Foreign investment accelerates Turkey stainless steel growth as re-rolling hub emerges

Stainless Steel

Turkey stainless steel growth is reshaping the country from a net importer into a re-rolling and processing hub. Turkey stainless steel growth is driven by foreign investment, shifting trade flows and a policy push to protect local value addition. As a result, Turkey stainless steel growth now sits at the centre of regional stainless supply chains.

Foreign investors underpin Turkey stainless steel growth

Turkey has become the only major stainless consumer without melting capacity, yet it plays a growing trade role. The country still imports all flat and semi-finished stainless products, but its position in re-rolling and processing continues to strengthen. Imports of flat-rolled stainless not further worked than hot-rolled reached about 250,000t in 2024, up by 15pc on the year.

However, imports of hot-rolled and cold-rolled flat products fell by around 8pc to below 70,000t, showing more local processing. Exports of flat-rolled stainless fell to just over 100,000t in 2024, down from 230,000t in 2022. This export drop partly reflects stronger domestic stainless consumption after the 2023 earthquake and more onshore value retention.

Foreign capital sits at the heart of Turkey stainless steel growth. Posco’s Assan TST remains the largest local cold-rolled stainless producer and has delivered more than 2mn t since 2013. Taiwan’s YC INOX added a 4,000 t/month tube operation in 2022, with pickling capacity that allows direct use of hot-rolled semi-finished feed. These investments reduce reliance on imported finished products and lift Turkey’s role in regional supply chains.

Policy protection and new projects reinforce Turkey stainless steel growth

New capacity plans will further expand Turkey stainless steel growth over the next decade. China’s Yongjin Technology plans a 400,000 t/yr cold-rolling mill at Yalova, targeting completion in 2027. Domestic service centre Saritas Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS aims for an 800,000 t/yr stainless facility in four phases, with 400,000 t/yr of cold-rolled capacity expected online from 2027.

Ankara is matching this investment wave with trade defence tools to shield Turkey stainless steel growth. The government raised import duties on cold-rolled stainless steel coil from 8pc to 12pc in December 2023. At the same time, it cut duty on stainless plate to zero and kept hot-rolled coil duties at 2pc, encouraging inbound semi-finished feed for further processing.

Turkey has also launched anti-dumping investigations to guard its expanding base. Authorities are probing imports of cold-rolled plate and coil from Indonesia and China following complaints from Posco Assan TST and Celik Sanayi. Existing anti-dumping duties on welded stainless tubes from China and Taiwan were extended by five years in June. Higher rates apply to most suppliers, with reduced duties for a few named producers such as Foshan Vinmay and YC INOX. These measures aim to preserve margins for local processors as Turkey stainless steel growth accelerates.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Turkey’s stainless sector is evolving into a classic “no-melt, high-processing” model backed by Asian and domestic capital. If trade defence remains targeted and predictable, Turkey can deepen its hub role without triggering severe retaliation or supply distortions. The next test will be whether planned capacities absorb regional demand or ignite a new wave of competitive exports.

India Stainless Steel Fuel Crunch Forces Jindal Stainless to Reduce Operations

Jindal Stainless

India stainless steel fuel crunch is now directly cutting production at Jindal Stainless, the country’s largest stainless steel producer. The company has begun operating its plants at reduced capacity as Middle East tensions disrupt fuel availability and global shipping routes.

The pressure is centered on critical industrial fuels and gases used across stainless steelmaking. Propane, LPG, and natural gas supplies have tightened after disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, creating a direct operational risk for Indian mills.

Jindal Stainless said limited fuel availability has affected several manufacturing processes and forced the company to rationalise operations. The India stainless steel fuel crunch is also raising the risk of shipment delays for customers.

Stainless Steel Mills Face Higher Fuel Exposure Than Carbon Steel Producers

Stainless steel producers face a different energy risk profile from conventional carbon steel plants. Blast furnace-based steelmakers can use internally generated gases from coke ovens and blast furnaces, while scrap-based stainless steel routes depend more heavily on external fuel supply.

This structural difference is now becoming a competitive and operational weakness. When LPG, propane, or piped natural gas supplies tighten, stainless steel mills have fewer internal alternatives to maintain stable production.

Jindal Stainless has around 3 million tonnes per year of production capacity and plans to expand to 4.2 million tonnes per year in April 2026-March 2027. However, the current fuel disruption shows that capacity growth depends not only on demand and investment, but also on reliable energy logistics.

Fuel Allocation Becomes a Strategic Issue for Indian Industry

India’s fuel allocation policy is adding another layer of pressure. The government has diverted part of natural gas supply away from industry to prioritise household consumption, leaving manufacturers exposed to tighter industrial supply.

Jindal Stainless said clear guidance on propane, LPG, and natural gas allocation will be essential for stainless steel producers. Stable fuel supply is now necessary for mills to plan production, manage customer commitments, and avoid deeper disruptions.

The broader Indian stainless steel sector is also feeling the strain. Small and mid-sized mills, particularly in regions such as Gujarat, are cutting output as LNG shortages deepen. Mills reliant on LPG or piped natural gas face the most severe constraints.

The India stainless steel fuel crunch could therefore become more than a temporary supply issue. If fuel availability does not stabilise, temporary shutdowns may follow across parts of the sector, tightening stainless supply and delaying deliveries to downstream manufacturers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

India’s stainless steel sector is showing how energy security can become an industrial competitiveness issue. Scrap-based steelmaking supports decarbonisation, but it still needs stable external fuel systems to remain reliable at scale.

European Stainless Steel Scrap Prices Rise on Stronger Mill Demand

Stainless Steel Scrap

European stainless steel scrap prices continued to rise this week as stronger mill demand and firmer downstream stainless steel prices supported the market. Both 304 and 316 stainless scrap grades moved higher on a week-on-week basis, reflecting tighter availability and improved buying interest.

European stainless steel scrap prices gained as mills returned to the market more actively for near-term production needs. The 304 stainless scrap solids cif Rotterdam assessment rose to €1,280-1,300/t, compared with €1,250-1,300/t the previous week.

European stainless steel scrap prices also benefited from stronger sentiment in finished stainless steel markets. Traders reported steady enquiries, higher bid levels, and better liquidity as producers moved to secure feedstock.

304 Stainless Scrap Gains as Mills Secure Feedstock

The 304 stainless scrap market strengthened as sustained buying interest pushed the lower end of the price range higher. Sellers were able to achieve improved prices, especially where prompt material was available.

Mill demand remained firm after the previous week’s sharp increase. Producers continued to procure scrap for near-term stainless steel production, creating a more competitive buying environment.

The rise in downstream flat stainless steel prices was a key driver. Stronger finished product pricing encouraged mills to step up scrap purchases after a period of more cautious buying.

316 Scrap Tightens on Limited Molybdenum-Bearing Supply

The 316 stainless scrap market also moved higher, with solids cif Rotterdam rising to €2,300-2,350/t from €2,280-2,330/t. The increase reflected tight availability of molybdenum-bearing scrap and steady mill purchasing interest.

