China Strategic Minerals Framework Tightens State Control Over 36 Resources

Strategic Minerals

China strategic minerals policy has entered a more formal phase after Beijing placed 36 mineral resources under tighter central government control. The revised regulations strengthen state oversight of mining, exploration, production quotas and strategic reserves.

China strategic minerals covered by the framework include major industrial metals, battery materials, rare earths, semiconductor metals and energy resources. The rules also include non-metallic materials such as graphite, phosphate, fluorite and high-purity quartz.

China strategic minerals regulation is significant because many of the affected materials are essential to batteries, aerospace, defence, semiconductors, energy infrastructure and advanced manufacturing.

The immediate market impact has been limited because several controls already existed in practice. However, formalising them under a single legal framework could strengthen Beijing's ability to manage supply over the longer term.

Centralised Quotas and Reserves Strengthen Supply Management

The Ministry of Natural Resources, working with the National Development and Reform Commission, will set annual mining quotas for strategic minerals.

The objective is to prevent uncontrolled production while giving central authorities greater control over national resource development.

Approvals for new exploration and mining rights will also be consolidated at the central level. Authorities will restrict the number of mining licences granted for individual deposits.

This could slow uncontrolled capacity growth in some markets while giving Beijing more influence over production timing and regional development.

The new framework also establishes a three-tier reserve system covering physical product inventories, production capacity and undeveloped resource sites.

State and private companies will jointly participate in stockpiling, while resource-site reserves are expected to remain available for at least five years.

This creates a broader security mechanism than conventional commodity stockpiles. China will not only hold material inventories but also preserve future production capability and undeveloped resources.

For strategically sensitive metals, this could provide Beijing with greater flexibility to respond to supply disruptions, price volatility or geopolitical pressure.

Rare Earths and Semiconductor Metals Gain Greater Strategic Weight

The list covers 25 metallic commodities, including iron, copper, aluminium, titanium, vanadium, manganese and chromium.

Battery materials such as lithium, cobalt and nickel are included alongside all 17 rare earth elements.

China has also designated tungsten, antimony, tin and molybdenum as strategic resources, together with semiconductor and specialty metals including gallium, germanium, indium, rhenium, niobium, tantalum, beryllium, zirconium and hafnium.

This combination is important because China already holds dominant positions across many of these supply chains.

Rare earth separation, tungsten processing, antimony, gallium and germanium are particularly sensitive because alternative global processing capacity remains limited.

The inclusion of high-purity quartz also highlights the expanding definition of strategic materials. Quartz is an important input in semiconductor and solar manufacturing, linking mineral security directly with advanced technology industries.

The framework therefore goes beyond mining policy. It strengthens China's ability to manage the upstream materials required for manufacturing competitiveness and national security.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China is moving from individual export controls and quotas toward a comprehensive strategic resources system. The long-term implication is greater state influence over not only current supply, but also future capacity and undeveloped reserves across many of the world's most critical materials.

Xingtai VRFB Stack Facility Nears Start-Up as Vanadium Storage Demand Rises

Xingtai Meifan Energy Storage

Xingtai VRFB stack facility is nearing commercial start-up in Hebei province as China expands manufacturing capacity for long-duration energy storage. Xingtai Meifan Energy Storage has invested 1.25bn yuan in the 2GW stack production plant.

Xingtai VRFB stack facility development is strategically important because stack production remains one of the largest cost components in vanadium redox flow battery systems. Large-scale domestic manufacturing could further reduce costs and accelerate deployment.

Xingtai VRFB stack facility preparations are close to completion. Cutting lines for proton exchange membranes and carbon felt have entered trial operation, while installation of key equipment on the automated stack production line is in its final stage.

The plant could begin operations around the end of June, adding significant new capacity to China's already fast-growing VRFB manufacturing base.

Localised Stack Production Reduces VRFB Costs

VRFB system economics depend heavily on electrolyte and stack costs. Electrolyte accounts for around 50% of total system cost, stacks for about 30% and other components for the remaining 20%.

Historically, stack costs represented as much as 40% of total system expenditure. Greater localisation and scale in separators, bipolar plates, carbon felt and other core components have gradually reduced that share.

Xingtai Meifan's new facility reinforces this trend. Automated manufacturing and domestic sourcing can lower unit costs while improving consistency and production speed.

China has already developed a fully localised VRFB stack supply chain. Commercial deployment of 100kW-class stacks and the expansion of large energy storage projects are helping the sector move toward industrial-scale production.

This is important because VRFBs compete differently from lithium-ion batteries. They offer long cycle life, high safety and the ability to scale energy capacity separately from power capacity.

These characteristics make VRFBs particularly attractive for grid applications requiring long-duration storage rather than short-duration peak balancing.

Vanadium Demand Gains New Structural Support

Growth in VRFB deployment is creating a new source of vanadium demand outside traditional steelmaking.

China's VRFB sector is expected to consume around 40,000t of V2O5 equivalent in 2026 based on the current pipeline of planned and ongoing projects.

This demand could become increasingly important for vanadium producers. Steel remains the dominant end-use market, but energy storage offers a new structural growth channel.

Electrolyte demand is particularly relevant because VRFB systems use large quantities of dissolved vanadium. Larger storage durations require more electrolyte, meaning vanadium consumption rises with total energy capacity.

The technology's aqueous electrolyte also gives VRFBs an inherent safety advantage for stationary storage. This can be important for utilities, industrial sites and grid operators managing fire risk.

As stack costs decline, electrolyte pricing will become an even larger factor in total system economics. That could strengthen the connection between vanadium prices and the competitiveness of VRFB projects.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China's VRFB expansion is turning vanadium into an energy storage material as well as a steel alloy. If stack costs keep falling, electrolyte demand could become one of the most important new sources of structural vanadium consumption.

China Renewable Energy Plan Supports Metals Demand but Leaves Growth Uncertain

China, Renewable Energy Plan

China renewable energy plan for 2026-30 points to continued structural demand growth for copper, aluminium, lithium, vanadium and rare earths. However, the metals impact will depend on how far wind, solar, storage and grid investment move beyond targets that China is already close to reaching.

China renewable energy plan targets wind and solar at more than 50% of total installed power capacity by 2030 and positions them as the main source of power generation. The wording is important because wind and solar already account for around 48% of China’s installed power capacity.

China renewable energy plan therefore provides policy support but not necessarily a new demand shock. The key issue for metals producers is whether Beijing pushes deployment materially above the 50% threshold and introduces additional incentives for solar, storage and grid infrastructure.

China’s total installed power capacity reached 4,010GW by the end of May. Solar accounted for 1,260GW and wind for 660GW, with both sectors still growing at double-digit rates.

Copper and Aluminium Depend on How Far Renewables Expand

Renewable infrastructure remains a major source of metals consumption. Solar projects require aluminium for frames, mounting systems and electrical applications, while wind turbines consume aluminium, copper, speciality steels and rare earth permanent magnets.

