Alabama Scrap Shredder to Strengthen Outokumpu’s Stainless Recycling Loop

Jefferson Iron & Metal

Alabama scrap shredder investment by Jefferson Iron and Metal Brokerage will create a dedicated scrap processing route inside Outokumpu’s stainless steel mill in Calvert. The $22mn project will support a tighter closed-loop scrap supply system for the Alabama stainless operation.

Alabama scrap shredder capacity is planned at about 9,000 short tons per month. The shredder will process scrap generated at Outokumpu’s mill near Mobile, Alabama, and return the shredded material directly into the plant’s operations.

Alabama scrap shredder development is strategically important because stainless steel mills depend on clean, consistent and efficiently prepared scrap. Better on-site processing can reduce handling costs, improve material control and support higher recycled-content production.

Jefferson Shredding and Recycling, a subsidiary of Alabama-based Jefferson Iron and Metal Brokerage, plans to break ground next month. Operations are expected to begin in August 2027.

On-Site Shredding Improves Scrap Control

The project gives Outokumpu a more direct route for recovering and reusing internal stainless scrap. Instead of moving material through a longer external supply chain, the mill can keep more scrap within its own operating loop.

This matters because stainless scrap contains valuable alloying elements such as chromium, nickel and molybdenum. Preserving those units inside the mill system can improve raw material efficiency and reduce exposure to external alloy and scrap markets.

On-site shredding also supports better quality control. Stainless mills need scrap that is properly sized, separated and prepared for melting. Poorly controlled scrap can create chemistry risk, yield loss and operating inefficiency.

The Jefferson-Outokumpu structure is practical. Jefferson brings scrap processing expertise, while Outokumpu gains a dedicated recycling asset linked directly to its stainless production base.

Closed-Loop Recycling Supports US Stainless Competitiveness

The Calvert mill is one of the most important stainless steel assets in the US. Adding dedicated scrap processing strengthens its ability to compete in a market where recycled content, cost control and supply security are increasingly important.

Stainless steel recycling is already a major advantage for the sector. But the value rises when mills can shorten the route between scrap generation, preparation and remelting.

The project also fits wider trends in US metals manufacturing. Producers are trying to localise feedstock, reduce waste, lower logistics exposure and improve traceability.

For Jefferson, the investment expands its role from scrap broker and recycler into an embedded processing partner for a major stainless producer. For Outokumpu, the shredder improves scrap circularity and gives the mill more control over internal material flows.

The 2027 start-up timeline means the project will not affect near-term stainless supply. But once operational, it should strengthen the Calvert site’s raw material flexibility and recycling efficiency.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Jefferson-Outokumpu project shows that recycling advantage is increasingly built inside the mill gate. In stainless steel, controlling scrap chemistry, size and flow can be as important as securing primary alloy inputs.

European Ferro-Molybdenum Prices Hit Three-Year High on Concentrate Squeeze

Ferro-Molybdenum

European ferro-molybdenum prices have climbed to a three-year high as tight molybdenum concentrate supply, stronger Chinese steel demand and logistical constraints push the market higher. The rally has lifted prices sharply since the start of the year.

European ferro-molybdenum prices were last assessed at $70.90-71.50/kg in-warehouse Rotterdam on 19 May, up by about 25% from the start of the year. Molybdenum oxide prices also rose to $30.50-30.80/lb duty unpaid Rotterdam, up by 28% over the same period.

European ferro-molybdenum prices are being driven mainly by raw material tightness rather than a broad recovery in European steel demand. Molybdenum concentrate availability has tightened structurally, limiting oxide and ferro-molybdenum production flexibility.

The key problem is that molybdenum is mostly produced as a by-product of copper mining. That means supply cannot quickly respond to higher prices, leaving the market exposed when concentrate availability tightens or downstream demand rises.

Concentrate Tightness Drives the Molybdenum Chain Higher

Molybdenum concentrate is the starting point for the supply chain. It is converted into molybdenum oxide, which then feeds ferro-molybdenum production for alloy steel and stainless steel applications.

Concentrate prices in China have risen by about 29% since January, peaking at 5,235 yuan/mtu on 13 May. That cost increase has moved through the value chain and supported higher oxide and ferro-molybdenum prices.

Chinese steel demand has intensified the squeeze. Mills purchased around 30,000t of ferro-molybdenum in March-April, up 10% from a year earlier.

This buying absorbed much of China’s available spot concentrate and oxide supply. As a result, less material has been available for export to other consuming regions.

Market participants initially expected demand to slow after pre-holiday buying ahead of the 1-5 May Labour Day holiday. Instead, sustained steel mill demand kept buyers active and tightened availability further.

The Centerra Gold Langeloth outage in the US also supported the rally. An explosion near the facility’s acid unit on 29 January led to a suspension of operations, removing an important source of molybdenum oxide and ferro-molybdenum from the prompt market.

The facility’s direct global supply share is limited. However, its outage tightened nearby availability and strengthened bullish sentiment, allowing traders and producers to raise offers more aggressively.

Supply Constraints Outweigh European Demand Recovery

The current rally is largely supply-led. European steel demand has not recovered strongly enough to explain the scale of the price increase on its own.

Logistical constraints have made the situation worse. Financing, freight and inventory bottlenecks have reduced spot availability among trading firms.

Some sellers have also withheld material in expectation of further price gains. At the same time, buyers have resisted higher offers, reducing spot liquidity and creating sharper price movements.

Truckload enquiries have remained limited in recent weeks. This suggests that physical tightness and cautious seller behaviour are driving prices more than a surge in end-user consumption.

For alloy producers and steelmakers, the rally raises cost pressure. Ferro-molybdenum is used to improve strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance in steels used across energy, chemicals, engineering, defence and industrial equipment.

The market’s vulnerability reflects molybdenum’s by-product nature. Even if prices rise sharply, copper mines cannot quickly increase molybdenum output just to meet alloy demand.

That makes the molybdenum chain highly sensitive to disruptions. Concentrate shortages, converter outages, Chinese buying and trading bottlenecks can all create price moves that exceed the underlying change in steel consumption.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The molybdenum rally shows how by-product metals can move violently when small supply disruptions meet concentrated demand. European buyers are not facing a simple steel-demand story; they are facing a raw material chain where concentrate availability now controls ferro-alloy pricing.

Aperam Recycling North America Names Evan Dyal as New Chief Executive

Aperam Recycling

Aperam Recycling North America will move into new leadership on 1 July as Evan Dyal succeeds Chris Niles as chief executive of the company’s regional operations. The appointment places a long-serving ELG Metals USA executive at the head of Aperam’s North American recycling platform.

Aperam Recycling North America is strategically important because stainless steel producers increasingly rely on high-quality scrap flows to manage costs, improve circularity and support lower-carbon production. Leadership continuity matters in a market where scrap sourcing, customer relationships and alloy knowledge are critical.

Dyal is currently general manager of Aperam Recycling’s Mobile, Alabama, location. He has spent more than 18 years with Aperam subsidiary ELG Metals USA, giving him deep operational experience in specialty metals recycling.

Chris Niles will leave the company after 25 years. His departure marks a leadership transition for a business tied closely to stainless steel, nickel-bearing scrap and specialty alloy supply chains.

