Rivian Second-Life Battery Storage Project Links EV Packs to Grid Reliability

Rivian, Redwood

Rivian second-life battery storage is moving into commercial use after the US electric-vehicle maker agreed to deploy repurposed battery packs through Redwood Materials at its Normal manufacturing plant in Illinois. The project will use more than 100 used Rivian battery packs to provide 10 MWh of dispatchable battery energy storage.

The Rivian second-life battery storage project gives retired EV packs a second use before recycling. Redwood Materials will integrate the packs into a Redwood Energy system for on-site use at Rivian’s manufacturing facility.

Rivian second-life battery storage also reflects a wider shift in the battery value chain. Automakers and recyclers are looking for ways to extract more value from battery packs before recovering lithium, nickel, cobalt, copper, aluminium and other materials.

Redwood Turns Used EV Packs Into Stationary Storage

Redwood will receive EV battery packs from Rivian and convert them into a battery energy storage system for the Normal plant. The system will help reduce energy costs and support local grid reliability.

Second-life batteries are useful because EV packs can still retain meaningful capacity after vehicle use. They may no longer meet automotive performance requirements, but they can still serve stationary storage applications.

This creates a bridge between mobility and grid infrastructure. A battery pack can first support vehicle electrification, then provide stationary power, and later enter recycling for critical material recovery.

Redwood receives more than 20 GWh/yr of batteries, giving it a large feedstock base for both reuse and recycling. The company said it can deploy BESS projects in as little as six months, which matters as power demand rises quickly.

Data Center Power Demand Raises Storage Value

Rivian has attracted investors such as Google, which are seeking faster access to power solutions for artificial intelligence data center growth. This connection shows why second-life batteries are becoming more strategically relevant.

AI data centers need reliable, flexible and rapidly deployable power. Battery energy storage systems can help manage peak demand, improve resilience and reduce pressure on grids facing new large-load connections.

Repurposed EV batteries could become a lower-cost option where speed matters more than maximum energy density. They may also reduce waste and delay the need for immediate material recycling.

For the metals supply chain, this creates a more circular model. Battery materials stay in productive use longer, while recyclers build stronger long-term access to end-of-life packs and future recovered metals.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Rivian and Redwood are showing how EV batteries can become grid assets before they become recycling feedstock. The strategic value lies in extending battery life, lowering storage costs and securing future material recovery in one integrated loop.

US Gallium Recovery Projects Target Domestic Supply Chain for Defense and Semiconductors

DOE(The US Department of Energy)

US gallium recovery projects will receive $5.4mn in funding from the Department of Energy as Washington tries to rebuild domestic supply for a metal critical to defense systems, semiconductors and advanced electronics. The funding will support five US-based projects under the Technology for Recovery and Advanced Critical-material Extraction – Gallium initiative.

The TRACE-Ga initiative is designed to prototype technologies that can recover gallium from US metal-processing feedstocks. This is important because the US is fully import-reliant for gallium and has not produced the metal domestically since 1987.

US gallium recovery projects are gaining urgency because gallium is essential for compound semiconductor materials, including gallium nitride. These materials support power electronics, radio-frequency devices, radar systems, satellite communications, fast chargers, LEDs and other high-performance technologies.

The funding is modest in scale, but strategically important. It signals that the US is no longer focusing only on mining new critical minerals. It is also trying to recover strategic metals from industrial by-products, waste streams and existing processing networks.

TRACE-Ga Funding Targets Recovery From Existing Feedstocks

The DOE award will support five companies working on gallium recovery technologies. Participants include PHNX Materials, Atlantic Alumina Company, Found Energy, Kunin Technologies and Indium Corporation.

The selection of companies shows how broad the recovery opportunity could become. Gallium is not usually mined as a primary product. It is commonly recovered as a by-product from other industrial processes, especially alumina and zinc-related supply chains.

This makes gallium recovery different from conventional mining. The key challenge is not only finding deposits, but identifying feedstocks where gallium exists in recoverable concentrations and developing technologies that can extract it economically.

Industrial waste refiner PHNX Materials could support recovery from complex waste streams. Atlantic Alumina Company brings relevance to alumina-linked feedstock. Found Energy adds an aluminum-related industrial angle, while Kunin Technologies focuses on mineral by-product recovery. Indium Corporation brings downstream metals refining and manufacturing expertise.

The TRACE-Ga initiative therefore targets the middle of the supply chain. It seeks to bridge the gap between laboratory recovery methods and scalable domestic production.

That gap matters because gallium supply is highly concentrated. China dominates primary gallium production and has used export controls to increase pressure on global buyers. For US defense and semiconductor supply chains, reliance on foreign gallium has become a clear strategic risk.

Domestic recovery could help reduce that exposure. Even if early projects produce limited volumes, they can prove process routes, identify feedstock partners and create the technical base for larger recovery systems.

The use of US metal-processing feedstocks also fits a wider circular materials strategy. Instead of waiting for new mines, the US can extract critical materials from industrial streams already moving through domestic facilities.

This could make recovery faster than new primary production. However, it still requires technical success, feedstock security, refining capability and customer qualification.

Gallium Nitride Demand Raises Strategic Pressure

Gallium’s strategic value has increased because of its role in gallium nitride and other compound semiconductor materials. Gallium nitride is widely used where high power, high frequency, efficiency and heat performance matter.

These applications are highly relevant to defense and advanced electronics. Radar, communications systems, satellite technologies, power conversion equipment and semiconductor devices all rely on materials where gallium can be difficult to substitute.

The DOE’s TRACE-Ga funding also sits alongside a larger notice of funding opportunity of up to $69mn. That programme targets technologies and processes that advance domestic production and refining of critical materials, including gallium and gallium nitride for semiconductor applications.

This shows that Washington is building a layered funding strategy. TRACE-Ga supports recovery prototypes, while broader DOE programmes aim to scale refining, alloying and advanced material production.

For the semiconductor industry, domestic gallium supply is not only a raw material issue. It is connected to wafer production, epitaxy, device manufacturing, packaging and defense procurement. A shortage or export disruption at the gallium stage can move through the entire compound semiconductor chain.

This is why gallium recovery matters even if volumes are small at first. Strategic materials often have low tonnage but high consequence. A reliable domestic supply stream can reduce procurement risk for critical systems.

