Ford Energy BESS Deal With EDF Signals Automaker Push Into Grid Storage

Ford Energy

Ford Energy BESS deal with EDF Power Solutions North America marks a major step in Ford’s move from vehicle batteries into grid-scale energy storage. Ford Energy will supply EDF with 20GWh of battery energy storage systems over five years starting in 2028.

Ford Energy BESS deal gives EDF access to up to 4GWh/yr of DC block systems for utility-scale storage projects across the US. The agreement positions Ford Energy as a key domestic supplier for large energy storage developers.

Ford Energy BESS deal also shows how automakers are repurposing battery manufacturing assets for stationary storage. Ford is investing $2bn to convert its Glendale, Kentucky, battery facility for the BESS market.

The transaction connects three fast-growing demand drivers: grid storage, data centers and US-made battery systems. It also reinforces the strategic role of lithium iron phosphate batteries in stationary applications.

LFP Storage Supports Utilities, Data Centers and Industrial Customers

Ford Energy’s DC Block is a standardized 20ft containerized battery energy storage system. Each unit has 5.45MWh of capacity and uses lithium iron phosphate prismatic cells.

The system is available in two-hour and four-hour discharge configurations. That flexibility allows EDF to deploy storage across different grid services, renewable integration and peak-shifting applications.

LFP batteries are well suited to stationary storage because they offer cost advantages, safety benefits and long cycle life. They also reduce exposure to nickel and cobalt compared with higher-nickel lithium-ion chemistries.

Ford Energy plans to assemble BESS in the US for utilities, data centers, large industrial customers and commercial users. That customer mix reflects how electricity demand is changing.

Data centers are becoming a major new source of power demand. Battery storage can help manage grid congestion, renewable intermittency and backup power requirements.

EDF already has a large platform for deployment. The company has developed 26GW of projects and holds 17GW under service contracts, giving Ford Energy a major channel into the US storage market.

Repurposed Battery Capacity Strengthens US Storage Supply Chain

Ford Energy plans to deploy at least 20GWh/yr of BESS capacity, with first customer deliveries scheduled for late 2027. The EDF agreement will absorb a meaningful share of early output from 2028.

The Glendale investment is strategically important. It shows how battery manufacturing capacity originally linked to vehicle electrification can be redirected toward stationary storage.

This matters because EV demand growth has become less linear, while grid storage demand continues to rise. Automakers with battery manufacturing assets may find BESS a valuable second market.

The deal also strengthens the US energy storage supply chain. Domestic assembly can reduce logistics risk, support local content requirements and improve delivery certainty for infrastructure customers.

For battery materials, the agreement supports demand for lithium, phosphate, graphite, copper, aluminium and battery-grade chemicals tied to LFP cells and storage systems.

The wider implication is clear. Battery demand is no longer only an EV story. Utilities, data centers and industrial customers are becoming major buyers of battery systems as power reliability becomes a strategic constraint.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Ford’s EDF agreement shows that stationary storage is becoming a major outlet for battery manufacturing capacity. The strategic winners will be companies that can combine US assembly, LFP chemistry and long-term supply agreements with grid and data-center customers.

Ford BESS market entry accelerates after $19.5bn Ford EV write-down

Ford BESS

Ford BESS market entry is now central to Ford Motor’s updated electrification strategy. The automaker launched a battery energy storage systems unit as it prepares a Ford EV write-down totaling $19.5bn. As a result, Ford is repositioning capital toward grid infrastructure and data center demand.

Ford said weak demand and high costs pushed it to shelve plans for large EVs. However, the company still targets a more electrified fleet mix by 2030. Therefore, Ford BESS market entry signals a pivot toward returns that look steadier than passenger EV margins.

Ford battery energy storage systems business targets data centers and grids

Ford battery energy storage systems business will lean on lithium-iron-phosphate technology. Ford will also use its wholly owned plants in Kentucky and Michigan. Meanwhile, the company aims to serve energy infrastructure upgrades and expanding data center loads.

Ford plans to begin shipping BESS products in 2027. The company expects annual capacity to reach 20GWh. As a result, Ford battery energy storage systems business could become a meaningful industrial demand driver for LFP inputs and power electronics.

EV strategy resets around hybrids and EREVs

Ford widened its EV definition to include hybrids, EREVs, and BEVs. An EREV uses a gasoline engine to recharge the battery, not drive the wheels. Therefore, EREVs can extend range without frequent plug-in charging.

