Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Electric Vehicle. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Electric Vehicle. Sort by date Show all posts

Mazda Eyes Thailand as Key Hub for Electric SUV Production

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Mazda SUV

Japanese automaker Mazda is setting its sights on Thailand to become the main production base for its electric and electrified compact SUVs. This move is part of Mazda’s broader strategy to expand its electric vehicle (EV) footprint and to meet the rising demand for environmentally friendly vehicles across the ASEAN region. The investment aligns with Thailand’s ambitions to be a central player in the electric vehicle manufacturing sector.

Strategic Investment in Thailand’s EV Industry

Mazda announced an additional investment of 5 billion baht ($148 million) in Thailand. According to Thailand’s Board of Investment (BOI), this significant financial commitment will enable Mazda to produce up to 100,000 electrified compact SUVs per year. The investment will not only support domestic demand but also fuel exports to Japan and other ASEAN nations, enhancing Mazda’s regional presence.

The investment will focus on two of Mazda’s key manufacturing facilities in Thailand: the Mazda Powertrain Manufacturing Thailand and the AutoAlliance plant. The latter is a joint venture between Mazda and U.S. automaker Ford. The company plans to enhance its vehicle production lines, including the development of engine and electric vehicle battery production, to support the company’s future electrified product offerings.

Mazda’s Strategic Shift Toward Electrification

This investment marks the beginning of Mazda’s gradual shift towards electric vehicle production. According to Masahiro Moro, Mazda’s President and CEO, this is just the start of their transition to xEV (electric vehicle) production. In 2024, like many of its Japanese counterparts, Mazda faced operational challenges, including the suspension of production due to scandals involving tampered safety test results. Despite this, Mazda is taking proactive steps to strengthen its position in the rapidly growing EV market.

The Thai market itself saw a decline in car production in 2024, with a 20% year-on-year drop, according to the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI). However, the Thai government’s support for the electric vehicle industry, including the extension of the BEV production requirements, is expected to provide a significant boost. As of the end of 2024, Thailand had produced nearly 10,000 battery electric vehicles (BEVs), signaling the country’s readiness to be a significant player in the EV landscape.

Conclusion: A Green Future for Mazda and Thailand’s Automotive Sector

Mazda’s focus on Thailand as an EV production hub reflects both the company’s commitment to sustainability and Thailand’s strategic importance in the global automotive industry. As Mazda advances its electrified product line, it aims to capitalize on Thailand’s growing automotive ecosystem and favorable policies supporting EV production. The company’s long-term goals will likely help strengthen both Thailand’s automotive sector and Mazda’s position in the global EV market.

China and EU Resume Electric Vehicle Talks Amid Growing US Tariff Pressures

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US tariff, China

Negotiations on Price Commitments Could Ease Trade Friction in the EV Market

China and the European Union (EU) have decided to resume negotiations regarding a price commitment mechanism for battery electric vehicles (BEVs). This decision follows the EU's implementation of countervailing duties on Chinese BEV imports in 2024. The goal of these talks is to replace the tariffs imposed on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), addressing ongoing trade tensions between China and the EU.

EU's Countervailing Duties and the Push for a Price Commitment Mechanism

In October 2024, the European Commission finalized its ruling on countervailing duties on BEVs imported from China, which came into effect at the end of October. These duties ranged from 17% to 35.3%, impacting major Chinese automakers like BYD, SAIC, and Geely. The aim was to counter what the EU viewed as unfair pricing practices by Chinese EV manufacturers. However, these tariffs have faced opposition from both China and European companies seeking to expand their market share in the fast-growing electric vehicle sector.

Despite early talks on a price commitment mechanism in November 2024, the discussions stalled without significant progress. However, on April 10, 2025, China’s Ministry of Commerce announced that both sides had agreed to resume negotiations on the price commitments and to discuss broader issues of investment cooperation in the automotive industry.

US Tariffs Intensify the Pressure on China and the EU

The resumption of talks between China and the EU comes amidst escalating trade tensions with the United States. As of April 11, 2025, the US imposed a 145% tariff rate on imports from China, adding additional pressure on Chinese manufacturers, particularly in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. US President Donald Trump's tariffs, which were initially implemented in 2024, compounded by those under the Biden administration, have made it nearly impossible for Chinese EVs and lithium-ion batteries to enter the US market.

In an effort to counterbalance the US's growing tariff measures, China has been seeking closer economic ties with the EU. Chinese Premier Li Qiang held discussions with EU President Ursula von der Leyen on April 8, 2025, addressing the need for structural solutions to re-balance bilateral trade relations. The talks have emphasized the urgency of enhancing market access for European businesses in China and forging a collaborative approach to the challenges posed by US tariffs.

Potential Impact on the Electric Vehicle Market

If China and the EU reach an agreement on the price commitment mechanism, it could significantly alter the landscape for Chinese EVs in Europe. Prior to the implementation of the countervailing duties, the EU accounted for about 28% of China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) exports, which includes both BEVs and hybrid plug-in vehicles. However, the tariffs have drastically reduced Chinese EV exports to Europe.

The continuation of trade protectionist measures from both the US and the EU is putting immense pressure on China’s EV and battery markets, particularly as it struggles to enter key international markets. The future of Chinese electric vehicle exports largely hinges on these negotiations, and any breakthrough could bring Chinese-made EVs back into the competitive EU market.

Thailand Extends Deadline for BEV Production Commitments Amid Auto Industry Challenges

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Thailand's Federation of Thai Industries

Extension of Commitment Deadlines

The National Electric Vehicle Policy Board of Thailand has announced an extension for battery electric vehicle (BEV) manufacturers to meet their production commitments originally set for this year. The extension, confirmed by the country's Board of Investment (BOI), comes in light of the challenges faced by the auto industry, including reduced production outputs and the impacts of global economic conditions.

Updated Production and Subsidy Guidelines

Under the first phase of Thailand’s EV promotion, known as EV 3.0 measures, BEV manufacturers who received subsidies were required to produce one BEV in 2023 for every vehicle they imported during 2022-2023. This obligation will now increase to producing 1½ BEVs by 2025 for every imported vehicle as part of the updated EV 3.5 measures. However, any unfulfilled commitments from the current year will not qualify for retroactive subsidies but must be met under the new EV 3.5 guidelines before any future subsidies can be applied.

Manufacturers who fail to meet their production quotas under the EV 3.0 scheme will see their unfulfilled obligations roll over into the next phase without the benefit of initial subsidies, as outlined by the BOI on December 4. This strategic adjustment aims to maintain investment momentum in Thailand’s burgeoning electric vehicle market.