The challenge will be commercialisation. Recovery from waste and by-products can be technically complex because gallium concentrations may be low and feedstock chemistry can vary. Companies must prove that their processes can recover gallium consistently, meet purity requirements and operate at competitive cost.

The US also needs downstream refining capacity. Recovering gallium-bearing material is not enough if the material cannot be refined into forms suitable for semiconductor and defense applications.

The DOE funding is therefore best understood as an early-stage industrial rebuilding tool. It does not immediately solve US gallium dependence, but it helps create the technologies and partnerships needed to rebuild supply.

The Metalnomist Commentary

US gallium recovery projects show that critical mineral security increasingly depends on recovering by-products from existing industrial systems. The strategic test will be whether TRACE-Ga can move beyond prototypes and create reliable domestic feedstock for gallium nitride, defense electronics and semiconductor manufacturing.

Taseko Florence Copper Project Starts Cathode Ramp-Up in Arizona

Taseko

Taseko Florence copper project has started producing copper cathode in Arizona, giving Canadian producer Taseko Mines its first commercial metal from the US in-situ copper development. The project’s solvent extraction and electrowinning plant started operations in mid-February and produced 1.5mn lb, or about 680t, of copper cathode in the first quarter.

The Taseko Florence copper project is important because it uses in-situ copper recovery rather than conventional open-pit mining. The process leaches copper underground and recovers it through solution flows before producing cathode through solvent extraction and electrowinning.

The Taseko Florence copper project offers a different supply model for the US copper market. It can reduce upfront capital intensity compared with traditional mining, but it depends on careful control of underground leaching, solution movement, grades and environmental performance.

Taseko previously targeted 40mn-50mn lb of copper output from Florence in 2026. The company expects production to rise to 80mn lb in 2027 as the project moves through ramp-up.

Florence Adds US Cathode Capacity With Lower Mining Intensity

Florence’s first cathode production marks a key operational step for Taseko. The project is now moving from construction and commissioning into the early stage of commercial production.

The in-situ recovery model gives Florence strategic relevance. It avoids large-scale excavation and instead relies on controlled leaching below ground, which can reduce surface disturbance and capital needs.

However, the method also requires disciplined technical execution. Operators must manage solution chemistry, wellfield performance, recovery rates and environmental controls to ensure the process remains stable.

Florence’s output will come as refined copper demand becomes increasingly tied to electrification, grid investment, data centres, electric vehicles and domestic manufacturing. US cathode supply is strategically important because refined copper availability affects wire, cable, power equipment and industrial users.

The project’s cost exposure also looks partly protected in the near term. Taseko said Florence will not face the sharp recent rise in sulphuric acid prices because its acid supply is locked under a fixed-price contract for this year.

That protection matters. Sulphuric acid has become a more sensitive cost input for copper leaching operations because Middle East disruption and tighter sulphur flows have lifted market concerns. A fixed-price contract gives Florence more cost visibility during its early ramp-up.

Gibraltar Output Jumps as Diesel Costs Add Pressure

Taseko’s established Gibraltar mine in British Columbia also delivered a stronger first quarter. Copper output rose to 30mn lb, or about 13,600t, up 50% from a year earlier.

The increase was supported by steadier grades and better recoveries. This suggests Gibraltar benefited from improved operating performance rather than only stronger throughput.

Molybdenum output also rose sharply. Gibraltar produced 717,000 lb, or about 325t, of molybdenum in the first quarter, up 113% from a year earlier.

Molybdenum by-product output can improve mine economics because it adds revenue beyond copper. It also links Gibraltar to special steel, stainless steel, energy equipment and high-strength alloy demand.

Sales lagged production slightly because of shipping timing. This means some of the production benefit may flow through later, depending on shipment schedules and realized prices.

Cost pressure remains a risk. Taseko said higher diesel prices could add 10-15¢/lb to Gibraltar costs this year, equivalent to about $220-330/t.

Diesel exposure is important for open-pit mines because haulage, mobile equipment and site logistics rely heavily on fuel. If energy prices remain elevated, Gibraltar’s operating costs could rise even as production performance improves.

Taseko’s first-quarter update therefore shows two different copper stories. Florence is entering ramp-up as a new US cathode asset with fixed acid pricing, while Gibraltar is producing more copper and molybdenum but faces higher fuel-cost risk.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Taseko’s update shows how copper supply growth is increasingly tied to project type and cost exposure. Florence offers a lower-mining-intensity US cathode route, while Gibraltar highlights the continuing importance of grade, recovery and diesel costs in conventional copper mining.

European Stainless Tube Trade Shifts as Policy, Imports and Data Centres Reshape Demand

European Stainless Steel

European stainless tube trade is entering a more selective phase as producers defend margins through higher-value applications, tighter specifications and regional supply advantages. The market remains stable, but it is no longer driven mainly by volume growth.

European stainless tube trade is being reshaped by three forces at once. Imports continue to pressure commodity and process pipe segments. Policy measures such as CBAM and revised safeguards are changing cost structures. At the same time, automotive exhaust demand is declining as electrification advances.

Speakers at SMR’s Stainless Steel Tube and Pipe Market Insights Day in Dusseldorf said Europe is behaving like a mature and cyclical market. Asia remains the main centre of stainless steel consumption and commodity production, while Europe depends more on technical applications, certification and regulatory positioning.

European stainless tube trade is therefore moving away from simple price competition. Producers are increasingly competing on quality, traceability, sustainability, lead times and the ability to serve complex end uses.

Italy-based Marcegaglia Specialties said traditional sectors such as construction, energy, oil and gas, automotive, water and food processing remain the backbone of demand. However, the next stage of competition will depend more on sustainability and product complexity than on basic market expansion.

CBAM and Import Pressure Are Regionalising Stainless Tube Supply

European stainless tube trade is becoming more regional because policy and geopolitics are increasing the value of local supply. CBAM, revised safeguard measures and wider instability are pushing buyers to look more carefully at origin, emissions, delivery risk and compliance.

European producers already operate inside the EU regulatory framework. This gives them an advantage in some higher-value applications where customers require reliable documentation, stable quality and shorter supply chains.

But the policy environment is not simple. Some industry speakers warned that CBAM could become more protectionist than environmental if it raises costs for European downstream processors without fully addressing import competition.

