Lopal Marble Bar Lithium Project Deal Extends Chinese Battery Material Supply Strategy

Lopal

Lopal Marble Bar lithium project acquisition will give China’s battery cathode material producer Lopal Tech another upstream position in Western Australia’s lithium sector. The company has agreed to acquire the Marble Bar project from Global Lithium Resources for A$14.85mn.

The Lopal Marble Bar lithium project is located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The project has an estimated resource of 18mn t grading 1.0% lithium oxide.

The Lopal Marble Bar lithium project deal reflects a continuing push by Chinese battery material producers to secure upstream lithium resources. Cathode and battery material companies are looking beyond processing capacity and moving closer to mine supply.

This matters because lithium raw material security remains central to battery supply chains. Even as lithium prices fluctuate, companies with long-term access to spodumene resources can better protect conversion plants, cathode output and customer supply.

Marble Bar Adds Pilbara Resource Exposure

The Marble Bar project gives Lopal direct exposure to a known lithium-bearing region. Western Australia remains one of the world’s most important hard-rock lithium supply bases, with spodumene projects feeding converters and battery material producers across Asia.

The project’s 18mn t resource at 1.0% lithium oxide gives Lopal a potential raw material position, although the acquisition price suggests the asset is still at an early development stage.

For Global Lithium Resources, the sale allows the company to focus more heavily on its larger Manna lithium project. Manna has a resource estimate of 52mn t grading 1.0% lithium oxide.

This creates a clearer portfolio structure. Lopal gains Marble Bar, while GL1 retains its larger Manna asset and existing downstream-linked partnerships.

The transaction also shows that Chinese battery material producers remain willing to invest in Australian lithium assets despite market volatility. Long-term supply security continues to matter more than short-term price weakness.

Manna Links Lopal to Future Offtake Supply

Lopal already has exposure to GL1 through the Manna project. It holds a 5% equity interest in Manna and has signed an offtake agreement to buy 40% of the project’s output.

China’s Canmax has agreed to take another 30% of Manna’s output and also holds a 9.45% stake in GL1. Australian lithium miner Mineral Resources owns 9.85% of GL1.

These relationships show how lithium supply chains are being structured around equity stakes and offtake agreements. Battery material companies want secured feedstock before projects enter production.

For Lopal, the Marble Bar acquisition adds another layer to its Australian lithium strategy. It gives the company project ownership while maintaining future offtake exposure through Manna.

The broader industrial meaning is clear. Chinese battery material producers are not relying only on spot markets. They are building upstream positions, offtake rights and strategic relationships to support long-term lithium chemical and cathode material supply.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Lopal’s Marble Bar deal shows that lithium strategy is shifting from price speculation to resource control. Even in a weaker lithium market, Chinese battery material companies continue to secure upstream positions that can support future conversion and cathode supply.

Shidai Ruixiang Launches LMFP Battery Material Plant in Gansu

Baiyin Nonferrous Group

China’s Shidai Ruixiang has launched a new LMFP battery material plant with a production capacity of 20,000 tonnes per year. Located in Baiyin city, Gansu province, this marks the first phase of what will become the world’s largest LMFP facility. Once complete, the site will scale to 100,000 t/yr in lithium ferro-manganese phosphate production for next-generation EV battery applications.

The LMFP battery material plant is operated by Shidai Ruixiang, a joint venture between Gansu Elephent Energy and Baiyin Nonferrous Group, a major Chinese state-owned metals producer. The full project will be developed in three phases, although details for the next stages remain undisclosed. This launch reinforces China’s dominant position in advanced battery cathode material (CAM) supply chains.

China Expands LMFP Footprint in Global EV Market

LMFP materials offer higher energy density and longer driving range than traditional LFP cathodes, while keeping manufacturing costs low. However, they have shorter life cycles and reduced charge-discharge capacity, making them more suitable for mid-range EVs or power tools. Despite this, China’s battery sector is accelerating investment in LMFP research and production.

Other major CAM players such as Hunan Yuneng and Ningbo Ronbay are also expanding LMFP production. Ronbay announced a dual LMFP and sodium-ion CAM plant in Xiantao, Hubei, while Yuneng is constructing a dedicated LMFP facility. These efforts position LMFP as a potential mainstream solution for future battery platforms balancing cost, safety, and range.

Strategic Role of State-Backed Metals Companies in CAM Expansion

The Shidai Ruixiang LMFP battery material plant highlights growing integration between state-backed metals enterprises and energy storage innovation. Baiyin Nonferrous brings decades of expertise in copper and zinc processing—critical metals for battery infrastructure—into the cathode materials space. The partnership reflects China's strategy to leverage existing industrial assets for clean tech scalability.

As battery chemistries diversify in response to cost and performance demands, China’s control over both upstream raw materials and downstream manufacturing provides a distinct competitive edge in the global energy transition economy.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The LMFP battery material plant in Gansu represents a strategic shift toward diversified CAM solutions for scalable EV deployment. As Chinese producers push LMFP into the mainstream, global automakers and battery buyers will need to weigh performance trade-offs against cost and availability.

XFH Anode Material Sales Rise as China Battery Demand Expands

Anode Material

XFH anode material sales increased in 2025 as demand from China’s lithium-ion power battery and energy storage battery industries continued to grow. Shanghai XFH Technology sold 83,885t of anode materials during the year, up 22% from 2024.

XFH anode material sales outpaced production growth, showing stronger downstream offtake from battery manufacturers. The company’s anode material output rose by 11% on the year to 83,426t.

XFH anode material sales also lifted revenue. The company’s anode material revenue rose by 21% to 1.7bn yuan, supported by higher shipment volumes into battery supply chains.

The result reflects continued expansion in China’s battery ecosystem. Power battery shipments exceeded 1,000GWh in 2025, up by more than 50% from a year earlier, while energy storage battery shipments rose by 85% to 630GWh.

Suining Complex Expands XFH’s Anode Capacity

XFH increased anode material production capacity to 114,660 t/yr in 2025, up 27% from the previous year. The increase followed the production launch of its 60,000 t/yr complex in Suining, Sichuan province, at the end of 2025.

The new capacity gives XFH more room to serve fast-growing battery demand. Anode materials are a core input for lithium-ion batteries, influencing charging performance, cycle life, safety and energy density.

China’s rapid growth in power batteries and storage batteries is driving expansion across the anode supply chain. Producers are adding capacity to meet demand from electric vehicles, grid storage, industrial storage systems and consumer battery applications.

The Suining project also strengthens XFH’s position in a market where scale, cost control and customer qualification are critical. Larger capacity can improve operating efficiency, but it also requires stable demand to avoid inventory and pricing pressure.