Ford expects electrified vehicles to represent about 50% of global production by 2030. That compares with roughly 17% today. Meanwhile, Ford EV write-down reflects how quickly automakers must reassess platform bets when demand softens.

Ford also ended production of the current-generation F-150 Lightning. The company now plans to adopt EREV architecture for the next generation. As a result, Ford aligns product planning with consumer range expectations and cost discipline.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This shift ties automotive manufacturing closer to stationary power markets. However, BESS success will depend on execution, sourcing, and project-cycle discipline. Therefore, Ford’s move could reshape LFP supply competition with established storage players.

Lopal and EVE Energy Ink $694mn LFP Cathode Supply Deal

Lopal

Strategic Partnership for Malaysian Battery Production

Chinese lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode producer Jiangsu Lopal has signed a landmark supply agreement with EVE Energy’s Malaysian subsidiary, underscoring the growing importance of Southeast Asia in the global battery supply chain. The five-year deal covers the delivery of 152,000t of LFP cathode material between 2026 and 2030, with a total estimated value exceeding 5bn yuan ($694mn). The agreement includes flexibility clauses allowing EVE Energy to adjust order volumes within predefined limits, while pricing will be determined quarterly to reflect market conditions.

EVE Energy began operating its first overseas battery manufacturing facility in Malaysia in February 2025. The plant, designed with an annual output capacity of 680mn cylindrical batteries, primarily serves the electric tool and electric two-wheeler markets. By sourcing LFP cathode materials locally within Asia, EVE Energy aims to strengthen supply chain resilience and reduce exposure to cross-border trade risks.

Global LFP Supply Chain Diversification

Lopal has emerged as one of China’s most prominent LFP cathode producers since acquiring the business from Shenzhen BTR New Energy Material. The company operates large-scale production complexes across Jiangsu, Shandong, Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hubei, giving it significant domestic manufacturing coverage and the ability to meet large-volume contracts. In addition to EVE Energy, Lopal has also secured long-term supply deals with Cornex and Ford Motor Company this year, further expanding its customer portfolio.

This deal comes amid escalating US–China trade tensions, particularly in the energy storage sector. The United States has imposed a 40.9pc tariff on Chinese-produced LFP batteries for energy storage systems (ESS), driving manufacturers to diversify production locations. China still produces over 90pc of the world’s LFP batteries, but other countries are rapidly entering the market. LG Energy Solution (LGES) in South Korea has already started mass production of LFP batteries in the US, signaling a shift in global production strategies.

With geopolitical pressures, fluctuating raw material prices, and the ongoing global push for electrification, long-term supply contracts like this one between Lopal and EVE Energy are becoming increasingly critical for securing stable production pipelines and competitive advantage.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This agreement reflects a broader industry shift toward decentralizing battery material production across multiple regions to reduce geopolitical and logistical risks. As global demand for LFP batteries accelerates, Southeast Asia is poised to become a crucial manufacturing hub, offering both cost efficiency and strategic proximity to major markets.

Ford Starts Battery Pack Assembly in Germany

Ford Battery Pack

Ford Expands EV Production with Cologne Battery Facility

Ford has begun mass assembly of electric vehicle battery packs at its Cologne, Germany plant, marking a major step in the automaker’s $2bn European electrification strategy. The facility will directly align with Ford’s nearby Cologne Electric Vehicle Center, enabling integrated production of the Capri and Explorer EV models, which will deliver ranges of up to 627km and 602km.

The highly automated production line, spanning 2km, uses 180 robots to weld, glue, and assemble the battery housing. Each battery pack consists of 2,775 individual parts and up to 12 modules, underscoring Ford’s commitment to advanced manufacturing efficiency and scale.

Strategic Supply Agreements for EV Battery Materials

Ford has also secured long-term supply deals to ensure stable access to critical materials. In October 2024, LG Energy Solution signed a contract to deliver 109 GWh of batteries from 2026, with terms extending up to six years. Meanwhile, US specialty chemicals firm Albemarle agreed to supply over 100,000 tonnes of lithium hydroxide between 2026 and 2030.

These partnerships highlight Ford’s focus on securing raw materials essential for its EV expansion. The agreements align with global trends of automakers locking in lithium and battery supply to mitigate price volatility and ensure future production capacity.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Ford’s Cologne investment reflects the growing importance of localized EV battery production in Europe. By integrating supply agreements with global partners, Ford strengthens its resilience against supply chain disruptions. This strategy not only supports its electrification roadmap but also places it in direct competition with European and Asian automakers accelerating EV deployment.