Industry estimates put aluminium consumption at around 13,500t for every 1GW of solar capacity and up to 3,000t for 1GW of wind capacity. Further expansion could therefore create substantial incremental demand.

However, China is already close to the plan’s minimum capacity target. Wind and solar together represent about 48% of total installed capacity, leaving only a modest increase required to exceed 50%.

This has made market participants cautious. If deployment slows after the target is reached, incremental aluminium demand could be weaker than previous renewable investment cycles.

The outcome changes if actual capacity moves toward 55% or higher. Chinese policy targets are often designed with room for overachievement, meaning the final installed share could materially exceed the stated minimum.

Copper has a stronger structural demand case because renewable generation also requires transmission, substations, grid reinforcement and electrical equipment.

Copper demand from China’s wind and solar sectors is expected to reach around 1.85mn t this year, almost three times the 620,000t consumed in 2020. That growth demonstrates how renewable buildout is already reshaping Chinese copper consumption.

Storage and Charging Add Another Critical Metals Demand Layer

The plan extends beyond renewable generation. China is targeting 300GW of new energy storage capacity and 40mn electric vehicle charging units by 2030.

Storage deployment strengthens demand for lithium and other battery materials. Rapid renewable penetration increases the need to balance variable generation, making grid-scale batteries increasingly important to the power system.

Lithium consumption from energy storage could rise substantially over the next decade. However, strong demand growth does not automatically mean higher lithium prices because new mine and processing capacity may expand just as quickly.

Vanadium could also benefit if long-duration flow batteries capture part of China’s storage market. Rare earth demand may gain additional support from wind turbine generators and high-performance electric motors.

Charging infrastructure adds another copper and aluminium demand channel. Millions of additional charging points require cables, connectors, distribution equipment and grid upgrades.

The plan therefore supports a wider metals ecosystem than wind and solar installations alone. Generation, storage, charging and grid reinforcement all add material intensity to China’s energy transition.

The biggest uncertainty is execution. China has already built renewables at enormous scale, so future metals demand will depend on whether policy accelerates deployment beyond current momentum rather than merely formalising existing trends.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s new energy plan is supportive for metals, but the 50% wind-and-solar target alone is not the real story because the country is already close to it. The stronger demand signal will come from how aggressively Beijing expands storage, grids and renewable capacity beyond the minimum target.

Cop 31 Electrification Target Could Reshape Global Power and Metals Demand

Cop 31

Cop 31 electrification target proposed by Turkey would lift electricity’s share of global final energy consumption to 35% by 2035, from around 20% today. The IEA is urging countries to support the goal at the November climate summit in Antalya.

Cop 31 electrification target would place power systems at the centre of the next phase of global decarbonisation. Reaching the target would require substantial investment in generation, grids, storage and end-use electrification across transport, buildings and industry.

Cop 31 electrification target also carries major implications for metals demand. More electricity infrastructure would support long-term consumption of copper, aluminium, electrical steel, battery materials and other inputs used in transmission, storage and renewable generation.

The political challenge is financing. Developing countries warned that higher borrowing costs, limited technology access and weak capital availability could prevent them from participating in the transition at the same pace as wealthier economies.

Grid Investment and Finance Will Determine Delivery

Turkey proposed the 35% electrification goal during climate talks in Bonn. The IEA said the target is achievable and could become a major legacy of Cop 31 if governments reach agreement.

However, expanding electricity use requires far more than adding renewable generation. Countries need transmission lines, distribution networks, transformers, substations, storage systems and digital grid infrastructure.

That creates a significant industrial demand signal. Copper will be central to cables, transformers and electrical equipment, while aluminium will remain critical for transmission conductors and lightweight electrical applications.

Battery storage will also become more important as renewable penetration rises. This supports demand for lithium, graphite, copper and other battery materials, while alternative storage technologies could create additional demand for vanadium, zinc and other metals.

Developing economies face the biggest financing challenge. High borrowing costs can make power projects significantly more expensive even when renewable resources are strong.

Turkey and Australia therefore want finance to sit alongside electrification in the Cop 31 agenda. Ministers from Ethiopia, Colombia and other developing countries also stressed that implementation will depend on better access to capital and technology.

Without that support, electrification could widen industrial inequality. Countries with cheaper financing would build grids and clean power faster, while higher-risk markets could remain dependent on older infrastructure and more expensive energy.

Clean Power Source Will Decide Climate Impact

Electrification alone does not guarantee lower emissions. The climate benefit depends on how the additional electricity is generated.

Civil society groups and governments have warned that rising electricity consumption can still be supplied by coal, gas or other fossil fuels. That means the electrification target must be linked with clean generation expansion and fossil fuel transition policies.

The Powering Past Coal Alliance has called for governments to integrate electrification, clean power build-out and coal transition scenarios. It warned that rapid power demand growth could otherwise lock countries into new coal capacity.

Colombia also argued that faster renewable deployment is not enough without addressing the phase-out of fossil fuels. This debate will remain central to negotiations around the broader transition away from fossil energy.

For industrial supply chains, the distinction matters. A clean electrification pathway creates sustained demand for renewable generation, grids, batteries and low-carbon materials. A fossil-heavy pathway may still increase metals demand, but with a much weaker emissions benefit.

The 35% target therefore represents more than an energy consumption metric. It would influence capital allocation, power infrastructure planning and material demand across multiple sectors for the next decade.

The Metalnomist Commentary

A global electrification target would be a major structural driver for copper, aluminium, electrical steel and storage materials. But without affordable finance and clean generation, electrification could expand electricity demand faster than it reduces emissions.

Western Australia Vanadium Battery Plan Targets Grid Storage and Local Supply Chain

Vanadium Battery

Western Australia vanadium battery plans are moving forward as the state government offers A$150mn to support a 50MW battery energy storage system in Kalgoorlie. The project is intended to strengthen energy security in Kalgoorlie and the Eastern Goldfields as the state exits coal-fired power.

Western Australia vanadium battery funding will be awarded through a competitive proposal process. Bids are due by 20 July 2026, with evaluation expected from July and results to be announced later in the year.

Western Australia vanadium battery proposals must also show how they will support the local vanadium supply chain. That condition gives the project industrial significance beyond electricity storage alone.

The plan connects grid reliability, renewable integration and critical minerals development. It also supports Western Australia’s wider Made in WA policy, which aims to build more local manufacturing and clean-energy supply chain capacity.

Kalgoorlie Storage Project Supports Coal Exit

The 50MW Kalgoorlie project is part of Western Australia’s transition away from state-owned coal-fired generation. The government pledged in 2022 to close all state-owned coal plants by 2030.

Several major coal units are already scheduled for closure. Synergy’s Muja C, Muja D and Collie power station will be retired in stages between 2025-26 and 2029-30.

Battery storage is expected to replace part of the capacity and flexibility lost from coal. This is critical because renewable generation requires storage assets that can manage intermittency, stabilise the grid and support peak demand.

