UK BEV Sales Surge in September, But Industry Pushes for More Government Incentives

UK BEV

The UK automotive industry reached a significant milestone last month with record-breaking sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs), which climbed to 56,387 units, marking a new high for September. Despite this promising uptick, car manufacturers are urging the government to extend consumer incentives to support the continued growth of electric vehicle sales, according to the latest report from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

While fleet sales of BEVs saw a modest increase of 3.7% last month and a more significant 16.3% rise year-to-date, private sales painted a different picture. Private BEV sales dipped by 1.8% in September, contributing to a 9.4% drop year-to-date. Overall, UK car sales edged up 1% last month, with total sales for the year reflecting a 4.3% increase.

SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes commented on the record BEV sales but warned that "the market is not growing quickly enough to meet mandated targets." Although BEVs claimed 20.5% of market share in September, the year-to-date share remains at 17.8%, falling short of the UK government's mandated target of 22% for 2024. Some market analysts speculate that BEV sales will likely accelerate toward the end of the year as automakers seek to avoid penalties for failing to meet these targets.

Carmakers Urge Government Support

Car manufacturers have made substantial investments in reducing the cost of BEVs, but many believe that further government support is necessary to help bridge the gap. On October 4, the SMMT, in collaboration with 12 major carmakers including Volkswagen, BMW, and Ford, sent an open letter to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, urging the government to consider new measures to incentivize BEV purchases and improve charging infrastructure.

The letter proposed several initiatives, such as temporarily halving value-added tax (VAT) on new EV purchases, scrapping the value excise duty supplement for BEVs, and lowering the public charging VAT rate to 5%—the same rate applied to private households. The SMMT also called for the extension of business incentives, including the Benefit in Kind (BiK) rate for electric vehicles, which is set to gradually rise from its current 2% to 5% by 2027-28. In comparison, diesel and petrol vehicles hold BiK rates of 25% or higher.

Additionally, the UK's plug-in van grant offers a 35% discount—up to £5,000 off the price of new electric vans weighing up to 3.5 tons, and up to £2,500 for vans under 2.5 tons. However, these grants have been reduced since 2021, when savings were as high as £6,000 and £3,000 respectively. The government has confirmed that the current grants will remain in place until the end of the 2024-25 financial year, but automakers argue that further incentives are needed to ensure sustained momentum in the transition to electric vehicles.

UK BEV Sales Increase 41% in January, Still Fall Short of Government Mandate

UK BEV

EV Market Struggles to Meet Zero-Emissions Vehicle Mandate as New Tax Threatens Growth

Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) sales in the UK saw a significant increase of 41% in January 2025, reaching 29,634 units. Despite this growth, the sales still failed to meet the government's mandated market share of 28%, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

In terms of market share, BEVs accounted for 21.3% of UK vehicle sales in January 2025, up from 14.7% in January 2024, based on figures from clean energy group New Automotive. While this shows a positive trend, the 21.3% market share is still below last year’s target of 22% and this year's ambitious 28% goal set by the UK government as part of the zero-emissions vehicles mandate, effective since 2024. This mandate is part of the UK’s broader efforts to reduce vehicle emissions and combat climate change.

Government Incentives Fall Short Amid New Tax Challenges

Despite a £4.5bn ($5.6bn) investment by UK automakers in new electric vehicle models and consumer discounts in 2024, demand for BEVs is still tepid. Consumers continue to seek more government incentives to switch to electric vehicles, the SMMT reports.

The situation has become more challenging with the introduction of the UK vehicle excise duty (VED) for BEVs from 1 April 2025. EVs priced above £40,000 will now incur a £3,100 tax over the first six years of ownership, a sharp contrast to the previous zero-tax policy. Despite a reduction in EV prices since the £40,000 threshold was set eight years ago, many electric vehicles still fall into the luxury category and remain priced above this limit.

The SMMT has voiced concerns that this new tax will dissuade potential EV buyers, calling for a revision or cancellation of the duty. “Rather than penalizing EV buyers, we should be taking every step to encourage more drivers to make the switch, helping meet government, industry, and societal climate change goals,” said a spokesperson from SMMT.

The EV Premium Continues to Shrink

One encouraging sign for the industry is that the price premium of electric vehicles over traditional internal combustion engine models has decreased significantly. As of December 2024, the EV premium dropped to 25%, compared to 73% in January 2020, according to Auto Trader, an online car dealership.

The UK’s EV market remains heavily dependent on fleet sales, which made up 62.4% of total vehicle sales in January 2025, a 3.7% decrease from the previous year. Fleet sales include corporate and salary sacrifice scheme vehicles, which are significant drivers of BEV demand in the UK. In contrast, private car sales saw a minor decline of 0.5%, with BEVs representing about 22% of corporate vehicle sales in 2023, compared to just 9% of private sales.

Battery Metals Demand Faces Slower Path as Hybrid Vehicle Growth Extends

Battery Metals

Battery metals demand could face a slower growth path as carmakers and suppliers expect hybrids and range extenders to remain important for longer than earlier electric-only transition models assumed. Speakers at the FT Future of the Car summit said vehicle decarbonisation should be measured by emissions reduction, not only battery electric vehicle share.

