Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia 2025 Positions Bangkok as Key Global Hub for Ferroalloy Trade

Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia 2025

India, China, and South Korea Showcase Market Strength as Global Players Tackle Tariffs and Sustainability Goals

The Fastmarkets Ferroalloys Asia Conference 2025 concluded in Bangkok with more than 800 global industry professionals in attendance. Held from April 8–10, this flagship event solidified its role as Asia’s largest ferroalloy trading platform, focusing on trade flows, tariffs, sustainability, and supply chain strategies.

This year’s conference drew key stakeholders from across the ferroalloy value chain. Attendees participated in active deal-making, high-level panels, and targeted networking—further reinforcing Asia’s position as the world’s dominant ferroalloy market.

Indian and Chinese Firms Expand Regional Influence Amid Tariff Pressures

Ferroalloy giants from India and China made a strong statement at the event. Companies such as BFCL, INDIANO, MORTX, BERRY ALLOYS, MTALX, and CCMA attended as sponsors. Their presence underlined a strategic shift to deepen market penetration in Asia while mitigating challenges from recent U.S. tariff policies.

By sponsoring the event, these companies emphasized regional alliances and adaptability to global trade shifts. With India and China playing leading roles in global ferroalloy production and exports, their efforts at Fastmarkets Asia 2025 signal a robust push for market resilience and growth.

Producing Ferro-Titanium in Korea

South Korea’s Dong-A Special Metal stood out by announcing its expansion in Ferro-Titanium and Ferro-Titanium Powder production. The company uses eco-friendly pretreatment methods to manufacture high-quality products, gaining attention as one of Korea’s few domestic Ferro-Titanium producers.

This development strengthens Korea’s presence in specialty ferroalloys and aligns with rising global demand for lightweight, corrosion-resistant alloys in aerospace and defense sectors.

Focus on Asia’s Role in a Changing Global Alloy Market

The conference underscored Asia’s growing dominance in ferroalloys, especially through China and India. Fastmarkets emphasized this trend, with expert panels addressing topics like supply chain optimization, carbon reduction, and long-term demand outlook. As trade dynamics evolve, Asia is becoming the central pivot for pricing and policy trends in the ferroalloy industry.

TheMetalnomist continues to track how international conferences like these shape global metal market strategies and investment priorities.

Japan Explores E-Scrap Opportunities in Southeast Asia Amid EU Supply Risks

Electronic Scrap

As concerns about European Union (EU) export restrictions grow, Japan is shifting its focus to Southeast Asia for electronic scrap (e-scrap) procurement to mitigate potential supply disruptions. This strategic pivot comes as the EU contemplates extending stringent controls on e-scrap exports, possibly affecting Japan, a nation heavily reliant on these resources for its non-ferrous metal production, including copper.

EU Regulations Tighten, Japan's Response

The recent implementation of the EU's Waste Shipment Regulation (WSR) in January 2023, which restricts scrap metal exports to non-OECD countries for environmental reasons, has raised alarms in Japan. Japanese custom data indicates that in 2023, Japan imported approximately 73,000 tons of e-scrap from the EU, accounting for about 40% of its total e-scrap imports. The Japanese Ministry of Environment highlights the country's dependence on imports to satisfy nearly half of its domestic e-scrap needs.

In response to the EU's policy shift and the consequent supply risk, Japan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) signed a circular economy initiative in August 2023, aiming to foster e-scrap procurement and processing in the region.

Challenges in Southeast Asia

Despite these efforts, the transition to Southeast Asian sources is not without challenges. A ministerial meeting between Japan and ASEAN in Laos in September revealed no specific advancements in circular economy discussions. The Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (Eria) reported in 2023 that the region's smelting capacity for non-ferrous metals is significantly underdeveloped, with secondary production figures for aluminium and copper being notably low.

Moreover, the Global E-waste Monitor 2024 by the United Nations indicates a stark contrast in recycling rates between Asia (12% in 2022) and Europe (43%). Indonesia, while being the largest e-scrap producer in Southeast Asia, faces severe limitations in e-scrap management and infrastructure, often resorting to landfill disposal.

Conclusion

As Japan navigates these complex international dynamics, the necessity for diversified and secure e-scrap sources is more apparent than ever. The country's move towards Southeast Asia represents a cautious yet hopeful approach to securing the metals essential for its economic stability and technological advancements.

Southeast Asia Aluminium Premiums Could Decouple From Japan on Chinese Semi Flows

Aluminium

Southeast Asia aluminium premiums could begin to decouple from Japan as Vietnamese buyers increasingly accept Chinese-origin semi-finished products for remelting. The shift suggests regional aluminium pricing may become more dependent on origin acceptance than on traditional Asian premium benchmarks.

Southeast Asia aluminium premiums are still supported for Western-origin and free-trade-agreement cargoes, with some deals above $300/t on a cif Thailand and Vietnam basis. However, cheaper Chinese semi-finished products are creating a parallel supply route.

Southeast Asia aluminium premiums may therefore face a different pricing path from Japan, where origin requirements and customer preferences can be more restrictive. Vietnam’s willingness to buy and remelt Chinese-origin material is changing the regional supply equation.

The key issue is whether low-priced Chinese semi exports remain available. If they do, southeast Asian buyers may have less reason to pay Japan-linked premiums for standard P1020 supply.

Chinese Semi-Finished Products Create a Remelting Alternative

Chinese semi-finished aluminium products are attracting stronger interest from Vietnamese and Korean buyers. Traders pointed to low-priced offers for products such as aluminium wires under HS code 76149000.

Offers for high-purity aluminium stranded wires were reported at between an $80/t discount and a $100/t premium to London Metal Exchange prices. That is below the more typical $50-100/t premium range seen in recent months.

The economics become competitive after remelting. With remelting costs estimated at $150-200/t, buyers can effectively convert wire into P1020-equivalent ingot at a total premium of about $200-300/t.

That is competitive against direct P1020 purchases, especially when standard ingot premiums remain elevated. For price-sensitive buyers, remelting offers a practical way to secure metal units while avoiding higher conventional premiums.