Supply remained limited as some sellers held back material in expectation of further price gains. Others reported reduced availability of prompt tonnage, adding support to the market.

The tighter supply-demand balance strengthened pricing momentum across the stainless scrap complex. If downstream stainless steel prices remain firm, mills may continue to support higher scrap levels.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The stainless scrap market is showing how quickly feedstock prices can respond when mills regain confidence. The key risk is whether stronger finished stainless prices can hold long enough to sustain this buying cycle.

JSL stainless steel fabrication unit anchors India’s downstream growth

JSL stainless steel

The new JSL stainless steel fabrication unit marks a strategic shift into value-added manufacturing for India’s largest stainless producer. Jindal Stainless (JSL) is moving closer to end users by fabricating bridge girders and structural components for the country’s expanding infrastructure sector. The JSL stainless steel fabrication unit is designed to capture demand for sustainable, durable and high-quality solutions as India builds roads, rail, ports and urban transport systems.

JSL stainless steel fabrication unit targets India’s infrastructure boom

The new facility will produce 4,000 t/yr of fabricated stainless steel in the 2025-26 fiscal year. Capacity at the JSL stainless steel fabrication unit is then expected to rise to 18,000 t/yr in the following year as orders scale up. This rapid ramp-up signals confidence in long-term stainless demand from bridges, metro structures and public works.

The company invested about 1.25bn rupees ($14mn) in the plant, located at Washivali, Patalganga near Mumbai. Its 400,000 square foot footprint gives JSL room to add new product lines, automation and modular fabrication cells. As a result, the facility can support complex designs and tighter project schedules for engineering, procurement and construction contractors.

The JSL stainless steel fabrication unit is operated by Jindal Stainless Steelway, a wholly owned subsidiary. This structure integrates service centres, distribution and fabrication under one group, improving margins and delivery reliability. Meanwhile, fabricated output also deepens JSL’s relationships with infrastructure clients, shifting the business mix from commodity coil sales toward engineered stainless solutions.

Moving up the stainless value chain with sustainable components

The unit focuses on components that offer long life and low maintenance in harsh conditions. Stainless bridge girders, structural members and precision assemblies can cut lifecycle costs versus carbon steel in coastal or polluted environments. Therefore, the JSL stainless steel fabrication unit aligns with India’s push for resilient, low-maintenance infrastructure assets.

Downstream fabrication also supports more efficient use of stainless steel through optimized cutting, welding and design. This reduces waste and supports sustainability goals alongside durability and corrosion resistance. At the same time, domestic fabrication capacity helps Indian projects reduce dependence on imported components, improving supply security and project cost control.

The Metalnomist Commentary

JSL’s move into stainless fabrication is a logical next step for India’s largest producer as infrastructure spending accelerates. By combining scale in flat products with project-ready components, JSL can capture more value per tonne and differentiate on service, not just price. The key question now is how quickly the market absorbs 18,000 t/yr of fabricated capacity as India’s bridge and transport pipeline matures.

JSL Stainless Steel Sales Rise as Indian Demand Offsets Trade Pressure

JSL stainless steel

JSL stainless steel sales increased in the 2025-26 financial year as strong domestic demand supported broader adoption across infrastructure, mobility, defence and industrial sectors. Indian producer Jindal Stainless sold 2.5mn t of stainless steel during the year to 31 March, up 8% from 2.3mn t a year earlier.

JSL stainless steel sales were driven mainly by India’s internal market. Domestic sales accounted for 92% of annual volumes, showing that the company is prioritising local demand while global trade conditions remain uncertain.

JSL stainless steel sales dipped slightly in January-March to 641,743t from 649,857t in the previous quarter. The company attributed the decline partly to energy-related constraints linked to geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.

The result highlights India’s growing role as a stainless steel demand centre. Consumption is expanding beyond conventional industrial uses into electric vehicles, trailers, containers, real estate, defence, aerospace and infrastructure.

Domestic Demand Anchors Volume Growth

Indian stainless steel demand remained the main growth engine for JSL. Government-backed infrastructure programmes and rising preference for longer-life materials supported consumption across multiple end-use sectors.

Stainless steel is gaining ground where durability, corrosion resistance and lifecycle cost matter. This is particularly relevant for coastal infrastructure, transport equipment, public works, defence systems and industrial applications.

Electric vehicles and trailers are also becoming more important. These sectors use stainless steel for strength, corrosion resistance and long-term reliability in components exposed to demanding operating conditions.

JSL’s domestic focus gives it some insulation from weak or volatile export markets. A strong home market allows the company to keep capacity utilisation higher while managing margin pressure from global competition.

The company is also preparing for further growth. JSL plans to increase annual melt capacity to 4.2mn t during the current financial year ending 31 March 2027.

That expansion will strengthen its position in India’s stainless market. However, the company will need sustained domestic demand growth to absorb the additional capacity without weakening prices.

Imports and Energy Costs Shape Competitive Risk

JSL continues to face pressure from Chinese-origin and Vietnamese stainless steel imports. The company warned that substandard material is allegedly being rerouted through ASEAN countries, raising concerns about trade circumvention and domestic input quality.

This issue matters because import pressure can undermine local producers even when domestic demand is healthy. Low-priced or poor-quality imports can distort pricing, weaken margins and create risks for downstream users.

Trade defence therefore remains important for India’s stainless steel industry. Domestic producers need fair competition if they are expected to invest in higher-value capacity and support national manufacturing goals.

Energy costs are another risk. JSL said geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East affected sourcing of propane, LPG and natural gas used in stainless steel manufacturing.

This shows how stainless steel production remains exposed to energy supply chains. Even when demand is strong, fuel availability and cost can affect output, margins and quarterly shipment performance.

Exports remained steady despite geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainty. JSL is building its presence in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Germany, supported by its value-added product portfolio.

This export strategy is important because value-added stainless products can help protect margins. Higher-specification products are less exposed to commodity price competition and more dependent on quality, qualification and customer relationships.

The Metalnomist Commentary

JSL’s performance shows that India’s stainless steel market is becoming a domestic demand story rather than an export-led one. The company’s next challenge is to defend quality and margins as imports, energy volatility and capacity expansion reshape competition.

European Stainless Tube Trade Shifts as Policy, Imports and Data Centres Reshape Demand

European Stainless Steel

European stainless tube trade is entering a more selective phase as producers defend margins through higher-value applications, tighter specifications and regional supply advantages. The market remains stable, but it is no longer driven mainly by volume growth.

European stainless tube trade is being reshaped by three forces at once. Imports continue to pressure commodity and process pipe segments. Policy measures such as CBAM and revised safeguards are changing cost structures. At the same time, automotive exhaust demand is declining as electrification advances.

Speakers at SMR’s Stainless Steel Tube and Pipe Market Insights Day in Dusseldorf said Europe is behaving like a mature and cyclical market. Asia remains the main centre of stainless steel consumption and commodity production, while Europe depends more on technical applications, certification and regulatory positioning.

