High-Purity Iron Plant Targets US Rare Earth Magnet Supply Gap

Hertha Metals

High-purity iron is emerging as a hidden bottleneck in the US rare earth magnet supply chain as new defense sourcing rules approach. Houston-based Hertha Metals plans to build a 10,000 t/yr plant in Texas to produce high-purity iron used in neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnets.

The project targets a less visible vulnerability in magnet manufacturing. US policy has focused heavily on rare earth elements such as neodymium and praseodymium, but NdFeB magnets also require high-purity iron. Hertha Metals says about 90% of this material is currently produced in China.

The timing is strategically important. Updated Defense Federal Acquisition Regulations are set to take effect on 1 January 2027, restricting Chinese-origin rare earth magnets and constituent materials in covered US defense systems. That rule could force defense contractors, magnet makers and upstream material suppliers to rebuild supply chains around non-China sources.

Hertha Metals plans to break ground later this summer. The company says its Texas plant will become the first domestic producer of high-purity iron for this application, positioning the project at the intersection of magnet security, steelmaking technology and US industrial policy.

DFARS Rules Put Magnet Inputs Under Supply Chain Pressure

The 2027 DFARS deadline changes the strategic value of upstream magnet materials. Compliance will not depend only on where final magnets are assembled. It will also depend on the origin of constituent materials used in defense-related systems.

This creates a direct opportunity for domestic high-purity iron. NdFeB magnets require neodymium, praseodymium and often dysprosium or terbium for performance, but iron remains the major base component. If high-purity iron remains China-dependent, US magnet supply chains could still face compliance risk even if rare earth oxides or metals are sourced elsewhere.

Hertha Metals is trying to address that gap with its FLEXHERS process, short for flexible fuel hydrogen electric reduction smelting. The process combines electric arc furnace technology with natural gas or hydrogen to produce iron and steel.

The company says the technology can use lower-grade ores and iron ore fines that are difficult to process economically through conventional blast furnace routes. This could widen the domestic feedstock base and reduce dependence on imported high-purity iron.

Hertha currently operates a one-tonne-per-day demonstration plant in Conroe, Texas. It describes the site as the largest demonstration-scale single-step steelmaking facility in the US. Ore is sourced domestically from Minnesota, and the pilot facility is already producing material that meets customer specifications.

The planned high-purity iron facility will also produce trial steel products. Hertha sees the project as a stepping stone toward broader iron and steelmaking capacity, with a target of reaching roughly 500,000 t/yr of production within four to five years.

Cost competitiveness will be critical. Hertha says it does not plan to rely on a domestic supply premium. Instead, it aims to compete economically by replacing metallurgical coal with natural gas and electricity while using lower-cost ore feedstocks.

This claim matters because strategic materials projects often struggle when policy support is stronger than market economics. If Hertha can produce competitively without relying on premium pricing, the company could build a more durable position in both defense and commercial supply chains.

Hertha Metals CEO Laureen Meroueh

Domestic Iron Production Links Magnets, Electrical Steel and Clean Manufacturing

High-purity iron has strategic importance beyond NdFeB magnets. The material can also support electrical steel used in transformers, electric vehicle motors and other electromagnetic applications. These sectors are becoming more important as grid investment, electrification and domestic manufacturing policy expand.

The project also fits a wider shift in iron and steel markets. Traditional blast furnace production depends heavily on metallurgical coal and higher-emission processing routes. Meanwhile, demand for higher-grade iron inputs suitable for lower-carbon steelmaking is expected to rise as producers shift toward cleaner technologies.

Hertha’s process aims to sit inside that transition. By using electricity, natural gas or hydrogen, the company is positioning FLEXHERS as a lower-carbon alternative to legacy ironmaking. The ability to process lower-grade ore and fines could also help revive domestic iron production without requiring only premium feedstocks.

The US steel industry has increasingly focused on scrap-fed electric arc furnaces. That model supports recycling and lower emissions, but it does not fully solve domestic iron supply for high-purity applications. Magnets, electrical steel and advanced components often need controlled chemistry that scrap alone cannot easily provide.

This is where Hertha’s strategy becomes industrially relevant. The company is not only proposing another steel plant. It is targeting a specific materials gap between critical minerals policy, rare earth magnet manufacturing and advanced steelmaking.

Competition from subsidized overseas producers remains a risk. Hertha says it can compete on cost, but Chinese industrial support and below-cost exports could still challenge domestic producers. This is why policy, procurement rules and long-term customer commitments may become important even if the production technology works.

The company has not disclosed financing details, future fundraising plans or offtake agreements. That leaves open questions about capital structure, customer readiness and the pace of commercial scale-up. However, the 2027 DFARS deadline gives the project a clear market catalyst.

The broader implication is that rare earth magnet supply security cannot be solved by rare earth mining alone. The full chain includes ore, separation, metal conversion, alloying, magnet manufacturing and supporting inputs such as high-purity iron. Any weak link can create dependence.

Hertha Metals is betting that the next phase of US critical materials policy will recognise that reality. If the company can scale production, secure customers and maintain cost discipline, high-purity iron could become a small but essential piece of the domestic magnet supply chain.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hertha Metals highlights a critical point often missed in rare earth policy: magnet security depends on more than rare earths. High-purity iron, electrical steel and alloy inputs will become strategic materials if US defense and electrification supply chains must move away from China.

Canada adds iron ore to the list of critical raw materials

Iron raw materials

High-quality iron ore is required for the production of environmentally friendly steel and is an integral part of the decarbonization process 

Natural Resources Canada has added high-quality iron ore to the list of critical minerals. This was reported by Mining.com with reference to the Ministry’s data.

The list of critical minerals, which has already reached 34 types of raw materials, also includes phosphorus and silicon.

"These raw materials are integral to a wide range of products that are critical to the energy transition, often in short supply, and critical to Canada’s future economic prosperity," the government said in a statement.

Silicon is used to make chips and semiconductors used in most electronic devices. High-quality iron ore is needed to make environmentally friendly steel and is an integral part of the decarbonization process. Phosphorus is in demand for fertilizers and batteries.

The list of critical minerals was first released in March 2021 as part of Canada’s emissions reduction plan, which aims to reduce Co2 emissions by 40-45% below 2005 levels by 2030 and achieve zero emissions by 2050.