This concern is especially relevant for stainless tube makers. They buy input material under EU cost structures, but still compete with imported finished or semi-finished products in certain market segments.

OSTP chief executive Andrea Gatti argued that CBAM and revised tariff-rate quotas are creating a difficult environment for downstream processors. He said the measures can raise raw material costs for European producers while leaving import pressure unresolved in some product categories.

One concern is the way carbon steel and stainless steel products remain grouped in some quota categories. This can obscure the real level of import pressure in specific stainless segments.

The issue is most visible in process pipe. Overall import penetration in European welded stainless pipe may look moderate, but import pressure is much stronger in process pipe than in automotive or structural applications.

Some imported process pipe is arriving at prices close to European producers’ raw material costs. This creates a serious margin problem for EU producers, especially when they must meet higher regulatory, labour and energy costs.

Asian imports are particularly competitive in pipe and fittings made to ASTM specifications. Around 15-20% of the European market still requires ASTM-based products, often because older engineering standards and end-user specifications remain in place.

This creates an opening for Asian suppliers. Many have long experience producing ASTM-based products and can compete aggressively in segments where buyers focus mainly on price and basic compliance.

Asian producers are also becoming more capable of supplying European-standard material. However, some barriers remain. Hot-rolled feedstock availability, customer qualification and more complex technical requirements still protect parts of the European market.

CBAM adds another layer of uncertainty. Importers and buyers still lack full visibility on the actual carbon values that overseas suppliers will declare. Some emissions disclosures remain incomplete or unreliable.

This creates pricing uncertainty. If importers use default emissions values, CBAM costs may rise sharply. If suppliers provide certified actual data, costs may be lower. But the market does not yet know which overseas suppliers can verify emissions credibly.

For European producers, this uncertainty is both an opportunity and a risk. It may make some imports less attractive, but it also complicates raw material sourcing and customer negotiations.

The broader result is regionalisation. Buyers are increasingly weighing whether cheaper imported material is worth the compliance, delivery and emissions risk. European producers can benefit if they turn regulation into a trusted supply advantage.

However, they cannot rely on regulation alone. Imports will continue to pressure standard grades and process pipe where price remains decisive. Europe’s defence must therefore come from technical capability, service and qualification depth.

Automotive Decline and Data Centres Redefine Growth Applications

European stainless tube producers also face structural demand change in automotive applications. Exhaust-related stainless tube demand is declining as electric vehicle adoption reduces the long-term need for combustion engine systems.

German tubemaker Schoeller Werk said about 40% of its business is still linked to automotive. Around 95% of that automotive exposure is tied to combustion engine applications.

This creates a clear transition risk. Combustion engine exhaust systems have historically used stainless tube because of heat resistance, corrosion performance and durability. Electric vehicles remove much of that demand.

Industry speakers described this shift as irreversible, even if the speed varies by region. Combustion vehicles may remain relevant for some years, but the structural direction is clear.

Marcegaglia also described the shift away from combustion-engine vehicles as a trend that stainless tube producers must manage. The market cannot assume that traditional automotive exhaust demand will return.

This forces producers to find new growth areas. Data centres emerged as one of the clearest near-term opportunities during the Dusseldorf discussions.

Data centre stainless demand is growing because cooling systems are becoming more important. AI workloads, higher server density and larger hyperscale facilities require more advanced thermal management.

Stainless tubes can be used in cooling circuits, heat exchangers and wider water infrastructure. These applications often require corrosion resistance, reliability and long service life.

Gatti said the strongest opportunity may not only sit in outer water infrastructure. Inner cooling circuits also present growth potential as specifications increasingly exclude carbon steel and favour copper or stainless steel.

Copper’s high price is helping stainless steel compete. In some data centre applications, stainless can win substitution from copper on cost grounds while still meeting performance requirements.

This creates a valuable opening for European producers. Data centres are not only a volume market. They require quality, traceability, reliability and tight specifications, which fit Europe’s competitive strengths.

However, Asian competition remains a threat. If data centre projects are specified to ASTM standards, Asian suppliers may still compete strongly. This means European producers need early involvement in specifications and project qualification.

Other higher-value markets may also support growth. Specialist energy systems, premium process pipe, food processing, water treatment and industrial heat exchangers all require more complex tube products.

The key difference is that these markets reward performance rather than only price. European producers are better positioned when customers value certification, documentation, short lead times, sustainability and technical support.

This is why Europe’s competitive advantage increasingly lies in complexity. Producers cannot win every commodity segment against lower-cost imports. But they can defend and grow in applications where failure risk, qualification standards and technical requirements matter.

The next decade will likely reward producers that invest in advanced materials and difficult applications. This includes higher corrosion resistance, special dimensions, better surface quality, stronger traceability and lower-carbon documentation.

Policy could help if it is implemented carefully. CBAM and safeguards may support regional supply, but they must avoid damaging downstream processors through higher input costs or poorly designed quota structures.

The real test for Europe is execution. Producers must turn sustainability and regulation into commercial value, not only compliance costs. That means proving lower carbon intensity, shorter logistics chains and stronger product reliability.

European stainless tube trade will therefore become more segmented. Commodity and ASTM process pipe will remain import-sensitive. Automotive exhaust demand will decline. Data centres and complex industrial applications will become more important.

For producers, the strategy is clear. Europe must compete where technical standards, certification, sustainability and customer proximity matter most.

The Metalnomist Commentary

European stainless tube producers are being pushed out of low-margin commodity competition and into higher-specification markets. The winners will be companies that convert regulation, traceability and technical complexity into pricing power, especially in data centres, energy systems and premium process pipe.

Kamoa-Kakula Copper Output Falls as Ivanhoe Shifts Toward Smelter Recovery

Ivanhoe

Kamoa-Kakula copper output fell sharply in the first quarter as Ivanhoe Mines continued to recover from seismic damage at the Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The complex produced 61,906t of copper in concentrate, down 54% from 133,120t a year earlier.

The decline reflects the continuing effect of the May 2025 seismic shocks that forced Ivanhoe to shut, drain and rebuild the Kakula mine. The asset remains in a staged recovery process and has not yet returned to full production.

Kamoa-Kakula copper output now sits below earlier expectations, forcing Ivanhoe to lower its 2026 guidance to 290,000-330,000t from 380,000-420,000t. The company also cut its 2027 target to 380,000-420,000t from 500,000-540,000t, although it still expects output to exceed 500,000 t/yr from 2028.

