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Showing posts sorted by date for query lithium carbonate. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Utah Direct Lithium Extraction Project Advances With Posco-Anson Partnership

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Utah Direct Lithium Extraction Project Advances With Posco-Anson Partnership
Anson Resources

Utah direct lithium extraction development is moving forward after Posco and Anson Resources agreed to build a demonstration plant at the Green River Lithium project in the Paradox Basin.

Utah direct lithium extraction will use Anson’s brine resources, while Posco will lead the design, construction and operation of the demonstration facility. Posco will also pay Anson a $5.2mn facilitation fee under the agreement.

Utah direct lithium extraction is strategically important because the project targets domestic battery-grade lithium production without relying on conventional evaporation ponds. Operations at the demonstration facility are scheduled to begin in 2027, with completion expected in 2028.

The wider Green River project is designed to produce 10,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate and has already secured major permits, financing interest and an anchor customer.

DLE Demonstration Will Test Commercial Processing Route

The demonstration plant will determine whether Posco’s DLE technology can recover lithium from Green River brines efficiently and consistently enough for commercial-scale production.

Direct lithium extraction is attracting growing interest because it can potentially reduce land use and shorten processing times compared with traditional brine evaporation.

However, commercial performance depends heavily on brine chemistry, recovery rates, reagent consumption and water management. Demonstration-scale operation is therefore a critical step before committing to full production.

Posco’s involvement adds technical and industrial expertise to the project. The Korean group has been expanding across battery materials and lithium supply chains, giving the Green River project a stronger downstream connection.

If the demonstration performs as expected, Anson would have a clearer route toward financing and construction of the 10,000 t/yr commercial operation.

Financing and Offtake Strengthen Green River Economics

Green River has already secured several important elements needed for project development.

The US Export-Import Bank has issued a $330mn letter of interest, providing a potential source of debt financing for the project.

Anson also has a binding offtake agreement with LG Energy Solution covering 40% of expected production. That provides long-term demand visibility and directly connects future Utah lithium output with battery manufacturing.

Estimated capital expenditure stands at $495mn, while projected operating costs are $4.37/kg of lithium carbonate equivalent.

Those economics could make Green River competitive if the DLE process reaches targeted recoveries and operating performance.

The combination of Posco technology, US financing support and LG Energy Solution offtake also illustrates how lithium projects are increasingly being developed through integrated partnerships rather than mining companies acting alone.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Green River is becoming a test of whether DLE can move from promising technology to bankable US lithium production. Posco’s involvement reduces technical risk, while Ex-Im financing and LG Energy Solution offtake strengthen the project’s commercial foundation.

Texas LFP Plant Links Domestic Lithium Supply With Cathode Production

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Texas LFP Plant Links Domestic Lithium Supply With Cathode Production
EnergyX

Texas LFP plant development is moving forward after Wildcat Discovery Technologies and EnergyX formed a joint venture to produce lithium iron phosphate cathode active material in Hooks. The project represents more than $230mn of investment and is designed for around 15,000 t/yr of CAM capacity.

Texas LFP plant plans are strategically important because the facility will sit next to EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium project in the Smackover formation. This creates a potential domestic route from lithium extraction and conversion to cathode material production.

Texas LFP plant supply will also benefit from a structured lithium pricing agreement. EnergyX will provide lithium carbonate to the joint venture at commercially favourable terms, including a market discount and price floor and ceiling intended to reduce exposure to lithium price volatility.

The project strengthens US efforts to localise more of the battery value chain, particularly for LFP chemistry used in electric vehicles and stationary energy storage.

Co-Location Reduces Battery Supply Chain Risk

The Hooks facility is designed to produce about 15,000 t/yr of LFP cathode active material, with potential for future expansion.

Its location beside EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium operation is the project’s main industrial advantage. Co-locating lithium supply and cathode production can reduce logistics complexity, shorten supply chains and improve feedstock security.

EnergyX plans to produce 48,500 t/yr of lithium hydroxide at Lonestar by 2030. The first phase is expected to reach 14,250 t/yr by 2028.

The project is targeting operating expenditure of about $3.85/kg, which could strengthen the economics of downstream battery material production if that cost structure is achieved at scale.

The joint venture will initially receive lithium carbonate under a pricing structure that limits exposure to extreme market movements. This gives the cathode operation greater cost visibility during periods of lithium volatility.

For battery materials projects, this kind of feedstock agreement can be as important as plant capacity. Cathode producers need reliable supply, predictable chemistry and manageable pricing to compete with established Asian producers.

LFP Growth Supports US Battery Localization

LFP chemistry is gaining market share because it offers lower cost, strong cycle life and improved thermal stability compared with nickel-rich cathode systems.

It also avoids nickel and cobalt, reducing exposure to two globally concentrated and price-sensitive battery metals. However, LFP still depends heavily on lithium supply and specialised cathode manufacturing capability.

The Wildcat-EnergyX project therefore addresses two major US supply-chain gaps at the same time: domestic lithium production and domestic cathode active material manufacturing.

Stationary energy storage is likely to be an important demand source. Large grid batteries increasingly favour LFP because of its durability, safety characteristics and lower material cost.

EV demand could provide another growth route, particularly as automakers expand lower-cost vehicle platforms using LFP cells.

The project also illustrates a wider shift in US battery strategy. Rather than building isolated mines or chemical plants, developers are increasingly trying to connect extraction, conversion and active material production within regional industrial clusters.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Wildcat-EnergyX venture is strategically stronger because it links lithium supply directly with LFP cathode production. US battery localization will depend less on individual plants and more on integrated regional chains that control feedstock, processing and pricing risk.

Chile Lithium Carbonate Exports Lead Global Trade Despite Argentina’s Rapid Rise

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Chile Lithium Carbonate Exports Lead Global Trade Despite Argentina’s Rapid Rise
Chile Lithium

Chile lithium carbonate exports remained the largest globally in 2025, although the country lost significant market share as Argentina rapidly expanded production. Chile shipped almost 225,750t of lithium carbonate worth $1.9bn, accounting for 62.2% of global exports.

Chile lithium carbonate exports had represented around 78% of global trade in 2024. The fall to 62.2% represents a 15.8 percentage-point decline in only one year and signals a major change in South America’s lithium supply structure.

Chile lithium carbonate exports still give the country a dominant position in battery raw materials, but Argentina is emerging as a much stronger competitor. Argentina exported 102,842t, equivalent to roughly 28-30% of global lithium carbonate flows.

Chile also maintained its position as the world’s leading copper exporter. Chilean producers shipped 5.7mn t of copper in 2025, generating $53.6bn in export revenue and accounting for 16.2% of global exports.

Argentina Changes the Balance of South American Lithium Supply

Argentina’s rapid increase in lithium carbonate exports is reducing Chile’s historical dominance of the market. The shift reflects new production capacity entering the Argentine lithium sector and creating a second major South American export platform.