Champion Iron, which owns and operates the Bloom Lake mining complex in Quebec, welcomed the addition of iron ore to the List of Critical Minerals. The company’s mine, on the southern edge of the Labrador Trough, has one of the world’s highest iron ore reserves and can produce iron ore concentrate with an iron content of 67.5%. Champion Iron is working on several modernization projects to increase the iron content of iron ore concentrate to 69%.

As Metalnomist reported earlier, global iron ore exports in January-March 2024 increased by 6% compared to the same period in 2023 – to 376 million tons. In the short term, global iron ore exports will remain high as major global companies maintain their production forecasts.

Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment strengthens Asian steel supply chains

Australian Iron Ore

The Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment strengthens long term raw material security for Asian steelmakers. The two Japanese trading houses will acquire a combined 15% stake in the Ministers North iron ore projects from BHP in Western Australia. As a result, they will secure offtake rights from an expected 20mn t/yr operation, pending a final investment decision by June 2026.

This Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment also deepens long standing partnerships with BHP in the Pilbara. Itochu will hold an 8% stake and targets 1.6mn t/yr of iron ore, mainly for Chinese customers. Mitsui will take a 7% stake and aims to offtake about 1.4mn t/yr, supplying Japan and other Asian markets. Therefore, each firm will align offtake volumes with its equity share, reinforcing stable contractual flows rather than spot exposure.

Ministers North steps in as Yandi successor

The Ministers North project will effectively replace the aging Yandi mine jointly operated by BHP, Mitsui and Itochu. Yandi is scheduled for a gradual production decline and eventual closure, although the final shutdown date remains undisclosed. Therefore, Ministers North functions as a crucial continuity asset, preserving existing rail, port and blending synergies in Western Australia.

Project timing remains tied to a final investment decision scheduled by June 2026. Commercial operations could then ramp up to the envisaged 20mn t/yr run rate. However, the consortium must still navigate cost inflation, permitting timelines and infrastructure coordination with other Pilbara projects. If delivered on schedule, Ministers North will smooth the transition from Yandi without a major gap in supply.

Broader Pilbara strategy behind Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment

The Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment also sits within a wider Pilbara growth strategy. Mitsui separately announced a $5.3bn commitment in February to acquire a 40% share in the Rhodes Ridge joint venture. The company aims to start commercial operations there by around 2030, although the final investment decision schedule is still under review.

Together, Ministers North and Rhodes Ridge will anchor Mitsui’s long term iron ore portfolio in Western Australia. Meanwhile, Itochu’s additional stake in Ministers North underpins its iron ore flows to China during a period of changing demand patterns. As a result, the Mitsui and Itochu Australian iron ore investment reinforces Japan’s broader goal of diversified, low risk iron ore sourcing across key Asian markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This deal shows how Japanese trading houses quietly rebuild long term security in iron ore rather than chase short term price cycles. By backing Ministers North as Yandi’s successor and supporting Rhodes Ridge, Mitsui and Itochu lock in future Pilbara options while steel demand in Asia matures. Market participants should watch how offtake contracts and quality specifications evolve, especially for blends tailored to China and Japan’s decarbonising steel sectors.

China’s Carbon Neutrality Push Expected to Reduce Demand for Raw Materials

China recently unveiled a "Special Action Plan for Carbon Reduction" aimed at enhancing carbon neutrality, energy efficiency, and reducing emissions. This initiative is anticipated to shift the steel industry towards electric arc furnace (EAF) production, thereby decreasing the demand for iron ore and coal.

The plan, announced by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), emphasizes upgrading existing equipment and increasing the use of EAFs to significantly reduce the consumption of raw materials and emissions by 2030.

Although the immediate impact of this policy may be limited, market participants foresee a long-term negative effect on the demand for iron ore and coal. In June, the NDRC outlined specific goals to reduce energy consumption and emissions in the steel industry by the end of 2030. These include reducing per-ton energy consumption for blast furnace and converter processes by more than 1% from 2023 levels by 2025, and reducing energy consumption per ton of steel production by over 2% from 2023 levels, along with increasing the use of waste heat and pressure by at least 3%.

To achieve these objectives, the NDRC and related agencies plan to encourage the increased use of EAFs and accelerate upgrades of energy-intensive equipment. Industry insiders predict that while the visible impact may be minimal in 2024, the long-term demand for iron ore and coking coal will decline.

A representative from a steel company in northern China noted that the short-term impact on coking coal demand might be minor, but the long-term demand is likely to decrease. Similarly, a raw material supplier in Shanxi Province pointed out that the demand for iron ore and coking coal will diminish as EAF production replaces some blast furnace output.

In light of these policies, the proportion of EAF production is expected to rise, and the Chinese government and steel industry are likely to push for increased self-sufficiency in iron ore. According to the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), Chinese mining companies plan to increase domestic iron ore concentrate production by 5-10 million tons in 2024 compared to 2023. CISA projects that domestic iron ore concentrate production will reach 370 million tons annually by 2025, aided by new iron ore projects.

Mysteel estimates that by 2025, total iron ore production from Chinese companies' overseas holdings will exceed 70 million tons per year, a more than 60% increase from 2020. As a result, with overall iron ore demand declining, iron ore production expansion projects are expected to continue, gradually reducing dependence on iron ore imports from this year onwards.

Japan’s Iron Ore Imports Drop in March Amid Weak Steel Demand

Iron Ore

March Iron Ore Imports Dip Despite Monthly Rebound

Japan's iron ore imports declined by 1.2pc year-on-year in March, reflecting weak steel demand and lower shipments from Brazil. The country imported 8.1mn tonnes of iron ore, although this marked a 28pc rise from February, according to preliminary finance ministry data.

The average import price was $102.20/t, down 17pc from the same month last year.

In yen terms, the price averaged ¥15,283, also a 17pc year-on-year decline, underscoring a softer raw materials market.

Brazil Shipments Fall Amid Weather and Maintenance Disruptions

Shipments from Brazil—Japan’s second-largest iron ore supplier—were disrupted by heavy rainfall and terminal maintenance. Brazil’s overall iron ore exports fell by 10pc year-on-year in February, reaching 24.5mn tonnes, the lowest level for that month since 2023.