Battery metals demand remains structurally supported by electrification. However, a longer hybrid phase could reduce near-term demand intensity for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese because hybrid vehicles use smaller battery packs than full battery electric vehicles.

Battery metals demand assumptions are therefore becoming more complex. Automotive electrification is still progressing, but the industry is moving toward a mixed powertrain future rather than a simple shift from combustion engines to full BEVs.

Horse Powertrain chief executive Matias Giannini said half of passenger vehicles could still be produced with some form of combustion or hybrid powertrain by 2040. That outlook would keep investment flowing into efficient hybrid systems alongside EV platforms.

Hybrid Growth Changes the Battery Raw Materials Curve

Hybrid vehicle growth could temper the pace of battery raw material demand without reversing electrification. Hybrids and range extenders still require electric motors, inverters, wiring and batteries, but their battery packs are much smaller than those used in BEVs.

This matters most for nickel. High-nickel NCM and NCA batteries are closely tied to longer-range BEVs, where larger packs are needed to deliver performance and driving range.

A slower BEV ramp-up could delay some of the nickel sulphate demand growth that has supported investment cases for new battery-grade nickel projects. It could also affect cobalt and manganese demand in cathode chemistries exposed to full EV penetration rates.

Lithium remains supported across almost every electrification pathway. Still, a longer hybrid transition could slow the rate at which large-format BEV batteries absorb lithium units.

The shift does not mean automotive metals demand will weaken across the board. Hybrids use more copper than conventional combustion vehicles because they require electric motors, power electronics and more complex wiring systems.

Continued hybrid and combustion production also supports aluminium castings, stainless steel, exhaust components and engine-related materials. Meanwhile, BEV growth still supports aluminium lightweighting, copper wiring, charging infrastructure and battery materials.

The result is a less linear automotive metals outlook. Battery metals may grow more slowly than aggressive BEV scenarios suggest, while broader automotive metals consumption remains supported by platform complexity and mixed powertrain production.

Policy Flexibility Could Reshape European Metal Demand

European suppliers are pushing for more flexibility in the EU regulatory framework. Current policy remains heavily weighted toward full electrification through tailpipe emissions targets.

The EU targets a 100% reduction in tailpipe emissions from new cars and vans from 2035. That effectively ends new combustion engine sales unless future exemptions are created.

Industry participants increasingly want a more technology-neutral route. They argue that hybrids, range extenders, renewable fuels and lower-carbon manufacturing should contribute to emissions reduction alongside BEVs.

This policy debate matters for metals. Battery material demand depends heavily on BEV penetration, average pack size and chemistry choice.

If Europe allows a longer role for hybrids and range extenders, lithium-ion battery capacity demand per vehicle could grow more slowly. That would affect demand forecasts for lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese.

Chinese EV and hybrid technology is also improving quickly. This puts pressure on European and US automakers to share development costs across BEV, hybrid and range-extender platforms.

For suppliers, the strategic issue is flexibility. Companies tied only to high-growth BEV battery assumptions may face demand timing risk, while suppliers serving copper, aluminium, stainless steel, electronics and hybrid systems may benefit from a broader platform mix.

The automotive transition is still real, but the material demand path is becoming more diversified. Metals markets must now track powertrain mix, not only EV sales headlines.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hybrid growth does not weaken the energy transition, but it changes the metals timing. Battery metals demand will still rise, yet copper, aluminium and hybrid-related materials may capture more value if automakers choose a longer mixed-powertrain route.

China and EU Continue Talks on EV Price Commitment Plan: A Step Toward Sustainable Electric Vehicle Pricing

China and EU EV

In the rapidly evolving world of electric vehicles (EVs), the ongoing negotiations between China and the European Union (EU) regarding a price commitment mechanism have garnered significant attention. This critical dialogue is aimed at creating a framework for stable pricing structures for battery electric vehicles (BEVs), which could play a pivotal role in the global transition to sustainable mobility.

The discussions, which have been ongoing for several months, focus on ensuring that BEV prices remain competitive while simultaneously promoting the widespread adoption of electric vehicles across the EU and China. This price commitment mechanism could include agreed-upon price floors, subsidies, and tariff adjustments that ensure both consumers and manufacturers benefit from a stable, predictable market environment. The outcome of these talks has the potential to reshape global EV strategies and boost the competitiveness of BEVs in a critical phase of the clean energy transition.

Key Areas of Focus in the Talks

One of the central themes in the China-EU discussions is the alignment of manufacturing costs, which will play a role in determining the final retail prices of BEVs. As China remains a global leader in EV production, the partnership with the EU could foster deeper collaboration in research and development (R&D), as well as in the supply chains for critical raw materials like lithium and cobalt. With battery costs continuing to be a major component of EV pricing, both sides are working to reduce production expenses while ensuring the overall quality of the vehicles remains high.

Furthermore, the EU is focused on ensuring that these commitments align with its broader environmental goals. The EU has set ambitious targets for carbon reduction and aims to accelerate the shift to electric mobility as part of its Green Deal. The price commitment mechanism would allow both parties to meet these goals without sacrificing economic competitiveness or consumer access to affordable electric vehicles.