Kalgoorlie and the Eastern Goldfields are particularly important because mining regions need reliable electricity. Power disruptions can affect processing plants, mine operations, logistics and regional industrial development.

The government expects more than 1,200MW of new generation and storage to enter the South West Interconnected System in 2025-26 and 2026-27. A further 1,000MW is expected in 2027-28.

The scale of the pipeline shows that Western Australia is not treating storage as a marginal add-on. It is becoming core infrastructure for the state’s post-coal power system.

Vanadium Supply Chain Becomes Part of Energy Policy

The request for proposals is notable because it links battery deployment with local vanadium supply chain investment. This turns the project into both an energy storage initiative and a critical minerals development tool.

Vanadium batteries are attractive for long-duration grid storage because they can offer long cycle life and are suited to stationary applications. They do not compete directly with lithium-ion batteries in every market, but they can serve grid use cases where durability and duration matter.

Western Australia has already invested heavily in battery storage. In 2023, the state awarded A$1bn to support the 500MW Collie battery energy storage system and the 200MW Kwinana battery energy storage system.

The state’s 2025-26 budget also included A$50mn for a local battery manufacturing programme under the Made in WA policy. That aligns with the new vanadium battery proposal, which asks bidders to contribute to regional, economic and community outcomes.

Federal support is also backing Western Australia’s storage buildout. Four lithium-ion battery projects are being partly underwritten through the Capacity Investment Scheme, adding 2.6GWh of storage capacity from late 2027.

This creates a mixed battery landscape. Lithium-ion will remain important for large-scale storage, but vanadium could give Western Australia a route to build a differentiated local supply chain around its own mineral base.

The strategic test will be whether the Kalgoorlie project can move beyond demonstration value. It must prove cost competitiveness, operational reliability and real local supply chain development.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Western Australia is using grid storage procurement to create demand for a local vanadium industry. That is the right industrial logic: critical mineral supply chains need committed end-use demand, not just resource potential.

China Vanadium Prices Weaken as Supply Rises and Steel Demand Slows

China Vanadium

China vanadium prices are under renewed pressure as higher spot availability, weak alloy demand and softer steel mill tenders weigh on the market. Domestic 98% grade vanadium pentoxide flake prices fell to 82,000-87,000 yuan/t on 8 May, their lowest level since 20 April.

China vanadium prices began to soften in late April after alloy producers slowed purchases and cut procurement bids. Most ferro-vanadium producers lowered feedstock buying levels after steel mill tender prices came in below market expectations.

China vanadium prices are also being pressured by rising output. Domestic vanadium production reached 56,040t of vanadium pentoxide in January-April, up 7.6% from a year earlier.

The market is now facing a classic supply-demand imbalance. Higher vanadium flake and slag production has increased spot availability, while steel-sector demand remains weak and export outlets are slowing.

Higher Flake and Slag Output Increases Spot Availability

China’s vanadium supply increased because stronger earlier prices encouraged producers to lift output from vanadium-bearing steel slag. Vanadium-containing steel slag production rose to 49,320t in January-April, up 8% from a year earlier.

Higher flake prices in the first four months improved margins for slag-based production. Domestic 98% grade vanadium pentoxide flake averaged 80,812 yuan/t ex-works during January-April, up 9.5% from a year earlier.

New capacity has also added pressure. Qinhuangdao Baigong Steel started a 10,000 t/yr vanadium pentoxide flake production line in Hebei province in February.

This additional output arrived just as downstream buying slowed. Major flake suppliers had not finalised some contracts by 8 May, while some alloy producers were buying only limited volumes at lower cash prices.

The increase in spot availability has changed buyer behaviour. Alloy producers are no longer rushing to secure feedstock because they expect further price weakness.

That expectation can reinforce the decline. When buyers delay purchases, sellers face more pressure to reduce offers, especially when inventories rise and steel demand remains poor.

Weak Steel Tenders and Export Slowdown Limit Demand

Ferro-vanadium demand remains the main drag on the vanadium market. Domestic 50% grade ferro-vanadium prices fell to 93,000-94,000 yuan/t ex-works on 8 May, their lowest level since 1 April.

Steel mill tender prices also declined. Prices paid by steelmakers fell to 94,000-95,000 yuan/t delivered, including VAT and payable by acceptance bill, down from late-April levels.

Steelmakers are lowering bids because steel margins remain weak. This is especially important for vanadium because much of its demand comes from alloying in rebar and other steel products.

China’s rebar production fell to 29.54mn t in January-April, down 8.6% from a year earlier, as the real estate slowdown continued to reduce construction-related steel demand.

Steelmakers purchased an estimated 6,865t of vanadium alloys in April, down 17% from a year earlier. This confirms that weaker steel consumption is now feeding directly into lower vanadium alloy demand.

Export conditions are also turning less supportive. China’s vanadium flake exports are expected to decline in the coming months as international production increases.

Canadian producer Largo more than doubled vanadium pentoxide output in the first quarter to 2,616t, supported by higher-grade ore and steadier processing at its Brazilian mine. Russian producer Evraz also started a new 15,000 t/yr vanadium pentoxide flake plant in March and is expected to ramp up by June.

These additions reduce the need for some overseas buyers to rely on Chinese flake. That weakens a potential outlet for excess Chinese supply.

The near-term outlook remains soft. Unless steel mill tenders recover or vanadium exports improve, rising spot availability will likely keep pressure on vanadium pentoxide flake and ferro-vanadium prices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s vanadium market is being hit by the wrong combination: rising supply, weak rebar output and cautious alloy buying. The longer-term battery storage story remains attractive, but near-term pricing still depends heavily on steel demand and feedstock discipline.

Glencore Copper Production Rises as DRC Cobalt Quota Reshapes Output Priorities

Glencore

Glencore copper production rose sharply in the first quarter as higher grades at its African copper mines and stronger throughput at Antamina lifted output. The Switzerland-based trading and mining group produced 199,600t of copper, up 19% from a year earlier.

Glencore copper production growth contrasts with a steep fall in cobalt output. Own-sourced cobalt production dropped by 39% to 5,800t, mainly because the Democratic Republic of Congo’s export quota system has changed how producers manage shipments and mine planning.

Glencore copper production is now becoming more important inside its DRC asset base because cobalt export limits have made copper the clearer operating priority. This shift shows how state policy can directly reshape output behaviour in multi-metal mining systems.

The company maintained full-year production guidance for copper, nickel and zinc, despite weaker output in several other metals. Copper guidance remains at 810,000-870,000t for the year.

DRC Quota System Pushes Cobalt Lower

The sharp fall in cobalt output reflects the DRC’s quota system, introduced after the country moved away from its earlier export ban framework. The system capped shipments and set annual limits for 2026-27, with an additional strategic pool.

For Glencore, the practical effect is clear. Its DRC assets are now prioritising copper production because copper can move through the market with fewer quota-related constraints.