This does not mean all customers will accept the route. Some buyers still require Western-origin or free-trade-agreement cargoes because of compliance, quality, customer specification or trade-policy considerations.

But the presence of a cheaper remelting route can weaken the connection between southeast Asia and Japan premiums. If Vietnam accepts material that Japan will not, the two markets may price differently.

Export Rebates Could Decide Sustainability

China’s 13% export tax rebate for certain aluminium products is central to the pricing gap. Some Chinese suppliers can offer semi-finished products at very low premiums, or even discounts to LME, because the rebate supports export economics.

This creates a policy-driven arbitrage. Instead of exporting primary aluminium directly, suppliers can export semi-finished products that receive more favourable tax treatment.

The sustainability of the trend depends on Beijing’s response. If Chinese authorities decide export volumes are excessive or distortive, they could remove or adjust the rebate.

That would quickly change the economics. Without the rebate, low-priced Chinese semis may become less competitive as a remelting feedstock for southeast Asian buyers.

For now, the trade flow matters because western aluminium supply remains tight and regional premiums are elevated. Buyers are looking for workable alternatives, and Chinese semis provide one.

The broader market implication is clear. Aluminium premiums are becoming more segmented by origin, trade rules and customer acceptance. Regional benchmarks may no longer move together if buyers have different views on acceptable supply.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The possible split between southeast Asia and Japan premiums shows how trade policy can reshape aluminium pricing as much as physical supply. If Chinese semi exports remain cheap, Vietnam could become a more flexible remelting market while Japan stays tied to stricter origin premiums.

Asia Semiconductor Demand for AI Data Centres Surges on Regional Infrastructure Expansion

AI

Asia semiconductor demand for AI data centres is accelerating rapidly, driven by generative AI development, regional cloud infrastructure investment, and rising demand for high-bandwidth memory and logic chips. The shift marks a geographic rebalancing in semiconductor orders, which were previously centered on U.S. data centre growth.

AI, HBM, and Logic Chips Drive Semiconductor Orders in Asia

Dutch semiconductor equipment maker BESI reported increased orders from Asian subcontractors in Q1 2025, specifically for AI-related data centre applications. Orders rose 3.3% year-over-year and 8.2% quarter-over-quarter, even as other segments like mobile and automotive remained weak.

AI-centric devices are boosting demand for advanced semiconductor packaging, especially for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) 4 and logic chips. BESI received hybrid bonding orders from two memory producers and additional logic chip orders from an Asian foundry, underscoring regional momentum. Compound semiconductors and minor metals remain essential to meet AI’s performance, efficiency, and optical communication needs.

Chinese data centres, in particular, are preparing for broader adoption of optical technologies and laser detectors as they scale capacity to support domestic AI models like DeepSeek.

China, Singapore, and Malaysia Lead AI Data Centre Build-Out

China is rapidly scaling its AI data centre footprint. GLP, a Singapore-China investment firm, raised ¥2.6bn ($356.7mn) for a Beijing-area data centre and controls 20 data centres with a total capacity of 1.4GW across major regions. This expansion is backed by Chinese policy support for AI, cloud, IoT, and 5G development, with the country’s data centre market forecast to grow at a 38% CAGR through 2029.

Singapore remains southeast Asia’s largest data hub, hosting 1.4GW of capacity with expansion plans. However, regulatory restrictions on power and land usage are slowing growth. Meanwhile, Johor, Malaysia, is emerging as a new hotspot, with projected capacity of 1.6GW—poised to surpass Singapore.

Chinese firms have invested over $10bn in Malaysian data centres since 2019. Companies like ByteDance and Alibaba Cloud are leveraging Malaysia’s semiconductor-friendly environment to bypass U.S. export controls and support international operations.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The boom in Asia semiconductor demand for AI data centres signals a decisive shift in global digital infrastructure. As U.S. restrictions reshape supply chains, Asia is emerging as the new battleground for AI-optimized semiconductor and data centre development—anchored by domestic innovation and strategic capital deployment.

Asia-Pacific Growth Slows as US-Iran Conflict Raises Energy and Trade Risks

ADB(The Asian Development Bank)

Asia-Pacific growth is expected to slow in 2026 and 2027 as the US-Iran conflict and renewed trade uncertainty weigh on the region’s economic outlook. The Asian Development Bank now forecasts regional growth of 5.1% in both years, down from 5.4% in 2025.

Asia-Pacific growth was stronger last year because companies front-loaded exports before US tariff increases, semiconductor demand stayed high, and private consumption remained firm. But the ADB said the Middle East conflict now presents the largest risk to the region.

Asia-Pacific growth remains supported by domestic demand, steady labour markets and public infrastructure spending. However, prolonged disruption could raise energy and food prices, tighten financial conditions and weaken industrial momentum across key manufacturing economies.

Energy Shock Threatens Inflation and Industrial Demand

The ADB based its latest outlook on assumptions finalised in early March, shortly after the war began. Those assumptions expected the conflict to stabilise early, but the bank said later evidence now points to a higher risk of prolonged disruption.

Regional inflation is projected at 3.6% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027 under the early-stabilisation scenario. If the conflict lasts through the third quarter, inflation could rise to 5.6% in 2026.

This matters for metals and manufacturing because Asia remains central to global supply chains for steel, aluminium, copper products, batteries, semiconductors, electronics and automotive components. Higher energy costs could pressure margins, slow investment and reduce demand for industrial raw materials.

Trade uncertainty adds another risk. Export front-loading helped 2025 growth, but that support is fading as manufacturers adjust to tariffs, weaker global trade and shifting procurement strategies.

China, India and Asean Face Uneven Growth Paths

China’s growth is forecast to slow to 4.6% in 2026 and 4.5% in 2027, from 5% last year. Subdued private consumption, property market weakness and slower export expansion are expected to weigh on activity.

The Chinese slowdown remains important for global metals markets. China is the largest consumer of many industrial and battery metals, so weaker growth can quickly affect copper, aluminium, nickel, zinc, rare earths and lithium demand expectations.

