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Nickel Industries HPAL Expansion Targets More Indonesian MHP Supply

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Nickel Industries HPAL Expansion Targets More Indonesian MHP Supply
Nickel Ore

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion will add stakes in two Indonesian high-pressure acid leach projects next to its existing Excelsior Nickel Cobalt operation in Central Sulawesi. The acquisitions give the company access to additional mixed hydroxide precipitate capacity for the electric vehicle battery market.

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion comes as Indonesia restricts new HPAL project development. The government stopped issuing new licences in late 2025, making acquisitions of existing permitted projects increasingly important for producers seeking growth.

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion covers the Teluk Metal Industry and Chengsheng New Energy projects, both located in the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park. Together, the transactions could add nearly 17,000 t/yr of attributable MHP capacity to Nickel Industries.

The strategy deepens the company’s downstream exposure beyond nickel ore and conventional smelting into battery-grade nickel intermediates, nickel sulphate and cathode production.

HPAL Licence Restrictions Increase the Value of Existing Projects

Nickel Industries will pay $169mn for a 17.5% stake in the planned Teluk Metal Industry HPAL project.

TMI has nameplate MHP capacity of 38,640 t/yr. Nickel Industries’ equity share will provide around 6,775 t/yr of attributable production.

Tsingshan has provided a construction guarantee covering the project, capping Nickel Industries’ investment at $169mn and targeting nameplate production by September 2027.

The company will also gain exposure to the Chengsheng New Energy project through a separate transaction involving equity in its Sampala nickel mine.

CNE has MHP capacity of 28,357 t/yr, with around 10,208 t/yr attributable to Nickel Industries. Commissioning is expected by mid-2027.

The two acquisitions are especially valuable because Indonesia is no longer approving new HPAL developments. This effectively raises the strategic value of existing permits and projects already in development.

For producers seeking to expand battery-nickel capacity, buying into permitted facilities may now be more realistic than pursuing greenfield HPAL projects.

MHP Growth Strengthens Battery-Nickel Integration

Both TMI and CNE will operate alongside Nickel Industries’ 46%-owned Excelsior Nickel Cobalt project in the Morowali industrial complex.

ENC is expected to produce nickel cathode and nickel sulphate, extending the company further downstream into products used in battery supply chains.

TMI and CNE will produce MHP using ore from the Sampala project, strengthening the link between mine supply and downstream processing.

This integration can improve control over ore quality, operating costs and feedstock availability.

Indonesia’s policy shift also suggests that future nickel growth may become more concentrated among producers that already control mines, processing infrastructure and approved HPAL projects.

That could slow the pace of new supply while strengthening larger integrated groups with existing licences and partnerships.

For the global battery market, the acquisitions reinforce Indonesia’s central role in nickel intermediates even as Jakarta tries to limit oversupply and support prices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Indonesia’s HPAL restrictions are turning existing licences into strategic assets. Nickel Industries is responding by buying into permitted projects, allowing it to expand battery-grade nickel supply without relying on new greenfield approvals.

Energy Fuels VAC Acquisition Creates Mine-to-Magnet Rare Earth Platform

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Energy Fuels VAC Acquisition Creates Mine-to-Magnet Rare Earth Platform
Energy Fuels

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition will give the US critical minerals producer downstream permanent magnet manufacturing capacity through a $1.9bn cash-and-stock deal for Germany-based Vacuumschmelze.

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition is strategically significant because it links rare earth mining and separation with metals, alloys and finished magnet production. The company is attempting to build one of the most vertically integrated non-China rare earth supply chains.

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition also adds existing manufacturing operations across North America, Europe and Asia. VAC produces sintered neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnets alongside cobalt-iron and nickel-iron soft magnetic materials.

The transaction moves Energy Fuels well beyond its historical uranium business and positions rare earth magnets as a major future growth platform.

VAC Adds Immediate Magnet Manufacturing Capacity

VAC operates 2,000 t/yr of permanent magnet capacity at its Sumter, South Carolina, facility. The site could eventually expand to as much as 12,000 t/yr.

This capacity gives Energy Fuels a downstream outlet for rare earth materials produced from its growing mining and refining portfolio.

VAC’s NdFeB magnets are used across electrification, industrial motors and other high-performance applications. These products require neodymium and praseodymium, while selected grades also depend on heavy rare earths such as dysprosium and terbium.

Energy Fuels has already demonstrated production of high-purity dysprosium and terbium oxides at its White Mesa Mill in Utah.

The combination therefore creates a potential route from separated oxides into metal, alloy and finished magnet production inside a western-controlled supply chain.

Government support strengthens the platform. VAC has secured $41mn to develop US metal-making capability, while Energy Fuels has received a conditional commitment for up to $725mn in long-term financing to expand White Mesa and support a planned US metals facility.

Vertical Integration Targets the West’s Main Rare Earth Bottleneck

Energy Fuels is also pursuing the acquisition of Australian Strategic Minerals, which would add commercial-scale rare earth metal and alloy capacity in South Korea and a planned US operation.

If both transactions proceed, the company could control multiple stages from mineral extraction through separation, metallization, alloying and magnet manufacturing.

This is important because the western rare earth challenge is not primarily a shortage of deposits. The larger weakness remains midstream and downstream processing capacity.

China continues to dominate separation, rare earth metal production and permanent magnet manufacturing, making these stages strategically more important than mining alone.

Energy Fuels is attempting to close that gap through acquisitions rather than developing every capability internally.

VAC will remain headquartered in Germany as a wholly owned subsidiary, preserving its existing technical base and customer relationships while gaining access to Energy Fuels’ upstream materials.

The industrial logic is therefore straightforward: secure feedstock, process it into separated rare earths, convert it into metals and alloys, and manufacture finished magnets within one integrated platform.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Energy Fuels is trying to solve the western rare earth problem at the stage where it matters most: downstream conversion into magnets. If integration succeeds, the company could emerge as one of the few western platforms controlling the chain from mineral feed to finished NdFeB products.

Sherritt Nickel-Cobalt Refinery Shutdown Exposes Cuba Feedstock Risk

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Sherritt Nickel-Cobalt Refinery Shutdown Exposes Cuba Feedstock Risk
Sherritt

Sherritt nickel cobalt refinery operations at Fort Saskatchewan in Alberta will enter a shutdown state after feedstock from the company’s Moa joint venture in Cuba became unavailable.

Sherritt nickel cobalt refinery production depends on mixed sulfide precipitate shipped from the Moa mine, where nickel and cobalt ore is mined and processed before final refining in Canada.

Sherritt nickel cobalt refinery shutdown highlights the vulnerability of processing facilities that rely on a single international feed source. The company has not provided a timeline for restarting nickel and cobalt refining.

The shutdown follows fuel-related disruptions at Moa and increased US sanctions on Cuba, which led Sherritt to suspend its direct participation in the joint venture.