This matters for battery and superalloy supply chains. The DRC remains the world’s dominant source of mined cobalt, so export policy can quickly affect availability, pricing and producer behaviour.

Cobalt is not produced in isolation at many Congolese operations. It is often linked to copper mining, which means policy limits on cobalt can influence mine sequencing, processing priorities and inventory decisions.

The first-quarter numbers therefore point to a more managed cobalt market. Supply is not only a function of ore grades and plant capacity. It is increasingly controlled by export approvals, quotas and state strategy.

Copper benefited from stronger grades at African operations and higher throughput at Antamina in Peru. That performance reinforces copper’s stronger strategic position at a time when demand from grids, electrification, industrial policy and data centres continues to attract market attention.

Nickel, Zinc and Ferro-Chrome Show Operational Pressure

Glencore’s nickel output fell by 9% to 17,200t. The decline was caused by a furnace disruption at the Sudbury complex in Canada, which affected matte shipment timing to Norway.

Nickel guidance remained unchanged at 70,000-80,000t. This suggests Glencore sees the first-quarter weakness as manageable rather than a full-year supply reset.

Zinc output fell by 17% to 176,900t. The decline was mainly linked to the closure of the Lady Loretta mine in Australia and lower output from Kazzinc in Kazakhstan.

Zinc guidance also remained unchanged at 700,000-740,000t. However, the first-quarter result shows how mine closures and regional production issues can still weigh on quarterly availability.

Ferro-chrome output collapsed by 95% to 13,000t because of continued care and maintenance at Glencore’s chrome smelting operations and the phased restart of the Lion Smelter in South Africa.

South African ferro-chrome remains under pressure from high energy prices and competition from lower-cost Chinese material. This has forced output cuts at major producers and weakened South Africa’s position in global ferro-alloy supply.

Glencore’s vanadium pentoxide production rose by 5% to 2,300t, offering a small positive signal in another strategic alloy material.

Overall, the quarter shows a company benefiting from copper strength while managing policy and cost pressures across cobalt, nickel, zinc and ferro-chrome. The most important signal is that copper and cobalt are now being shaped by very different forces: copper by grade and throughput, cobalt by DRC export control.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Glencore’s results show how government policy can be as powerful as geology in multi-metal supply chains. The DRC cobalt quota is not only reducing cobalt output; it is pushing producers to prioritise copper in one of the world’s most strategic mining regions.

China Vanadium Consumption Set to Rise in 2026 as VRFB Demand Accelerates

Vanadium

China vanadium consumption is expected to rise in 2026 as vanadium redox flow batteries, steelmaking, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials and denitration catalysts increase demand. The strongest growth is likely to come from VRFB-based energy storage, where projects are entering a more concentrated construction and commissioning phase.

China vanadium consumption reached 125,900t of vanadium pentoxide equivalent in 2025, up 6.1% from 2024. The market is now shifting from a steel-dominated structure toward a more diversified demand base.

China vanadium consumption still depends heavily on steel, but the share of energy storage has expanded quickly. Steel accounted for 70.9% of total demand in 2025, down from 87.9% in 2021. Energy storage rose to 20% of total use from only 4% over the same period.

This change is strategically important for vanadium producers. Demand is no longer driven only by construction steel, rebar and alloy additions. It is increasingly tied to long-duration energy storage, grid stability, batteries, catalysts and higher-value industrial applications.

VRFB Storage and Steel Demand Drive the 2026 Consumption Outlook

Vanadium demand from VRFB energy storage is expected to increase sharply in the second half of 2026. China’s National Development and Reform Commission and National Energy Administration issued a notice on 30 January to improve the generation-side capacity price mechanism, supporting longer-duration storage.

This policy direction matters because VRFB technology is better suited to long-duration applications than many short-duration battery systems. VRFBs offer long cycle life, high safety, deep-discharge capability and easier electrolyte reuse.

China’s VRFB installations in 2026 are preliminarily estimated at 4-5GWh. This forecast reflects projects already under construction and the availability of high-purity vanadium for electrolyte production.

That installation level would require around 32,000-40,000t of V2O5 equivalent. This would represent an increase of 8,000-16,000t from the previous year, making VRFBs the largest source of incremental vanadium demand.

The growth builds on rapid progress in 2025. VRFB projects with completed electrolyte filling totalled about 3,037.5MWh last year, up 1,027.3MWh from 2024. China’s cumulative VRFB installed capacity reached about 6,064.5MWh by the end of 2025, with an average duration of 4.12 hours.

The market is now moving from pilot-stage expansion to larger system deployment. As more long-duration storage projects reach construction and commissioning, vanadium electrolyte demand could become more predictable.

Steel remains the largest end-use sector. Vanadium demand from China’s steel industry is expected at 92,000-95,000t in 2026, up 3,000-6,000t from 2025.

The increase is tied to stronger demand from machinery, energy, shipbuilding, automotive and rail sectors. These ferro-vanadium end-use segments are expected to grow by around 1.2% in 2026.

The steel demand signal was already visible in the first quarter. Steel-sector vanadium consumption reached around 22,600t, up 1,800t from a year earlier.

Rebar could also provide support. Output of higher-grade steel reinforcement bar is expected to rise as infrastructure investment accelerates. Production licence rules for construction rebar took effect on 1 April, while quality traceability requirements have expanded.

These rules should raise the share of vanadium-nitrogen micro-alloyed hot-rolled rebar. That would support demand for vanadium-nitrogen alloy, especially in higher-strength construction products.

The 2025 steel data show a more complicated picture. Vanadium consumption in the steel sector reached around 89,300t, up 1,700t from 2024. However, vanadium-nitrogen alloy consumption fell by 3.8% to 36,690t because rebar’s share of vanadium use declined.

China’s rebar output fell to 186.3mn t in 2025, down 4.5% from a year earlier. This reduced vanadium demand from traditional construction steel.

Ferro-vanadium performed better. FeV50-equivalent consumption rose by 10.4% to around 39,985t, supported by stronger downstream output in several industrial sectors.

Automotive production reached 34.778mn units in 2025, up 9.8%. Civil steel shipbuilding totalled 52.295mn deadweight tonnes, up 18%. Excavator output rose by 17% to 379,643 units.

Machine tool output also increased. Metal-cutting machine tool production rose by 9.7%, while metal-forming machine tool output increased by 7.2%. These sectors helped offset weakness in rebar.

Vanadium intensity also rose. China’s vanadium use per tonne of crude steel increased to 51g of vanadium metal equivalent in 2025 from 48g in 2024. Rebar intensity edged up to 152.5g, while other steel products rose to 26.6g.

LFP cathode materials will provide another smaller but fast-growing demand source. Vanadium consumption from LFP cathodes is estimated at 2,000-2,500t in 2026, assuming a typical 0.2% V2O5 addition rate.

That would be up by 1,000-1,500t, representing growth of 100-150%. The base remains small, but the rate of increase is significant.

