Century Aluminum Sees Q2 Shipment Decline, Anticipates Q3 Recovery Boost

Century Aluminum, a leading producer of primary aluminum, reported a decrease in shipments for the second quarter, though it remains optimistic about a rebound in the third quarter. The company expects that higher aluminum prices and increased demand for domestic billet products will drive recovery, despite a drop in overall production.

In the second quarter, Century Aluminum's shipments fell to 167,908 metric tonnes (t), down from 173,649t during the same period last year. The decline was felt across all operations, including its key U.S. facilities in Sebree, Kentucky, and Mt. Holly, South Carolina. Combined, these facilities shipped 93,805t in the quarter, a decrease from 97,224t in the previous year. The company's Icelandic smelter at Grundartangi also saw a drop in primary aluminum shipments, falling to 74,103t from 76,425t a year ago.

Despite the downturn, Century Aluminum's Sebree facility operated at full capacity, producing at 100% of its 220,000t annual capacity. Mt. Holly operated at 75% of its 230,000t annual capacity, while the Grundartangi plant maintained 100% of its 320,000t annual capacity.

During the quarter, the U.S. Department of Commerce imposed preliminary anti-dumping duties on billet imports from 14 countries, which Century Aluminum believes will spur domestic demand. The company’s Sebree and Mt. Holly plants have a combined billet and slab capacity of 295,000t annually, and the decision is expected to provide significant support to these operations.

In addition to market dynamics, Century Aluminum noted that alumina prices are currently at a two-year high, driven by supply disruptions in Australia and increased regulation in China. These factors have pushed the cost of alumina, a key input for aluminum production, to account for a higher percentage of production costs than usual.

In the third quarter, Century’s Jamalco alumina refinery in Jamaica faced disruptions due to Hurricane Beryl, though operations have since stabilized at 80% of the refinery’s 1.2 million lbs/year capacity. However, damage to the main export port in Clarendon Parish forced the company to reroute shipments and declare force majeure on alumina deliveries.

Financially, Century Aluminum reported a 2.5% drop in second-quarter revenue to $561 million, with a loss of $6.7 million, a sharp contrast to the $6.6 million profit recorded in the same period last year.

Century Resumes Rocky Point Aluminum Export Operations

Century Aluminum

Century Aluminum has resumed normal aluminum export operations from the Rocky Point port in Jamaica. The company had previously been forced to use alternative harbors in the region due to damage sustained at its primary shipping point, the Jamalco alumina refinery, following Hurricane Beryl. 

The Category 4 storm, which hit the region in early July, prompted Century to scale back production at the refinery. After the storm passed, Century restored its operations to the pre-hurricane production capacity of 1.2 million metric tonnes per year, and export activity at Rocky Point resumed. Although the port’s conveyor belt suffered damage, Century’s adjustments are expected to have limited impact on its financial results.

Tariff Shock Forces IMF to Cut Global Growth Forecast

IMF

Trump’s Tariffs Trigger Global Economic Revisions, Says IMF

Focus Keyphrase: IMF global growth forecast 2025 tariffs

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly lowered its 2025–2026 global growth outlook following steep new tariffs introduced by former President Donald Trump. The revised World Economic Outlook, released this week, shows a projected global GDP growth of just 2.8% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, down from 3.3% per year forecast earlier this year.

The revision stems from Trump’s across-the-board tariff policies, which include 10% on most imports, 25% on steel and aluminum, and a record 145% on Chinese imports. These levels, the IMF noted, mark the highest effective US tariff rates in over a century.

🇺🇸 North America Faces Sharp Downturn

The IMF warns that the United States, Canada, and Mexico will suffer the most due to both tariffs and retaliatory trade measures. The US growth forecast dropped from 2.7% to 1.8% for 2025, while Mexico is now projected to shrink by 0.3% instead of growing, and Canada’s growth falls to 1.4%.

The IMF cited heightened policy uncertainty and weakened demand as key factors eroding economic confidence and investment. Meanwhile, President Trump continues to defend the tariffs, claiming they boost American capitalism and would incentivize onshore manufacturing.

Markets, however, responded negatively. US stock indices fell over 2%, and fears of a broader economic slowdown intensified following Trump’s renewed attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates.

China and Eurozone Not Immune

The IMF also reduced its outlook for China, predicting a decline to 4.0% annual growth in 2025–2026, down from the previous forecast of 4.6%. The euro area will also see slower expansion at 0.8% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026.

Although Trump asserts tariffs are bringing “billions” into the US economy, the IMF argues that the "unpredictability of the trade environment" is undermining global recovery efforts and long-term economic planning.