Cuba Disruption Breaks the Mine-to-Refinery Supply Chain

The Moa joint venture is owned equally by Sherritt and Cuba’s General Nickel Company. Its operating model links Cuban mining and intermediate processing directly with Canadian refining.

Ore from Moa is processed into mixed sulfide precipitate before shipment to Fort Saskatchewan for conversion into finished nickel and cobalt products.

That structure becomes vulnerable when upstream operations stop. Sherritt had already warned that existing refinery feed inventories would last only until around mid-June.

Fuel shortages initially forced the Moa operation to suspend mining activity in February. Additional uncertainty followed after the US expanded sanctions on Cuba, prompting Sherritt to suspend its direct participation in the joint venture in May.

The refinery will remain shut until Moa mining and processing resume and enough intermediate material is available to rebuild feed supply.

This shows that refining capacity alone does not guarantee critical mineral security. A plant can remain technically capable of producing metal while geopolitical or logistical problems interrupt the upstream feed required to operate it.

Nickel and Cobalt Output Stops While Byproduct Production Continues

Sherritt will use the shutdown period to carry out maintenance at Fort Saskatchewan.

The company will continue producing fertilizer and sulfuric acid, showing that some parts of the industrial complex can remain operational even while nickel and cobalt refining is suspended.

However, the loss of finished nickel and cobalt output reduces North American availability of two important materials used across stainless steel, superalloys, batteries and other industrial applications.

Cobalt is particularly relevant to aerospace, defence and battery supply chains, while refined nickel remains important for both conventional metallurgy and selected battery chemistries.

The disruption also underlines the strategic importance of diversified feedstock. Refiners that can process material from multiple mines or jurisdictions have greater resilience when one supply route fails.

For Sherritt, the key issue is therefore not refinery maintenance but restoration of a stable Cuban feed stream.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Fort Saskatchewan shows that midstream capacity is only as secure as its upstream feed. North American critical minerals policy must address concentrate and intermediate supply alongside domestic refining capacity.

Lobito Rail Corridor Resumes DRC Copper Freight After Flood Disruption

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Lobito Rail Corridor Resumes DRC Copper Freight After Flood Disruption
Lobito Atlantic Railway

Lobito rail corridor freight has resumed for copper shipments from the Democratic Republic of Congo after repairs reopened a flood-damaged section of railway in Angola. The restart restores a key Atlantic export route for central African copper and cobalt.

Lobito rail corridor operations were interrupted for around two months after severe flooding damaged infrastructure between Lobito and Huambo in April. Emergency repairs have now restored safe rail operations across the affected section.

Lobito rail corridor is strategically important because it gives DRC and potentially Zambian producers a westbound alternative to longer export routes through southern and eastern Africa.

The first international copper train since the reopening marks the return of mineral freight to a route that is becoming increasingly important to western critical minerals strategy.

Atlantic Route Diversifies Copper and Cobalt Logistics

The Lobito corridor links the central African copperbelt with Angola's Atlantic coast, giving miners another route to global markets.

The DRC is one of the world's most important copper and cobalt producers, but its landlocked position makes logistics a critical part of supply security.

Traditional export routes depend heavily on road and rail corridors stretching toward southern and eastern African ports. Congestion, border delays and infrastructure failures can increase transport times and costs.

Lobito offers a shorter western outlet for some producers and reduces dependence on individual transport corridors.

LAR maintained part of the network during the disruption. Rail services continued between Huambo and Luau, while freight was transferred between road and rail through a multimodal contingency system to bypass the damaged section.

That continuity helped limit the impact of the outage, but the disruption still demonstrated how transport bottlenecks can affect mineral availability even when mine production remains unchanged.

Climate Resilience Becomes a Critical Minerals Issue

The flood damage highlights an emerging risk for mining supply chains: physical infrastructure must withstand increasingly severe weather events.

Railways carrying copper and cobalt through remote regions depend on bridges, embankments, drainage systems and other assets that can take significant time to repair after flooding.

LAR is now moving into a second recovery phase focused on engineering studies and measures to improve the railway's resilience.

This matters because future volumes through Lobito are expected to grow as governments and mining companies seek more diversified critical mineral routes.

The corridor is also strategically important to western countries seeking alternative supply chains for copper, cobalt and battery materials.

Reliable logistics could therefore become as important as new mine capacity. Strong copper prices and tightening concentrate markets mean transport disruptions can quickly add regional supply pressure.

If Lobito can maintain higher throughput and withstand future weather events, it could become one of the most important logistics links connecting African mineral production with Atlantic markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Lobito restart shows that critical minerals security depends on transport infrastructure as much as mining capacity. The corridor's long-term value will be determined by whether it can deliver reliable copper and cobalt flows despite climate, congestion and geopolitical risks.

China Strategic Minerals Framework Tightens State Control Over 36 Resources

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China Strategic Minerals Framework Tightens State Control Over 36 Resources
Strategic Minerals

China strategic minerals policy has entered a more formal phase after Beijing placed 36 mineral resources under tighter central government control. The revised regulations strengthen state oversight of mining, exploration, production quotas and strategic reserves.

China strategic minerals covered by the framework include major industrial metals, battery materials, rare earths, semiconductor metals and energy resources. The rules also include non-metallic materials such as graphite, phosphate, fluorite and high-purity quartz.

China strategic minerals regulation is significant because many of the affected materials are essential to batteries, aerospace, defence, semiconductors, energy infrastructure and advanced manufacturing.

The immediate market impact has been limited because several controls already existed in practice. However, formalising them under a single legal framework could strengthen Beijing's ability to manage supply over the longer term.

Centralised Quotas and Reserves Strengthen Supply Management

The Ministry of Natural Resources, working with the National Development and Reform Commission, will set annual mining quotas for strategic minerals.

The objective is to prevent uncontrolled production while giving central authorities greater control over national resource development.

Approvals for new exploration and mining rights will also be consolidated at the central level. Authorities will restrict the number of mining licences granted for individual deposits.

This could slow uncontrolled capacity growth in some markets while giving Beijing more influence over production timing and regional development.

The new framework also establishes a three-tier reserve system covering physical product inventories, production capacity and undeveloped resource sites.

State and private companies will jointly participate in stockpiling, while resource-site reserves are expected to remain available for at least five years.

This creates a broader security mechanism than conventional commodity stockpiles. China will not only hold material inventories but also preserve future production capability and undeveloped resources.

For strategically sensitive metals, this could provide Beijing with greater flexibility to respond to supply disruptions, price volatility or geopolitical pressure.

Rare Earths and Semiconductor Metals Gain Greater Strategic Weight

The list covers 25 metallic commodities, including iron, copper, aluminium, titanium, vanadium, manganese and chromium.

Battery materials such as lithium, cobalt and nickel are included alongside all 17 rare earth elements.