SK On Secures $9.6B Loan for US Battery Plants, Boosting EV Production Capacity

BlueOval SK

South Korean battery manufacturer SK On has successfully secured a loan of up to $9.6 billion for the construction of three new battery plants in the United States. The plants, located in Tennessee and Kentucky, will have a combined production capacity of 120 GWh per year, primarily dedicated to supplying batteries for Ford Motor's electric vehicles (EVs), including models under the Ford and Lincoln brands.

Major Investment in EV Battery Production

This loan, the largest ever awarded under the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing Program, is a significant step towards bolstering the country’s position in the rapidly expanding electric vehicle (EV) market. The funds will be used to develop three state-of-the-art battery production facilities, which are set to contribute to Ford’s ambitious EV production goals.

The collaboration between SK On and Ford Motor has already led to the formation of BlueOval SK, a joint venture designed to build the largest EV battery production operation in the U.S. Despite the recent slowdown in the EV industry, which prompted Ford to delay the construction of its second Kentucky plant in October 2023, production at the first two plants is still scheduled to commence in 2025.

Strategic Importance of the DOE Loan

This loan represents a key investment in the future of the U.S. automotive and energy sectors. As the U.S. seeks to meet rising domestic demand for EVs and maintain its leadership in the global electric vehicle market, the DOE's Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing Program plays a vital role in providing financial support for innovative technologies. By securing this funding, SK On ensures it is well-positioned to support Ford’s EV ambitions while contributing to the nation's electrification goals.

With the ongoing growth of Ford's electrified vehicle sales—reaching 257,693 units between January and November 2024, marking a 40% increase from the same period last year—this new production capacity is expected to play a pivotal role in meeting rising demand. SK On’s battery production capabilities have also seen growth, with the company’s installations increasing by 9.5% year-on-year, capturing 4.5% of the global market share, according to SNE Research.

Stellantis NextStar Battery JV Exit Signals a New Shift in North American Battery Strategy

NextStar Battery

Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit marks another important shift in North American battery strategy. Stellantis will sell its 49pc stake in NextStar Energy to LG Energy Solution. The joint venture built Canada’s first large-scale lithium-ion battery plant in Windsor, Ontario. As a result, Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit shows that automakers are rethinking how they participate in battery manufacturing.

This move matters because NextStar was a major industrial project. Stellantis and LG Energy Solution invested more than C$5bn in the venture. Yet the ownership structure is now changing even as the plant remains strategically important. Therefore, Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit is not a retreat from batteries. It is a shift in how the company wants to access them.

Stellantis will remain a customer of the facility after the transaction. That means the company still wants battery supply, but no longer wants to own nearly half of the manufacturing platform. Consequently, Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit reflects a broader trend toward supply access without full operating exposure.

EV Battery Joint Ventures Are Moving Into a New Phase

EV battery joint ventures are no longer being treated as fixed long-term ownership models. Automakers are increasingly separating battery access from battery plant ownership. That change is becoming visible across North America. As a result, EV battery joint ventures are entering a more flexible and less traditional phase.

The Stellantis decision fits a wider pattern. Other major automakers have also restructured or exited battery partnerships. General Motors sold its Michigan battery JV stake to LG Energy Solution in 2025. Ford also changed the structure of its BlueOval SK partnership later that year. Therefore, Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit looks less like an isolated deal and more like an industry reset.

This shift likely reflects changing economics and strategy. Battery manufacturing is capital-intensive, operationally complex, and increasingly competitive. Automakers may now prefer to secure output through commercial agreements while leaving plant ownership and operation to battery specialists. Meanwhile, battery makers can broaden their customer base more easily under that structure.

North American Battery Strategy Is Becoming More Specialized

North American battery strategy is now moving toward clearer specialization between automakers and cell producers. After the ownership change, NextStar will serve a broader customer base, including the energy storage system sector. That gives the plant more flexibility than a single-customer automotive model. As a result, the facility may become commercially stronger even as Stellantis reduces direct ownership.

This matters because battery plants are no longer only tied to electric vehicle demand. Energy storage systems are becoming a second major growth market. A battery facility that can sell into both EVs and stationary storage may have better long-term utilization and lower concentration risk. Therefore, North American battery strategy is becoming more diversified at the customer level.