The weaker concentrate output is important for the global copper market because Kamoa-Kakula is one of the most important growth assets in the DRC copper belt. Any delay in its recovery reduces near-term copper supply from a region that has become central to global mine growth.

Smelter Output and Acid Production Cushion the Disruption

Ivanhoe’s first-quarter results also showed a shift in the site’s operating profile. While copper concentrate output fell sharply, the Kamoa-Kakula smelter produced 63,671t of anode during the quarter.

The company also produced 7,746t of copper in blister from the LCS smelter in Kolwezi. This shows that Ivanhoe is building more downstream processing capability even as underground mine recovery continues.

The smelter gives Kamoa-Kakula a strategic advantage in the DRC. Most producers in the African Copperbelt rely on sulphuric acid for leaching operations, while Kamoa-Kakula produces sulphuric acid as a byproduct.

The on-site copper smelter produced 117,871t of high-strength sulphuric acid in the first quarter. This has become more important because the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has raised concern over sulphur supply into African hydrometallurgical operations.

Sulphur and sulphuric acid availability can directly affect DRC copper production costs. Producers that rely on imported sulphur or purchased acid may face higher costs or operating constraints if Middle East disruptions persist.

Ivanhoe’s position is different. The company does not need sulphuric acid for its own main copper production route and can instead produce acid for regional demand. This could turn a regional input shortage into a commercial advantage.

The main external risk for Ivanhoe is diesel availability. Diesel remains important for on-site energy generation and logistics in the DRC. Ivanhoe has made advanced diesel purchases and implemented contingency measures to sustain operations.

The company also has a lower diesel exposure than many regional operators because it has access to 250MW of hydroelectric capacity. A further 60MW of solar power with battery storage is expected to come online soon, strengthening the site’s energy resilience.

Kipushi Zinc Growth Adds Diversification Despite Grid Instability

Ivanhoe’s Kipushi zinc-copper-lead-germanium mine delivered a stronger first-quarter result. The DRC mine produced a quarterly record of 65,044t of zinc in concentrate, up 52.2% from a year earlier and 5.9% from the previous quarter.

The result gives Ivanhoe an important diversification benefit while Kamoa-Kakula works through its recovery. Zinc concentrate output from Kipushi adds exposure to galvanizing, infrastructure, alloying and specialty metal supply chains.

Kipushi also carries strategic by-product relevance because the mine includes copper, lead and germanium. Germanium has become more important for semiconductors, fibre optics, infrared systems and defence applications.

However, Kipushi still faces infrastructure constraints. Ivanhoe said concentrator availability was affected by electrical grid instability, even as zinc output increased.

This highlights a wider challenge across the DRC mining sector. The country has high-grade resources and major growth potential, but reliable power, transport, reagents and logistics remain critical constraints.

For Kamoa-Kakula, the longer-term recovery depends on mine rebuilding, underground transport, smelter integration, acid market dynamics and energy reliability. The 2028 target of more than 500,000 t/yr remains achievable only if these systems stabilise together.

For the copper market, Ivanhoe’s first-quarter performance sends a mixed signal. Concentrate output remains sharply lower, but smelting and acid production are becoming more strategically valuable as regional supply chains face sulphur and fuel risk.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Ivanhoe’s first-quarter results show that Kamoa-Kakula is no longer just a copper volume story. Its smelter, sulphuric acid output and power mix could become strategic advantages in a DRC market exposed to reagent, fuel and logistics shocks.

Hailiang Saudi Copper JV Targets Middle East Processing Growth

Rawas

Hailiang Saudi copper JV plans will give Chinese copper products producer Zhejiang Hailiang a new manufacturing platform in Saudi Arabia. The company plans to form a joint venture with Saudi investment firm Rawas to build a $566mn copper processing plant at the port of Dammam.

The Hailiang Saudi copper JV is planned with 150,000 t/yr of copper processing capacity. The plant will include copper pipes, copper bars, recycled copper and copper foil, giving the project a broad downstream product mix.

The agreement gives Hailiang a 51% stake in the venture, while Rawas will hold 49%. The project still requires approval from the Saudi government and Hailiang’s shareholders before the partners finalise the investment.

The Hailiang Saudi copper JV reflects a wider shift in the copper products industry. Chinese processors are increasingly looking overseas to secure market access, reduce trade exposure and position closer to growth regions in the Middle East, Europe and Africa.

Dammam Plant Adds Copper Foil and Recycling Capacity

The planned Dammam plant will include 30,000 t/yr of copper pipe capacity and 20,000 t/yr of copper bar capacity. These products support construction, cooling systems, power infrastructure, industrial equipment and manufacturing supply chains.

The project also includes 50,000 t/yr of recycled copper capacity. This is strategically important because copper scrap is becoming a more valuable feedstock as concentrate markets tighten and buyers seek lower-carbon copper units.

The planned 50,000 t/yr of copper foil capacity adds a higher-value growth angle. Copper foil is used in batteries, electronics, printed circuit boards and advanced electrical applications. That gives the project relevance beyond traditional copper tube and bar markets.

The product mix suggests Hailiang is not only targeting commodity copper processing. It is building a downstream platform that can serve infrastructure, energy, electronics and battery-related demand from one regional base.

Dammam also offers logistical value. A port location can support raw material imports, finished product exports and access to Gulf, African and European customers. This could help Hailiang build a wider regional distribution network.

Saudi Arabia Gains Value-Added Copper Manufacturing Role

Hailiang said it aims to capitalise on Saudi Arabia’s copper ore resources, energy cost advantages and policy environment. These factors align with Saudi Arabia’s wider ambition to expand industrial manufacturing and mineral value chains.

For Saudi Arabia, the project could support a shift from resource availability toward value-added processing. Copper products are increasingly important for grids, buildings, cooling systems, EV infrastructure, renewable energy and industrial electrification.

The inclusion of recycled copper also fits the growing importance of circular metal supply. If Saudi Arabia can combine scrap collection, energy advantages and downstream manufacturing, it could strengthen its role in regional copper supply chains.

However, the project faces uncertainty. Hailiang said it is closely monitoring Middle East developments and their potential impact on site selection, construction progress, personnel safety and future operations.