Leadership Continuity Supports Stainless Scrap Strategy

Aperam’s choice of Dyal signals a preference for internal continuity. Recycling operations depend heavily on supplier networks, material knowledge and disciplined quality control.

This is especially important in stainless steel recycling. Scrap streams can contain nickel, chromium, molybdenum and other valuable alloying elements, making accurate sorting and processing essential.

North American stainless scrap supply remains strategically valuable as mills seek more recycled units and lower-carbon feedstock. Processors that can secure clean, reliable and specification-ready scrap will remain important to stainless producers.

Dyal’s Mobile experience gives him direct exposure to yard operations, logistics, supplier management and customer requirements. That operational background should support Aperam Recycling North America as competition for quality scrap intensifies.

Commercial Role Strengthens Regional Customer Focus

Aperam also promoted Andres Montes to chief commercial officer of North America. Montes currently leads specialty sales for the region.

The appointment adds commercial focus alongside the leadership change. Specialty sales are important because stainless and alloy scrap markets require close coordination between processors, mills, traders and industrial customers.

This matters as recycling becomes more central to metals procurement. Buyers increasingly want traceable scrap supply, reliable chemistry and stable delivery into melt shops.

For Aperam, strengthening North American leadership and commercial coverage supports its broader circular metals strategy. The company’s recycling platform can help secure feedstock, improve value capture and support lower-emission stainless production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Aperam’s leadership change is small in size but meaningful in direction. Stainless steel recycling is becoming more strategic, and experienced operators with alloy scrap knowledge will matter more as mills compete for cleaner recycled feedstock.

CFC Recycling Tennessee Expansion Adds Gallatin Scrapyard and Nonferrous Feedstock

CFC Recycling

CFC Recycling Tennessee expansion has advanced with the acquisition of Goolsby & Sons Recycling, giving the company a third scrapyard in the state. The deal strengthens CFC’s regional collection network and adds a new feedstock source for its nonferrous shredder.

CFC Recycling Tennessee expansion now links the company’s existing scrapyards in Tullahoma and McMinnville with a new site in Gallatin. The acquired location will be temporarily closed for upgrades before reopening in June.

CFC Recycling Tennessee expansion is significant because scrap processors are increasingly competing for reliable regional feedstock. Control over collection points, yard infrastructure and processing routes can determine margins in both ferrous and nonferrous recycling.

Financial details of the acquisition were not disclosed. CFC plans a soft opening on 18 May before fully reopening the Gallatin location in June.

Gallatin Yard Strengthens Regional Scrap Collection

The Goolsby & Sons site gives CFC another physical intake point for scrap in Tennessee. That matters because scrapyard density improves access to local industrial, demolition, commercial and consumer scrap flows.

CFC plans to renovate buildings and equipment at the Gallatin site. It also plans to concrete surfaces, improving yard handling, environmental control and operating efficiency.

These upgrades are practical but important. Better surfaces can reduce contamination, improve traffic flow, support cleaner material handling and help meet customer and regulatory expectations.

The acquisition also gives CFC a stronger footprint in a state with active manufacturing, construction and industrial activity. Regional scrap generation can support steady flows of steel, stainless steel, aluminium and other nonferrous materials.

For smaller recycling networks, yard expansion can create scale advantages. More sites improve sourcing reach, while centralised processing can lift equipment utilisation.

Nonferrous Shredder Feedstock Becomes Strategic

The deal adds a new feedstock source for CFC’s nonferrous shredder. The company operates a 3Tek Bravo 6280 hammer mill shredder used to process stainless steel and aluminium specialty items.

That detail is commercially important. Nonferrous scrap processing can carry higher value than ordinary ferrous scrap when material is sorted, upgraded and delivered into qualified downstream channels.

Aluminium specialty scrap is especially relevant because secondary aluminium demand is growing across automotive, packaging, construction and industrial markets. Processors with better collection and shredding capacity can capture more value from complex scrap streams.

Stainless steel scrap also remains valuable because of its nickel, chromium and molybdenum content. Efficient shredding and separation can improve recoveries and support alloy producers seeking recycled feedstock.

CFC’s acquisition therefore fits a wider industry trend. Scrap companies are not only buying yards for volume. They are building feedstock networks around specific processing equipment and higher-value material streams.

The Gallatin site should help CFC improve sourcing flexibility. Once renovated, it can support local intake while feeding the company’s broader processing platform.

The Metalnomist Commentary

CFC’s acquisition shows that regional scrap control is becoming more strategic as recyclers chase cleaner and higher-value feedstock. The real value of the Gallatin yard will depend on how effectively CFC channels material into its stainless and aluminium specialty shredding operations.

Lundin Copper Output Rises as Caserones Grades Lift First-Quarter Production

Lundin Mining

Lundin copper output increased in the first quarter as stronger production from the Caserones mine in Chile offset lower grades at Candelaria. The Canadian miner produced 79,934t of copper during the quarter, up 7% from a year earlier.

Lundin copper output was led by Caserones, where production rose by 34.3% to 38,552t. The increase was driven by unexpectedly higher copper concentrate grades, making Caserones the largest contributor to the company’s quarterly copper production.

Lundin copper output remains on track with the company’s 2026 guidance of 310,000-335,000t. The result reinforces Lundin’s increasingly copper-focused strategy after recent asset sales reduced its exposure to zinc and nickel.

The company now generates 85% of quarterly revenue from copper. That shift gives Lundin more direct exposure to long-term demand from grids, electrification, data centres, renewable energy and industrial infrastructure.

Caserones Strength Offsets Candelaria Grade Pressure

Caserones was the clear operating driver in the first quarter. Higher grades lifted copper output and helped offset weaker performance elsewhere in Chile.

The mine also produced 589t of molybdenum in the quarter, down 2.2% from a year earlier. Molybdenum remains a valuable by-product because of its role in special steel, stainless steel, energy equipment and high-temperature industrial applications.

Candelaria produced 30,808t of copper, down 16.9% from a year earlier because of lower grades. The decline shows how sensitive copper output remains to ore quality, even at established assets.

Brazil’s Chapada mine produced 10,574t of copper. This gave Lundin additional geographic diversity across its copper portfolio, although Chile remained the dominant contributor.

The mixed mine performance highlights a common copper industry pattern. Higher grades at one asset can offset weakness at another, but sustained production growth still depends on grade control, mill performance and operational reliability.

Vicuna Project Anchors Lundin’s Long-Term Copper Growth

Lundin’s longer-term growth story is increasingly tied to the Vicuna copper project on the Argentina-Chile border. The company published a technical study for the project in the first quarter.

Vicuna is planned to produce more than 500,000 t/yr of copper once fully operational. If developed successfully, it could become one of the more important new copper growth projects in the Americas.

The project matters because new large-scale copper supply remains difficult to bring to market. Permitting, capital intensity, infrastructure, water access and cross-border complexity will all shape Vicuna’s development path.

Lundin has also simplified its portfolio. It completed the sale of the US-based Eagle mine to Talon Metals at the start of the quarter, further concentrating the business around copper.

The company previously sold its Neves-Corvo mine in Portugal and Zinkgruvan mine in Sweden to Boliden. Those assets were Lundin’s only zinc-producing mines, leaving the company with a much clearer copper-led structure.

