Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia 2025 Positions Bangkok as Key Global Hub for Ferroalloy Trade

Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia 2025

India, China, and South Korea Showcase Market Strength as Global Players Tackle Tariffs and Sustainability Goals

The Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia Conference 2025 concluded in Bangkok with more than 800 global industry professionals in attendance. Held from April 8–10, this flagship event solidified its role as Asia’s largest ferroalloy trading platform, focusing on trade flows, tariffs, sustainability, and supply chain strategies.

This year’s conference drew key stakeholders from across the ferroalloy value chain. Attendees participated in active deal-making, high-level panels, and targeted networking—further reinforcing Asia’s position as the world’s dominant ferroalloy market.

Indian and Chinese Firms Expand Regional Influence Amid Tariff Pressures

Ferroalloy giants from India and China made a strong statement at the event. Companies such as BFCL, INDIANO, MORTX, BERRY ALLOYS, MTALX, and CCMA attended as sponsors. Their presence underlined a strategic shift to deepen market penetration in Asia while mitigating challenges from recent U.S. tariff policies.

By sponsoring the event, these companies emphasized regional alliances and adaptability to global trade shifts. With India and China playing leading roles in global ferroalloy production and exports, their efforts at Fastmarkets Asia 2025 signal a robust push for market resilience and growth.

Producing Ferro-Titanium in Korea

South Korea’s Dong-A Special Metal stood out by announcing its expansion in Ferro-Titanium and Ferro-Titanium Powder production. The company uses eco-friendly pretreatment methods to manufacture high-quality products, gaining attention as one of Korea’s few domestic Ferro-Titanium producers.

This development strengthens Korea’s presence in specialty ferroalloys and aligns with rising global demand for lightweight, corrosion-resistant alloys in aerospace and defense sectors.

Focus on Asia’s Role in a Changing Global Alloy Market

The conference underscored Asia’s growing dominance in ferroalloys, especially through China and India. Fastmarkets emphasized this trend, with expert panels addressing topics like supply chain optimization, carbon reduction, and long-term demand outlook. As trade dynamics evolve, Asia is becoming the central pivot for pricing and policy trends in the ferroalloy industry.

TheMetalnomist continues to track how international conferences like these shape global metal market strategies and investment priorities.

Japan Explores E-Scrap Opportunities in Southeast Asia Amid EU Supply Risks

Electronic Scrap

As concerns about European Union (EU) export restrictions grow, Japan is shifting its focus to Southeast Asia for electronic scrap (e-scrap) procurement to mitigate potential supply disruptions. This strategic pivot comes as the EU contemplates extending stringent controls on e-scrap exports, possibly affecting Japan, a nation heavily reliant on these resources for its non-ferrous metal production, including copper.

EU Regulations Tighten, Japan's Response

The recent implementation of the EU's Waste Shipment Regulation (WSR) in January 2023, which restricts scrap metal exports to non-OECD countries for environmental reasons, has raised alarms in Japan. Japanese custom data indicates that in 2023, Japan imported approximately 73,000 tons of e-scrap from the EU, accounting for about 40% of its total e-scrap imports. The Japanese Ministry of Environment highlights the country's dependence on imports to satisfy nearly half of its domestic e-scrap needs.

In response to the EU's policy shift and the consequent supply risk, Japan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) signed a circular economy initiative in August 2023, aiming to foster e-scrap procurement and processing in the region.

Challenges in Southeast Asia

Despite these efforts, the transition to Southeast Asian sources is not without challenges. A ministerial meeting between Japan and ASEAN in Laos in September revealed no specific advancements in circular economy discussions. The Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (Eria) reported in 2023 that the region's smelting capacity for non-ferrous metals is significantly underdeveloped, with secondary production figures for aluminium and copper being notably low.

Moreover, the Global E-waste Monitor 2024 by the United Nations indicates a stark contrast in recycling rates between Asia (12% in 2022) and Europe (43%). Indonesia, while being the largest e-scrap producer in Southeast Asia, faces severe limitations in e-scrap management and infrastructure, often resorting to landfill disposal.

Conclusion

As Japan navigates these complex international dynamics, the necessity for diversified and secure e-scrap sources is more apparent than ever. The country's move towards Southeast Asia represents a cautious yet hopeful approach to securing the metals essential for its economic stability and technological advancements.

Asia Semiconductor Demand for AI Data Centres Surges on Regional Infrastructure Expansion

AI

Asia semiconductor demand for AI data centres is accelerating rapidly, driven by generative AI development, regional cloud infrastructure investment, and rising demand for high-bandwidth memory and logic chips. The shift marks a geographic rebalancing in semiconductor orders, which were previously centered on U.S. data centre growth.

AI, HBM, and Logic Chips Drive Semiconductor Orders in Asia

Dutch semiconductor equipment maker BESI reported increased orders from Asian subcontractors in Q1 2025, specifically for AI-related data centre applications. Orders rose 3.3% year-over-year and 8.2% quarter-over-quarter, even as other segments like mobile and automotive remained weak.