This competition has strategic implications for battery manufacturers. Greater supply diversification between Chile and Argentina can reduce dependence on a single producing country and provide buyers with more procurement options.

For Chile, the challenge is maintaining competitiveness while expanding production and moving toward higher-value lithium processing. Resource quality alone will not guarantee continued market dominance as neighbouring projects add capacity.

The change also matters for pricing. A broader supply base can increase competition between producers, especially during periods when lithium markets are already well supplied.

At the same time, Chile remains a major strategic supplier because of its established operations, infrastructure and long experience in lithium carbonate production.

The market is therefore moving from overwhelming Chilean dominance toward a more balanced South American structure, with Argentina becoming increasingly important to global battery supply chains.

Copper Leadership Gives Chile a Second Strategic Advantage

Chile’s copper position remains even more deeply established. The country has held the leading global export position for decades and shipped 5.7mn t in 2025.

State-owned Codelco remains central to the sector, alongside major international miners operating across the country’s large porphyry copper deposits.

Copper export revenue of $53.6bn demonstrates the metal’s importance to Chile’s economy. It also gives the country exposure to structural demand from power grids, renewable energy, electric vehicles, data centres and industrial electrification.

The combination of copper and lithium gives Chile an unusually strong position in the energy transition supply chain. Few countries are leading exporters of both a major electrical metal and a core battery material.

However, the two markets face different competitive dynamics. Chile’s copper leadership remains firmly established, while lithium faces faster capacity growth from Argentina and other emerging producers.

Chile’s long-term industrial opportunity therefore lies not only in maintaining export volumes, but in capturing more value through processing, technology and downstream manufacturing connected to both metals.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Chile remains a critical supplier of both copper and lithium, but its lithium dominance is becoming less absolute. Argentina’s rise shows that future leadership in battery materials will depend increasingly on capacity growth, processing economics and speed of project development.

Mt Marion Lithium Expansion Advances as MinRes and Ganfeng Lift Spodumene Supply

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Mt Marion Lithium Expansion Advances as MinRes and Ganfeng Lift Spodumene Supply
Mineral Resources

Mt Marion lithium expansion is moving ahead after Mineral Resources and Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium reached a final investment decision on a A$490mn upgrade at the Western Australian mine. The project will raise 6% spodumene concentrate output from 500,000 t/yr to 600,000 t/yr.

Mt Marion lithium expansion reflects renewed confidence in spodumene markets after a period of stronger pricing, Chinese demand and supply disruption from Zimbabwean export controls. The decision also reinforces Australia’s role as a core lithium feedstock supplier to global battery material chains.

Mt Marion lithium expansion includes A$220mn for underground mine development, A$240mn for a flotation plant and A$30mn for non-processing infrastructure. Construction is scheduled to begin in July-September.

The partners expect to commission the mine within 12 months of construction starting, with production ramp-up over the following six months. That timeline makes Mt Marion an important near-term growth project in the Australian hard-rock lithium sector.

Underground Mining Extends Mine Life and Feed Flexibility

The underground mine will supplement ore from the existing open pit and contribute up to 40% of processing feed. This will extend Mt Marion’s remaining mine life by six years beyond the previous estimate of 10 years.

That is strategically important because mine life extension improves supply visibility for customers and investors. Battery chemical producers need stable spodumene feedstock to support long-term lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate production.

The underground development also gives MinRes and Ganfeng more operational flexibility. Combining open-pit and underground ore can support feed blending, grade control and continuity as the mine matures.

The project will cause minimal disruption to existing operations, according to the company. That matters because the mine is already a major producing asset and any downtime could affect near-term shipments.

Mt Marion is also backed by a strong downstream partner. Ganfeng is one of China’s leading lithium companies, giving the project a direct link to one of the world’s largest battery materials markets.

Flotation Plant Targets Higher-Grade Product Mix

The new flotation plant will remove SC3.5 product from MinRes’ mix and deliver a minimum SC5 grade product. This is a key upgrade because higher-grade concentrate can improve processing efficiency for downstream converters.

SC6 remains the benchmark product for hard-rock lithium supply. Increasing SC6 output to 600,000 t/yr gives Mt Marion stronger exposure to higher-value concentrate markets.

The investment economics are highly sensitive to price. At an assumed SC6 price of $2,700/t, MinRes expects the expansion payback period to be less than one year.

Spodumene prices have risen in recent months, supported by Zimbabwe’s lithium concentrate export controls and strong Chinese demand. The latest Australian SC6 assessment was $2,661/t on 19 May, down from $2,811/t a week earlier but still elevated enough to support renewed investment.

MinRes also cited higher lithium prices as a reason for restarting operations at its Bald Hill mine in Western Australia. Together, these moves suggest producers are again positioning for stronger lithium feedstock demand.

The broader lithium market remains volatile, but the Mt Marion decision shows that high-quality Australian assets can still attract capital when pricing, partners and mine-life extension align.



The Metalnomist Commentary

Mt Marion’s expansion shows that lithium investment is returning first to established, scalable assets with strong downstream links. The key lesson is that the next lithium cycle will reward producers that can improve grade, extend mine life and secure reliable routes into China’s battery supply chain.

Nevada North Lithium Project Resource Growth Strengthens US Lithium Supply Potential

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Nevada North Lithium Project Resource Growth Strengthens US Lithium Supply Potential


Nevada North Lithium Project has increased its measured and indicated resource base, improving the scale potential of one of the more closely watched US lithium development assets. Canadian developer Surge Battery Metals updated the project’s estimate to 6.7mn t of lithium carbonate equivalent.

Nevada North Lithium Project now carries measured and indicated resources grading 3,820ppm lithium. That compares with 3.6mn t grading 4,016ppm in the project’s preliminary economic assessment.

Nevada North Lithium Project resource growth is strategically important because the US continues to seek domestic lithium supply for batteries, electric vehicles, energy storage and critical minerals security.

The project is jointly owned by Surge Battery Metals, with a 71% stake, and Evolution Mining, with 29%. Surge plans to deliver a comprehensive pre-feasibility study in the fourth quarter of 2026.

Larger Resource Base Improves Development Scale

The revised estimate shows a larger resource base, although the average lithium grade is slightly lower than in the preliminary economic assessment. That trade-off is common as projects expand and include broader mineralised zones.

The resource is constrained by an optimised pit shell based on a lithium carbonate equivalent price of $20,000/t. This assumption helps define what material could be economically considered under the current mine planning framework.

The increase to 6.7mn t of LCE improves the project’s strategic profile. Scale matters in lithium because battery supply chains need long-term, reliable and expandable sources of feedstock.

For Surge, the next milestone is the pre-feasibility study. That study will need to clarify mining design, processing route, capital cost, operating cost, recovery assumptions and permitting requirements.