China has also designated tungsten, antimony, tin and molybdenum as strategic resources, together with semiconductor and specialty metals including gallium, germanium, indium, rhenium, niobium, tantalum, beryllium, zirconium and hafnium.

This combination is important because China already holds dominant positions across many of these supply chains.

Rare earth separation, tungsten processing, antimony, gallium and germanium are particularly sensitive because alternative global processing capacity remains limited.

The inclusion of high-purity quartz also highlights the expanding definition of strategic materials. Quartz is an important input in semiconductor and solar manufacturing, linking mineral security directly with advanced technology industries.

The framework therefore goes beyond mining policy. It strengthens China's ability to manage the upstream materials required for manufacturing competitiveness and national security.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China is moving from individual export controls and quotas toward a comprehensive strategic resources system. The long-term implication is greater state influence over not only current supply, but also future capacity and undeveloped reserves across many of the world's most critical materials.

UCB Power BESS Production Gains Tax Support in Brazil

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UCB Power BESS Production Gains Tax Support in Brazil
UCB Power

UCB Power BESS production will receive tax support as Brazil seeks to expand domestic manufacturing of battery energy storage systems. The Brazilian battery producer will benefit from reduced import tariffs on foreign components used in production.

UCB Power BESS production adds another industrial layer to Brazil’s growing energy storage market. The incentives will be administered through the Manaus Free Trade Zone framework, although specific tariff reductions have not been disclosed.

UCB Power BESS production also has implications for critical mineral demand. Lithium-ion storage systems require materials including lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, graphite, copper and aluminium across cells, electrical systems and enclosures.

The policy therefore supports more than battery assembly. It could help Brazil gradually build a domestic energy storage ecosystem around renewable power, grids and industrial electricity management.

Tax Incentives Strengthen Domestic Battery Manufacturing

Brazil’s Manaus Free Trade Zone provides tax incentives intended to encourage industrial production in the country’s northern region.

UCB Power will gain lower import costs for foreign components required in BESS manufacturing. This can improve the competitiveness of domestic production while Brazil develops more local supply capability.

The incentives remain subject to standard requirements within the Manaus framework, including environmental and research obligations.

Battery storage manufacturing remains dependent on imported cells, materials and electronic components in many emerging markets. Lower tariffs can therefore reduce the cost disadvantage faced by local manufacturers during the early stages of industry development.

UCB already operates battery factories in Manaus and Extrema, Minas Gerais. The company says its portfolio represents more than 7.8GWh of installed capacity.

That existing manufacturing base gives UCB a stronger position to expand into grid-scale and industrial energy storage as Brazilian electricity demand evolves.

BESS Growth Could Create New Critical Mineral Demand

Battery energy storage is becoming increasingly important as power systems integrate more intermittent renewable generation.

BESS installations can store electricity when supply is abundant and discharge it when demand rises, improving grid flexibility and helping industrial users manage electricity costs.

Lithium-ion technology currently dominates the market, creating demand across a broad range of battery materials.

For Brazil, this creates an opportunity to connect domestic battery manufacturing with its substantial mineral resource base. The country has resources across lithium, nickel, manganese and other materials relevant to energy storage.

However, mineral availability alone will not create an integrated battery industry. Brazil will need refining, active materials production, cell manufacturing and recycling capacity if it wants to capture more of the value chain.

Supporting BESS assembly is therefore an early step toward a broader industrial ecosystem rather than the endpoint.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Brazil has the mineral resources and renewable power base to build a larger battery industry, but the missing link remains downstream processing and cell production. UCB’s expansion can help create domestic demand that makes those investments more commercially attractive.

Colorado Battery Recycling Law Sets Mandatory Lithium Recovery Targets

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Colorado Battery Recycling Law Sets Mandatory Lithium Recovery Targets
Colorado Battery Recycling

Colorado battery recycling law introduces mandatory recovery targets for lithium, nickel and cobalt from electric and hybrid vehicle batteries. The measure creates a more structured framework for recovering critical minerals from end-of-life batteries.

Colorado battery recycling law requires recyclers to recover 50% of lithium from spent batteries by 2031 and 80% by 2035. Nickel and cobalt recovery must reach 90% by 2031.

Colorado battery recycling law will also prohibit landfilling of EV batteries from July 2029. This should push more used packs toward reuse, dismantling and materials recovery.

The legislation strengthens the commercial case for domestic battery recycling by creating clearer collection obligations and long-term recovery requirements.

Mandatory Recovery Targets Support Secondary Battery Materials

The Battery Stewardship Act requires battery stewardship organizations to submit plans covering collection, transportation, processing and recycling.

The lithium target is particularly important because recovering lithium economically has historically been more challenging than recovering nickel and cobalt.

A 50% recovery requirement by 2031 gives recyclers time to improve process efficiency before the threshold rises to 80% in 2035.

The 90% recovery requirement for nickel and cobalt sets an even higher standard. Both metals remain valuable inputs for several lithium-ion battery chemistries.

Recovering these materials can reduce dependence on newly mined supply and create more domestic secondary feedstock for battery manufacturers.

The landfill ban reinforces that objective by keeping valuable battery materials inside the industrial supply chain.

Producer Fees Could Improve Battery Collection and Recycling Economics

Battery providers will fund part of the system through fees linked to their share of battery vehicles registered in Colorado.

An initial programme fee will support implementation. Annual payments beginning by July 2030 will cover administration, enforcement and regulatory costs.

This shifts more responsibility for end-of-life batteries toward companies placing battery vehicles into the market.

The framework could also improve feedstock certainty for recyclers. Reliable access to spent batteries remains one of the biggest challenges facing the emerging US battpery recycling industry.

Over time, the legislation may encourage better pack design for dismantling, reuse and materials recovery.

If similar policies spread to other states, US battery recycling could develop around mandatory recovery standards rather than voluntary collection alone.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Colorado is turning battery recycling into a regulated critical minerals supply chain. The most important benefit may be feedstock certainty, because recyclers need predictable battery volumes as much as better recovery technology.

Brazil Semiconductor Production Gains BNDES Funding as Industrial Strategy Expands

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Brazil Semiconductor Production Gains BNDES Funding as Industrial Strategy Expands
Zilia Technologies

Brazil semiconductor production will receive new government-backed financing after development bank BNDES approved a R143.3mn loan for Zilia Technologies. The funding will support research, production expansion and modernization of the company's manufacturing facilities.

Brazil semiconductor production is becoming part of a broader industrial strategy aimed at reducing dependence on imported electronic components. Zilia will use the financing to develop semiconductor products for smartphones, computers, vehicles, security equipment and other technology markets.

Brazil semiconductor production also increasingly connects with the country's critical minerals strategy. BNDES is preparing major investment in lithium, cobalt, nickel, rare earths and other strategic materials as Brazil seeks to capture more value from its mineral resources.