Energy Storage Growth Supports Anode Demand

Energy storage is becoming an increasingly important driver for China anode materials. Storage battery shipments grew faster than power batteries in 2025, rising by 85% from a year earlier.

This matters because energy storage systems require large volumes of battery materials even when they have different performance priorities from electric vehicles. Cost, cycle life, safety and supply reliability are especially important in storage applications.

Power battery demand remains the largest driver. China’s battery shipments above 1,000GWh show the scale of the domestic EV and battery manufacturing base.

For anode producers, the opportunity is large but competitive. Demand growth supports shipments, but capacity expansion across China can still create margin pressure if supply grows faster than customer orders.

XFH’s stronger sales and output show that qualified anode producers remain tied closely to downstream battery expansion. The next challenge will be maintaining utilisation and profitability as China’s battery materials sector continues to scale.

The Metalnomist Commentary

XFH’s growth shows that China’s battery materials chain is still expanding quickly, especially in anodes. However, rising capacity means producers must compete on qualification, cost and customer access, not only shipment growth.

Zhongke Anode Material Sales Surge as Energy Storage Demand Accelerates

Zhongke

Zhongke anode material sales rose sharply in 2025 as China’s lithium-ion battery sector expanded across new energy vehicles and power storage. Hunan Zhongke Electric sold 363,253t of anode materials during the year, up 62% from 2024.

Zhongke anode material sales were supported by strong downstream demand and higher operating rates. The company’s output increased by 66% to 378,469t, reflecting a rapid scale-up in response to battery market growth.

Zhongke anode material sales also lifted revenue. Revenue from anode materials rose by 60% to 7.99bn yuan, broadly in line with the increase in shipment volumes.

The result shows how anode materials remain one of the key beneficiaries of battery expansion. Demand is no longer driven only by electric vehicles. Grid storage, industrial storage and AI-related power demand are becoming increasingly important.

Capacity Utilisation Tightens as China Battery Demand Expands

Zhongke’s anode material capacity reached 348,683 t/yr in 2025, up 46% from a year earlier. The increase followed equipment and technology upgrades across its production base.

Capacity utilisation rose to 108.6% from 95.7% in 2024. This shows that Zhongke was operating above nameplate capacity as demand outpaced available production capability.

The company is now expanding further. A third-phase project at its Zhaotong site in Yunnan province is under construction and will add 100,000 t/yr of anode material capacity by the end of 2026.

Zhaotong has become a key growth platform. The first phase, with 15,000 t/yr of capacity, started production in April 2020. The second phase, with 100,000 t/yr of capacity, began operations in March 2024.

Zhongke is also planning a 300,000 t/yr anode material complex in Luzhou, Sichuan province. This would further strengthen its position in China’s graphite anode supply chain.

The expansion reflects a broader industry trend. Anode producers are adding capacity to serve battery makers that need reliable supply, stable quality and lower-cost materials for high-volume cell production.

Overseas Expansion Targets Storage and Non-China Customers

Zhongke is also building a 100,000 t/yr anode material plant in Tangier, Morocco. The project targets customers outside China and reflects the growing need for regionalised battery material supply chains.

Morocco offers strategic value because it is close to European markets and has become more attractive for battery-related investment. For Chinese anode producers, overseas capacity can help serve customers facing localisation, trade and supply-chain security requirements.

Energy storage is becoming a major long-term demand driver. Global energy storage battery shipments reached 651.5GWh in 2025, up 76.2% from a year earlier. Chinese companies accounted for 614.7GWh, or 94.4% of global shipments.

EV Tank expects global energy storage battery shipments to exceed 2TWh by 2030. If this forecast materialises, anode material demand will continue rising across China and overseas markets.

Policy is also supporting growth. China is moving new energy storage from mandatory allocation toward a more market-oriented system, including capacity pricing support for independent grid-side storage.

AI data centres are adding another demand layer. Rapid growth in electricity consumption from AI infrastructure is increasing the need for power storage, grid stability and backup capacity.

Europe is also expanding storage under energy security strategies. EU member states installed 27.1GWh of new battery energy storage systems in 2025, up 45% from the previous year.

For Zhongke, this demand mix supports a larger and more international anode strategy. The company is positioning itself to serve China’s dominant battery ecosystem while preparing for overseas demand linked to storage, EVs and grid resilience.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Zhongke’s growth shows that anode materials are moving from an EV-driven market into a broader energy infrastructure market. The next competitive phase will depend on overseas localisation, graphite supply security and the ability to serve storage demand outside China.

US Critical Mineral Processing Funding Targets Domestic Battery Supply Chain

Critical Mineral

US critical mineral processing funding is moving into another major round as the Department of Energy prepares to allocate up to $500mn for processing, recycling, and derivative battery manufacturing projects. The funding opportunity is designed to support US-based projects that can strengthen domestic supply of critical minerals and battery materials.

The Department of Energy will target projects that process raw feedstocks, recycle critical materials, or manufacture battery materials and components. The agency specifically identified battery-related materials such as lithium, graphite, nickel, copper, and aluminum among its areas of focus.

US critical mineral processing funding is becoming a central tool in Washington’s effort to reduce dependence on offshore refining and battery material supply chains. The latest funding round also shows that the US is not only focused on mining, but on the midstream capacity needed to convert raw materials into usable industrial inputs.

DOE Funding Pushes Midstream Capacity Beyond Mining

Critical mineral processing remains one of the most difficult gaps in the US battery supply chain. Mining projects can expand raw material availability, but domestic industrial resilience depends on refining, chemical conversion, recycling, and component manufacturing.

The new funding opportunity will support projects that can process critical minerals from raw feedstocks and recycle valuable materials back into the supply chain. This approach reflects the growing importance of black mass, scrap, and secondary materials as strategic inputs for battery production.

DOE battery materials funding also gives policy support to companies working across lithium chemicals, graphite processing, nickel products, copper materials, aluminum inputs, and battery component manufacturing. These segments are essential for electric vehicles, grid storage, defense electrification, and industrial energy systems.

Battery Manufacturing Policy Enters Third Funding Round

The latest funding notice marks the third round in recent years under the DOE’s battery materials processing and battery manufacturing and recycling programs. In September 2024, the agency selected 25 projects to receive more than $3bn to expand domestic battery, component, and critical material supply.

The new $500mn opportunity extends that policy direction. It gives the US another mechanism to move from strategic mineral rhetoric toward physical processing capacity, especially in areas where China still dominates global refining and battery material production.

Applicants must submit non-binding letters of intent by 27 March, with full applications due by 24 April. The timeline signals that the DOE wants near-term project visibility and a faster pipeline of investable domestic capacity.