Broader Industry Impact

The extension reflects broader challenges within Thailand’s automotive sector, as highlighted by the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI). The FTI has revised down the country's auto production forecast for 2024 twice this year, with the latest figures suggesting a drop from an initial 1.9 million units to 1.5 million units. This downturn is mirrored in the production statistics from January to October, showing a 19% decrease year-over-year, with significant reductions in domestic sales and exports as well.

Despite these setbacks, the production of electric vehicles shows a promising trend, with the production of battery passenger cars, hybrid passenger cars, and plug-in hybrid passenger cars reaching significant numbers. Furthermore, the National Electric Vehicle Policy Board’s recent decision to temporarily reduce the excise tax rate for hybrid EVs from 2028 to 2032 is expected to stimulate approximately 50 billion baht ($1.4 billion) in new investments, provided manufacturers comply with strict CO2 emissions standards and continue to invest in local production capabilities.

UK BEV Sales Increase 41% in January, Still Fall Short of Government Mandate

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UK BEV

EV Market Struggles to Meet Zero-Emissions Vehicle Mandate as New Tax Threatens Growth

Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) sales in the UK saw a significant increase of 41% in January 2025, reaching 29,634 units. Despite this growth, the sales still failed to meet the government's mandated market share of 28%, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

In terms of market share, BEVs accounted for 21.3% of UK vehicle sales in January 2025, up from 14.7% in January 2024, based on figures from clean energy group New Automotive. While this shows a positive trend, the 21.3% market share is still below last year’s target of 22% and this year's ambitious 28% goal set by the UK government as part of the zero-emissions vehicles mandate, effective since 2024. This mandate is part of the UK’s broader efforts to reduce vehicle emissions and combat climate change.

Government Incentives Fall Short Amid New Tax Challenges

Despite a £4.5bn ($5.6bn) investment by UK automakers in new electric vehicle models and consumer discounts in 2024, demand for BEVs is still tepid. Consumers continue to seek more government incentives to switch to electric vehicles, the SMMT reports.

The situation has become more challenging with the introduction of the UK vehicle excise duty (VED) for BEVs from 1 April 2025. EVs priced above £40,000 will now incur a £3,100 tax over the first six years of ownership, a sharp contrast to the previous zero-tax policy. Despite a reduction in EV prices since the £40,000 threshold was set eight years ago, many electric vehicles still fall into the luxury category and remain priced above this limit.

The SMMT has voiced concerns that this new tax will dissuade potential EV buyers, calling for a revision or cancellation of the duty. “Rather than penalizing EV buyers, we should be taking every step to encourage more drivers to make the switch, helping meet government, industry, and societal climate change goals,” said a spokesperson from SMMT.

The EV Premium Continues to Shrink

One encouraging sign for the industry is that the price premium of electric vehicles over traditional internal combustion engine models has decreased significantly. As of December 2024, the EV premium dropped to 25%, compared to 73% in January 2020, according to Auto Trader, an online car dealership.

The UK’s EV market remains heavily dependent on fleet sales, which made up 62.4% of total vehicle sales in January 2025, a 3.7% decrease from the previous year. Fleet sales include corporate and salary sacrifice scheme vehicles, which are significant drivers of BEV demand in the UK. In contrast, private car sales saw a minor decline of 0.5%, with BEVs representing about 22% of corporate vehicle sales in 2023, compared to just 9% of private sales.

Leapmotor Flex-Fuel REEV Targets Brazil’s Ethanol-Based EV Market

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Leapmotor Flex-Fuel REEV Targets Brazil’s Ethanol-Based EV Market
Leapmotor

Leapmotor flex-fuel REEV development in Brazil marks a new attempt to adapt electric vehicle technology to local fuel economics. The Chinese automaker will develop what it describes as the world’s first flex-fuel range-extended electric vehicle, capable of using both gasoline and ethanol.

The project reflects Brazil’s unusual position in global mobility. The country has a large flex-fuel fleet, broad ethanol availability, and a consumer base that often chooses fuel based on pump economics.

Leapmotor flex-fuel REEV technology will be integrated into the C10 model, currently the only range-extended electric vehicle marketed in Brazil. The existing C10 uses a gasoline-powered internal combustion engine as a range extender, but the new version will be tailored to Brazil’s ethanol-heavy market.

Brazil’s Ethanol Market Changes the REEV Value Proposition

REEVs are driven only by electric motors. Their batteries can be charged externally or supported by an internal combustion engine that works only as a generator, extending driving range without directly powering the wheels.

In most markets, the range extender uses gasoline. In Brazil, however, ethanol changes the economics because sugarcane-based ethanol is widely available and often cheaper than gasoline.

That gives the Leapmotor flex-fuel REEV a more localized cost advantage. Drivers could benefit from electric propulsion while using ethanol to extend range when charging access or travel distance becomes a concern.

Brazil already uses hydrous ethanol as a standalone fuel and gasoline blended with 30% anhydrous ethanol. This makes flex-fuel technology familiar to consumers and gives Chinese automakers a clear route to adapt electrified vehicles to local driving habits.

Chinese Automakers Localize Electrification Through Stellantis

Leapmotor’s plan follows a wider trend among Chinese automakers entering Brazil with localized hybrid and electric technologies. BYD and GWM have also been developing flex-fuel plug-in hybrid vehicles for the market.

Leapmotor’s international expansion is supported by Stellantis, which gives the Chinese brand a manufacturing and market access platform outside China. Stellantis said the C10 and the all-electric B10 will be produced at its factory in Pernambuco, in northeastern Brazil.

This production plan matters because Brazil’s EV market is still shaped by price, charging infrastructure, fuel availability, and local manufacturing policy. A flex-fuel REEV could reduce range anxiety while maintaining the operating-cost advantage that supports electrified vehicle adoption.

For the materials supply chain, the model still supports demand for batteries, copper, aluminium, power electronics, electric motors, and related components. However, it also shows that electrification pathways may differ by market rather than following a single global battery-only route.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Leapmotor’s Brazil strategy shows that electrification will not look the same in every market. In countries with strong biofuel infrastructure, flex-fuel range extenders could become a bridge between EV adoption, local fuel economics, and battery supply constraints.

Brazil Expands EV Charging Network by 2,700 Stations in Just Three Months

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Brazil, EV

Ultra-Fast Charging Infrastructure Grows 60% Amid Rapid Electric Vehicle Adoption

Brazil added 2,700 new electric vehicle (EV) charging stations in the three months ending in February, marking a 22% increase and pushing total nationwide infrastructure to approximately 14,830 stations, according to the Brazilian Electric Vehicle Association (ABVE). This surge now covers nearly 25% of all Brazilian municipalities.