Nevada North Li Project

US Lithium Projects Gain Momentum as Prices Improve

Recent lithium price increases are encouraging more exploration and development activity. Higher prices can improve project economics and attract financing, especially for assets in strategically important jurisdictions.

Nevada is already central to US lithium ambitions. The state offers domestic resource potential, established mining experience and proximity to battery and electric vehicle supply chains.

However, resource growth alone does not guarantee production. The project must still prove technical feasibility, commercial processing, environmental compliance and customer relevance.

The larger estimate gives Surge a stronger platform heading into the pre-feasibility stage. It also reinforces the wider US push to reduce dependence on imported lithium chemicals and battery raw materials.

If advanced successfully, Nevada North could become part of a more diversified North American lithium supply chain. Its value will depend on whether scale can translate into qualified, cost-competitive lithium production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Surge’s updated estimate strengthens Nevada North’s strategic relevance, but the real test now moves from resource size to development economics. US lithium security will depend on projects that can pass feasibility, permitting and processing hurdles, not only publish larger resource numbers.

ABM Utah Lithium Project Targets Direct Extraction and Magnesium Output

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ABM Utah Lithium Project Targets Direct Extraction and Magnesium Output
ABM

ABM Utah lithium project plans could add a new US domestic source of lithium carbonate equivalent and magnesium if feasibility work supports development. American Battery Materials is assessing a direct lithium extraction facility in Utah tied to its Lisbon Valley project.

The ABM Utah lithium project is designed to produce 10,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent. The proposed facility would also produce 20,000 t/yr of magnesium ingots, giving the project a broader critical minerals profile.

The ABM Utah lithium project is located in the Paradox Basin, which straddles southern Utah and Colorado. The region sits in a historic seabed and contains lithium, magnesium, bromine, potash and potassium.

Historical data from Lisbon Valley show lithium values ranging from 81-500ppm. The next test is whether those values can support a commercial direct lithium extraction operation with competitive recovery, cost and product quality.

Direct Lithium Extraction Could Support US Battery Supply

Direct lithium extraction is becoming more important as the US seeks domestic lithium supply without relying only on hard-rock mining or traditional evaporation routes. DLE can potentially recover lithium from brines faster and with a smaller surface footprint.

For ABM, the strategic opportunity is to convert Lisbon Valley brine resources into battery-linked lithium carbonate equivalent. A 10,000 t/yr project would not dominate the market, but it could become a useful domestic supply source if successfully developed.

The project also fits US policy priorities. Washington is trying to secure more lithium, magnesium and other critical materials for batteries, defence, energy storage and manufacturing.

However, DLE projects remain technically demanding. Brine chemistry, recovery rates, reagent consumption, water handling, scaling, impurity control and operating cost will determine whether the Lisbon Valley project can move beyond feasibility.

Product qualification will also matter. Battery customers need consistent lithium carbonate quality, and that requires reliable processing from brine extraction through purification and final product production.

Magnesium Adds Strategic Value to the Project

The planned magnesium output gives the project an additional industrial angle. Magnesium ingots are used in aluminium alloys, die casting, lightweight components and specialty applications.

US magnesium supply has strategic relevance because magnesium supports automotive lightweighting, aerospace materials and defence-linked manufacturing. A domestic source could help reduce exposure to imported material.

The Paradox Basin’s broader mineral endowment also strengthens the project’s optionality. Lithium, magnesium, bromine, potash and potassium create potential for multi-product development, depending on commercial recovery and market conditions.

Multi-product projects can improve economics if by-products are saleable and processing flows are integrated efficiently. However, they can also add complexity because each product requires its own specification, market and operating route.

For ABM, feasibility work will need to prove both the lithium and magnesium business cases. Investors and customers will watch the project’s recovery assumptions, capital cost, permitting path and development timeline.

If successful, the Lisbon Valley project could support a more diversified US critical minerals base. Its importance lies not only in lithium supply, but in the possibility of linking battery materials with magnesium production from one regional resource system.

The Metalnomist Commentary

ABM’s Utah plan shows how US lithium projects are increasingly being framed as multi-mineral supply platforms. The key question is whether direct lithium extraction can turn Paradox Basin brines into qualified lithium carbonate and meaningful magnesium output at commercial cost.

Novandino Lithium Investment Targets $3.5bn Expansion in Chile’s Atacama

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Novandino Lithium Investment Targets $3.5bn Expansion in Chile’s Atacama
Novandino

Novandino lithium investment plans could reshape Chile’s lithium supply outlook as the producer prepares to spend more than $3.5bn to expand output and extend operations at the Atacama salt lake until 2060.

Novandino lithium investment will focus on the Salar Futuro project, which is designed to take production, sustainability and community engagement to a higher level. The company is close to submitting the project’s environmental impact study.

Novandino lithium investment remains subject to environmental approval. That approval is essential because the company needs authorisation for its Atacama operations in northern Chile’s Antofagasta region to continue beyond 2030.

The company is a joint venture between Chile’s state copper miner Codelco and SQM. Its expansion is strategically important because Chile remains one of the world’s most important lithium producers, but new project approvals have moved slowly.

Salar Futuro Could Extend Atacama Output to 2060

Salar Futuro is central to Novandino’s long-term growth strategy. The project would support continued operations at the Atacama salt lake while lifting production and improving environmental performance.

The company expects to produce 270,000t of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2026. Output is then expected to rise to 300,000t in 2027-2028, compared with 233,000t last year.

That growth would strengthen Chile’s position in global lithium supply at a time when Argentina is expanding rapidly and challenging Chile’s regional leadership.

The environmental impact study will be the key near-term milestone. Without approval, the company cannot secure the long operating extension needed to justify the investment.

Chile’s lithium sector has enormous resource strength, but regulatory complexity has slowed new supply. Novandino’s ability to advance Salar Futuro will therefore be closely watched by battery makers, automakers and lithium chemical buyers.

Technology Mix Targets Higher Efficiency and Lower Water Use

Novandino plans to use a combination of next-generation technologies to improve production efficiency and sustainability. The company is considering membrane filtration, mechanical evaporation and direct lithium extraction.

This technology mix matters because Chile’s lithium expansion is increasingly tied to environmental and community expectations. Brine operations must show better water performance, lower ecological impact and stronger local engagement.

The company said its water intensity per unit of production has fallen by 75% since 2016. That improvement is strategically important in the Atacama, where water use remains one of the most sensitive issues for lithium development.

Direct lithium extraction could also become an important part of Chile’s future production model. However, DLE must be adapted to each brine chemistry, making execution, cost control and scale-up critical.

For Chile, the project is more than a company-level expansion. It is a test of whether the country can grow lithium supply while meeting stricter sustainability standards and maintaining state participation through Codelco.

For the battery supply chain, higher Atacama output would provide more lithium carbonate equivalent from an established producing region. But timing will depend on environmental approval, technology deployment and project execution.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Novandino’s $3.5bn plan shows that Chile still has the resource base to defend its lithium position. The real challenge is whether regulatory approval and new extraction technologies can move fast enough to keep pace with Argentina’s accelerating project pipeline.

