US Primary Aluminum Imports Decline in 2024

US Aluminum

Imports Drop 6%, Led by Decreases from the UAE, Australia, and South Africa

The United States saw a 6% decline in its primary aluminum imports in 2024, with a total of 3.917 million metric tonnes (mt), down from 4.158 million mt in 2023. The drop was notably driven by significant reductions in imports from key suppliers such as the UAE, Australia, and South Africa, as reported by US customs data.

Declines from Key Suppliers and Growth from Canada

Imports from the UAE, the second-largest supplier of unwrought aluminum to the US, fell by 23% to 435,200 tonnes in 2024. Australia's imports dropped sharply by 127,600 tonnes, falling to 82,400 tonnes. This decline caused Australia to drop from being the third-largest supplier to the sixth position in just one year. Additionally, imports from South Africa fell by 30,000 tonnes, reaching 131,600 tonnes in 2024.

In contrast, imports from Canada, the top supplier, rose by 91,800 tonnes, totaling 2.744 million tonnes in 2024. This increase helped offset some of the losses from other countries. Canada's share of total US aluminum imports grew to 70% in 2024, up from 64% in 2023, solidifying its dominance in the US market.

Tariff Concerns and Emerging Suppliers

The US is facing potential tariff issues, as former President Donald Trump proposed a 10% tariff on all imports from Canada. This could drive up prices for aluminum and aluminum products in the US, given Canada's role in supplying nearly a third of the US's aluminum needs.

On the other hand, imports from newer suppliers saw an uptick. India, now the seventh-largest supplier, sent 21,100 tonnes more aluminum, bringing its total to 73,000 tonnes in 2024. Argentina, a new third-largest supplier, saw a significant increase, sending 16,700 tonnes more to the US, bringing its total to 174,800 tonnes in 2024.

December 2024 imports also reflected these trends. The US imported 306,600 tonnes of unwrought aluminum, down by 14,700 tonnes compared to the previous year. Imports from Canada decreased by 20,300 tonnes, but Argentina helped balance the drop with an increase of 8,300 tonnes, reaching 30,200 tonnes in December.

US Aluminum Imports Decline 5% in August Amid Canada Supply Dip

Global Trade Tracker (GTT)

Imports of unwrought aluminum to the United States fell by 5% in August 2024, largely driven by a decrease in shipments from Canada, the top supplier. According to data from Global Trade Tracker (GTT), the U.S. imported 297,000 metric tonnes (t) of aluminum in August, down from 314,000t in the same month in 2023.

Canadian shipments, which make up two-thirds of U.S. aluminum imports, accounted for most of this decline. Canada’s volume slipped to 203,000t from 221,000t a year earlier, nearly matching the 17,000t drop in total U.S. aluminum imports year-on-year. The UAE, the second-largest supplier, increased its contribution to 34,000t, up from 28,000t in August 2023. In contrast, Australian and South African exports to the U.S. saw a cumulative decline of around 5,000t, contributing to the overall reduction in U.S. aluminum imports.

Australia Drops as Major Supplier

Year-to-date figures underscore a shift in the U.S. aluminum import landscape. Total U.S. aluminum imports as of August 2024 stood at 2.615 million tonnes (mn t), down from 2.843mn t during the same period in 2023. Australia’s exports to the U.S. saw a dramatic reduction, falling to 57,000t from 182,000t, relegating it from third-largest to sixth-largest supplier. Canadian imports, however, rose slightly year to date, reaching 1.840mn t, up from 1.760mn t in 2023.

South Africa’s aluminum contributions also dropped, with volumes decreasing to 82,000t from 120,000t year-to-date August. The UAE’s year-to-date exports to the U.S. fell to 295,000t, down from 397,000t in the same period last year, further reflecting shifting dynamics in the U.S. aluminum import market.

Japan's Primary Aluminum Imports Rise Despite Weak Domestic Demand

Japan's Aluminum

Japan's primary aluminum imports increased by 1.9pc in 2024, reaching 1.05mn t. This rise occurred despite a decline in domestic demand from key sectors.   

Shifting Import Sources Offset Russian Decline

Australia remained Japan's largest aluminum supplier, accounting for over 28pc of imports. Brazil followed, contributing around 16pc. Notably, imports from the UAE and India surged, offsetting a significant drop in Russian shipments. The UAE saw a 14pc increase to 107,000t, while India's deliveries rose by 25pc to 103,000t. Conversely, Russian shipments plummeted by nearly 70pc to 26,000t, following Japan's import ban on certain Russian aluminum products in April 2023.   

Domestic Demand and Secondary Output Decline

Domestic aluminum product demand in Japan remained weak due to reduced activity in the building, construction, and automotive sectors. Building and construction consumption fell by 7.7pc, and automotive demand dropped by 4.1pc. Total aluminum demand decreased by 3.3pc. Japan's secondary aluminum output also declined by 4.9pc, leading to a 5.3pc decrease in aluminum scrap imports. The reduced domestic secondary output may have contributed to the increased primary aluminum imports, despite overall demand weakening.

US Primary Aluminum Imports Decline Slightly in October

US Aluminum

US imports of unwrought aluminum decreased in October 2024 compared to the same period last year, with notable reductions from South Africa and Qatar.

Marginal Decline in October Imports

The United States imported 355,000 metric tonnes of unwrought aluminum under harmonized tariff code 7601 in October 2024, a slight decrease from 362,000 tonnes in October 2023, according to US customs data. This reflects the ongoing adjustments in the global aluminum supply chain.

Major Shifts Among Key Suppliers

• South Africa, the fourth-largest supplier, experienced a significant drop, with shipments halving to 14,000 tonnes from 27,000 tonnes a year earlier.
• Qatar’s aluminum exports to the US plummeted by 11,000 tonnes to a modest 4,000 tonnes.
• In contrast, India saw the largest year-over-year increase, sending 20,000 tonnes, up by 17,000 tonnes.
• Canada, the leading supplier of US aluminum, accounted for approximately 68% of total imports, delivering 241,000 tonnes in October—an increase of 7,000 tonnes from the previous year.