Japan reportedly imported around 2.6mn tonnes from Brazil in March, but country-specific data will be confirmed later in April. The shortfall in Brazilian supply likely contributed to Japan’s reduced overall iron ore intake.

Domestic Steel Output Outlook Remains Sluggish

Japan's steel production is expected to fall by 4.9pc year-on-year in the April–June quarter. The trade and industry ministry (METI) projects steel output at 20.2mn tonnes, reflecting sluggish domestic demand in construction and manufacturing.

Lower steel production directly impacts iron ore requirements, weakening import volumes and softening global iron ore prices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Japan's lower iron ore imports in March reflect a broader industrial slowdown and disrupted raw material flows. As steel production forecasts weaken, pressure mounts on iron ore prices and global supply chain predictability.

Australia Mineral Exploration Spending Rises as Iron Ore and Gold Attract Capital

Iron ore

Australia mineral exploration spending increased strongly in the first quarter, supported by higher investment in iron ore and gold despite weaker spending on copper, nickel, cobalt and coal.

Australia mineral exploration spending rose by 16.3% year on year to A$949.3mn in January-March, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics data. Gold and iron ore remained the two largest categories of exploration expenditure.

Australia mineral exploration spending patterns show a widening divide between commodities. Producers are continuing to invest in iron ore reserve replacement, while weak nickel and cobalt prices are discouraging new exploration.

Iron ore exploration expenditure increased by 4.7% year on year to A$186mn. Gold exploration spending climbed much faster, rising by 53.4% to A$450.9mn.

Iron Ore Investment Stays Strong as Producers Replace Reserves

Iron ore remains one of Australia’s most important mining commodities, and continued exploration spending reflects the need to replace depleting reserves at established operations.

Australia’s Office of the Chief Economist expects domestic iron ore exploration to remain strong as major producers sustain long-term mine life and feed quality.

This is strategically important because Australia remains a major supplier to Asian steelmakers. Maintaining reserve depth is essential for preserving export volumes, mine productivity and Australia’s position in the seaborne iron ore market.

Gold recorded the largest increase in exploration spending. The 53.4% year-on-year rise to A$450.9mn suggests stronger investor appetite for projects offering exposure to high gold prices and more favourable project economics.

Silver, lead and zinc exploration also strengthened, with spending rising by 29.9%. These metals benefit from a combination of precious metal exposure and demand from industrial, infrastructure and energy applications.

Nickel, Cobalt and Coal Lose Exploration Momentum

Nickel and cobalt exploration spending fell by 42.7% year on year, reflecting persistent weakness in global nickel markets and deteriorating economics for Australian producers.

The Office of the Chief Economist expects nickel prices to remain under pressure through 2027 because of continuing global surpluses. Weak pricing has already reduced Australian mine output and discouraged investment in new resources.

Copper exploration spending also declined by 13.1%. This contrasts with copper’s stronger long-term demand outlook and shows that high development costs, permitting risk and competition for capital can still limit exploration despite positive structural demand.

Coal exploration expenditure fell by 22.7% to A$43.2mn. Policy and cost pressures are reinforcing the decline.

New South Wales stopped issuing permits for greenfield thermal coal developments in March 2026, while high royalty rates in Queensland may also be discouraging investment in coking coal exploration.

The result is a more selective Australian exploration market. Capital is flowing toward commodities with stronger pricing, established infrastructure and clearer long-term economics, while weaker or policy-constrained sectors are losing investment.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Australia’s exploration data show that capital is becoming increasingly selective even within strategic minerals. Strong iron ore and gold spending contrasts sharply with nickel and cobalt, where weak economics are overriding long-term critical minerals ambitions.

Australia's Export Revenues from Iron Ore and Metallurgical Coal Projected to Decline in FY2025

Australia's export revenues from iron ore and metallurgical coal are forecasted to decline significantly in FY2025 due to a general decrease in international prices, despite increased port inventories in China and rising demand from emerging markets.

The Australian Department of Industry, Science, and Resources recently released its "Q3 2024 Resources and Energy Report," predicting that export prices for iron ore will fall to $96 per ton in 2024, $84 per ton in 2025, and $77 per ton in 2026.

For the fiscal year 2025 (April 2024 - March 2025), Australia's iron ore export revenues are expected to drop by 17.4% from AUD 138 billion in the previous year to AUD 114 billion. Further decline is anticipated in FY2026 (April 2025 - March 2026) with revenues projected to be AUD 102 billion.

Earlier reports had estimated FY2025 iron ore export revenues to be AUD 107 billion. However, improved economic indicators from China, Australia's largest export market, have led to increased port inventories and improved market sentiment, prompting a revision of the forecasts.

Nonetheless, recent price declines pose challenges. Iron ore prices fell by $7-10 per ton in June compared to the previous month. As of June 28, iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was 819 yuan per ton ($112.7 per ton), while on the Singapore Exchange it was $105.65 per ton.

The price drop is attributed to weakening steel demand in China during the off-season and increased port inventories. The most significant negative factor in the international iron ore market is the excess supply of iron ore not absorbed by China's existing demand.

Contrary to the Australian government's projections, HSBC Holdings, a British multinational commercial bank, anticipates that international iron ore prices will reach $100 per ton in 2024. The bank believes that strong demand from emerging markets will prevent a significant price drop despite China's real estate crisis.

Capital Economics, a British economic research firm, predicts that iron ore prices will fluctuate between $99 and $100 per ton this year. The firm forecasts prices at $100 per ton in Q2 and Q4, and $99 per ton in Q3, with a drop to $85 per ton by the end of next year. The firm attributes the expected decline to prolonged recessions in major economies and weak global steel demand.

For FY2025, metallurgical coal export revenues are projected to fall by 31.1% from AUD 61 billion in the previous year to AUD 42 billion.

While Australia's production of metallurgical coal is expected to increase during this period, the decline in export prices will likely reduce export revenues. Metallurgical coal export prices are anticipated to drop from $264 per ton in 2024 to $228 per ton in 2025, and further to $208 per ton in 2026.

The Australian government and mining industry forecast that reduced demand from China, the largest importer, along with adverse weather conditions such as La Niña, could negatively impact production. However, they do not foresee the price decline triggering a crisis for Australian mining companies.