AI-centric devices are boosting demand for advanced semiconductor packaging, especially for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) 4 and logic chips. BESI received hybrid bonding orders from two memory producers and additional logic chip orders from an Asian foundry, underscoring regional momentum. Compound semiconductors and minor metals remain essential to meet AI’s performance, efficiency, and optical communication needs.

Chinese data centres, in particular, are preparing for broader adoption of optical technologies and laser detectors as they scale capacity to support domestic AI models like DeepSeek.

China, Singapore, and Malaysia Lead AI Data Centre Build-Out

China is rapidly scaling its AI data centre footprint. GLP, a Singapore-China investment firm, raised ¥2.6bn ($356.7mn) for a Beijing-area data centre and controls 20 data centres with a total capacity of 1.4GW across major regions. This expansion is backed by Chinese policy support for AI, cloud, IoT, and 5G development, with the country’s data centre market forecast to grow at a 38% CAGR through 2029.

Singapore remains southeast Asia’s largest data hub, hosting 1.4GW of capacity with expansion plans. However, regulatory restrictions on power and land usage are slowing growth. Meanwhile, Johor, Malaysia, is emerging as a new hotspot, with projected capacity of 1.6GW—poised to surpass Singapore.

Chinese firms have invested over $10bn in Malaysian data centres since 2019. Companies like ByteDance and Alibaba Cloud are leveraging Malaysia’s semiconductor-friendly environment to bypass U.S. export controls and support international operations.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The boom in Asia semiconductor demand for AI data centres signals a decisive shift in global digital infrastructure. As U.S. restrictions reshape supply chains, Asia is emerging as the new battleground for AI-optimized semiconductor and data centre development—anchored by domestic innovation and strategic capital deployment.

Rusal Shifts Focus to Asia as Regional Sales Surge in 2024

Rusal

In the first half of 2024, Russian aluminum giant Rusal continued to shift its business focus from Europe to Asia, with the region now accounting for over 40% of its total revenue. This strategic realignment comes in response to ongoing geopolitical challenges and restrictions on Russian metal in Europe and the U.S. following the Ukraine conflict.

Strong Sales Growth in Asia, Decline in Europe

Rusal's revenue for January to June 2024 dropped by 4.2% year-on-year to $5.695 billion, mainly due to lower aluminum prices and premiums. However, sales to Asia, particularly China, increased significantly, rising by 19.9% compared to the first half of 2023, reaching $2.37 billion. In contrast, sales to Europe plummeted by 32.7% to $1.26 billion during the same period. As a result, Asia accounted for 41.6% of Rusal’s revenue in the first half of 2024, up from 33% the previous year.

Rusal also bolstered its raw material supply chain by acquiring a 30% stake in Chinese alumina producer Hebei Wenfeng New Materials in October 2023, contributing to a nearly 19% increase in alumina output. Aluminum production rose slightly by 2.3%, while net profits surged by 41.6%, driven by a 22% reduction in non-alumina raw material costs.

Enovix Expands into Asia with Strategic South Korea Acquisition

Enovix

US-based battery technology company Enovix has announced the acquisition of a battery cell manufacturing facility in South Korea.

The move marks a strategic expansion aimed at addressing rising demand from the defense sector, a key target market for advanced energy storage solutions. The facility was acquired from SolarEdge, an Israeli energy technology firm. Though the financial terms remain undisclosed, the acquisition includes both the physical plant and essential development and production equipment.

Silicon-Anode Battery Production to Scale Up

Enovix specializes in silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries, known for higher energy density and longer life cycles than traditional graphite-based cells. With this new manufacturing footprint in Asia, the company aims to accelerate production to meet growing military and industrial needs. The South Korean facility will allow Enovix to scale its output more efficiently and closer to global clients in Asia-Pacific, enhancing both delivery timelines and cost efficiency. This acquisition reflects a broader trend of American tech firms diversifying production locations amid geopolitical and supply chain pressures.

Broader Market Implications for Defense and Energy Storage

The defense industry has increasingly turned to high-performance lithium-ion batteries to power advanced systems, from drones to tactical communications. Meanwhile, South Korea remains a global battery production hub, home to major players like LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI. Enovix’s entry into this ecosystem may also signal potential partnerships or talent acquisitions in one of the world’s most competitive battery markets. By localizing part of its manufacturing, Enovix not only enhances capacity but also strengthens its resilience against future disruptions in the US-China technology corridor.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Enovix’s move into South Korea highlights a strategic pivot toward regionalized production to support defense-grade lithium-ion batteries. As demand spikes for high-energy-density storage solutions, this acquisition strengthens the company’s hand in a competitive and geopolitically sensitive industry. For metals suppliers and cell integrators, it also signals growing urgency to align with agile, dual-continent battery players.