The significant growth reflects Brazil’s push to support its expanding electric vehicle fleet, which has reached 208,345 vehicles, split between 100% plug-in (45%) and plug-in hybrids (55%). The charging network expansion is vital for sustaining this upward trend in EV adoption.

Ultra-Fast Chargers See Strongest Growth Nationwide

Of the total stations, 2,430 units offer ultra-fast charging, while 12,400 units provide regular plugs. Ultra-fast charger deployment increased by 60% over the three-month period, while regular chargers grew by 17%. These figures highlight Brazil's focus on reducing EV charging time and improving long-distance travel convenience.

Regionally, the north led with a 24% increase in charging stations, followed by 13% in the center-west and 11% in the northeast. As of February, 1,365 cities host charging stations—up 8% from November. This regional expansion aligns with national goals for broader clean transportation access.

Infrastructure Keeps Pace with Brazil’s Growing EV Fleet

Brazil’s EV adoption continues to rise, with infrastructure deployment keeping pace. As more drivers turn to plug-in vehicles, charging accessibility becomes essential for mass adoption. By prioritizing ultra-fast charging, Brazil improves both urban convenience and rural connectivity.

The ABVE attributes the steady infrastructure growth to increased public-private partnerships and supportive energy policies. As demand accelerates, further investments in high-speed charging are expected to dominate the next wave of development.

China's Lithium Tech Export Curbs Threaten EU Battery Industry

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China's Lithium Battery

Key Technology Export Controls Put European Battery Industry on Edge

China's proposed restrictions on exporting key lithium processing technologies are sending shockwaves through the European Union's (EU) burgeoning battery industry. The proposed curbs target crucial equipment used in lithium extraction and battery material production, including lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) battery production equipment, cathode preparation technology, and direct-lithium-extraction (DLE) technology, particularly from spodumene and brines. A consultation period is open until February 1st, after which a final decision will be made.

Europe's Reliance on Chinese Technology Raises Concerns About Supply Chain Security
Industry experts warn the impact could be significant, especially for junior European lithium producers heavily reliant on Chinese technology. Companies like Northvolt, which recently announced job cuts and scaled back ambitions, highlight the vulnerability of the EU's current strategy. The restrictions could hinder the development of a robust, independent European battery supply chain.

Companies with In-House Technology See Opportunity Amidst Crisis

However, some companies are better positioned to weather the storm. Vulcan Energy Resources, an Australian company with operations in Europe, claims to have developed in-house absorption-type DLE technology, securing its supply chain and potentially offering solutions to other European players. Vulcan Energy Resources' executive chair, Francis Wedin, emphasized the strategic advantage of their technology, particularly given Goldman Sachs's preference for brine-based lithium extraction due to lower production costs.

European Lithium Market Faces Uncertainty and Calls for Action

Other voices in the European lithium market paint a more concerning picture. Viridian Lithium's chief commercial officer, Luc Pez, warned of potentially "extremely disruptive" consequences for the nascent ex-China battery supply chain. Pez criticized the lack of preparedness in Europe and the US, urging for accelerated reshoring of the battery supply chain and addressing regulatory inconsistencies within the EU. He highlighted the urgent need for Europe to establish concrete plans and achieve its targets in the face of increasing competition from China in the electric vehicle market.

The Future of European Electric Vehicle Market Hangs in the Balance

China's proposed export restrictions underscore the geopolitical complexities of the lithium market and the challenges facing Europe's ambitions in the electric vehicle sector. The move could significantly impact the development of the European electric vehicle market, as the EU aims to reduce its reliance on China for battery supply.

Honda EV Sales Target Revision Prioritizes Hybrid Electric Vehicles by 2030

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Honda EV Sales Target Revision Prioritizes Hybrid Electric Vehicles by 2030
Honda EV

Honda EV sales target underwent significant downward revision as the Japanese automaker adjusted its 2030 global electric vehicle strategy amid market uncertainty. Honda EV sales target now falls below 30% of total vehicle sales by 2030, representing a strategic shift toward hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) as the primary powertrain in the company's energy transition approach, reflecting broader industry challenges from slowing EV adoption and shifting regulatory environments.

Strategic Pivot Toward Hybrid Technology Dominance

Honda EV sales target revision accompanies ambitious hybrid vehicle expansion plans targeting 2.2 million HEV units within 3.6 million total annual vehicle sales by 2030. The automaker will launch 13 next-generation hybrid models globally over four years beginning in 2027, demonstrating substantial commitment to hybrid technology advancement. This strategic pivot addresses market realities including slowing EV demand, evolving regulations, and changing trade policies affecting electrification timelines.

Meanwhile, Honda plans significant hybrid system enhancements to improve range and efficiency while reducing costs by over 30% by 2028 compared to current models. These improvements target competitive positioning against both traditional internal combustion engines and full battery electric vehicles. The cost reduction strategy enables broader hybrid adoption across Honda's global vehicle lineup while maintaining profitability margins.



HONDA SALOON

Regional Market Adaptation Drives Technology Development

However, Honda's approach varies significantly across key regional markets reflecting local demand patterns and regulatory requirements. In North America, the company will develop specialized hybrid systems for large vehicles combining powerful performance with high efficiency for spacious models launching in the latter 2020s. This regional focus addresses American consumer preferences for larger vehicles while meeting efficiency standards.

Therefore, China market strategy involves partnerships with local technology providers including autonomous technology startup Momenta for next-generation Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) development. All future Honda models sold in China will feature locally-adapted ADAS technology addressing specific regional driving conditions and regulatory requirements. This localization approach demonstrates Honda's commitment to market-specific technology solutions.

Advanced Technology Integration Supports Competitive Positioning

Furthermore, Honda will develop next-generation ADAS for high-end EVs and HEVs launching in North America and Japan by 2027. These advanced systems represent critical differentiators in increasingly competitive automotive markets where autonomous capabilities influence consumer purchasing decisions. The technology integration spans both electric and hybrid powertrains, maintaining Honda's competitive positioning across multiple vehicle categories.

As a result, Honda's revised strategy reflects pragmatic adaptation to evolving automotive market dynamics while maintaining technological leadership across electrification spectrum. The emphasis on hybrid technology provides flexibility during uncertain transition periods while supporting regulatory compliance and consumer acceptance. This balanced approach positions Honda advantageously for various electrification scenarios across global markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Honda's strategic recalibration toward hybrid vehicles reflects broader automotive industry recognition that the transition to full electrification may proceed more gradually than initially anticipated, particularly as infrastructure limitations and consumer adoption patterns create market headwinds. The company's focus on cost reduction and regional adaptation demonstrates sophisticated understanding of diverse global market requirements, positioning Honda to capitalize on hybrid technology's bridging role during extended electrification timelines.