US critical mineral processing funding will be especially important for companies that can prove commercial readiness, feedstock security, and scalable production. The strongest projects will likely be those that connect raw material access with downstream battery customers and recycling loops.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The US is now treating processing capacity as the real bottleneck in critical minerals security. Funding can accelerate projects, but the strategic test will be whether supported companies can deliver cost-competitive, qualified material at industrial scale.

Lithium-Ion Battery Copper Foil Shipments Surge as Ultra-Thin Products Gain Share

Copper Foil

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments rose sharply in 2025 as global battery production expanded and manufacturers shifted toward thinner materials to reduce copper costs. Global shipments reached 1.302mn t, up 41.7% from 2024, according to Chinese research institute EV Tank.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil demand remains closely tied to electric vehicle and energy storage growth. Copper foil is a key current collector in lithium-ion batteries, making it essential to cell performance, energy density and manufacturing cost.

Lithium-ion battery copper foil shipments were dominated by China, which accounted for 82.9% of global deliveries in 2025. EV Tank expects global shipments to reach 2.615mn t by 2030, implying continued expansion as battery output scales.

The product mix changed quickly during the year. The share of 8μm foil declined, while 6μm remained the mainstream product and accounted for more than 70% of total shipments.

Ultra-Thin Foil Gains Momentum on Copper Cost Pressure

Ultra-thin copper foil gained share as battery producers looked for ways to reduce copper input costs. Persistently high global copper prices pushed cell manufacturers to use thinner foil while maintaining battery performance.

The combined share of 5μm and 4.5μm ultra-thin foil rose to 24% in 2025. This is a major shift for a material category that requires tighter production control, better surface quality and stronger consistency.

Thinner copper foil can help reduce battery weight and improve energy density. It also lowers the amount of copper used per cell, which becomes increasingly important when copper prices remain elevated.

EV Tank expects 5μm and thinner foil to become a key material for high-end batteries. This reflects the industry’s move toward lighter, higher-energy-density cell designs.

However, thinner foil also raises manufacturing difficulty. Producers must control pinholes, tensile strength, elongation, surface roughness and coating compatibility more precisely.

That technical barrier could separate higher-end suppliers from lower-cost producers. As battery customers shift toward thinner grades, qualification and process reliability will become more important than simple capacity.

China Leads Supply as Competition Intensifies

China’s 82.9% share of global shipments shows its dominant role in battery copper foil supply. The country has built large-scale capacity around its lithium-ion battery ecosystem, supported by domestic EV, energy storage and cell manufacturing growth.

Competition intensified in 2025 as the market recovered and producers brought earlier-built capacity on line. This created a more fluid ranking among suppliers.

Longdian Wason ranked first with a 12.2% market share. Huachuang New Material followed after capacity ramp-ups lifted output and sales.

Defu Technology and Jiayuan Technology ranked third and fourth, respectively. Seven companies in the top 10 changed positions during the year, showing how quickly capacity, customer access and product mix are reshaping the sector.

Battery makers also increased procurement from second-tier suppliers to improve supply stability. This suggests buyers are trying to diversify supplier bases rather than rely only on leading producers.

For copper markets, the trend is strategically important. Battery copper foil growth creates a direct link between copper demand and battery technology. But the move toward ultra-thin foil also means battery growth will not translate into copper demand on a simple one-to-one basis.

The sector is therefore entering a more technical phase. Volume growth remains strong, but material intensity, foil thickness, supplier qualification and copper price pressure will all shape future demand.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The copper foil market shows how battery growth can lift copper demand while also forcing material thrift. High copper prices are pushing battery makers toward thinner foil, making technology and process control as important as raw capacity.

China’s CNGR Launches CAM Precursor Production in Morocco to Expand Global Battery Supply Chain

CNGR Advanced Material

CNGR Advances Lithium-Ion Battery Materials Production in Africa

China’s leading lithium-ion battery cathode active material (CAM) precursor manufacturer, CNGR Advanced Material, has officially started production in Morocco. On January 23, the company launched its first batch of ternary precursor production lines, strengthening its global presence in the battery material supply chain.

Strategic Partnership and Project Scope

CNGR has partnered with Moroccan private investment fund Al Mada to develop the project. The joint venture, formed in 2023, aims to produce lithium-ion battery ternary CAM precursors, lithium iron phosphate (LFP), and recycle black mass from used batteries. CNGR’s subsidiary, CNGR Morocco New Energy, holds a 50.03% stake, while Al Mada’s subsidiary, NGI, owns 49.97%.

The production plant boasts an annual capacity of 120,000 tons for CAM precursors, 60,000 tons for LFP, and 30,000 tons for black mass recycling. The facility is a key step in CNGR’s plan to establish a fully integrated industrial park with a 70GWh/year battery material production capacity, which could support over one million electric vehicles.

Commitment to Sustainability and Renewable Energy

CNGR aims to achieve 100% renewable energy utilization by 2026 at its Moroccan site, significantly reducing its carbon footprint. By prioritizing local renewable energy sources, the company seeks to align with global sustainability goals and contribute to a greener battery supply chain.

Global Expansion and Market Reach

The project's output will supply markets in Europe, the United States, and other global new energy sectors. Morocco has become a strategic hub for Chinese battery manufacturers, with other key players such as BTR also developing anode material plants in the country. This expansion highlights Morocco’s growing role in the global electric vehicle (EV) battery ecosystem.

Battery Metals Demand Faces Slower Path as Hybrid Vehicle Growth Extends

Battery Metals

Battery metals demand could face a slower growth path as carmakers and suppliers expect hybrids and range extenders to remain important for longer than earlier electric-only transition models assumed. Speakers at the FT Future of the Car summit said vehicle decarbonisation should be measured by emissions reduction, not only battery electric vehicle share.

Battery metals demand remains structurally supported by electrification. However, a longer hybrid phase could reduce near-term demand intensity for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese because hybrid vehicles use smaller battery packs than full battery electric vehicles.

Battery metals demand assumptions are therefore becoming more complex. Automotive electrification is still progressing, but the industry is moving toward a mixed powertrain future rather than a simple shift from combustion engines to full BEVs.

Horse Powertrain chief executive Matias Giannini said half of passenger vehicles could still be produced with some form of combustion or hybrid powertrain by 2040. That outlook would keep investment flowing into efficient hybrid systems alongside EV platforms.

Hybrid Growth Changes the Battery Raw Materials Curve

Hybrid vehicle growth could temper the pace of battery raw material demand without reversing electrification. Hybrids and range extenders still require electric motors, inverters, wiring and batteries, but their battery packs are much smaller than those used in BEVs.

This matters most for nickel. High-nickel NCM and NCA batteries are closely tied to longer-range BEVs, where larger packs are needed to deliver performance and driving range.

A slower BEV ramp-up could delay some of the nickel sulphate demand growth that has supported investment cases for new battery-grade nickel projects. It could also affect cobalt and manganese demand in cathode chemistries exposed to full EV penetration rates.