India’s growth is forecast to fall to 6.9% this year from 7.6% last year, before recovering to 7.3% in 2027. Resilient domestic consumption, recent trade agreements and structural reforms are expected to support the rebound.

Asean growth is projected at 4.6% in both 2026 and 2027, slightly below 4.8% in 2025. Infrastructure spending and domestic demand should provide stability, but weaker exports and fading front-loading effects could limit manufacturing momentum.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The ADB forecast shows that Asia’s growth engine is still running, but energy security and trade risk are becoming stronger constraints. For metals markets, the key issue is whether infrastructure spending can offset weaker exports and higher industrial costs.

Asia leads renewable capacity growth in 2024, but gaps widen

IRENA

Capacity milestones and technology mix

Asia leads renewable capacity growth in 2024 and shapes global additions. Asia leads renewable capacity growth with 71% of 582GW installed. Total renewable capacity rose 15% to 4.4TW. Solar added 453GW, while wind added 114GW. Renewables now hold 46.2% of global capacity, near fossil’s 47.3%.

Tripling target, regional gaps, and investment

Asia leads renewable capacity growth, yet the world lags the 2030 tripling goal. At today’s pace, capacity reaches only 10.3TW by 2030. Growth must accelerate to 16.6% yearly. Africa, Eurasia, Central America, and the Caribbean added just 2.8%. Closing gaps needs policy, finance, and technology transfer. Global energy investment will hit $3.3tn in 2025, with two-thirds “clean.” China remains the largest clean-energy investor.

Strong Asian momentum lifts solar, wind, and grid component demand. However, uneven access to capital limits broader adoption. Therefore, stable frameworks and concessional funding remain critical. Developers must also expand storage and transmission to absorb growth.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Asia’s surge is real, but global equity still lags. Expect supply-chain tightness in inverters, transformers, and HV equipment. Watch policy pipelines and grid upgrades to sustain installation velocity.

Rusal Shifts Focus to Asia as Regional Sales Surge in 2024

Rusal

In the first half of 2024, Russian aluminum giant Rusal continued to shift its business focus from Europe to Asia, with the region now accounting for over 40% of its total revenue. This strategic realignment comes in response to ongoing geopolitical challenges and restrictions on Russian metal in Europe and the U.S. following the Ukraine conflict.

Strong Sales Growth in Asia, Decline in Europe

Rusal's revenue for January to June 2024 dropped by 4.2% year-on-year to $5.695 billion, mainly due to lower aluminum prices and premiums. However, sales to Asia, particularly China, increased significantly, rising by 19.9% compared to the first half of 2023, reaching $2.37 billion. In contrast, sales to Europe plummeted by 32.7% to $1.26 billion during the same period. As a result, Asia accounted for 41.6% of Rusal’s revenue in the first half of 2024, up from 33% the previous year.

Rusal also bolstered its raw material supply chain by acquiring a 30% stake in Chinese alumina producer Hebei Wenfeng New Materials in October 2023, contributing to a nearly 19% increase in alumina output. Aluminum production rose slightly by 2.3%, while net profits surged by 41.6%, driven by a 22% reduction in non-alumina raw material costs.

BIR Conference Bangkok Recycling Industry signals Asia’s circular shift

2025 BIR(Bureau of International Recycling)

The BIR(Bureau of International Recycling) Conference Bangkok Recycling Industry gathered global stakeholders across the value chain. The forum covered ferrous, non-ferrous, and specialty metals in depth. The BIR Conference Bangkok Recycling Industry highlighted circular economy execution, not slogans. Therefore, participants focused on infrastructure, technology, and market standards. Meanwhile, BIR’s scale—1.5 million professionals and USD 160 billion—framed the agenda.

The BIR Conference Bangkok Recycling Industry underscored Asia-Pacific’s accelerating demand. Hosting in Bangkok reflected trade gravity tilting toward Asian hubs. As a result, discussions centered on capacity build-out and logistics reliability. Attendees examined traceability, quality assurance, and ESG disclosure. Moreover, members emphasized data for financing and cross-border compliance.

2025 BIR(Bureau of International Recycling)

Ferrous and non-ferrous flows anchor the circular backbone

Ferrous scrap now supplies over 30% of global steel output. EAF adoption increases scrap intensity and resilience. Therefore, ferrous scrap became a strategic raw material. Asia remains the largest import market for ferrous scrap. Korea, Japan, and Taiwan anchor steady tonnage. However, India’s fast-rising demand drew strong attention this year.

Non-ferrous recycling accelerates stainless steel’s circular economy. Over 70% of stainless production uses recycled feedstock today. Consequently, 300-series stainless scrap commands a nickel-driven premium. Copper, aluminum, and zinc recycling rates keep climbing. Meanwhile, EV batteries and e-waste create new metal pools. Processors target dismantling, black-mass recovery, and closed-loop contracts. As a result, service models expand beyond commodity trading.

2025 BIR(Bureau of International Recycling)

Specialty metals scale: Titanium and Nickel Superalloys

Specialty metals advanced from niche to priority. Titanium scrap offsets costly primary sponge and ingot. Proper sorting enables aircraft, reactor, and implant routes. Clean grades often trade at several thousand dollars per ton. Therefore, certification and segregation matter for aerospace and medical uses.

Nickel-based superalloy scrap rose with aerospace growth. Inconel and Hastelloy streams typically exceed 50% nickel. Refiners upgrade these into new superalloy melts. Moreover, chromium, molybdenum, and cobalt increase strategic value. As a result, secure collection and refining capacity became focal. Asia is emerging as the center for scale and skills.

The Metalnomist Commentary

BIR Bangkok confirmed recycling as core supply-chain strategy. Expect capital to target high-purity sorting, verified traceability, and melt capacity. Asian hubs that certify quality fastest will capture premium flows.

Global Recycled Metals Output Rises as China and Emerging Regions Expand Capacity

Recycled Metals

Global recycled metals output increased further in 2025 as China maintained its leading position and emerging regions expanded recycling capacity. Production of recycled copper, aluminium, lead and zinc reached about 59.2mn t, up 5.6% from a year earlier.