The broader lesson is clear. Automakers still need batteries, but they may not want to carry the same level of manufacturing ownership risk as before. Battery producers, meanwhile, can gain more control and expand into wider end markets. Consequently, Stellantis NextStar battery JV exit may signal a more mature phase in the North American battery buildout.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This deal matters because it shows the battery race is no longer only about building plants. It is now about deciding who should own them, run them, and absorb the risk. Stellantis still wants battery supply, but LGES now looks better positioned to turn NextStar into a broader industrial platform.

LG Energy Solution Invests in Lopal’s Indonesian LFP Plant to Strengthen Global Battery Supply Chain

LG Energy Solution (LGES)

$15.97 Million Investment Secures Access to 30,000t/year of Lithium Iron Phosphate Cathode Material in Phase 1

LG Energy Solution Expands LFP Footprint Through Strategic Investment in Indonesia

South Korea’s LG Energy Solution (LGES) has invested $15.97 million in Chinese firm Lopal Tech’s lithium iron phosphate (LFP) plant located in Indonesia. The deal grants LGES a 20% equity stake in PT LBM Energi Baru Indonesia, a third-tier subsidiary of Lopal.

The LFP facility, currently under Phase 1 development, aims to produce 30,000 tonnes per year of LFP cathode material. Phase 2 will triple that output to 90,000 tonnes. LGES’ funding is dedicated to Phase 1, aligning with its efforts to secure a diversified and stable supply of LFP materials.

LFP Demand Soars Amid EV Market Expansion

This strategic move reflects LGES’ growing interest in LFP chemistry, which is increasingly favored for affordable and long-range electric vehicles (EVs). In 2024, LGES also signed a long-term purchase agreement with Changzhou Liyuan, a Lopal subsidiary, for 160,000 tonnes of LFP cathode materials over five years.

The Indonesia-based facility enhances LGES’ global supply flexibility, enabling localized sourcing near key Southeast Asian and global markets. Moreover, Lopal’s credibility in the market has been reinforced by its five-year LFP supply contract with Ford, signed in January.

Regional Investment Strengthens Battery Industry Integration

LGES’ equity investment not only diversifies its raw material sourcing but also aligns with Indonesia’s ambitions to become a global battery manufacturing hub. The Southeast Asian nation has drawn increasing interest due to its abundant nickel and favorable investment policies.

This development highlights LGES’ proactive strategy in building a vertically integrated battery value chain to support global EV and energy storage system (ESS) markets.

Pensana Angola Refinery Construction Begins at $325 Million Longonjo Project

Pensana Angola

Pensana Angola refinery construction commenced at the Longonjo rare earth project, marking a significant milestone in diversifying global critical minerals supply chains. The UK-based company's Pensana Angola refinery represents a $325 million investment targeting 20,000 tonnes annually of mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) production, directly challenging China's dominance in rare earth processing and magnet material supply chains.

Comprehensive Infrastructure Development Supports Integrated Operations

Pensana Angola refinery infrastructure encompasses extensive facilities including open pit mining, concentrator and recovery plants, tailings storage, and bulk power supply systems. The integrated operation will extract, concentrate, calcine, and chemically refine free dig material to produce MREC for export through Lobito port. Construction and commissioning timelines span approximately 22 months with potential second phase expansion to 40,000 tonnes annually.

Meanwhile, the expanded capacity would represent roughly 5% of global production suitable for permanent magnet conversion in electric vehicles and offshore wind applications. Industry projections indicate neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) metal demand growth of 7.5% compound annual rate over the next decade. This growth trajectory reflects accelerating clean energy transitions and automotive electrification requiring reliable rare earth supplies outside Chinese control.

Strategic Financing Structure Ensures Project Viability

However, Pensana secured comprehensive financing totaling $268 million through diversified international and regional partners. The Africa Finance Corporation approved $81.2 million within a $160 million syndicated loan facility alongside South Africa's Absa Bank in March. Angola's sovereign wealth fund FSDEA provided $25 million construction investment plus previous $15 million bridging loans and $38 million equity/convertible loan arrangements.

Therefore, the project operates through Pensana's 84% subsidiary Ozango Minerais, with FSDEA holding 10% ownership and other investors comprising the remainder. This ownership structure demonstrates successful public-private partnership models for critical minerals development in Africa. The sovereign wealth fund participation ensures Angolan government alignment with project success and local economic benefits.

Downstream Integration Targets European Market Penetration

Furthermore, Pensana established preliminary agreements for 100% of stage 1 production while engaging major automakers including JLR, Volvo, Mercedes, Ford, BMW, Tesla, and Stellantis for magnet supply chain partnerships. The company plans integrated downstream operations with UK-based separation plants at Saltend Chemicals Park producing 12,500 tonnes rare earth oxide and 4,400 tonnes NdPr oxide annually.