Lithium remains supported across almost every electrification pathway. Still, a longer hybrid transition could slow the rate at which large-format BEV batteries absorb lithium units.

The shift does not mean automotive metals demand will weaken across the board. Hybrids use more copper than conventional combustion vehicles because they require electric motors, power electronics and more complex wiring systems.

Continued hybrid and combustion production also supports aluminium castings, stainless steel, exhaust components and engine-related materials. Meanwhile, BEV growth still supports aluminium lightweighting, copper wiring, charging infrastructure and battery materials.

The result is a less linear automotive metals outlook. Battery metals may grow more slowly than aggressive BEV scenarios suggest, while broader automotive metals consumption remains supported by platform complexity and mixed powertrain production.

Policy Flexibility Could Reshape European Metal Demand

European suppliers are pushing for more flexibility in the EU regulatory framework. Current policy remains heavily weighted toward full electrification through tailpipe emissions targets.

The EU targets a 100% reduction in tailpipe emissions from new cars and vans from 2035. That effectively ends new combustion engine sales unless future exemptions are created.

Industry participants increasingly want a more technology-neutral route. They argue that hybrids, range extenders, renewable fuels and lower-carbon manufacturing should contribute to emissions reduction alongside BEVs.

This policy debate matters for metals. Battery material demand depends heavily on BEV penetration, average pack size and chemistry choice.

If Europe allows a longer role for hybrids and range extenders, lithium-ion battery capacity demand per vehicle could grow more slowly. That would affect demand forecasts for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese.

Chinese EV and hybrid technology is also improving quickly. This puts pressure on European and US automakers to share development costs across BEV, hybrid and range-extender platforms.

For suppliers, the strategic issue is flexibility. Companies tied only to high-growth BEV battery assumptions may face demand timing risk, while suppliers serving copper, aluminium, stainless steel, electronics and hybrid systems may benefit from a broader platform mix.

The automotive transition is still real, but the material demand path is becoming more diversified. Metals markets must now track powertrain mix, not only EV sales headlines.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hybrid growth does not weaken the energy transition, but it changes the metals timing. Battery metals demand will still rise, yet copper, aluminium and hybrid-related materials may capture more value if automakers choose a longer mixed-powertrain route.

Texas LFP Plant Links Domestic Lithium Supply With Cathode Production

EnergyX

Texas LFP plant development is moving forward after Wildcat Discovery Technologies and EnergyX formed a joint venture to produce lithium iron phosphate cathode active material in Hooks. The project represents more than $230mn of investment and is designed for around 15,000 t/yr of CAM capacity.

Texas LFP plant plans are strategically important because the facility will sit next to EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium project in the Smackover formation. This creates a potential domestic route from lithium extraction and conversion to cathode material production.

Texas LFP plant supply will also benefit from a structured lithium pricing agreement. EnergyX will provide lithium carbonate to the joint venture at commercially favourable terms, including a market discount and price floor and ceiling intended to reduce exposure to lithium price volatility.

The project strengthens US efforts to localise more of the battery value chain, particularly for LFP chemistry used in electric vehicles and stationary energy storage.

Co-Location Reduces Battery Supply Chain Risk

The Hooks facility is designed to produce about 15,000 t/yr of LFP cathode active material, with potential for future expansion.

Its location beside EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium operation is the project’s main industrial advantage. Co-locating lithium supply and cathode production can reduce logistics complexity, shorten supply chains and improve feedstock security.

EnergyX plans to produce 48,500 t/yr of lithium hydroxide at Lonestar by 2030. The first phase is expected to reach 14,250 t/yr by 2028.

The project is targeting operating expenditure of about $3.85/kg, which could strengthen the economics of downstream battery material production if that cost structure is achieved at scale.

The joint venture will initially receive lithium carbonate under a pricing structure that limits exposure to extreme market movements. This gives the cathode operation greater cost visibility during periods of lithium volatility.

For battery materials projects, this kind of feedstock agreement can be as important as plant capacity. Cathode producers need reliable supply, predictable chemistry and manageable pricing to compete with established Asian producers.

LFP Growth Supports US Battery Localization

LFP chemistry is gaining market share because it offers lower cost, strong cycle life and improved thermal stability compared with nickel-rich cathode systems.

It also avoids nickel and cobalt, reducing exposure to two globally concentrated and price-sensitive battery metals. However, LFP still depends heavily on lithium supply and specialised cathode manufacturing capability.

The Wildcat-EnergyX project therefore addresses two major US supply-chain gaps at the same time: domestic lithium production and domestic cathode active material manufacturing.

Stationary energy storage is likely to be an important demand source. Large grid batteries increasingly favour LFP because of its durability, safety characteristics and lower material cost.

EV demand could provide another growth route, particularly as automakers expand lower-cost vehicle platforms using LFP cells.

The project also illustrates a wider shift in US battery strategy. Rather than building isolated mines or chemical plants, developers are increasingly trying to connect extraction, conversion and active material production within regional industrial clusters.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Wildcat-EnergyX venture is strategically stronger because it links lithium supply directly with LFP cathode production. US battery localization will depend less on individual plants and more on integrated regional chains that control feedstock, processing and pricing risk.

Automotive Raw Material Supply Chains Hit Localisation Limits

Automotive

Automotive raw material supply chains are becoming the main constraint on electric vehicle localisation as carmakers seek more control over strategic components. Automakers want regional supply chains, but battery metals, rare earths and processed inputs still depend on global mining and refining networks.

Automotive raw material supply chains have shifted from pure efficiency toward resilience, security and geopolitical risk management. The industry is no longer trying only to minimise cost. It is trying to protect production from export controls, licensing delays, trade restrictions and raw material shortages.

Automotive raw material supply chains therefore cannot be fully localised by assembling batteries, motors or electronics closer to vehicle plants. The deeper constraint sits upstream, where lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese and rare earth materials remain tied to global extraction and processing capacity.

The result is a more selective supply-chain model. Automakers will regionalise the components they can control, while still relying on global raw materials for the minerals and refined products they cannot replace quickly.

EV Localisation Still Depends on Global Critical Minerals

Jaguar Land Rover has decided to control three critical parts of electric propulsion: battery assembly, electric drive units and energy management systems. This gives the company more control over the final systems that define EV performance.

However, vertical integration has limits. Even if an automaker controls battery assembly or electric drive units, it may not control the lithium chemicals, nickel sulphate, cobalt, manganese, graphite or rare earth magnets inside those systems.

Permanent magnet motors remain one of the clearest pressure points. Electric drive units depend on rare earth materials that are still heavily exposed to Chinese processing, magnet production and export licensing.