For investors and industrial buyers, that portfolio shift is important. Lundin is positioning itself more directly around copper’s strategic demand growth rather than maintaining a broader base metals mix.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Lundin’s first quarter shows the value of becoming a focused copper producer at a time when copper is becoming a strategic industrial material. The next question is whether Vicuna can move from technical promise to bankable supply in a market that needs large, reliable copper projects.

Hudbay 2026 Production Guidance Holds as Copper Growth Shifts to Second Half

Hudbay Minerals

Hudbay 2026 production guidance remains unchanged after first-quarter output came in broadly in line with expectations. The Canadian mining company expects to produce 110,000-138,000t of copper this year across its Peruvian and Canadian operations.

Hudbay 2026 production guidance was maintained despite a 10% year-on-year fall in first-quarter copper output. The company produced 27,929t of copper in January-March, compared with 30,958t a year earlier.

Hudbay 2026 production guidance now depends on stronger second-half output from Peru and British Columbia. Mill improvements, grade sequencing and higher throughput are expected to support recovery through the rest of the year.

The company reported a strong financial result despite lower copper and zinc output. Profit attributable to shareholders rose by 90% to $190.4mn, while revenue reached a record $757.3mn.

Peru Throughput Offsets Pampacancha Depletion

Hudbay’s Peruvian copper production rose by 1% on the year to 20,573t in the first quarter. The increase came even though the Pampacancha mine was depleted at the end of 2025.

Record mill throughput at Constancia helped offset the loss of Pampacancha volumes. This shows the importance of processing performance when mine sequencing becomes less favourable.

Hudbay expects further throughput gains in the second half of 2026. The company plans to lift mill rates at Constancia after installing pebble crushers.

The Peruvian government also granted Hudbay a permit on 6 March to increase mill throughput to 31.3mn t/yr. This is 5% above the previous allowance of 29.9mn t/yr.

The permit is strategically important because it gives Hudbay more operating flexibility in Peru. Higher permitted throughput can help protect copper output when grades fluctuate or mine sequencing changes.

Hudbay said social unrest could continue in Peru after federal elections. However, the company does not expect production to be affected.

Canada Grades Weaken as Arizona Expansion Gains Importance

Hudbay’s Canadian copper output fell sharply because of lower ore grades. Manitoba copper production declined by 27% to 2,525t, while British Columbia output fell by 33% to 4,821t.

The company expects British Columbia production to improve in the second half as a mill improvement project supports operations. Manitoba zinc output should also strengthen later in the year on better grade sequencing and higher ore output at Lalor.

First-quarter zinc production fell by 27% to 4,565t, mainly because of lower grades at Manitoba operations. Molybdenum output in Peru slipped by 4% to 380t.

Hudbay said it is fairly well insulated from higher fuel costs linked to the US-Israel war on Iran. Its Manitoba operations require limited oil because underground equipment is electrically or battery driven.

This matters as fuel and logistics costs become more important for global miners. Operations with electrified underground fleets may have better protection against diesel price volatility.

Hudbay’s longer-term copper strategy is increasingly focused on the US. The company acquired Arizona Sonoran Copper Company in March through an all-share transaction worth about C$1.5bn.

It is also developing the Copper World project in Arizona with Mitsubishi’s US subsidiary. These assets give Hudbay future exposure to US copper demand tied to grids, electrification, manufacturing and supply-chain security.

The first-quarter result therefore shows a company balancing near-term grade pressure with longer-term copper growth optionality. Peru remains the key operating platform today, while Arizona could become more important in the next phase.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hudbay’s unchanged guidance shows confidence in second-half operational recovery, but the grade pressure in Canada is a reminder that copper supply remains technically fragile. The Arizona strategy gives Hudbay a stronger long-term position as US copper supply becomes more strategic.

Langeloth Molybdenum Plant Provisionally Restarts After January Explosion

Centerra

Langeloth molybdenum plant operations have provisionally resumed after Centerra Gold restarted the Pennsylvania conversion facility in April following a late-January explosion. The Canada-based mining group had suspended operations at the site after the incident near the acid plant.

The Langeloth molybdenum plant is an important US molybdenum conversion asset near Pittsburgh. It roasts molybdenum and supports downstream supply chains that rely on molybdenum products for steel, alloys, chemicals and industrial applications.

The Langeloth molybdenum plant restart remains provisional. Centerra identified additional items requiring testing during the April restart, which the company described as typical when bringing a processing facility back toward stable operations.

The company initially expected full operations to resume by May. However, it did not provide a new timeline for returning to full capacity in its first-quarter earnings release.

Repairs and Testing Slow Full Production Recovery

The explosion occurred on 29 January near the acid plant, with the impact contained at the site. The incident happened while a driver was pumping chemicals into a tank.

The Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency said 1,700-1,800 gallons of hydrogen peroxide and liquid magnesium were involved in the incident. Centerra suspended operations after the explosion to assess damage and manage safety requirements.

Repairs are expected to cost $5mn-10mn. The company had already incurred $1.9mn of repair costs in the first quarter.

The provisional restart is positive, but it does not yet mean normalised output. Processing plants often need additional testing, equipment checks and operating adjustments after an incident and restart sequence.

That matters for molybdenum supply. Conversion capacity can become a bottleneck even when mine supply or concentrate availability remains intact.

Molybdenum is used in special steels, stainless steels, energy equipment, chemical processing, aerospace alloys and high-temperature industrial applications. Reliable conversion capacity is therefore part of the broader alloy materials supply chain.

Inventory Build Cushions Shipments During Restart

Centerra invested $73mn in working capital at Langeloth in the first quarter by building inventory during the temporary shutdown. The company expects to hold higher inventory levels through 2026 while operations and shipments normalise.

This inventory strategy should help reduce customer disruption as the plant returns toward stable operation. It also gives Centerra more flexibility while it ramps production under its commercial optimisation plan.

First-quarter operating figures show the impact of the outage. The plant roasted 1.3mn lb of molybdenum during the quarter, down 58% from a year earlier.

Molybdenum sales fell by 13% to 3.7mn lb. The smaller decline in sales compared with roasting output suggests inventory management helped support shipments despite lower plant activity.

Centerra expects to publish updated 2026 operating guidance for Langeloth with its second-quarter results. That guidance will be important for customers tracking US conversion availability and molybdenum product supply.

The key issue is not only restart status. Buyers will need to monitor how quickly the facility can move from provisional operation to stable full-capacity production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Centerra’s Langeloth restart shows that molybdenum supply risk can emerge at the processing stage, not only at mines. The plant’s recovery timeline matters because conversion reliability directly affects alloy, steel and chemical customers that depend on steady molybdenum units.

Yongshan Lithium Molybdenum Output Falls as Concentrate Supply Tightens

Yongshan Lithium

Yongshan Lithium molybdenum output declined in 2025 as tight molybdenum concentrate supply reduced production of ferro-molybdenum alloy and roasted concentrate. The Jilin-based metals producer reported lower output and sales across its molybdenum business.

Yongshan Lithium molybdenum output fell despite firmer molybdenum prices and continued demand from high-quality special steel. Feedstock availability became the main constraint, limiting the company’s ability to maintain production volumes.

Yongshan Lithium molybdenum output reflects a wider pressure point in China’s molybdenum market. Alloy producers need concentrate feedstock, but tight supply and higher unroasted concentrate prices increased procurement pressure during the year.