The investment strengthens Brazil's ambition to move beyond raw material exports and build more domestic advanced manufacturing capacity.

BNDES Funding Targets Domestic Semiconductor Capability

Zilia will use part of the financing to modernize its facilities in Atibaia, Sao Paulo state. The investment is intended to expand research capabilities and improve semiconductor production.

Brazil currently depends heavily on imported technology components, making domestic manufacturing capacity strategically important for electronics, automotive and industrial sectors.

Semiconductors have become increasingly important to vehicle production as electrification, connectivity and advanced driver systems increase chip content per vehicle.

Consumer electronics and security systems provide additional markets for domestic production.

BNDES sees the investment as a way to strengthen industrial resilience while reducing exposure to overseas component shortages.

The financing also builds on Brazil's wider industrial policy. The country's new industry programme launched in 2024 included plans for annual investment to strengthen domestic semiconductor capabilities.

Critical Minerals Could Support a Broader Technology Value Chain

Brazil's semiconductor ambitions sit alongside a much larger critical minerals investment strategy.

BNDES has indicated plans to deploy R50bn into projects linked to strategic minerals including lithium, cobalt, nickel and rare earth elements.

These materials support wider electronics, battery, magnet and advanced manufacturing supply chains. Brazil's large resource base gives the country an opportunity to connect mineral extraction with higher-value industrial processing.

Brazil holds significant reserves of critical minerals, but much of their economic value can be lost if materials are exported before refining, conversion or advanced manufacturing.

The strategic opportunity is therefore downstream integration. Domestic processing, specialty materials and electronics production could allow Brazil to capture more value from resources already present inside the country.

Semiconductor manufacturing itself also depends on highly specialised materials, chemicals, gases and equipment. Building a competitive domestic industry will therefore require more than mineral availability alone.

Brazil will need technology, skilled labour, infrastructure and long-term private investment alongside government financing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Brazil's opportunity lies in linking mineral wealth with higher-value technology manufacturing rather than treating the two strategies separately. BNDES funding can provide the bridge, but competitiveness will depend on building the processing, materials and technical ecosystem between mines and semiconductor production.

GM Redwood Battery Storage Project Extends EV Battery Value Chain

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GM Redwood Battery Storage Project Extends EV Battery Value Chain
BESS

GM Redwood battery storage project will deploy repurposed electric vehicle battery packs at a General Motors plant in Michigan, extending the useful life of batteries before final recycling.

GM Redwood battery storage project will combine 100 reused EV battery packs into a 1.5MW/7.2MWh battery energy storage system. The installation will provide dispatchable power and help reduce electricity costs at the manufacturing site.

GM Redwood battery storage project is significant because it connects battery manufacturing, vehicle use, second-life energy storage and materials recovery within one supply chain. Redwood estimates the system will save more than $3mn in electricity costs over its operating life.

The project also shows how retired EV batteries can remain economically valuable even after they no longer meet automotive performance requirements.

Second-Life Batteries Add Value Before Recycling

EV batteries typically retain significant usable capacity when they are removed from vehicles. That remaining energy storage capability can support stationary applications where weight and space are less restrictive than in automotive use.

Repurposing packs for BESS applications can therefore delay recycling while extracting additional economic value from the battery.

For industrial facilities, storage systems can help manage peak electricity demand, provide backup power and shift energy consumption toward lower-cost periods.

The Michigan installation gives GM a direct opportunity to reduce plant electricity costs using batteries already linked to its own vehicle ecosystem.

This model also reduces the need for newly manufactured cells in some stationary storage applications. That can lower incremental demand for lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and other battery materials.

However, second-life systems still require testing, battery management and safety controls because used packs can have different degradation histories and performance characteristics.

Redwood Builds Closed-Loop Battery Supply Chain With GM

Redwood's relationship with GM extends across multiple stages of the battery lifecycle. The recycler handles manufacturing scrap, end-of-life EV packs and now second-life energy storage deployment.

Redwood has already received more than 28,000t of material from GM, with another 10,000 EV battery packs expected to enter the pipeline.

The company also works with Ultium Cells, GM's joint venture with LG Energy Solution, to recycle battery production scrap from facilities in Ohio and Tennessee.

This creates a more integrated materials loop. Manufacturing scrap can return quickly to recycling, while vehicle batteries can first enter stationary storage before eventually being processed for material recovery.

The approach could become increasingly important as EV battery volumes grow. Recycling alone captures raw materials, but second-life deployment can add another revenue stage before final recovery.

For automakers, that can improve battery economics while strengthening access to recycled lithium, nickel, cobalt and copper over the longer term.

The Metalnomist Commentary

GM and Redwood are showing that the battery circular economy does not begin with recycling. Second-life storage can create an additional commercial stage between vehicle use and materials recovery, improving both battery economics and supply-chain efficiency.

India Manganese Ore Duty Removal Cuts Ferro-Alloy Costs

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India Manganese Ore Duty Removal Cuts Ferro-Alloy Costs
India Manganese Ore

India manganese ore duty removal will lower raw material costs for domestic ferro-alloy producers after the government scrapped the 2.5% basic customs duty on imported manganese ore and concentrates.

India manganese ore duty removal is expected to reduce producer costs by around 1.25-2.5%, improving margins for silico-manganese and ferro-manganese smelters. The change also makes imported ore more competitive against domestic material.

India manganese ore duty removal comes as alloy producers face pressure from high ore and power costs. Lower import costs could strengthen export competitiveness and encourage producers to increase utilisation where market demand allows.

India imports around 5.5mn-6.5mn t/yr of manganese ore, making overseas supply structurally important to the country's steel and ferro-alloy industry.

Lower Ore Costs Strengthen Ferro-Alloy Producers

South Africa dominates India's manganese ore imports because its high-grade and chemically consistent material performs well in submerged-arc furnaces.

India also imports significant volumes from Gabon, Australia and Ghana. Around 2.03mn t entered the country during the first quarter of 2026.

Removing the customs duty directly improves the economics of imported feedstock. Producers can lower blended ore costs or increase the proportion of higher-grade imported material.

Silico-manganese and ferro-manganese producers should benefit most. These alloys are essential deoxidising and alloying inputs for structural steel, automotive steel, rail products and special steels.

Steel production typically consumes around 6-9kg of manganese per tonne of crude steel, linking ferro-alloy demand closely to Indian steel output.

High input costs had already encouraged some producers to shift from 60-14 silico-manganese toward higher-value 65% grades and 70-75% ferro-manganese.

Lower ore costs could improve the competitiveness of standard grades again while giving producers greater flexibility across their product mix.

The measure could also narrow India's export cost disadvantage against Malaysia. Malaysian ferro-alloy producers benefit from lower electricity costs, but cheaper manganese ore and Indian labour costs could reduce the gap.

