volumes declined by 4%.

This divergence shows that scrap demand depends heavily on end-use exposure. Copper and processed aluminium benefited from broader industrial demand, while automotive-linked products remained under pressure.

For recyclers, the value proposition is becoming stronger. Industrial customers increasingly need not only scrap availability, but consistent chemistry, traceability and reliable processing.

CBAM and Steel Trade Measures Strengthen Scrap Outlook

Derichebourg’s ferrous scrap revenue fell by 5% to €649.9mn because weaker average prices offset higher sales volumes. Ferrous scrap shipments still increased by 2.2% to 2.13mn t.

European mills increased scrap purchasing ahead of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism entering force in January. Some steelmakers have shifted toward European feedstock to avoid complex CBAM calculations and uncertainty over import-related costs.

This creates a structural advantage for regional scrap suppliers. As carbon becomes part of steel procurement decisions, recycled feedstock can support lower-emission electric arc furnace production and reduce exposure to imported raw materials.

Derichebourg also expects new EU steel quotas and customs duties introduced in July to support ferrous scrap demand. These measures could encourage more regional production and strengthen demand for domestically sourced scrap.

Turkey’s higher steel output has provided additional support because the country remains a major buyer in the international scrap market.

Derichebourg is also expanding its geographic reach through the planned acquisition of Scholz Recycling. Scholz operates 180 sites, including joint ventures, across Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovenia, Austria and Romania.

The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026. It will significantly strengthen Derichebourg’s footprint in eastern Europe and expand access to scrap collection networks.

The Metalnomist Commentary

European scrap is becoming an industrial resource rather than simply a recycling product. CBAM, trade protection and stronger demand for low-carbon metals are increasing the strategic value of large collection and processing networks.

European Ferro-Tungsten Prices Decline Amid Summer Demand Slowdown

After experiencing a significant spike in the year's first half, European ferro-tungsten prices have begun to decline due to a typical summer demand slowdown. The earlier surge was driven by concerns over a global concentrate shortage and increased replacement material from Asia due to higher demand.

Summer Slowdown

The easing of prices started at the end of June, paralleling the trend in the Asian market where lower feedstock costs and stagnant steelmaker demand led to a decline. Market participants noted ample material availability, with many sellers holding onto their inventories in anticipation of a post-summer price rebound. However, the outlook now suggests a gradual easing of prices for the remainder of the year. This is due to stockholders likely needing to offload inventories at lower rates amidst unchanged end-user demand since the spring surge.

Despite the downtrend, prices remain historically high for this time of year, averaging $42.50/kg in July, the highest for the month in over a decade.

In the first half of this year, European ferro-tungsten prices rose by 15.6%, influenced by higher prices in China and speculation about supply constraints. January to June prices were 4.5% higher than the same period last year, averaging $40.18/kg. A sudden spike to $42/kg in April was driven by fears of reduced Chinese exports due to domestic shortages. This led market participants to secure material rapidly, pushing prices to a peak of $44.75/kg in late May.

China's Role

China, the world's largest ferro-tungsten supplier, saw its exports more than double in the first three months of this year compared to last year, driven by strong domestic demand amid tight supplies. Chinese prices for 75% ferro-tungsten peaked at 239,000-241,000 yuan/t ($32,982-33,258/t) in May, surpassing previous records from June 2011. These high concentrate costs led steelmakers to conserve inventories, limiting restocking efforts due to stagnant downstream demand.

While a short-term price increase was expected due to tight concentrates in China, long-term prices are projected to fall as supply conditions normalize. European prices, although declining, are still elevated compared to previous summers, reflecting the market's volatility and ongoing adjustments to global supply and demand dynamics.

EU CBAM Extension Could Cover 200 More Steel and Aluminium Products

CBAM

EU CBAM extension plans could widen the carbon border adjustment mechanism to around 200 additional downstream products that use significant volumes of steel and aluminium. The proposal goes beyond the European Commission’s earlier plan covering 180 product codes.

EU CBAM extension reflects growing concern that carbon leakage could shift from raw materials into manufactured goods. If downstream products remain outside the mechanism, overseas producers using higher-carbon steel or aluminium could gain a cost advantage over European manufacturers.

EU CBAM extension would therefore move the system deeper into industrial supply chains. The impact could reach fabricated steel products, aluminium-intensive components and other manufactured goods that compete directly with EU-made products.

The Council presidency also wants the list of covered customs codes to remain flexible, allowing future additions or adjustments as trade patterns and circumvention risks evolve.

Downstream Expansion Targets Carbon Leakage Beyond Raw Materials

CBAM initially focused mainly on carbon-intensive upstream materials, including iron and steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizers, electricity and hydrogen.

The next phase targets a structural weakness in that model. European manufacturers can face higher carbon costs when using domestically produced steel or aluminium, while competing imported finished products may avoid equivalent charges.