As a result, the proposed Yorkshire Energy Park metallization facility would generate 4,000 tonnes NdPr alloy annually, supporting European electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors. Pensana explores additional magnet manufacturing partnerships with Japanese companies, creating comprehensive rare earth value chains from Angolan mining through European processing and magnet production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Pensana's Angola refinery construction represents a strategic breakthrough in Western efforts to establish alternative rare earth supply chains independent of Chinese dominance, particularly crucial as global demand for permanent magnet materials accelerates through clean energy transitions. The integrated approach from African mining through European processing demonstrates how allied nations can collaborate to secure critical minerals access while supporting local economic development in resource-rich regions.

US Tariffs Could Boost Argentina’s Lithium Salts Production

Argentina Lithium

New Tariff Policies May Propel Argentina to the Forefront of Battery Materials Supply

US President Donald Trump’s new tariff measures, announced this week, could significantly impact the global lithium market. While many energy and mineral products, including lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, are exempt from new tariffs, the shift towards more localized battery production in the US could create new opportunities for Argentina's lithium sector. Argentina, with its lower-cost brine assets, could become a key player in the production of battery-grade lithium salts.

Shift in Global Battery Manufacturing and Tariffs Impact

Trump's recent tariff policy introduced significant duties on completed batteries from China, Japan, and South Korea. These duties are likely to accelerate the trend of localizing battery production in the US. Under the Inflation Reduction Act of former President Joe Biden’s administration, the US has already seen a shift toward local manufacturing, with major battery manufacturers like Panasonic, Samsung SDI, Ford, and Toyota planning to open around 10 new battery factories this year.

However, with a lack of domestic mining and processing capacity in the US, the country will increasingly rely on imports for raw materials to meet the demand for battery production. The US currently has only one operating lithium mine, Albemarle's Silver Peak mine in Nevada. Despite producing lithium carbonate and hydroxide, this mine cannot meet the higher purity standards required for battery-grade products needed in electric vehicles (EVs).

Argentina’s Competitive Edge in Lithium Salts Production

Argentina stands out due to its potential to produce high-quality, cost-competitive lithium salts. Brine operations in Argentina are expected to be more efficient and less costly than other South American and spodumene-producing countries. Although brine facilities require higher initial capital costs, their ongoing operational costs are lower than spodumene-based assets, making them an attractive option for global supply chains.

Argentina’s competitive advantage is further strengthened by its 3% royalty tax on lithium mining, compared to the 40% ceiling in Chile, which has a more developed lithium industry. Despite facing a 10% import tariff by the US, Argentina is well-positioned to expand its lithium production to meet the growing demand from battery factories in the US. According to Argentina’s Vice Minister of Energy and Mining, Daniel Gonzalez, "All of Argentina's lithium projects go to battery grade," signaling the country's commitment to producing high-purity lithium products.

While countries like Australia, Brazil, and some African nations rely on China for lithium processing, Argentina's direct production of battery-grade lithium offers it a strategic advantage in the global market.

Tesla Retains Top Spot as Largest BEV Maker in 3Q, GM Gains Ground

Tesla CYBERTRUCK

Tesla continues to lead the global battery electric vehicle (BEV) market, edging out China's BYD in the third quarter of 2024. Despite a slight dip in year-to-date sales compared to last year, the US carmaker remains the world's largest BEV producer. Meanwhile, General Motors (GM) has surpassed Ford to become the second-largest BEV brand in the US, marking a significant shift in the competitive landscape.

Tesla and BYD Dominate, But GM Grows Stronger in the US

In the third quarter, Tesla reported global sales of 462,890 units, bringing its year-to-date total to 1.29 million BEVs. This is a small decline from the 1.32 million units sold during the same period last year, reflecting a slower sales pace in the first half of 2024. BYD, Tesla’s closest competitor, has recorded approximately 1.17 million BEV sales so far this year. The Chinese automaker's overall new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, including plug-in hybrids, reached 2.7 million units, demonstrating its robust market presence.