European stainless tube trade is therefore moving away from simple price competition. Producers are increasingly competing on quality, traceability, sustainability, lead times and the ability to serve complex end uses.

Italy-based Marcegaglia Specialties said traditional sectors such as construction, energy, oil and gas, automotive, water and food processing remain the backbone of demand. However, the next stage of competition will depend more on sustainability and product complexity than on basic market expansion.

CBAM and Import Pressure Are Regionalising Stainless Tube Supply

European stainless tube trade is becoming more regional because policy and geopolitics are increasing the value of local supply. CBAM, revised safeguard measures and wider instability are pushing buyers to look more carefully at origin, emissions, delivery risk and compliance.

European producers already operate inside the EU regulatory framework. This gives them an advantage in some higher-value applications where customers require reliable documentation, stable quality and shorter supply chains.

But the policy environment is not simple. Some industry speakers warned that CBAM could become more protectionist than environmental if it raises costs for European downstream processors without fully addressing import competition.

This concern is especially relevant for stainless tube makers. They buy input material under EU cost structures, but still compete with imported finished or semi-finished products in certain market segments.

OSTP chief executive Andrea Gatti argued that CBAM and revised tariff-rate quotas are creating a difficult environment for downstream processors. He said the measures can raise raw material costs for European producers while leaving import pressure unresolved in some product categories.

One concern is the way carbon steel and stainless steel products remain grouped in some quota categories. This can obscure the real level of import pressure in specific stainless segments.

The issue is most visible in process pipe. Overall import penetration in European welded stainless pipe may look moderate, but import pressure is much stronger in process pipe than in automotive or structural applications.

Some imported process pipe is arriving at prices close to European producers’ raw material costs. This creates a serious margin problem for EU producers, especially when they must meet higher regulatory, labour and energy costs.

Asian imports are particularly competitive in pipe and fittings made to ASTM specifications. Around 15-20% of the European market still requires ASTM-based products, often because older engineering standards and end-user specifications remain in place.

This creates an opening for Asian suppliers. Many have long experience producing ASTM-based products and can compete aggressively in segments where buyers focus mainly on price and basic compliance.

Asian producers are also becoming more capable of supplying European-standard material. However, some barriers remain. Hot-rolled feedstock availability, customer qualification and more complex technical requirements still protect parts of the European market.

CBAM adds another layer of uncertainty. Importers and buyers still lack full visibility on the actual carbon values that overseas suppliers will declare. Some emissions disclosures remain incomplete or unreliable.

This creates pricing uncertainty. If importers use default emissions values, CBAM costs may rise sharply. If suppliers provide certified actual data, costs may be lower. But the market does not yet know which overseas suppliers can verify emissions credibly.

For European producers, this uncertainty is both an opportunity and a risk. It may make some imports less attractive, but it also complicates raw material sourcing and customer negotiations.

The broader result is regionalisation. Buyers are increasingly weighing whether cheaper imported material is worth the compliance, delivery and emissions risk. European producers can benefit if they turn regulation into a trusted supply advantage.

However, they cannot rely on regulation alone. Imports will continue to pressure standard grades and process pipe where price remains decisive. Europe’s defence must therefore come from technical capability, service and qualification depth.

Automotive Decline and Data Centres Redefine Growth Applications

European stainless tube producers also face structural demand change in automotive applications. Exhaust-related stainless tube demand is declining as electric vehicle adoption reduces the long-term need for combustion engine systems.

German tubemaker Schoeller Werk said about 40% of its business is still linked to automotive. Around 95% of that automotive exposure is tied to combustion engine applications.

This creates a clear transition risk. Combustion engine exhaust systems have historically used stainless tube because of heat resistance, corrosion performance and durability. Electric vehicles remove much of that demand.

Industry speakers described this shift as irreversible, even if the speed varies by region. Combustion vehicles may remain relevant for some years, but the structural direction is clear.

Marcegaglia also described the shift away from combustion-engine vehicles as a trend that stainless tube producers must manage. The market cannot assume that traditional automotive exhaust demand will return.

This forces producers to find new growth areas. Data centres emerged as one of the clearest near-term opportunities during the Dusseldorf discussions.

Data centre stainless demand is growing because cooling systems are becoming more important. AI workloads, higher server density and larger hyperscale facilities require more advanced thermal management.

Stainless tubes can be used in cooling circuits, heat exchangers and wider water infrastructure. These applications often require corrosion resistance, reliability and long service life.

Gatti said the strongest opportunity may not only sit in outer water infrastructure. Inner cooling circuits also present growth potential as specifications increasingly exclude carbon steel and favour copper or stainless steel.

Copper’s high price is helping stainless steel compete. In some data centre applications, stainless can win substitution from copper on cost grounds while still meeting performance requirements.

This creates a valuable opening for European producers. Data centres are not only a volume market. They require quality, traceability, reliability and tight specifications, which fit Europe’s competitive strengths.

However, Asian competition remains a threat. If data centre projects are specified to ASTM standards, Asian suppliers may still compete strongly. This means European producers need early involvement in specifications and project qualification.

Other higher-value markets may also support growth. Specialist energy systems, premium process pipe, food processing, water treatment and industrial heat exchangers all require more complex tube products.

The key difference is that these markets reward performance rather than only price. European producers are better positioned when customers value certification, documentation, short lead times, sustainability and technical support.

This is why Europe’s competitive advantage increasingly lies in complexity. Producers cannot win every commodity segment against lower-cost imports. But they can defend and grow in applications where failure risk, qualification standards and technical requirements matter.

The next decade will likely reward producers that invest in advanced materials and difficult applications. This includes higher corrosion resistance, special dimensions, better surface quality, stronger traceability and lower-carbon documentation.

Policy could help if it is implemented carefully. CBAM and safeguards may support regional supply, but they must avoid damaging downstream processors through higher input costs or poorly designed quota structures.

The real test for Europe is execution. Producers must turn sustainability and regulation into commercial value, not only compliance costs. That means proving lower carbon intensity, shorter logistics chains and stronger product reliability.

European stainless tube trade will therefore become more segmented. Commodity and ASTM process pipe will remain import-sensitive. Automotive exhaust demand will decline. Data centres and complex industrial applications will become more important.

For producers, the strategy is clear. Europe must compete where technical standards, certification, sustainability and customer proximity matter most.

The Metalnomist Commentary

European stainless tube producers are being pushed out of low-margin commodity competition and into higher-specification markets. The winners will be companies that convert regulation, traceability and technical complexity into pricing power, especially in data centres, energy systems and premium process pipe.

US Stainless Steel Surcharges Fall as Scrap Processor Margins Tighten

Stainless Steel scrap

US stainless steel surcharges fell for many finished flat and bar products in April, putting fresh pressure on stainless scrap processors. North American Stainless, Outokumpu, ATI, and Marcegaglia lowered several published surcharges, reducing the ability of processors to pass higher scrap costs through to consumers.