Suzuki e-Vitara Electric SUV Launch Signals a Bigger EV Push in India

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Suzuki e-Vitara Electric SUV Launch Signals a Bigger EV Push in India
Suzuki eVX

Suzuki e-Vitara electric SUV marks the company’s formal shift into full battery electric vehicles. Suzuki began sales of the e-Vitara in India, making it the firm’s first BEV model. This launch matters because Suzuki has long relied more heavily on hybrids. As a result, Suzuki e-Vitara electric SUV becomes a strategic test of how seriously the company will pursue the EV market.

The launch also puts India at the center of Suzuki’s electric transition. The model is built at Maruti Suzuki’s Hansalpur plant in Gujarat. That site already sits inside a broader expansion plan targeting 1mn EVs per year. Therefore, Suzuki e-Vitara electric SUV is not just a product launch. It is part of a much larger manufacturing ambition.

India EV Supply Chain Still Looks Tight

India EV supply chain remains the biggest constraint behind Suzuki’s electric growth path. The company did not disclose battery chemistry or sourcing details for the e-Vitara. That leaves open a critical question about how Suzuki will secure enough cells as production rises. Consequently, the commercial success of the Suzuki e-Vitara electric SUV will depend on more than vehicle demand alone.

The wider Indian market is still dealing with upstream bottlenecks. Carmakers warned last year that China’s rare earth export controls could slow motor production because of magnet shortages. Domestic projects in lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earths have also moved slowly. Therefore, India EV supply chain development still lags the scale of EV ambition.

Maruti Suzuki EV Strategy Extends Beyond the Vehicle Itself

Maruti Suzuki EV strategy is not limited to selling one electric SUV. The company also announced a goal of 100,000 branded charging points by 2030. It has already installed 2,000 of them. That means Suzuki is trying to shape the charging ecosystem alongside vehicle rollout. As a result, the Suzuki e-Vitara electric SUV launch is tied to infrastructure as well as manufacturing.

This wider strategy makes sense in a market where ecosystem gaps still matter. Other Indian EV and battery plans have already been scaled back or delayed. That creates space for more disciplined players to build practical scale over time. Meanwhile, Maruti Suzuki EV strategy may benefit from moving more steadily than some earlier industry promises.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Suzuki’s first electric SUV matters because it shows India’s EV shift is moving from announcements to actual product launches. The bigger challenge now is not whether Suzuki can build an electric model. It is whether India can build the battery materials, cells, magnets, and charging network needed to support that growth at scale.

Cyclic Lime Rare Earth Recycling Partnership Targets Electric Scooter Motor Magnets

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Cyclic Lime Rare Earth Recycling Partnership Targets Electric Scooter Motor Magnets
Cyclic Materials

Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling partnership launched as Canadian recycler Cyclic Materials contracted with electric scooter company Lime to recover rare earth elements from decommissioned motors. The Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling collaboration will process magnets from Lime's retired electric bike and scooter fleet across US and Canadian operations, establishing a circular economy model for critical materials recovery from urban mobility infrastructure.

Hydrometallurgical Processing Creates Closed-Loop Supply Chain

Cyclic Lime rare earth recycling operations will utilize Cyclic's dual-facility processing network spanning Mesa, Arizona, and Kingston, Ontario. The Kingston facility employs hydrometallurgical processes to produce mixed rare earth oxide from recovered magnet materials. Mesa represents Cyclic's first US processing location, expanding the company's geographic reach for North American rare earth recycling operations.

Meanwhile, the partnership targets Lime's substantial fleet of over 270,000 electric bikes and scooters operating across 280 cities globally. This scale provides consistent feedstock volumes for rare earth recovery operations while addressing end-of-life disposal challenges for electric mobility devices. The collaboration demonstrates practical applications of circular economy principles in urban transportation sectors.

Scaling Operations Address Growing E-Mobility Waste Streams

However, Cyclic and Lime plan operational commencement within weeks, with activity scaling throughout 2025 as fleet retirement cycles mature. The timing aligns with growing volumes of first-generation electric scooters and bikes reaching end-of-life status after several years of intensive urban deployment. This natural replacement cycle creates predictable feedstock availability for recycling operations.

Therefore, the partnership addresses critical material recovery from permanent magnets containing neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium essential for motor performance. These rare earth elements maintain high value and strategic importance for electric vehicle and renewable energy applications. Recovery operations reduce dependence on primary mining while supporting domestic rare earth supply chain resilience.

Urban Mobility Recycling Model Demonstrates Industry Leadership

Furthermore, Lime's commitment to rare earth recycling complements existing battery recycling partnerships with companies like Redwood Materials. This comprehensive approach to component recycling establishes industry best practices for sustainable electric mobility operations. The integrated recycling strategy addresses both battery and motor component end-of-life management across Lime's global fleet.

As a result, the Cyclic partnership positions Lime as a leader in sustainable urban mobility practices while creating valuable secondary rare earth supply sources. The collaboration demonstrates how service-based mobility companies can contribute to critical materials circularity while managing operational costs through material recovery value. This model could influence broader electric vehicle and mobility industry recycling practices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Cyclic-Lime partnership represents an innovative approach to rare earth recycling that leverages the predictable replacement cycles of commercial electric mobility fleets to create sustainable feedstock streams for critical materials recovery. This collaboration demonstrates how urban mobility companies can transition from being solely consumers of critical materials to active participants in circular supply chains, potentially serving as a model for broader transportation electrification sectors.

Battery Metals Demand Faces Slower Path as Hybrid Vehicle Growth Extends

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Battery Metals Demand Faces Slower Path as Hybrid Vehicle Growth Extends
Battery Metals

Battery metals demand could face a slower growth path as carmakers and suppliers expect hybrids and range extenders to remain important for longer than earlier electric-only transition models assumed. Speakers at the FT Future of the Car summit said vehicle decarbonisation should be measured by emissions reduction, not only battery electric vehicle share.

Battery metals demand remains structurally supported by electrification. However, a longer hybrid phase could reduce near-term demand intensity for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese because hybrid vehicles use smaller battery packs than full battery electric vehicles.

Battery metals demand assumptions are therefore becoming more complex. Automotive electrification is still progressing, but the industry is moving toward a mixed powertrain future rather than a simple shift from combustion engines to full BEVs.

Horse Powertrain chief executive Matias Giannini said half of passenger vehicles could still be produced with some form of combustion or hybrid powertrain by 2040. That outlook would keep investment flowing into efficient hybrid systems alongside EV platforms.

Hybrid Growth Changes the Battery Raw Materials Curve

Hybrid vehicle growth could temper the pace of battery raw material demand without reversing electrification. Hybrids and range extenders still require electric motors, inverters, wiring and batteries, but their battery packs are much smaller than those used in BEVs.