The construction timeline has not yet been fixed. The partners will determine the schedule according to market conditions after the joint-venture agreement receives the required approvals.

This cautious approach is important. Middle East industrial projects can offer strong energy and logistics advantages, but geopolitical risk, financing timing, permitting and supply-chain security can still affect execution.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hailiang’s Saudi venture shows how Chinese copper processors are internationalising downstream capacity, not only exporting products. The project’s real value lies in combining copper foil, recycling and regional market access inside Saudi Arabia’s industrial diversification strategy.

NPI–Class I Nickel Spread Narrows as Metal Oversupply Pressures Prices

Nickel cathode

NPI–class I nickel spread narrowed sharply in March as persistent oversupply in the class I nickel market pushed metal prices lower, while nickel pig iron prices stayed supported by elevated production costs. The average spread fell to $2,975/t in March, down from the 2025 annual average of $3,696/t.

The narrower NPI–class I nickel spread shows how differently the two nickel markets are behaving. Class I nickel remains under pressure from high exchange stocks and weak absorption from battery and alloy users. NPI, by contrast, is being held up by Indonesian ore costs and a firmer production cost floor.

The current spread also discourages additional class I output from NPI conversion. Estimated conversion costs from NPI to class I nickel remain around $4,000/t, meaning producers using NPI as feedstock would face negative margins at current price levels.

This creates an important signal for the nickel supply chain. Oversupply is still weighing on refined metal, but high feedstock and processing costs are preventing prices from falling evenly across all nickel products.

Class I Nickel Oversupply Keeps Metal Prices Under Pressure

Class I nickel oversupply remains the main reason behind the compressed spread. London Metal Exchange nickel stocks reached 289,506t on 26 February, the highest level since May 2018.

Ample exchange inventory has pressured class I nickel prices and opened an import arbitrage window into China. China’s nickel imports rose by 18% in January-February as lower overseas prices made imported metal more attractive.

However, end-user demand has not been strong enough to absorb the surplus. Battery and alloy-sector consumption remained insufficient to clear the additional metal units, pushing Shanghai Futures Exchange nickel stocks higher.

SHFE nickel inventories rose to 65,764t on 10 April from 45,544t on 9 January. This inventory build shows that imports and domestic availability are running ahead of immediate consumption.

The oversupply problem is structural in the near term. New class I capacity has continued to emerge, while demand from stainless steel, batteries and specialty alloys has not grown fast enough to rebalance the market.

The NPI conversion route is therefore unattractive. When the NPI–class I nickel spread sits below conversion cost, producers have little incentive to turn NPI into refined metal. This helps prevent additional supply from that route, but it does not immediately remove existing class I oversupply.

NPI prices have been more resilient because they are tied closely to Indonesian ore economics. Indonesian nickel ore prices remain elevated and continue to trade above the government-mandated price floor.

Concerns over tight ore availability have supported feedstock values. This has limited NPI producers’ willingness to cut prices, even though stainless steel demand remains only average.

That cost floor is important. NPI is not rising because downstream demand is exceptionally strong. It is holding because ore, mining quotas and Indonesian pricing policy are preventing a deeper fall.

The result is a distorted market structure. Class I nickel is being pulled down by inventory pressure, while NPI is being supported by feedstock costs. This explains why the spread has narrowed despite weak overall nickel sentiment.

MHP and HPAL Costs Could Rebuild the Spread Over Time

Mixed hydroxide precipitate is becoming the more important cost driver for future class I nickel production. Much of the newly added class I capacity relies on MHP feedstock rather than NPI.

Integrated producers with their own Indonesian MHP capacity have a cost advantage. Their MHP production costs are estimated at around $13,000/t in nickel metal equivalent, with conversion costs from MHP to metal at roughly $3,000/t.

This places the total cost of class I production through the MHP route at about $16,000/t. That cost base can still support production for integrated operators, but it leaves less room for producers relying on third-party MHP.

The market problem is that MHP supply is not sufficient to meet all feedstock requirements for new class I capacity. This creates competition for MHP units and limits how much low-cost refined nickel can be produced through this route.

Cost pressure is also rising across HPAL operations. Middle East tensions have tightened sulphur availability and lifted sulphur prices, which directly affects MHP producers that rely on sulphuric acid-intensive processing.

Sulphur and sulphuric acid are central to HPAL economics. Any disruption to sulphur flows can raise operating costs, reduce margins or force producers to curtail output if acid availability becomes constrained.

Indonesia’s revised nickel ore pricing formula adds another layer of pressure. The new formula is expected to have a greater impact on ore consumed by HPAL projects than on ore used by rotary kiln electric furnace operations.

This is because HPAL ore often trades closer to official pricing levels, while RKEF ore used for NPI already trades at premiums well above the benchmark. As a result, HPAL producers may feel the revised HPM framework more directly.

Higher ore prices and higher taxes could lift MHP production costs. That would eventually raise the cost floor for class I nickel produced through the MHP route, especially for integrated producers that had previously enjoyed lower feedstock costs.

This cost inflation may support class I nickel prices over time. While current oversupply is weighing on metal values, producers cannot keep adding supply indefinitely if feedstock and conversion costs rise.

NPI prices are also likely to remain anchored by costs. Indonesian ore tightness, quota uncertainty and pricing reforms should continue to support NPI even if stainless steel demand stays moderate.

As MHP costs rise and NPI prices remain cost-supported, the NPI–class I nickel spread may widen back toward the $3,500-4,000/t range over time. That would restore a more normal relationship between feedstock products and refined metal.

However, the timing depends on inventory absorption. Class I nickel prices will struggle to recover strongly until exchange stocks stop rising and downstream demand improves.

For battery supply chains, the key issue is cost pass-through. If MHP and HPAL costs rise while class I prices remain weak, margins across nickel sulphate and cathode material chains could tighten.

For stainless steel producers, NPI resilience means raw material costs may remain sticky even without strong demand. This could limit margin recovery if finished stainless prices do not rise in parallel.

The nickel market is therefore entering a complex adjustment phase. Oversupply is pushing refined metal lower, while policy, ore availability, sulphur costs and HPAL economics are raising the cost floor beneath intermediate products.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The narrowing NPI–class I nickel spread is not a sign of healthy convergence. It reflects class I oversupply on one side and cost-protected NPI on the other. The next shift will likely come from rising HPAL and MHP costs, not from a sudden recovery in nickel demand.