LKAB Critical Minerals Industrial Park Advances Swedish Rare Earth and Phosphorus Supply

LKAB

LKAB critical minerals industrial park plans have taken a major step forward after the Swedish mining group received a key environmental permit for its planned facility in Lulea. The project will produce phosphorus and rare earths from residual streams generated by iron ore mining.

LKAB critical minerals industrial park development is strategically important because it turns mining waste into usable industrial feedstock. The plant will process apatite concentrate from LKAB’s existing iron ore operations in Gallivare.

LKAB critical minerals industrial park output will include rare earths, phosphorus for fertilizer production and gypsum for the construction industry. That gives the project relevance across clean technology, agriculture and building materials.

The Land and Environmental Court granted the permit to construct the Lulea industrial park, moving LKAB closer to a new value chain based on by-product recovery from iron ore production.

Iron Ore Residues Become Critical Mineral Feedstock

LKAB will build an apatite processing plant at its iron ore mine to produce apatite concentrate. That concentrate will then be transported to Lulea for further processing.

This structure is important because it uses an existing mining base rather than depending only on a new standalone rare earth mine. It could help shorten the route from waste stream to commercial critical mineral product.

Rare earths are essential for permanent magnets, electric motors, wind power, defence systems and advanced industrial technologies. Phosphorus is also strategically important because it supports fertilizer production and food security.

Recovering these materials from residual iron ore streams improves resource efficiency. It also reduces the amount of potentially valuable material left unused in mining waste.

LKAB started construction of a demonstration plant in January. The plant is expected to begin operations later in 2026 and will test the technology needed to extract phosphorus and rare earths from iron ore production streams.

EU Strategic Status Strengthens Project Importance

Several LKAB investments have been named strategic projects under the EU Critical Raw Materials Act. These include the industrial park, a mine in Malmberget and the Per Geijer iron ore deposit in Kiruna.

The Per Geijer project contains a major rare earth deposit, giving LKAB a broader role in Europe’s critical minerals strategy. The company is increasingly positioned at the intersection of iron ore, rare earths, phosphorus and industrial policy.

For Europe, the project matters because rare earth supply remains highly concentrated outside the region. Domestic processing from Swedish mining streams could support supply diversification and reduce exposure to external bottlenecks.

The phosphorus element also strengthens the case for the project. Fertilizer supply has become more strategically important as governments reassess food security, energy costs and import dependence.

The Lulea permit does not eliminate execution risk. LKAB still needs to prove processing performance, scale-up economics and reliable product quality from residual streams.

However, the permit moves the project from concept toward implementation. It also shows how Europe can use existing mining operations to recover critical materials that were previously treated as by-products or waste.

The Metalnomist Commentary

LKAB’s project shows that Europe’s critical minerals opportunity is not only in new mines. Some of the fastest supply gains may come from reprocessing industrial waste streams already sitting inside established mining systems.

Chile Rejects Dominga Iron-Copper Project for Third Time

Andes Iron

Chile's government has once again denied environmental approval for Andes Iron's proposed Dominga iron and copper mine, citing significant environmental concerns. This marks the third time the project has been rejected, underscoring the challenges of balancing economic development with environmental protection in Chile's crucial mining sector.

Repeated Rejection and Environmental Concerns

A ministerial committee, led by the Ministry of the Environment (MoE), unanimously voted against the $2.5 billion project. The decision stems from concerns about the project's potential impact on biodiversity and the adequacy of Andes Iron's contingency and emergency plans for at-risk species. The committee's statement highlighted these environmental risks as the primary reasons for the denial.  This follows previous rejections in 2017 and 2023, with Andes Iron's appeals ultimately leading to a Supreme Court review in 2022, which seemingly did not sway the final decision.

Project Details and Industry Context

The Dominga project, an open-pit mine proposed for the Coquimbo region, aimed to produce 12 million tonnes per year of iron concentrate and 150,000 tonnes per year of copper concentrate as a byproduct over a 27-year lifespan.  Its rejection comes as Chile anticipates a substantial increase in copper production capacity—2.23 million tonnes per year between 2024 and 2033—driven by approximately $83.2 billion in mining investments across 51 projects.  This context emphasizes the tension between Chile's drive for mining development and growing environmental scrutiny.

Andes Iron's Response

Andes Iron has repeatedly asserted that the project complies with environmental regulations and has accused the MoE of bias.  The company's future course of action regarding the Dominga project remains uncertain following this latest setback.

VR8 Vanadium Slag Offtake Deal Links Steelpoortdrift to US Vanadium Supply

Vanadium Resources

VR8 vanadium slag offtake plans have advanced after Australia-listed Vanadium Resources signed a non-binding agreement with US Vanadium Holding. The agreement covers vanadium-bearing slag from VR8’s proposed V-Iron critical minerals smelter in South Africa.

VR8 vanadium slag offtake would give US Vanadium access to all production from the V-Iron plant. The facility is planned to process high-grade vanadium-titanium magnetite ore from VR8’s Steelpoortdrift project.

VR8 vanadium slag offtake is strategically important because Steelpoortdrift sits in South Africa’s Bushveld Complex, one of the world’s most important vanadium-bearing regions outside China and Russia.

The project contains 4.74mn t of vanadium pentoxide, giving VR8 a large resource base for future vanadium supply. The V-Iron plant will also produce pig iron, adding another commercial product stream.

Steelpoortdrift Could Support Ex-China Vanadium Supply

Steelpoortdrift’s location in the Bushveld Complex gives the project strategic weight. The region hosts major vanadium-titanium magnetite resources and remains one of the few large-scale alternatives to China and Russia.

This matters because vanadium is becoming more important for steel, energy storage, industrial alloys and defence-related supply chains. Vanadium improves steel strength and is also used in vanadium redox flow batteries for long-duration energy storage.

The proposed V-Iron plant would process Steelpoortdrift ore into vanadium-bearing slag. That slag can then be used as feedstock for downstream vanadium recovery.

Recent testing by US Vanadium confirmed that high-grade slags from Bushveld Complex ores are suitable for its facility. This technical validation is important because slag quality, chemistry and recoverability will determine commercial value.