This matters most for nickel. High-nickel NCM and NCA batteries are closely tied to longer-range BEVs, where larger packs are needed to deliver performance and driving range.

A slower BEV ramp-up could delay some of the nickel sulphate demand growth that has supported investment cases for new battery-grade nickel projects. It could also affect cobalt and manganese demand in cathode chemistries exposed to full EV penetration rates.

Lithium remains supported across almost every electrification pathway. Still, a longer hybrid transition could slow the rate at which large-format BEV batteries absorb lithium units.

The shift does not mean automotive metals demand will weaken across the board. Hybrids use more copper than conventional combustion vehicles because they require electric motors, power electronics and more complex wiring systems.

Continued hybrid and combustion production also supports aluminium castings, stainless steel, exhaust components and engine-related materials. Meanwhile, BEV growth still supports aluminium lightweighting, copper wiring, charging infrastructure and battery materials.

The result is a less linear automotive metals outlook. Battery metals may grow more slowly than aggressive BEV scenarios suggest, while broader automotive metals consumption remains supported by platform complexity and mixed powertrain production.

Policy Flexibility Could Reshape European Metal Demand

European suppliers are pushing for more flexibility in the EU regulatory framework. Current policy remains heavily weighted toward full electrification through tailpipe emissions targets.

The EU targets a 100% reduction in tailpipe emissions from new cars and vans from 2035. That effectively ends new combustion engine sales unless future exemptions are created.

Industry participants increasingly want a more technology-neutral route. They argue that hybrids, range extenders, renewable fuels and lower-carbon manufacturing should contribute to emissions reduction alongside BEVs.

This policy debate matters for metals. Battery material demand depends heavily on BEV penetration, average pack size and chemistry choice.

If Europe allows a longer role for hybrids and range extenders, lithium-ion battery capacity demand per vehicle could grow more slowly. That would affect demand forecasts for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese.

Chinese EV and hybrid technology is also improving quickly. This puts pressure on European and US automakers to share development costs across BEV, hybrid and range-extender platforms.

For suppliers, the strategic issue is flexibility. Companies tied only to high-growth BEV battery assumptions may face demand timing risk, while suppliers serving copper, aluminium, stainless steel, electronics and hybrid systems may benefit from a broader platform mix.

The automotive transition is still real, but the material demand path is becoming more diversified. Metals markets must now track powertrain mix, not only EV sales headlines.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hybrid growth does not weaken the energy transition, but it changes the metals timing. Battery metals demand will still rise, yet copper, aluminium and hybrid-related materials may capture more value if automakers choose a longer mixed-powertrain route.

French Electric Vehicle Sales Hit 2024 Low in July Amid Broader Automotive Slump

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In July, France saw a marked decline in new registrations of electric vehicles (EV), hitting their lowest point so far in 2024, according to data released by the French Ministry of Environment. The total number of EVs registered last month reached 17,466 units, a slight increase from 17,251 in July 2023, but a significant drop from previous months this year. This decline caused the market share of EVs to fall by 3.1 percentage points to 13.5% of all new vehicle sales.

The sluggish performance was not confined to fully electric vehicles. Plug-in hybrid vehicle registrations also reached their lowest level of the year, with only 9,224 units sold—a sharp decline of 33% from June and 29% from July 2023. The market share for plug-in hybrids also contracted slightly to 7.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month.

Diesel vehicles, once dominant in the French market, continued their downward trajectory with registrations dropping by 25% year-on-year to 9,426 units. Overall, new vehicle registrations in France declined by 1% compared to the same period last year, totaling 129,425 units.

The downturn comes as France is pushing for a significant shift towards electric mobility. In May, the French government signed a strategic contract with the automotive sector, setting an ambitious target to quadruple the sales of electric passenger cars by the end of 2027. Despite these efforts, the immediate outlook for the EV market remains challenging, as the July figures suggest that consumer demand may not yet be aligning with governmental targets.

As of the end of June, France had over 138,000 public charging stations for EVs, and more than 1.8 million electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles were on French roads, an increase from about 1.5 million in 2023. These infrastructure improvements, coupled with government incentives, are crucial for driving future growth in the EV market. However, the recent slump indicates that achieving the 2027 targets will require sustained efforts to boost consumer adoption of electric vehicles.

General Motors and Ford Report Record EV Sales in 2024

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General Motors (GM)

General Motors (GM) and Ford, two of the largest US automakers, have reported unprecedented sales figures for electrified vehicles (EVs) in 2024, underscoring a significant shift towards electric mobility in the automotive industry.

Impressive Growth in EV Sales

General Motors announced that it sold 114,432 EVs in 2024, marking a 50% increase from the previous year. This surge contributed to an overall growth in GM's total vehicle sales, which climbed 4% to reach 2.7 million units—its best performance since 2019. The momentum for GM's EV sales was particularly strong in the fourth quarter, with sales of 42,000 vehicles, an increase of 10,000 units from the third quarter and nearly double the sales from the second quarter.

Ford also saw a significant rise in its EV sales, with a total of 285,291 vehicles sold in 2024, up by 38% from the previous year. Ford's total vehicle sales increased by 4% to 2.08 million units. Notably, Ford's F-series hybrid and electric models captured an estimated 76% of the segment share, solidifying Ford’s position as the second-largest US electric vehicle brand behind Tesla.

Strategic Positioning in the EV Market

These sales figures not only reflect the increasing consumer demand for electric vehicles but also highlight the successful strategies employed by GM and Ford to capture a significant share of the burgeoning EV market. Both companies have been proactive in expanding their EV lineups and enhancing their technological capabilities to compete effectively with electric vehicle pioneer Tesla.

Europe EV Growth Rises as Incentives Mask Fragile Demand Signals

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Europe EV Growth Rises as Incentives Mask Fragile Demand Signals
Europe EV

Europe EV growth accelerated last month as battery electric vehicle sales rose by 41%, supported by tax incentives, fleet buying and carmakers’ efforts to meet emissions targets. The increase looks strong on paper, but the drivers of demand remain uneven across markets.

Battery electric vehicle sales outpaced plug-in hybrid sales, which rose by 32% across the EU, EFTA and UK. Regular hybrid vehicle sales increased by 15%, while petrol and diesel sales continued to decline across major European markets.

Europe EV growth was strongest in large markets such as France, Germany and Italy. Spain again stood out for plug-in hybrid growth, showing that national policy, consumer economics and model availability continue to shape adoption differently.

The headline growth is important for battery metals and automotive supply chains. Higher BEV sales support long-term demand for lithium, nickel, manganese, graphite, copper, aluminium and rare earth magnets.