Domestic Ore Producers Face Greater Import Competition

The policy creates pressure for domestic manganese miners because cheaper imports will increase buyers' negotiating power.

Moil could face greater competition, particularly from high-grade imported ore used by coastal smelters with easy access to ports.

Domestic prices may increasingly move toward import parity as smelters compare local supply directly with landed overseas material.

This could create inventory pressure for domestic miners if buyers increase the proportion of imported ore in their furnace blends.

However, the impact will vary by location and ore quality. Moil remains competitive for inland customers because domestic freight from ports can offset part of the import advantage.

Its material also remains suitable for applications where very high-grade ore is not required.

The broader policy direction is clear. India is prioritising lower industrial input costs to strengthen steel and manufacturing competitiveness.

Manganese has also been identified alongside lithium, cobalt and nickel under India's National Critical Minerals Mission, increasing its importance in the country's wider supply-chain strategy.

The Metalnomist Commentary

India is choosing downstream competitiveness over protection for domestic ore miners. The biggest beneficiaries will be ferro-alloy producers that can combine cheaper imported manganese with efficient power and higher furnace utilisation.

Texas LFP Plant Links Domestic Lithium Supply With Cathode Production

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Texas LFP Plant Links Domestic Lithium Supply With Cathode Production
EnergyX

Texas LFP plant development is moving forward after Wildcat Discovery Technologies and EnergyX formed a joint venture to produce lithium iron phosphate cathode active material in Hooks. The project represents more than $230mn of investment and is designed for around 15,000 t/yr of CAM capacity.

Texas LFP plant plans are strategically important because the facility will sit next to EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium project in the Smackover formation. This creates a potential domestic route from lithium extraction and conversion to cathode material production.

Texas LFP plant supply will also benefit from a structured lithium pricing agreement. EnergyX will provide lithium carbonate to the joint venture at commercially favourable terms, including a market discount and price floor and ceiling intended to reduce exposure to lithium price volatility.

The project strengthens US efforts to localise more of the battery value chain, particularly for LFP chemistry used in electric vehicles and stationary energy storage.

Co-Location Reduces Battery Supply Chain Risk

The Hooks facility is designed to produce about 15,000 t/yr of LFP cathode active material, with potential for future expansion.

Its location beside EnergyX’s Lonestar lithium operation is the project’s main industrial advantage. Co-locating lithium supply and cathode production can reduce logistics complexity, shorten supply chains and improve feedstock security.

EnergyX plans to produce 48,500 t/yr of lithium hydroxide at Lonestar by 2030. The first phase is expected to reach 14,250 t/yr by 2028.

The project is targeting operating expenditure of about $3.85/kg, which could strengthen the economics of downstream battery material production if that cost structure is achieved at scale.

The joint venture will initially receive lithium carbonate under a pricing structure that limits exposure to extreme market movements. This gives the cathode operation greater cost visibility during periods of lithium volatility.

For battery materials projects, this kind of feedstock agreement can be as important as plant capacity. Cathode producers need reliable supply, predictable chemistry and manageable pricing to compete with established Asian producers.

LFP Growth Supports US Battery Localization

LFP chemistry is gaining market share because it offers lower cost, strong cycle life and improved thermal stability compared with nickel-rich cathode systems.

It also avoids nickel and cobalt, reducing exposure to two globally concentrated and price-sensitive battery metals. However, LFP still depends heavily on lithium supply and specialised cathode manufacturing capability.

The Wildcat-EnergyX project therefore addresses two major US supply-chain gaps at the same time: domestic lithium production and domestic cathode active material manufacturing.

Stationary energy storage is likely to be an important demand source. Large grid batteries increasingly favour LFP because of its durability, safety characteristics and lower material cost.

EV demand could provide another growth route, particularly as automakers expand lower-cost vehicle platforms using LFP cells.

The project also illustrates a wider shift in US battery strategy. Rather than building isolated mines or chemical plants, developers are increasingly trying to connect extraction, conversion and active material production within regional industrial clusters.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Wildcat-EnergyX venture is strategically stronger because it links lithium supply directly with LFP cathode production. US battery localization will depend less on individual plants and more on integrated regional chains that control feedstock, processing and pricing risk.

Rapidus Semiconductor Project Gains New ¥150bn Government Investment

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Rapidus Semiconductor Project Gains New ¥150bn Government Investment
Rapidus

Rapidus semiconductor project funding has increased again as Japan commits another ¥150bn to support domestic advanced chip manufacturing. The new investment will help finance equipment for 2-nanometre semiconductor mass production and research into next-generation 1.4nm technology.

Rapidus semiconductor project support now includes ¥250bn in direct government investment following an earlier ¥100bn injection in fiscal year 2025-26. Japan is also planning substantial additional subsidies over the next two fiscal years.

Rapidus semiconductor project development is strategically important because Japan is trying to rebuild advanced logic chip manufacturing capacity after decades of declining domestic semiconductor production. The company aims to start mass production of 2nm chips in fiscal year 2027-28, followed by advanced packaging production in fiscal year 2028-29.

Japan Builds Domestic Leading-Edge Chip Capacity

The latest ¥150bn investment will support production equipment needed to move Rapidus from development toward commercial-scale semiconductor manufacturing. The company is targeting 2nm technology, placing the project in one of the most advanced segments of global chip production.

Rapidus is also conducting research into 1.4nm technology to prepare for the next generation of semiconductor manufacturing. Advanced chips are becoming increasingly important for artificial intelligence, data centres, automotive electronics, defence systems and high-performance computing.

This gives Rapidus strategic significance beyond the semiconductor industry itself. Domestic leading-edge chip capacity can reduce Japan’s exposure to concentrated overseas manufacturing and improve supply resilience for major industrial sectors.

Advanced packaging will also be important. As transistor scaling becomes more difficult, chip performance increasingly depends on how processors, memory and other semiconductor components are integrated.

Rapidus therefore needs to build capabilities across wafer fabrication, packaging and process technology rather than simply operate a conventional semiconductor plant.

Public Funding Must Unlock Large Private Investment

Government backing is substantial but will not finance the entire Rapidus programme. Japan plans to provide another ¥631.5bn in subsidies during fiscal year 2026-27 and around ¥300bn in fiscal year 2027-28.

Rapidus is also seeking roughly ¥1tn in private equity and more than ¥2tn in additional private financing. That funding requirement highlights the extraordinary capital intensity of advanced semiconductor manufacturing.

Leading-edge fabs require billions of dollars for lithography, deposition, etching, inspection and other highly specialised equipment. The investment also creates demand across advanced materials supply chains.

Semiconductor production relies on high-purity silicon, specialty gases, photoresists, copper, tungsten, cobalt, tantalum and other critical materials. Japan designated semiconductors as a critical material in 2022 and has since expanded support for domestic production.