The company, also known as Jixiang Molybdenum or New China Dragon Molybdenum, produced 17,631t of ferro-molybdenum alloy in 2025, down 22% from a year earlier. Sales fell by 23% to 18,018t.

Concentrate Tightness Hits Ferro-Molybdenum Production

Yongshan’s ferro-molybdenum alloy production was directly affected by constrained concentrate supply. The company purchased concentrate and alloy from other plants during the year to support regular production and sales.

This shows how dependent ferro-molybdenum producers remain on reliable upstream feedstock. Even when downstream demand is firm, alloy plants cannot maintain output without stable concentrate availability.

Roasted molybdenum concentrate output fell more sharply. Yongshan produced 29,679t in 2025, down 34% from a year earlier, because unroasted concentrate feedstock prices trended higher.

Sales of roasted concentrate dropped by 55% to 6,894t. The steep fall suggests that more material was needed internally or that market conditions made external sales less attractive.

Molybdenum concentrate is the key input for ferro-molybdenum, which is used in special steel, stainless steel, energy equipment, chemical processing, aerospace and defence-related applications. Tight concentrate supply therefore affects the entire alloy value chain.

Higher Prices Support Market but Not Volumes

China’s ferro-molybdenum market remained supported by tight feedstock and stronger consumption from high-quality special steel producers. Average domestic prices for 60% ferro-molybdenum alloy rose by 5.2% in 2025 to 246,307 yuan/t ex-works.

Roasted concentrate prices also increased. Average prices for 57% grade roasted concentrate rose by 6.1% year on year to 3,939 yuan/mtu.

The price gains show that molybdenum demand remained resilient in higher-value steel applications. However, Yongshan’s results also show that higher prices do not automatically translate into higher output when feedstock supply is constrained.

The company plans to optimise its molybdenum product structure in 2026. It aims to phase out low-margin and low-value-added products while advancing energy-saving and cost-reduction initiatives.

This is a logical response to a tighter raw material environment. When concentrate is expensive and difficult to secure, producers must prioritise higher-margin products and improve operating efficiency.

Yongshan formally changed its name from Jixiang Molybdenum in July 2024, reflecting a stronger focus on the lithium industry. Even so, molybdenum remains an important part of its industrial metals base.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Yongshan’s weaker molybdenum output shows that China’s alloy chain is being constrained upstream, not only by end-use demand. In a tight concentrate market, the competitive advantage will shift toward producers with secure feedstock, higher-value alloy products and stronger cost control.

Grasberg Copper Mine Recovery Delay Tightens Indonesia Supply Outlook

Grasberg Copper Mine

Grasberg copper mine recovery has been delayed after Freeport-McMoRan reported slower progress at its Indonesian operation following last year’s fatal mud rush accident. The company now expects the Grasberg Block Cave to recover more gradually than previously planned.

The Grasberg copper mine recovery delay is important because Grasberg is one of the world’s largest copper assets. Any slower restart affects global mine supply at a time when copper demand remains tied to grids, data centres, electrification and industrial policy.

The Grasberg copper mine recovery outlook has been cut because wet drawpoints increased inside the mine after the incident and subsequent suspension of mining activity. Freeport said it must upgrade ore loading infrastructure before production can recover more fully.

Freeport now expects Grasberg to reach only 65% of production capacity by the second half of this year. It previously expected the mine to reach 85% in that period.

Grasberg Restart Slows After Underground Infrastructure Issues

The progressive restart of Grasberg Block Cave has been slower than expected. The increase in wet drawpoints has limited mining activity and created a need for infrastructure upgrades.

Freeport now expects Grasberg to reach about 85% of capacity by mid-2027. The company expects the mine to approach full capacity by the end of 2027.

That marks a clear delay from the previous plan. Freeport had earlier expected Grasberg to return to full production capacity by the end of 2027.

The production impact was visible in the first quarter. Freeport’s Indonesian copper output fell by 68% on the year to 95mn lbs because of the Grasberg disruption.

Across Freeport’s global operations, copper output fell by 24% on the year to 662mn lbs. The decline shows how heavily the company’s production profile depends on a stable Grasberg recovery.

US operations partly offset the Indonesian weakness. Copper production from Freeport’s seven mines in the southwest US rose by 3% on the year to 309mn lbs.

Output from the company’s mines in Peru and Chile fell by 4.8% to 258mn lbs. Lower leach placements weighed on production across those assets.

Higher Copper Prices Offset Lower Production

Freeport’s first-quarter financial results were supported by stronger copper prices. Average copper prices rose by 30.1% on the year to $5.78/lb.

Unit production costs also improved. Freeport’s per-unit costs fell by 7.7% to $1.91/lb.

This helped offset lower production and sales volumes. Copper sales volumes fell by 25% from a year earlier, although they were 3% above Freeport’s January estimate.

Freeport’s profit more than doubled to $881mn in the first quarter. Revenue rose by 8.8% to $6.2bn.

The result shows the current copper market tension. Operational supply is weaker, but higher prices are protecting margins for major producers.

Molybdenum performance was mixed. Consolidated molybdenum production fell by 4% to 22mn lbs, while sales volumes rose by 20% to 24mn lbs.

For the copper market, the delayed Grasberg recovery adds another supply-side risk. Indonesia has been expected to support global copper growth, but mine-level disruptions continue to limit output.

The issue also reinforces a broader industry problem. Large underground copper mines can take years to stabilise after major incidents, and infrastructure bottlenecks can delay recovery even when restart work has begun.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Grasberg delay shows why copper supply cannot be judged only by long-term resource size. A single underground disruption at a world-class mine can reshape near-term supply and strengthen copper’s strategic premium.

EU Russia Sanctions Package Tightens Shadow Fleet and Metals Trade Controls

EU, Russia

EU Russia sanctions package measures have formally expanded as Brussels adds new pressure on Russia’s oil logistics, maritime services and raw materials trade. The 20th sanctions package adds 46 vessels to the EU’s shadow fleet list and creates the legal basis for a future ban on maritime services linked to Russian crude and oil product shipments.

The EU Russia sanctions package brings the total number of designated shadow fleet tankers to 632. These vessels face port access bans and restrictions on a broad range of maritime transport services.

The EU Russia sanctions package aims to close loopholes around the G7 oil price cap. Brussels is targeting vessels, ports, terminals, tanker sales and service providers that may help Russia move crude and oil products outside the sanctioned framework.

The package also expands trade restrictions to several raw materials and metals, including aluminium products, silicon, lithium oxide, cobalt, molybdenum, magnesium, platinum, rhodium and iridium. This widens the impact from energy sanctions into industrial supply chains.

Shadow Fleet Measures Push Sanctions Deeper Into Maritime Logistics

The main focus of the package is Russia’s shadow fleet. These tankers have become central to Moscow’s efforts to move crude and products while avoiding price-cap restrictions and western maritime services controls.

The EU has now banned transactions with the Russian ports of Murmansk and Tuapse, as well as the oil terminal at Karimun in Indonesia. Brussels said these locations are being used to bypass the price cap.

Earlier sanctions already covered Ust-Luga, Primorsk and Novorossiysk. The wider port and terminal coverage shows that the EU is moving from targeting ships alone to targeting the infrastructure that supports Russian oil flows.

Georgia’s Kulevi port was not included after EU officials said they received strong commitments. This shows that Brussels is also using sanctions pressure to influence third-country port behaviour.