Russian PGMs Continue Flowing to Europe via East Asia Despite Direct Import Declines

Russian PGMs Mining

Hong Kong and China Re-export Platinum and Palladium to Europe as Shortages Persist and Prices Stay Depressed

Russian Metal Flows Persist Despite Western Sanctions

Russian-origin platinum group metals (PGMs) continued entering European markets in 2024, despite significant declines in direct exports. Instead, the metal flowed indirectly via Hong Kong and China, both of which ramped up PGM exports after stockpiling Russian volumes in 2023–2024.

The UK, for instance, imported a quarter of Hong Kong’s 857,379 oz of platinum in the first eleven months of 2024—up 500% year-on-year, despite zero direct imports from Russia for two consecutive years.

Re-export Surge Undercuts African Suppliers

As the UK increased platinum imports via Asia, its platinum purchases from South Africa—the world’s largest platinum producer—fell 4% year-on-year. Market participants say rebranded Russian metal, sold at a discount, is undercutting South African supply in Europe.

Meanwhile, Switzerland absorbed most of Hong Kong’s 121,682 oz of palladium exports in 2024, sharply up from prior years. China’s palladium exports also jumped 87%, with half shipped to Switzerland, reinforcing the growing role of East Asia as a trade intermediary.

Global Deficit Grows as Output Shrinks

With supply tight, the EU and UK may continue to rely on these indirect Russian flows. According to the World Platinum Investment Council, platinum and palladium demand will remain robust through 2025, even as global production falls.

Non-Russian producers are scaling back: Sibanye-Stillwater announced job cuts at its U.S. palladium mine, and Impala Platinum may shut its Canadian Lac des Iles site early. Despite tightness, spot prices remain weak, limiting producer incentives to boost output.

Europe's Strategic Dilemma in PGM Supply

Palladium prices have plunged 57% in 2023, followed by another 36% drop in 2024, averaging $998/oz, per Johnson Matthey data. Although sanctions remain in place, Europe’s automotive and industrial sectors have few alternatives for essential PGMs.

Market insiders expect indirect Russian-origin PGM flows into Europe to persist in the medium term, particularly as Asia profits from discounted access. The gap between policy and procurement realities is widening, reinforcing the fragility of Europe’s critical metals strategy.

Novelis Opens Aluminium Recycling Facility in South Korea to Boost Low-Carbon Supply

Novelis

Ulsan Plant Increases Novelis’ Regional Recycling Capacity by 100,000 t/yr

Novelis has opened a new aluminium recycling facility in Ulsan, South Korea, increasing its regional capacity by 100,000 tonnes per year. The facility, fully funded by Novelis with a $65 million investment, is a joint venture with Japan’s Kobe Steel. This expansion underscores Novelis commitment to low-carbon aluminium and a circular economy across Asia’s industrial sectors.

The new Ulsan aluminium recycling facility complements Novelis' existing Yeongju plant, bringing total Korean capacity to 470,000 t/yr. It will recycle used beverage cans, as well as automotive and industrial scrap, producing sustainable aluminium sheet ingot.

As a result, the project is expected to reduce carbon emissions by approximately 470,000 t/yr, aligning with global decarbonization goals.

Sustainable Aluminium Demand Rising in Asia

Novelis Asia president Sachin Satpute emphasized that the Ulsan aluminium recycling centre is a response to growing demand for sustainable materials. Key sectors such as beverage packaging, automotive, and specialty products increasingly require low-carbon aluminium supply chains. Meanwhile, regional policy and ESG pressures are accelerating investment in closed-loop recycling infrastructure.

The aluminium recycling facility in South Korea highlights Novelis’ strategic intent to lead in sustainable aluminium production. With Asia as a major consumption base, this move positions Novelis competitively in both environmental and industrial performance.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Novelis’ investment in Ulsan reflects the industry's pivot toward regionalized, sustainable aluminium production. With policy and market aligning on carbon goals, such facilities are not just environmental assets—they're strategic imperatives.

China’s Gotion Predicts LFP Batteries Will Dominate Global EV Market

Gotion High-Tech

Chinese battery producer Gotion High-Tech forecasts that lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) and lithium-manganese-iron-phosphate (LMFP) batteries will claim up to 70% of the global electric vehicle (EV) battery market in the next 2-5 years. Speaking at the ASEAN Battery Technology Conference in Singapore, Gotion’s Asia-Pacific president Cheng Qian highlighted the rising prominence of LFP chemistry, particularly in affordable EVs and energy storage systems.

The Rise of LFP Batteries

Qian projected that LFP batteries will dominate not only the global EV market but also the entire energy storage system (ESS) sector, exceeding even the IEA’s 80% forecast. He attributed this growth to advancements in LFP battery range and faster charging times, catering to the needs of everyday EV consumers. In contrast, nickel-cobalt-manganese (NCM) batteries are expected to remain essential only for high-performance and long-range EVs.

This shift has placed pressure on the nickel market, as manufacturers pivot to cost-efficient LFP solutions. South Korean giants such as Samsung SDI and SK On are preparing to mass-produce LFP batteries by 2026. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution (LGES) has committed to supplying 39GWh of LFP batteries to Renault's EV division Ampere, underscoring Europe’s growing focus on LFP technology.