The agreement gives VR8 a potential downstream customer before the smelter reaches final investment stage. It also gives US Vanadium a possible future feedstock source tied to a large non-China resource base.

Binding Offtake Depends on Feasibility Study

The current agreement is non-binding. VR8 and US Vanadium plan to negotiate a binding offtake after completion of the V-Iron feasibility study.

That study will be critical. It must confirm capital costs, operating costs, slag quality, pig iron economics, processing route, logistics and project execution risk.

If the companies do not reach a binding agreement, VR8 will grant US Vanadium a right to match any third-party offer for 20% of the plant’s vanadium slag output. This keeps US Vanadium commercially positioned even if negotiations change.

For VR8, the agreement supports project credibility. Early customer interest can strengthen financing discussions and show that downstream processors are willing to evaluate Steelpoortdrift-derived material.

For US Vanadium, the deal fits a wider supply security trend. Western processors are looking for reliable feedstock sources outside dominant supply regions, especially for critical minerals with concentrated production chains.

The broader market implication is clear. Vanadium supply chains are becoming more strategic as long-duration energy storage and high-strength steel demand grow. Projects that can connect resource, smelting and qualified downstream processing will attract stronger attention.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The VR8-US Vanadium agreement shows that vanadium strategy is moving from resource ownership toward integrated feedstock security. Steelpoortdrift’s value will depend on whether the V-Iron plant can turn Bushveld ore into reliable slag supply for downstream processors.

Vale iron ore exports to India set to rise

Vale iron ore production

Vale targets new demand as India opens to imports

Vale iron ore exports to India will increase as the market opens to imports. The miner plans to sell over 10mn t. Vale iron ore exports to India align with its strategy to diversify customers. However, the company did not disclose a timeline or contract structure.

Lower prices, higher output support competitive positioning

Vale iron ore exports to India gain support from falling delivered costs and rising output. Average iron ore prices fell 13pc year on year to $85/t. All-in prices to China slipped 10pc to $61.20/t. Meanwhile, production improved at Brucutu and hit records at Carajás. As a result, Vale expects higher volumes from Vargem Grande and Capanema. Each asset has 15mn t/yr capacity and continues ramp-up.

Trade backdrop and base metals trends shape margins

US tariff relief for Brazilian steel eased market anxiety, Vale said. That backdrop helps downstream demand visibility in Asia. Meanwhile, Vale lifted copper output 18pc to 92,600t on higher processing rates. Guidance implies lower copper all-in prices next quarter. Nickel averaged $12,396/t, down 30pc year on year. Canadian nickel production reached 21,300t, the highest since 2021.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Vale iron ore exports to India reflect shifting trade routes as India’s mills seek quality fines and blends. Capacity adds at Carajás, Vargem Grande, and Capanema underpin reliable supply. Watch delivered spreads and Indian port constraints, which will influence pricing and cadence.

Mitsui Invests $5.3 Billion in Rhodes Ridge JV to Secure Long-Term Iron Ore Supply

Mitsui & Co

Japanese Giant Expands Western Australia Offtake Capacity Toward 80 Million Tons Per Year

Japan’s Mitsui & Co. will invest $5.3 billion to acquire a 40% stake in the Rhodes Ridge Joint Venture (RRJV). The move is part of Mitsui’s strategic plan to expand its iron ore offtake capacity in Western Australia to around 80 million tons per year.

The 40% stake will come from existing partners VOC (25%) and AMB (15%). With this acquisition, Mitsui becomes the second-largest stakeholder, following Rio Tinto, which holds 50%. The deal is expected to close by March 31, 2026, according to the company.

The Rhodes Ridge project is set to produce 40 million tons per year in its early stages. Long-term development could increase that to 100 million tons per year. A final investment decision is still pending, but commercial operations could begin as early as 2030.

Mitsui Strengthens Its Role in Global Iron Ore Supply

Initially, Mitsui’s offtake from Rhodes Ridge will be about 16 million tons annually, focused on Asian markets like Japan. Over time, this volume may reach 40 million tons per year, making the project a major contributor to Mitsui’s iron ore portfolio.

Despite the global shift toward decarbonized steelmaking, including electric arc furnace (EAF) adoption, Mitsui believes iron ore will remain vital. The company cited growing crude steel demand, especially in India and Southeast Asia, as key drivers for sustained iron ore consumption.

Broader Investments Support Long-Term Strategy

Mitsui already holds stakes in major Australian iron ore projects, including the Robe River Mining consortium with Rio Tinto and Nippon Steel. The Robe River operation currently supplies Mitsui with 20 million tons per year.

Additionally, joint ventures with BHP account for another 19.9 million tons annually. When combined with the Rhodes Ridge investment, Mitsui's total long-term offtake in Australia will approach 80 million tons per year.

The Rhodes Ridge project has a complex past. Over a decade ago, Western Australia’s Supreme Court required Gina Rinehart to transfer a 25% stake to the Wright family, linked to Peter Wright, a former partner of Lang Hancock of Hancock Prospecting. Since then, Wright’s family, through VOC, has worked alongside Rio Tinto on project development.

This investment highlights Mitsui’s confidence in the long-term fundamentals of the global iron ore market, despite evolving steel production technologies and environmental regulations.

LB Titanium Dioxide Output Falls as Sponge and Battery Materials Expand

LB Titanium

LB titanium dioxide output fell in 2025 as weaker prices, slower demand and rising trade barriers pressured the global pigment market. China’s largest titanium producer reported titanium dioxide production of 1.28mn t, down 1.5% from a year earlier.

LB titanium dioxide output declined even as sales edged higher to 1.26mn t. Domestic sales accounted for 45% of volumes, while international sales made up 55%, showing that overseas markets remain critical to the company’s TiO2 business.

LB titanium dioxide output came under pressure from structural oversupply. New capacity entered the market, prices weakened and several domestic producers cut operating rates to protect margins.

The company also pointed to anti-dumping duties imposed by the EU, Brazil, Saudi Arabia and the Eurasian Economic Union, along with higher US tariffs on Chinese material. These measures have fragmented trade flows and made the global titanium dioxide market more difficult for Chinese exporters.

Titanium Sponge Offers a Stronger Counterweight

LB’s titanium sponge business moved in the opposite direction. Titanium sponge output rose by 2.3% on the year to 71,300t, while sales increased by 0.9% to 67,500t.