The package introduces mandatory due diligence and a “no-Russia” clause for tanker sales. This is intended to prevent vessels from moving into Russian-linked fleets through resale channels.

The EU has also prohibited maintenance and other services for Russian LNG tankers and icebreakers. From January 2027, LNG terminal services to Russian entities, or entities controlled by Russian nationals or operators, will also become illegal.

The future maritime services ban is especially important. Under current rules, shipping, insurance and other services are still allowed for Russian oil shipments sold at or below the G7 price cap.

The new framework prepares the legal basis for a stricter system. The EU plans to co-ordinate any future ban with G7 partners and other price-cap countries.

This would mark a significant escalation. A broader maritime services ban could reduce Russia’s ability to use western-linked insurance, shipping support, technical services and terminal access even when cargoes claim price-cap compliance.

Metals Restrictions Extend Pressure Into Industrial Supply Chains

The sanctions package also expands pressure beyond oil and gas. It adds 120 individuals and entities to the EU sanctions list, including 36 designations linked to the upstream and downstream oil sector.

Some listings involve entities based in third countries. This reflects the EU’s increasing focus on sanctions circumvention through non-EU jurisdictions.

The trade measures are also important for metals and industrial materials. The EU introduced a yearly ammonia import quota of 688,000t and widened import restrictions to additional raw materials and metals.

The restricted materials include steel, aluminium products, silicon, salt, calcium oxide, rubber, lithium oxide, cobalt, molybdenum, magnesium, platinum, rhodium and iridium.

This matters because Russia remains connected to several industrial raw material flows. Even when volumes are not dominant, sanctions can affect procurement, compliance, documentation and alternative sourcing decisions.

Platinum, rhodium and iridium are particularly sensitive because they support automotive catalysts, hydrogen technologies, electronics, chemicals and high-performance industrial applications. Any restrictions on Russian-linked flows could increase attention on South African, recycled and alternative supply.

Cobalt, molybdenum and magnesium restrictions also carry strategic relevance. These materials feed batteries, superalloys, specialty steels, aerospace, automotive and defence-related supply chains.

Aluminium product restrictions may add another layer of complexity to European aluminium procurement, especially as the market already faces higher premiums, energy cost pressure and disrupted trade flows.

The package was adopted after Russian pipeline crude flows resumed to Hungary and Slovakia through the Druzhba system. That restart removed a political obstacle that had delayed approval.

The EU also formally adopted a €90bn loan package for Ukraine. Disbursements could begin next month to support urgent budgetary and defence needs in 2026 and 2027.

The combined measures show that Brussels is linking sanctions enforcement, energy security, Ukraine financing and industrial trade policy more tightly. Russia sanctions are no longer limited to direct oil and gas restrictions. They now reach vessels, ports, financing, raw materials, metals and third-country trade channels.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The 20th EU Russia sanctions package shows that enforcement is moving from headline bans toward logistics, ports and material flows. For metals buyers, the key risk is not only direct Russian origin, but the growing compliance burden around third-country routing, documentation and restricted raw materials.

Shenglong Molybdenum Concentrate Auction Prices Rise on Firmer Alloy Demand

Shenglong Mining

Shenglong molybdenum concentrate auction prices rose sharply as Chinese alloy producers showed stronger demand for feedstock ahead of early May holidays. The state-owned Henan mining company sold 45% and 50% grade molybdenum concentrate above its starting price, surprising many market participants.

Shenglong molybdenum concentrate auction prices were settled across 10 rounds of bidding. The company sold 390t of 45% grade concentrate at 4,705-4,715 yuan/mtu ex-works and 420t of 50% grade concentrate at 4,725-4,750 yuan/mtu ex-works.

Shenglong molybdenum concentrate auction prices increased from the company’s starting level of 4,540 yuan/mtu. The latest result was also higher than its previous sale on 8 April, when Shenglong sold 810t of 45% grade concentrate at 4,535-4,550 yuan/mtu.

The auction result matters because molybdenum concentrate pricing influences ferro-molybdenum production costs and steel alloy procurement. Stronger concentrate values suggest that alloy producers are rebuilding feedstock positions or responding to firmer downstream demand.

Ferro-Molybdenum Buyers Watch Steelmaker Tenders

Market participants are now watching upcoming ferro-molybdenum alloy tenders from steelmakers. These tenders will help determine whether the concentrate rally can move further downstream into alloy prices.

Domestic prices for 45% grade molybdenum concentrate rose to 4,700-4,730 yuan/mtu ex-works. The increase followed higher offers from major mining companies and stronger buying interest from alloy producers.

The timing is important. Buyers are assessing demand before the 1-5 May holiday, when trading activity and logistics can slow. Some alloy producers may prefer to secure material early if they expect steel mill demand to remain firm.

Molybdenum is a critical alloying element for special steel, stainless steel, energy equipment, chemical processing, aerospace and defence applications. It improves strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance in demanding industrial environments.

Stronger molybdenum concentrate prices therefore indicate more than short-term bidding strength. They reflect confidence that alloy producers still need raw material despite earlier uncertainty in steel demand.

Shenglong’s Resource Base Strengthens Market Influence

Shenglong holds one of China’s most important molybdenum resource positions. The company held five large- and medium-sized molybdenum mining rights as of 2024, including four mining rights and one exploration right.

Its molybdenum reserves reached 710,500t metal equivalent in 2024. That represented about 9.1% of China’s national molybdenum resource reserves.

This reserve base gives Shenglong strong influence in domestic concentrate supply. Auction prices from major producers can shape market sentiment because downstream alloy plants use them as a reference for procurement decisions.

The company’s recent listing also increases its market visibility. Shenglong obtained approval for its initial public offering from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in late December 2025 and listed on the main board on 31 March 2026.

For China’s molybdenum market, Shenglong’s pricing strength points to tighter feedstock availability or stronger alloy demand. The next signal will come from steelmaker ferro-molybdenum tenders, which will show whether higher concentrate costs can be passed through.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Shenglong’s auction result shows that molybdenum feedstock sentiment has turned firmer than many expected. The key test is whether steelmaker tenders confirm real downstream demand or expose the rally as pre-holiday restocking.

China Vanadium Consumption Set to Rise in 2026 as VRFB Demand Accelerates

Vanadium

China vanadium consumption is expected to rise in 2026 as vanadium redox flow batteries, steelmaking, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials and denitration catalysts increase demand. The strongest growth is likely to come from VRFB-based energy storage, where projects are entering a more concentrated construction and commissioning phase.

China vanadium consumption reached 125,900t of vanadium pentoxide equivalent in 2025, up 6.1% from 2024. The market is now shifting from a steel-dominated structure toward a more diversified demand base.

China vanadium consumption still depends heavily on steel, but the share of energy storage has expanded quickly. Steel accounted for 70.9% of total demand in 2025, down from 87.9% in 2021. Energy storage rose to 20% of total use from only 4% over the same period.

This change is strategically important for vanadium producers. Demand is no longer driven only by construction steel, rebar and alloy additions. It is increasingly tied to long-duration energy storage, grid stability, batteries, catalysts and higher-value industrial applications.

VRFB Storage and Steel Demand Drive the 2026 Consumption Outlook

Vanadium demand from VRFB energy storage is expected to increase sharply in the second half of 2026. China’s National Development and Reform Commission and National Energy Administration issued a notice on 30 January to improve the generation-side capacity price mechanism, supporting longer-duration storage.