US stainless steel surcharges for 301 and 304 flat-rolled coil declined by 0.5-1.6¢/lb compared with March. The move came despite a sharp rise in processor 304 scrap solids prices since the start of the year.

US stainless steel surcharges therefore created a margin squeeze across the scrap-processing chain. Processors said mill scrap demand had not changed much, while consumer prices had failed to rise enough to offset higher buying competition for stainless scrap.

304 Stainless Scrap Prices Rise While Mill Surcharges Ease

Supply competition pushed processor 304 scrap solids prices up by 13.5¢/lb since the beginning of the year. However, lower April surcharges made it harder for processors to lift selling prices and protect margins.

NAS, Outokumpu, and ATI reduced April surcharges for 301 and 304 flat-rolled coil. Although 304 flat-rolled surcharges remained 13-15¢/lb higher than a year earlier, the latest monthly decline weakened near-term pricing momentum.

Stainless bar products also moved lower in several categories. NAS and Marcegaglia reduced 303, 304, and 17-4 bar surcharges by 1¢/lb, while Marcegaglia’s 15-5 bar surcharge dropped by 10¢/lb. Marcegaglia also lowered its 416 bar surcharge by 0.5¢/lb, although NAS raised its 416 surcharge by 0.5¢/lb.

316 Stainless Scrap Holds Better on Molybdenum Support

The 316 stainless market showed more resilience because elevated molybdenum prices continued to support alloy surcharges. Flat-rolled 316 surcharges rose by 0.1-1¢/lb in April and have increased by 30-31¢/lb since the start of the year.

Delivered processor 316 solids prices rose by 11¢/lb over the same period. The smaller-volume 316 scrap market remained firmer than 304 because molybdenum-bearing scrap supply is tighter and more directly linked to alloy input costs.

The short-term outlook remains cautious. One processor said May demand could slow from April, suggesting that stainless scrap prices may face resistance if mills reduce buying or if finished stainless demand weakens.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The US stainless market is showing a classic margin conflict between scrap processors and mills. Scrap costs have risen sharply, but lower surcharges weaken processors’ ability to recover those costs unless mill demand strengthens again.

Aperam Stainless Steel Earnings Rise as European Demand Recovers

Aperam

Aperam stainless steel earnings improved in the first quarter as seasonal demand recovered in Europe and average selling prices strengthened. The Luxembourg-based stainless producer reported adjusted Ebitda of €90mn in January-March, up from €67mn in the previous quarter and €86mn a year earlier.

Aperam stainless steel earnings were supported by higher shipments, better utilisation and a more favourable pricing environment. Group shipments rose to 617,000t from 554,000t in the fourth quarter and 575,000t a year earlier.

Aperam stainless steel earnings also benefited from the company’s diversified business model. Stainless and electrical steel, services, alloys, recycling and downstream activities all contributed to a stronger start to the year.

The company described the result as its best first quarter in three years. It expects second-quarter adjusted Ebitda to be significantly higher if metal and product prices remain near current levels.

Stainless and Electrical Steel Recover From Late-2025 Weakness

Aperam’s stainless and electrical steel division showed the clearest improvement. Adjusted Ebitda rose to €35mn from €11mn in the fourth quarter and €28mn a year earlier.

Segment shipments increased by 3.6% from the previous quarter to 430,000t. European demand improved seasonally, although Brazilian shipments were lower.

Average steel selling prices rose by 10.3% from the fourth quarter to €2,200/t. Prices remained below the €2,417/t recorded a year earlier, but the quarterly increase helped restore margins.

The improvement suggests European stainless markets are recovering from a difficult end to 2025. Low capacity utilisation, import pressure and subdued consumption had weighed on producer earnings.

Higher utilisation helped the division in the first quarter. Positive valuation effects also supported earnings, showing how pricing momentum can lift stainless producers when inventories and product values move favourably.

Aperam’s outlook also reflects a stronger European trade policy backdrop. Trade defence regulation could give domestic producers more protection against import pressure, especially if demand continues to recover.

Downstream Services, Alloys and Recycling Strengthen the Value Chain

Aperam’s services and solutions segment also improved. Adjusted Ebitda rose to €20mn from €7mn in the fourth quarter and €13mn a year earlier.

Shipments increased to 191,000t from 159,000t in the previous quarter. Average selling prices rose by 3.7% to €2,733/t, reflecting better downstream demand.

The alloys and specialties division generated adjusted Ebitda of €27mn. This was higher than €22mn in the fourth quarter, although slightly below the €29mn reported a year earlier.

Shipments in alloys and specialties were stable at 16,000t. Average selling prices declined by 3.1% to €15,846/t, but seasonal demand helped offset higher maintenance costs.

Aperam strengthened this higher-value position after the quarter by acquiring Magnetec Group. The acquisition adds nanocrystalline soft magnetic components and expands the company’s reach into electrical engineering and electronics markets.

The recycling and renewables segment showed higher activity but lower earnings. Shipments rose by 23% to 357,000t, while sales increased to €431mn.

Adjusted Ebitda in recycling and renewables fell to €23mn from €32mn. The fourth quarter had benefited from unusually strong year-end valuation effects, making the comparison difficult.

The recycling business remains strategically important. Aperam’s scrap integration gives it some protection against volatility in nickel, ferro-alloys and stainless scrap prices.

This matters because stainless steel production depends heavily on raw material cost control. Integrated scrap flows can improve flexibility when alloying metals and scrap markets become volatile.

Aperam’s first-quarter result therefore points to more than a cyclical recovery. It shows that stainless producers with downstream services, alloy exposure and recycling integration can defend earnings better when European demand improves.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Aperam’s first quarter shows that European stainless steel is recovering, but not evenly. The strongest signal is the value-chain effect: producers with scrap integration, downstream services and specialty alloy exposure are better placed than those relying only on commodity stainless volumes.

Indian Stainless Seamless Tube Exports Set to Stay Resilient in EU Market

Stainless Tube

Indian stainless seamless tube exports to Europe are expected to remain resilient despite tighter EU safeguard quotas and rising carbon compliance costs. European buyers continue to depend on imported material in product categories where regional stainless seamless tube capacity remains insufficient.

Indian stainless seamless tube exports are being tested by two forces at once. Europe is tightening trade protection and carbon policy, while India is expanding production capacity to serve both export and domestic industrial demand.

The result is not a simple import slowdown. Instead, the European market is likely to become more selective, with buyers continuing to source from India where local supply cannot meet technical, volume or cost requirements.

Speakers at SMR’s Stainless Steel Tube and Pipe Market Insights Day in Dusseldorf said EU safeguard quotas and the carbon border adjustment mechanism will raise costs. However, they said these measures will not remove Europe’s structural need for non-EU seamless tube supply.

EU Supply Gaps Keep Indian Tube Imports Viable

European stainless seamless tube buyers are not abandoning overseas suppliers because domestic mills cannot fully cover demand across all product segments. This is especially true in applications requiring specific sizes, grades, delivery windows or fabrication-linked supply.