Appalachian Lithium Reserves Could Strengthen US Domestic Supply Security

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Appalachian Lithium Reserves Could Strengthen US Domestic Supply Security
USGS

Appalachian lithium reserves could give the US a much larger domestic resource base than previously recognised, according to a new assessment from the US Geological Survey. The agency said the eastern US Appalachian region may contain enough undiscovered, economically recoverable lithium to replace 328 years of US imports at 2025 levels.

Appalachian lithium reserves are hosted in pegmatites, large-grained rocks similar to granite. The southern Appalachian region is estimated to contain 1.43mn t of lithium oxide, while the northern Appalachian region holds another 0.90mn t.

Appalachian lithium reserves matter because the US still depends heavily on imported lithium. The country has only one current lithium producer and relied on imports for more than half of its supply in 2025.

The assessment adds another possible domestic supply route alongside lithium brine projects in the Smackover formation. Together, these resources could reshape US lithium strategy if they can be converted into permitted, economic and commercially scalable projects.

Pegmatite Resources Add a Hard-Rock Lithium Option

The Appalachian assessment points to hard-rock lithium potential in the eastern US. Pegmatite-hosted lithium is different from brine-based production because it usually requires mining, concentration and chemical conversion.

This gives the US another possible supply pathway. Hard-rock projects can produce spodumene concentrate, which can then be converted into lithium chemicals for batteries, energy storage and industrial uses.

Albemarle is already planning a lithium concentrator facility at Kings Mountain, North Carolina. The project is designed to produce 420,000 t/yr of lithium concentrate from spodumene.

That project is important because it could help rebuild a US hard-rock lithium supply chain. Domestic spodumene production would reduce reliance on foreign raw material and support future US conversion capacity.

However, resource estimates alone do not guarantee supply. Appalachian lithium projects would still need exploration, permitting, mine development, processing investment, environmental approvals and downstream customer qualification.

The strategic significance is still clear. The US lithium conversation is expanding beyond Nevada brines and western projects into eastern hard-rock resources with long-term supply potential.

Smackover Brines and Appalachian Pegmatites Broaden US Lithium Strategy

The Appalachian estimate follows earlier USGS work on the Smackover formation in southwest Arkansas. In 2024, the agency assessed that Smackover brines contain 5mn-19mn t of lithium, although it did not define economically recoverable volumes.

Several companies, including Equinor, ExxonMobil, EnergyX and Standard Lithium, are developing lithium projects in the Smackover region. Some are targeting commercial output around 2027.

The Smackover and Appalachian resource bases are strategically different but complementary. Smackover projects depend on brine extraction and processing technologies, while Appalachian projects would likely depend on hard-rock mining and spodumene concentration.

This diversification matters for US supply security. A lithium strategy based on multiple geological sources is more resilient than one dependent on a single basin, technology or company.

The US will still need processing capacity. Mining lithium ore or extracting lithium from brine does not automatically create battery-grade lithium carbonate or hydroxide.

That midstream gap remains the critical issue. Domestic resources must be connected to refining, chemical conversion, permitting, infrastructure and offtake agreements before they can reduce import dependence.

For battery manufacturers, the Appalachian assessment offers a long-term signal. More domestic resource potential could support future supply chains for electric vehicles, grid storage and defence-related battery applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Appalachian lithium assessment is a resource-security signal, not an immediate supply solution. The US has the geology, but the decisive bottleneck will be converting resources into permitted mines, concentrators and battery-grade lithium chemicals.

PLS Lithium Phosphate Offtake Signals Shift Toward Midstream Battery Materials

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PLS Lithium Phosphate Offtake Signals Shift Toward Midstream Battery Materials
PLS Lithium

PLS lithium phosphate offtake with China’s Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology marks a strategic step by the Australian lithium producer into higher-value battery materials. The agreement covers lithium phosphate from PLS’ midstream lithium refining demonstration plant.

PLS lithium phosphate offtake gives the company an early customer pathway as it tests whether spodumene can be converted into an intermediate chemical product with broader downstream appeal. The plant is scheduled to deliver first product in the third quarter of 2026.

PLS lithium phosphate offtake also links the company directly with Ronbay, one of the world’s largest lithium iron phosphate cathode material producers. Ronbay will provide technical support as PLS works to optimise product quality and specification.

The agreement’s price and volume details were not disclosed. But the pricing structure will broadly reference lithium chemical prices, with a proportional mechanism similar to spodumene pricing.

Lithium Phosphate Could Shorten the LFP Supply Chain

PLS’ demonstration plant is designed to produce more than 3,000 t/yr of lithium phosphate. It will consume about 27,000 t/yr of spodumene.

The company took full ownership of the plant from former joint-venture partner Calix in February. That gives PLS more control over the development route as it moves beyond conventional lithium concentrate sales.

The strategic importance lies in the possible use of lithium phosphate as a direct feedstock for LFP cathode production. Some LFP cathode producers are testing lithium phosphate instead of lithium carbonate because it could shorten processing steps and reduce total production costs.

This matters because LFP batteries are gaining share in electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Cathode producers want lower-cost, reliable and scalable lithium inputs that can support high-volume manufacturing.

If lithium phosphate can meet strict cathode specifications, PLS could access a new customer base. Instead of selling only to lithium hydroxide or carbonate converters, it could sell directly into cathode material supply chains.

That would move PLS closer to battery manufacturers and allow it to capture more margin inside the lithium value chain.

Quality Testing Will Determine Commercial Potential

The opportunity remains at an early stage. PLS has warned that lithium phosphate must meet demanding quality requirements before it can become a commercial cathode feedstock.

Battery material customers require tight control over impurities, consistency, particle characteristics and chemical performance. A product that works technically at small scale must still prove reliability across repeated production.

Ronbay’s role is therefore important. As a major LFP cathode producer, it can provide practical feedback on product suitability, processing performance and downstream qualification needs.

The agreement also reflects a broader trend in lithium markets. Producers are no longer focused only on mining and concentrate production. They are looking for midstream products that can reduce processing complexity and improve customer access.

For PLS, lithium phosphate could serve multiple markets. It may supply existing lithium chemical producers, while also opening a direct route to cathode manufacturers.

The demonstration plant will test whether that strategy can move from concept to commercial scale. If successful, it could give spodumene producers a new pathway into battery materials without fully entering carbonate or hydroxide production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

PLS’ lithium phosphate strategy is a clear attempt to move higher in the battery value chain without jumping directly into full chemical conversion. The key test will be whether cathode makers accept lithium phosphate as a reliable feedstock at scale, not just as a technical possibility.