This policy direction matters because VRFB technology is better suited to long-duration applications than many short-duration battery systems. VRFBs offer long cycle life, high safety, deep-discharge capability and easier electrolyte reuse.

China’s VRFB installations in 2026 are preliminarily estimated at 4-5GWh. This forecast reflects projects already under construction and the availability of high-purity vanadium for electrolyte production.

That installation level would require around 32,000-40,000t of V2O5 equivalent. This would represent an increase of 8,000-16,000t from the previous year, making VRFBs the largest source of incremental vanadium demand.

The growth builds on rapid progress in 2025. VRFB projects with completed electrolyte filling totalled about 3,037.5MWh last year, up 1,027.3MWh from 2024. China’s cumulative VRFB installed capacity reached about 6,064.5MWh by the end of 2025, with an average duration of 4.12 hours.

The market is now moving from pilot-stage expansion to larger system deployment. As more long-duration storage projects reach construction and commissioning, vanadium electrolyte demand could become more predictable.

Steel remains the largest end-use sector. Vanadium demand from China’s steel industry is expected at 92,000-95,000t in 2026, up 3,000-6,000t from 2025.

The increase is tied to stronger demand from machinery, energy, shipbuilding, automotive and rail sectors. These ferro-vanadium end-use segments are expected to grow by around 1.2% in 2026.

The steel demand signal was already visible in the first quarter. Steel-sector vanadium consumption reached around 22,600t, up 1,800t from a year earlier.

Rebar could also provide support. Output of higher-grade steel reinforcement bar is expected to rise as infrastructure investment accelerates. Production licence rules for construction rebar took effect on 1 April, while quality traceability requirements have expanded.

These rules should raise the share of vanadium-nitrogen micro-alloyed hot-rolled rebar. That would support demand for vanadium-nitrogen alloy, especially in higher-strength construction products.

The 2025 steel data show a more complicated picture. Vanadium consumption in the steel sector reached around 89,300t, up 1,700t from 2024. However, vanadium-nitrogen alloy consumption fell by 3.8% to 36,690t because rebar’s share of vanadium use declined.

China’s rebar output fell to 186.3mn t in 2025, down 4.5% from a year earlier. This reduced vanadium demand from traditional construction steel.

Ferro-vanadium performed better. FeV50-equivalent consumption rose by 10.4% to around 39,985t, supported by stronger downstream output in several industrial sectors.

Automotive production reached 34.778mn units in 2025, up 9.8%. Civil steel shipbuilding totalled 52.295mn deadweight tonnes, up 18%. Excavator output rose by 17% to 379,643 units.

Machine tool output also increased. Metal-cutting machine tool production rose by 9.7%, while metal-forming machine tool output increased by 7.2%. These sectors helped offset weakness in rebar.

Vanadium intensity also rose. China’s vanadium use per tonne of crude steel increased to 51g of vanadium metal equivalent in 2025 from 48g in 2024. Rebar intensity edged up to 152.5g, while other steel products rose to 26.6g.

LFP cathode materials will provide another smaller but fast-growing demand source. Vanadium consumption from LFP cathodes is estimated at 2,000-2,500t in 2026, assuming a typical 0.2% V2O5 addition rate.

That would be up by 1,000-1,500t, representing growth of 100-150%. The base remains small, but the rate of increase is significant.

Denitration catalysts should also support demand. Chemical-sector vanadium consumption is expected at around 7,000t in 2026, up about 500t, or 7.7%. Demand will be supported by catalyst replacement, new coal-based thermal power projects and higher sulphuric acid output.

In 2025, chemical-sector vanadium use was around 6,500t, up 200t from 2024. Titanium-alloy-related consumption fell by around 400t, tracking weaker Chinese titanium product exports.

Supply Growth Remains Limited by Feedstock and Cost Pressure

China’s vanadium supply remains highly concentrated, but output growth is not straightforward. The country accounted for 68.8% of global vanadium capacity in 2025 and 72.4% of global production.

China’s total vanadium capacity reached 277,600t in 2025. Actual output was 163,900t, down 900t from 2024.

The production base is dominated by vanadium slag. Output from vanadium slag reached 141,300t in 2025, broadly unchanged from the previous year.

Some producers reduced supply. Xinjiang Da’an and Yunnan Yukun did not produce, cutting combined output by about 8,000t. Other producers, including Chengsteel, Desheng and Dagang, raised output by around 15%, offsetting part of the loss.

Stone-coal-based vanadium output fell more sharply. Production declined to 7,600t in 2025, down 2,600t from 2024, as lower prices left all stone-coal producers loss-making.

This route remains highly price-sensitive. At current price levels, only one large-scale stone-coal producer is operating, with output of around 100-120 t/month of ammonium metavanadate on a V2O5-equivalent basis.

A Shaanxi-based producer with capacity of 300-350 t/month has been suspended since early 2026 because of safety issues. It is unlikely to restart in the first half.

Vanadium flake prices rose to 83,000-84,000 yuan/t in March, prompting some stone-coal producers to consider restarts. However, current prices still appear insufficient to drive a large supply response.

Even when prices approached 110,000 yuan/t in 2023, stone-coal-based output only reached about 11,000t. This suggests that 2026 output growth from stone coal will likely remain limited.

Secondary resources are becoming more important. Vanadium output from spent catalysts and other secondary sources rose to 15,100t in 2025, up 1,900t from 2024.

This included about 6,700t from alumina by-product recovery, up around 1,700t. Output from spent catalysts and petroleum residues stayed broadly stable despite lower vanadium prices.

The reason is co-product economics. Vanadium is often recovered alongside molybdenum and tungsten from secondary feedstocks. Higher molybdenum and tungsten prices supported operating rates and helped keep secondary recovery viable.

Secondary output is expected to remain broadly unchanged in 2026. Feedstock availability is relatively stable, but China’s restrictions on solid-waste imports since 2017 limit the potential for major raw material growth.

Vanadium slag-based supply may edge higher in 2026, but feedstock constraints create uncertainty. Qinhuangdao Baigong completed a 10,000 t/yr V2O5 line in early 2026 and is ramping toward normal operations. Its 2026 output guidance is around 5,000t.

However, tighter domestic feedstock availability could offset this addition. Vanadium-titanium magnetite supply in the Panzhihua area is particularly constrained, potentially cutting output by about 4,500-5,000t of V2O5 equivalent.

Producers in Sichuan and Yunnan may need to source vanadium-titanium magnetite from the Chengde area or increase imports to keep output in line with 2025. A northeastern steelmaking-based vanadium producer has also reduced vanadium-titanium magnetite imports since December 2025.

This creates a cautious supply outlook. China’s vanadium output may edge higher in 2026, but the increase depends on whether new slag-based capacity can offset feedstock tightness and further weakness in stone-coal production.

The market therefore faces a potential demand-led tightening risk. VRFB demand is rising quickly, steel demand is improving modestly and smaller sectors are growing. Supply growth, meanwhile, remains constrained by feedstock, cost pressure and limited secondary resource availability.

For vanadium producers, the key opportunity lies in high-purity electrolyte-grade material. VRFB demand requires reliable vanadium quality, stable supply and long-term availability. Producers that can supply battery-grade vanadium will be better positioned than those focused only on metallurgical demand.