The stronger sponge result matters because titanium sponge sits closer to aerospace, industrial titanium mill products and high-performance alloy supply chains. It gives LB a more diversified titanium platform beyond pigment markets.

Titanium sponge prices were also firmer. Domestic 99.7% grade sponge prices averaged 49,665 yuan/t ex-works in 2025, up from 48,270 yuan/t a year earlier.

LB has 80,000 t/yr of titanium sponge capacity, the largest globally. That scale gives the company a major position in a market where feedstock security, product quality and downstream demand from titanium processors remain strategically important.

Titanium concentrate output fell by 3% to 1.45mn t, but LB did not sell concentrate externally. All concentrate was consumed internally to produce titanium dioxide and titanium sponge.

This internal use highlights the company’s integrated titanium value chain. LB can direct feedstock toward different downstream products depending on market conditions, although weak TiO2 demand still affects overall profitability.

Iron ore concentrate output fell more sharply, dropping by 18% to 3.04mn t. Sales decreased by 2.1% to 2.94mn t, showing softer performance in another mineral by-product stream.

Iron Phosphate Growth Signals Battery Materials Diversification

LB’s battery materials business showed much stronger momentum. Iron phosphate output jumped by 72% to 97,600t, while sales rose by 59% to 96,000t.

The growth was driven by firm demand from the lithium-ion battery sector. Iron phosphate is a key precursor for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, which are widely used in electric vehicles and energy storage systems.

This diversification is strategically important. Titanium dioxide remains LB’s largest product line, but the pigment market is facing oversupply, trade restrictions and weaker pricing. Battery materials offer a different growth channel tied to China’s expanding LFP ecosystem.

LB has 100,000 t/yr of iron phosphate capacity and 50,000 t/yr of LFP capacity. It also has 25,000 t/yr of graphite anode capacity and 50,000 t/yr of graphitisation capacity.

That product base positions LB across titanium, zirconium and battery materials. The company is no longer only a titanium dioxide producer, even though it remains the world’s largest TiO2 producer with 1.51mn t/yr of capacity.

The 2025 results show a clear split in the business. Titanium dioxide is under pressure from oversupply and trade action. Titanium sponge is holding stronger. Iron phosphate is growing with battery demand.

For LB, the industrial challenge is to manage a mature pigment business while expanding higher-growth materials platforms. Its integrated mineral base gives it flexibility, but market conditions across TiO2, sponge and battery materials are moving in different directions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

LB’s results show how Chinese titanium producers are moving beyond pigment exposure into sponge and battery materials. The strategic value lies in feedstock integration, because companies that can shift internal mineral flows between TiO2, titanium sponge and battery precursors will be better positioned in volatile markets.

Brazil Mineral Exports Rise as Imports Climb on Fertilizer Feedstock Demand

Brazil Mining

Brazil mineral exports increased in the first quarter of 2026, while imports rose more sharply as the country continued to rely on overseas supply for fertilizer-related minerals. National mining institute Ibram reported that mineral exports rose by nearly 1% from a year earlier, while imports increased by 15%.

Brazil mineral exports reached around 87.9mn t in the quarter, with China remaining the main destination. Iron ore accounted for nearly 54% of total shipments, reinforcing its central role in Brazil’s mining trade balance.

Brazil mineral exports continued to support a large sectoral surplus. The mineral trade surplus reached around $9.3bn in the first quarter, up 20% from the same period in 2025, supported by exports of iron ore, gold and copper.

Iron Ore, Gold and Copper Anchor Brazil’s Mining Surplus

Iron ore remained Brazil’s dominant mineral export in the first quarter. This reflects the country’s established role as one of the world’s key suppliers to steelmaking markets, especially China.

Gold and copper also contributed to export value. These metals are strategically important because gold supports financial and industrial demand, while copper is increasingly tied to grids, electrification, construction and manufacturing.

The rise in the mining trade surplus shows that Brazil’s mineral sector remains a strong foreign-exchange earner. Even modest export volume growth can generate a larger surplus when high-value commodities and stronger pricing conditions support trade values.

China’s role remains especially important. Brazilian iron ore exports depend heavily on Chinese steel demand, infrastructure activity and industrial production. Any slowdown in China can therefore affect Brazil’s mining revenue outlook.

Imports Highlight Fertilizer and Industrial Supply Dependence

Brazil imported 10mn t of mineral products in the first quarter. The US was the largest supplier, accounting for 19% of mineral imports, while Colombia and Canada each supplied about 13%.

Potassium, coal and sulphur led import flows. These materials are important for fertilizer supply and industrial activity, showing that Brazil’s mineral strength does not remove its dependence on imported inputs.

Potassium is especially important for Brazil’s agricultural sector. The country is a major global food producer, but fertilizer supply remains exposed to international trade flows and geopolitical risk.

Sulphur imports also matter because sulphur is used to produce sulphuric acid, a critical input for fertilizers, chemical processing and some mining operations. Coal imports continue to support industrial and energy-related demand.

Ibram projects mining sector investment to rise by 12.5% by 2030, reaching $76.9bn. Critical minerals could account for almost 28% of that total, or $21.3bn.

This investment outlook points to a broader shift in Brazil’s mining strategy. Iron ore will remain the export backbone, but copper, nickel, lithium, rare earths, graphite and other critical minerals could gain strategic importance as global supply chains diversify.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Brazil’s first-quarter trade data show a mining sector that remains strong in exports but still dependent on imported fertilizer and industrial inputs. The next opportunity lies in converting critical minerals investment into higher-value production beyond the country’s traditional iron ore base.

China’s Hubei Wanrun Launches LFP Battery Production Plant in Shandong

Hubei Wanrun

Hubei Wanrun, a prominent Chinese new energy firm, has officially launched a major production plant for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) and its feedstock iron phosphate in Binzhou city, located in Shandong province. The plant is a significant move to strengthen China’s position as a leading global supplier of materials critical for the electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage industries.

The new facility has a total nameplate capacity of 240,000 tons per year for LFP and an additional 240,000 tons per year for iron phosphate, with a total investment of 6.5 billion yuan (approximately $913 million). The initial phase of the plant has already launched, including 120,000 tons per year of LFP production capacity and the full 240,000 tons per year for iron phosphate. The remaining 120,000 tons per year of LFP capacity is still pending and has yet to be launched.