Global recycled metals output is becoming more important to non-ferrous supply security as mining, processing and trade flows face rising geopolitical and cost pressures. Recycling now provides a larger secondary source of industrial metal units for manufacturers, smelters and battery supply chains.

Global recycled metals output accounted for around 34% of total non-ferrous metal production in 2025. The sector also delivered cumulative savings of about 1.2bn t of primary mineral resources, underlining its growing role in resource conservation.

The growth shows that recycled metals are no longer a secondary environmental story. They are becoming a core part of industrial raw material strategy across copper, aluminium, lead, zinc and battery metals.

China Leads as Regional Recycling Capacity Expands

China remained the world’s largest recycled base metals producer in 2025, with output of 20.57mn t. That represented 34.7% of global production.

The country’s scale gives it a major role in recycled copper, aluminium, lead and zinc supply. It also strengthens China’s position across non-ferrous metals at a time when primary raw material security is under pressure.

Europe produced more than 10mn t of recycled base metals, while the US produced more than 6mn t. India and southeast Asia reached around 6mn t and 4mn t, respectively.

These figures show that recycling capacity is becoming more geographically distributed. Emerging regions are no longer only consumers of recycled raw materials. They are becoming processing centres in their own right.

Battery-related recycling is also growing quickly. Nickel, cobalt and lithium recovery is supporting the new energy industry as electric vehicle and energy storage supply chains look for more secure material sources.

China aims to increase domestic recycled material recovery to 23mn t by 2030 under its next five-year plan. That target implies annual growth of around 7%.

The country is also expected to strengthen recycled product certification and explore the inclusion of recycled materials in carbon trading systems. This could make recycled metal more valuable for customers seeking traceable and lower-carbon supply.

Trade Flows and Technology Move Toward Asia

Global recycled raw material trade is becoming more regional, more Asia-focused and more diversified. Europe and North America remain major exporters of recycled copper and aluminium feedstock.

Europe exports around 2mn t/yr of recycled copper and aluminium feedstock, while North America exports about 4.2mn t/yr. China and India remain the largest importers, with imports exceeding 4mn t and 2mn t, respectively.

Southeast Asia is becoming a key transshipment hub. Regional recycled aluminium feedstock trade reached about 1.3mn t of imports and 900,000t of exports.

Black mass from spent lithium-ion batteries is also increasingly moving toward Asian processing centres. This reflects Asia’s stronger battery materials processing base and growing demand for recovered nickel, cobalt and lithium units.

Technology is improving the recycling value chain. Advances in laser sorting, intelligent dismantling, multi-metal battery recovery and digital process control are raising recovery rates and product quality.

Leading producers have achieved recycling rates above 94% for aluminium and 95% for lithium. These levels show how recycling is moving closer to industrial-grade resource recovery rather than simple scrap handling.

New products are also expanding. High-strength recycled aluminium alloys, high-purity recycled copper and recycled rare-earth permanent magnets are gaining traction.

This matters because recycled metal must meet customer specifications before it can displace primary material. Better sorting, cleaner chemistry and stronger certification will determine how much recycled metal can enter high-value applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Recycling is becoming a strategic metals supply pillar, not just a sustainability tool. The next competitive edge will come from producers that can turn complex scrap and battery waste into certified, high-purity and customer-ready materials.

Defense & Security 2025 turns Bangkok into Asia’s defense crossroads

Defense & Security 2025

Defense & Security 2025 opens in Bangkok with record scale and deep strategic signaling. Defense & Security 2025 hosts 580 companies, 28 national pavilions, and 26,000 visitors. Defense & Security 2025 runs 10–13 November at IMPACT under Thailand’s defense ministry.

China’s strategic push shapes the exhibition’s competitive landscape. Thailand has fielded Chinese VT-4 tanks, VN-1 IFVs, drones, and QBZ-195T rifles. Thailand has in recent years purchased more Chinese arms by value than US systems. Therefore, the halls highlight Chinese offerings across air, land, and maritime domains. Meanwhile, invited delegations exceed 350 senior officials from 35 countries.

Scale and content reinforce the show’s Asia-Pacific weight. Exhibits span missiles, tanks, UAVs, ships, satellites, and secure comms. Exhibitors also show electronic warfare, cyber, and counter-terror systems. As a result, the event functions as a tri-service marketplace with policy dialogue. Twenty seminars and conferences convene industry and government experts.

Defense & Security 2025, China Sector

China’s export expansion meets Thailand’s modernization

China’s export pattern concentrates on Asia and Oceania buyers. Asia-Oceania take 77% of Chinese arms exports, with Africa at 14%. Pakistan accounts for 63% of Chinese exports, followed by Bangladesh and Thailand. Consequently, regional procurement pipelines increasingly feature Chinese platforms and components.

Thailand’s modernization plan advances across multiple suppliers. The cabinet approved a phased purchase of 12 Gripen E/F jets over a decade. The estimated cost is 60 billion baht for the Gripen program. Thailand’s 2024 defense budget totals 198.3 billion baht, up 2% year on year. Therefore, procurement mixes US Strykers, Chinese VN-1s, and Israeli UAVs.

ASEAN’s rearmament cycle accelerates in parallel. Indonesia’s defense budget reached $13.2 billion in 2023. Singapore’s spending reached $13.4 billion in 2023 after a 10% rise. Singapore is acquiring eight F-35B fighters to expand airpower. Vietnam is upgrading naval capabilities to protect maritime claims.

Defense & Security 2025

Global spending pledges and exporter dynamics reframe supply chains

NATO members set a higher ambition at the June 2025 summit. Members committed to invest 5% of GDP in defense. This marks a major uplift from the earlier 2% benchmark. As a result, delivery slots, components, and workforce will tighten globally.

Exporter shares define competitive pressures through 2020–24. The United States held 43% of global arms exports. France and Russia followed in second and third positions. China accounted for 5.9% and ranked fourth. Therefore, Chinese vendors face strong US and European competition in premium segments.