As negotiations progress, the automotive industry is watching closely, as these agreements could determine the trajectory of EV pricing in key global markets.

BEV Sales Decline in Europe Amid Infrastructure Challenges

battery electric vehicles (BEVs)

Sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in Europe continued to slide in August, marking a 36% year-on-year decrease to 125,833 units, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (Acea). BEVs accounted for 14.4% of the EU car market, a steep drop from the 21% share held a year earlier. This represents the fourth consecutive month of shrinking market share, following consistent growth in 2022.

Acea attributed the decline to Europe’s lack of "crucial conditions" necessary for growing its BEV market. Insufficient charging infrastructure, a less competitive manufacturing landscape, uncertain raw material supply chains, and weak consumer purchase incentives were all cited as barriers. "As a result, the zero-emission transition is highly challenging," the association stated, expressing concerns about the ability to meet the 2025 CO2 reduction targets for cars and vans. Acea signaled its readiness to discuss short-term measures to safeguard the future of Europe's industrial and automotive sectors.

Policy Divides on BEV Transition

The EU’s goal of phasing out new fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035 has sparked debate. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has called the plan "self-destructive," while major car-producing nations like Germany and the Czech Republic have called for looser regulations. Earlier this month, Germany's coalition government endorsed a tax relief proposal aimed at boosting EV adoption, after discontinuing a subsidy program in 2022.

Despite the broader downturn in BEV sales, Swedish carmaker Volvo stood out with a 28.6% increase in overall car sales in August, selling 16,113 units. The company’s EX30 BEV model ranked as the third best-selling BEV in Europe for the first half of 2023. However, Volvo’s ties to Chinese carmaker Geely have prompted renewed scrutiny of the growing presence of Chinese EV makers in the European market.

In total, the European car market experienced a 16.5% contraction in August, driven by supply chain challenges and a weakened economic outlook. Major markets, including Germany, France, and Italy, saw significant double-digit declines, while the UK posted a modest 1.3% decrease in sales.

China and EU Resume Electric Vehicle Talks Amid Growing US Tariff Pressures

US tariff, China

Negotiations on Price Commitments Could Ease Trade Friction in the EV Market

China and the European Union (EU) have decided to resume negotiations regarding a price commitment mechanism for battery electric vehicles (BEVs). This decision follows the EU's implementation of countervailing duties on Chinese BEV imports in 2024. The goal of these talks is to replace the tariffs imposed on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), addressing ongoing trade tensions between China and the EU.

EU's Countervailing Duties and the Push for a Price Commitment Mechanism

In October 2024, the European Commission finalized its ruling on countervailing duties on BEVs imported from China, which came into effect at the end of October. These duties ranged from 17% to 35.3%, impacting major Chinese automakers like BYD, SAIC, and Geely. The aim was to counter what the EU viewed as unfair pricing practices by Chinese EV manufacturers. However, these tariffs have faced opposition from both China and European companies seeking to expand their market share in the fast-growing electric vehicle sector.

Despite early talks on a price commitment mechanism in November 2024, the discussions stalled without significant progress. However, on April 10, 2025, China’s Ministry of Commerce announced that both sides had agreed to resume negotiations on the price commitments and to discuss broader issues of investment cooperation in the automotive industry.

US Tariffs Intensify the Pressure on China and the EU

The resumption of talks between China and the EU comes amidst escalating trade tensions with the United States. As of April 11, 2025, the US imposed a 145% tariff rate on imports from China, adding additional pressure on Chinese manufacturers, particularly in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. US President Donald Trump's tariffs, which were initially implemented in 2024, compounded by those under the Biden administration, have made it nearly impossible for Chinese EVs and lithium-ion batteries to enter the US market.

In an effort to counterbalance the US's growing tariff measures, China has been seeking closer economic ties with the EU. Chinese Premier Li Qiang held discussions with EU President Ursula von der Leyen on April 8, 2025, addressing the need for structural solutions to re-balance bilateral trade relations. The talks have emphasized the urgency of enhancing market access for European businesses in China and forging a collaborative approach to the challenges posed by US tariffs.

Potential Impact on the Electric Vehicle Market

If China and the EU reach an agreement on the price commitment mechanism, it could significantly alter the landscape for Chinese EVs in Europe. Prior to the implementation of the countervailing duties, the EU accounted for about 28% of China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) exports, which includes both BEVs and hybrid plug-in vehicles. However, the tariffs have drastically reduced Chinese EV exports to Europe.

The continuation of trade protectionist measures from both the US and the EU is putting immense pressure on China’s EV and battery markets, particularly as it struggles to enter key international markets. The future of Chinese electric vehicle exports largely hinges on these negotiations, and any breakthrough could bring Chinese-made EVs back into the competitive EU market.

Germany sets four-year BEV support for 2026–29 to revive private EV demand

BEV

Germany sets four-year BEV support for 2026–29 to restart private buying after a volatile incentives cycle. Germany sets four-year BEV support for 2026–29 with income-based eligibility and a fixed budget ceiling. Therefore, the plan targets affordability and stability rather than blanket market stimulation.