Two-Wheeler EV Transition in Asia-Pacific

The two-wheeler EV market, particularly in Asia-Pacific, is also expected to transition from NCM to LFP batteries. India, Indonesia, and the Philippines are leading this shift due to cost concerns and government initiatives.

• India: Achieved record EV sales in FY2023-24, with two-wheeler EV sales rising 30% year-on-year to 944,126 units.
• Indonesia: Aims for 2 million electric motorcycles by 2025, supported by a $458 million subsidy program launched in March 2023.
• Philippines: Targets a 50% electric motorcycle and tricycle share by 2030, with cost efficiency driving adoption.

A Global Shift in Battery Technology

With its affordability and sustainability, LFP battery technology is reshaping the global EV landscape, especially in cost-sensitive markets. Companies like Gotion, LGES, and Samsung SDI are at the forefront of this transformation, signaling a shift towards accessible and efficient energy solutions.

SK Innovation Boosts Malaysia Data Center with Advanced Energy Systems

SK Innovation

South Korea’s SK Innovation data center energy systems will power one of Asia’s largest digital infrastructure projects in Malaysia. The company has signed an agreement with Bridge Data Centers to provide advanced backup power, energy storage, and fuel cell systems, alongside cooling technologies and a Data Center Management System (DCMS).

SK Innovation Data Center Energy Systems in Malaysia

SK Innovation will design and deliver backup power systems, including energy storage systems (ESS) and hydrogen fuel cells, for Bridge’s Malaysian facility. The integration of DCMS will ensure real-time monitoring and rapid response to power fluctuations, enabling seamless data center operations.

Malaysia Data Center Expansion and Capacity Goals

Bridge Data Centers’ new Malaysian site is projected to exceed 270MW capacity, placing it among Asia’s largest data centers. The company currently operates 300MW of live capacity and has more than 200MW under construction, reflecting growing digital infrastructure demand in Southeast Asia.

The Metalnomist Commentary

SK Innovation’s involvement highlights how energy companies are increasingly central to the data center power transition. By integrating ESS and fuel cells, SK addresses both sustainability goals and operational reliability. This partnership also underscores Malaysia’s rising role as a regional data hub driven by cloud, AI, and digital service growth.

Chengxin Lithium Secures License for Asia's Largest Lithium Deposit in Sichuan

Yajiang County Huilong Mining

Yajiang County Huilong Mining, a subsidiary of Chengxin Lithium, has obtained a mining license for the Murong lithium mine in Yajiang County, Sichuan Province, China. The license, effective until 2048, grants access to a resource of 61.095 million tons with an average grade of 1.62% lithium oxide, equivalent to 989,600 tons of lithium oxide. This positions Murong as one of Asia's largest hard rock monomer lithium deposits, with an annual production capacity of 3 million tons of ore.

Expanding Lithium Production Amid Rising Demand

In 2023, Chengxin Lithium increased its lithium salt production—primarily lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide—to 56,700 tons, marking a 19% year-on-year growth. Sales rose by 11% to 52,900 tons, reflecting growing global demand for lithium-driven by electric vehicles and renewable energy storage solutions.

Chengxin's total production capacity now stands at 137,000 tons per year, with 77,000 tons sourced domestically from China and 60,000 tons produced in Indonesia. To diversify its feedstock, the company also taps its Sabi Star lithium mine in Zimbabwe, which contributes 200,000 tons annually of concentrate.

A Strategic Advantage for Chengxin and China

The Murong lithium mine acquisition strengthens Chengxin Lithium's foothold in the global lithium supply chain, critical for battery production and clean energy transition. This move aligns with China's strategy to secure domestic and international lithium resources, ensuring its leadership in the EV and energy storage markets.

Key Takeaways

Murong Lithium Mine: One of Asia's largest hard rock lithium deposits with high-grade lithium oxide reserves.

Production Growth: Chengxin's lithium salt production surged by 19% in 2023.

Global Supply Chain: Significant contributions from China, Indonesia, and Zimbabwe bolster Chengxin's raw material security.

With rising EV adoption and renewable energy investments, Chengxin's latest acquisition underscores its pivotal role in powering a sustainable future.

Lopal and EVE Energy Ink $694mn LFP Cathode Supply Deal

Lopal

Strategic Partnership for Malaysian Battery Production

Chinese lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode producer Jiangsu Lopal has signed a landmark supply agreement with EVE Energy’s Malaysian subsidiary, underscoring the growing importance of Southeast Asia in the global battery supply chain. The five-year deal covers the delivery of 152,000t of LFP cathode material between 2026 and 2030, with a total estimated value exceeding 5bn yuan ($694mn). The agreement includes flexibility clauses allowing EVE Energy to adjust order volumes within predefined limits, while pricing will be determined quarterly to reflect market conditions.