In the US market, GM has made notable gains, capitalizing on Tesla's declining market share. Tesla's US market share slipped to 49.7% in the second quarter, a significant drop from its 74.8% share in early 2022. GM's BEV sales rose by 60% year-over-year and 46% quarter-over-quarter, with 32,195 units sold in the third quarter. This growth came despite a 2.2% dip in GM’s overall car sales during the same period. The company's focus on affordable models, including the newly launched Equinox EV, has proven effective. Starting at around $35,000 and eligible for tax credits that bring the price down to as low as $27,495, the Equinox EV is currently the most affordable electric vehicle in the US.

For comparison, Tesla's most affordable Model Y starts at approximately $37,500 after tax credits, though used models can be found for as low as $25,000. The affordability of these models, aided by the US Inflation Reduction Act, which provides a $7,500 tax credit for selected US-made EVs, has been a critical factor in boosting sales. As of October 1, the tax credit has saved US buyers over $2 billion this year.

Ford, now the third-largest BEV brand in the US, sold 23,509 units in the third quarter. Although this represents a 12% year-over-year increase, sales were down 2% from the previous quarter. The automaker is shifting its strategy, planning to introduce a new electric pickup in 2027 while scaling back plans for larger electric SUVs to focus on smaller, more affordable models, a move aimed at staying competitive with GM’s expanding BEV lineup.

Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL underpins global battery expansion

Lopal

The Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL marks a major step in China’s global battery materials strategy. Under the agreement, Jiangsu Lopal will supply 157,500t of LFP cathode material to CATL’s overseas plants from 2025 to 2031. As a result, the Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL secures long term CAM supply for CATL’s international gigafactories and EV customers.

Global significance of the Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL

The Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL is valued at more than 6bn yuan, highlighting its strategic weight. The contract will feed CATL’s overseas battery factories, supporting EV and energy storage growth outside China. Therefore, CATL locks in a predictable stream of LFP CAM while scaling its non Chinese manufacturing footprint.

LFP is gaining share in global batteries because it offers lower cost and strong safety performance. However, reliable cathode supply remains crucial as more OEMs shift from nickel rich chemistries. The Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL supports this trend by linking a leading LFP producer to the world’s largest cell maker.

Lopal has grown rapidly since acquiring BTR’s LFP business in 2021. Its output reached 184,697t in 2024, up 56pc year on year. Meanwhile, LFP sales rose 65pc to 178,287t, confirming strong downstream demand. This growth gives CATL confidence in Lopal’s ability to deliver under a long dated contract.

Lopal’s internationalisation push and new LFP capacity

The CATL agreement sits at the centre of Lopal’s internationalisation strategy. Lopal already holds term contracts with Cornex, Ford and LG Energy Solution. Therefore, the company is building a diversified global customer base across Chinese and foreign cell makers and OEMs.

Lopal’s production network spans several Chinese provinces, supporting scale and logistics flexibility. Major bases operate in Jiangsu, Shandong, Tianjin, Sichuan and Hubei. This footprint helps balance regional feedstock, power and permitting conditions. It also spreads risk as domestic competition in LFP intensifies.

Internationally, Lopal is building new capacity in Indonesia to support regional demand and localisation policies. The company has completed a 30,000 t/yr LFP phase there and is constructing a 90,000 t/yr second phase. It aims to finish this expansion by the end of 2025, creating a 120,000 t/yr Indonesian hub. This timing aligns with the ramp up of CATL and other Asian players across Southeast Asia.

The Lopal LFP supply deal with CATL will likely leverage both Chinese and Indonesian output over time. As a result, Lopal can optimise feedstock sourcing, shipping routes and tariff exposure. This flexibility matters as trade rules and battery content regulations evolve in the US, Europe and key emerging markets.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This deal underscores how LFP chemistry and Chinese CAM producers are locking in long term roles in global EV supply chains. By pairing fast growing Indonesian capacity with deep Chinese experience, Lopal becomes a more systemically important supplier to CATL and other majors. Market participants should watch how pricing formulas, regional sourcing splits and future offtake deals evolve, as these will shape LFP cost curves outside China.

Australia's Liontown Meets Lithium Output Target Amid Market Challenges

Australian lithium producer Liontown Resources has achieved a significant milestone by producing its first spodumene concentrate from the Kathleen Valley project, meeting its mid-2024 goal despite earlier financial difficulties. The first shipment of spodumene concentrate is scheduled for later in the current quarter (July-September), according to an announcement on July 31.

Liontown recently secured a short-term 10-month offtake agreement with Beijing Sinomine International Trade. Additionally, long-term contracts with major auto manufacturers and battery producers such as Tesla, LG Energy Solution, and Ford are expected to commence as the Kathleen Valley project reaches full production capacity over the next year.