Extending CBAM downstream aims to close that gap. It would place more imported products under carbon-cost rules based on the emissions embedded in their metal content and production.

For European steel and aluminium producers, the change could strengthen demand for regional low-carbon material. Downstream manufacturers may have less incentive to substitute EU metal-intensive products with cheaper imports produced under weaker carbon constraints.

But the administrative burden could rise. Importers and overseas manufacturers will need more detailed emissions data, product classifications and supply-chain documentation.

The Council presidency is therefore trying to balance wider emissions coverage with manageable reporting requirements. Three medical-use customs codes have been proposed for removal from the expanded list, reflecting concerns over unnecessary complexity in sensitive sectors.

Aluminium and Steel Supply Chains Face Wider Compliance Pressure

The expansion could have important consequences for global metals trade. Exporters of fabricated steel and aluminium products into Europe may increasingly need to demonstrate embedded emissions and product origin.

This could influence sourcing decisions far beyond primary metal. Extrusions, fabricated components, steel structures and other downstream goods may face stronger pressure to use lower-carbon feedstock.

For aluminium producers, access to renewable electricity and recycled metal could become more valuable. For steelmakers, electric arc furnace production, scrap use and lower-carbon iron inputs could improve competitiveness.

The proposal also strengthens the role of customs classification. A continuously adjustable list of CN codes would allow the EU to respond as companies change product routes or trade patterns to avoid carbon costs.

That flexibility could make CBAM more effective, but it also increases regulatory uncertainty for exporters. Companies selling into Europe will need to track not only carbon prices but also changing product coverage.

The Council has broadly supported extending CBAM to more downstream products, although some member states have argued for a narrower approach. The final scope will therefore depend on negotiations between EU institutions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CBAM is evolving from a raw-material carbon mechanism into a wider industrial trade tool. For steel and aluminium suppliers, competitiveness will increasingly depend on proving low-carbon production across the entire downstream value chain.

Eurofer Warns of Fourth Consecutive Year of EU Steel Demand Recession

Eurofer

Steel Market Weakness Deepens Amid Tariff Pressure and Global Overcapacity

The European Steel Association (Eurofer) forecasts that EU apparent steel consumption will contract by 0.9% in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of decline. This represents a sharp reversal from its earlier prediction of 2.2% growth. Steel-using sectors are also projected to shrink by 0.5%, instead of the 1.6% recovery previously expected.

Eurofer cites the new U.S. 50% tariffs on steel as a significant additional burden on an already fragile market. Global overcapacity, high energy costs, and geopolitical tensions continue to erode the competitiveness of EU steelmakers. As a result, producers may face capacity closures, job losses, and delays in decarbonisation investments.

The association now expects any demand recovery to be postponed until the first quarter of 2026, contingent on improvements in global economic conditions. If no resolution is reached between the EU and U.S. over tariffs, Eurofer urges the European Commission to enact emergency trade measures under its Steel and Metals Action Plan.

In 2024, EU apparent steel consumption declined by 1.1%, while domestic deliveries fell 2%. Steel-using industries, particularly automotive and construction, contracted by 3.7%, intensifying the sector’s challenges.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Eurofer’s outlook underscores the compounding impact of trade disputes, structural overcapacity, and energy costs on Europe’s steel industry. Without swift trade safeguards and competitive energy pricing, EU steelmakers risk losing ground to global rivals, jeopardising both jobs and decarbonisation goals.

EU Steel Demand 2026 Shows Only Modest Recovery as Excess Capacity Grows

EU steelmaking

EU steel demand 2026 is expected to recover only modestly, with the OECD forecasting a 1.4% increase across the EU and UK to 153.65mn t. The improvement follows a 1.2% decline in 2025 and falls well short of a meaningful rebound.

EU steel demand 2026 will remain constrained by high energy costs, weak downstream manufacturing and persistent import pressure. Steel production across the EU and UK is forecast at 132.4mn t after falling by 2.4% last year.

EU steel demand 2026 also faces a wider structural problem. Global steel demand remains weak while excess production capacity continues to grow, increasing pressure on prices and trade flows.

New European import measures may provide some support to regional mills, but trade protection alone is unlikely to restore demand without stronger industrial activity.

Europe Remains Trapped Between Weak Demand and Import Pressure

Germany illustrates the depth of the challenge. Steel demand is expected to rise by only 1.1% in 2026 after falling by 6.1% last year.

Weak domestic consumption and high import volumes continue to affect German competitiveness. High electricity and energy costs add further pressure to steelmakers already facing weak utilisation.

France shows an even weaker recovery profile. Demand is expected to increase by just 0.3% after dropping by 12.6% in 2025.

This means European mills may receive some pricing support from tighter import controls without seeing equivalent growth in physical consumption.