Germany sets four-year BEV support for 2026–29 after incentives ended in 2023 and BEV sales fell 27% in 2024. That decline let the UK overtake Germany as Europe’s largest BEV market. Meanwhile, Berlin now aims to smooth demand with a multi-year framework instead of short bursts.

Households under €80,000 taxable income can claim €3,000 for BEVs and €1,500 for plug-ins. The threshold rises to €90,000 with two children, with €500 per child and extra top-ups for lower earners. As a result, the subsidy design pushes support toward families and mid-income buyers.

Income caps and hold rules reshape demand and resale behavior

A 36-month holding period applies across the scheme to reduce quick resale of subsidised cars. Applications open in May, but registrations must occur after 1 January 2026. Therefore, the policy sets a clear start line for OEM planning and dealer pipelines.

The €3bn budget could support about 800,000 vehicles, which may sit below potential demand if sales rebound. If uptake accelerates, support per vehicle could effectively tighten through allocation pressure. However, the scheme may still lift baseline demand by lowering upfront cost and improving buyer confidence.

Plug-in limits and budget pressure could shift the mix

Plug-ins qualify only until mid-2027 and only with an 80km electric range or emissions under 60g CO2/km. Berlin may also tighten plug-in funding later using real-world CO2 performance data. Meanwhile, that approach addresses the risk that incentives pull buyers toward plug-ins rather than full BEVs.

The timeline also aligns with Germany’s extension of the EV vehicle-tax break to 2035, which supported a late-year sales rebound. December registrations reached 54,774, up 63% year on year. As a result, the new subsidy could amplify momentum if supply and pricing cooperate.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This policy looks like a demand-stabiliser with guardrails, not an aggressive volume push. However, the income caps will steer buyers toward lower-priced models. That dynamic could widen the lane for cost-competitive entrants, including Chinese brands.

BYD Achieves Record-High EV Production and Sales in 2024, Cementing Market Dominance

BYD

China’s leading new energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer, BYD, has set a new industry benchmark by exceeding 4 million units in EV production and sales in 2024. With a 41% year-on-year growth, BYD continues to dominate the global NEV market, reinforcing its commitment to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs).

BYD’s Historic NEV Production and Sales Growth

BYD’s total NEV production for 2024 reached 4.304 million units, marking a 41% increase from 2023. Notably, the company completely ceased production of gasoline-powered vehicles in March 2022, focusing entirely on electric mobility.

• December 2024 Production: 466,441 units, a 41% increase from the previous year.

• BEVs: 189,759 units (+7.6% YoY)
• PHEVs: 270,960 units (more than double YoY)

• Total 2024 Sales: 4.272 million units, accounting for 100% of BYD’s vehicle sales.

• December Sales: 514,809 units (+41% YoY)
• BEV Sales: 207,734 units (+8.9% YoY)
• PHEV Sales: 301,706 units (more than double YoY)

These figures place BYD at the forefront of China’s rapidly expanding NEV industry, which produced 11.345 million units between January and November 2024—a 35% increase compared to the previous year. Industry experts forecast that China’s total NEV sales will surpass 13 million units in 2024, further solidifying the country’s leadership in EV adoption.

BYD’s Power Battery Expansion and Market Position

In addition to its dominance in the EV sector, BYD is also a major player in power and energy storage batteries. The company installed 23.495GWh of power batteries in December and 194.705GWh throughout 2024—a 29% year-on-year increase.

BYD ranks second among China’s top power battery manufacturers:

1. CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology): 211.7GWh (45% market share)
2. BYD: 117.5GWh (25% market share)
3. CALB: 32.3GWh (7% market share)

These figures indicate BYD’s growing influence in the global lithium battery market, positioning it as a formidable competitor to CATL in the race for next-generation energy storage solutions.

Conclusion

BYD’s record-breaking EV production and sales in 2024 underscore its dominance in China’s NEV and battery industries. With strong growth in both BEV and PHEV sales, the company is well-positioned to expand its global market share. As China’s NEV production surpasses 13 million units in 2024, BYD’s continued investment in power batteries and energy storage will further reinforce its standing as a global EV leader.

Mazda to Establish 10GWh Lithium Battery Pack Plant in Japan

Mazda lithium battery

Mazda Motor has announced plans to construct a new lithium battery module pack plant in Yamaguchi, Japan. The facility will have an annual production capacity of 10GWh and will produce modules and packs for automotive cylindrical lithium-ion battery cells. These cells will be supplied by Panasonic Energy, a Japanese battery manufacturer.

Supporting Mazda's EV Platform

The battery packs produced at the new plant will be installed in Mazda's battery electric vehicles (BEVs) built on a dedicated EV platform and manufactured at Mazda's vehicle plant, also located in Japan. 

This move follows a partnership agreement established between Mazda and Panasonic in September 2024 for the supply of batteries for Mazda's upcoming BEVs, which are set to launch in 2027.  Their joint initiative, aimed at expanding battery production and advancing technology development, has received approval from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI).

China Escalates Countermeasures in Response to EU Electric Vehicle Tariffs

China has intensified its response to the European Union's new countervailing duties on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) originating from China, highlighting growing trade tensions between two major economic blocs.