Venus Europe managing director Stefan Muller-Bernhardt said price increases in Europe are being driven more by policy measures and cost inflation than by genuine shortages caused by lower imports. This distinction matters because trade measures may raise landed costs without creating enough domestic capacity to replace imports.

Ratnamani Metals and Tubes stainless steel division head MS Randhawa said imports will remain viable where demand exceeds regional supply. Even when buyers face higher tariffs and compliance costs, the need for material can outweigh the added expense.

This is particularly relevant for seamless tubes used in export-oriented fabrication. Products tied to heat exchangers, pressure vessels and engineered systems may still require imported tube input if European supply is limited or too expensive.

CBAM adds another layer of uncertainty. Importers will need to manage emissions reporting, verification and future carbon costs. But the mechanism is unlikely to eliminate Indian stainless seamless tube exports where Europe lacks sufficient domestic alternatives.

Safeguard quotas will have a more direct commercial effect. Tighter quotas can restrict volume flexibility and raise the risk of duty exposure. However, buyers with technical dependence on imports may continue purchasing Indian material even at higher cost.

This creates a more disciplined import market. Indian suppliers that can offer consistent quality, compliance documentation and reliable delivery will be better positioned than low-cost exporters with weaker transparency.

For European buyers, the key issue is not whether imports become more expensive. It is whether domestic producers can replace the material. In many seamless tube categories, the answer remains uncertain.

Indian Capacity Growth and Process Routes Reshape Competition

India’s stainless seamless tube industry is expanding rapidly, but speakers said this should not be viewed only as export pressure on Europe. Indian producers are also adding capacity to serve fast-growing domestic demand.

India’s refining, power, fertiliser, semiconductor, defence and industrial sectors are all increasing stainless seamless tube consumption. These applications require corrosion resistance, pressure integrity and reliable mechanical performance.

India also has low per-capita stainless steel consumption, leaving substantial room for long-term domestic growth. As industrialisation continues, local tube demand should absorb part of the new capacity being added by Indian producers.

Still, exports will remain attractive. Overseas markets often offer larger order volumes, better price realisation and more diversified customer bases. Europe will therefore remain important, even as Indian domestic demand strengthens.

The market is also seeing a technical divide between production routes. Rotary piercing is gaining share because of lower costs and improving process technology. This route is becoming more competitive in mainstream seamless tube applications.

Hot extrusion remains important for more demanding segments. Aerospace, defence, nuclear and nickel alloy applications still require higher-end processing, tighter quality control and stronger technical assurance.

The two production routes are unlikely to converge into one dominant model. Rotary piercing will likely serve broader volume demand, while hot extrusion will remain positioned in premium and technically demanding markets.

This divide matters for Europe. Buyers may use Indian piercing-based supply for standard industrial applications, while relying on hot-extruded material for more critical service conditions.

Indian stainless seamless tube exports will therefore become more segmented. The market will differentiate between commodity-grade volume, engineered stainless products and high-specification alloy tubes.

For Indian producers, the opportunity is clear. Companies that can serve both cost-sensitive mainstream demand and higher-specification industrial applications will be better placed to withstand EU policy pressure.

For Europe, the challenge is also clear. Trade controls and CBAM may protect local producers, but they cannot immediately create missing capacity in specialized seamless tube categories.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The EU’s policy direction will raise the cost of Indian stainless seamless tube exports, but it will not remove Europe’s import dependence. The stronger long-term shift is segmentation: lower-cost piercing will serve volume demand, while hot extrusion will defend premium industrial applications.

SMEL Specialty Stainless Steel Capacity Plan Targets Higher-Value Indian Steel Demand

Shyam Metalics and Energy

SMEL specialty stainless steel capacity is set to expand by 2029 as India’s Shyam Metalics and Energy prepares new investments aimed at raising the share of higher-margin, value-added steel products in its portfolio. The company plans to invest an additional Rs27bn across two projects, subject to board approval.

SMEL specialty stainless steel capacity growth will be supported by a major stainless steel downstream expansion and a new special bar quality and specialty wire rod mill. Both projects are scheduled for commissioning by 2029.

SMEL specialty stainless steel capacity expansion reflects a broader shift in India’s steel industry. Producers are moving beyond commodity long products and into higher-specification materials for automotive, rail, engineering, infrastructure and coastal applications.

The proposed investment also aligns with India’s strategy to reduce dependence on imported cold-rolled stainless products. Local downstream capacity can improve supply security for manufacturers that need consistent quality, shorter lead times and domestic sourcing options.

SBQ and Specialty Wire Rod Mill Moves SMEL Into Premium Long Steel

SMEL plans to invest Rs9bn in an SBQ and specialty wire rod project with 800,000 t/yr of capacity. This will mark the company’s entry into premium long steel production.

Special bar quality steel is used in demanding applications where strength, consistency, machinability and metallurgical control are important. Key end-use sectors include automotive components, engineering products, industrial machinery, infrastructure and precision manufacturing.

Specialty wire rod also gives SMEL access to higher-value markets than conventional long steel. These products can serve fasteners, springs, bearings, welding wire, automotive parts and other engineered applications.

The investment is strategically important because premium long steel requires stronger process control and customer qualification. Producers must meet tighter chemistry, cleanliness, dimensional and mechanical property requirements.

For SMEL, the project could improve margins by shifting part of its output toward more specialised products. It also reduces exposure to lower-margin commodity steel cycles, where pricing is more vulnerable to oversupply and weak construction demand.

Stainless Expansion Targets Import Substitution and Downstream Integration

The larger part of the investment, Rs18bn, will go toward stainless steel downstream expansion. The plan includes melt shop expansion, higher hot-strip mill capacity, cold-rolling expansion and a new reversible cold-rolling mill.

SMEL also plans to add hot-rolled, cold and bright annealing and pickling lines. These process additions are important because stainless steel value increases significantly as producers move from melt shop output into rolled, finished and surface-treated products.

Cold-rolled stainless steel is especially important for automotive, rail, appliances, process equipment, industrial fabrication and coastal infrastructure. These markets need better surface quality, tighter tolerances and stronger corrosion performance.

The project could help reduce India’s reliance on imported cold-rolled stainless products. This matters as domestic demand grows and buyers seek more reliable local supply.

The expansion also improves SMEL’s integration across the stainless value chain. By adding more downstream processing, the company can capture more value from each tonne produced and offer a wider product range to industrial customers.

The key execution challenge will be qualification. Automotive, rail and infrastructure customers often require stable quality, repeatable processing and technical approvals before shifting supply.

If SMEL delivers the expansion on schedule, it could become a more important domestic supplier in India’s value-added stainless and specialty steel market. The company’s success will depend on ramp-up discipline, product quality and customer conversion, not capacity alone.

The Metalnomist Commentary

SMEL’s investment plan shows that Indian steel growth is moving toward quality, not only volume. The real opportunity lies in import substitution and higher-specification products, where domestic producers can capture more value from India’s industrial expansion.