Year-to-Date Trends

From January to October 2024, total US imports of unwrought aluminum reached 3.34 million tonnes, marking a 5.3% decline compared to 3.53 million tonnes during the same period in 2023.

• Australia registered the sharpest contraction, with exports narrowing to 60,000 tonnes, down from 199,000 tonnes.
• UAE shipments also decreased significantly, totaling 382,000 tonnes, down from 479,000 tonnes a year earlier.
• Canada bucked the trend with a year-to-date increase, supplying 2.3 million tonnes, up from 2.2 million tonnes.

Global Market Implications

The shifts in US aluminum imports highlight changing dynamics in global trade and production capacities. Canada’s dominant position reflects its proximity and trade agreements, while reductions from South Africa and Qatar underscore broader supply challenges. India’s surge in exports signals its growing role in meeting US demand, likely supported by competitive pricing and capacity expansions.

US Aluminum Supply Flat in November as Plate, Sheet and Bar Imports Surge

US Aluminum

Secondary Smelters Cut Output While New Scrap Drives Melting Growth

US aluminum supply remained virtually unchanged year-over-year in November 2024, totaling 699,000 metric tonnes (t), according to the latest US Geological Survey (USGS) data. Although overall supply edged up by just 1,000t compared to November 2023, imports of aluminum plate, sheet, and bar surged by 36%, supporting stability in the market.

The only supply category to show a year-on-year increase was plate, sheet, and bar imports, which rose by 29,000t to 110,000t. In contrast, crude aluminum metals and alloy imports declined by 14,000t to 263,000t, while domestic primary production dipped by 6,000t to 55,000t. This trend signals continued reliance on semi-fabricated imports amid weaker domestic output.

Secondary Smelters Lead Drop in Consumption and Recovery

Total aluminum consumption in November fell by 8,000t to 335,000t. Metal recovery dropped in tandem, falling 7,000t to 271,000t. Secondary smelters led the decline, reducing consumption by 5,000t to 205,000t and recovery by 4,000t to 153,000t. Independent mill fabricators also reduced consumption and recovery by 3,000t each.

However, year-to-date trends showed modest gains. Total aluminum consumption and recovery both rose by 50,000t in the first 11 months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, reaching 3.93 million tonnes and 3.21 million tonnes, respectively.

New Scrap Supports Melting Increases Despite Alloy Production Drop

Scrap utilization also shifted notably. In November, total aluminum scrap melted or consumed rose to 288,000t, up 4,000t from a year earlier. New scrap drove this increase, rising by 7,000t to 187,000t, while old scrap declined by 3,000t to 116,000t.

Cumulative data from January through November 2024 show total aluminum melted or consumed hit 3.399 million tonnes, up from 3.21 million tonnes a year earlier. New scrap increased by 159,000t, while old scrap rose by 30,000t.

Nevertheless, aluminum alloy production at secondary smelters fell. November’s total dropped by 3,400t to 91,400t. Production of 380 alloy and its variations declined 2,700t to 17,600t, while wrought alloys and extrusion billets rose slightly by 700t to 61,900t. Year-to-date alloy output fell by 43,000t, led by a 23,000t drop in 380 alloy production.

Kaiser Aluminum Shipments Forecast Rises on Aerospace and Packaging Demand

Kaiser Aluminum

Kaiser Aluminum shipments forecast has been raised for 2026 as stronger aerospace, packaging and general engineering demand supports the US semi-fabricated aluminum producer. The company lifted its full-year outlook after first-quarter sales volumes rose by 6.8% year on year to 294mn lb.

Kaiser Aluminum shipments forecast improvement reflects a stronger order environment across several higher-value end markets. Aerospace and packaging deliveries led the increase, while improved manufacturing efficiency also supported the company’s outlook.

Kaiser Aluminum shipments forecast also points to a broader recovery in selected US aluminum demand channels. Commercial aircraft production targets, defence spending, packaging product mix and reshoring-related activity are all supporting shipment expectations.

The company’s quarterly profit nearly tripled to $63mn, while revenue rose by 42% to $1.1bn. The result shows how stronger volumes, better margins and end-market positioning can improve performance for downstream aluminum manufacturers.

Aerospace and Packaging Drive Higher Shipment Guidance

Kaiser now expects aerospace sales volumes to rise by 15-20% this year from 2025 levels. The company had previously expected growth of 10-15%.

The stronger aerospace outlook reflects higher production targets from commercial aircraft manufacturers and the end of some industry destocking. Kaiser reported solid aerospace bookings and shipments in the first quarter.

First-quarter aerospace shipments rose by 9.2% year on year to nearly 62mn lb. The increase shows that demand for aerospace aluminum products is strengthening as aircraft production plans recover.

However, original equipment manufacturers have been slower to reduce some aluminum plate inventories compared with other semi-finished products. This suggests aerospace demand is improving, but inventory normalisation remains uneven across product categories.

Reduced aluminum imports also supported Kaiser’s aerospace outlook. The company pointed to market share gains as US buyers increasingly seek domestic or more secure supply sources.

Defence demand provided another lift. Kaiser said demand for some defence-related products had quadrupled compared with earlier expectations of smaller gains.

Packaging is also improving. Kaiser now expects 2026 packaging shipments to rise by 10-15% from 2025, compared with its previous forecast of 5-10% growth.

First-quarter packaging deliveries rose by nearly 13% to almost 147mn lb. The company is benefiting from its strategic shift toward higher-margin coated products, including lid stock for beverage cans.

The ramp-up of Kaiser’s fourth coating line at its Warrick rolling mill in Newburgh, Indiana, remains important to this strategy. The new line advanced in the quarter, although the company cited persistent challenges involving on-time deliveries and broader performance concerns from certain converters.