Aclara Rare Earth Oxides Plan Links Brazil Mining to US Separation

aclara

Aclara rare earth oxides production plans have been reaffirmed for the Carina project in Brazil, strengthening the company’s role in the emerging Americas rare earth supply chain. The Brazilian rare earth producer expects to produce more than 4,300 t/yr of rare earth oxides from 2028.

Aclara rare earth oxides output is expected to average 4,378 t/yr contained in mixed rare earth concentrate. The planned product mix includes 1,191 t/yr of neodymium-praseodymium, 156 t/yr of dysprosium and 27 t/yr of terbium.

Aclara rare earth oxides are strategically important because NdPr, dysprosium and terbium are key inputs for high-performance permanent magnets. These magnets are used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, robotics, defence systems and advanced industrial motors.

The Carina project is expected to have an 18-year mine life. Production costs are estimated at $29.20/kg of rare earth oxide produced, giving investors and customers a clearer basis for assessing the project’s long-term competitiveness.

Carina Project Adds Heavy Rare Earths to the Americas Supply Base

The Carina project’s value is not limited to light rare earths. Its mixed rare earth concentrate also contains several heavy rare earth elements that are difficult to secure outside China-linked supply chains.

Aclara expects annual output to include 173 t of samarium, 176 t of gadolinium, 10 t of lutetium and 1,160 t of yttrium. These materials add strategic depth to the project because heavy rare earth supply remains highly concentrated and increasingly sensitive to export controls.

Dysprosium and terbium are especially important for magnet performance. They improve heat resistance and magnetic stability in demanding applications such as EV traction motors, wind turbine generators and defence electronics.

The project therefore fits a wider western effort to build alternative rare earth supply chains. Brazil offers mineral potential, while the US provides downstream policy support and processing infrastructure incentives.

Construction at Carina is scheduled to begin in the third quarter of 2026. Initial output is expected in the second half of 2028, followed by ramp-up in 2029.

Louisiana Separation Plan Builds Downstream Magnet Chain

Aclara plans to send material from Carina to Louisiana for separation and processing. The US site will produce rare earth metals and alloys, moving the project beyond mine supply into downstream magnet material preparation.

This structure matters because rare earth security depends on more than mining. Mixed rare earth concentrate must be separated, refined, converted into metals and alloyed before it can support permanent magnet production.

The Louisiana processing route could therefore create a more integrated Brazil-US rare earth chain. It links Brazilian ionic clay-style rare earth resources with US separation, metal and alloy capacity.

Public-sector support strengthens the project’s strategic profile. The US International Development Finance Corporation provided $5mn for Carina’s development, while Louisiana granted $46mn in tax incentives to accelerate the separation project.

For western magnet manufacturers, Aclara’s model offers potential supply diversification. The company could provide NdPr, dysprosium and terbium units into a market where downstream users are actively seeking non-China material.

However, execution remains critical. The project must move through construction, commissioning, ramp-up and qualification before it can become a reliable supply source for magnet makers and strategic customers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Aclara’s plan shows that rare earth competitiveness now depends on linking mine output with separation and metal conversion. The Brazil-Louisiana route could become strategically important if it delivers heavy rare earth volumes into the Americas magnet supply chain.

Stardust Lithium Chloride Feedstock Agreement Supports Oklahoma Refinery Plan

Stardust Power

Stardust lithium chloride feedstock agreement has strengthened the company’s plan to supply its Muskogee, Oklahoma refinery with domestic lithium brine material for battery-grade lithium carbonate production. The deal covers lithium chloride feedstock from a California brine project, with initial deliveries scheduled for the first half of 2028.

The agreement could provide up to 15,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent. Stardust Power has not yet disclosed the specific project name or location, saying those details will follow after a definitive agreement is signed.

Stardust lithium chloride feedstock agreement is strategically important because the company’s Muskogee refinery is planned for up to 50,000 t/yr of LCE capacity. Securing feedstock is one of the most important requirements for any lithium conversion project, especially as the US tries to build more domestic battery materials capacity.

California Brine Supply Adds Domestic Feedstock Option

The feedstock will come from a lithium brine project in California, making the agreement part of a wider US push to connect brine resources with domestic refining. California’s Salton Sea region has become one of the most closely watched lithium extraction zones in North America.

Companies active in the region include Berkshire Hathaway Energy Renewables, EnergySource and Controlled Thermal Resources. Based on expected integration and potential volume, Controlled Thermal Resources is considered the most likely supplier.

This matters because lithium chloride from brine projects can become an important input for downstream lithium carbonate production. If direct lithium extraction and brine processing projects scale successfully, they could reduce US dependence on imported lithium chemicals.

The timing remains important. Deliveries are not expected until 2028, which means Stardust still needs to manage project development, financing, permitting, customer qualification and feedstock conversion before commercial output can be secured.

Muskogee Refinery Builds a Broader Lithium Supply Network

Stardust’s Muskogee refinery is planned to produce battery-grade lithium carbonate, a key material for cathode production and lithium-ion batteries. The project is designed for up to 50,000 t/yr of LCE capacity, making feedstock diversification essential.

The California agreement adds to Stardust’s existing feedstock network. Other partners include Prairie Lithium in Canada and Mandrake Resources in Utah, giving the company multiple potential raw material streams.

The company also has a non-binding offtake agreement with Sumitomo for up to 25,000 t/yr of LCE over 10 years. That agreement gives Stardust a potential downstream sales channel, but commercial execution will depend on turning feedstock agreements into qualified battery-grade production.

For the US lithium supply chain, the project reflects a broader challenge. Domestic refinery announcements are increasing, but long-term success depends on reliable brine supply, conversion technology, customer qualification and competitive production costs.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Stardust’s agreement shows that lithium refining projects are only as strong as their feedstock base. The Muskogee refinery could become a meaningful US lithium carbonate platform, but its real test will be converting domestic brine supply into bankable, battery-grade output.

Indonesia HPM Formula Raises Nickel Ore Cost Risk for HPAL Producers

ESDM

Indonesia HPM formula changes will reshape nickel ore pricing from 15 April, adding new cost pressure across the country’s nickel processing chain. The energy and mineral resources ministry revised the mineral benchmark price mechanism for nickel and aluminium ore, with nickel valuation now expanded beyond nickel content alone.