Rapidus has become a central project in that strategy. The key challenge now is execution, including equipment installation, acceptable production yields, customer qualification and private-sector funding.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Rapidus shows that semiconductor security is becoming a capital-intensive industrial policy race. Japan’s challenge is not only funding a 2nm fab, but building the materials, equipment, packaging and customer ecosystem needed to sustain leading-edge production.

Jinchuan Copper Output Jumps as DRC Export Curbs Hold Back Sales

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Jinchuan Copper Output Jumps as DRC Export Curbs Hold Back Sales
Jinchuan Copper

Jinchuan copper output rose sharply in the first quarter as production ramped up at the Musonoi mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo. However, export restrictions prevented the company from converting higher mine production into equivalent sales growth.

Jinchuan copper output increased by 29.5% year on year to 18,021t. Copper sales moved in the opposite direction, falling by 2.2% to 11,689t after the DRC imposed an export ban during January-February.

Jinchuan copper output growth therefore reflects stronger mine performance rather than improved market access. The widening gap between production and sales shows how government export controls are becoming an increasingly important factor in Central African metals supply.

The effect was even more pronounced in cobalt. Jinchuan produced 2,139t during the quarter, compared with only 71t a year earlier, but sold just 7t as export quotas constrained shipments.

Musonoi Ramp-Up Creates Copper and Cobalt Stockbuild

Musonoi was the main driver of Jinchuan’s production growth, offsetting power-related difficulties at the Ruashi operation. The results show that the company can add significant copper and cobalt volumes when mining and processing assets operate normally.

But physical production is no longer the only constraint. DRC policy now determines how quickly those tonnes can reach international customers.

The country previously halted exports and now limits shipments to roughly half of production. This creates a structural gap between mine output and material available to international markets.

For cobalt, the impact is particularly visible. A production increase to more than 2,100t combined with sales of only 7t suggests substantial inventory accumulation or delayed shipments rather than weak underlying demand.

Copper is facing similar pressure, although the imbalance is less extreme. Jinchuan produced more than 18,000t but sold less than 12,000t during the quarter.

If export restrictions remain in place while Musonoi continues ramping up, inventories could continue to rise inside the DRC. The timing of future quota releases would then become increasingly important for international copper and cobalt availability.

DRC Policy Becomes the Key Variable for Cobalt Supply

The DRC occupies a dominant position in global cobalt supply, making export policy highly relevant to battery, aerospace and superalloy markets.

Chinese companies control around 63% of DRC cobalt supply and have expanded refining capacity to absorb material from the country. That gives Chinese firms a strong downstream position, but it does not eliminate exposure to Congolese export policy.

Jinchuan’s results illustrate this clearly. Investment in mining and processing can increase output, but actual sales still depend on export permits and quota allocations.

This changes the risk profile of mining investment. Companies must now manage not only ore grades, power availability, processing capacity and commodity prices, but also government control over physical flows.

For cobalt buyers, this can tighten internationally available units even when mine production itself is rising. That distinction is critical when assessing market balance.

The same principle applies to copper. New African production cannot automatically be treated as immediate global supply if regulatory controls delay shipments.

Jinchuan’s expansion strategy therefore remains tied to the DRC’s policy framework. Its mines can produce more metal, but future revenue growth increasingly depends on how much material authorities permit to leave the country.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Jinchuan’s results show why mine production alone no longer tells the full cobalt supply story. In the DRC, export permissions are becoming as important as mining capacity in determining how much copper and cobalt actually reaches the global market.

Australia Mineral Exploration Spending Rises as Iron Ore and Gold Attract Capital

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Australia Mineral Exploration Spending Rises as Iron Ore and Gold Attract Capital
Iron ore

Australia mineral exploration spending increased strongly in the first quarter, supported by higher investment in iron ore and gold despite weaker spending on copper, nickel, cobalt and coal.

Australia mineral exploration spending rose by 16.3% year on year to A$949.3mn in January-March, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics data. Gold and iron ore remained the two largest categories of exploration expenditure.

Australia mineral exploration spending patterns show a widening divide between commodities. Producers are continuing to invest in iron ore reserve replacement, while weak nickel and cobalt prices are discouraging new exploration.

Iron ore exploration expenditure increased by 4.7% year on year to A$186mn. Gold exploration spending climbed much faster, rising by 53.4% to A$450.9mn.


Iron Ore Investment Stays Strong as Producers Replace Reserves

Iron ore remains one of Australia’s most important mining commodities, and continued exploration spending reflects the need to replace depleting reserves at established operations.

Australia’s Office of the Chief Economist expects domestic iron ore exploration to remain strong as major producers sustain long-term mine life and feed quality.

This is strategically important because Australia remains a major supplier to Asian steelmakers. Maintaining reserve depth is essential for preserving export volumes, mine productivity and Australia’s position in the seaborne iron ore market.

Gold recorded the largest increase in exploration spending. The 53.4% year-on-year rise to A$450.9mn suggests stronger investor appetite for projects offering exposure to high gold prices and more favourable project economics.

Silver, lead and zinc exploration also strengthened, with spending rising by 29.9%. These metals benefit from a combination of precious metal exposure and demand from industrial, infrastructure and energy applications.


Nickel, Cobalt and Coal Lose Exploration Momentum

Nickel and cobalt exploration spending fell by 42.7% year on year, reflecting persistent weakness in global nickel markets and deteriorating economics for Australian producers.

The Office of the Chief Economist expects nickel prices to remain under pressure through 2027 because of continuing global surpluses. Weak pricing has already reduced Australian mine output and discouraged investment in new resources.

Copper exploration spending also declined by 13.1%. This contrasts with copper’s stronger long-term demand outlook and shows that high development costs, permitting risk and competition for capital can still limit exploration despite positive structural demand.

Coal exploration expenditure fell by 22.7% to A$43.2mn. Policy and cost pressures are reinforcing the decline.

New South Wales stopped issuing permits for greenfield thermal coal developments in March 2026, while high royalty rates in Queensland may also be discouraging investment in coking coal exploration.

The result is a more selective Australian exploration market. Capital is flowing toward commodities with stronger pricing, established infrastructure and clearer long-term economics, while weaker or policy-constrained sectors are losing investment.


The Metalnomist Commentary

Australia’s exploration data show that capital is becoming increasingly selective even within strategic minerals. Strong iron ore and gold spending contrasts sharply with nickel and cobalt, where weak economics are overriding long-term critical minerals ambitions.

Sherritt Nickel Production Slumps as Moa Shutdown Starves Canadian Refinery

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Sherritt Nickel Production Slumps as Moa Shutdown Starves Canadian Refinery
Sherritt International

Sherritt nickel production fell sharply in the first quarter after fuel shortages halted mining at the company’s Moa joint venture in Cuba. Finished nickel output dropped by 36% to 1,885t from 2,947t a year earlier.