Kaiser plans to operate the new coating line at 80% capacity utilisation before moving to full rates. This measured approach reflects the company’s focus on meeting customer commitments after delivery delays in recent years.

General Engineering Improves While Automotive Remains Cautious

Kaiser also raised expectations for general engineering shipments. The company now expects full-year volumes to rise by 5-10% over 2025, compared with earlier guidance of 3-5%.

The improvement reflects customer restocking after inventory drawdowns. Order activity has increased, particularly for plate products used in semiconductor production.

Tariff-related reshoring also supported the updated outlook. As customers reassess supply chains, domestic aluminum plate and engineered products can benefit from efforts to reduce import exposure.

First-quarter general engineering shipments still fell by 1.5% year on year to 64mn lb. This shows that recovery is still developing and depends on restocking and downstream project activity.

Automotive remains more cautious. Kaiser now expects automotive extrusion deliveries to be flat to down 5% from 2025, better than the previous expectation of a 5-10% decline.

First-quarter automotive extrusion deliveries fell by 7.5% to 22mn lb. High borrowing costs and tariff-related uncertainty continue to weigh on broader automotive sentiment.

Still, demand for light trucks and SUVs remains healthy. This supports consumption of Kaiser’s aluminum products because these vehicle categories often use aluminum components for weight reduction and performance.

The company has two major plant outages planned this year for equipment repairs and upgrades. It is also reviewing plans to expand production capacity for aluminum driveshafts.

Kaiser’s revised outlook shows a more selective aluminum market. Aerospace, defence, packaging and semiconductor-linked engineering demand are improving, while automotive remains exposed to consumer financing conditions and tariff uncertainty.

For the US aluminum value chain, the result reinforces the importance of higher-value semi-fabricated products. Demand is strongest where aluminum supports aircraft production, packaging efficiency, defence systems, semiconductor equipment and reshored manufacturing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Kaiser’s raised guidance shows that US aluminum demand is improving in high-value sectors rather than across the entire market. Aerospace, packaging and semiconductor-linked plate are carrying the upside, while automotive remains the main weak point.

EGA Aluminum Plant Investment of $4 Billion Transforms US Production Landscape

EGA Aluminum Ingot

EGA aluminum plant investment reaches $4 billion for a new primary aluminum production facility in Oklahoma, targeting 2030 startup. The massive EGA aluminum plant will produce up to 600,000 metric tonnes annually, nearly doubling US aluminum production capacity as the country produced only 670,000 tonnes in 2024 according to the US Geological Survey.

Strategic Timing Leverages US Trade Protection Measures

EGA aluminum plant development benefits from favorable US trade policies including the current 25% tariff on aluminum imports. This protective measure creates significant cost advantages for domestic production compared to foreign competitors. The timing aligns perfectly with American reshoring initiatives and critical materials supply chain security priorities.

Meanwhile, EGA expects construction to commence by late 2026, pending completion of feasibility studies and long-term power supply contract negotiations. Tax credit arrangements represent another crucial component of the project's financial structure, demonstrating the importance of government incentives for large-scale industrial investments in the current economic environment.

UAE Company Expands North American Footprint

However, Emirates Global Aluminium brings substantial international expertise to the US aluminum market through its global production portfolio. The company owns primary and secondary aluminum projects worldwide, including Minnesota-based Spectro Alloys acquired through a majority stake purchase in August 2024. This existing US presence provides operational knowledge for the Oklahoma facility development.

Therefore, EGA's investment strategy demonstrates confidence in long-term US aluminum demand growth across automotive, aerospace, and construction sectors. The 600,000-tonne annual capacity represents nearly 90% of current total US aluminum production, highlighting the transformative scale of this single project for domestic supply chains.

Presidential Announcement Signals Strategic Partnership

Furthermore, President Trump announced EGA's planned investment during his Abu Dhabi visit this week alongside $200 billion in other commercial agreements. This high-profile endorsement underscores the strategic importance of UAE-US economic cooperation in critical materials sectors. The announcement timing suggests coordinated efforts to strengthen bilateral trade relationships.

As a result, the Oklahoma facility positions EGA to capture growing North American aluminum demand while reducing US import dependence. The project's scale and timeline align with infrastructure modernization requirements and defense industry priorities that demand reliable domestic aluminum supplies for national security applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

EGA's $4 billion Oklahoma investment exemplifies how international aluminum producers capitalize on US trade protection and reshoring trends to establish strategic manufacturing footholds. The project's potential to nearly double US aluminum production capacity demonstrates the scale of investment required to meaningfully impact critical materials supply chain resilience in an increasingly fragmented global trade environment.

Century Aluminum smelter restart advances with extended power deal

Century Aluminum

Century Aluminum smelter restart plans have gained critical momentum after the company secured long-term power for its Mt Holly plant in South Carolina. The renewed supply agreement with utility Santee Cooper gives Century Aluminum smelter restart efforts the stability they need to bring idled capacity back online. As a result, the move positions the Mt Holly site as a key pillar in US efforts to rebuild primary aluminum production and reduce import dependence.

Power deal anchors Mt Holly capacity recovery

Century Aluminum smelter restart economics depend heavily on predictable electricity costs at Mt Holly. The new agreement with Santee Cooper secures a stable power supply through 2031, giving the producer the visibility required to commit fresh capital. The company plans to invest $50mn to return the smelter to its full 229,000 t/yr operating capacity by 30 June 2026, subject to incentive support from county and state authorities.

This restart will add around 50,000 t/yr of primary aluminum output versus current levels at the site. Therefore, Century estimates that the incremental production will lift total US primary aluminum output by roughly 10pc. For downstream users in automotive, packaging and construction, the Century Aluminum smelter restart should marginally improve domestic supply security and reduce exposure to import disruptions.