EVE Energy began operating its first overseas battery manufacturing facility in Malaysia in February 2025. The plant, designed with an annual output capacity of 680mn cylindrical batteries, primarily serves the electric tool and electric two-wheeler markets. By sourcing LFP cathode materials locally within Asia, EVE Energy aims to strengthen supply chain resilience and reduce exposure to cross-border trade risks.

Global LFP Supply Chain Diversification

Lopal has emerged as one of China’s most prominent LFP cathode producers since acquiring the business from Shenzhen BTR New Energy Material. The company operates large-scale production complexes across Jiangsu, Shandong, Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hubei, giving it significant domestic manufacturing coverage and the ability to meet large-volume contracts. In addition to EVE Energy, Lopal has also secured long-term supply deals with Cornex and Ford Motor Company this year, further expanding its customer portfolio.

This deal comes amid escalating US–China trade tensions, particularly in the energy storage sector. The United States has imposed a 40.9pc tariff on Chinese-produced LFP batteries for energy storage systems (ESS), driving manufacturers to diversify production locations. China still produces over 90pc of the world’s LFP batteries, but other countries are rapidly entering the market. LG Energy Solution (LGES) in South Korea has already started mass production of LFP batteries in the US, signaling a shift in global production strategies.

With geopolitical pressures, fluctuating raw material prices, and the ongoing global push for electrification, long-term supply contracts like this one between Lopal and EVE Energy are becoming increasingly critical for securing stable production pipelines and competitive advantage.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This agreement reflects a broader industry shift toward decentralizing battery material production across multiple regions to reduce geopolitical and logistical risks. As global demand for LFP batteries accelerates, Southeast Asia is poised to become a crucial manufacturing hub, offering both cost efficiency and strategic proximity to major markets.

US Copper Scrap Exports Reach Six-Year High in 2024

Copper Scrap

Total Copper Scrap Shipments Surge by 15%, Led by Strong Demand from China and Asia

In 2024, US copper scrap exports hit their highest levels in six years, marking a 15% increase from the previous year. Total copper scrap exports rose to 310,200 metric tonnes (mt), up from 270,100 mt in 2023. According to data compiled by Global Trade Tracker, this surge reflects rising demand across all forms of copper scrap.

Strong Growth in Copper Scrap Exports to China and Asia

Among the different categories of copper scrap, exports of bare bright scrap increased by 1.7%, reaching 81,400 tonnes in 2024. A significant portion of this growth was driven by a 3,200-tonne increase in exports to China. Exports of #1 copper scrap, which rose by 20% to approximately 112,400 tonnes, were also dominated by demand from China, which received 19,700 tonnes more than the previous year. Similarly, exports of #2 copper scrap saw a 21% increase, totaling over 116,500 tonnes, with higher deliveries to China, Malaysia, and Thailand.

This growing demand from Asian markets, particularly China, has contributed to the rise in US copper scrap exports. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) copper price for 2024 averaged $4.23 per pound, a 37¢ increase compared to 2023. Asian #1 copper scrap discounts averaged 19¢ per pound under the CME price, widening from the previous year’s 13¢ per pound. As a result, consumers faced a 31¢ per pound increase compared to the previous year due to the elevated exchange price.

Copper Scrap Exports: A Key Indicator of Global Demand

The rise in US copper scrap exports is a clear indicator of the strong global demand for copper, particularly in Asia. With China and other countries ramping up their copper production and consumption, the US remains a critical player in the copper supply chain. As demand for copper continues to grow, especially for use in green technologies and infrastructure, copper scrap exports will likely remain a vital component of the global market.

Serra Verde Secures $150 Million for Rare Earth Expansion in Brazil

Serra Verde

Brazilian mining company Serra Verde has been awarded $150 million in funding to bolster its efforts in developing sustainable rare earth element (REE) production. The investment, led by Denham Capital, the US' Energy and Minerals Group, and the UK's Vision Blue Resources, is set to enhance operational capacity and drive long-term expansion of rare earth supply chains.

This funding initiative aligns with the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP) project, a global effort involving 14 countries and the European Union. The MSP focuses on accelerating the development of critical energy mineral supply chains to support the global energy transition.

Pioneering Rare Earth Production Outside Asia

Located in the central-western state of Goias, Serra Verde commenced commercial production earlier this year. It is recognized as the first large-scale rare earth operation outside Asia, leveraging Brazil's third-largest global reserves, estimated at 21 million tons according to the US Geological Survey.

The Serra Verde deposit contains a high proportion of both heavy and light rare earth elements, including neodymium, praseodymium, terbium, and dysprosium. These critical minerals are essential for manufacturing clean energy technologies such as wind turbines, electric vehicles, and high-performance magnets.

A Boost for Sustainable Rare Earths Supply

As demand for rare earths continues to grow globally, this investment positions Serra Verde as a key player in diversifying rare earth supply chains, reducing reliance on Asia-dominated markets. The focus on sustainable production practices also aligns with rising environmental and governance standards in the mining industry.

With Serra Verde’s expanded operations, Brazil solidifies its position as a critical rare earth supplier, contributing to global energy and technological advancements.