For steel users, the issue is price exposure. If VRFB demand absorbs more vanadium units, ferro-vanadium and vanadium-nitrogen alloy buyers could face stronger competition from the energy storage sector.

For energy storage developers, the issue is raw material security. VRFB growth depends on enough high-purity vanadium to support electrolyte production. Supply constraints could affect project economics if demand accelerates faster than conversion capacity.

The Metalnomist Commentary

China’s vanadium market is entering a new phase where steel remains the base, but VRFBs set the growth direction. The strategic tension in 2026 will be whether constrained supply can keep pace with energy storage demand without pricing steel users out of the market.

Antofagasta Copper Output Falls as Los Pelambres and Centinela Weigh on First Quarter

Antofagasta

Antofagasta copper output fell in the first quarter of 2026 as lower production at Los Pelambres and Centinela reduced group supply. The Chilean miner produced 143,000t of copper during the quarter, down 7.6% from a year earlier.

The decline also affected sales. Antofagasta copper sales fell by 19.5% on the year to 137,000t, reflecting weaker quarterly output and the timing of shipments.

Antofagasta copper output is expected to improve through the year as maintenance at Los Pelambres is completed and ore processing rates and grades recover. The company expects 2026 production to rise quarter on quarter after the first-quarter slowdown.

The result is important for the copper market because Chile remains one of the world’s most important supply regions. Any operational weakness at major Chilean producers can influence concentrate availability, refined copper expectations and market sentiment.

Los Pelambres Maintenance and Centinela Grades Hit Copper Supply

Los Pelambres remained Antofagasta’s largest copper producer in the first quarter, but output fell by 5.2% on the year to 66,300t. The decline was mainly caused by ongoing major plant maintenance.

Maintenance-related weakness is usually temporary, but it can still affect quarterly supply. Los Pelambres is a key asset for Antofagasta, so any reduction in availability has a direct impact on group production.

Centinela recorded a sharper decline. First-quarter copper output at the unit fell by 12.4% on the year to 48,700t.

Centinela concentrate production edged down by 0.6% to 35,700t because of lower grades and weaker ore processing rates. Cathode output fell much more sharply, dropping by 34.3% on the year to 13,000t.

The performance shows that Antofagasta’s production pressure was not limited to one mine. Maintenance at Los Pelambres, lower grades at Centinela and weaker cathode output all contributed to the first-quarter decline.

Output also softened at the group’s smaller assets. Antucoya production fell by 3% on the year to 19,600t, while Zaldivar output decreased by 7.8% to 8,300t.

This broad decline highlights the operational challenge facing copper producers. Even when demand fundamentals remain supportive, mine output can be affected by maintenance schedules, ore grades, processing rates and asset maturity.

Molybdenum Holds Relatively Stable as Copper Recovery Depends on Operations

Antofagasta’s molybdenum production was relatively stable compared with copper. Group molybdenum output reached 3,000t in the first quarter, down 3.2% from the same period last year.

The result reflected a balance between higher molybdenum recoveries and lower ore processing rates. This helped limit the decline despite weaker copper throughput at key concentrators.

Molybdenum output at Centinela fell by 12.5% on the year to 700t. Los Pelambres molybdenum production remained unchanged at 2,300t, helping stabilise the group result.

Molybdenum remains strategically important because it is used in stainless steel, special steels, energy infrastructure, defence applications and high-performance alloys. Stable molybdenum by-product output can support revenue diversity when copper production weakens.

For copper, the key issue is the second-quarter recovery. Completion of Los Pelambres maintenance should support stronger output, while improved grades and processing rates at Centinela would be needed to rebuild production momentum.

Antofagasta copper output will therefore depend less on market conditions and more on operational execution in the coming quarters. If maintenance ends smoothly and grades improve, the first quarter may prove to be a temporary low point.

Still, the result reinforces a broader copper supply theme. Global copper demand is increasingly tied to grids, electrification and industrial investment, but mine supply remains vulnerable to operational delays, lower grades and maintenance disruptions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Antofagasta’s first-quarter decline looks operational rather than structural, but it still matters for copper supply sentiment. The market will watch whether Los Pelambres rebounds after maintenance and whether Centinela can restore grade and processing performance.

Chifeng Gold Laos Rare Earth Output Plan Targets Medium and Heavy Rare Earth Growth

Chifeng Gold

Chifeng Gold Laos rare earth output plans are moving into a faster ramp-up phase as the Chinese diversified mining firm targets higher production from its Mengkang mine this year. The company plans to reach designed output capacity of 3,675t of mixed rare earth oxide at the Laos site.

The Chifeng Gold Laos rare earth output strategy is focused on meeting rising demand from upstream oxide plants. The plan also strengthens China-linked access to medium and heavy rare earth resources outside China’s domestic mining base.

The company produced 998t of rare earth ores at Mengkang in 2025, with sales of 853t and inventories of 145t. The mine only started operating in the third quarter of 2025, meaning 2026 will be an important test of its ramp-up capability.

Chifeng Gold also plans to build a 3,000 t/yr rare earth separation plant in Savannakhet province with Xiamen Tungsten. This would move the Laos platform beyond mining and into early-stage processing, improving value capture and supply-chain control.

Mengkang Ramp-Up Strengthens Medium and Heavy Rare Earth Supply

The Mengkang rare earth project is strategically important because it contains medium and heavy rare earth oxides. These materials remain among the most sensitive parts of the rare earth supply chain because they are essential for high-performance magnets, defense systems, electric vehicles, robotics, wind turbines and advanced electronics.

Chifeng Gold had total proven rare earth resource reserves of 60,000t by the end of 2025. The Mengkang site accounts for 25,500t of medium and heavy rare earth oxide resources, with an average grade of 0.025%.

Some market participants expect the Mengkang project to meet 8-10% of global demand for medium and heavy rare earths once fully operational. If achieved, that would give Laos a more important role in global rare earth supply and strengthen Chifeng Gold’s position in a high-value segment.

Chifeng Gold also holds the Saipan rare earth mining site in Laos. Saipan has proven resources of 32,000t of medium and heavy rare earth oxide, with an average grade of 0.045%.

The presence of both Mengkang and Saipan gives Chifeng Gold a broader Laos rare earth platform. This matters because medium and heavy rare earth supply is difficult to expand quickly, and new projects face technical, environmental and permitting challenges.

The Chifeng Gold Laos rare earth output plan therefore comes at a sensitive time. Global consumers are looking for supply diversification, while Chinese companies are also trying to secure more overseas resources to support oxide separation, metals production and magnet manufacturing.

Xiamen Tungsten Partnership Links Laos Ore to Separation Capacity

Chifeng Gold’s partnership with Xiamen Tungsten gives the Laos rare earth strategy more downstream depth. The two companies signed an agreement in September 2022 to establish Chijin Xiamen Tungsten, a joint venture focused on developing rare earth minerals in Laos.

The joint venture has registered capital of 60mn yuan, or about $8.79mn. Chifeng Gold holds 51%, while Xiamen Tungsten holds 49%.

Chijin Xiamen Tungsten completed its acquisition of the Mengkang project in March 2024 and obtained mining rights from the Laos government in March 2025. This sequence shows that the project has moved from acquisition into operational development within a relatively short period.