Tariffs reshape trade flows but import reliance remains high

US trade policy has reshaped the backdrop for primary aluminum investment. Earlier decisions to impose a 50pc tariff on primary aluminum imports, particularly from Canada, have tightened traditional supply channels and encouraged new domestic projects. However, even with the Mt Holly expansion, the US remains structurally short of primary metal.

Recent figures underline the scale of the gap between consumption and domestic output. US producers delivered about 670,000 t of primary aluminum in 2024, while the country imported more than 2.2mn t of unwrought, unalloyed aluminum. As a result, buyers still lean heavily on overseas suppliers, leaving the market sensitive to tariff changes, trade disputes and logistics shocks. The Century Aluminum smelter restart is therefore best seen as an important but partial response to wider supply security concerns.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Mt Holly’s restart underlines how power pricing, industrial policy and trade measures now interact in primary aluminum. Long-term competitive electricity remains the decisive factor for keeping smelting viable in the US, even under high import tariffs. Unless more facilities can secure similar conditions, the country will continue to rely on foreign producers for most of its primary metal needs.

Aluminum Four-Year High Signals Rising Energy and Metals Market Stress

Aluminum Bar

Aluminum four-year high became the clearest metals market signal on Monday as Middle East tensions intensified. LME three-month aluminum rose 2.5pc to $3,571/t, its highest level since March 2022. Rising oil prices and supply concerns pushed traders back into the market. As a result, aluminum four-year high now reflects both physical stress and geopolitical fear.

This matters because aluminum is highly exposed to energy costs and regional supply disruption. Brent crude moved back above $100/bl after the US announced a naval blockade of Iranian ports. Around 20pc of global oil and LNG supply passes through Hormuz. Therefore, LME aluminum prices are now reacting to energy risk as much as metal fundamentals.

The move also comes with visible stock changes. On-warrant aluminum inventories in LME warehouses jumped by a third to 354,450t after nearly 90,000t was rewarranted. That likely reflects traders repositioning physical units ahead of tighter conditions. Consequently, aluminum four-year high is being reinforced by both sentiment and inventory behavior.

Oil-Driven Metal Rally Is Lifting Copper and Nickel Too

Oil-driven metal rally is not limited to aluminum. Three-month copper rose 1pc to $12,855/t, while the next active Comex copper contract climbed 1.8pc to $5.99/lb. Three-month nickel also gained 2.6pc to $17,650/t. As a result, Middle East metals market risk is now lifting the broader complex.

Copper has its own support as well. Chinese smelters raised refined copper output in the first quarter by more than 7pc on the year. Higher sulphuric acid byproduct prices helped offset collapsing treatment and refining charges. Therefore, copper is being supported by both financial momentum and resilient Chinese production.

Nickel also benefited from the wider risk-on move in metals. Lead and zinc were almost unchanged, while tin was the only base metal to fall on the day. That contrast shows the market is rewarding metals with stronger geopolitical and speculative sensitivity. Meanwhile, aluminum remains the strongest headline performer.

Demand Signals Still Look Mixed Beneath the Price Rally

Demand signals remain mixed even as prices rise. Japan’s primary aluminum imports fell 3.4pc year on year and 16.8pc month on month in February. Local shipments of extrusions, flat rolled products, and foil also declined. Therefore, the aluminum four-year high is not being driven by strong downstream demand.

This divergence matters for the next phase of the market. Prices are rising because energy insecurity and supply risk are dominating near-term trade. However, weak physical demand in some regions may limit how far the rally can run without new disruption. As a result, Middle East metals market risk is overpowering softer industrial demand for now.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This rally is telling the market one clear thing: energy shocks still move metals fast. Aluminum is leading because it sits closest to power costs and regional supply risk. If oil stays above $100 and Hormuz remains unstable, the metals complex may keep pricing geopolitics ahead of demand fundamentals.

Constellium Hikes U.S. Flat Rolled Aluminum Prices Amid Tariff Pressures

Constellium

Price increase aligns with surging Midwest premium and looming U.S. tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports

Constellium Raises Flat Rolled Aluminum Prices by 15¢/lb

Constellium, a leading French aluminum producer, has increased the price of all flat rolled aluminum products shipped to the U.S. market. The price hike, effective immediately, amounts to a minimum of 15 cents per pound. The company did not disclose specific reasons for the adjustment and has yet to comment publicly on the decision.

This move follows a tightening North American aluminum supply landscape. Market participants suggest that uncertainty surrounding upcoming U.S. aluminum tariffs could be influencing upstream price adjustments. Constellium’s action signals a broader trend as producers seek to mitigate anticipated cost pressures.

U.S. Tariff Expectations Drive Midwest Premium Surge

The timing of Constellium’s increase coincides with a sharp rise in the Midwest premium — the delivered price of P1020 aluminum in U.S. Midwest warehouses. This benchmark has approached its highest level since June 2022, reflecting mounting concerns over supply constraints.

Market speculation centers on proposed dual 25% tariffs targeting Canadian-sourced aluminum. These tariffs, expected to be enforced in early March, could significantly impact U.S. import flows. Canada remains one of the United States' primary aluminum suppliers, making the policy shift especially disruptive for domestic buyers.

If enacted, the tariffs would apply both at a regional level and across Canada nationally, pushing buyers to seek alternative supply chains. As a result, buyers are accelerating purchases ahead of the tariff rollout — further pressuring prices.

Outlook for U.S. Aluminum Buyers Grows More Complex

Constellium’s decision to raise prices reflects broader volatility in the aluminum value chain. Without clear guidance from the company, market watchers tie the move to shifting trade dynamics and rising input costs. As flat rolled aluminum remains essential across construction, automotive, and packaging sectors, downstream manufacturers may soon face pass-through cost increases.

Industry players now closely monitor both U.S. policy announcements and global aluminum price signals. Strategic sourcing and contract adjustments will be critical as the market braces for a turbulent second quarter.

Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter investment anchors long-term US primary capacity

Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter

Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter investment marks a renewed commitment to US primary aluminum production and regional industrial jobs. The company has secured a 10-year, 240MW renewable power contract from the New York Power Authority, with extension options. This long-dated Massena renewable power deal underpins operations and gives Alcoa confidence to reinvest capital in the site. As a result, the plant’s future looks more secure in a market focused on low-carbon metal.

Alcoa will pair the new power deal with a $60mn modernization of the smelter’s anode baking furnace. The project, partially supported by a $6mn grant from Empire State Development, will run through 2028. Modern anode technology should improve energy efficiency and process stability, supporting lower emissions per tonne of primary aluminum. Therefore, the Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter investment aligns commercial resilience with decarbonisation goals.

Renewable power underpins Massena smelter competitiveness

The Massena renewable power deal is central to Alcoa’s cost and carbon strategy at the smelter. The 240MW allocation of renewable energy, starting 1 April, lowers exposure to volatile market power prices. It also strengthens Alcoa’s ability to market lower-carbon primary aluminum to automotive and packaging customers. Over time, options for two additional five-year terms could extend that visibility well beyond 2035.

Access to dedicated hydropower and other low-carbon sources is increasingly a competitive advantage in smelting. Many global smelters face pressure from higher fossil-based electricity prices and tightening climate policies. By contrast, Massena’s power structure gives Alcoa a stable platform for long-term contracts with downstream buyers. Consequently, the Massena renewable power deal reinforces the strategic value of US smelting capacity.

Modern anode baking furnace supports capacity and ESG goals

Upgrading the anode baking furnace is a critical part of the Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter investment. Carbon anodes are consumed in the electrolytic process, combining with oxygen from alumina and leaving molten aluminum. Furnace design and performance directly affect energy use, cell stability and overall emissions. New equipment should lift reliability, extend anode life and improve current efficiency in the pots.

It remains unclear whether nameplate capacity of 130,000 t/yr will change after the project. However, better anode performance often translates into higher effective output and lower unit costs. That, in turn, can support longer-term employment and justify further incremental improvements at the site. In a market where buyers increasingly demand traceable low-carbon aluminum, the Alcoa Massena aluminum smelter investment positions the plant as a more attractive supplier.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This package of renewable power and furnace modernisation shows how policy support can unlock private capital for hard-to-abate industries. If Massena’s upgraded profile leads to greener, more competitive primary aluminum, it could become a blueprint for other legacy smelters in North America. For downstream OEMs, a more secure and cleaner US supply base reduces dependence on higher-carbon imports.

US Aluminum Supply Dips in August 2024 Amid Import and Primary Production Declines

US Aluminum

The US aluminum market experienced a slight contraction in total supply during August 2024, primarily driven by reduced imports of crude metals and alloys, coupled with lower primary production figures. Data released by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reveals a 1.9% year-on-year decrease, with total supply reaching 716,000 metric tonnes (t), down from 730,000t in August 2023.

A significant factor contributing to this decline was a 15,000t drop in imports of crude metals and alloys, landing at 268,000t. Primary production also saw a decrease of 6,000t, settling at 56,000t. Secondary recovery from old scrap also experienced a decrease of 6,000t to 132,000t. However, an increase in secondary recovery using new scrap, up 13,000t to 166,000t, partially offset these losses.

Year-to-date figures for August show a similar trend, with total new aluminum supply totaling 6.05 million t, compared to 6.11 million t during the same period in 2023. While primary production fell from 504,000t to 452,000t year-to-date, a 134,000t increase in imports of plates, sheets, bars, and other aluminum products to 838,000t mitigated a more substantial year-to-date decline.

Consumption and Scrap Trends

Despite the supply dip, total metal consumption and metal recovery in August 2024 saw year-on-year increases of 7,000t and 6,000t, respectively. Independent mill fabricators played a key role in this growth, boosting consumption by 11,000t to 148,000t and metal recovery by 12,000t to 136,000t. Conversely, secondary smelters reported decreased consumption and metal recovery.

Total scrap melted or consumed in August 2024 reached 315,000t, a 20,000t increase from August 2023. This growth was entirely attributed to new scrap, which saw a 22,000t increase to 186,000t. Year-to-date August 2024 figures show a 140,000t increase in total aluminum melted or consumed, driven by both new and old scrap.

Secondary Alloy Output

Aluminum alloy production at secondary smelters experienced a year-to-date August decline of 37,000t to 722,000t. Notably, production of 380 alloy and its variations saw a 15,000t decrease.

SDI Aluminum Coil First Shipments Signal US Sheet Supply Shift

SDI

SDI aluminum coil first shipments mark a pivotal step in domestic sheet supply. The Columbus rolling mill has shipped initial coils. Therefore, SDI aluminum coil first shipments will scale through year end. Crucially, SDI aluminum coil first shipments target can sheet, auto, and common alloy buyers.

Columbus ramp targets 40–50% capacity by year end

SDI expects rapid ramp at Aluminum Dynamics in Mississippi. The mill plans 40–50% of 650,000 t/yr capacity by December. Customers are qualifying 3xxx, 5xxx, and 6xxx alloys. As a result, long-term offtakes should follow. Management highlights steady output increases since the 16 June first load.

Tariffs and scrap strategy boost competitiveness

Section 232 tariffs now favor domestic coil. The 50% rate lifts import costs and supports US pricing. Meanwhile, ADI aims to displace “high-cost imports” filling a 1.4mn-t deficit. SDI will maximize recycled aluminum via OmniSource. Consequently, upgraded scrap should trim slab costs and improve margins.

Strong can-sheet demand underpins the ramp. Beverage brands and bottlers want more aluminum packaging. Therefore, SDI prioritizes can makers while serving autos and common alloy. On-site slab casting will supply most of 900,000 t/yr needs. Satellite sites in Mexico and Arizona will backfill the balance.