Denitration catalysts should also support demand. Chemical-sector vanadium consumption is expected at around 7,000t in 2026, up about 500t, or 7.7%. Demand will be supported by catalyst replacement, new coal-based thermal power projects and higher sulphuric acid output.

In 2025, chemical-sector vanadium use was around 6,500t, up 200t from 2024. Titanium-alloy-related consumption fell by around 400t, tracking weaker Chinese titanium product exports.

Supply Growth Remains Limited by Feedstock and Cost Pressure

China’s vanadium supply remains highly concentrated, but output growth is not straightforward. The country accounted for 68.8% of global vanadium capacity in 2025 and 72.4% of global production.

China’s total vanadium capacity reached 277,600t in 2025. Actual output was 163,900t, down 900t from 2024.

The production base is dominated by vanadium slag. Output from vanadium slag reached 141,300t in 2025, broadly unchanged from the previous year.

Some producers reduced supply. Xinjiang Da’an and Yunnan Yukun did not produce, cutting combined output by about 8,000t. Other producers, including Chengsteel, Desheng and Dagang, raised output by around 15%, offsetting part of the loss.

Stone-coal-based vanadium output fell more sharply. Production declined to 7,600t in 2025, down 2,600t from 2024, as lower prices left all stone-coal producers loss-making.

This route remains highly price-sensitive. At current price levels, only one large-scale stone-coal producer is operating, with output of around 100-120 t/month of ammonium metavanadate on a V2O5-equivalent basis.

A Shaanxi-based producer with capacity of 300-350 t/month has been suspended since early 2026 because of safety issues. It is unlikely to restart in the first half.

Vanadium flake prices rose to 83,000-84,000 yuan/t in March, prompting some stone-coal producers to consider restarts. However, current prices still appear insufficient to drive a large supply response.

Even when prices approached 110,000 yuan/t in 2023, stone-coal-based output only reached about 11,000t. This suggests that 2026 output growth from stone coal will likely remain limited.

Secondary resources are becoming more important. Vanadium output from spent catalysts and other secondary sources rose to 15,100t in 2025, up 1,900t from 2024.

This included about 6,700t from alumina by-product recovery, up around 1,700t. Output from spent catalysts and petroleum residues stayed broadly stable despite lower vanadium prices.

The reason is co-product economics. Vanadium is often recovered alongside molybdenum and tungsten from secondary feedstocks. Higher molybdenum and tungsten prices supported operating rates and helped keep secondary recovery viable.

Secondary output is expected to remain broadly unchanged in 2026. Feedstock availability is relatively stable, but China’s restrictions on solid-waste imports since 2017 limit the potential for major raw material growth.

Vanadium slag-based supply may edge higher in 2026, but feedstock constraints create uncertainty. Qinhuangdao Baigong completed a 10,000 t/yr V2O5 line in early 2026 and is ramping toward normal operations. Its 2026 output guidance is around 5,000t.

However, tighter domestic feedstock availability could offset this addition. Vanadium-titanium magnetite supply in the Panzhihua area is particularly constrained, potentially cutting output by about 4,500-5,000t of V2O5 equivalent.

Producers in Sichuan and Yunnan may need to source vanadium-titanium magnetite from the Chengde area or increase imports to keep output in line with 2025. A northeastern steelmaking-based vanadium producer has also reduced vanadium-titanium magnetite imports since December 2025.

This creates a cautious supply outlook. China’s vanadium output may edge higher in 2026, but the increase depends on whether new slag-based capacity can offset feedstock tightness and further weakness in stone-coal production.

The market therefore faces a potential demand-led tightening risk. VRFB demand is rising quickly, steel demand is improving modestly and smaller sectors are growing. Supply growth, meanwhile, remains constrained by feedstock, cost pressure and limited secondary resource availability.

For vanadium producers, the key opportunity lies in high-purity electrolyte-grade material. VRFB demand requires reliable vanadium quality, stable supply and long-term availability. Producers that can supply battery-grade vanadium will be better positioned than those focused only on metallurgical demand.

For steel users, the issue is price exposure. If VRFB demand absorbs more vanadium units, ferro-vanadium and vanadium-nitrogen alloy buyers could face stronger competition from the energy storage sector.

For energy storage developers, the issue is raw material security. VRFB growth depends on enough high-purity vanadium to support electrolyte production. Supply constraints could affect project economics if demand accelerates faster than conversion capacity.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s vanadium market is entering a new phase where steel remains the base, but VRFBs set the growth direction. The strategic tension in 2026 will be whether constrained supply can keep pace with energy storage demand without pricing steel users out of the market.

Global Energy Storage Market Expands as China Drives Record Growth

China Energy Storage

Global energy storage market growth accelerated in 2025, with China remaining the main force behind new capacity additions and technology diversification. The country’s cumulative operating power storage capacity reached 213.3GW by the end of the year, accounting for 43% of the global total.

China energy storage growth was especially strong in new-type energy storage, which includes lithium-ion batteries and vanadium redox flow batteries but excludes pumped hydro. China’s new-type storage capacity rose to 144.7GW, representing more than two-thirds of its total storage fleet and 51.9% of global new-type installations.

The global energy storage market also became more diversified. Pumped hydro’s share of global operating capacity fell below 50% for the first time, while new-type storage expanded rapidly to 278.7GW/687.5GWh.

China Leads Storage Deployment as VRFB Projects Gain Share

China’s energy storage sector remained dominated by lithium-ion batteries in 2025. However, lithium-ion’s share slipped slightly as several large long-duration storage projects using all-vanadium redox flow battery technology came online.

This shift matters because grid storage demand is no longer only about short-duration battery systems. Longer-duration applications are gaining relevance as renewable penetration rises and power systems require more flexibility, peak shifting and grid stability.

Independent energy storage became China’s main application model, accounting for around 60% of total installed capacity. This shows that storage is increasingly being deployed as standalone grid infrastructure, not only as an accessory to solar or wind projects.

Chinese manufacturers also strengthened their global position. Sungrow, Tesla, CRRC Zhuzhou Institute, BYD and Envision Energy ranked as the world’s top five energy storage system shipment providers in 2025, highlighting the growing concentration of supply among large integrated players.

Lithium Demand Rises as Storage Becomes a Core Battery Market

The global energy storage market reached 496.2GW of cumulative operating power storage capacity by the end of 2025, up 33.3% from the previous year. New installations hit a record 123.9GW, led by China, the US and Europe, while the Middle East and Latin America gained momentum.

The US added 18.4GW/48.3GWh of new-type storage capacity in 2025, while Europe added 15.4GW/32.1GWh. These figures show that storage growth is becoming global, even though China remains the dominant scale market.

Energy storage is also reshaping battery materials demand. The sector accounted for 25% of global lithium demand in 2025, up sharply from 5% in 2020, making storage one of the most important demand drivers for lithium carbonate, lithium iron phosphate materials and battery supply chains.