Under the partnership, Xiamen Tungsten and its subsidiaries receive priority access to rare earth minerals in Laos. Chifeng Gold will support the joint venture’s registration, launch and policy coordination in Laos.

This arrangement is commercially important because Xiamen Tungsten brings downstream rare earth processing and metals experience. Chifeng Gold brings resource ownership and project development. Together, they can connect mining, separation and downstream supply more effectively.

The planned 3,000 t/yr separation plant in Savannakhet would further strengthen that connection. If delivered, the plant would reduce dependence on exporting raw or semi-processed material and allow more value to remain in the regional processing chain.

Chifeng Gold is also active in other metals. The company holds 583t of gold resources, 590,000t of copper resources, 560,000t of zinc and lead resources, and 80,000t of molybdenum resources.

Its cathode copper output rose by 9.07% on the year to 6,754t in 2025, while sales increased by 9.5% to 6,869t. Copper concentrate output more than doubled to 3,160t, with sales rising to 3,122t.

However, performance across other metals was mixed. Lead concentrate output fell by 9% to 3,680t, while molybdenum concentrate production slipped by 1.6% to 675t.

This broader metals base gives Chifeng Gold diversification, but the rare earth strategy is likely to receive more attention because of its strategic value. Medium and heavy rare earths carry stronger supply-chain importance than most conventional base metal outputs.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Chifeng Gold’s Laos rare earth push shows how Chinese companies are building overseas control in medium and heavy rare earths before supply pressure intensifies. The key issue is whether Laos can move from ore production into reliable separation capacity without becoming only another upstream resource base.

Taseko Florence Copper Project Starts Cathode Ramp-Up in Arizona

Taseko

Taseko Florence copper project has started producing copper cathode in Arizona, giving Canadian producer Taseko Mines its first commercial metal from the US in-situ copper development. The project’s solvent extraction and electrowinning plant started operations in mid-February and produced 1.5mn lb, or about 680t, of copper cathode in the first quarter.

The Taseko Florence copper project is important because it uses in-situ copper recovery rather than conventional open-pit mining. The process leaches copper underground and recovers it through solution flows before producing cathode through solvent extraction and electrowinning.

The Taseko Florence copper project offers a different supply model for the US copper market. It can reduce upfront capital intensity compared with traditional mining, but it depends on careful control of underground leaching, solution movement, grades and environmental performance.

Taseko previously targeted 40mn-50mn lb of copper output from Florence in 2026. The company expects production to rise to 80mn lb in 2027 as the project moves through ramp-up.

Florence Adds US Cathode Capacity With Lower Mining Intensity

Florence’s first cathode production marks a key operational step for Taseko. The project is now moving from construction and commissioning into the early stage of commercial production.

The in-situ recovery model gives Florence strategic relevance. It avoids large-scale excavation and instead relies on controlled leaching below ground, which can reduce surface disturbance and capital needs.

However, the method also requires disciplined technical execution. Operators must manage solution chemistry, wellfield performance, recovery rates and environmental controls to ensure the process remains stable.

Florence’s output will come as refined copper demand becomes increasingly tied to electrification, grid investment, data centres, electric vehicles and domestic manufacturing. US cathode supply is strategically important because refined copper availability affects wire, cable, power equipment and industrial users.

The project’s cost exposure also looks partly protected in the near term. Taseko said Florence will not face the sharp recent rise in sulphuric acid prices because its acid supply is locked under a fixed-price contract for this year.

That protection matters. Sulphuric acid has become a more sensitive cost input for copper leaching operations because Middle East disruption and tighter sulphur flows have lifted market concerns. A fixed-price contract gives Florence more cost visibility during its early ramp-up.

Gibraltar Output Jumps as Diesel Costs Add Pressure

Taseko’s established Gibraltar mine in British Columbia also delivered a stronger first quarter. Copper output rose to 30mn lb, or about 13,600t, up 50% from a year earlier.

The increase was supported by steadier grades and better recoveries. This suggests Gibraltar benefited from improved operating performance rather than only stronger throughput.

Molybdenum output also rose sharply. Gibraltar produced 717,000 lb, or about 325t, of molybdenum in the first quarter, up 113% from a year earlier.

Molybdenum by-product output can improve mine economics because it adds revenue beyond copper. It also links Gibraltar to special steel, stainless steel, energy equipment and high-strength alloy demand.

Sales lagged production slightly because of shipping timing. This means some of the production benefit may flow through later, depending on shipment schedules and realized prices.

Cost pressure remains a risk. Taseko said higher diesel prices could add 10-15¢/lb to Gibraltar costs this year, equivalent to about $220-330/t.

Diesel exposure is important for open-pit mines because haulage, mobile equipment and site logistics rely heavily on fuel. If energy prices remain elevated, Gibraltar’s operating costs could rise even as production performance improves.

Taseko’s first-quarter update therefore shows two different copper stories. Florence is entering ramp-up as a new US cathode asset with fixed acid pricing, while Gibraltar is producing more copper and molybdenum but faces higher fuel-cost risk.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Taseko’s update shows how copper supply growth is increasingly tied to project type and cost exposure. Florence offers a lower-mining-intensity US cathode route, while Gibraltar highlights the continuing importance of grade, recovery and diesel costs in conventional copper mining.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Output Slips as China Alloy Demand Holds Firm

JDC

Jinduicheng Molybdenum output declined slightly in ferro-molybdenum alloy production in 2025, even as sales increased on firm demand from steelmakers. The Shaanxi-based producer made around 22,483t of molybdenum metal equivalent for ferro-molybdenum alloy, down 1.6% from a year earlier.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum output trends showed mixed performance across its product portfolio. Ferro-molybdenum sales rose by 8.8% to 23,664t, while ammonium molybdate production increased by 5% to 7,602t of molybdenum metal equivalent.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum output of molybdenum powder fell more sharply, declining by 14.4% to 5,011t. The result suggests the company adjusted production across product lines as alloy demand and downstream steel consumption shaped market conditions.

Steelmaker Tenders Supported Molybdenum Consumption

China’s molybdenum market remained supported by stronger steel-linked demand in 2025. Domestic tender volumes from major steelmakers rose by 5.7% on the year to 160,000t.

The sustained increase in molybdenum consumption required additional concentrate feedstock during the year. Molybdenum remains important for special steel and stainless steel because it improves strength, corrosion resistance and high-temperature performance.

Domestic unroasted molybdenum concentrate output reached 317,900t in 2025, up only 0.6% from the previous year. This modest supply growth kept attention on mine output and concentrate availability.

Mine Capacity Could Balance the 2026 Market

JDC’s main mining assets include the Jinduicheng Mine, with 13mn t/yr of ore processing capacity, and the Ruyang Donggou Mine, with 9mn t/yr of capacity. These assets keep the company central to China’s molybdenum supply chain.

The company expects possible capacity increases at several domestic mines to offset stronger demand from special steel and stainless steel producers in 2026. This could create a more balanced supply-demand situation.

The outlook suggests that molybdenum prices may depend on how quickly new mine capacity reaches the market. If steel demand remains firm and mine additions lag, concentrate availability could remain a key pricing factor.

The Metalnomist Commentary

JDC’s 2025 results show a molybdenum market supported by steel demand but still constrained by feedstock discipline. The balance in 2026 will depend on whether mine capacity additions arrive fast enough to match special steel and stainless steel consumption.