Market implications extend beyond packaging. Domestic coil adds resilience for automotive stampers. However, buyers still require qualification runs and surface audits. As a result, near-term volumes will grow progressively. Lower nonferrous recycling shipments underscore the importance of yield improvements.

The Metalnomist Commentary

SDI’s Columbus ramp lands at a favorable policy moment. If scrap upgrading and slab logistics execute, ADI can sustainably replace imports. Watch contract wins with can-sheet majors as the clearest indicator of run-rate stability.

Titanium Exempted from US Tariffs: Aerospace Industry Impact Remains Unclear

Titanium

New US Tariff Exemptions for Titanium Could Affect the Aerospace Supply Chain

On April 2, 2025, US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on several foreign imports, including an exemption for titanium, titanium scrap, and ferro-titanium. While the exemption helps protect titanium trade, the broader implications for the aerospace industry remain uncertain.

Titanium Exemption and Its Effects

The US tariffs announced include a list of exemptions, with titanium in its various forms being spared. However, other metals like hafnium, molybdenum, vanadium, nickel scrap, and aluminum scrap were not exempted. The new tariff scheme does not affect pre-existing duties on Chinese titanium products, including a 20% duty on titanium products from China, which has been in place since March 4, 2025. Despite the exemption for certain forms of titanium, Chinese titanium sponge imports will still be subject to a 60% duty, which remains unchanged.

Additionally, imports of unwrought titanium from Japan, Kazakhstan, and Saudi Arabia will still face a 15% tariff, though efforts to remove this tariff for sponge imports are underway. For US titanium scrap imports, particularly from the EU and UK, which make up over half of the US intake, the tariff exemption is crucial. Without it, US scrap dealers, processors, and consumers would face substantial challenges, as the US does not produce enough vacuum-grade titanium scrap domestically to meet demand.

Aerospace Industry and Supply Chain Impact

While the titanium exemption provides relief for many manufacturers, the broader impact of the tariffs on the aerospace industry is still unclear. Aerospace manufacturers are uncertain about the tariff's effects on finished parts, components, and engines, particularly regarding supply chains that involve cross-border production of engine parts like the Leap-1A and Leap-1B engines for the A320neo and Boeing 737 Max.

Canada and Mexico were excluded from the new US tariffs, alleviating concerns for companies like Bombardier, Airbus, RTX, and Heroux-Devtek, which operate in those regions. Still, some titanium producers believe the situation could change rapidly, as it is difficult to define the boundaries between parts made from titanium and assembled components that use other materials, such as nickel-based alloys or aluminum.

China’s 34% Tariff on US Exports

In response to US tariffs, China has imposed a 34% tariff on all US imports, which will affect titanium imports from the US. Despite importing limited amounts of titanium from the US, China still relies on US imports for critical aerospace components, including parts for its C919 aircraft. The C919 uses the CFM Leap-1C engine, which is assembled in both the US and France.

Century Aluminum Sees Q2 Shipment Decline, Anticipates Q3 Recovery Boost

Century Aluminum, a leading producer of primary aluminum, reported a decrease in shipments for the second quarter, though it remains optimistic about a rebound in the third quarter. The company expects that higher aluminum prices and increased demand for domestic billet products will drive recovery, despite a drop in overall production.

In the second quarter, Century Aluminum's shipments fell to 167,908 metric tonnes (t), down from 173,649t during the same period last year. The decline was felt across all operations, including its key U.S. facilities in Sebree, Kentucky, and Mt. Holly, South Carolina. Combined, these facilities shipped 93,805t in the quarter, a decrease from 97,224t in the previous year. The company's Icelandic smelter at Grundartangi also saw a drop in primary aluminum shipments, falling to 74,103t from 76,425t a year ago.

Despite the downturn, Century Aluminum's Sebree facility operated at full capacity, producing at 100% of its 220,000t annual capacity. Mt. Holly operated at 75% of its 230,000t annual capacity, while the Grundartangi plant maintained 100% of its 320,000t annual capacity.

During the quarter, the U.S. Department of Commerce imposed preliminary anti-dumping duties on billet imports from 14 countries, which Century Aluminum believes will spur domestic demand. The company’s Sebree and Mt. Holly plants have a combined billet and slab capacity of 295,000t annually, and the decision is expected to provide significant support to these operations.

In addition to market dynamics, Century Aluminum noted that alumina prices are currently at a two-year high, driven by supply disruptions in Australia and increased regulation in China. These factors have pushed the cost of alumina, a key input for aluminum production, to account for a higher percentage of production costs than usual.

In the third quarter, Century’s Jamalco alumina refinery in Jamaica faced disruptions due to Hurricane Beryl, though operations have since stabilized at 80% of the refinery’s 1.2 million lbs/year capacity. However, damage to the main export port in Clarendon Parish forced the company to reroute shipments and declare force majeure on alumina deliveries.

Financially, Century Aluminum reported a 2.5% drop in second-quarter revenue to $561 million, with a loss of $6.7 million, a sharp contrast to the $6.6 million profit recorded in the same period last year.

Enduring Reliance Amid Sanctions: Europe’s Russian Titanium Dilemma

VSMPO Titanium

Introduction: A Supply Chain Unbroken in Wartime

Despite sweeping economic sanctions imposed by the West following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, one supply chain has proved remarkably resilient: Russian titanium sponge. Europe’s quandary over this advanced material—indispensable to aerospace, defense, and medical-device manufacturing—has only deepened.

Russia’s Command of Titanium

Russia ranks among the world’s largest titanium producers. VSMPO-AVISMA, the country’s flagship producer, accounts for 90% of Russia’s titanium output and exports to some 50 countries. The company is estimated to control up to 30% of the global titanium market and nearly half of aerospace-grade supply.

Russia’s dominance rests on abundant raw-material reserves and comparatively low energy costs. Because titanium smelting is energy-intensive, commercial viability depends on cheap power and gas—conditions Russia has historically met.