Defense & Security 2025 serves more than a sales floor. Organizers prioritize invited government buyers and curated agendas. Discussions focus on autonomy, AI ISR, resilient logistics, and cyber. Exhibitors pitch lifecycle packages with training and local sustainment. Co-production, MRO, and data rights feature in many deal rooms.

The Metalnomist Commentary 

Bangkok’s show captures a decisive shift toward diversified sourcing and localization. Expect tougher offset terms, co-development, and data-centric sustainment as ASEAN hedges suppliers. Financing creativity will separate winners from followers in the next procurement wave.

Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia

Vanadium

Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia secures a near-term path to cash flow. The two-year pact covers about 1.2mn t/yr of vanadium-rich magnetite DSO from South Africa. As a result, the Steelpoortdrift project gains commercial optionality while financing remains tight.

Terms, conditions, and near-term pivot

The agreement hinges on final pricing terms by 30 August, given no standard spot benchmark. It also requires a mining contractor and product-spec compliance by 30 November. Meanwhile, VR8 keeps talks open with other offtakers, which could unlock higher-grade ore output. Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia complements this parallel marketing strategy.

Market context and financing implications

Steelpoortdrift holds 680mn t at an average 0.7pc V₂O₅, supporting scale. However, the project pause and cost cuts reflect VR8’s limited cash of A$218,000 at March-end. Therefore, DSO sales aim to monetize ore while VR8 seeks a strategic equity partner. Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia may reduce funding risk if milestones are met.

China’s vanadium demand is accelerating on vanadium redox flow battery projects. Pangang cites 2024 consumption of 116,300t V₂O₅ equivalent, underscoring structural pull. Consequently, CPAL’s involvement aligns supply with growing energy-storage applications and traditional steel demand.

VR8 originally targeted first concentrate and flake by late 2025. Yet DSO offers a lower-capex bridge to revenues during market and funding uncertainty. If pricing and logistics crystallize, the DSO route can stabilize cash generation ahead of full development.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This offtake is a pragmatic bridge between stranded resources and market demand. Execution now turns on price discovery, contractor mobilization, and logistics discipline. If VR8 delivers milestones, CPAL’s pull could anchor a broader funding solution.

Enovix Expands into Asia with Strategic South Korea Acquisition

Enovix

US-based battery technology company Enovix has announced the acquisition of a battery cell manufacturing facility in South Korea.

The move marks a strategic expansion aimed at addressing rising demand from the defense sector, a key target market for advanced energy storage solutions. The facility was acquired from SolarEdge, an Israeli energy technology firm. Though the financial terms remain undisclosed, the acquisition includes both the physical plant and essential development and production equipment.

Silicon-Anode Battery Production to Scale Up

Enovix specializes in silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries, known for higher energy density and longer life cycles than traditional graphite-based cells. With this new manufacturing footprint in Asia, the company aims to accelerate production to meet growing military and industrial needs. The South Korean facility will allow Enovix to scale its output more efficiently and closer to global clients in Asia-Pacific, enhancing both delivery timelines and cost efficiency. This acquisition reflects a broader trend of American tech firms diversifying production locations amid geopolitical and supply chain pressures.

Broader Market Implications for Defense and Energy Storage

The defense industry has increasingly turned to high-performance lithium-ion batteries to power advanced systems, from drones to tactical communications. Meanwhile, South Korea remains a global battery production hub, home to major players like LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI. Enovix’s entry into this ecosystem may also signal potential partnerships or talent acquisitions in one of the world’s most competitive battery markets. By localizing part of its manufacturing, Enovix not only enhances capacity but also strengthens its resilience against future disruptions in the US-China technology corridor.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Enovix’s move into South Korea highlights a strategic pivot toward regionalized production to support defense-grade lithium-ion batteries. As demand spikes for high-energy-density storage solutions, this acquisition strengthens the company’s hand in a competitive and geopolitically sensitive industry. For metals suppliers and cell integrators, it also signals growing urgency to align with agile, dual-continent battery players.

Russian PGMs Continue Flowing to Europe via East Asia Despite Direct Import Declines

Russian PGMs Mining

Hong Kong and China Re-export Platinum and Palladium to Europe as Shortages Persist and Prices Stay Depressed

Russian Metal Flows Persist Despite Western Sanctions

Russian-origin platinum group metals (PGMs) continued entering European markets in 2024, despite significant declines in direct exports. Instead, the metal flowed indirectly via Hong Kong and China, both of which ramped up PGM exports after stockpiling Russian volumes in 2023–2024.

The UK, for instance, imported a quarter of Hong Kong’s 857,379 oz of platinum in the first eleven months of 2024—up 500% year-on-year, despite zero direct imports from Russia for two consecutive years.

Re-export Surge Undercuts African Suppliers

As the UK increased platinum imports via Asia, its platinum purchases from South Africa—the world’s largest platinum producer—fell 4% year-on-year. Market participants say rebranded Russian metal, sold at a discount, is undercutting South African supply in Europe.

Meanwhile, Switzerland absorbed most of Hong Kong’s 121,682 oz of palladium exports in 2024, sharply up from prior years. China’s palladium exports also jumped 87%, with half shipped to Switzerland, reinforcing the growing role of East Asia as a trade intermediary.

Global Deficit Grows as Output Shrinks

With supply tight, the EU and UK may continue to rely on these indirect Russian flows. According to the World Platinum Investment Council, platinum and palladium demand will remain robust through 2025, even as global production falls.

Non-Russian producers are scaling back: Sibanye-Stillwater announced job cuts at its U.S. palladium mine, and Impala Platinum may shut its Canadian Lac des Iles site early. Despite tightness, spot prices remain weak, limiting producer incentives to boost output.

Europe's Strategic Dilemma in PGM Supply

Palladium prices have plunged 57% in 2023, followed by another 36% drop in 2024, averaging $998/oz, per Johnson Matthey data. Although sanctions remain in place, Europe’s automotive and industrial sectors have few alternatives for essential PGMs.

Market insiders expect indirect Russian-origin PGM flows into Europe to persist in the medium term, particularly as Asia profits from discounted access. The gap between policy and procurement realities is widening, reinforcing the fragility of Europe’s critical metals strategy.