Obtaining magnet raw materials from China has become more difficult from a licensing perspective. This shows how export controls can affect vehicle production even when the final assembly line is located in Europe or the US.

Battery supply chains face the same structural problem. Automakers can localise pack assembly, module production and software integration, but raw material exposure remains global.

Lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese supply depends on mine locations, refining capacity, chemical conversion and government policy. These inputs cannot be made local simply by building a battery plant near an auto factory.

This changes the meaning of automotive localisation. The next phase will be less about full independence and more about reducing exposure to single-country bottlenecks.

Recycling and Traceability Become Strategic Tools

Critical minerals recycling is becoming a strategic issue for automakers, not only an environmental goal. Black mass recovery can eventually return lithium, nickel, cobalt, copper and other materials into the supply chain.

Recycling can reduce raw material exposure over time. But it depends on enough end-of-life batteries, reliable collection systems, safe transport, processing capacity and customer acceptance of recovered materials.

The UK’s critical minerals strategy reflects this reality. Domestic production, partner-country supply agreements and recycling can improve resilience, but full self-sufficiency is not realistic.

That point matters for manufacturers. Supply security will depend on diversified sourcing, trusted partners, recycling loops and traceable material flows rather than a complete break from global markets.

The shift will also affect pricing. Materials may increasingly carry value based on origin, regulatory acceptability, sustainability documentation and licensing risk.

A battery metal or rare earth input from a secure and traceable source may command a premium over lower-cost material with higher geopolitical or compliance risk.

For automakers, the strategic challenge is clear. They must control more of the EV system while accepting that critical mineral supply will remain globally contested.

For metals suppliers, the opportunity is also clear. Producers that can offer traceable, compliant and secure supply will become more valuable to automotive customers than suppliers competing only on price.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Automakers are learning that EV localisation stops where raw material dependence begins. The winners in automotive supply security will be those that connect local manufacturing with diversified minerals, recycling capacity and credible traceability.

GM Redwood Battery Storage Project Extends EV Battery Value Chain

BESS

GM Redwood battery storage project will deploy repurposed electric vehicle battery packs at a General Motors plant in Michigan, extending the useful life of batteries before final recycling.

GM Redwood battery storage project will combine 100 reused EV battery packs into a 1.5MW/7.2MWh battery energy storage system. The installation will provide dispatchable power and help reduce electricity costs at the manufacturing site.

GM Redwood battery storage project is significant because it connects battery manufacturing, vehicle use, second-life energy storage and materials recovery within one supply chain. Redwood estimates the system will save more than $3mn in electricity costs over its operating life.

The project also shows how retired EV batteries can remain economically valuable even after they no longer meet automotive performance requirements.

Second-Life Batteries Add Value Before Recycling

EV batteries typically retain significant usable capacity when they are removed from vehicles. That remaining energy storage capability can support stationary applications where weight and space are less restrictive than in automotive use.

Repurposing packs for BESS applications can therefore delay recycling while extracting additional economic value from the battery.

For industrial facilities, storage systems can help manage peak electricity demand, provide backup power and shift energy consumption toward lower-cost periods.

The Michigan installation gives GM a direct opportunity to reduce plant electricity costs using batteries already linked to its own vehicle ecosystem.

This model also reduces the need for newly manufactured cells in some stationary storage applications. That can lower incremental demand for lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and other battery materials.

However, second-life systems still require testing, battery management and safety controls because used packs can have different degradation histories and performance characteristics.

Redwood Builds Closed-Loop Battery Supply Chain With GM

Redwood's relationship with GM extends across multiple stages of the battery lifecycle. The recycler handles manufacturing scrap, end-of-life EV packs and now second-life energy storage deployment.

Redwood has already received more than 28,000t of material from GM, with another 10,000 EV battery packs expected to enter the pipeline.

The company also works with Ultium Cells, GM's joint venture with LG Energy Solution, to recycle battery production scrap from facilities in Ohio and Tennessee.

This creates a more integrated materials loop. Manufacturing scrap can return quickly to recycling, while vehicle batteries can first enter stationary storage before eventually being processed for material recovery.

The approach could become increasingly important as EV battery volumes grow. Recycling alone captures raw materials, but second-life deployment can add another revenue stage before final recovery.

For automakers, that can improve battery economics while strengthening access to recycled lithium, nickel, cobalt and copper over the longer term.

The Metalnomist Commentary

GM and Redwood are showing that the battery circular economy does not begin with recycling. Second-life storage can create an additional commercial stage between vehicle use and materials recovery, improving both battery economics and supply-chain efficiency.

Global Solid-State Electrolyte Shipments Surge as Semi-Solid Batteries Scale

Solid state electrolyte

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are rising rapidly as semi-solid batteries move toward vehicle adoption and full solid-state battery commercialisation advances. Chinese research institute EV Tank said shipments reached 4,100t in 2025, more than doubling from a year earlier.

The increase marks an important early-stage signal for the battery materials industry. Electrolytes are one of the core materials that determine the energy density, safety and commercial viability of solid-state batteries.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments are still small compared with conventional lithium-ion battery materials. However, the growth rate shows that downstream producers are beginning to prepare for larger semi-solid and solid-state battery output.

EV Tank expects global solid-state electrolyte shipments to reach 229,000t by 2030. That would imply a compound annual growth rate of more than 120% from 2025 to 2030, making electrolytes one of the fastest-growing segments in advanced battery materials.

The forecast reflects both technological progress and industrial positioning. Battery producers, automakers and materials companies are now investing ahead of expected demand from electric vehicles, energy storage systems and high-end electronics.

Semi-Solid Batteries Create the First Commercial Demand Base

Semi-solid batteries are likely to provide the first meaningful demand base for solid-state battery electrolytes. EV Tank expects these batteries to begin vehicle adoption from 2026, ahead of full solid-state battery mass production.

This timing matters because semi-solid batteries can act as a bridge technology. They offer improved safety and performance compared with conventional liquid-electrolyte batteries, while avoiding some of the most difficult technical barriers facing all-solid-state cells.

Semi-solid battery growth is already supporting electrolyte shipments. These products still use electrolyte systems that may differ from fully solid-state designs, but they create early commercial demand for sulphide, oxide, polymer, halide and composite electrolyte materials.

Full solid-state batteries are expected to enter small-scale mass production from 2027. That stage will likely remain limited at first because large-scale production still faces technical, cost and qualification challenges.

The market therefore looks likely to develop in phases. Semi-solid batteries will drive early electrolyte consumption, while full solid-state batteries will gradually expand once production processes, interfaces and reliability improve.

Electrolytes are central to this transition. They influence ion conductivity, safety, cycle life, energy density and compatibility with electrodes. Any weakness in electrolyte performance can limit the entire battery system.