EU sets ferro-alloy, stainless steel CBAM benchmarks for 2026–2030 imports

CBAM, Stainless Steel

The European Union sets ferro-alloy, stainless steel CBAM benchmarks to shape 2026 import liabilities. EU sets ferro-alloy, stainless steel CBAM benchmarks using provisional values tied to production periods. As a result, importers can estimate deductions from free allocation benchmarks once charges begin in 2026.

The provisional benchmark reduces CBAM liability by deducting a free-emissions allocation. Meanwhile, the draft applies charges only to direct process emissions at first. It excludes energy-source emissions from the early ferro-alloy and steel scope.

The draft splits ferro-alloy benchmarks into 2026–2027 and 2028–2030 values. Therefore, suppliers face a tightening standard after 2027. EU sets ferro-alloy, stainless steel CBAM benchmarks with lower values in 2028–2030.

Ferro-alloy benchmarks tighten after 2027 across key products

Ferro-chrome receives a benchmark of 2.005 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2027. It then drops to 1.881 tCO2 per tonne for 2028–2030. Meanwhile, the draft applies the same values across low- and high-carbon ferro-chrome classes.

Ferro-manganese receives a benchmark of 1.397 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2027. It then falls to 1.31 tCO2 per tonne for 2028–2030. Therefore, exporters must document process efficiency to protect netbacks.

Ferro-nickel carries the highest benchmark among the listed ferro-alloys. It starts at 3.376 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2027. It then declines to 3.167 tCO2 per tonne for 2028–2030.

Stainless steel benchmarks add defaults and a process-data option

Stainless steel receives more benchmark values because products vary widely. Cold-rolled stainless flat products carry a default of 2.152 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2027. The default drops to 2.047 tCO2 per tonne for 2028–2030.

Hot-rolled stainless flat products carry a default of 2.021 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2027. The default drops to 1.92 tCO2 per tonne for 2028–2030. Meanwhile, the draft adds process-related benchmarks when importers provide verified actual data.

Cold-rolled stainless adds a process-related benchmark of 0.165 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2030. Hot-rolled stainless adds a process-related benchmark of 0.11 tCO2 per tonne for 2026–2030. Therefore, strong measurement and reporting can lower default exposure.

The Metalnomist Commentary

These benchmarks will reward producers that can prove direct emissions with audited data. Meanwhile, stainless importers will gain leverage by replacing defaults with verified process figures. Therefore, exporters should invest now in MRV systems and product-level carbon accounting.

Jindal Stainless Specialty Steel Capacity Expansion Supports India’s Import Substitution Drive

Jindal Stainless

Jindal Stainless specialty steel capacity expansion marks another step in India’s push for higher-value industrial capacity. The company signed an MoU with the steel ministry under the production-linked incentive scheme. The move supports new capabilities in specialty steel, stainless steel, and forged products. As a result, Jindal Stainless specialty steel capacity expansion aligns closely with India’s import substitution strategy.

This matters because India still depends on imports for several critical steel grades. Those grades are essential for railways, defense, aerospace, and other strategic sectors. The new agreement aims to reduce that dependence and deepen local manufacturing strength. Therefore, Jindal Stainless specialty steel capacity expansion has significance beyond one company’s growth plan.

The broader policy backdrop is also strong. Under the scheme, 55 companies have signed 85 MoUs with planned investments of Rs118.87bn. These projects aim to add 8.7mn t of specialty steel capacity by fiscal 2030-31. Consequently, India specialty steel capacity expansion is becoming a national industrial priority.

India Specialty Steel Capacity Expansion Is Moving Up the Value Chain

India specialty steel capacity expansion is no longer only about tonnage growth. The current policy focus is shifting toward higher-value alloys and more advanced steel products. That is important because global competitiveness now depends on material quality as much as scale. As a result, the scheme is encouraging deeper technological capability.

Jindal Stainless fits that trend well. The company said it will augment current capacity and develop new capabilities in specialized alloys and forged products. That suggests a stronger move into more demanding industrial applications. Therefore, Jindal Stainless specialty steel capacity expansion supports a more advanced manufacturing profile.

This direction also improves long-term supply chain resilience. Domestic production of critical grades can reduce exposure to overseas supply disruptions and pricing pressure. Meanwhile, it can give Indian manufacturers more control over delivery and quality. That makes specialty steel import substitution more strategic than simple cost savings.

Specialty Steel Import Substitution Could Strengthen India’s Global Position

Specialty steel import substitution can also help India integrate more deeply into global manufacturing chains. The government expects the PLI scheme to support import replacement and stronger participation in international value chains. That combination matters for companies that want to move beyond domestic demand alone. Consequently, India strategic manufacturing is gaining both defensive and offensive value.

Jindal Stainless is already scaling capacity as part of its growth strategy. Management linked that expansion directly to rising demand from key national sectors. That suggests the company sees long-term structural demand, not only policy-driven opportunity. Therefore, Jindal Stainless specialty steel capacity expansion may prove commercially durable as well as politically aligned.

The larger message is clear. India wants to build more domestic strength in materials that support transport, defense, and advanced industry. The latest MoU shows that stainless and specialty steel producers will be central to that effort. As a result, India specialty steel capacity expansion is becoming one of the more important industrial themes in the country’s metals sector.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This agreement matters because it combines industrial policy with real capacity ambition. India is no longer focused only on producing more steel. It is focused on producing the right steel for strategic sectors. If execution stays on track, Jindal Stainless could strengthen its role in the next phase of India’s manufacturing upgrade.

Aperam Stainless Steel Earnings Fall as Weak European Pricing Hits Margins

Aperam, Stainless Steel

Aperam stainless steel earnings fell sharply in 2025 as weak prices overwhelmed stable shipment volumes. The group’s adjusted Ebitda dropped in the fourth quarter and declined for the full year. Stainless steel prices remained under pressure across Europe. As a result, Aperam stainless steel earnings reflected margin compression rather than volume weakness.

The company shipped 2.287mn t across all divisions in 2025, broadly unchanged from 2024. However, net income collapsed to €9mn from €231mn. Lower margins, restructuring costs, and higher financing expenses weighed heavily on results. Therefore, stable shipments could not protect profitability.

European Stainless Steel Demand Remains the Main Pressure Point

European stainless steel demand remained subdued through the year. Aperam’s stainless and electrical steel shipments improved in the fourth quarter. However, price erosion more than offset that seasonal recovery. Consequently, adjusted Ebitda in the segment fell sharply.

Average stainless selling prices were 16pc lower year on year in the fourth quarter. Competitive import pressure also added stress to European operations. Low capacity utilisation made the situation worse. Therefore, stainless steel prices remain the key challenge for Aperam.

Aperam 2026 Outlook Depends on Cost Savings and Trade Defence

Aperam 2026 outlook looks more constructive, but recovery will likely be gradual. The company expects first-quarter Ebitda to improve from the fourth quarter. Cost efficiencies and early trade-defence benefits should provide support. As a result, margins may begin stabilising.