The Indonesia HPM formula raises the correction factor for 1.6% nickel ore to 30%, compared with the previous 20% correction factor for 1.9% ore. Under the new framework, the correction factor rises or falls by one percentage point for every 0.1% change in nickel content.

This means the correction factor for 1.9% nickel ore will rise to 33%. The change increases the official value of nickel ore and could raise taxes, royalties and feedstock costs for processors that rely on HPM-linked transactions.

The Indonesia HPM formula also adds cobalt, iron and chromium into ore valuation. This is a major policy shift because these contained elements were not previously priced in the same way. Indonesia is now moving toward a more complete ore-value model, especially for laterite ores used in battery and stainless steel supply chains.

Cobalt, Iron and Chromium Inclusion Changes Nickel Ore Valuation

Indonesia’s new nickel HPM framework gives cobalt a correction factor of 30% when ore contains at least 0.05% cobalt. This is particularly important for high-pressure acid leach producers because cobalt-bearing ore can generate additional value through mixed hydroxide precipitate.

The ministry also introduced a 10% correction factor for iron when ore contains 35% or less iron. Chromium content also carries a 10% correction factor. These additions make ore valuation more complex and link pricing more closely to the full chemistry of laterite deposits.

The inclusion of cobalt is the most strategically important change. Indonesia’s HPAL projects produce nickel-cobalt intermediates for battery supply chains, and cobalt content can materially affect project economics. By taxing cobalt-bearing value inside ore, Jakarta is capturing more upstream rent from battery-linked mineral flows.

The Indonesia HPM formula therefore moves beyond a simple nickel-grade benchmark. It pushes the country toward a broader mineral-value system that recognises by-product metals and secondary contained value.

The ministry kept the Harga Mineral Acuan reference price unchanged. This means the immediate policy impact comes from correction factors and added contained elements, rather than a change in the headline reference price.

Market participants are now assessing how the new rules will pass through to actual transactions. For nickel ore used in rotary kiln-electric furnace production, spot prices remain nearly double the HPM level. This limits the immediate impact on some stainless-linked ore trades because market prices already sit well above the official benchmark.

The impact is likely to be much stronger for HPAL ore. Ore used in HPAL processing often trades without the same premium seen in RKEF feedstock. As a result, the revised HPM formula could lift transacted HPAL ore prices by more than a third.

That cost increase would move directly into battery-grade nickel economics. Market participants estimate that higher ore prices and taxes could raise mixed hydroxide precipitate production costs by more than $1,000/t in nickel metal equivalent.

This matters because Indonesia has become the centre of global MHP supply growth. Chinese-backed HPAL projects rely on Indonesian ore, sulphuric acid, energy and logistics to supply nickel and cobalt intermediates to global battery chains. Higher ore costs could narrow margins across MHP, nickel sulphate and cathode material supply.

The change also arrives during a period of wider nickel policy uncertainty. Indonesia has been tightening mining quotas, reviewing export taxes and seeking greater value capture from its mineral resources. The revised HPM formula fits that direction by increasing government control over pricing and taxable value.

Nickel Policy Shift Extends to Bauxite and Signals Broader Resource Control

Indonesia’s pricing reform did not stop at nickel. The ministry also revised the HPM formula for bauxite, changing the price basis to dollars per wet metric tonne from dollars per dry metric tonne.

The bauxite change adds a silica discount and raises the correction factor to $1.40/wmt for each one percentage point increase in aluminium oxide content. The previous formula used $1/dmt. This changes how moisture and ore quality are reflected in benchmark pricing.

The ministry also changed the price basis for lead ore to dollars per wet metric tonne from dollars per dry metric tonne. This effectively removes moisture content from the pricing formula and simplifies the benchmark around wet material values.

These changes suggest a broader policy direction. Indonesia is refining benchmark pricing across mineral commodities to improve tax collection, capture more contained value and align official pricing with ore quality.

For nickel, the change has immediate market significance because Indonesia dominates global laterite supply. Nickel ore pricing affects stainless steel, ferronickel, nickel pig iron, MHP, nickel sulphate and battery cathode supply chains.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange nickel price response showed that traders are treating the policy as price-supportive. Nickel closed at Yn136,900/t after rising from Yn133,010/t on 3 April, with participants citing support from the revised HMA-linked pricing framework.

However, the real market impact will depend on how producers, smelters and government agencies implement the rules. If HPM-based taxes rise sharply while spot ore prices remain high, margin pressure could build across processors with weaker cost positions.

HPAL producers are the most exposed because their feedstock pricing may move more directly with the revised benchmark. RKEF operators may see less immediate change because their ore costs already reflect strong market premiums.

For battery materials buyers, the risk is that Indonesia’s cost base becomes more expensive even as global nickel markets remain oversupplied. Higher ore valuation may not tighten physical supply immediately, but it can raise the floor for production costs in one of the world’s most important nickel processing hubs.

For Indonesia, the policy strengthens resource sovereignty. The government is using pricing formulas, mining quotas, export controls and tax compliance to ensure that more mineral value stays inside the country. This could support domestic revenue and downstream investment, but it may also increase uncertainty for processors and foreign investors.

The new framework also creates a precedent. If Indonesia successfully captures more value from cobalt, iron and chromium in nickel ore, other resource-rich countries may consider similar contained-metal pricing models.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Indonesia’s revised HPM formula shows that nickel policy is moving from volume control to value capture. The biggest impact will fall on HPAL producers, where cobalt-bearing ore valuation could raise MHP costs and change battery nickel economics.

Safran Forging Press Expansion Strengthens France’s Jet Engine Supply Chain

Safran, Forging

Safran forging press investment in Gennevilliers will expand the French engine manufacturer’s capacity to produce large, high-performance aerospace components. The company plans to install a 30,000t hydraulic press that is expected to become operational in 2029.

The €150mn press will be able to produce 14,000 parts a year at full capacity. It will support higher output of the CFM International LEAP engine, which Safran jointly manufactures with GE Aerospace.

Safran forging press expansion also supports military engine supply chains. The new equipment will help produce parts for engines used in the Rafale, Mirage and A400M aircraft, as well as high-thrust GE engines where Safran supplies high-pressure and low-pressure compressors.