Stronger storage demand helped push battery-grade lithium carbonate prices to 158,000-168,000 yuan/t at the end of March, up 120% from a year earlier. This confirms that stationary storage has moved from a secondary battery market into a major force in lithium pricing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s dominance in energy storage shows how quickly battery supply chains can scale when policy, manufacturing and grid demand align. The next phase will test whether lithium, vanadium and power equipment supply can keep pace with global storage deployment.

Pangang Vanadium Output Fell as Titanium Dioxide Production Rose in 2025

Pangang Group

Pangang vanadium output declined slightly in 2025 as weak prices and oversupply continued to pressure China’s vanadium market. Pangang Group Vanadium and Titanium Resources, China’s largest vanadium producer, cut production by 0.4% on the year to 53,100t of vanadium pentoxide equivalent.

The lower Pangang vanadium output reflected a market still struggling to absorb available supply. China’s vanadium consumption increased in steel and vanadium redox flow batteries, but demand growth was not strong enough to remove the surplus.

Pangang’s overall revenue fell by 33% on the year to 8.89bn yuan, or about $1.29bn, as lower prices for both vanadium and titanium products reduced earnings momentum. The result shows how exposed integrated titanium-vanadium producers remain to price cycles across multiple industrial materials.

Vanadium Surplus Weighed on Prices Despite Battery Demand Growth

China’s vanadium market remained oversupplied in 2025 even though steel consumption and vanadium redox flow battery demand both increased. This limited the pricing benefit from battery-sector growth and kept pressure on producers.

Vanadium remains closely linked to the steel industry, where it is used to improve strength and performance in rebar and specialty steels. Battery demand is strategically important, but it has not yet become large enough to fully offset weakness or oversupply in the traditional steel-linked market.

The slight decline in Pangang vanadium output therefore signals production discipline rather than a structural shift away from vanadium. Producers are still waiting for stronger demand from energy storage to translate into tighter market fundamentals.

Titanium Dioxide Output Rose as Margins Remained Under Pressure

Pangang increased titanium dioxide production by 7.7% on the year to 272,500t in 2025. This included 69,200t produced through the chlorination process, which is typically used for higher-quality titanium dioxide products.

The company also produced 199,500t of sulphate titanium slag, up 9.8% from the previous year. Pangang has 1.8mn t/yr of titanium concentrate capacity, 220,000 t/yr of titanium slag capacity and 300,000 t/yr of titanium dioxide capacity, including 75,000 t/yr through chlorination.

China’s titanium dioxide sector remained difficult despite Pangang’s output growth. Domestic titanium dioxide output edged lower, feedstock titanium concentrate and sulphuric acid prices stayed elevated, and overseas anti-dumping measures weakened exports.

These pressures intensified competition and squeezed margins across the titanium dioxide industry. Pangang’s higher production therefore came against a challenging pricing and cost environment, not a broad market recovery.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Pangang’s 2025 results show that scale alone does not protect producers from weak vanadium and titanium pricing. The key question is whether battery storage demand and higher-value chlorination titanium dioxide can eventually offset oversupply and margin pressure in China’s mature industrial markets.

Jutai Nickel Cathode Production Adds Flexibility to China’s Downstream Nickel Chain

Zhejiang Jutai Plant

Jutai nickel cathode production has started at Zhejiang Jutai’s integrated refinery in Zhoushan, adding new capacity to China’s fast-expanding downstream nickel processing sector. The facility has 30,000 t/yr of nickel cathode capacity and can use mixed hydroxide precipitate or nickel matte as feedstock.

Jutai nickel cathode production strengthens the company’s ability to respond to changing nickel market conditions. The same Zhoushan site also hosts a 100,000 t/yr nickel sulphate project that was commissioned in October 2025, giving the complex around 55,000 t/yr of nickel capacity on a metal equivalent basis.

The new operation matters because China is rapidly converting imported nickel intermediates into higher-value products. Jutai nickel cathode production shows how MHP and matte supply are reshaping the country’s refining system beyond battery chemicals alone.

MHP and Matte Supply Drive New Refining Capacity

Nickel intermediates are becoming the foundation of China’s new nickel processing model. Growing supplies of MHP and nickel matte allow refiners to produce nickel sulphate, nickel cathode, and other downstream products depending on margins and customer demand.

Zhejiang Jutai’s Zhoushan complex reflects this flexible approach. The company can switch between nickel sulphate and nickel cathode output, which gives it commercial optionality across battery materials and refined metal markets. This flexibility is important when nickel prices, sulphate demand, and stainless steel-linked sentiment move in different directions.

The development also shows how China continues to capture value from Indonesia-linked nickel flows. As MHP and matte availability expands, Chinese refiners can build more diversified processing routes and strengthen their role in the global nickel value chain.

China Nickel Cathode Output Continues to Expand

China’s nickel cathode production reached 415,000t in 2025, up 24pc from the previous year. Output is expected to keep rising in 2026 as new capacity starts up, existing plants expand, and firmer nickel prices improve production economics.

Higher LME nickel prices are also supporting the sector. The average LME cash price reached $15,150/t in 2025, while the year-to-date average climbed to $17,482/t by late February, driven partly by reduced Indonesian nickel ore supply.

Shaanxi Jutai, Zhejiang Jutai’s parent company, already has experience in battery material production. Its Xi’an complex began producing nickel sulphate in 2018 and also produces cobalt sulphate, manganese sulphate, vanadium pentoxide, and molybdenum products. This gives the group a broader platform across strategic metals used in batteries, alloys, and industrial materials.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Jutai’s Zhoushan project highlights China’s strength in processing flexibility. The country is not only adding nickel capacity; it is building assets that can shift between battery chemicals and refined metal as market conditions change.

China chlorination titanium dioxide expansion lifts Tianyuan to 200,000 t/yr

Titanium Dioxide

China chlorination titanium dioxide expansion will accelerate after Yibin Tianyuan Haifeng Hetai announced a new 100,000 t/yr chloride-process plant in Jiang’an county, Yibin, Sichuan. China chlorination titanium dioxide expansion will double the subsidiary’s total titanium dioxide capacity to 200,000 t/yr from 100,000 t/yr. As a result, China chlorination titanium dioxide expansion strengthens the country’s push toward cleaner TiO₂ production.

Yibin Tianyuan will invest 1.48bn yuan in the project and expects a two-year construction period. The company also projects a payback period of about 6.3 years, excluding construction time. Meanwhile, Yibin Tianyuan’s operating base spans chloride-process titanium dioxide and lithium iron phosphate, linking pigment supply chains with the battery materials ecosystem.

Why chloride-process TiO₂ keeps gaining ground in China

Chloride-process TiO₂ increasingly leads new capacity decisions because it supports tighter environmental performance. Producers also use the technology to align with low-carbon and cleaner industrial targets. However, the transition is not linear because feedstock quality, capex intensity, and operating know-how still constrain fast adoption.