Argentina Lithium Growth Could Challenge Chile’s Regional Lead

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Argentina Lithium Growth Could Challenge Chile’s Regional Lead
Argentina Lithium

Argentina lithium growth could reshape Latin America’s lithium map over the next decade as new projects advance under more investor-friendly rules. Argentina is expected to match Chile’s lithium output by 2035, with some industry participants arguing it could overtake Chile even earlier.

Argentina lithium growth is being supported by faster permitting, large brine resources and stronger investment incentives. By contrast, Chile’s lithium expansion remains constrained by restrictive legislation, lengthy approval processes and uncertainty around new project development.

Argentina lithium growth is strategically important because lithium remains central to electric vehicles, energy storage and battery supply chains. Global buyers want large-scale, politically stable and western hemisphere supply outside more exposed jurisdictions.

Chile remains the region’s largest producer today. However, its future output growth depends heavily on existing producers and slow-moving new projects, while Argentina has a deeper pipeline of advanced developments.

Chile’s Lithium Policy Slows New Supply

Chile has long been Latin America’s dominant lithium producer, but its regulatory system is limiting new investment. Lithium remains non-concessionable and is still treated under legislation linked to nuclear materials.

Companies seeking to extract lithium in Chile must apply for special mining contracts. These contracts are granted through public bidding processes that can be lengthy, bureaucratic and uncertain.

This creates a major exploration problem. Companies may be reluctant to explore land if they cannot be confident of later securing extraction rights.

Chile’s national lithium strategy also requires all new projects to use direct lithium extraction. DLE is viewed as more environmentally friendly than traditional evaporation ponds, but it creates technical and cost challenges.

Each DLE process must be designed around the specific chemistry of each brine resource. That means technology used at one salar cannot simply be copied at another.

This raises development costs and lengthens project timelines. Industry participants estimate that DLE projects may require investment of up to $44,000 per tonne of lithium carbonate equivalent, compared with about $26,000/t for evaporation projects.

Chile’s new supply pipeline is therefore moving slowly. The first major new project, Rio Tinto’s Maricunga, is expected only by the end of 2030, with another new project expected in 2032.

Until then, Chile may rely mainly on capacity increases from existing producers. That could limit its ability to respond to rising lithium demand if Argentina’s project pipeline accelerates.

Argentina’s Rigi Regime Attracts Lithium Capital

Argentina is moving in the opposite direction. Its government has streamlined licensing and introduced the Rigi incentive regime for large investments.

Rigi provides tax exemptions, import-export benefits and legal protections for approved projects. It also allows companies to settle certain disputes in courts outside Argentina, improving investor confidence.

Ten lithium projects have already applied to Rigi, with three approved. The programme has become a major signal to international investors seeking policy stability and faster project execution.

Argentina now has more than 60 active lithium projects and seven producing assets, the most in Latin America. Two new developments are expected to come on line this year, lifting projected output to 159,000t of lithium carbonate equivalent.

That remains below Chile’s 305,000t in 2024. However, Argentina has more than 20 projects in advanced stages, including eight close to production.

Argentina’s mining ministry expects output to reach 583,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2035. That would put the country in position to match or overtake Chile if Chile’s permitting regime does not change.

The investment logic is clear. Argentina offers large brine resources, a more open policy framework and exposure to western hemisphere supply chains. That combination is increasingly attractive to battery makers, automakers and mining companies.

Chile still has enormous lithium potential. But potential alone does not create supply. Without faster approvals and clearer rules, Chile risks losing regional leadership to Argentina.

For the lithium market, this shift matters. Argentina’s rise could increase competition, diversify supply and give buyers more options in South America. It could also make Latin America’s lithium growth less dependent on Chile’s policy choices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Argentina’s lithium advantage is not only geological; it is regulatory. Chile still has world-class resources, but Argentina is turning policy speed into supply-chain momentum.

Eramet Argentina Lithium Plant Reaches 80% Capacity as Ramp-Up Recovers

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Eramet Argentina Lithium Plant Reaches 80% Capacity as Ramp-Up Recovers
Eramet Argentina Lithium Plant

Eramet Argentina lithium plant performance improved sharply in March as the Centenario-Ratones project reached around 80% of its designed capacity. The French mining group said the plant operated near 80% of its 24,000 t/yr nameplate capacity after recovering from February production setbacks.

The Eramet Argentina lithium plant is strategically important because Argentina is becoming one of the fastest-growing lithium supply regions globally. Stronger output from Centenario-Ratones supports the country’s push to challenge Chile’s long-standing lithium leadership.

The Eramet Argentina lithium plant produced 3,720t of lithium carbonate in the first quarter. Output was limited by downstream equipment shutdowns and natural gas supply constraints, but operations normalised in March.

Centenario-Ratones Recovers After February Disruptions

Eramet temporarily shut part of its downstream equipment in February for an extended period. The work was designed to implement improvements and support the ramp-up process.

Natural gas supply constraints also limited production during the quarter. These disruptions show that lithium brine projects depend not only on resource quality, but also on reliable processing equipment and energy supply.

Centenario-Ratones achieved its highest production rate to date in March. This suggests the project is moving closer to stable commercial performance after early ramp-up challenges.

The ramp-up is expected to be completed by July at the latest. If achieved, this would strengthen Eramet’s position in Argentina’s lithium supply chain and improve near-term lithium carbonate availability.

Lithium Sales Highlight Stronger Price Environment

Eramet sold 3,920t of lithium carbonate in the first quarter, generating €57mn in revenue. That implies an average realised price of roughly $16,986/t.

The first-quarter lithium revenue already exceeded Eramet’s lithium revenue for all of 2025. This highlights the impact of stronger lithium carbonate prices and improving sales volumes.

The result matters for project economics. Higher lithium prices can support ramp-up costs, equipment improvements and working capital needs during the early production phase.

For Argentina, Centenario-Ratones adds to a growing pipeline of lithium projects backed by more investor-friendly policies. Successful ramp-up would reinforce Argentina’s role as a major future source of lithium carbonate for battery supply chains.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Centenario-Ratones shows both the opportunity and execution risk in Argentina’s lithium growth story. Strong prices improve project economics, but stable energy supply and processing reliability will decide whether ramp-up targets become sustained production.

Argentina Lithium Growth Could Challenge Chile’s Regional Lead

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Argentina Lithium Growth Could Challenge Chile’s Regional Lead
Argentina Lithium

Argentina lithium growth could reshape Latin America’s lithium map over the next decade as new projects advance under more investor-friendly rules. Argentina is expected to match Chile’s lithium output by 2035, with some industry participants arguing it could overtake Chile even earlier.

Argentina lithium growth is being supported by faster permitting, large brine resources and stronger investment incentives. By contrast, Chile’s lithium expansion remains constrained by restrictive legislation, lengthy approval processes and uncertainty around new project development.

Argentina lithium growth is strategically important because lithium remains central to electric vehicles, energy storage and battery supply chains. Global buyers want large-scale, politically stable and western hemisphere supply outside more exposed jurisdictions.