That distinction matters. Trade measures can improve domestic market protection, but they cannot replace demand from automotive, construction, machinery and other major steel-consuming sectors.

The risk is that mills face a market where imports are restricted but end-user consumption remains weak. In that environment, production discipline and cost competitiveness become increasingly important.

Global Overcapacity Shifts Growth Toward India and Emerging Markets

Global steel demand is forecast to increase by only 0.4% to 1.812bn t in 2026 after declining by 2.6% last year.

China remains the main drag, with demand expected to fall by 0.6%. In contrast, India is forecast to grow by 6.7%, while Asean steel demand is expected to rise by 3.5%.

Africa is projected to deliver the strongest regional growth at 4.4%. Middle East demand growth is expected to slow sharply to 1.6% from 6.4% because of regional conflict.

Trade flows are also becoming more complex. The OECD warned that some Chinese steel affected by trade restrictions is increasingly moving through third countries before reaching OECD markets.

Chinese semi-finished steel exports to southeast Asia increased by 300% in 2025. Some of that material can be converted into rolled products and subsequently exported into other markets.

Hot-rolled plate and wide coil have shown some of the largest shifts. This makes origin tracking and anti-circumvention measures increasingly important for steel policy.

The longer-term problem is capacity. Global excess steel capacity is projected to increase from 640mn t in 2025 to 745mn t by 2028.

Traditional blast furnace production also remains dominant. Global blast furnace pig iron output stood near 1.3bn t in 2024, roughly ten times direct reduced iron production, with China accounting for around 70% of global blast furnace output.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe’s steel problem is increasingly structural rather than cyclical. Import controls may protect prices, but without lower energy costs and stronger downstream manufacturing, excess global capacity will continue to pressure European mills.

Uncertainty Looms Over Russian Ferro-Titanium Market Amid EU Sanctions

Ferro-Titanium (Fe-Ti)

The European ferro-titanium (FeTi) market is facing a period of uncertainty as the EU sanctions on Russian ferro-alloys are set to be fully enforced. Market participants are divided over whether the sanctions will have a lasting impact on Russian FeTi supplies or if the overhang of Russian units in Europe, coupled with low demand from steel mills, will continue to create downward pressure on prices in 2025. A key point of concern is the potential for circumvention, with fears that Russian material may be rerouted or rebranded through non-EU countries.

Legal Framework and Market Response to Sanctions

Under the sanctions, ferro-titanium imports from Russia that were contracted before 19 December 2023 and presented to customs before 20 December 2024 may still enter free circulation within the EU. However, despite the clear framework outlined in Council Regulation 833/2014, uncertainty continues to surround how the market will react once these conditions change.

"Everyone is waiting for 20 December, it seems nobody understands what will happen," commented a European producer. There is significant ambiguity as to how the market will balance the loss of Russian material, particularly in light of high inventories of Russian ferro-titanium already present in warehouses in the Netherlands, Estonia, Latvia, and Germany. Imports in 2024 have already been lower than in previous years, but it remains unclear where the remaining stock will end up, especially as many buyers continue to avoid Russian FeTi.

Trade Dynamics and Impact on the Market

Despite sanctions, imports of Russian ferro-titanium to the EU remained significant in 2024, particularly in Estonia, Germany, and the Netherlands. In fact, Estonian imports in October 2024 reached a 10-year high of 591 tonnes, signaling that sanctions have not entirely stopped the flow of Russian material into the EU. Westbrook Resources, a UK producer, has called for increased vigilance among buyers to ensure they are not inadvertently purchasing smuggled or rerouted material, highlighting the difficulty of tracking the origin of ferro-titanium in the current market environment.

As of 20 December 2024, no fresh Russian ferro-alloys will be allowed into the EU, leading to a projected loss of 766 tonnes per month based on 2023 averages. While EU and UK producers may be able to cover this shortfall with unused capacity, the reduction in available supply is likely to increase demand for raw materials, driving up prices for scrap and raising production costs for ferro-titanium. However, overall demand from steel mills and cored wire manufacturers has been weak, due to an economic downturn and lower steel prices. This will likely temper any significant price increases, though temporary spikes may occur if first-quarter tenders prompt urgent purchases.

Circumvention Risks: Material Rerouting and Relabelling

Despite the official ban on Russian ferro-titanium imports, there are ongoing concerns about circumvention. The EU regulation explicitly prohibits releasing goods if there are grounds to suspect circumvention, but market sources argue that loopholes remain. Materials may be rerouted, relabelled, or blended through countries such as Turkey, India, China, or Kazakhstan, creating a potential grey market for Russian FeTi in Europe. Chinese imports of Russian ferro-titanium have already been on the rise, suggesting that circumvention may already be in play, though Europe has not yet seen significant volumes of these rerouted materials.