Sherritt nickel production was hit by the collapse in mixed sulfide precipitate output at Moa, which supplies the company’s Fort Saskatchewan refinery in Canada. Finished cobalt production also fell by 34% to 213t.

Sherritt nickel production problems have now moved beyond quarterly underperformance. Feed inventories at Fort Saskatchewan were depleted on 22 June, forcing the refinery into a shutdown state with no restart date disclosed.

The disruption highlights a structural weakness in Sherritt’s supply chain. Canadian refining capacity depends on a single Cuban feed source that is exposed to fuel shortages, sanctions and political risk.

Moa Feed Collapse Cuts Nickel and Cobalt Output

Mixed sulfide precipitate production at Moa fell by 43% year on year to 1,811t in the first quarter after mining operations were suspended in February.

Moa operates as a 50:50 joint venture between Sherritt and Cuba’s General Nickel Company. Ore is mined and processed into MSP in Cuba before being shipped to Alberta for refining into finished nickel and cobalt.

Lower MSP availability forced Sherritt to reduce refinery utilisation during the quarter. The company did not secure replacement feedstock from alternative suppliers.

Finished nickel sales fell by 35% to 2,244t, while cobalt sales dropped to 203t from 456t a year earlier.

The declining volumes show how quickly an upstream interruption can affect downstream refining. Without sufficient MSP inventory, Fort Saskatchewan cannot maintain normal output regardless of its installed refining capacity.

The company exhausted its remaining feedstock on 22 June and is moving the refinery into shutdown. Maintenance will be carried out during the idle period, but Sherritt has not indicated when Moa can resume production.

Sanctions Add Strategic Risk to Sherritt’s Supply Chain

The operating disruption has been compounded by sanctions uncertainty. Sherritt suspended direct participation in the Moa joint venture on 7 May after the US expanded sanctions on Cuba.

The company initially considered fully dissolving the joint venture but later reversed that decision after consulting advisers, stakeholders and government authorities.

This leaves Sherritt in a difficult position. Its key refining asset remains operationally dependent on Moa, while its ability to participate directly in the Cuban operation is constrained.

Financial performance reflects the disruption. Sherritt reported a C$9.2mn loss in the first quarter on revenue of C$34mn, down 11% from a year earlier.

The company has also announced plans for US investment firm Gillon Capital to acquire 55% of its shares, adding a corporate restructuring element to the supply disruption.

For nickel and cobalt markets, the immediate tonnage loss is modest relative to global supply. But the case is strategically important because it shows that processing assets in Canada can still be vulnerable when their feedstock remains tied to a politically exposed jurisdiction.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Sherritt’s problem is no longer simply lower Moa production; it is a broken mine-to-refinery chain. Fort Saskatchewan shows why western refining capacity needs diversified and politically secure feedstock, not just domestic processing assets.

Aircraft Engine MRO Bottlenecks Set to Lift Aerospace Superalloy Demand

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Aircraft Engine MRO Bottlenecks Set to Lift Aerospace Superalloy Demand
IATA

Aircraft engine MRO bottlenecks are becoming a structural constraint for global aviation as durability problems, rapid fleet growth and limited spare parts increase maintenance demand. The International Air Transport Association says the industry must expand parts availability and repair capacity to protect long-term fleet resilience.

Aircraft engine MRO bottlenecks are particularly acute for Pratt & Whitney geared turbofan engines and CFM International LEAP engines. Premature component failures are shortening time on wing and forcing additional shop visits alongside scheduled maintenance.

Aircraft engine MRO bottlenecks also carry significant implications for specialty metals. Rising overhaul activity will increase consumption of nickel and cobalt superalloys, refractory metals and titanium used in high-pressure turbine, compressor and structural engine components.

The pressure is unlikely to disappear quickly. In-service LEAP and GTF fleets are expected to expand five- to sixfold between 2024 and 2040 as airlines replace older narrowbody aircraft with newer platforms.

Durability Problems Accelerate Engine Shop Visits

Pratt & Whitney’s powdered metal issue has been one of the largest recent disruptions. The problem affects high-pressure turbine and compressor disks in GTF engines and has required affected aircraft to undergo additional shop visits for component replacement.

Groundings of GTF-powered aircraft peaked at 648 units in March 2025, equal to 28% of the fleet. These aircraft remained unavailable while operators waited for maintenance slots and replacement parts.

CFM’s LEAP engines have faced separate durability challenges. Stage-1 high-pressure turbine blades have shown premature wear, particularly in hot and harsh operating environments.

These problems reduce engine time on wing. Airlines must therefore send engines to maintenance facilities earlier than planned, adding unscheduled work to an already growing base of routine overhauls.

The scale will increase significantly as newer engines dominate the global narrowbody fleet. Annual LEAP shop visits are expected to exceed 5,000 by 2040, while GTF shop visits could surpass 2,000.

Engine manufacturers are adding MRO capacity directly and through partners. However, new repair shops alone cannot solve the problem if replacement parts, forgings and qualified components remain constrained.

MRO Growth Strengthens Nickel, Cobalt and Titanium Demand

High-pressure engine components operate at extreme temperatures and mechanical loads. This makes nickel-based superalloys essential for turbine disks, blades and other hot-section components.

Cobalt and refractory elements also play important roles in advanced superalloy systems. Their ability to maintain strength and oxidation resistance under extreme conditions makes substitution difficult in many engine applications.

Titanium demand will also benefit from higher maintenance activity. Titanium alloys are widely used in compressor sections, fan systems and structural engine components because of their strength-to-weight ratio and corrosion resistance.

Limited-life high-pressure parts on mature engines typically require replacement after around 15,000-20,000 cycles. On a single-aisle aircraft, that can correspond to roughly five to seven years of operation.

The growing LEAP and GTF installed base therefore creates a predictable long-term materials cycle. Even if durability problems improve, fleet growth alone will generate substantially more engine overhaul demand.

The supply-chain challenge extends beyond raw metals. Engine makers need qualified forgings, castings, powder products, machined parts, heat treatment and nondestructive testing capacity.

For specialty metals suppliers, MRO demand can be particularly attractive because replacement parts require certified material and tightly controlled processing routes. Aerospace qualification barriers also limit how quickly new competitors can enter.

IATA is calling for better access to spare parts, stronger long-term supply agreements and industry-wide operating standards. Without those changes, maintenance capacity may continue to lag fleet growth.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Engine MRO is becoming one of the strongest long-term demand channels for aerospace superalloys and titanium. The real bottleneck will increasingly be qualified parts and processing capacity rather than raw metal availability alone.

Nickel Industries HPAL Expansion Targets Indonesian MHP Growth Through Acquisitions

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Nickel Industries HPAL Expansion Targets Indonesian MHP Growth Through Acquisitions
Tsingshan

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion will move forward through acquisitions rather than new project development as Indonesia tightens control over additional high pressure acid leach capacity. The Australian producer will acquire stakes in two MHP projects next to its existing Excelsior Nickel Cobalt operation in Central Sulawesi.