Novelis Opens Aluminium Recycling Facility in South Korea to Boost Low-Carbon Supply

Novelis

Ulsan Plant Increases Novelis’ Regional Recycling Capacity by 100,000 t/yr

Novelis has opened a new aluminium recycling facility in Ulsan, South Korea, increasing its regional capacity by 100,000 tonnes per year. The facility, fully funded by Novelis with a $65 million investment, is a joint venture with Japan’s Kobe Steel. This expansion underscores Novelis commitment to low-carbon aluminium and a circular economy across Asia’s industrial sectors.

The new Ulsan aluminium recycling facility complements Novelis' existing Yeongju plant, bringing total Korean capacity to 470,000 t/yr. It will recycle used beverage cans, as well as automotive and industrial scrap, producing sustainable aluminium sheet ingot.

As a result, the project is expected to reduce carbon emissions by approximately 470,000 t/yr, aligning with global decarbonization goals.

Sustainable Aluminium Demand Rising in Asia

Novelis Asia president Sachin Satpute emphasized that the Ulsan aluminium recycling centre is a response to growing demand for sustainable materials. Key sectors such as beverage packaging, automotive, and specialty products increasingly require low-carbon aluminium supply chains. Meanwhile, regional policy and ESG pressures are accelerating investment in closed-loop recycling infrastructure.

The aluminium recycling facility in South Korea highlights Novelis’ strategic intent to lead in sustainable aluminium production. With Asia as a major consumption base, this move positions Novelis competitively in both environmental and industrial performance.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Novelis’ investment in Ulsan reflects the industry's pivot toward regionalized, sustainable aluminium production. With policy and market aligning on carbon goals, such facilities are not just environmental assets—they're strategic imperatives.

International Graphite Wogen Offtake Builds Asia-Pacific Supply Route

Graphite

International Graphite Wogen offtake plans could create a new Australia-to-Asia graphite supply route as International Graphite prepares to commission its Collie processing facility in Western Australia. The non-binding agreement combines concentrate supply with downstream sales of micronised spherical graphite.

International Graphite Wogen offtake terms allow Wogen to supply up to 10,000 t/yr of graphite flake concentrate to Collie. In return, International Graphite would supply at least 3,000 t/yr of micronised spherical graphite to Wogen’s Pacific arm for exclusive marketing across Asia-Pacific.

International Graphite Wogen offtake is strategically relevant because Japan and South Korea are major battery and advanced materials markets seeking more diversified graphite sources outside China. Commercial terms will be negotiated on a spot basis, while Wogen may provide credit lines to support transactions.

The companies aim to convert the arrangement into a binding agreement before the 4,000 t/yr Collie facility begins commercial production in mid-2027.

Collie Creates Midstream Graphite Capacity Outside China

The Collie plant gives International Graphite a route into higher-value graphite processing rather than relying only on upstream mining. The facility will produce micronised spherical graphite from imported flake concentrate during its initial operating phase.

This matters because graphite value chains depend heavily on processing. Natural graphite must undergo sizing, shaping, purification and coating before it can qualify as active anode material for lithium-ion batteries.

The material produced at Collie will still require additional processing before use in battery anodes. That means the project sits in the midstream rather than representing a fully integrated battery-anode supply chain.

However, the Wogen agreement creates a commercial bridge into Japan and South Korea. Both markets have established battery, automotive and electronics industries that require secure sources of processed graphite.

Wogen’s ability to supply up to 10,000 t/yr of concentrate also gives International Graphite feedstock flexibility while its own mining plans remain on hold.

The Collie commissioning schedule has moved to mid-2027 from an earlier January 2027 target. Production is expected to ramp over the following 18 months.

Springdale Delay Highlights Processing-First Strategy

International Graphite ultimately plans to source flake graphite from its Springdale project in Western Australia. But the company has paused exploration and drilling while concentrating capital and management resources on Collie and its Italian midstream joint venture with Alkeemia.

This sequencing reflects a pragmatic strategy. Building processing capability first can establish customers, product qualification and market access before the company commits larger capital to mine development.

Springdale received A$4.7mn in Australian federal government support in 2023. The resource could eventually provide domestic feedstock to Collie and create a more vertically integrated Australian graphite chain.

For now, the project will rely on external concentrate. That reduces near-term upstream development risk but increases dependence on third-party feedstock availability and pricing.

The Wogen arrangement helps manage that exposure while providing an outlet for processed material. If converted into a binding contract, it would cover a substantial share of Collie’s planned production capacity.

The broader opportunity is ex-China graphite diversification. China remains dominant in spherical graphite and battery-anode processing, making new midstream capacity in Australia strategically important even before full anode qualification is achieved.

The Metalnomist Commentary

International Graphite is prioritising the hardest commercial step first: building processing capacity and customer routes before expanding its mine. If Collie secures reliable feedstock and qualifies into Asian markets, Springdale can later become the upstream anchor of a more integrated ex-China graphite chain.

Asian Aluminium Premiums Stay Subdued as QMJP Offers Test Buyer Resistance

Aluminum

Asian aluminium premiums remained subdued this week as buyers assessed sharply higher quarterly cif main Japan port offers for July-September delivery. Two major producers opened QMJP negotiations at $460/t and $480/t, far above the April-June settlement of $350-353/t.

Asian aluminium premiums are now being pulled in two directions. Western-origin metal has tightened after the Iran war disrupted supply, giving producers a basis for higher offers. However, weak demand and greater availability of alternative units are limiting spot-market momentum.

Asian aluminium premiums also remain below the new QMJP offers. Current spot indications are around $320-380/t, while P1020 fca Korea indications for non-Russian material were heard at $320-350/t.

The gap between producer offers and spot levels suggests buyers may resist paying the full proposed premium. If QMJP settles above $400/t, non-western brands could continue trading below the benchmark.

Western-Origin Tightness Supports Higher Producer Offers

The higher QMJP offers reflect tighter availability of western-origin aluminium in Asia. Supply disruption linked to the Iran war has reduced confidence in some traditional flows, pushing producers to test stronger premium levels.