Incentives and Fleet Orders Drive the Near-Term Recovery

Tax policy remains one of the main engines behind Europe EV growth. Several member states entered the year with revised company car rules, income-linked subsidies or accelerated depreciation schemes for electric vehicles.

These measures have favoured fleet buyers more than private consumers. Corporate fleets can respond faster to tax incentives, depreciation benefits and emissions rules because they buy vehicles in larger volumes and plan replacements more systematically.

France has tightened the link between EV support and income. Germany’s recovery has been supported by targeted incentives reintroduced in January after earlier policy volatility disrupted demand.

This matters because fleet-led growth can be less stable than broad consumer adoption. Fleet orders can lift sales quickly, but private demand is still sensitive to price, charging access, financing costs and residual value concerns.

Carmakers are also working to meet CO₂ limits. This creates another demand driver that is not purely consumer-led. Automakers may use pricing, leasing and fleet channels to push EV registrations when regulatory targets tighten.

For metals markets, the distinction matters. Stable private adoption creates more predictable battery material demand. Incentive-driven fleet demand can be more volatile if policy changes or budget support weakens.

Oil Shock Adds Uncertainty to EV Demand Outlook

Higher oil prices after the US-Iran war have revived the question of whether fuel costs are pushing consumers toward electric vehicles. However, the evidence is not yet clear.

EV demand was already rising in key markets before the oil shock. Early-year growth appears to reflect incentives, fleet orders and emissions compliance more than a direct consumer shift caused by higher fuel costs.

There is also a timing lag. Vehicle orders usually appear in sales data several weeks later, and delivery times vary by model and country. Any clear oil-price effect may not appear until June or July.

This caution is important because monthly EV data can be distorted by local registration patterns. The UK, for example, often sees a March registration spike because of its plate change system.

The broader strategic message remains clear. If Europe wants to reduce exposure to oil shocks, it needs consistent carbon rules, pollution-based taxation, charging infrastructure and long-term industrial policy.

Stop-start subsidies can create temporary sales jumps, but they can also damage market confidence. Stable rules are more useful for automakers, battery producers, charging companies and metals suppliers.

Europe EV growth therefore remains real but fragile. The region is moving away from petrol and diesel, yet the pace still depends heavily on policy design and fleet purchasing behaviour.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Europe EV growth is not yet a clean demand signal for battery metals because incentives and fleet buying are doing much of the work. The stronger long-term signal will come when private buyers adopt EVs without policy volatility or fuel-price panic.

Stellantis Leapmotor Spain BEV Production Plan Signals Localised Chinese EV Strategy

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Stellantis Leapmotor Spain BEV Production Plan Signals Localised Chinese EV Strategy
Stellantis

Stellantis Leapmotor Spain BEV production plans could mark a new phase in Europe’s electric vehicle supply chain, as western automakers look to combine local assembly with lower-cost Chinese components. Stellantis and Leapmotor are considering new battery electric vehicle lines at Zaragoza and Villaverde in Spain through their Leapmotor International joint venture.

Stellantis Leapmotor Spain BEV production would move the partnership beyond vehicle imports and toward European manufacturing. That shift matters because local content rules, tariff risk and regional supply security are becoming more important in the EV market.

Stellantis Leapmotor Spain BEV production could also help the companies respond to weaker European affordability conditions. Chinese component sourcing can lower cost, while Spanish assembly may improve regulatory and commercial positioning inside Europe.

The companies have not disclosed production targets, utilisation rates or investment figures. This leaves the scale of the plan uncertain, but the strategic direction is clear.

Spain Could Become a European Platform for Leapmotor Models

Zaragoza could gain a new all-electric SUV line as early as this year. The plant has long been associated with Opel production and could become a base for new BEV output under the joint venture.

Villaverde in Madrid may also become more important to Leapmotor International. The plant faces a production gap after Citroen C4 output ends and may shift entirely to Leapmotor models by 2029.

That potential transition would give Stellantis a way to protect industrial activity at existing Spanish plants while adding lower-cost BEV models to its European portfolio.

The plan reflects a broader industry pattern. European automakers are trying to defend market share against Chinese EV competition while also using Chinese platforms, components and cost structures to improve competitiveness.

Stellantis bought a 21% stake in Leapmotor in 2023 and created a 51-49 joint venture to sell and manufacture Leapmotor vehicles outside China. Spain could now become one of the key production bases for that strategy.

For Spain, the opportunity is industrial. More BEV assembly could support jobs, supplier activity and demand for local logistics, batteries, wiring, aluminium components and electronics integration.

Local Assembly Meets Cost Pressure and Supply-Chain Rules

The move from imports to local production is strategically important. European BEV manufacturing is increasingly shaped by tariffs, local content rules, battery sourcing requirements and political pressure to keep vehicle production inside the region.

Leapmotor brings cost-competitive EV engineering and components. Stellantis brings European plants, distribution, regulatory experience and manufacturing scale.

This combination could help address one of Europe’s biggest EV problems: producing affordable electric vehicles while maintaining regional industrial capacity.

However, the lack of disclosed volumes makes the market impact difficult to judge. Without production targets, it is unclear whether the Spain plans will materially change Stellantis’ European BEV output.

Stellantis needs stronger BEV momentum. Its BEV sales accounted for around 13% of output in the first half of last year, behind Volkswagen and BMW, and the company later reported a major write-down after cutting prices.

Leapmotor is growing much faster. Its EV sales, including plug-in hybrids, more than doubled last year to 596,000 units. That growth gives Stellantis access to a Chinese partner with clear scale momentum.

The industrial implication extends into materials. More European BEV production increases demand for aluminium body and structural parts, copper wiring, electrical steel, battery materials, power electronics and lightweight components.

If the model works, Stellantis and Leapmotor could create a template for Chinese-designed, Europe-built EVs. That would reshape competition not only in vehicles, but also in the upstream materials and component chains that support regional BEV manufacturing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Stellantis and Leapmotor are not only discussing new Spanish EV lines; they are testing a hybrid supply-chain model for Europe. Local assembly with Chinese components may become a practical route for automakers caught between cost pressure, tariff risk and the need to keep European factories active.

Stellantis Invests in Italy Electric Motor Plant to Advance EV Strategy

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Stellantis Invests in Italy Electric Motor Plant to Advance EV Strategy
Stellantis

Stellantis invests €38mn in Italian plant to expand EV motor component production and strengthen European electric vehicle supply chain.

New Investment to Expand Stellantis Electric Motor Production in Italy

Stellantis will invest €38 million ($41.1 million) in its Verrone, Italy plant to build electric motor components. The funding will support the installation of 56 new machine tools, enabling an output of 400,000 components per year. Stellantis may expand this capacity to 600,000 units in the future. Production is scheduled to start by 2027.