Beijing is now weighing an increase in tariffs on large-displacement fuel vehicles imported from Europe, a significant move given the EU’s status as a leading exporter of high-displacement cars to China. According to China’s Ministry of Commerce, approximately 88,000 such vehicles with engine displacements over 2.5 liters were imported from Europe in the first seven months of this year alone.

Duties Target Major Chinese EV Producers

This escalation follows the EU's recent decision, enacted on October 4, to approve five-year tariffs on BEV imports from China, impacting the market for Chinese automakers. BYD, China’s largest new energy vehicle producer, will face a tariff rate of 17%, consistent with the EU's initial August proposal. Geely, another major player, saw its duty set at 18.8%, slightly down from an earlier proposed 19.3%. State-owned SAIC will face a significantly higher tariff of 35.3%, slightly reduced from an initial 36.6%. Notably, US-based Tesla, which manufactures in China for export, will contend with a 7.8% duty, down from a previously proposed 9%.

The Ministry of Commerce has indicated that it will continue to negotiate with EU counterparts but asserts it is prepared to take "firm" actions to protect Chinese commercial interests. BYD’s rapid expansion in the European market, selling over 23,000 BEVs between January and August—a doubling of last year’s figures—demonstrates China’s foothold in the region. Tesla, meanwhile, sold roughly 198,000 units in the same period, marking a 16% decrease from the previous year.

Tensions Expand Beyond the EU

China's retaliation isn’t limited to the EU alone. The country has launched a complaint with the World Trade Organization against Turkey over its recent imposition of a 40% tariff on Chinese EVs, a measure Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan introduced to stimulate Turkey's domestic electric vehicle market.

China has additionally undertaken countervailing and anti-dumping investigations into a variety of EU exports, including dairy products and pork. On October 8, Beijing imposed provisional anti-dumping duties on brandy imports from Europe, underscoring China’s readiness to diversify its retaliatory measures across multiple sectors.

BYD's Record-Breaking January: Surge in NEV Output and Sales

BYD NEV

In January 2025, China's BYD, the largest new energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer, reported impressive growth in both output and sales. This continued surge in production solidifies BYD’s dominance in the NEV market, setting a high standard for the industry.

Strong Increase in NEV Output

BYD's NEV production soared by 59% in January 2025, compared to the previous year. The company manufactured a total of 327,864 units, which included 4,053 commercial NEVs and 323,811 passenger vehicles. Notably, BYD's passenger BEVs (battery electric vehicles) saw a 20% increase, with a total of 136,931 units produced. Meanwhile, the production of PHEVs (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles) skyrocketed, more than doubling from the previous year to reach 186,880 units.

In 2024, BYD’s total NEV production reached 4.304 million units, marking a 41% increase compared to 2023. The company has firmly positioned itself as China’s leading EV producer since March 2022, when it transitioned away from gasoline-fueled vehicle production in favor of BEVs and PHEVs.

BYD’s Impressive Sales Performance

BYD also reported a 49% rise in sales for January 2025, with a total of 300,538 NEVs sold. The breakdown of these sales includes 4,092 commercial vehicles and 296,446 passenger vehicles. Among the passenger vehicles, BEV sales increased by 19%, reaching 125,377 units, while PHEV sales surged by 79%, totaling 171,069 units.

Overall, BYD’s 2024 sales reached 4.272 million NEVs, accounting for the entirety of the company’s vehicle sales. The company's future prospects are equally optimistic, with forecasts predicting sales could hit between 5 million and 6 million units in 2025.

Expanding Global Footprint

In addition to its stellar domestic performance, BYD is aggressively expanding its global footprint. The company has been establishing production facilities in multiple countries, including Hungary, Thailand, Brazil, Uzbekistan, Cambodia, Morocco, India, Turkey, and Vietnam. These international sites are expected to contribute a combined capacity of 1 million EVs per year.

BYD’s commitment to the NEV market is further solidified by its role as a major player in battery manufacturing. In January 2025 alone, the company installed 15.511 GWh of power and energy storage batteries, marking a 37% year-over-year increase.

Shanghai Extends Free License Plates for EVs Through 2025 to Boost NEV Adoption

Shanghai EV, Free License

Policy extension aligns with China’s broader push for greener, smarter vehicle consumption

Shanghai has extended its free license plate policy for new energy vehicles (NEVs) until the end of 2025. The move supports national efforts to replace older internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles with cleaner alternatives and ease urban emissions.

The city continues to exempt NEV buyers from license plate auction fees, which remain mandatory for conventional vehicles. With over 5 million vehicles on its roads, Shanghai aims to encourage faster turnover of aging cars while reducing emissions and congestion in line with national climate goals.

Beijing and other top-tier cities ramp up NEV incentives

China’s central government confirmed in January 2025 that it would continue subsidies for both NEVs and ICE vehicles. These incentives aim to stimulate domestic demand and replace older, less efficient vehicles.

On 24 January, the Ministry of Commerce released a plan encouraging local governments to ease vehicle purchase restrictions through 2027. Major cities including Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen are adjusting quotas to prioritize NEV adoption. Beijing, for example, will raise its NEV purchase quota in 2025.