Airbus A380

Trade that Continues Despite Sanctions

On 7 March 2022, Boeing announced it would halt purchases of Russian titanium used in aircraft manufacturing. Rolls-Royce and Boeing subsequently suspended procurement from VSMPO-AVISMA indefinitely.

Europe, however, charted a different course. Airbus urged the European Union to keep Russian titanium outside future sanctions packages. As Airbus chief executive Guillaume Faury argued, titanium represents a small share of Russia’s total exports, so sanctions would inflict little pain on Moscow while dealing a heavy blow to Europe’s aerospace industry.

Today, Airbus still sources roughly half of its titanium from VSMPO-AVISMA. Boeing, by contrast, once relied on Russia for about one-third of its titanium but has since stopped buying Russian material.

The Limits—and Exceptions—of EU Sanctions

Notably, while the EU has restricted imports of Russian steel and coal, titanium has not been sanctioned. The metal remains a strategic material used in fuselages, turbine blades, satellites, and other critical systems.

Dependence on Russian metals endures in other segments as well. From March to June 2022, combined EU-US imports of Russian aluminum and nickel rose to $1.98 billion—more than 70% above the prior-year period.

Washington and Brussels have generally refrained from designating industrial metals as sanction targets. Europe continues to import large volumes of Russian natural gas, and Russia supplies about 40% of global palladium—vital for semiconductors—implicating everything from automobiles to smartphones.

CBAM

CBAM: A New Variable

The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), introduced in October 2023, adds another layer of complexity. CBAM initially covers cement, electricity, fertilizers, iron and steel, aluminum, hydrogen, and certain downstream products in steel and aluminum. After a transition phase through 2025, full implementation begins in 2026, imposing carbon costs on imports equivalent to those borne by EU producers.

While fertilizers, cement, hydrogen, and non-exported electricity may see limited near-term impact, aluminum stands out as a key target sector. Most exports to the EU beyond steel and aluminum are not yet covered, though the European Commission has signaled possible expansion to high-leakage categories such as organic chemicals and plastics.

Russia is structurally disadvantaged under CBAM. Steel production in Russia, Ukraine, and Türkiye tends to be more carbon-intensive, implying higher embedded-carbon costs at the border.

Ambiguities in Sanctions and Industry’s Dilemma

The United States placed VSMPO-AVISMA on its “military end-user” list, restricting access to advanced technologies, but stopped short of a direct ban on titanium sales—an acknowledgment of global industry’s reliance on the material.

Indeed, during the early stages of the war, VSMPO-AVISMA avoided sweeping US and European sanctions. Although Washington temporarily listed the company in December 2020, the measure was later rescinded.

Recent moves, however, suggest a tightening environment. In April 2024, a joint US-UK action prompted the CME and LME to prohibit trade in newly produced Russian aluminum, copper, and nickel dated after 13 April—an effort widely read as constraining Russia’s influence in metals markets.

Ukraine Titanium Mine

Ukraine: A Viable Alternative?

Against this backdrop, Ukraine has emerged as a potential alternative. Until 2020, the country supplied 90% of Russia’s ilmenite—the feedstock for titanium sponge. With that supply chain severed by war, Ukrainian resources could help challenge Russia’s dominance.

US companies have begun talks with Kyiv on a joint venture anchored by the Zaporizhzhia Titanium-Magnesium Plant (ZTMP). Such partnerships could forge a new titanium hub in Eastern Europe, strengthening Ukraine’s economic footing for decades.

The risks are significant. Ongoing conflict and occupation threaten both Donbas deposits and the ZTMP facilities, which remain exposed to shelling and sabotage.

Aviation’s Growth—and Its Dilemma

The aerospace-titanium market was valued at roughly $100 million in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR exceeding 5% from 2023 to 2032—reflecting the rebound in air travel and a pipeline of commercial aircraft programs.

Despite supply-chain turbulence from war, energy constraints, and labor shortages, passenger traffic continues to recover, lifting titanium demand. In October 2022, Airbus announced plans to deliver more than one aircraft per week to India, persisting with expansion despite engine-supply challenges and domestic carrier capacity constraints—developments that further complicate titanium sourcing.

The Reality of Diversification

Boeing reportedly began diversifying away from Russian titanium after the 2014 annexation of Crimea. Airbus, by contrast, remains heavily reliant on Russian supply.

Globally, China produced around 100,000 t of titanium in 2013—twice the combined output of Russia and Japan at the time—making it the world’s largest producer. Japan ranked third, with Osaka Titanium Technologies standing as the world’s second-largest producer of titanium sponge.

The Metalnomist Commentary: An Unfinished Dilemma

Europe’s struggle over Russian titanium sponge epitomizes the knotty realities of modern supply chains. Between economic sanctions and security imperatives, between industrial competitiveness and moral principle, Europe has yet to find a definitive answer.

With CBAM’s full force arriving in 2026, higher carbon-cost pass-throughs on Russian metals seem likely, intensifying pressure to rewire supply. Yet, as Airbus’s position illustrates, displacing Russian titanium in the short term remains daunting.

The gap between industrial necessity and political sanction endures—witness VSMPO-AVISMA’s August 2025 statement that it stands ready to resume cooperation with Boeing. For now, Europe must navigate this dilemma with prudence: balancing sanction principles, industrial realities, and emergent environmental rules—while accelerating the use of recycled titanium wherever feasible.

Aluminz aluminum tolling plant to boost US recycling capacity in Texas

Aluminz

Aluminz aluminum tolling plant will open in Texas to expand closed-loop recycling. The Aluminz aluminum tolling plant targets mid-to-late 2027 startup with 140,000 t/yr capacity. As a result, the Aluminz aluminum tolling plant aims to cut waste and customer emissions.

Capacity, location, and process flow

Aluminz will build in Mount Pleasant, Texas, near major rail lines. The site spans 220,000 ft² on a 155-acre lot. The plant will use two tilting rotary furnaces and one reverberatory furnace. A cast house will produce alloy sows for revert services. The project cost exceeds $50mn, mostly via municipal bonds. Permitting is underway ahead of construction this fall.