The project is a joint venture between Wanrun New Energy, a major Chinese producer of LFP cathode materials, holding an 80% stake, and Hubei, a multi-sector Chinese company with a 10% stake. Shenzhen Shijia Enterprise, a well-known export/import firm, holds the remaining 10% stake in the project.

Wanrun New Energy's Role in the Growing LFP Market

Wanrun New Energy has solidified its position as a key player in the global LFP market. In the first half of the year, the company shipped 78,000 tons of LFP, marking a 24% increase from the previous year. Additionally, Wanrun has plans to expand its global footprint with a new LFP production plant in South Carolina, USA, signaling the growing demand for LFP as a key material in the battery manufacturing sector.

In China, LFP batteries continue to dominate the market, making up a 75.6% share of the combined production for both power and energy storage batteries. This dominance is reflected in recent data from the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance, showing that LFP batteries accounted for 75.8% of newly installed volumes for power batteries during the period from January to September, totalling 734.4 GWh in production and 246.6 GWh in newly installed volumes.

LFP’s increasing share of the battery market, particularly for electric vehicles and energy storage systems, highlights the growing importance of materials like iron phosphate and lithium iron phosphate in the global energy transition. As demand for cleaner energy and EVs accelerates, the supply of high-quality LFP will become even more critical.

Vale boosts iron ore output as Capanema mine restarts after 22 years

Vale

Vale boosts iron ore output by restarting the Capanema mine in Minas Gerais. Vale boosts iron ore output with 15mn t/yr of new capacity. As a result, Vale boosts iron ore output toward its 2026 target of 340–360mn t.

Dry stacking and safety reshape Vale’s processing strategy

The mine restart follows a five-year renovation program. It resumed operations on 4 September. The project uses natural moisture processing and dry stacking. This eliminates tailings dams at the site. Dry stacking removes water from waste, which is then compacted and stacked. This approach reduces catastrophic failure risks. Vale is retiring upstream dams to cut safety, legal, and financial exposures.

Production outlook and waste reprocessing lift volumes

Vale produced 83.6mn t of iron ore in 2Q25. This was up from 80.6mn t a year earlier. Management aims to produce up to 335mn t in 2025. The new mine supports that guidance. Capanema also reclaims ore from legacy waste piles. Vale produced nearly 9mn t from tailings in 1H25. The company targets a 10pc output boost from waste reprocessing by 2030.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Capanema’s restart tightens Vale’s path to 2026 volume targets while de-risking tailings. Dry processing and tailings re-mining can sustain margins if price volatility persists. The strategy also rebuilds social licence after Brazil’s dam failures.

Weda Bay Power Shift Favors Aluminium as Nickel Pig Iron Margins Weaken

Weda Bay

Weda Bay power shift plans could redirect electricity from nickel pig iron smelters toward aluminium production in Indonesia’s Weda Bay Industrial Park. The move shows how power allocation is becoming a strategic production tool when aluminium margins exceed nickel margins.

Weda Bay power shift discussions involve scaling back output at 22 NPI smelting operations in June. Market sources said the power would be redirected to Juwan, the park’s sole operating aluminium facility.

Weda Bay power shift strategy reflects changing metal economics. NPI producers are under pressure from higher nickel ore costs and weaker margins, while aluminium smelters are benefiting from firmer prices and Middle East supply concerns.

Juwan is a joint venture between Tsingshan and Xinfa, with nameplate capacity of 250,000 t/yr. The timing and scale of any NPI production cuts remain unclear.

Aluminium Margins Pull Power Away From NPI

The planned power reallocation highlights the importance of electricity in Indonesian metals production. Both NPI and aluminium smelting are power-intensive, so the most profitable metal can influence where electricity is directed.

Aluminium prices have strengthened because of supply disruption linked to the Middle East. The region accounts for about 9% of global aluminium output, making any disruption significant for global balance.

The LME aluminium cash official price rose to a four-year high of $3,767.50/t on 14 May before closing at $3,636/t on 18 May. These higher prices have improved aluminium smelting margins.

NPI margins are moving in the opposite direction. Rising nickel ore costs and weaker profitability have reduced the incentive to maintain full output at some Indonesian smelters.

This creates a clear commercial logic. If electricity is constrained or strategically controlled, producers may prefer to allocate power toward aluminium rather than lower-margin NPI.

NPI Cuts Could Tighten High-Grade Nickel Units

Any sustained reduction in Weda Bay NPI output could support nickel pig iron prices, especially for higher-grade material. Higher-grade NPI remains important for stainless steel producers that need nickel-rich blending units.

Demand for higher-grade NPI has stayed relatively firm because stainless mills are using more scrap. Greater scrap use can increase the need for higher-nickel inputs to balance melt chemistry.

The situation also shows how Indonesia’s nickel and aluminium industries are becoming increasingly connected through infrastructure. Power, ports, industrial parks and Chinese-backed investment now shape multiple metal supply chains at once.

Tsingshan is also building a new aluminium project at Weda Bay with designed capacity of 800,000 t/yr. The first 400,000 t/yr phase is expected to start by the end of this year or in early 2027.

That expansion could make power allocation even more important. If aluminium capacity grows while NPI margins remain weak, Weda Bay may increasingly prioritise aluminium production over nickel pig iron during periods of electricity constraint.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Weda Bay shows that Indonesia’s industrial parks are becoming flexible metal platforms, not single-commodity hubs. When aluminium margins beat NPI margins, electricity itself becomes the deciding raw material.

ERG Kazakh Mining Investment Signals a Bigger Push Into Strategic Metals

ERG

ERG Kazakh mining investment marks a major expansion across mining, metals, and energy infrastructure. Eurasian Resources Group will invest $1bn in Kazakhstan operations. The plan covers new production facilities and plant upgrades. As a result, ERG Kazakh mining investment could deepen Kazakhstan’s role in strategic metals supply.

The investment stands out because it targets both existing strengths and new product categories. ERG already holds major positions in ferro-chrome, copper, cobalt, and aluminium. However, the new plan also includes gallium and hot briquetted iron. Therefore, the company is moving beyond scale toward broader industrial capability.