These changes form part of a broader strategy to optimize vehicle ownership systems in high-density cities where congestion is a persistent challenge.

NEV market continues to grow nationwide

As of the end of 2024, China had 31.4 million NEVs, comprising battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrids, and fuel cell vehicles. BEVs account for 22.09 million of that total, according to government data.

This figure represents 8.9% of China’s entire automobile population and reflects the country’s accelerating transition toward low-emission transport. Continued policy support from cities like Shanghai will likely further boost NEV sales and domestic battery demand in 2025.

Albemarle Announces Cost Cuts Amid Low Lithium Prices

US-based lithium producer Albemarle Corporation has announced the launch of cost-saving measures as well as halting some operations at one of its processing sites in Australia, as low prices for lithium persist. The company has decided to take action to preserve Albemarle's resources as well as to try to optimize its global network of mines and processing facilities, improve competitiveness, and reduce capital intensity, it said in its second-quarter results today.

It will initially adjust operations at its Kemerton lithium hydroxide processing plant in Australia, stopping activities at train 3 while idling production at train 2 but continuing production at train 1. The company expects to give more details on this operational review in its results for the third quarter.

"These actions showcase our deeper focus on cost and operating discipline," said Albemarle chief executive Kent Masters. "There is no question the global energy transition is underway. However, the pace of industry changes is dynamic."

The company said it expects lithium prices to average around $15/kg LCE for the whole of 2024, despite prices being much lower at present.

The company said EV demand growth in the US and Europe had moderated "substantially," and changes to the product mix of its downstream customers also weighed on demand for lithium. Masters said larger-than-consumer uptake of plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) over pure battery EVs (BEVs) had a negative impact on lithium demand, due to the smaller batteries. Oversupply in China also contributed to falling prices.

"At current Chinese spot pricing, we believe and are hearing from the market that many non-integrated producers are unprofitable," said Kent. "Current pricing is well below the incentive pricing required for Western greenfield lithium projects."

He added geopolitical developments and the decision by the US Department of Energy to consider mines owned in part by China as foreign entities of concern will impact its Australian business. Albemarle co-owns the world's largest lithium mine, Greenbushes, with Tianqi lithium, a Chinese producer.

"We continue to anticipate 2.5 times lithium demand growth from 2024 to 2030. Additionally, we see battery size growing over time, driven by technology developments and EV adoption," said Kent.

Tesla Retains Top Spot as Largest BEV Maker in 3Q, GM Gains Ground

Tesla CYBERTRUCK

Tesla continues to lead the global battery electric vehicle (BEV) market, edging out China's BYD in the third quarter of 2024. Despite a slight dip in year-to-date sales compared to last year, the US carmaker remains the world's largest BEV producer. Meanwhile, General Motors (GM) has surpassed Ford to become the second-largest BEV brand in the US, marking a significant shift in the competitive landscape.

Tesla and BYD Dominate, But GM Grows Stronger in the US

In the third quarter, Tesla reported global sales of 462,890 units, bringing its year-to-date total to 1.29 million BEVs. This is a small decline from the 1.32 million units sold during the same period last year, reflecting a slower sales pace in the first half of 2024. BYD, Tesla’s closest competitor, has recorded approximately 1.17 million BEV sales so far this year. The Chinese automaker's overall new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, including plug-in hybrids, reached 2.7 million units, demonstrating its robust market presence.

In the US market, GM has made notable gains, capitalizing on Tesla's declining market share. Tesla's US market share slipped to 49.7% in the second quarter, a significant drop from its 74.8% share in early 2022. GM's BEV sales rose by 60% year-over-year and 46% quarter-over-quarter, with 32,195 units sold in the third quarter. This growth came despite a 2.2% dip in GM’s overall car sales during the same period. The company's focus on affordable models, including the newly launched Equinox EV, has proven effective. Starting at around $35,000 and eligible for tax credits that bring the price down to as low as $27,495, the Equinox EV is currently the most affordable electric vehicle in the US.

For comparison, Tesla's most affordable Model Y starts at approximately $37,500 after tax credits, though used models can be found for as low as $25,000. The affordability of these models, aided by the US Inflation Reduction Act, which provides a $7,500 tax credit for selected US-made EVs, has been a critical factor in boosting sales. As of October 1, the tax credit has saved US buyers over $2 billion this year.

Ford, now the third-largest BEV brand in the US, sold 23,509 units in the third quarter. Although this represents a 12% year-over-year increase, sales were down 2% from the previous quarter. The automaker is shifting its strategy, planning to introduce a new electric pickup in 2027 while scaling back plans for larger electric SUVs to focus on smaller, more affordable models, a move aimed at staying competitive with GM’s expanding BEV lineup.

China Considers Increased Tariffs on Large Engine Vehicle Imports

Policy Aimed at Supporting Green Transition Amid Rising Trade Tensions

The Chinese government is contemplating a proposal to raise import tariffs on large displacement fuel vehicles. Commerce Ministry spokesperson He Yadong stated that such a move aligns with World Trade Organization rules and supports the green transformation of the automotive sector. The proposal was discussed in a meeting with industry experts and scholars on August 23.