The company also launched Leadership Journey Phase 6. This programme targets €150mn of additional gains from 2026 to 2028. Meanwhile, European trade defence and CBAM-related changes may support the second half of 2026. Therefore, Aperam stainless steel earnings could improve if policy support meets real demand recovery.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Aperam’s results show that European stainless producers still face a pricing problem, not a shipment problem. Cost cuts can help, but sustainable recovery needs stronger demand and better import discipline. The second half of 2026 may become the real test for margin recovery.

Outokumpu Issues Profit Warning Amid Stainless Steel Market Weakness

Outokumpu

Finland-based stainless steel producer Outokumpu has issued a profit warning, revising its guidance for the fourth quarter due to a combination of challenging market conditions, operational setbacks, and falling raw material prices. The company now anticipates its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for Q4 to be significantly below the €86 million ($90 million) recorded in the third quarter.

Outokumpu cited multiple factors contributing to the revision, including:

• Prolonged maintenance at its Tornio plant in Finland, which exceeded initial expectations of a €10 million impact.

• Weakened stainless steel market conditions, reflecting sluggish demand across the European value chain.

• Negative inventory valuation effects, driven by plummeting stainless steel and scrap prices.

The company hinted that Q4 adjusted EBITDA could approach breakeven levels or even turn negative due to these compounded challenges.

European Stainless Steel Market Pressures Intensify

The European stainless steel market is facing significant headwinds, with demand declining across the value chain. Falling raw material prices and broader economic uncertainties have exacerbated the situation. The Supermetalprice assessment for stainless steel 304 cold-rolled 2mm sheet delivered to northwest Europe has dropped nearly 15% since Q2, averaging €2,550/t. Similarly, stainless steel scrap 304 (18-8) solids cif Rotterdam has seen a sharp 21% decline, averaging €1,155/t.

Outokumpu’s stainless steel deliveries in Q4 are expected to decrease by 0-10% compared to Q3, with the company now expecting shipments to hit the lower end of the range. Total stainless steel shipments fell by 2.23% year-on-year to 459,000 tonnes in Q3, reflecting broader market stagnation.

These conditions have forced Outokumpu to reassess its operational strategies, while other producers in Europe are similarly reducing capacities to address supply and demand imbalances.

Looking Ahead

Outokumpu’s profit warning highlights the broader challenges facing the European stainless steel industry. Demand-side struggles, coupled with falling prices for raw materials and finished goods, are reshaping market dynamics. As Outokumpu navigates through these turbulent times, the focus will remain on mitigating operational inefficiencies while anticipating potential recovery in global demand for stainless steel.

GLE Alloys Stainless Nickel Yard to Open in Pennsylvania in May

GLE Scrap Metal

GLE Alloys stainless nickel yard development will give GLE Scrap Metal a dedicated platform for stainless steel and nickel processing in Pennsylvania. The full-service recycler plans to open the new non-ferrous yard in May through its newly created subsidiary, GLE Alloys.

The GLE Alloys stainless nickel yard is being built on 10 acres along the Monongahela River in Braddock. The site will include a dock for bulk barge loading, rail access, and about 80,000ft² of warehouse space.

The GLE Alloys stainless nickel yard strengthens GLE’s position in higher-value alloy scrap. Stainless steel and nickel scrap require more specialized sorting, handling, chemistry control, and logistics than ordinary ferrous scrap, making the new facility strategically relevant for mills, processors, and alloy consumers.

River, Rail and Warehouse Access Strengthen Scrap Logistics

The Braddock site’s logistics infrastructure is central to the project’s value. Barge loading on the Monongahela River gives GLE Alloys access to bulk movement, while rail access improves shipment flexibility for larger volumes.

The warehouse space also supports better material control. Stainless and nickel scrap often need segregation by grade, alloy family, and chemistry before shipment to consumers.

Braddock’s industrial location adds further relevance. The area is also home to US Steel’s Mon Valley blast furnace operations, placing GLE Alloys inside a long-established metals corridor with existing industrial infrastructure.

GLE Expands Beyond Regional Recycling Into Alloy Processing

GLE Scrap Metal already operates six recycling facilities in Florida and Michigan. The company also runs a copper wire processing plant in Ocoee, Florida, and has an aluminum wire and URD wire processing facility through sister company Mallin Companies in Kansas City.

The creation of GLE Alloys shows a more focused move into specialty scrap. Stainless steel and nickel-bearing materials are tied to stainless mills, superalloy producers, foundries, aerospace supply chains, energy equipment, and industrial manufacturing.

GLE has appointed James Merrills as commercial director and Tom Kaikis as operations director for the new subsidiary. Their stainless and nickel experience should support customer development, material sourcing, and operational discipline as the facility ramps up.

The Metalnomist Commentary

GLE’s Braddock investment shows that alloy scrap is becoming a more specialized and logistics-driven business. As nickel and stainless supply chains look for reliable secondary feedstock, yards with chemistry control, storage capacity, and multimodal transport will gain strategic value.

Jindal Stainless Seeks Anti-Dumping Duty to Curb Cheap Imports

Jindal Stainless

Jindal Stainless seeks anti-dumping duty to curb cheap imports and stabilize India’s stainless market. Jindal Stainless seeks anti-dumping duty as US tariffs rise and low-priced inflows grow. Jindal Stainless seeks anti-dumping duty to protect investment and domestic capacity.

Petition targets China and Vietnam as imports surge

Jindal Stainless urged swift DGTR action on anti-dumping duties. The industry petition names China and Vietnam as key sources. As a result, India’s producers face price pressure and margin erosion. The company warned that persistent undercutting threatens capex plans. It argued that protective duties would restore a fair playing field.

US tariffs complicate exports; domestic demand stays firm

US tariffs of 25pc on Indian steel raised uncertainty for exporters. Therefore, Jindal Stainless will lean harder on India’s resilient demand. Sales volumes rose 8.3pc to 626,252t on autos, rail, lifts and appliances. Meanwhile, the export mix held at 9pc as the firm prioritized value-added orders. Management expects DGTR to start the probe within two to three months.

Strong domestic momentum supports near-term utilization rates. However, protectionist measures in the EU and US cloud global sentiment. Jindal Stainless is expanding presence in Japan, the Middle East and South America. The firm said it will keep serving global customers with tailored solutions. It aims to balance exposure while defending share at home.

Policy clarity will shape pricing and coil availability into 2026. If DGTR imposes duties, import arbitrage should narrow. Consequently, domestic mills could lift run-rates and stabilize realizations. Without relief, cheaper stainless could cap local prices and investment. Stakeholders across fabrication and white goods should plan for volatility.

The Metalnomist Commentary

India’s stainless ecosystem sits at a policy inflection point. Provisional duties would likely firm domestic spreads and spur capex. Watch DGTR timelines, landed cost gaps versus China and Vietnam, and contract resets post-festive season.

Global Stainless Steel Output Sees Growth in 2024

Stainless Steel

Stainless Steel Production Increases Worldwide in 2024

Global stainless steel production saw an impressive rise in 2024, with output increasing across all regions. According to the World Stainless Association, stainless steel melt shop production rose by 5.4% in the first nine months of the year. This increase brings total production to 46.1 million tons (mn t), reflecting strong demand for this critical material used in a variety of industries worldwide.