The move represents another strategic step in Stellantis' transition from internal combustion engines (ICE) to electric vehicles (EVs). This investment also aligns with the company’s plan to boost local manufacturing and maintain its industrial base in Italy. In January, Stellantis announced plans to produce electrified dual-clutch transmissions for hybrid cars in Italy.

EV Sales Decline But Stellantis Doubles Down on Electrification

Stellantis' global sales dropped to 5.7 million units in 2024, down from 6.2 million in 2023. Full electric vehicle sales also declined to 314,500 units, compared with 369,000 units in the previous year. Despite this, the company is increasing investment in long-term EV infrastructure to future-proof its European operations.

Meanwhile, Stellantis’ push to localize EV production aligns with broader EU goals to reindustrialize the clean tech sector. With supply chain risks growing, building electric motor parts domestically offers greater security and cost stability. This investment could also stimulate supplier ecosystems in northern Italy and contribute to job preservation.

The Metalnomist Commentary

While EV sales have slowed, Stellantis is thinking long-term. Strategic investments like this suggest a pivot toward in-house component production and regional manufacturing resilience. This move also signals confidence in the EU’s clean mobility future, despite current market volatility.

Nemak Austrian Die-Cast Facility Closure Signals European Footprint Consolidation

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Nemak Austrian Die-Cast Facility Closure Signals European Footprint Consolidation
Nemak

Nemak Austrian die-cast facility closure plans show how the Mexican automotive die-caster is moving quickly to rationalise its enlarged manufacturing network after acquiring Georg Fischer’s castings unit. The company plans to end production at its Herzogenburg site within the next 12 months.

Nemak Austrian die-cast facility output has been affected by persistently low production volumes and weaker market conditions. Nemak said it will meet customer obligations by transferring production to other locations.

Nemak Austrian die-cast facility closure is part of a wider portfolio review following the February acquisition of GF’s castings business. The deal expanded Nemak’s global footprint to 53 plants across 15 countries.

GF Integration Puts Utilisation and Profitability First

Nemak is now focused on improving utilisation across its enlarged production base. Chief executive Herve Boyer said footprint adjustment is on the company’s agenda and that Nemak is actively working on it.

The Herzogenburg closure may not be the only reshuffling. Nemak is assessing how to consolidate production volumes and improve profitability across its locations.

This matters because automotive die casting is highly sensitive to plant utilisation. Low production volumes can quickly pressure margins when fixed costs, labour, energy and tooling investments remain high.

The closure also reflects broader pressure in Europe’s automotive supply chain. Slower vehicle demand, uneven electric vehicle adoption and cost inflation have forced suppliers to review capacity, especially in higher-cost manufacturing regions.

Automotive Casting Network Shifts Toward Higher-Value Sites

The GF acquisition gave Nemak eight additional manufacturing facilities. It also gave the company control of GF’s new $184mn facility in Augusta, Georgia, which is expected to start production in 2027.

That US site may become more strategically important as automakers localise supply chains and expand North American production. It also gives Nemak a stronger position in a market where aluminium die casting remains central to lightweight vehicle structures and electric vehicle components.

For Nemak, the challenge is balancing customer coverage with operational efficiency. Closing underused capacity can protect margins, but production transfers must avoid disruption for automakers.

The decision also highlights a wider industry trend. Automotive suppliers are not only adding capacity for electrification. They are also cutting or relocating weaker assets to align with changing vehicle platforms, regional demand and cost structures.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Nemak’s Herzogenburg closure shows that automotive casting growth is becoming more selective. Suppliers with global footprints must now decide which plants support future EV and lightweighting demand, and which sites no longer fit the cost structure.

China Sinopec CATL Investment Accelerates EV Battery Exchange Network Expansion

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China Sinopec CATL Investment Accelerates EV Battery Exchange Network Expansion
Sinopec CATL

China Sinopec CATL investment emerged as the state-controlled oil refiner became the largest cornerstone investor in the battery producer's record-breaking Hong Kong IPO. The strategic China Sinopec CATL investment supports the companies' ambitious plan to build 10,000 electric vehicle battery exchange stations nationwide, marking a significant shift for the traditional energy company toward new energy infrastructure as China's EV market continues rapid expansion.

Record IPO Success Validates Strategic Partnership Value

China Sinopec CATL investment positioned the oil refiner as the largest cornerstone investor in CATL's $4.6 billion Hong Kong IPO that became the world's largest listing in 2025. CATL shares surged over 16% in their Hong Kong trading debut on May 20th, closing at HK$306.2 compared to the IPO price of HK$263 per share. The successful market reception demonstrates strong investor confidence in the partnership strategy and China's EV infrastructure development plans.

Meanwhile, the two companies reached an initial agreement in April to build more than 500 EV battery exchange stations nationwide in 2025, with a long-term target of 10,000 stations. This ambitious infrastructure rollout leverages Sinopec's existing network of 30,000 integrated energy charging stations serving 300 million users, including approximately 10,000 EV charging and battery exchange stations already operational across China.

Strategic Project Targets Heavy Vehicle Transportation

However, Sinopec and CATL finalized a specific agreement on May 21st for the Qiji Exchange Station project focused on heavy trucks in Fujian province. The project will serve critical road freight transportation along the coastal route between the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta using CATL's latest battery exchange system technology. This heavy vehicle focus addresses a key market segment where battery exchange offers significant advantages over traditional charging methods.

Therefore, the heavy truck application demonstrates practical implementation of battery exchange technology for commercial vehicles requiring rapid turnaround times. The coastal corridor route represents one of China's most important freight transportation arteries, making successful deployment here a potential template for nationwide expansion. The project showcases how traditional energy companies can integrate new energy technologies into existing transportation infrastructure.

Traditional Energy Companies Embrace New Energy Transition

Furthermore, Sinopec's investment reflects broader trends among conventional energy companies accelerating investments in new energy markets. State-run energy firm PetroChina launched a "supercharger station" in Shanghai's Yili road area in March, demonstrating industry-wide recognition of EV infrastructure opportunities. These companies leverage existing real estate assets and customer relationships to enter growing new energy segments.

As a result, joint ventures between traditional energy companies and EV technology providers create synergistic opportunities for rapid infrastructure deployment. PetroChina, SAIC, Sinopec, and CATL established the Shanghai JieNeng Zhidui New Energy Technology joint venture in September 2022 to lease EV battery packs and develop battery exchange technology. CATL's construction of a 40 GWh annual capacity factory in Dongying, China's largest oil refining city, further strengthens these traditional energy sector connections.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Sinopec's cornerstone investment in CATL's record-breaking IPO exemplifies how China's traditional energy giants are strategically positioning themselves within the electric vehicle ecosystem, leveraging their existing infrastructure assets to capture new revenue streams in battery exchange services. The partnership's focus on heavy vehicle applications addresses a critical market need where battery exchange technology offers compelling advantages over conventional charging, potentially accelerating commercial EV adoption across China's logistics sectors.