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion is strategically important because Indonesia has stopped issuing licences for new HPAL developments since late 2025, according to the company. That makes existing permitted projects increasingly valuable to producers seeking battery-grade nickel growth.

Nickel Industries HPAL expansion covers the planned Teluk Metal Industry and Chengsheng New Energy projects. Together, the stakes would give NI attributable MHP capacity of almost 17,000 t/yr.

Both projects are located in the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park and will use ore from NI’s Sampala mine. Their output will feed the electric vehicle battery supply chain.

TMI and CNE Add MHP Capacity Around Existing ENC Platform

NI will pay $169mn for a 17.5% stake in the Teluk Metal Industry HPAL project. TMI has planned nameplate MHP capacity of 38,640 t/yr, giving NI 6,775 t/yr of attributable output.

The transaction also carries construction protection from Tsingshan. The Chinese nickel and stainless steel producer has guaranteed that NI’s investment will be capped at $169mn and that TMI will reach nameplate production by September 2027.

This lowers construction risk for NI and reinforces its relationship with Tsingshan, which already owns an indirect 44% stake in the ENC project.

TMI’s remaining ownership includes Singapore-based Sumber International Investment and a South Korean-Japanese consortium involving LS MnM, Hanwa and another strategic investor. The structure shows how Asian industrial groups are positioning themselves around Indonesian battery nickel supply.

NI is also pursuing a 36% stake in the Chengsheng New Energy HPAL project together with a local partner. The acquisition will be funded by transferring 30% of their combined ownership in the Sampala nickel mine.

CNE has MHP capacity of 28,357 t/yr, with 10,208 t/yr attributable to NI. Commissioning is expected by mid-2027.

The CNE transaction still requires shareholder approval because an NI director is associated with the selling investment firm. That adds a governance step before completion.

Indonesia Licensing Limits Increase Value of Existing HPAL Assets

Indonesia’s decision to stop issuing new HPAL licences changes the economics of nickel expansion. Producers can no longer rely on greenfield development to add battery-grade processing capacity.

This gives existing permitted projects a scarcity premium. Companies seeking growth must acquire stakes, partner with current licence holders or expand existing operations.

For NI, TMI and CNE extend the company’s battery nickel platform around ENC. The 46%-owned ENC project is preparing to produce nickel cathode and nickel sulphate, giving NI exposure further downstream than MHP alone.

The strategy also integrates mining and processing. Ore from the Sampala project will supply both TMI and CNE, linking captive feedstock with HPAL conversion and battery-material output.

That integration matters because Indonesia’s nickel industry is increasingly constrained by ore availability, regulatory approvals and government efforts to manage oversupply.

The policy shift could support nickel prices by slowing future HPAL growth. But it also raises the value of projects already holding development rights.

For NI, acquisitions therefore become more than a growth option. They are now the main route to expanding Indonesian MHP production under a tighter licensing regime.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Indonesia’s HPAL licensing freeze is turning permitted projects into strategic assets. Nickel Industries is responding by buying access to existing capacity, showing how policy can shift competition from project development to asset acquisition.

Energy Fuels VAC Acquisition Builds Mine-to-Magnet Rare Earth Platform

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Energy Fuels VAC Acquisition Builds Mine-to-Magnet Rare Earth Platform
Vacuumschmelze

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition will create one of the most vertically integrated rare earth supply chains outside China by combining upstream mining and separation with commercial magnet manufacturing. The US rare earths and uranium producer will acquire Germany-based Vacuumschmelze for $1.9bn in cash and stock.

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition gives the company immediate downstream exposure to permanent magnets, including sintered neodymium-iron-boron products, as well as cobalt-iron and nickel-iron soft magnetic materials. VAC serves customers across electrification and industrial markets.

Energy Fuels VAC acquisition also addresses one of the biggest weaknesses in western rare earth strategy. Mining and oxide separation alone do not create a complete magnet supply chain. Rare earth metals, alloys, powders and finished magnets must all be produced and qualified.

The transaction will leave VAC as a wholly owned Energy Fuels subsidiary while maintaining its German headquarters. The structure gives Energy Fuels manufacturing assets across North America, Europe and Asia.

VAC Adds Commercial Magnet Capacity to Upstream Rare Earth Assets

VAC brings established permanent magnet manufacturing capability into Energy Fuels’ portfolio. Its Sumter, South Carolina, facility currently has 2,000 t/yr of permanent magnet capacity.

That site has significant expansion potential. Capacity could eventually rise to as much as 12,000 t/yr, creating a large US manufacturing base for NdFeB magnets.

The strategic value is substantial because permanent magnets sit at the end of a complex rare earth value chain. Neodymium and praseodymium provide the main magnetic properties, while dysprosium and terbium can improve performance at elevated temperatures.

Energy Fuels has already started developing those upstream materials. The company produced pilot-scale high-purity terbium oxide in March 2026 and produced its first dysprosium oxide at the White Mesa Mill in Utah in August 2025.

VAC therefore gives Energy Fuels a downstream destination for materials it is increasingly able to separate and refine itself.

The company also plans to acquire Australian Strategic Minerals, which would add commercial-scale rare earth metal and alloy capacity in South Korea and a planned metals plant in the US.

If both transactions are completed and expanded successfully, Energy Fuels would control a chain extending from mineral resources through oxide separation, metal-making, alloying and finished magnets.

US Government Finance Supports Rare Earth Industrial Integration

Government support is becoming central to Energy Fuels expansion. The company has secured a conditional commitment from the US Office of Strategic Capital for a 20-year loan of up to $725mn.

The financing is intended to accelerate expansion of the White Mesa Mill and construction of a US rare earth metals facility. This helps close the gap between separated oxides and magnet-ready metal and alloy products.

VAC has also received US government support. The company secured a $41mn grant from the US Department of State to develop a US metal-making facility.

These investments show that US rare earth policy is moving toward full-chain industrial capability rather than isolated upstream projects. The focus is increasingly on converting mineral resources into qualified finished components.

For automotive, defence, robotics and industrial customers, this matters because secure magnet supply depends on multiple linked stages. Any missing stage can recreate dependence on external processing.

Energy Fuels is therefore pursuing an unusually broad strategy. The company is not only adding production capacity; it is trying to internalise several of the most difficult steps in the rare earth value chain.

The challenge will be integration. Mining, separation, metallurgy and magnet manufacturing require different technical capabilities, customers and qualification systems. The value of the transaction will depend on whether Energy Fuels can connect those operations efficiently at commercial scale.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Energy Fuels is moving beyond rare earth mining into one of the most complete western mine-to-magnet strategies yet attempted. If the VAC and metals acquisitions are integrated successfully, the company could become a major non-China supplier of both heavy rare earth materials and finished NdFeB magnets.