This is why electrolyte development is becoming a strategic battleground. Battery makers cannot scale solid-state technology only by changing cell design. They need stable, high-quality electrolyte materials that can be produced consistently at industrial scale.

Capacity expansion is accelerating in response. EV Tank expects producers with annual electrolyte capacity at the thousand-tonne level to emerge within the next one to two years.

That would mark a shift from laboratory and pilot-scale material production toward early industrial supply. It would also create a more competitive market among electrolyte producers seeking qualification with battery manufacturers.

For battery materials suppliers, this creates a new growth category. Electrolytes may become a higher-value segment within the battery chain, especially if producers can meet strict requirements for purity, particle control, stability and conductivity.

For automakers, the key issue is reliability. Vehicle adoption requires materials that can perform under harsh cycling, temperature and safety conditions. This means electrolyte suppliers must pass long qualification cycles before volume demand can fully develop.

Technology Routes and Cost Cuts Shape the Scale-Up

Solid-state battery electrolyte technology remains diversified, especially in semi-solid batteries. Sulphide, oxide, polymer and halide routes are developing in parallel, while both single-electrolyte and composite-electrolyte solutions are being adopted.

This diversity shows that the industry has not yet settled on a single dominant material route. Different technologies offer different advantages in conductivity, stability, manufacturability, cost and safety.

Sulphide electrolytes currently dominate the roadmap for full solid-state batteries. They offer high ionic conductivity and are widely viewed as one of the most promising routes for high-performance battery cells.

However, sulphide systems also face challenges. They require careful handling, moisture control and interface engineering. These factors can raise production complexity and slow commercial scale-up.

Oxide electrolytes offer strong chemical and thermal stability, but they can face processing and interface resistance challenges. Polymer electrolytes offer manufacturing flexibility, but often struggle with conductivity at room temperature. Halide electrolytes are gaining interest because of their electrochemical stability and potential compatibility with high-voltage cathodes.

Composite electrolyte solutions may become increasingly important. By combining material systems, producers can try to balance conductivity, flexibility, stability and manufacturability.

Cost reduction is also becoming a major commercial driver. EV Tank said improvements in material quality and production processes lowered costs across several technology routes in 2025.

Sulphide electrolyte costs fell by more than 35% during the year. This is significant because cost remains one of the biggest obstacles to wider solid-state battery adoption.

Lower electrolyte costs improve the competitiveness of solid-state batteries against conventional lithium-ion technologies. They also make it easier for battery makers to test commercial deployment in premium vehicles, high-performance energy storage and other demanding applications.

Still, cost reduction alone will not guarantee rapid commercialisation. The industry must also solve interface stability, dendrite control, manufacturing yield, pressure management and long-term cycle reliability.

This explains why some major automakers remain cautious. BYD chief scientist Lian Yubo has said solid-state batteries still face core technical bottlenecks and that liquid and solid-state batteries should develop as complementary technologies.

Great Wall Motor also does not expect large-scale commercialisation of all-solid-state batteries in the near term. This caution suggests that the market may grow strongly, but unevenly.

The commercial pathway is therefore not a simple replacement of liquid batteries. Conventional lithium-ion batteries, semi-solid batteries and full solid-state batteries are likely to coexist for years, each serving different cost and performance segments.

This has important implications for materials demand. Solid-state growth could increase demand for lithium metal, high-nickel cathodes, sulphur-based materials, oxides, halides and specialty chemical precursors. But it may not immediately reduce demand for conventional electrolytes, separators or liquid battery components.

The forecast of 229,000t of global solid-state electrolyte shipments by 2030 points to a large materials opportunity. But the final market size will depend on how quickly automakers adopt semi-solid batteries and how successfully full solid-state batteries move from demonstration to reliable mass production.

For supply chains, qualification will be decisive. Battery makers will not buy electrolyte materials only because capacity exists. They will need stable quality, competitive pricing, proven performance and reliable long-term supply.

For policymakers, solid-state batteries are increasingly tied to advanced manufacturing and energy security. Countries that control electrolyte technology and battery production could gain strategic advantage in next-generation electric vehicles and storage systems.

For the metals market, the key point is that battery innovation changes materials demand before full commercial adoption arrives. Producers begin scaling supply years before the technology reaches mass-market vehicles, creating early demand signals and investment cycles.

Global solid-state electrolyte shipments therefore offer a useful indicator of where advanced battery manufacturing is moving. The numbers remain small, but the growth curve is steep enough to attract capital, competition and supply-chain restructuring.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Solid-state electrolyte growth shows that next-generation battery competition is moving upstream into materials engineering. The market will expand quickly, but full solid-state batteries still need technical proof before they can reshape EV and energy storage supply chains at scale.

Dongdao Anode Production Expansion Adds More Capacity to China’s Battery Materials Chain

Dongdao Anode Production

Dongdao anode production expansion in Guangdong province shows that China continues to build scale across graphite and next-generation battery materials. Guangdong Dongdao New Material has started construction of two anode processing lines and one silicon-carbon anode line in Zhanjiang.

The two new processing lines will each have 10,000 t/yr of capacity. One line will produce synthetic graphite anode materials, while the other will produce natural graphite anode materials. The silicon-carbon anode line will have 500 t/yr of capacity, giving Dongdao a foothold in higher-performance battery material development.

Dongdao anode production growth matters because anode materials remain a core part of the lithium-ion battery value chain. China already dominates graphite processing, and the company’s latest investment reinforces the country’s ability to expand both conventional and advanced anode supply.

Graphite Anode Capacity Continues to Scale in China

Dongdao already operates 100,000 t/yr of natural graphite anode capacity and 100,000 t/yr of synthetic anode capacity. The new Zhanjiang lines will add more processing flexibility across both major graphite anode routes.

The company is also building much larger synthetic anode projects elsewhere in China. These include 300,000 t/yr of capacity in Leizhou, Guangdong, and 150,000 t/yr in Yilong, Guizhou. This shows that synthetic graphite remains a major investment focus as battery producers seek consistent performance, controlled quality, and scalable supply.

Dongdao’s subsidiary, Zhanjiang Juxin New Energy, also plans to build a 20,000 t/yr spherical graphite facility in Zhanjiang. A commissioning date has not yet been set, but the project would add another processing step that supports natural graphite use in battery anodes.

Silicon-Carbon Line Signals Next-Generation Battery Focus

The planned 500 t/yr silicon-carbon anode line is smaller than the graphite lines, but it carries strategic importance. Silicon-carbon anodes can improve battery energy density and performance, although commercial scaling remains more technically demanding than conventional graphite.

Dongdao’s decision to build this line alongside graphite processing capacity suggests a dual strategy. The company is expanding mainstream anode capacity while preparing for future demand from higher-performance battery chemistries.