This potential tariff hike comes in response to the European Union's proposed countervailing duties on imports of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) from China, announced on August 20. The EU's proposed duties include 17% for BYD, 19.3% for Geely, 36.3% for SAIC, and varying rates for other companies, including a 9% duty on US-based Tesla. The specific tariffs and implementation dates for China's potential increase remain undisclosed.

China's automobile imports fell by 2% year-over-year to 400,000 units from January to July, reflecting a rise in domestic vehicle market share and the country’s rapid vehicle electrification. European exports of large fuel vehicles to China dropped by 20% to 88,000 units during the same period. Additionally, trade tensions have escalated, with Canada announcing a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs effective October 15.

China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) exports grew by 26% to 1.14 million units from January to July, including a significant increase in exports to Canada.

China Challenges EU's EV Tariffs at WTO

In a significant escalation of trade tensions, China has filed a formal complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) over the European Union's (EU) imposition of provisional anti-subsidy duties on imports of Chinese battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Beijing argues that the EU's actions lack a solid factual and legal foundation and violate WTO rules, potentially undermining global efforts to combat climate change.

A spokesperson for China's Ministry of Commerce expressed strong dissatisfaction with the EU's decision, urging immediate rectification. "The EU's preliminary ruling is baseless and disrupts the stability of China-EU economic and trade relations, as well as the supply chain of electric vehicles," the spokesperson said.

The European Commission had imposed these additional duties on July 5th, targeting three major Chinese EV manufacturers. BYD, Geely, and SAIC faced new tariffs of 17.4%, 19.9%, and 37.6%, respectively. The duty on SAIC, China’s largest automaker, was slightly reduced from an initial 38.1%. The final determination on these duties, which could last for five years, will be made by EU member states.

SAIC, a key player in the EV market, with significant exports to the UK, France, Germany, and Spain, has formally requested a hearing on these temporary countervailing duties. The Chinese government also called for expedited consultations with the EU to reach a mutually agreeable solution.

China, which accounted for 59% of global BEV sales in the first half of the year, sees this move as detrimental not only to its economic interests but also to the broader goal of global climate cooperation. Meanwhile, Europe’s EV market growth has slowed significantly, largely due to the reduction of fiscal subsidies, slow progress in building charging infrastructure, and broader economic challenges.

Mazda Eyes Thailand as Key Hub for Electric SUV Production

Mazda SUV

Japanese automaker Mazda is setting its sights on Thailand to become the main production base for its electric and electrified compact SUVs. This move is part of Mazda’s broader strategy to expand its electric vehicle (EV) footprint and to meet the rising demand for environmentally friendly vehicles across the ASEAN region. The investment aligns with Thailand’s ambitions to be a central player in the electric vehicle manufacturing sector.

Strategic Investment in Thailand’s EV Industry

Mazda announced an additional investment of 5 billion baht ($148 million) in Thailand. According to Thailand’s Board of Investment (BOI), this significant financial commitment will enable Mazda to produce up to 100,000 electrified compact SUVs per year. The investment will not only support domestic demand but also fuel exports to Japan and other ASEAN nations, enhancing Mazda’s regional presence.

The investment will focus on two of Mazda’s key manufacturing facilities in Thailand: the Mazda Powertrain Manufacturing Thailand and the AutoAlliance plant. The latter is a joint venture between Mazda and U.S. automaker Ford. The company plans to enhance its vehicle production lines, including the development of engine and electric vehicle battery production, to support the company’s future electrified product offerings.

Mazda’s Strategic Shift Toward Electrification

This investment marks the beginning of Mazda’s gradual shift towards electric vehicle production. According to Masahiro Moro, Mazda’s President and CEO, this is just the start of their transition to xEV (electric vehicle) production. In 2024, like many of its Japanese counterparts, Mazda faced operational challenges, including the suspension of production due to scandals involving tampered safety test results. Despite this, Mazda is taking proactive steps to strengthen its position in the rapidly growing EV market.

The Thai market itself saw a decline in car production in 2024, with a 20% year-on-year drop, according to the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI). However, the Thai government’s support for the electric vehicle industry, including the extension of the BEV production requirements, is expected to provide a significant boost. As of the end of 2024, Thailand had produced nearly 10,000 battery electric vehicles (BEVs), signaling the country’s readiness to be a significant player in the EV landscape.

Conclusion: A Green Future for Mazda and Thailand’s Automotive Sector

Mazda’s focus on Thailand as an EV production hub reflects both the company’s commitment to sustainability and Thailand’s strategic importance in the global automotive industry. As Mazda advances its electrified product line, it aims to capitalize on Thailand’s growing automotive ecosystem and favorable policies supporting EV production. The company’s long-term goals will likely help strengthen both Thailand’s automotive sector and Mazda’s position in the global EV market.

EU States Approve Tariffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles Amidst Ongoing Negotiations

The European Union has taken a significant step towards imposing tariffs on Chinese battery electric vehicle (BEV) imports, a decision that will have far-reaching implications for the global auto industry. On October 30, EU member states approved tariffs on Chinese BEV imports for the next five years. This move follows the European Commission's slight adjustments to the duty rates after receiving input from various stakeholders.