Chile remains the region’s largest producer today. However, its future output growth depends heavily on existing producers and slow-moving new projects, while Argentina has a deeper pipeline of advanced developments.

Chile’s Lithium Policy Slows New Supply

Chile has long been Latin America’s dominant lithium producer, but its regulatory system is limiting new investment. Lithium remains non-concessionable and is still treated under legislation linked to nuclear materials.

Companies seeking to extract lithium in Chile must apply for special mining contracts. These contracts are granted through public bidding processes that can be lengthy, bureaucratic and uncertain.

This creates a major exploration problem. Companies may be reluctant to explore land if they cannot be confident of later securing extraction rights.

Chile’s national lithium strategy also requires all new projects to use direct lithium extraction. DLE is viewed as more environmentally friendly than traditional evaporation ponds, but it creates technical and cost challenges.

Each DLE process must be designed around the specific chemistry of each brine resource. That means technology used at one salar cannot simply be copied at another.

This raises development costs and lengthens project timelines. Industry participants estimate that DLE projects may require investment of up to $44,000 per tonne of lithium carbonate equivalent, compared with about $26,000/t for evaporation projects.

Chile’s new supply pipeline is therefore moving slowly. The first major new project, Rio Tinto’s Maricunga, is expected only by the end of 2030, with another new project expected in 2032.

Until then, Chile may rely mainly on capacity increases from existing producers. That could limit its ability to respond to rising lithium demand if Argentina’s project pipeline accelerates.

Argentina’s Rigi Regime Attracts Lithium Capital

Argentina is moving in the opposite direction. Its government has streamlined licensing and introduced the Rigi incentive regime for large investments.

Rigi provides tax exemptions, import-export benefits and legal protections for approved projects. It also allows companies to settle certain disputes in courts outside Argentina, improving investor confidence.

Ten lithium projects have already applied to Rigi, with three approved. The programme has become a major signal to international investors seeking policy stability and faster project execution.

Argentina now has more than 60 active lithium projects and seven producing assets, the most in Latin America. Two new developments are expected to come on line this year, lifting projected output to 159,000t of lithium carbonate equivalent.

That remains below Chile’s 305,000t in 2024. However, Argentina has more than 20 projects in advanced stages, including eight close to production.

Argentina’s mining ministry expects output to reach 583,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2035. That would put the country in position to match or overtake Chile if Chile’s permitting regime does not change.

The investment logic is clear. Argentina offers large brine resources, a more open policy framework and exposure to western hemisphere supply chains. That combination is increasingly attractive to battery makers, automakers and mining companies.

Chile still has enormous lithium potential. But potential alone does not create supply. Without faster approvals and clearer rules, Chile risks losing regional leadership to Argentina.

For the lithium market, this shift matters. Argentina’s rise could increase competition, diversify supply and give buyers more options in South America. It could also make Latin America’s lithium growth less dependent on Chile’s policy choices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Argentina’s lithium advantage is not only geological; it is regulatory. Chile still has world-class resources, but Argentina is turning policy speed into supply-chain momentum.

Rio Tinto Copper Output Rises as Oyu Tolgoi Offsets Lithium Weakness

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Rio Tinto Copper Output Rises as Oyu Tolgoi Offsets Lithium Weakness
Rio Tinto

Rio Tinto copper output increased in the first quarter as stronger production from the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia lifted the group’s global copper performance. The UK-Australian miner produced 229,000t of consolidated copper in January-March, up 9% from a year earlier.

Rio Tinto copper output growth was driven mainly by copper in concentrates from Oyu Tolgoi, where production rose by 56% to 102,000t. The ramp-up helped offset weaker concentrate output at Escondida and lower refined copper production at Kennecott.

The first-quarter result shows the changing shape of Rio Tinto’s portfolio. Copper is gaining strategic weight as electrification, grids and industrial infrastructure support long-term demand, while lithium remains more exposed to weather, ramp-up timing and early-stage project execution.

At the same time, Rio Tinto reported higher alumina production but weaker bauxite and lithium output. Heavy rainfall and cyclone-related disruptions affected Australian bauxite mines, while weather events in Argentina reduced lithium carbonate equivalent production.

Copper Growth Strengthens Despite Mixed Mine Performance

Oyu Tolgoi was the strongest contributor to Rio Tinto copper output in the first quarter. Its continued ramp-up in Mongolia lifted copper in concentrates production to 102,000t, reinforcing the mine’s role as one of the group’s most important growth assets.

The result matters because large copper projects are increasingly difficult to bring into stable production. Oyu Tolgoi gives Rio Tinto a major long-life copper source at a time when global mine supply remains vulnerable to grades, permitting delays and operational disruptions.

Escondida delivered a mixed quarter. Refined copper output at the Chilean operation rose by 21% to 16,000t, but concentrates production fell by 14% to 77,000t.

Kennecott in the US was weaker. Refined copper production fell by 20% to 34,000t because of lower anode inventories after unplanned smelter maintenance and reduced concentrator throughput caused by geotechnical constraints.

Rio Tinto kept its full-year copper production guidance unchanged at 800,000-870,000t. This suggests the company sees first-quarter disruptions as manageable within its broader 2026 plan.

The company also began drilling at the Resolution Copper project in Arizona after completing the land exchange in March. Resolution remains strategically important because it could become a major US copper source if development advances.

Rio Tinto copper output therefore carries both short-term and long-term significance. Oyu Tolgoi is already lifting production, while Resolution represents future supply optionality in a market increasingly focused on domestic and allied copper sources.

Lithium Falls as Weather Disrupts Argentina Operations

Rio Tinto’s lithium performance weakened sharply in the first quarter. Attributable lithium carbonate equivalent production fell by 26% on the year to 12,700t.

The decline was caused by heavy rainfall and weather events that disrupted operations at Olaroz and Fenix in Argentina. These disruptions show that lithium brine and carbonate operations remain sensitive to weather, water balance and site logistics.

The continued ramp-up at the Rincón starter plant partly offset the production impact. Rincón is important for Rio Tinto’s lithium strategy because it supports the company’s expansion into battery materials.

Rio Tinto maintained its 2026 LCE production guidance at 61,000-64,000t. First production from Fenix 1B and Sal de Vida remains on track for the second half of 2026.

The aluminium chain also showed mixed results. Primary aluminium output rose by 1% on the year to 835,000t, but fell by 2% from the previous quarter.

Alumina production increased by 6% to 2.04mn t, while bauxite production fell by 11% to 13.28mn t. Heavy rainfall at Weipa in Queensland and cyclone-related shutdowns at Weipa and Gove reduced bauxite output.

Recycled aluminium production also fell by 8% to 61,000t. Rio Tinto kept 2026 guidance unchanged for primary aluminium, alumina and bauxite, indicating confidence in recovery through the year.