All three Zhanjiang lines are scheduled to start operations in December 2027. By then, battery supply chains may be more focused on cost reduction, fast charging, energy density, and material efficiency. Producers with both graphite scale and silicon-carbon development capacity could be better positioned for that transition.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Dongdao’s expansion shows that China is not slowing its grip on the anode materials chain. The strategic issue for global battery supply chains is no longer only graphite availability, but who controls processing scale, qualification, and next-generation material development.

XTC New Energy LFP LMFP Capacity Expansion Targets Higher-Density Battery Materials

XTC New Energy

XTC New Energy LFP LMFP capacity will expand in Sichuan as the Chinese battery materials producer adds another 40,000 t/yr of lithium iron phosphate and lithium ferro-manganese phosphate production. The second-phase project will be built in Ya’an city and is expected to start production in June 2028.

XTC New Energy LFP LMFP capacity at the Ya’an plant will reach 80,000 t/yr after both phases are completed. The first phase already provides 40,000 t/yr of LFP capacity, while the new phase will add flexible LFP and LMFP output.

XTC New Energy LFP LMFP capacity expansion reflects China’s continued investment in lower-cost and manganese-enhanced battery chemistries. The project will be operated by subsidiary Ya’an XTC New Energy, with total investment expected at 743mn yuan.

The move comes as Chinese battery material producers position for growing power battery demand and greater interest in manganese-based cathode active materials.

LMFP Gains Momentum as Producers Seek Better Energy Density

LMFP is gaining attention because it can offer higher energy density than conventional LFP. This makes it attractive for battery makers seeking to improve driving range while keeping costs below higher-nickel chemistries.

However, LMFP still faces trade-offs. Batteries using LMFP cathode active material generally have shorter cycle life and lower charge-discharge efficiency than LFP batteries.

This means LMFP is not a simple replacement for LFP. Instead, it is likely to develop as a complementary chemistry for applications where higher energy density is more valuable than maximum cycle life.

The expansion also shows how manganese is becoming more important in battery materials. Manganese-based chemistries can reduce reliance on more expensive or supply-sensitive metals while supporting performance improvements.

For XTC, adding LMFP capacity gives the company more flexibility. It can serve established LFP demand while preparing for customers that want manganese-enhanced phosphate materials.

China’s Cathode Supply Chain Expands Into Manganese-Based Materials

XTC is not alone in expanding LMFP capacity. Several Chinese battery material producers are adding or building manganese-based phosphate projects.

Ningxia Hengchuang Nami began building the first phase of a 30,000 t/yr LMFP plant in Yinchuan in March. Hunan Yuneng, China’s largest LFP producer, is also building an LMFP materials plant.

Jiangxi Greatpower launched the first phase of a 20,000 t/yr LMFP plant in Pingxiang in January. These projects show that China’s battery materials industry is preparing for broader adoption of LMFP.

The trend is strategically important for the cathode supply chain. LFP has already become a major chemistry in electric vehicles and energy storage because of its cost advantage, safety and long cycle life.

LMFP could extend that platform by adding more energy density while preserving some of LFP’s cost and safety benefits. If technical limitations improve, LMFP may become a larger part of China’s battery chemistry mix.

For raw materials, the shift could support manganese demand in battery applications. It also reinforces China’s lead in scaling new cathode chemistries from pilot production to industrial capacity.

The Metalnomist Commentary

XTC’s Ya’an expansion shows that China’s battery materials race is moving beyond simple LFP scale. LMFP is becoming a serious development path because it offers a practical route to higher energy density without fully moving into costlier high-nickel systems.

Rivian Second-Life Battery Storage Project Links EV Packs to Grid Reliability

Rivian, Redwood

Rivian second-life battery storage is moving into commercial use after the US electric-vehicle maker agreed to deploy repurposed battery packs through Redwood Materials at its Normal manufacturing plant in Illinois. The project will use more than 100 used Rivian battery packs to provide 10 MWh of dispatchable battery energy storage.

The Rivian second-life battery storage project gives retired EV packs a second use before recycling. Redwood Materials will integrate the packs into a Redwood Energy system for on-site use at Rivian’s manufacturing facility.

Rivian second-life battery storage also reflects a wider shift in the battery value chain. Automakers and recyclers are looking for ways to extract more value from battery packs before recovering lithium, nickel, cobalt, copper, aluminium and other materials.

Redwood Turns Used EV Packs Into Stationary Storage

Redwood will receive EV battery packs from Rivian and convert them into a battery energy storage system for the Normal plant. The system will help reduce energy costs and support local grid reliability.

Second-life batteries are useful because EV packs can still retain meaningful capacity after vehicle use. They may no longer meet automotive performance requirements, but they can still serve stationary storage applications.

This creates a bridge between mobility and grid infrastructure. A battery pack can first support vehicle electrification, then provide stationary power, and later enter recycling for critical material recovery.

Redwood receives more than 20 GWh/yr of batteries, giving it a large feedstock base for both reuse and recycling. The company said it can deploy BESS projects in as little as six months, which matters as power demand rises quickly.

Data Center Power Demand Raises Storage Value

Rivian has attracted investors such as Google, which are seeking faster access to power solutions for artificial intelligence data center growth. This connection shows why second-life batteries are becoming more strategically relevant.

AI data centers need reliable, flexible and rapidly deployable power. Battery energy storage systems can help manage peak demand, improve resilience and reduce pressure on grids facing new large-load connections.

Repurposed EV batteries could become a lower-cost option where speed matters more than maximum energy density. They may also reduce waste and delay the need for immediate material recycling.

For the metals supply chain, this creates a more circular model. Battery materials stay in productive use longer, while recyclers build stronger long-term access to end-of-life packs and future recovered metals.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Rivian and Redwood are showing how EV batteries can become grid assets before they become recycling feedstock. The strategic value lies in extending battery life, lowering storage costs and securing future material recovery in one integrated loop.

Renascor Graphite Pilot Plant Advances Australia’s Battery-Grade Processing Push

Renascor Resources

Renascor graphite pilot plant has started processing in Adelaide, marking a key step toward commercial production of purified spherical graphite for lithium-ion battery anodes.

Renascor graphite pilot plant is designed to demonstrate a hydrofluoric acid-free purification route, which the company says could lower costs and reduce environmental impact compared with conventional processing methods.

Renascor graphite pilot plant will also generate operating data for customer qualification, offtake discussions and future commercial-scale development. The company has not yet disclosed a precise timeline for full production.

The project is strategically important because purified spherical graphite remains one of the most concentrated stages of the global battery materials supply chain.

Pilot Plant Targets Battery-Grade Graphite Qualification

The Adelaide unit marks Renascor’s first production using graphite and processing reagents at pilot scale.