This is important because QMJP remains a key reference for aluminium trade across Asia. A high settlement can influence physical premiums, contract pricing and buyer behaviour beyond Japan.

However, the market is not uniformly tight. Some Asian smelters have received enquiries and are willing to sell into Europe or offer small volumes in Asia. Others prefer to wait for clearer direction from the QMJP negotiations.

This cautious behaviour shows how benchmark talks can freeze spot activity. Buyers do not want to commit at high levels before the benchmark is settled, while sellers do not want to underprice material if premiums rise.

The immediate market signal is therefore uncertainty, not shortage. Western-origin units command support, but broader aluminium availability remains mixed.

Stranded Wire and Russian Units Cap Spot Upside

Alternative supply is limiting the impact of higher QMJP offers. Stranded wire and Russian-origin aluminium units are weighing on sales of other brands, especially where buyers are more price-sensitive.

China’s exports of aluminium stranded wire rose sharply in April. Shipments under HS code 761490 increased by 166% year on year to 15,567t.

South Korea and Vietnam absorbed much larger volumes. Chinese shipments to South Korea surged to 2,911t, while shipments to Vietnam climbed to 2,288t. Exports to Thailand also rose to 619t.

These flows matter because stranded wire can create substitute supply pressure in regional aluminium markets. When alternative units are available, buyers have less urgency to accept premium increases for standard brands.

Russian-origin aluminium also remains a price-sensitive factor. Some buyers continue to avoid Russian material for policy or corporate reasons, but availability still affects regional market balance and non-western brand pricing.

Demand remains the bigger constraint. Buyers are likely to reduce volumes if both LME prices and QMJP premiums stay high. This limits the ability of producers to convert tight western-origin supply into broad spot-market price gains.

The next quarter may therefore produce a divided market. Western-origin material could secure stronger contract premiums, while non-western and alternative units trade at discounts.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Asia’s aluminium market is not rejecting higher premiums; it is questioning which metal deserves them. The real split is between tight western-origin supply and a softer regional market still supported by stranded wire, Russian units and weak demand.

Asian Investor Climate Policy Advocacy Rises as Transition Finance Needs Clearer Rules

AIGCC

Asian investor climate policy advocacy is accelerating as more asset owners and managers push governments for clearer frameworks to support climate investment. The Asia Investor Group on Climate Change said investors across the region are moving beyond broad net zero pledges toward more direct engagement on policy.

Asian investor climate policy advocacy is becoming more important because Asia’s energy transition depends heavily on regulation, project approvals and national transition roadmaps. Markets across the region differ widely in policy maturity, carbon rules, disclosure standards and grid planning.

Asian investor climate policy advocacy now extends beyond emissions targets. Investors are calling for stronger sector transition plans, technology support, physical climate risk frameworks, nature-related disclosures and just transition policies.

The shift matters for metals and industrial supply chains. More investible climate policy can unlock capital for energy storage, renewable power, transmission, low-carbon transport and green infrastructure, all of which require large volumes of copper, aluminium, battery materials, electrical steel and critical minerals.

Energy Storage and Grid Investment Draw More Capital

Energy storage has become one of the clearest winners from stronger climate policy interest. The share of surveyed investors interested in energy storage doubled to 82% in 2025 from 40% in 2023.

This is an important signal for battery metals. Storage growth can support demand for lithium, iron phosphate, graphite, copper, aluminium and power electronics materials, even when electric vehicle growth becomes uneven.

Renewable power generation and transmission are also attracting investor attention. These sectors require long-term policy certainty because projects depend on grid access, permitting, tariff structures and reliable revenue models.

Green infrastructure, low-carbon transport and nature-based solutions are also gaining interest. But capital will move fastest where governments provide clear investment rules, predictable transition pathways and credible national targets.

The report shows that investors are becoming more practical. They are no longer only setting portfolio-level climate targets. They are asking governments to create the conditions needed for real projects to be financed.

Transition Plans Remain the Missing Link

Investor climate commitments are rising, but implementation remains uneven. The share of investors with net zero portfolio pledges increased to 45% in 2025 from 40% in 2024, while 33% have set interim targets.

However, only 22% of investors published a climate transition plan in 2025, unchanged from the previous year. This gap matters because transition plans connect targets with capital allocation, engagement priorities and risk management.

Just transition strategies are even less developed. Only 11% of investors have adopted one, showing that social and regional impacts remain under-integrated in climate finance.

Asia’s transition will require place-based planning. Coal-heavy markets, export-driven manufacturing hubs, emerging economies and advanced financial centres all need different pathways.

For metals producers and industrial companies, this creates both opportunity and scrutiny. Investors will increasingly prefer companies with credible decarbonisation strategies, resilient supply chains and exposure to climate-enabling materials.

The broader message is clear. Climate finance in Asia is moving from ambition toward execution, but policy certainty and transition planning must improve before capital can scale at the speed required.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Asian investors are telling governments that climate capital needs bankable rules, not slogans. For metals markets, the strongest signal is energy storage: policy clarity could turn climate finance into real demand for copper, aluminium, lithium and grid materials.

Indonesia-Philippines Nickel Corridor Gains Momentum as Ore Supply Gap Widens

Indonesia Nickel mining

Indonesia-Philippines nickel corridor plans are gaining strategic importance as the region’s two largest nickel-producing countries deepen cooperation across the nickel value chain. The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association and the Philippine Nickel Industry Association signed a second memorandum of understanding in Cebu on 7 May.

The Indonesia-Philippines nickel corridor is designed to improve coordination between upstream ore supply, processing demand and downstream battery-related investment. The agreement builds on an earlier MoU signed in Manila in February 2026.

The Indonesia-Philippines nickel corridor also reflects a practical market need. Indonesia’s domestic nickel ore supply is tightening, while its smelting and battery-material capacity continues to expand.

The latest agreement was signed alongside the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit, giving the partnership a stronger regional policy dimension. It signals that nickel is becoming a strategic industrial platform for Southeast Asia, not only a mined commodity.