Nickel Deficit Forecast Emerges as Indonesia Tightens Ore Supply

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Nickel Deficit Forecast Emerges as Indonesia Tightens Ore Supply
Nickel manufacturing

Nickel deficit conditions are expected to return in 2026 as Indonesia tightens ore supply controls and stainless steel demand continues to grow. The International Nickel Study Group forecasts global primary nickel production of 3.715mn t against usage of 3.747mn t, implying a deficit of 32,000t.

The nickel deficit would mark a sharp change after three consecutive years of surplus. The market recorded surpluses of 175,000t in 2023, 116,000t in 2024 and 283,000t in 2025.

The nickel deficit forecast remains modest, but it carries strategic significance because it depends heavily on Indonesian policy. Indonesia has been the main driver of global nickel supply growth, and tighter controls on ore mining could slow the expansion that previously pushed the market into surplus.

The Middle East conflict is adding another layer of uncertainty. Higher energy prices, inflation pressure and disrupted sulphur flows could affect nickel production costs, especially for high-pressure acid leach operations in Indonesia.

Indonesia Ore Controls Reshape Nickel Supply Growth

Indonesia’s approved nickel ore mining quota for 2026 has been set significantly lower than in 2025. The quota can still be revised, but the initial reduction has already changed market expectations.

The country’s revised mineral benchmark pricing mechanism also took effect on 15 April. The new HPM formula raises base prices for all nickel ore grades and includes cobalt, iron and chromium in the valuation for the first time.

This matters because Indonesian nickel supply is no longer expanding under the same low-cost conditions that drove rapid output growth. Ore access, ore pricing, royalties and contained metal values are all becoming more tightly managed.

The policy impact is not evenly distributed. Eramet’s PT Weda Bay Nickel mine is preparing to enter care and maintenance in May after receiving an initial ore quota of just 12mn wet metric tonnes. This is far below last year’s final permit of up to 42mn wmt.

In contrast, Nickel Industries received quota approvals of 14.3mn wmt, up from 10.5mn wmt in 2025. This shows that Indonesia’s controls are not simply cutting all supply. They are also reshaping which operators receive ore access.

The quota system could therefore become a major competitive factor. Producers with larger approved volumes may gain stronger operating flexibility, while others face lower utilisation, higher costs or temporary shutdowns.

HPAL producers are especially exposed. These plants require steady limonite ore supply and large volumes of sulphuric acid or sulphur-linked feedstock. Tighter ore availability and higher reagent costs can quickly pressure margins.

Disrupted sulphur flows from the Middle East conflict have raised concern over HPAL feedstock availability. This is important because Indonesian HPAL projects have become key suppliers of mixed hydroxide precipitate for battery material production.

If sulphur costs remain elevated and ore prices rise under the new HPM formula, HPAL production costs could increase materially. That would weaken the low-cost supply advantage that helped Indonesia dominate battery-linked nickel intermediates.

Stainless Steel Supports Demand as Batteries Disappoint

Stainless steel remains the main support for nickel demand. INSG said the stainless steel sector grew in 2025 and is expected to expand further in 2026.

This is important because stainless steel still consumes far more nickel than the battery sector. Demand from stainless steel, alloys and industrial uses continues to anchor the primary nickel market.

Battery demand has grown more slowly than earlier expectations. Lithium iron phosphate chemistries have gained market share, reducing nickel intensity in parts of the electric vehicle market.

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle demand has also outpaced fully battery-electric vehicle demand in some markets. This has limited the speed at which nickel-rich battery chemistries absorb new supply.

The result is a market caught between two forces. Supply growth is slowing because of Indonesian ore controls and higher input costs. However, battery demand is not rising fast enough to create a large structural shortage.

This makes the 2026 nickel deficit highly sensitive to policy and disruption. If Indonesia raises quotas, supply could recover. If sulphur, energy or ore costs worsen, the deficit could deepen.

The forecast also changes the market narrative. Nickel has spent recent years under pressure from surplus supply and rising inventories. A move into deficit, even a small one, could stabilise sentiment and support prices.

Still, the deficit is not yet a sign of broad scarcity. It is a warning that Indonesia’s supply discipline, not battery demand alone, is now determining the market balance.

For producers, cost control and ore access will become more important. For buyers, the focus will shift toward supplier reliability, feedstock route and exposure to Indonesian policy.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The nickel market is not tightening because batteries suddenly absorbed the surplus. It is tightening because Indonesia is putting discipline into ore supply while HPAL costs rise. That makes the nickel deficit more policy-driven than demand-driven.

Li-Cycle Signs Exclusive Recycling Agreement with EU EV Manufacturer

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Li-Cycle

Li-Cycle Partners with European Luxury EV Maker for Battery Recycling

Canadian lithium-ion battery recycler Li-Cycle has entered into an exclusive recycling agreement with a high-performance luxury electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer in the European Union. While the name of the manufacturer and specific details regarding the agreement remain undisclosed, this collaboration is set to play a crucial role in the circular economy of the electric vehicle industry.

Enhancing Battery Recycling Operations in Germany

The agreement ensures a steady supply of feedstock from the EV production facility located in the European Union to Li-Cycle’s spoke facility in Magdeburg, Germany. Li-Cycle operates a spoke-and-hub network, where used batteries are first shredded into black mass at the spokes. This black mass is then processed at the hubs to extract valuable materials such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel, which are essential for the production of new batteries.

Li-Cycle's expansion into Germany is a significant step in its mission to build a sustainable solution for lithium-ion battery recycling. The company’s innovative process helps recover critical raw materials, ensuring the responsible disposal and reuse of EV batteries in Europe.

A Strong Financial Backing for Growth

In November 2022, Li-Cycle secured a loan of up to $475 million from the US Department of Energy, which was later upsized by $100 million. This funding boosts the company’s ability to expand its operations and facilities globally, including its new venture in Germany. With the growing demand for EVs and the rise in battery recycling needs, Li-Cycle is well-positioned to serve as a key player in the transition to a greener future.

Conclusion: A Key Step in EV Battery Sustainability

Li-Cycle’s exclusive agreement with an EU-based luxury EV manufacturer signals a promising future for battery recycling. The partnership not only contributes to the global push for sustainability but also strengthens Li-Cycle's role in the critical metals supply chain. As the electric vehicle industry continues to grow, so does the demand for sustainable solutions to manage battery waste and recover valuable materials.