The company will use the facility to demonstrate product quality, process consistency and operating performance before moving toward larger-scale commercial production.

Purified spherical graphite is a key input for lithium-ion battery anodes. Producing it requires more than mining natural graphite because flake must be shaped, purified and qualified to tight battery specifications.

Renascor’s hydrofluoric acid-free process could become a competitive advantage if it delivers battery-grade purity while reducing chemical handling and environmental risks.

The demonstration plant will also be important for prospective customers. Battery-material buyers typically require extensive qualification before committing to long-term offtake.

Renascor currently has non-binding agreements with Mitsubishi Chemical and Posco, meaning successful pilot production could help convert commercial interest into firmer contracts.

Government Funding Supports Non-China Graphite Supply

Australia has provided substantial public support for Renascor’s development.

The project received a A$5mn grant for the pilot facility and a A$185mn loan through Australia’s critical minerals financing programme.

That support reflects the strategic importance of graphite processing. While several countries hold natural graphite resources, downstream purification and anode material production remain heavily concentrated in China.

Australia is therefore trying to move beyond mining and capture more value from processing and battery-material manufacturing.

For Renascor, government backing reduces financing pressure but does not remove the commercial challenge. The company still needs to prove product quality, secure binding customers and scale the process economically.

The pilot plant is therefore less about immediate volume and more about technical validation. If qualification succeeds, Renascor could become an important non-China supplier of battery-grade graphite to Asian and western battery manufacturers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Renascor’s real milestone is not simply starting the pilot plant, but proving a commercially viable purification route outside China. If customer qualification succeeds, Australia could capture more of the graphite value chain instead of exporting raw concentrate alone.

Japan-Australia Graphite Anode Supply Chain Targets Battery Security

Graphite

The Japan-Australia graphite anode supply chain is becoming a serious strategic project for battery materials security. Idemitsu, Marubeni, NSC, and Graphinex have agreed to develop a cross-border supply chain for natural graphite anode material. The plan links graphite mining in Queensland with refining and processing in Japan. As a result, the Japan-Australia graphite anode supply chain could reduce reliance on more concentrated supply routes.

This matters because graphite remains one of the most important battery raw materials. Demand continues to rise with electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. Japan has relied heavily on imports for graphite procurement. Therefore, the Japan-Australia graphite anode supply chain directly addresses a critical supply risk.

The industrial structure of the deal is also clear. Idemitsu and Graphinex will handle graphite extraction in Australia. Marubeni and NSC will focus on refining and processing in Japan. Consequently, the project is designed as a full upstream-to-midstream partnership rather than a simple trading agreement.

Natural Graphite Anode Material Is Becoming a Strategic Priority

Natural graphite anode material is now central to battery manufacturing competitiveness. Without secure graphite supply, downstream battery production becomes more vulnerable to trade shocks and export restrictions. That makes source diversification more important than ever. As a result, Japan is moving to secure a more stable anode material base.

China’s role helps explain the urgency. Japan wants alternative import sources as it reduces dependence on the world’s largest graphite producer and exporter. Export controls have made that concentration risk harder to ignore. Therefore, the new partnership reflects both industrial logic and geopolitical caution.

Idemitsu’s earlier investment in Graphinex also shows this strategy did not begin overnight. The companies have already been building ties around Australian graphite mining. This new agreement pushes that relationship into a more integrated supply chain phase. Meanwhile, it strengthens confidence that the project has real strategic intent.

Graphite Anode Plant in Japan Could Deepen Domestic Battery Capacity

The graphite anode plant in Japan is the most important downstream element of the plan. The companies are exploring a Japanese production site and aim to start operations in 2028. That would give Japan more domestic control over an essential battery input. Consequently, the graphite anode plant in Japan could become a meaningful industrial anchor.

The partnership also aligns with the wider Japan-Australia critical minerals agenda. Both countries have been working to deepen cooperation on energy security and supply chains. This project fits that framework well because graphite sits at the core of battery manufacturing. Therefore, the deal supports both national policy and commercial demand.

The broader market significance is clear. Battery supply chains are no longer judged only by cell production capacity. They are increasingly judged by who controls upstream and midstream materials. As a result, the Japan-Australia graphite anode supply chain could become a notable model for allied critical mineral cooperation.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This partnership matters because it targets one of the most overlooked battery bottlenecks: graphite anodes. Japan is not only seeking more raw material. It is trying to secure processing and manufacturing depth as well. If execution stays on track, this project could become an important example of how allied supply chains move beyond dependence and into real industrial coordination.

Ascend Elements Bankruptcy Exposes Pressure in Battery Recycling Market

Ascend Elements

Ascend Elements bankruptcy filing shows how difficult the battery recycling business has become as electric vehicle adoption slows in the US and Europe. The US battery recycler has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and will use the court-supervised process to restructure liabilities while continuing normal operations.

Ascend Elements bankruptcy comes despite major commercial and government-backed support. The company said it had secured more than $2bn in commercial agreements and a $320mn grant from Poland, but these were not enough to overcome longstanding financial issues and outstanding liabilities.

The filing highlights a broader weakness in the battery recycling sector. Recyclers need steady end-of-life battery and production scrap feedstock, but slower EV growth has limited available material and made it harder to sell recovered products into battery supply chains.

Funding and Offtake Deals Failed to Offset Financial Pressure

Ascend had previously planned to develop cathode active material production in Hopkinsville, Kentucky. However, the company and the US Department of Energy agreed in March 2025 to cancel a $164mn grant for that project.

The company later received a $320mn grant from Poland in May 2025 to build a precursor cathode active material plant. That support showed continued policy interest in battery materials localization, especially in Europe.

Ascend also signed a five-year offtake agreement to supply Trafigura with 15,000t of lithium carbonate from 2027 to 2031. The agreement gave the company a future sales channel, but it did not solve its immediate balance-sheet pressure.

Slower EV Growth Weakens Recycling Economics

Ascend Elements bankruptcy reflects the timing problem facing battery recyclers. Many business models were built around rapid EV growth, rising battery scrap availability and strong demand for recycled lithium, nickel, cobalt and cathode materials.

But slower EV adoption has delayed feedstock growth and reduced market confidence. Without sufficient input material and reliable downstream demand, recyclers can struggle to operate at the scale needed to justify large processing and materials investments.

The pressure is not limited to Ascend. Texas-based recycler Ecobat is selling assets in the UK, France, Italy, Germany and Austria to focus on North America, showing that consolidation and retrenchment are spreading across the sector.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Ascend Elements bankruptcy shows that battery recycling is strategically important but commercially unforgiving. The winners will be companies with secured feedstock, disciplined capital spending and customers ready to buy recycled battery materials at scale.