Ore Supply Coordination Becomes Critical for Indonesia

Indonesia’s nickel processing industry is facing a widening feedstock challenge. APNI estimates the country’s approved nickel ore production quota for 2026 at 260mn-270mn wet metric tonnes.

That level still leaves a projected supply gap of around 80mn wet metric tonnes. This shortfall highlights the growing role of Philippine ore as supplementary feedstock for Indonesian smelters.

Indonesia imported 15.3mn t of nickel ore in 2025. That trade flow could increase if domestic mining quotas remain tight and processing demand continues to grow.

Philippine ore is not a simple replacement for Indonesian ore. The two countries’ ores differ in chemical composition, which can affect processing performance, recovery rates and smelter efficiency.

However, blending Philippine and Indonesian ore can help optimise smelter feed. This gives the partnership a direct operational purpose, especially for nickel pig iron, stainless steel and battery-linked processing routes.

The agreement therefore formalises a market trend already developing through trade. Indonesian processors need reliable ore, while Philippine miners can benefit from stronger regional demand and closer customer integration.

Nickel Corridor Supports Southeast Asia’s Battery Ambition

The partnership also supports Southeast Asia’s emerging electric vehicle battery ecosystem. Nickel remains a key input for high-nickel cathode materials, mixed hydroxide precipitate, stainless steel and specialty alloy production.

Indonesia has already become the centre of regional nickel processing. But its growth depends on stable ore access, clear mining quotas, sulphur and acid availability, power supply and downstream investment.

The Philippines brings complementary upstream strength. Its ore exports can help fill Indonesia’s feedstock gap while giving Manila a more active role in the regional battery materials chain.

The MoU framework covers supply-chain integration, policy dialogue and industry development. This is important because nickel markets are increasingly shaped by regulation, quotas, export policies and downstream industrial strategy.

The corridor could also influence Asian nickel ore pricing. If Indonesian demand for Philippine ore increases, regional benchmark dynamics may shift as buyers compete for suitable feedstock.

For smelters, the biggest value may come from consistency. Better coordination between miners, processors and policymakers can reduce uncertainty around ore availability and improve long-term planning.

For battery supply chains, the agreement shows that Southeast Asia is trying to build a more integrated regional nickel platform. Indonesia and the Philippines together can influence ore flows, processing economics and downstream investment decisions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Indonesia-Philippines nickel corridor is a response to Indonesia’s processing success creating its own ore shortage. The next phase of Southeast Asian nickel competition will depend less on who has ore alone, and more on who can coordinate feedstock, processing and battery-market access.

China’s Gotion Predicts LFP Batteries Will Dominate Global EV Market

Gotion High-Tech

Chinese battery producer Gotion High-Tech forecasts that lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) and lithium-manganese-iron-phosphate (LMFP) batteries will claim up to 70% of the global electric vehicle (EV) battery market in the next 2-5 years. Speaking at the ASEAN Battery Technology Conference in Singapore, Gotion’s Asia-Pacific president Cheng Qian highlighted the rising prominence of LFP chemistry, particularly in affordable EVs and energy storage systems.

The Rise of LFP Batteries

Qian projected that LFP batteries will dominate not only the global EV market but also the entire energy storage system (ESS) sector, exceeding even the IEA’s 80% forecast. He attributed this growth to advancements in LFP battery range and faster charging times, catering to the needs of everyday EV consumers. In contrast, nickel-cobalt-manganese (NCM) batteries are expected to remain essential only for high-performance and long-range EVs.

This shift has placed pressure on the nickel market, as manufacturers pivot to cost-efficient LFP solutions. South Korean giants such as Samsung SDI and SK On are preparing to mass-produce LFP batteries by 2026. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution (LGES) has committed to supplying 39GWh of LFP batteries to Renault's EV division Ampere, underscoring Europe’s growing focus on LFP technology.

Two-Wheeler EV Transition in Asia-Pacific

The two-wheeler EV market, particularly in Asia-Pacific, is also expected to transition from NCM to LFP batteries. India, Indonesia, and the Philippines are leading this shift due to cost concerns and government initiatives.

• India: Achieved record EV sales in FY2023-24, with two-wheeler EV sales rising 30% year-on-year to 944,126 units.
• Indonesia: Aims for 2 million electric motorcycles by 2025, supported by a $458 million subsidy program launched in March 2023.
• Philippines: Targets a 50% electric motorcycle and tricycle share by 2030, with cost efficiency driving adoption.

A Global Shift in Battery Technology

With its affordability and sustainability, LFP battery technology is reshaping the global EV landscape, especially in cost-sensitive markets. Companies like Gotion, LGES, and Samsung SDI are at the forefront of this transformation, signaling a shift towards accessible and efficient energy solutions.

SK Innovation Boosts Malaysia Data Center with Advanced Energy Systems

SK Innovation

South Korea’s SK Innovation data center energy systems will power one of Asia’s largest digital infrastructure projects in Malaysia. The company has signed an agreement with Bridge Data Centers to provide advanced backup power, energy storage, and fuel cell systems, alongside cooling technologies and a Data Center Management System (DCMS).

SK Innovation Data Center Energy Systems in Malaysia

SK Innovation will design and deliver backup power systems, including energy storage systems (ESS) and hydrogen fuel cells, for Bridge’s Malaysian facility. The integration of DCMS will ensure real-time monitoring and rapid response to power fluctuations, enabling seamless data center operations.

Malaysia Data Center Expansion and Capacity Goals

Bridge Data Centers’ new Malaysian site is projected to exceed 270MW capacity, placing it among Asia’s largest data centers. The company currently operates 300MW of live capacity and has more than 200MW under construction, reflecting growing digital infrastructure demand in Southeast Asia.

The Metalnomist Commentary

SK Innovation’s involvement highlights how energy companies are increasingly central to the data center power transition. By integrating ESS and fuel cells, SK addresses both sustainability goals and operational reliability. This partnership also underscores Malaysia’s rising role as a regional data hub driven by cloud, AI, and digital service growth.