China’s biggest TiO₂ groups continue to expand chloride capacity to upgrade their portfolios. LB Group, Citic Titanium, Pangang Vanadium and Titanium, Lubei Chemical, and Yibin Tianyuan form the core group using this advanced route. Therefore, Tianyuan’s decision fits a broader capital cycle that prioritizes technology shifts over incremental sulphate-style expansions.

What Tianyuan’s new plant means for market structure and pricing

A 100,000 t/yr addition is large enough to influence regional competition, especially if ramp-up is smooth. The move can improve product consistency and help Tianyuan target higher-value customer segments. Meanwhile, the market will watch whether the new capacity arrives into stable pigment demand or a weaker cycle.

China produced 663,000 tonnes of chloride-process TiO₂ in 2024, down 4.2% year on year, and this represented 14% of national TiO₂ output. That share shows chloride still has room to grow, even as producers expand. Therefore, the next competitive edge will come from integration, energy efficiency, and steady feedstock sourcing.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This project signals that Chinese TiO₂ producers still believe technology upgrades will protect margins. However, new chloride capacity can pressure prices if demand stays soft during ramp-up. The winners will be operators who pair scale with disciplined commissioning and differentiated grades.

Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment backs Australia’s flow battery ambitions

Queensland Vanadium Plant

Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment signals a stronger push into long duration energy storage in Australia. The state government has committed A$10mn to Vecco’s Julia Creek mine and Townsville vanadium electrolyte plant. As a result, the Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment aims to anchor a domestic supply chain from ore to vanadium redox flow batteries.

Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment will support Australia’s first commercial scale electrolyte facility in Townsville. Vecco plans to build a 300 MWh per year plant starting in 2026, with operations targeted for 2028. This will scale up from its existing 35 MWh per year Townsville unit, which already produces vanadium electrolyte. Therefore, Vecco can leverage operational experience as it ramps to larger industrial volumes.

Julia Creek mine links vanadium ore to battery electrolyte

The Julia Creek mine forms the resource backbone of the Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment. Vecco plans to open the 8,700 t per year vanadium pentoxide operation in 2027. The mine will supply feedstock directly to the larger Townsville electrolyte plant, closing the loop between mining and chemicals.

This integrated structure reduces reliance on imported vanadium intermediates and marketing risk. Meanwhile, it supports Australia’s broader critical minerals strategy focused on value added processing, not just ore exports. Over the life of the project, Vecco aims to position Julia Creek as a stable source for flow battery grade vanadium.

Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment also fits into a wider end to end supply chain vision. Vecco, Sumitomo Electric and Idemitsu Australia signed a 2024 agreement to develop and sell vanadium redox flow batteries. Therefore, vanadium units from Julia Creek could ultimately flow into installed energy storage systems across Australia.

Building a regional hub for vanadium redox flow batteries

Queensland is using the Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment to establish Townsville as a vanadium processing hub. Since 2021, the state has been developing a shared use vanadium processing facility to support smaller miners. This shared infrastructure should lower entry barriers and encourage more junior projects to progress.

At the same time, the Townsville electrolyte plant will target utility and industrial scale storage markets. Vanadium redox flow batteries offer long cycle life and deep discharge, which suit grid firming and renewable integration. However, they require secure supplies of high purity vanadium electrolyte to remain competitive with lithium ion systems.

Queensland’s support for Vecco, alongside Japanese partners, strengthens cross border industrial ties. It also diversifies vanadium production away from traditional suppliers in China, Russia and South Africa. As a result, the Queensland vanadium electrolyte plant investment could reshape regional vanadium trade and pricing dynamics over time.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This move shows how relatively modest public capital can unlock strategic value in long duration storage supply chains. By backing integrated mining and electrolyte production, Queensland improves the bankability of vanadium redox flow projects and attracts Japanese technology partners. Market participants should watch how fast offtake and project pipelines grow, as this will determine whether Townsville becomes a genuine Asia Pacific hub for vanadium battery materials.

US Vanadium V2O5 flake production strengthens US titanium alloy supply

US Vanadium

US Vanadium V2O5 flake production has started in Hot Springs, Arkansas. The project delivers domestic, high-purity vanadium flake for titanium alloys. As a result, US Vanadium V2O5 flake production reduces aerospace supply risk and shortens lead times.

Offtake and funding signal durable demand

US Vanadium V2O5 flake production serves planned offtake for titanium alloy makers. These buyers supply critical aerospace components. Funding support from Traxys North America and the US Defense Logistics Agency underpins early volumes. Therefore, producers can plan melts and inventories with greater confidence.

Recycling route improves cost and sustainability

The plant sources post-industrial waste to manufacture high-purity vanadium products. This circular feedstock lowers landfill impact and stabilizes input costs. Meanwhile, US Vanadium V2O5 flake production enhances traceability for defense and commercial audits. The approach aligns with Buy American and resilience goals.

Domestic flake capacity closes a strategic gap. The company is the only US producer of vanadium flake for titanium alloys. Consequently, aircraft and engine programs gain a local, compliant source.

Downstream titanium alloy demand remains firm. Aerospace backlogs and engine MRO require steady vanadium additions. As a result, consistent flake output supports melt schedules and quality targets.

Broader metals supply chains also benefit. Reliable V2O5 flake supports specialty steels and superalloys. It also positions the US for future vanadium redox flow battery growth.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This milestone tightens a fragile link in the US aerospace metals chain. Watch how sustained offtake, recycling yields, and capacity utilization translate into lower import dependence and steadier titanium alloy pricing.

Tenindewa vanadium processing facility approval positions AVL for VRFB growth

Australian Vanadium

Australian Vanadium secured Tenindewa vanadium processing facility approval, advancing its integrated Western Australia battery supply chain. The Tenindewa vanadium processing facility approval links with AVL’s Gabanintha mine and Perth electrolyte plant. As a result, the Tenindewa vanadium processing facility approval strengthens local content for vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs).

What the approval enables for Australian Vanadium Project

AVL will process ore from Gabanintha and ship electrolyte from Perth. Therefore, the project connects mine, concentrator, processing and electrolyte under one plan. The deposit totals 395.4mn t at 0.77pc V2O5. A high-grade zone holds 173.2mn t at 1.09pc V2O5. This hub supports grid-scale storage manufacturing in Western Australia. Meanwhile, it reduces reliance on offshore intermediates and tolling.

VRFB demand outlook and execution risks

VRFBs suit long-duration, stationary storage for grids and renewables. However, VRFB deployment still represents under 10pc of vanadium demand. Policy support and tenders could accelerate adoption across Australia. Yet pricing, financing, and procurement cycles remain hurdles. Consequently, AVL must align ramp-up with contracted projects and offtake.

AVL plans to leverage Tenindewa to deliver consistent vanadium units. In turn, OEMs can source electrolyte with predictable chemistry and ESG provenance. Therefore, project approval improves bankability for storage developers and utilities. It also positions Western Australia as a VRFB manufacturing node.

The Metalnomist Commentary

AVL’s integrated model narrows project risk by capturing value from ore to electrolyte. The approval should help secure offtake and financing tied to utility-scale storage. Watch for grid tenders and capacity auctions that could unlock multi-year VRFB demand.

Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia

Vanadium

Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia secures a near-term path to cash flow. The two-year pact covers about 1.2mn t/yr of vanadium-rich magnetite DSO from South Africa. As a result, the Steelpoortdrift project gains commercial optionality while financing remains tight.

Terms, conditions, and near-term pivot

The agreement hinges on final pricing terms by 30 August, given no standard spot benchmark. It also requires a mining contractor and product-spec compliance by 30 November. Meanwhile, VR8 keeps talks open with other offtakers, which could unlock higher-grade ore output. Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia complements this parallel marketing strategy.

Market context and financing implications

Steelpoortdrift holds 680mn t at an average 0.7pc V₂O₅, supporting scale. However, the project pause and cost cuts reflect VR8’s limited cash of A$218,000 at March-end. Therefore, DSO sales aim to monetize ore while VR8 seeks a strategic equity partner. Vanadium Resources offtake deal with China Precious Asia may reduce funding risk if milestones are met.

China’s vanadium demand is accelerating on vanadium redox flow battery projects. Pangang cites 2024 consumption of 116,300t V₂O₅ equivalent, underscoring structural pull. Consequently, CPAL’s involvement aligns supply with growing energy-storage applications and traditional steel demand.

VR8 originally targeted first concentrate and flake by late 2025. Yet DSO offers a lower-capex bridge to revenues during market and funding uncertainty. If pricing and logistics crystallize, the DSO route can stabilize cash generation ahead of full development.

The Metalnomist Commentary

This offtake is a pragmatic bridge between stranded resources and market demand. Execution now turns on price discovery, contractor mobilization, and logistics discipline. If VR8 delivers milestones, CPAL’s pull could anchor a broader funding solution.

Vedanta Expands Metals Exploration Across India to Secure Critical Minerals

Vedanta

Multi-state exploration strengthens Vedanta’s role in clean energy supply chains

Vedanta expands metals exploration across six Indian states in a strategic push to secure critical minerals essential for clean energy technologies. The company is targeting copper, nickel, cobalt, vanadium, tungsten, chromium, and PGEs in regions including Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh, Karnataka, and Chhattisgarh. This initiative aligns with India’s growing focus on mineral self-sufficiency and value chain localization.

Auction wins and value-added aluminum investment boost vertical integration

In the fourth round of India’s critical mineral auctions, Vedanta secured four mineral blocks. These include vanadium and graphite in Arunachal Pradesh, and a polymetallic block with cobalt, manganese, and iron in Karnataka. Its subsidiary Hindustan Zinc (HZL) also won two tungsten blocks in Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. Alongside exploration, Vedanta is expanding downstream capabilities—targeting over 90% value-added aluminum output through investments in billets, foundry alloys, rolled products, and wire rods.

Zinc alloy innovation and aluminum capex signal industrial diversification

HZL is diversifying zinc use cases beyond steel galvanization by launching a 30,000-tonne zinc alloy facility. Meanwhile, Vedanta is investing $1.5 billion to expand aluminum smelting and rolling capacity, including a major upgrade at its Odisha plant. These developments aim to deepen Vedanta’s footprint in aerospace, defense, solar, EVs, and battery infrastructure—critical to India's low-carbon ambitions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Vedanta’s aggressive critical mineral exploration and aluminum investments reflect India’s urgent drive to localize energy transition supply chains. With a diversified portfolio and state-backed auction wins, Vedanta is positioning itself as a key pillar in India's clean energy industrial ecosystem.

AMG Lithium First Quarter Results Reflect Weak Prices, But Strategic Progress Continues

AMG Lithium

Lithium Concentrate Sales Drop Amid Pricing Pressure

AMG Lithium's first quarter results revealed a 22% drop in lithium concentrate sales, driven by end-2024 shipments and production testing. The Brazilian spodumene operation sold 12,167t in Q1 2025, compared to higher volumes a year earlier. The lithium unit also faced falling market prices, pushing Q1 revenue down 23% to $32mn.

Battery-Grade Production Begins in Germany

Despite revenue pressure, AMG Lithium achieved its first battery-grade lithium hydroxide output in Bitterfeld, Germany. While the firm has not yet disclosed a firm commercialization date, it confirmed that the product will soon enter the market. Meanwhile, AMG announced that its Portugal project is expected to begin lithium concentrate production by H1 2027 — marking a significant expansion step.

Parent Company Shows Strong Overall Growth

AMG Critical Materials, the parent company, posted Q1 revenue of $388mn, up 8% year-over-year. Gross profit rose by 56% to $82.6mn, fueled by stronger performance in vanadium, tantalum, and ferroalloy segments. Despite the AMG Lithium first quarter results showing weakness, the group’s broader material portfolio provided a strong financial cushion.

The Metalnomist Commentary

AMG Lithium’s Q1 slump reflects broader volatility in global lithium markets. However, the company’s move into battery-grade hydroxide and its planned Portugal expansion demonstrate long-term strategic alignment with Europe’s energy transition goals.

Australia Critical Mineral Reserve Plan Targets Supply Security and Project Support

Australia Critical Mineral

Australia’s Labor government has announced a $720 million plan to establish a national critical mineral reserve by 2026. The Australia critical mineral reserve would include offtake agreements to help projects nearing feasibility but struggling to secure financing. If re-elected in the May 3 election, Labor plans to implement the reserve to strengthen Australia’s position in global supply chains.

Rare Earths and Battery Materials to Benefit from Government Support

The proposed Australia critical mineral reserve will selectively cover minerals from the national critical minerals list, with a particular focus on rare earths. Labor emphasized their importance but did not specify which minerals will be included. According to the Office of the Chief Economist, 25 projects remain stuck at the advanced feasibility stage. Of these, 19 are related to rare earths, graphite, mineral sands, nickel-cobalt, or vanadium—sectors that could benefit directly from government offtake agreements.

The plan also includes the sale of reserves to Australian industries and strategic international partners seeking to diversify away from China. This is in line with broader geopolitical efforts to reshape global critical mineral flows and improve resilience.

Federal and State Incentives Signal Policy Shift in Mineral Strategy

Australia has already introduced a 10% tax credit for mineral processing and refining starting from 2027–28. The federal government has also provided grants and loans to critical mineral projects over the past three years. State-level initiatives like Western Australia's A$150 million lithium support package further highlight policy alignment. WA’s package includes interest-free loans and fee waivers to help lithium producers stay competitive.

The Labor government’s reserve proposal would give Canberra authority to purchase, stockpile, and sell critical minerals, a move reminiscent of U.S. and EU strategies. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese linked the announcement to recent trade tensions, especially in response to former U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policy update.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Australia’s proposed critical mineral reserve reflects an assertive move to anchor itself in the global energy transition. If implemented, it could reshape investment flows and reduce dependency on volatile private-sector funding cycles, especially for rare earth and battery material projects.