This strategy also aligns with Kazakhstan’s push for higher-value domestic processing. ERG is 40pc owned by the Kazakh government. That ownership gives the investment added policy importance. Meanwhile, the company is directing capital into assets that can reshape national metals capacity.

Kazakhstan Strategic Metals Strategy Expands Beyond Traditional Ferro-Alloys

Kazakhstan strategic metals development is becoming more diversified through this investment cycle. ERG plans to build production for materials not currently made in Kazakhstan. Gallium is the clearest example. Consequently, the project carries significance beyond normal mining expansion.

Gallium production Kazakhstan could gain new strategic relevance if the plan succeeds. ERG is targeting annual gallium capacity of 15t. That volume is modest in absolute terms. However, gallium matters because it supports semiconductors, electronics, and advanced industrial applications.

The broader programme also includes a new chromium mine and modernisation at Aksu Power Station. ERG will also build vertical calcination kilns and filtration units at Pavlodar Alumina Plant. These projects improve production depth rather than only adding raw tonnage. Therefore, the investment looks designed to strengthen industrial resilience.

Hot Briquetted Iron Kazakhstan Plan Adds Value to the Steel Chain

Hot briquetted iron Kazakhstan development is another important part of the package. ERG intends to advance an HBI plant and an iron ore pellet plant this year. HBI offers a cleaner and more tradable iron unit than many traditional forms. As a result, it could support both export competitiveness and lower-emission steelmaking options.

The company is also building an 80MW ferro-alloy gas utilisation power station at Aktobe. That project matters because power efficiency remains critical in ferro-alloy production. Improved energy integration can protect margins and reduce waste. Meanwhile, it can make domestic metallurgy more competitive.

ERG Kazakh mining investment therefore combines metals expansion with infrastructure reinforcement. It is not simply a capacity announcement. It is a portfolio redesign around strategic materials, processing value, and energy efficiency. That makes the programme more important than its headline number alone.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This investment shows Kazakhstan wants more than raw resource relevance. It wants stronger control over value-added metals and processing chains. If execution stays on track, ERG could become a more important strategic supplier across both traditional alloys and emerging critical materials.

Niron rare-earth-free magnet plant signals shift in US magnet supply

Niron

Niron is building a rare-earth-free magnet plant in Minnesota that could reshape the US magnet supply chain. The new rare-earth-free magnet plant in Sartell will produce 1,500 t/yr of permanent magnets for critical industries. As a result, the rare-earth-free magnet plant strengthens efforts to reduce dependence on rare earth materials in strategic applications.

Rare-earth-free iron nitride magnets target high-growth applications

Niron’s new facility will supply magnets for data center cooling pumps, EV and auto motors, robotics and drones. It will also serve consumer electronics and defense applications, where stable magnet performance and secure supply are essential. The plant is scheduled to start operations in early 2027, giving customers a medium-term roadmap for sourcing. Niron’s magnets are based on iron nitride technology that uses abundant iron and nitrogen instead of rare earth elements. This iron nitride platform enables high magnetization while avoiding exposure to rare earth price volatility and export controls.

Investment, policy support and strategic implications for supply chains

Niron has already attracted strategic investors from the automotive and industrial sectors, including Stellantis and Magna. Meanwhile, technology and mobility players such as Samsung Ventures and Allison Transmission are actively evaluating products from the pilot line. These partners see rare-earth-free magnets as a potential hedge against supply disruptions in conventional NdFeB magnets. In addition, Niron secured a $52.2mn tax credit under the US Advanced Energy Project program. This support lowers project risk and aligns the plant with broader US industrial and energy policy goals. The company has raised $58mn in recent funding rounds to move from pilot-scale to commercial output. Together, this funding and policy backing position the plant as a cornerstone of a new domestic magnet ecosystem.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Niron’s move underlines how magnet technology is becoming a strategic battleground in clean energy, digital infrastructure and defense. If the iron nitride platform delivers on performance and cost, rare-earth-free magnets could gradually carve out share in sensitive applications. For metals markets, the project is another reminder that technology substitution can quietly reshape long-term demand for rare earths.

Dry Bulk Growth to Stall in 2025 Amid Chinese Supply Glut, Star Bulk Warns

Star Bulk

Dry bulk shipowner Star Bulk projects that global dry bulk tonne-mile demand will grow by only 0.9% in 2025, a significant deceleration from previous years. This slowdown reflects weakening demand for coal and iron ore shipping—two pillars of the sector.

Chinese Supply Surplus Signals Lower Import Volumes

Throughout 2024, China ramped up domestic production of coal, iron ore, and grains. As a result, import demand is expected to drop in 2025. Despite Beijing's stimulus efforts in late 2024, Star Bulk believes they are insufficient to shift dry bulk trade flows meaningfully in the short term. High stockpiles and oversupply remain the key headwinds.

Additionally, Chinese dry bulk exports have surged by 19.5% over the past two years, but this increase doesn't fully offset the slowdown in inbound volumes, particularly for raw materials.

Coal Tonne-Miles Set to Contract After Record Growth

In 2024, global tonne-mile demand for coal grew by 6.5%, spurred by increased thermal electricity generation and strategic stockpiling in China. However, Star Bulk expects a 2.7% contraction in 2025, as domestic coal production outpaces consumption in recent quarters.

This shift will likely depress seaborne coal trade, especially to Asia, further impacting the Capesize and Panamax segments.

Iron Ore Imports Face Growth Ceiling Amid Inventory Buildup

Likewise, iron ore tonne-mile demand, which grew 5.3% in 2024, is projected to rise only 1% in 2025. Chinese iron ore stockpiles and domestic production have both increased significantly, curbing demand for imports.

However, Star Bulk anticipates some relief by late 2025 as new high-grade Atlantic mines begin production. These sources could eventually replace low-quality Chinese supply, thereby enhancing tonne-mile figures in the long run.

Despite the softer macro outlook, Star Bulk's financial performance remains strong. The company reported a Q4 2024 net profit of $42.4 million, compared to $39.7 million in Q4 2023. Its diverse fleet of 151 bulk carriers—including Newcastlemaxes, Capesizes, Kamsarmaxes, and Ultramaxes—positions the firm to respond dynamically to evolving global trade flows.