World Refined Copper Market Records Deficit in January: ICSG

ICSG

Refined Copper Demand Exceeds Supply at Start of 2025

Global refined copper consumption outpaced production in January, leading to a 19,000-tonne deficit, according to the ICSG. The refined copper output reached 2.38 million tonnes, while consumption totaled 2.4 million tonnes. This shortfall is slightly less than the 24,000-tonne deficit recorded during the same month last year.

Production Rises in Asia and Peru, But Offsets Remain

Copper mine production increased by 2.1% year-on-year, driven by growth in Peru, the DRC, and Asia. However, output declines in North America and Chile partially offset the global gains. Refined copper output was up just 1%, with Asia (excluding China) seeing a notable 10% rise from new refinery projects. In contrast, Chile’s refined output fell 14%, and production remained flat in China and the DRC.

Global Usage Driven by China, While Western Demand Slows

Refined copper usage rose 0.75%, with a 1% increase in Chinese apparent demand. Meanwhile, consumption growth outside China was limited to 0.5%, reflecting ongoing weakness in the EU, Japan, and the US. The supply-demand gap highlights regional imbalances in copper demand recovery and industrial output growth.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The January deficit underscores a shifting copper landscape: Asian output is rising while Western demand remains tepid. As clean energy and electrification trends accelerate, these early signals point to tightening global balances in the refined copper market.

Novelis and Thyssenkrupp Forge Aerospace Aluminum Supply Deal

Novelis

Strategic Partnership to Enhance Global Aerospace Supply Chains

Novelis and Thyssenkrupp have entered a multi-year agreement. Novelis will supply aerospace-grade aluminum. This includes plates and sheets. Thyssenkrupp's distribution segment will receive the materials. Novelis will provide flat products. These products come from its Koblenz, Germany, and Zhenjiang, China, facilities. Thyssenkrupp's Supply Chain Solutions' aerospace segment will benefit. Deliveries will go to Thyssenkrupp locations in Europe and Asia. 

Novelis acquired the Koblenz and Zhenjiang plants. This acquisition occurred through the Aleris Rolled Products buyout. The buyout closed in April 2020. The Koblenz plant has a 150,000 metric ton capacity. This capacity is for semi-finished aluminum products. The Zhenjiang facility has a 250,000 metric ton hot mill capacity. It can produce 35,000 metric tons of commercial plate products. Aerospace aluminum grades are crucial. These grades include 2024, 6061, and 7075. They offer high-strength, lightweight properties. They are vital for energy-efficient aircraft production. These materials are used in wings and fuselages.

Expanding Reach in Key Aerospace Markets

The agreement strengthens both companies' positions. Novelis reinforces its role as a key aluminum supplier. Thyssenkrupp enhances its aerospace supply chain. The partnership targets the growing demand for lightweight materials. This demand is within the aerospace industry. The deal leverages Novelis' production capabilities. It utilizes facilities in both Europe and Asia. It ensures consistent supply for Thyssenkrupp. This collaboration supports the development of more fuel-efficient aircraft.

Soaring Renewables Growth Still Falls Short of COP28 Target, Varies Widely by Region

Renewable energy deployment is speeding up at an “unprecedented rate” but still falls short of what it will take to hit the tripling of global capacity that countries committed to at last year’s United Nations climate summit, the International Renewable Energy Agency warns in an assessment published earlier this month.

That’s in spite of renewable energy producers installing 473 gigawatts of new capacity last year, accounting for 85% of the new electricity entering the global system, Canary Media reports.

Renewable energy capacity grew 14% last year, contributing to a 10% compound annual growth rate between 2017 and 2023, IRENA says. But it’ll take annual growth of 16.4% to meet countries’ 2030 deadline to triple the amount of renewable energy available around the world by 2030.

“Renewable energy has been increasingly outperforming fossil fuels, but it is not the time to be complacent,” said IRENA Director-General Francesco La Camera. “Renewables must grow at higher speed and scale” unless countries want to “face failure in reaching the tripling renewables target,” thereby putting the climate goals in the 2015 Paris agreement at risk.

The commitment to triple global renewable energy capacity and double the rate of annual energy efficiency improvements by 2030 was one of the signature results of last year’s COP28 climate summit in Dubai. “But IRENA’s analysis found that even if renewables continue to be deployed at the current rate over the next seven years, the world will fall 13.5% short of the target to triple renewables to 11.2 terawatts,” Climate Home News reports.

“Today’s report is a wake-up call for the entire world: while we are making progress, we are off track to meet the global goal,” said COP28 President and fossil fuel CEO Sultan Al Jaber. “We need to increase the pace and scale of development.”

Decarbonization Divide

La Camera added that the top-line numbers obscure “ongoing patterns of concentration in geography” that “threaten to exacerbate the decarbonization divide and pose a significant barrier to achieving the tripling target.” The numbers show Asia leading the world in renewable power generation followed by North America, and South America recording an “impressive jump”, but Africa lagging at just 3.5% annual growth due to a persistent and dire lack of climate finance.