Tariffs Take Effect October 31

If no agreements are reached between the European Commission and individual companies, these definitive duties will be implemented starting on October 31. The proposed tariffs, which have been met with mixed reactions, required support from a qualified majority of 15 EU countries representing 65% of the population to pass. Despite opposition from Germany, which has raised concerns about the potential impact on the auto industry, the proposal was ultimately approved.

German MEP Michael Bloss criticized his country’s stance, stating, "This capitulation to China is not only weak; it harms Europe." Bloss, a spokesperson for the Greens on climate and industry policy, argues that stronger measures are necessary to protect European industry from unfair competition.

The European Commission continues to emphasize that any agreement reached with China must comply with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules and be effective in addressing harmful subsidies. Negotiations between the EU and Chinese officials are ongoing, with China's commerce ministry confirming that discussions will resume on October 7.

The new countervailing duties, which add to the existing 10% import duty on BEVs, include a 17% tariff on BYD, a slight decrease from the earlier proposed rate. Geely’s rate was lowered to 18.8%, while Tesla, exporting from China, will face a 7.8% duty. Other companies that cooperated with the EU inquiry face a 20.7% tariff, and non-cooperating firms will be subject to a 35.3% duty.

Ford BESS market entry accelerates after $19.5bn Ford EV write-down

Ford BESS

Ford BESS market entry is now central to Ford Motor’s updated electrification strategy. The automaker launched a battery energy storage systems unit as it prepares a Ford EV write-down totaling $19.5bn. As a result, Ford is repositioning capital toward grid infrastructure and data center demand.

Ford said weak demand and high costs pushed it to shelve plans for large EVs. However, the company still targets a more electrified fleet mix by 2030. Therefore, Ford BESS market entry signals a pivot toward returns that look steadier than passenger EV margins.

Ford battery energy storage systems business targets data centers and grids

Ford battery energy storage systems business will lean on lithium-iron-phosphate technology. Ford will also use its wholly owned plants in Kentucky and Michigan. Meanwhile, the company aims to serve energy infrastructure upgrades and expanding data center loads.

Ford plans to begin shipping BESS products in 2027. The company expects annual capacity to reach 20GWh. As a result, Ford battery energy storage systems business could become a meaningful industrial demand driver for LFP inputs and power electronics.

EV strategy resets around hybrids and EREVs

Ford widened its EV definition to include hybrids, EREVs, and BEVs. An EREV uses a gasoline engine to recharge the battery, not drive the wheels. Therefore, EREVs can extend range without frequent plug-in charging.

Ford expects electrified vehicles to represent about 50% of global production by 2030. That compares with roughly 17% today. Meanwhile, Ford EV write-down reflects how quickly automakers must reassess platform bets when demand softens.

Ford also ended production of the current-generation F-150 Lightning. The company now plans to adopt EREV architecture for the next generation. As a result, Ford aligns product planning with consumer range expectations and cost discipline.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This shift ties automotive manufacturing closer to stationary power markets. However, BESS success will depend on execution, sourcing, and project-cycle discipline. Therefore, Ford’s move could reshape LFP supply competition with established storage players.

BYD's February EV Production and Sales Soar on Strong Domestic and Overseas Demand

BYD, EV

BEVs and PHEVs Drive China's Top NEV Manufacturer to New Heights

China’s top new energy vehicle (NEV) producer, BYD, recorded major growth in EV output and sales in February 2024. The rise was fueled by expanding consumer demand and BYD’s broad product lineup across low- and high-end NEV segments.

BYD’s February NEV production totaled 327,864 units, up 1.9% from January and threefold year-on-year. This includes 4,913 commercial NEVs and 329,211 passenger NEVs.

Among passenger NEVs, battery electric vehicle (BEV) output surged 194% to 126,419 units, while plug-in hybrid (PHEV) output more than tripled to 202,792 units.

In total, BYD’s NEV production in 2024 so far has risen 41% to 4.304 million units compared with last year.

NEV Sales More Than Double; Overseas Expansion Accelerates

BYD sold 322,846 NEVs in February, up 7.4% from January and more than double year-on-year. This includes 4,613 commercial and 318,233 passenger vehicles.

Passenger BEV sales jumped 127% to 124,902 units, while PHEV sales soared 189% to 193,331 units. The company’s total 2024 NEV sales reached 4.272 million units, a 41% increase from 2023. Analysts expect BYD will reach 5–6 million units in 2025.

BYD has also expanded its global footprint with EV manufacturing projects in Hungary, Thailand, Brazil, Uzbekistan, Cambodia, Morocco, India, Turkey, and Vietnam.

In February, overseas passenger vehicle sales reached 67,025 units, nearly triple the 23,291 units sold a year earlier.

Battery Output Continues to Surge Alongside NEV Growth

As one of China’s top battery makers, BYD installed 16.695 GWh of power and energy storage batteries in February. This is more than double the figure from a year earlier, reinforcing BYD’s scale in both vehicle and battery manufacturing.

With strong domestic momentum and accelerating overseas expansion, BYD continues to lead China’s NEV market.