The Kathleen Valley project is ramping up to a capacity of 3 million tons per year, a target anticipated by the end of the first quarter of 2025. Liontown also plans to expand this capacity to 4 million tons per year. The company’s funding deal with LG Energy Solution will facilitate early works to "preserve" the expansion option with a timeline set for 2027.

This new supply of lithium from Liontown comes amid a market downturn with ongoing concerns about oversupply. Australian financial services firm Macquarie has projected a potential slowdown in the pace of Australian production growth due to unencouraging price conditions.

In a related development, US lithium producer Albemarle announced on July 31 a halt to the construction of train 3 at its Kemerton lithium conversion facility in Western Australia, citing "ongoing industry headwinds" as part of a comprehensive review of its cost and operating structure. Each train at the facility has a processing capacity of 25,000 tons per year of lithium hydroxide. Albemarle will also place train 2 into care and maintenance while focusing on increasing production from train 1.

Commenting on Albemarle’s decision, Australia’s federal resources minister Madeleine King urged bipartisan support for the country's critical minerals and rare earths industry. King also called on political opposition parties to support Australia’s critical minerals production tax incentive to bolster local industry and jobs.

Lopal and Cornex Sign Landmark LFP Supply Deal to Strengthen China’s Battery Chain

Lopal

Strategic Agreement Secures 150,000t of LFP Through 2029

Lopal and Cornex have signed a major lithium iron phosphate (LFP) supply deal, securing 150,000 tonnes of LFP cathode active material over five years. The Focus Keyphrase "LFP supply deal" reflects a growing trend of long-term procurement strategies across the EV battery value chain.

Under the agreement, Jiangsu Lopal will deliver LFP to three Cornex subsidiaries in Wuhan, Xiaogan, and Yichang between 2025 and 2029. The deal is valued at over 5 billion yuan ($694 million), marking one of China’s largest bilateral LFP commitments to date. This collaboration comes as LFP demand surges in both domestic and export EV markets.

Lopal Expands Production Footprint Across China and Indonesia

Lopal has rapidly scaled its LFP production capabilities following its acquisition of the LFP business from Shenzhen BTR New Energy Material. It now operates multiple LFP plants across Jiangsu, Shandong, Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hubei, giving it geographic reach and production redundancy.

In 2024, Lopal’s LFP output surged to 184,697 tonnes, a 56% increase from the previous year, with sales rising 65% to 178,287 tonnes. Lopal has also begun overseas expansion, completing the first 30,000 t/yr phase of an Indonesian plant, with a second 90,000 t/yr phase in planning. These moves position Lopal as a global LFP leader with diversified supply capabilities.

Term Contracts Signal Confidence from Global OEMs

Lopal has not only secured deals with domestic players but also signed term supply contracts with Ford and LG Energy Solution. These partnerships highlight Lopal’s growing credibility in supplying high-volume, high-quality LFP material for global EV platforms.

Meanwhile, Cornex—formally Chuneng—is increasing battery production in central China, supported by reliable LFP sourcing. The LFP supply deal ensures material stability for future gigafactory-scale battery production, a critical factor amid rising input volatility and tightening market conditions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The LFP supply deal between Lopal and Cornex reflects the tightening integration of China’s battery supply chain, with long-term contracts emerging as a buffer against future material risk. As global automakers seek cobalt-free alternatives, LFP’s role will only grow, and producers like Lopal are positioning themselves at the center of this transition.

Liontown Lithium Sales Jump as Kathleen Valley Ramp-Up Gains Momentum

Liontown

Liontown lithium sales rose strongly in the fourth quarter of 2025 as Kathleen Valley continued its ramp-up. The company sold 112,000 dry metric tonnes of lithium concentrate during the quarter. That was 38pc higher than a year earlier. As a result, Liontown lithium sales now show stronger operating momentum from one of Australia’s most watched new lithium mines.

The performance matters because Kathleen Valley is still in a scale-up phase. Liontown is mining both open pit and underground ore at the operation. That gives the company more flexibility as it lifts production. Therefore, Liontown lithium sales are becoming a clearer indicator of how well the mine is moving toward steadier commercial output.

Pricing also remained supportive during the quarter. Liontown sold six parcels at an average realized price of $900 per dry metric tonne on a 6pc Li2O basis. Meanwhile, its all-in sustaining cost stood at $695 per dry metric tonne. Consequently, the gap between selling price and cost suggests improving commercial quality as volumes rise.