Global Renewables Alliance CEO Bruce Douglas echoed the concern about the imbalances in deployment between regions. “We shouldn’t be celebrating,” he said. “This growth is nowhere near enough and it’s not in the right places."

Even with the aggregate growth data for Asia, Climate Home says, analysis by the REN21 international policy group shows the continent as a whole—excluding renewables powerhouse China—accounting for less than 18% of new capacity additions in 2023.

“The justice piece is huge and too often overlooked,” Douglas said, with IRENA reporting that Africa has seen less than 2% of global renewables investment over the last two decades. “That’s not acceptable in terms of an equitable transition,” he declared.

In the Financial Times, human geographer Brett Christophers of the University of Uppsala’s Institute for Housing and Urban Research cautions against mistaking China’s big numbers on renewable energy deployment for a global trend.

“The view that the world is finally winning in the energy transition away from fossil fuels is increasingly prominent,” he writes. But “comforting as this take may be, we need to throw cold water over it. We are emphatically not yet winning, and it is time to stop pretending that we are.”

‘Hugely Misleading’

It’s “hugely misleading” to look at the global growth rate for renewables when “there is not one single energy transition but a series of regional transitions of widely varying form, pace and scope,” Christophers adds. That matters because “we need rapid growth in renewable investment everywhere,” in every region of the world.

But at present, “the outsized materiality of one—China’s—means global figures veil more than they reveal. They currently look impressive because, and only because, China’s do.”

Elsewhere, the New York Times reports that the U.S. oil industry is still booming, with high prices and recent growth in demand translating into higher profits, even as renewable energy and electric vehicles surge. “That the price and demand for oil have been so strong suggests that the shift to renewable energy and electric vehicles will take longer and be more bumpy than some climate activists and world leaders once hoped,” the Times writes.

While the industry has gained from high prices brought on by the COVID-19 recovery and Russia’s war in Ukraine, the Times lists other factors that have improved oil companies’ prospects: under pressure from Wall Street to offer better financial returns: they’ve become more hesitant to go into debt to pay for new growth, while laying off workers and automating more of their operations. The result is that oil and gas operators in the lower 48 U.S. states have generated US$485 billion in free cash flow since 2021, compared to $140 billion in the previous decade.

“The environmental consequences of the oil industry’s financial turnaround are mixed,” the Times writes, citing Brookings Institution Director Samantha Gross. “Producing and burning fossil fuels releases greenhouse gases that are warming the planet. But higher oil prices are also making cleaner forms of energy more attractive.”

EQ Resources Secures Global Offtake Deals Amid Tightening Tungsten Supply

EQ Resources

Australia's Leading Tungsten Producer Signs 9,400t Supply Contracts Across Asia, North America, and Europe

EQ Resources Expands Global Tungsten Reach

Australian-listed tungsten producer EQ Resources (EQR) has signed five major offtake agreements totaling 9,400 tonnes of 50% grade tungsten concentrate over two years. These deals span key markets, with 50% of the material going to Asia, and the remaining split evenly between North America and Europe.

EQR did not name the buyers but confirmed on 19 March that they are all leading manufacturers in the tungsten industry. These strategic agreements will bolster EQR’s global footprint at a time of mounting supply chain risks.

EQR Adds Value with Ferro-Tungsten Production

This is not EQR’s first offtake success. In September 2024, the company secured a five-year supply contract with Elmet Technologies, a US-based manufacturer. Additionally, EQR acquired Tungsten Metals in November 2024, gaining control of a 4,000 t/yr ferro-tungsten facility. This vertical integration enhances EQR’s ability to deliver processed tungsten alloys directly to customers.

These moves come as China, the world’s largest tungsten supplier, introduced export restrictions in February in response to rising US tariffs. EQR’s ability to secure multi-region supply deals highlights its growing strategic importance outside China’s tungsten ecosystem.

CAML Expands with Acquisition of Antler Copper Project via New World Deal

Central Asia Metals(CAML)

UK-Based Producer Enters US Market with Strategic Arizona Asset

Central Asia Metals (CAML) has acquired New World Resources for $119 million, marking a major expansion into the United States. The deal includes the Antler copper project in Arizona, which has been designated by U.S. officials as part of a critical minerals expedited permitting initiative. This strategic acquisition strengthens CAML’s copper portfolio and aligns with growing demand for domestically sourced critical minerals.

Antler Project Positioned for Fast-Tracked Development

The Antler copper project is expected to complete all permitting by Q1 2026 and start production in 2027. Once operational, the mine will deliver 16,400 tonnes of copper, 34,500 tonnes of zinc, and 3,600 tonnes of lead annually. CAML’s decision to acquire New World is largely driven by Antler’s inclusion in the U.S. critical minerals initiative, which accelerates the approval timeline for high-priority mining projects that support energy transition and national security objectives.