Logistics challenges, including the extra costs of rerouting and repackaging, may limit the feasibility of circumvention unless steel prices in Europe increase. Additionally, there are reports that Russian producers may shift to exporting titanium scrap, a material not covered under the EU sanctions. This could provide an alternative route for Russian producers to bypass restrictions, further complicating the market dynamics.

Conclusion

As the sanctions on Russian ferro-titanium fully come into force in December 2024, European market participants remain in a state of uncertainty, unsure of how the market will respond to the loss of Russian material and the potential for circumvention. While EU producers may absorb some of the shortfall with existing capacity, broader market conditions, including weak demand from steelmakers and rising production costs, could create a complex and volatile pricing environment.

EU GOES Safeguard Investigation Targets Electrical Steel Import Pressure

GOES

EU GOES safeguard investigation activity has moved into focus as Brussels examines imports of grain-oriented electrical steel and steel laminations and cores. The probe reflects growing concern that low-priced imports are undermining Europe’s electrical steel production base.

The EU GOES safeguard investigation comes as Thyssenkrupp prepares to fully close its Gelsenkirchen and Isbergues sites between June and September. The company had already been operating the sites at only 50% capacity since January because of intense import pressure.

The investigation matters because grain-oriented electrical steel is essential for transformers, grid equipment, renewable power infrastructure, and electrification. If Europe loses more domestic GOES capacity, its energy transition supply chain becomes more exposed to foreign steel and component suppliers.

Thyssenkrupp Closures Raise Industrial Security Concerns

Thyssenkrupp’s planned closures put around 1,200 jobs at risk and highlight the pressure on European electrical steel producers. The company’s warning of a “ruinous flood of imports” shows how trade flows are affecting not only steel margins, but also strategic industrial capacity.

The EU already applies anti-dumping measures on GOES imports from China, Russia, the US, Japan, and South Korea when prices fall below the minimum import price. These measures can trigger duties of 21.5-39%.

However, steel laminations and cores are not currently covered by anti-dumping duties. That gap matters because SLC products sit closer to downstream transformer and electrical equipment manufacturing, where import competition can affect both steelmakers and component suppliers.

Safeguard Probe Could Support Ferro-Silicon Demand

The EU GOES safeguard investigation must be concluded by December, with a possible extension to February 2027. The probe covers flat-rolled GOES and electrical laminations and cores under the relevant EU customs classifications.

The investigation follows the European Commission’s earlier safeguard measures on ferro-silicon, silico-manganese, and ferro-manganese. This sequence suggests Brussels is becoming more willing to intervene where import pressure threatens strategic metals and alloy value chains.

GOES production depends on high-purity ferro-silicon to deliver the magnetic properties required for transformer-grade electrical steel. Any safeguard measure that supports European GOES production could also improve demand conditions for EU ferro-silicon producers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe’s GOES probe is not only a steel trade case. It is a test of whether the EU can protect the materials base behind transformers, grids, electrification, and energy security before more capacity exits the region.

European Stainless Steel Scrap Prices Plummet

European stainless steel scrap prices have dropped significantly over the past week as sellers cut offers due to decreased interest from steelmakers. The euro's strength against the US dollar and a general softness in the ferrous market contributed to the decline, with some offers falling by up to 7%.

Declining Interest and Rising Imports

Additionally, the growing influx of nickel pig iron (NPI) from Asia has begun to impact scrap prices. Initially driven by a shortage of scrap in Western Europe, buyers have turned to NPI for cost benefits. Italian mills are noted as major NPI buyers, with significant orders reported from German and Dutch buyers. A trader predicts that these large NPI volumes will further depress scrap demand and prices, with minimal recovery expected until at least October.

Greenland Resources to supply molybdenum to Hempel

Greenland Resources

Greenland Resources to supply molybdenum to Hempel through a new long-term MoU that expands European steel supply security. Greenland Resources to supply molybdenum to Hempel covers molybdenite concentrate and secondary products for downstream customers. As a result, Greenland Resources to supply molybdenum to Hempel aligns the Malmberg project’s 30-year permit with concrete market channels.

Offtake structure and conversion pathway

The MoU routes molybdenite concentrate to Molymet Belgium under an existing tolling agreement, converting it into ferromolybdenum and molybdenum oxide for Hempel’s German steel clients; volumes were not disclosed, so ramp timing will track Malmberg financing and qualification milestones. 

Strategic positioning in Europe’s stainless and alloy chain

The Malmberg permit underpins diversified European molybdenum supply, complementing earlier offtakes with Cogne and Outokumpu and de-risking customer trials by offering both ferro-moly and oxide forms for high-spec alloys.

The Metalnomist Commentary 

This deal pairs a permitted Arctic resource with proven EU conversion capacity, improving resilience in Europe’s alloy chain. Watch for disclosed tonnages, financing progress, and qualification timelines to gauge how quickly Malmberg turns into reliable units for steelmakers.