Kathleen Valley Lithium Mine Is Moving From Commissioning to Commercial Scale

The Kathleen Valley lithium mine is now shifting from early ramp-up toward more meaningful market participation. Liontown said it continues to increase production, which supports the stronger quarterly sales result. That matters because volume growth is often the hardest stage for new hard-rock lithium projects. However, Kathleen Valley now appears to be moving through that phase with growing confidence.

Product quality remains another key factor. The company sold concentrate at an average grade of 5.1pc lithium oxide during the quarter. While that sits below the 6pc reference basis used for pricing, it still shows the mine is delivering saleable material at rising volumes. Therefore, the Kathleen Valley lithium mine is strengthening both operational credibility and commercial visibility.

The company’s pricing strategy also adds flexibility. Liontown uses a mix of spodumene, lithium carbonate, and lithium hydroxide indexes with different quotation periods. That approach can help it respond to changing market conditions. As a result, Liontown lithium sales are not tied to a single pricing formula in a volatile market.

Spodumene Auction Pricing Adds a High-Value Option to Liontown’s Sales Mix

Spodumene auction pricing is becoming one of the most interesting parts of Liontown’s strategy. The company plans to retain 10-20pc of production for auction. It sold 10,000 dry metric tonnes in its first auction in November at $1,254 per dry metric tonne. That result was well above the quarter’s average realized price.

This matters because auctions can capture faster price movements than longer-term formula contracts. Liontown also said spodumene prices rose faster than lithium chemical prices during the quarter. That created an opportunity to extract more value from spot-facing sales. Consequently, spodumene auction pricing could become an important earnings lever as production expands.

The customer base also strengthens the company’s market position. Liontown has offtake agreements with LG Energy Solution, Chengxin, Tesla, and Ford. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution now owns 8pc of the company after converting its convertible note into equity. Therefore, Liontown enters the next phase of ramp-up with both industrial backing and diversified commercial relationships.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Liontown is no longer just a development story. It is becoming a live test of how new spodumene producers balance contracted sales with auction upside. If Kathleen Valley keeps ramping smoothly, Liontown could become one of the more commercially agile lithium names in the market.

Copper Market Faces Volatility and Uncertainty in 2025

Copper

The U.S. copper market is poised for continued volatility in 2025, influenced by Chinese demand trends, electric vehicle (EV) rollouts, and shifting U.S. monetary policy. Copper prices surged in mid-2024, reaching a record high of $5.106/lb on May 21, before retreating to an average of $4.33/lb in the second half of the year.

Market participants expect these factors, along with potential import tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump, to shape price movements throughout 2025. Trade tensions, interest rate decisions, and inflationary pressures will further add to the market’s uncertainty.

Macroeconomic Pressures and Strong Dollar Impact

A strong U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve policy shifts remain key concerns for copper traders. The DXY dollar index surged to 108.2 on December 19, the highest since November 2022, following signals from the Federal Reserve that interest rate cuts in 2025 may be limited to 50 basis points rather than the previously expected 100 basis points.

A stronger dollar generally weakens copper demand, making the metal more expensive for holders of other currencies. Additionally, tariffs and inflationary pressures could force the Fed to slow rate cuts or even increase interest rates, further strengthening the dollar and weighing on copper prices.

Trade policy uncertainty remains a major factor, as Trump’s proposed import tariffs could prompt retaliatory measures, raising costs and curbing global copper demand.

EV Market Uncertainty Weighs on Copper Demand

While the renewable energy sector—including wind and solar projects—is expected to support copper demand, the EV sector faces growth concerns. Automakers such as GM, Ford, and Toyota have delayed full EV rollouts, opting to shift toward hybrids.

Each EV requires approximately 183 lbs of copper, nearly four times more than a traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle. A slower EV adoption rate could dampen near-term copper demand growth, despite the long-term outlook remaining strong.

Diverging Copper Price Forecasts for 2025

Market analysts are split on copper’s 2025 price outlook, though most agree that the market will likely enter a deficit by 2026 due to growing renewable energy demand.

• Goldman Sachs forecasts $4.61/lb in 2025, citing potential stimulus-driven upside risks and trade-related downside risks.

• Citigroup projects a lower $3.97/lb, while Bank of America estimates $4.28/lb.

• UBS predicts a range of $4.76-$4.99/lb, signaling a bullish outlook compared to other institutions.

With geopolitical uncertainties, currency fluctuations, and shifting industrial demand, 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal transition year for the copper market.