New World Resources

CAML Strengthens Global Base Metals Portfolio

CAML currently operates copper production in Kazakhstan, and zinc and lead operations in North Macedonia. In 2024, the company reported output of 13,439 tonnes of copper, 18,572 tonnes of zinc, and 26,617 tonnes of lead. With the Antler project, CAML enhances its geographic diversification and increases its exposure to U.S. base metals demand, while securing a project poised for regulatory and market tailwinds.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CAML’s acquisition of New World marks a pivotal step into the North American critical minerals arena. The Antler project offers both scale and regulatory momentum, positioning CAML to benefit from U.S. policy support and long-term metals demand.

Imports of Russian FeTi Redirect from EU to Asia

Russian ferro-titanium is increasingly being directed toward Asia as EU importers — whether steel mills or intermediaries — have tightened their purchasing strategies in compliance with EU sanctions against Russian ferro-alloys.

EU sanctions against Russian ferro-alloys came into force last December but permitted contracts that pre-dated sanctions to be fulfilled until December 20th this year. After this date, all purchases, imports, or transfers, directly or indirectly, of Russian ferro-alloys will be prohibited. While EU imports are dwindling but have not yet ceased, Asian importers are capitalizing on the surplus of Russian ferro-titanium that is no longer flowing to Europe.

EU imports in January and February were broadly consistent with the fourth quarter of last year, although the number of importing nations narrowed. Imports in March dipped, rebounded in April, and in May, reached their lowest level since September 2022 at 576t.

Non-EU imports increased by a third to 235t in the first quarter and then spiked to 492t in May alone, primarily driven by higher flows to China, alongside regular importers Turkey and South Korea. China imported 100t in April, 260t in May, and 100t in June from Russia. China is no stranger to importing Russian ferro-titanium, having received several thousand tonnes in 2018-21, but it imported only incremental volumes in 2022 and none last year.

China's re-emergence as an importer from Russia both highlights and offsets, as far as Russian sellers are concerned, the EU's gradual withdrawal from the Russian market. This demonstrates a fundamental shift in flows, yet Russia's overall exports are unaffected and even reached a nine-month high in May.

Market participants are unsure why China is importing these volumes from Russia, considering its own ample production capacity and domestic cost structures. Some have posited that these imports are being re-exported, but the cost of doing so to Europe is not profitable.

Chinese ferro-titanium exports in the second quarter hit their highest level in two years at 811t, coinciding with the spike in intake from Russia, underpinning speculation about re-exports of Russian ferro-titanium. Top recipients from China included Vietnam, South Korea, Indonesia, Turkey, and the UAE.

Turkish imports from Russia have been sporadic this year, with some market participants linked to banks refusing to clear payments on Russian material transiting through Turkey.

Supply Gap in EU Market Offset by Low Demand

European producers have sufficient capacity to fill any void of Russian units, Metalnomist understands, but they will require more raw materials in the form of sponge or scrap. Scrap availability is still tight in Europe, due to either lower generation or merchants holding on to inventories, and lower machining rates in July and August may compound this issue.

Stretched raw material access and lower imports from Russia initially drove bullish attitudes among producers that prices in the EU market would increase as steel mills would be able to purchase only from certain non-Russian sources.

But these expectations have been undermined in the past month by several third-quarter tenders that have demonstrated persistent availability at lower prices from sellers keen to secure sales in a weak demand environment.

The market, therefore, is caught between supply fundamentals pointing to higher prices, due to tightness in raw materials and a pending loss of Russian supplies, and demand being insufficient to provide impetus for stronger prices.

Intensifying Battery Competition in Asia Amid Evolving Market Dynamics

EV Battery

The Race for Dominance in the Lithium Iron Phosphate Battery Market

The competition among major battery producers, particularly between China and South Korea, is set to intensify in 2025. South Korean giants like LG Energy Solution (LGES), Samsung SDI, and SK On are aggressively pursuing mass production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, a domain where Chinese manufacturers have traditionally excelled. These South Korean firms are targeting a mass production rollout by the latter half of 2025, aimed primarily at the electric vehicle (EV) market.

Strategic Market Expansion

South Korean battery manufacturers are not just competing on the product level; they are also strategically targeting markets in the US and Europe, regions where their Chinese competitors have been less successful. This move is particularly strategic given the recent failure of Northvolt in Europe, which previously held a significant share of the European battery production capacity. The potential rollback of the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax credits, however, poses a financial threat to these South Korean firms, particularly with the upcoming changes anticipated under the administration of US president-elect Donald Trump.

Challenges and Opportunities in Other Regions

Australia, on the other hand, is focusing on niche areas such as "stationary storage" battery production, despite facing significant challenges in its mining sectors, especially with nickel and lithium. The downturn in these industries has led to major setbacks, such as the closure of the Bald Hill site by Mineral Resources, prompting government intervention.

In Southeast Asia, countries like Indonesia and the Philippines are making notable advances. Indonesia, in collaboration with LGES and Hyundai Motor, has already commenced operations at a new battery production facility, while the Philippines has launched its first LFP battery plant, which began operations in October with the support of Australian investment firm StB Capital Partners.