The first-quarter data show a portfolio with different operating pressures. Copper is benefiting from major mine ramp-up, lithium is facing weather disruption, and aluminium raw materials are exposed to Australian climate events.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Rio Tinto’s first quarter shows why diversified miners need both growth assets and operational resilience. Oyu Tolgoi is strengthening Rio Tinto copper output, but weather-linked lithium and bauxite disruptions show that energy-transition supply chains remain exposed to physical operating risk.

Stardust Lithium Chloride Feedstock Agreement Supports Oklahoma Refinery Plan

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Stardust Lithium Chloride Feedstock Agreement Supports Oklahoma Refinery Plan
Stardust Power

Stardust lithium chloride feedstock agreement has strengthened the company’s plan to supply its Muskogee, Oklahoma refinery with domestic lithium brine material for battery-grade lithium carbonate production. The deal covers lithium chloride feedstock from a California brine project, with initial deliveries scheduled for the first half of 2028.

The agreement could provide up to 15,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent. Stardust Power has not yet disclosed the specific project name or location, saying those details will follow after a definitive agreement is signed.

Stardust lithium chloride feedstock agreement is strategically important because the company’s Muskogee refinery is planned for up to 50,000 t/yr of LCE capacity. Securing feedstock is one of the most important requirements for any lithium conversion project, especially as the US tries to build more domestic battery materials capacity.

California Brine Supply Adds Domestic Feedstock Option

The feedstock will come from a lithium brine project in California, making the agreement part of a wider US push to connect brine resources with domestic refining. California’s Salton Sea region has become one of the most closely watched lithium extraction zones in North America.

Companies active in the region include Berkshire Hathaway Energy Renewables, EnergySource and Controlled Thermal Resources. Based on expected integration and potential volume, Controlled Thermal Resources is considered the most likely supplier.

This matters because lithium chloride from brine projects can become an important input for downstream lithium carbonate production. If direct lithium extraction and brine processing projects scale successfully, they could reduce US dependence on imported lithium chemicals.

The timing remains important. Deliveries are not expected until 2028, which means Stardust still needs to manage project development, financing, permitting, customer qualification and feedstock conversion before commercial output can be secured.

Muskogee Refinery Builds a Broader Lithium Supply Network

Stardust’s Muskogee refinery is planned to produce battery-grade lithium carbonate, a key material for cathode production and lithium-ion batteries. The project is designed for up to 50,000 t/yr of LCE capacity, making feedstock diversification essential.

The California agreement adds to Stardust’s existing feedstock network. Other partners include Prairie Lithium in Canada and Mandrake Resources in Utah, giving the company multiple potential raw material streams.

The company also has a non-binding offtake agreement with Sumitomo for up to 25,000 t/yr of LCE over 10 years. That agreement gives Stardust a potential downstream sales channel, but commercial execution will depend on turning feedstock agreements into qualified battery-grade production.

For the US lithium supply chain, the project reflects a broader challenge. Domestic refinery announcements are increasing, but long-term success depends on reliable brine supply, conversion technology, customer qualification and competitive production costs.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Stardust’s agreement shows that lithium refining projects are only as strong as their feedstock base. The Muskogee refinery could become a meaningful US lithium carbonate platform, but its real test will be converting domestic brine supply into bankable, battery-grade output.

Ascend Elements Bankruptcy Exposes Pressure in Battery Recycling Market

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Ascend Elements Bankruptcy Exposes Pressure in Battery Recycling Market
Ascend Elements

Ascend Elements bankruptcy filing shows how difficult the battery recycling business has become as electric vehicle adoption slows in the US and Europe. The US battery recycler has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and will use the court-supervised process to restructure liabilities while continuing normal operations.

Ascend Elements bankruptcy comes despite major commercial and government-backed support. The company said it had secured more than $2bn in commercial agreements and a $320mn grant from Poland, but these were not enough to overcome longstanding financial issues and outstanding liabilities.

The filing highlights a broader weakness in the battery recycling sector. Recyclers need steady end-of-life battery and production scrap feedstock, but slower EV growth has limited available material and made it harder to sell recovered products into battery supply chains.

Funding and Offtake Deals Failed to Offset Financial Pressure

Ascend had previously planned to develop cathode active material production in Hopkinsville, Kentucky. However, the company and the US Department of Energy agreed in March 2025 to cancel a $164mn grant for that project.

The company later received a $320mn grant from Poland in May 2025 to build a precursor cathode active material plant. That support showed continued policy interest in battery materials localization, especially in Europe.

Ascend also signed a five-year offtake agreement to supply Trafigura with 15,000t of lithium carbonate from 2027 to 2031. The agreement gave the company a future sales channel, but it did not solve its immediate balance-sheet pressure.

Slower EV Growth Weakens Recycling Economics

Ascend Elements bankruptcy reflects the timing problem facing battery recyclers. Many business models were built around rapid EV growth, rising battery scrap availability and strong demand for recycled lithium, nickel, cobalt and cathode materials.

But slower EV adoption has delayed feedstock growth and reduced market confidence. Without sufficient input material and reliable downstream demand, recyclers can struggle to operate at the scale needed to justify large processing and materials investments.

The pressure is not limited to Ascend. Texas-based recycler Ecobat is selling assets in the UK, France, Italy, Germany and Austria to focus on North America, showing that consolidation and retrenchment are spreading across the sector.


The Metalnomist Commentary

Ascend Elements bankruptcy shows that battery recycling is strategically important but commercially unforgiving. The winners will be companies with secured feedstock, disciplined capital spending and customers ready to buy recycled battery materials at scale.

China Battery Overcapacity Crackdown Targets Price Wars and Overseas Expansion

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China Battery Overcapacity Crackdown Targets Price Wars and Overseas Expansion
China Battery

China battery overcapacity concerns deepened after government authorities held another meeting with leading power and energy storage battery producers on 9 April. The meeting signalled stronger regulatory pressure on disorderly competition, low-price strategies and excessive capacity expansion in the lithium battery sector.

The meeting brought together 16 major battery producers and several industry associations. It was the second such regulatory session since January, showing that Beijing sees battery overcapacity as a structural industrial risk rather than a short-term market adjustment.

China battery overcapacity has grown as domestic and overseas capacity plans have moved far ahead of actual demand. Regulators are now seeking capacity early-warning mechanisms, stronger market-order controls and tighter oversight of aggressive price competition.

Regulators Target Involution-Style Competition

Chinese authorities said the meeting aimed to implement senior government directives against “involution-style” competition. This term refers to excessive internal rivalry that destroys margins, weakens investment discipline and creates unsustainable price wars.

Regulators also discussed a negative list of irrational competitive practices in the power and energy storage battery industry. This would give authorities a clearer tool to identify and restrict behaviour that destabilises the market.

The new focus on the “externalisation of involution” is especially important. It shows that Beijing is now concerned not only about domestic overcapacity, but also about excessive overseas expansion by Chinese battery producers.