Target feedstock, yield gains, and by-product strategy

Aluminz will toll white and black dross and turnings scrap. White dross contains 15–70% aluminum; black dross averages 12–18%. The company plans to lift yields from painted, anodized, or oily turnings. It estimates diverting about 60,000 t/yr of aluminum waste from landfills. Saltcake will be processed into reusable salt flux and aluminum oxides. Cement makers and other industries could use the oxides.

Aluminz sees an underserved US market for dross and turnings. Domestic primary aluminum still relies on imports. The US also imported 660,000 t of scrap in 2024. Therefore, added tolling capacity should strengthen regional supply chains. Customers will sign LOIs now and finalize contracts at startup.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This project tightens a weak link in North American aluminum circularity. Furnace choice, saltcake valorization, and rail access support competitive costs. If execution holds, Aluminz could set a template for dross-to-alloy recovery at scale.

Leveraging Section 301 Tariffs to Combat Circumvention of Chinese Steel and Aluminum Exports

In light of significant government subsidies aiding low-cost Chinese steel and aluminum products, the U.S. steel and aluminum industries advocate for the extension of Section 301 tariffs beyond China to third-party countries. This strategic move aims to shield U.S. industries from the influx of cheap, subsidized materials. The Aluminum Association (AA) and the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) have both submitted statements to the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), urging enhanced enforcement measures to prevent the circumvention of existing tariffs.

Industry Concerns and Actions

The AA emphasized the need to impose anti-dumping and countervailing duties on Chinese imports, which has effectively reduced China's direct exports to the U.S. However, the redirection of these exports to third-party countries has surged, threatening U.S. manufacturers who produce similar goods. Consequently, industry representatives are pushing for the expansion of Section 301 tariffs to encompass processed Chinese steel and aluminum products entering the U.S. via third countries.

The Biden administration, following a review of Section 301 tariffs applied from 2018 to 2022, announced an increase in tariffs on a series of products, including steel and aluminum, effective August 1. Despite this, U.S. industries call for broader application of these tariffs to include circumvention through third-party processing.

Detailed Proposals and Data

In their statement, AISI highlighted the necessity of reinforcing origin regulations for steel products processed in third countries using Chinese materials. The current determination of origin by the Customs and Border Protection (CBP) is based on the final substantial transformation location. AISI advocates for considering the melting and pouring locations to prevent unfair trade practices.

Data from the Department of Commerce’s Steel Import Monitoring and Analysis System (SIMA) indicate that approximately 1.7 million metric tons of Chinese-origin steel have entered the U.S. since January 1, 2022, with 17% processed in third countries. AISI suspects that actual figures may be higher due to underreported origin data.

Strategic Importance and Recommendations

Expanding Section 301 tariffs to cover Chinese steel and aluminum products processed in third countries would send a strong message of the administration's commitment to combating unfair trade practices and protecting American jobs. The AA further recommended extending these tariffs to aluminum-intensive products manufactured using Chinese aluminum in third countries, aligning with USTR Katherine Tai's goals of protecting U.S. workers and bolstering supply chain resilience.

Golden Aluminum Nexcast strip caster hits full capacity in Colorado

Golden Aluminum

Golden Aluminum Nexcast strip caster reached full production in Fort Lupton. The Golden Aluminum Nexcast strip caster produced its first coil on 5 July. It ramped in August to 200,000t per year. The project modernizes hot-strip casting and expands 5XXX alloy capability.

What full ramp-up means for 5XXX coil supply

Production now covers multiple 5XXX grades, including 5182, for autos and cans. This strengthens domestic Golden Aluminum Nexcast strip caster supply. The Nexcast converts molten metal to 36-inch hot-rolled coils. Downstream cold rolling and coating finish to customer spec. Therefore, lead times should improve for packaging and mobility customers.

Process upgrades, scrap intensity, and SMS Group’s role

The new line replaces a 40-year block caster with higher efficiency. Golden Aluminum and SMS Group co-developed Nexcast since 2016. The melt process uses about 15% more scrap, cutting primary input needs. As a result, recycled content and cost resilience should rise. The Golden Aluminum Nexcast strip caster supports lower energy per tonne and consistent gauge.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This ramp creates a fresh U.S. source of 5XXX coil at scale. Watch scrap differentials, 5182 sheet premiums, and downstream coating margins as buyers rebalance away from imports.

US Commerce Finalizes Tariffs on Aluminum Extrusions from 14 Countries

The US Department of Commerce

The U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) has finalized duties on aluminum extrusions originating from 14 countries following a nearly year-long trade investigation. The duties, a combination of antidumping and countervailing tariffs, range from 2.02% to 376.85% for antidumping and 1.44% to 168.81% for countervailing measures. This investigation was initiated after a petition by the US Aluminum Extruders Coalition (USAEC) and the United Steelworkers union in October 2023.

The countries affected by the tariffs include major exporters such as China, India, South Korea, and Mexico, among others. These 14 nations accounted for 65% of U.S. imports of aluminum extrusions in 2023. Aluminum extrusions are widely used across industries such as construction and automotive, with products ranging from bars, rods, and hollow profiles to windows and doors.

Scope of Investigation and Product Impact

The products subject to these tariffs include aluminum and aluminum alloy bars, rods, tubes, pipes, and various structural components. The DOC's determination is a culmination of several affirmative rulings, including an antidumping determination in May 2024 and a countervailing ruling in March 2024. Each country involved in the investigation was assigned specific duty rates, with individual companies facing varying tariffs depending on their pricing behavior.

On 27 September, the DOC announced that cash deposit rates for foreign aluminum extruders would now be required. However, these rates will undergo further review through an administrative process, set to conclude within a year. A final vote by the International Trade Commission is expected on 30 October, which could influence the final implementation of the duties.