Regional Growth Across the Globe

Notably, several countries and regions saw substantial gains. The combined output from Brazil, Indonesia, Russia, South Africa, and South Korea surged by 11.2%, reaching 5.86 million tons. This increase highlights the rising production capabilities of emerging and established markets alike. In North America, the U.S. saw a significant boost in production, climbing 9.1% year-on-year to reach 1.5 million tons.

Europe also contributed to the global rise, with its stainless steel production increasing by 4.9%, totaling 4.69 million tons. Even in Asia, beyond China and South Korea, production expanded by 8.1%, reaching 5.39 million tons.

China’s Contribution to Global Production

China, which remains a dominant player in global stainless steel production, saw its output rise by 3.4% year-on-year, reaching 28.63 million tons in the first three quarters of 2024. Despite slower growth compared to other regions, China's output still accounts for a significant portion of the global total, underlining its continued importance in the steel industry.

Conclusion: A Positive Outlook for Stainless Steel Production

The global rise in stainless steel production reflects a robust recovery and ongoing demand across industries. With positive trends in multiple regions, the stainless steel market appears poised for continued growth. As production capacities increase worldwide, the outlook for the global steel market remains strong, driven by both traditional and emerging markets.

Europa Plant Drives 3Q Rise in Acerinox’s Stainless Steel Output Amid Challenges

Acerinox

Acerinox, a prominent Spanish stainless steel producer, saw an uptick in its steel output in the third quarter of 2024, driven by the reactivation of the Acerinox Europa plant in Los Barrios, Spain. This follows a significant five-month shutdown due to workers' strikes earlier this year. The plant’s resumption in production helped the company achieve a rise in melt shop production from the second quarter, signaling a positive recovery. However, despite the production increase, Acerinox's revenues in the stainless steel segment faced a decline due to ongoing challenging market conditions, particularly in Europe and the US.

Key Highlights from Acerinox’s Third-Quarter Performance:

• Production and Shipments Growth: Acerinox’s stainless steel output rose by 11.85% year-on-year, totaling 473,000 tons in the July-September period. The ramp-up of the Acerinox Europa plant contributed to a notable 23.2% increase in shipments from the previous quarter.

• Market Challenges: Despite the rise in shipments, the company’s stainless steel revenues declined both on a quarterly and yearly basis. Finished stainless steel prices have decreased, primarily due to reduced alloy surcharges, although the base price in the US remained stable.

• EBITDA Decline: The group’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the third quarter fell by 9% year-on-year, amounting to €86 million. The group's performance in the January-September period also showed a significant retreat, with EBITDA down by 47%, reflecting the industry's overall weakness.

• High-Performance Alloys Struggles: Acerinox’s high-performance alloys segment experienced a 46% year-on-year decline in EBITDA, driven by a sharp drop in nickel prices. However, the segment saw a 5.9% increase in output, reaching 18,000 tons in the third quarter.

• Strategic Moves and Diversification: In response to persistent weakness in the European market, Acerinox has diversified its portfolio. The company’s recent acquisition of Haynes aims to strengthen its foothold in the US market, especially focusing on higher value-added products. Additionally, Acerinox sold its loss-making subsidiary, Bahru Stainless, for $95 million to improve its balance sheet.

Outlook for Acerinox in Q4 2024:

Acerinox anticipates that market conditions will remain challenging in the fourth quarter. Geopolitical uncertainties, macroeconomic volatility, and market seasonality are expected to impact demand for stainless steel, particularly in Europe. The company has curtailed production at the Acerinox Europa plant in response to low demand and declining prices. However, Acerinox expects its EBITDA for the final quarter to surpass third-quarter levels, thanks to the sale of Bahru Stainless, though adjusted EBITDA is projected to remain lower.

The global stainless steel industry continues to grapple with high production costs, low sales prices, and declining demand, particularly in Europe. Meanwhile, the aerospace sector and the high-performance alloys market are expected to provide some relief for Acerinox as the company focuses on diversifying its revenue streams.

India’s JSL Proposes Zero Import Duty on Critical Raw Materials to Strengthen Domestic Steel Industry

Jindal Stainless Steel

Jindal Stainless Steel Calls for Reduced Import Duties on Molybdenum and Other Key Materials

Jindal Stainless Steel (JSL), a major Indian steelmaker, has proposed that the Indian government eliminate import duties on essential raw materials like molybdenum ore. Currently, ferro-molybdenum imports face a 5% duty. The proposal, made by JSL’s managing director, Abhyuday Jindal, comes ahead of India’s budget announcement on February 1 for the 2025-2026 fiscal year. Along with molybdenum ore, JSL recommends maintaining zero duties on other materials such as pure nickel, ferro-nickel, stainless steel scrap, and mild steel.

Boosting India’s Infrastructure and Stainless Steel Production

JSL’s proposal also calls for continued government focus on infrastructure spending, particularly in areas like inland waterways, rail infrastructure, and coastal shipping. This, Jindal argues, will support the stainless steel industry by improving operational efficiency and ensuring competitive raw material prices. Additionally, the Indian Stainless Steel Development Association (ISSDA) supports reducing customs duties on graphite electrodes and charge chrome to zero, which would further enhance industry operations.

However, to protect against cheap stainless steel imports, JSL suggests raising the basic customs duty on stainless steel products to 15% for countries outside of free trade agreements. This measure, JSL believes, would safeguard India’s domestic stainless steel market and contribute to the country’s Viksit Bharat 2047 vision.

Acerinox Stainless Steel Output Rises Despite Lower EBITDA in Q1

Acerinox Stainless Steel

Strong U.S. operations support Acerinox stainless steel production growth

Acerinox stainless steel output rose 11% year-over-year and 29% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2025, driven by resilient performance in the U.S. market. The Spanish producer reported 512,000 tonnes of stainless steel and high-performance alloys during the period, with stainless steel alone accounting for 488,000 tonnes.

Revenue grows, but alloy surcharges weigh on earnings

While group revenues climbed 17% from Q4 to €1.55 billion, EBITDA fell 32% quarter-on-quarter to €102 million. Stainless steel segment EBITDA dropped by 50%, reflecting weaker European prices and lower alloy surcharges. European market softness was worsened by rising import pressure, with import share jumping from 14% to 22%.

Outlook driven by U.S. demand and strategic cost controls

Acerinox expects Q2 earnings to improve, backed by a strong U.S. order book and cost-optimization efforts at its Spanish Acerinox Europa and Haynes facilities. However, the company anticipates weaker high-performance alloy sales in Europe, even as U.S. volumes hold steady. The firm’s ongoing strategic plan aims to counteract tariff disruptions and safeguard profitability.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Acerinox’s performance shows how regional diversification—especially U.S. strength—can buffer global stainless producers from European price volatility. Its focus on cost control and operational strategy will be key as trade tensions and import surges continue reshaping the stainless steel landscape.