Chinese battery companies have accelerated global plant construction to serve overseas demand and reduce exposure to geopolitical restrictions. But if too much capacity is exported abroad, price pressure could spread into global power battery and energy storage markets.

Capacity Mismatch Creates Pressure Across Battery Materials

China’s power and energy storage battery output reached 1,755.6GWh in 2025, up 60.1% from a year earlier. Sales rose by 63.6% to 1,700.5GWh, confirming strong demand growth but also exposing the scale of capacity pressure.

Planned national capacity has climbed close to 5,000GWh. That implies utilisation rates below 40%, which helps explain why regulators are concerned about price wars and weak production discipline.

The issue also matters for battery materials. Overcapacity can pressure cathode active materials, precursors, lithium carbonate, graphite, copper foil, separators and electrolytes if producers chase volumes rather than margins.

Chinese battery firms are also becoming more important abroad. CATL, BYD, Gotion High-Tech, Farasis Energy, SVOLT Energy and CALB recorded 218GWh of overseas power battery installations in 2025, accounting for 47.2% of the global market.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s battery crackdown shows that scale alone is no longer enough. The next phase of battery competition will reward disciplined capacity, stronger technology, regional supply-chain positioning and healthier margins over pure volume growth.

Zijin Zinc Output Fell in 2025 as Lithium and Molybdenum Production Rose

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Zijin Zinc Output Fell in 2025 as Lithium and Molybdenum Production Rose
Zijin Zinc

Zijin zinc output declined in 2025 as the Chinese diversified miner shifted part of its zinc production base from open-pit to underground mining. Zijin Mining produced 357,453t metal equivalent of zinc concentrate, down 12% from a year earlier.

The company’s lead concentrate output also fell by 7.5% to 41,065t metal equivalent. Zijin aims to produce 400,000t of zinc and lead concentrate in 2026, broadly in line with its combined 2025 output.

Zijin zinc output was mainly affected by the transition at the Bisha mine in Eritrea. The move to underground mining temporarily reduced production while new infrastructure was being built, with transition-related work continuing through 2025-26.

Bisha Transition Weighed on Zinc as Market Surplus Risk Increased

The Bisha mine remained the main reason behind Zijin’s lower zinc performance. The company expects zinc concentrate output from Bisha to recover by around 10% to 91,000t metal equivalent in 2026, compared with 83,000t in 2025.

Zijin remained China’s largest mined zinc producer and the world’s fourth-largest. The company also retained an advantage in developing and operating lower-grade zinc and lead ore bodies.

China produced around 3.35mn t of mined zinc in 2025, according to industry estimates. However, Zijin expects China’s zinc market to move into surplus in 2026 as rising concentrate supply and weak real estate demand outweigh support from the power generation sector.

The company expects zinc prices to trend lower in the second half of 2026. This outlook suggests that zinc producers may face tighter margins unless infrastructure, power-sector demand, or export flows provide stronger support.

Lithium and Molybdenum Became Key Growth Pillars

Zijin lithium production rose sharply as the company accelerated its battery materials strategy. The miner produced 5,800t of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2025 and plans to lift output to 30,000t LCE in 2026.

The company’s lithium portfolio has entered a faster ramp-up phase. The Laguocuo salt lake project in Tibet, the 3Q salt lake project in Argentina, and the Xiangyuan hard-rock lithium project have all entered production, while construction at the Manono lithium project continues.

Zijin also completed its acquisition to control Zangge Mining. Under its plan, the company expects LCE output to rise sharply to 270,000–320,000t by 2028, positioning it as a major future lithium supplier.

Molybdenum also strengthened. Zijin produced 11,500t in 2025, up 24% from a year earlier, as it moved toward becoming one of the world’s largest molybdenum producers. Its Shapinggou molybdenum project in Anhui received approval for a 10mn t/yr mining and beneficiation project in October 2025, supporting a target of 25,000–35,000t of mined molybdenum by 2028.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Zijin’s 2025 results show a portfolio in transition. Zinc is facing mine-cycle and market pressure, while lithium and molybdenum are becoming stronger growth engines tied to batteries, specialty steels, and energy transition demand.

Global Energy Storage Market Expands as China Drives Record Growth

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Global Energy Storage Market Expands as China Drives Record Growth
China Energy Storage

Global energy storage market growth accelerated in 2025, with China remaining the main force behind new capacity additions and technology diversification. The country’s cumulative operating power storage capacity reached 213.3GW by the end of the year, accounting for 43% of the global total.

China energy storage growth was especially strong in new-type energy storage, which includes lithium-ion batteries and vanadium redox flow batteries but excludes pumped hydro. China’s new-type storage capacity rose to 144.7GW, representing more than two-thirds of its total storage fleet and 51.9% of global new-type installations.

The global energy storage market also became more diversified. Pumped hydro’s share of global operating capacity fell below 50% for the first time, while new-type storage expanded rapidly to 278.7GW/687.5GWh.

China Leads Storage Deployment as VRFB Projects Gain Share

China’s energy storage sector remained dominated by lithium-ion batteries in 2025. However, lithium-ion’s share slipped slightly as several large long-duration storage projects using all-vanadium redox flow battery technology came online.

This shift matters because grid storage demand is no longer only about short-duration battery systems. Longer-duration applications are gaining relevance as renewable penetration rises and power systems require more flexibility, peak shifting and grid stability.

Independent energy storage became China’s main application model, accounting for around 60% of total installed capacity. This shows that storage is increasingly being deployed as standalone grid infrastructure, not only as an accessory to solar or wind projects.

Chinese manufacturers also strengthened their global position. Sungrow, Tesla, CRRC Zhuzhou Institute, BYD and Envision Energy ranked as the world’s top five energy storage system shipment providers in 2025, highlighting the growing concentration of supply among large integrated players.

Lithium Demand Rises as Storage Becomes a Core Battery Market

The global energy storage market reached 496.2GW of cumulative operating power storage capacity by the end of 2025, up 33.3% from the previous year. New installations hit a record 123.9GW, led by China, the US and Europe, while the Middle East and Latin America gained momentum.

The US added 18.4GW/48.3GWh of new-type storage capacity in 2025, while Europe added 15.4GW/32.1GWh. These figures show that storage growth is becoming global, even though China remains the dominant scale market.

Energy storage is also reshaping battery materials demand. The sector accounted for 25% of global lithium demand in 2025, up sharply from 5% in 2020, making storage one of the most important demand drivers for lithium carbonate, lithium iron phosphate materials and battery supply chains.

Stronger storage demand helped push battery-grade lithium carbonate prices to 158,000-168,000 yuan/t at the end of March, up 120% from a year earlier. This confirms that stationary storage has moved from a secondary battery market into a major force in lithium pricing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s dominance in energy storage shows how quickly battery supply chains can scale when policy, manufacturing and grid demand align. The next phase will test whether lithium, vanadium and power equipment supply can keep pace with global storage deployment.