The investment shows how aerospace manufacturers are preparing for sustained engine demand. Airbus and Boeing are both trying to raise production rates for the A320neo Family and 737 MAX, increasing pressure on qualified forging, casting, machining and superalloy supply chains.

High-Tonnage Forging Capacity Targets Future Engine Programmes

The new Safran forging press will give the company more capability to manufacture large engine parts. This is important because next-generation civil aircraft engines are expected to require larger, more complex and more demanding forged components.

Large hydraulic presses are strategic assets in aerospace manufacturing. They allow producers to shape high-strength alloys under controlled conditions, improving structural integrity, fatigue performance and reliability in critical rotating and static engine parts.

The press will also reduce dependence on constrained external forging capacity. Aerospace supply chains have faced recurring bottlenecks in qualified forgings, castings, titanium products, nickel alloy parts and precision-machined components.

For Safran, adding high-tonnage forging capacity supports both current programmes and future engine platforms. The investment strengthens control over key manufacturing steps at a time when engine makers are trying to improve delivery reliability.

Nickel Superalloys and Titanium Remain Critical Engine Materials

Safran’s investment has direct implications for high-performance metals. Nickel-based superalloys are essential for turbine forgings because they retain strength, creep resistance and oxidation resistance at extreme temperatures.

These materials are used in the hottest sections of jet engines, where ordinary alloys cannot survive. As engine efficiency targets rise, demand for advanced nickel superalloy processing remains strategically important.

Titanium is also critical in lower-temperature engine sections, including low-pressure compressors. Its high strength-to-weight ratio and corrosion resistance make it essential for aerospace systems where weight reduction and mechanical performance matter together.

The Gennevilliers project follows Safran’s broader capacity buildout. The company is investing in a new turbine casting facility in La Janais, Rennes, scheduled for commissioning in 2027, and has committed €70mn to expand complex rotating part capacity at Le Creusot by 2029.

Together, these investments point to a coordinated engine materials strategy. Safran is strengthening forging, casting and rotating component capacity to support civil and military aerospace demand through the next production cycle.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Safran’s 30,000t press shows that aerospace competitiveness increasingly depends on control of qualified materials processing capacity. Nickel superalloy and titanium supply will remain critical as engine makers race to meet higher build rates without sacrificing reliability.

Element 25 Butcherbird Manganese Expansion Gains Funding for Battery Supply Chain

Element 25

Element 25 Butcherbird manganese expansion has moved forward after the Australian metals producer raised $18mn in equity to support the next phase of mine growth. The funding will help expand manganese concentrate output from the Butcherbird mine in Western Australia.

The project is expected to triple Butcherbird’s manganese concentrate production to 1.1mn t/yr from 365,000 t/yr. Full mechanical completion and commissioning are expected in the first quarter of 2027.

Element 25 Butcherbird manganese expansion is strategically important because the mine will supply feedstock for the company’s planned battery-grade manganese sulphate refinery in Louisiana. That project links Australian ore supply with US battery materials processing.

The expansion also strengthens Element 25’s role in the electric vehicle supply chain. The company already has offtake agreements with General Motors and Stellantis, giving the project direct exposure to automaker demand for non-China battery materials.

Butcherbird Expansion Builds Manganese Feedstock Scale

Western Australia’s state government approved the Butcherbird expansion in March 2025. The mine is expected to operate for at least 18 years, giving Element 25 a long-term feedstock platform.

The planned increase to 1.1mn t/yr of manganese concentrate would materially change the scale of the operation. Higher concentrate output should support downstream conversion into battery-grade manganese sulphate while also leaving room for sales into traditional steel markets.

Manganese remains a key steelmaking input because it improves strength and toughness. Element 25 plans to sell excess concentrate to steelmakers, creating a secondary demand channel outside batteries.

However, the main strategic value is in batteries. Manganese is increasingly important for lithium-ion battery chemistries as automakers seek lower-cost, more secure and less cobalt-dependent cathode materials.

Louisiana Refinery Links Australia to US Battery Materials Policy

Element 25’s manganese concentrate will mainly feed its battery-grade high-purity manganese sulphate monohydrate facility in Louisiana. The refinery is planned for 135,000 t/yr of production capacity.

The US government backed the Louisiana refinery with a $166mn grant in January last year. This support reflects Washington’s effort to build domestic processing capacity for battery materials and reduce reliance on China-controlled supply chains.

The Australian government also opened a A$50mn loan package in June to support the Butcherbird expansion. Together, the US and Australian support show how allied governments are trying to connect mining, refining and EV manufacturing supply chains.

Element 25 Butcherbird manganese expansion therefore fits a broader industrial strategy. Australia provides the resource base, while the US builds refining capacity closer to automakers and battery manufacturers.

The project’s success will depend on execution at both ends of the chain. Butcherbird must deliver concentrate at scale, while Louisiana must convert that material into battery-grade sulphate that meets customer specifications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Element 25’s project shows how manganese is moving from a steelmaking material into a strategic battery supply input. The key challenge will be proving that mine expansion and US chemical refining can scale together on the timeline automakers require.

Ningbo Yunsheng NdFeB Magnet Output Rises on NEV and AI Terminal Demand

Ningbo Yunsheng

Ningbo Yunsheng NdFeB magnet output increased in 2025 as demand from new energy vehicles, consumer electronics, industrial motors and robots supported China’s rare earth permanent magnet sector. The company produced 14,856t of finished neodymium-iron-boron magnets during the year, up 11% from 2024.

Ningbo Yunsheng NdFeB magnet output growth was matched by stronger sales. The company sold 14,197t of finished NdFeB magnets in 2025, up 10% from a year earlier, while inventories rose by 47% to 2,055t.

The inventory increase shows that supply growth remains strong even as downstream demand improves. For China’s magnet industry, the key question is whether expanding production capacity can stay aligned with demand from EVs, AI devices, robots and high-efficiency motors.

NEVs and Consumer Electronics Strengthen Magnet Revenue

Yunsheng’s revenue rose by 6% on the year to 5.46bn yuan, while profit increased sharply to 330.82mn yuan from 95mn yuan in 2024. The improvement reflected stronger demand in its core downstream sectors and higher-value magnetic component sales.

Revenue from NdFeB permanent magnetic materials sold as magnetic components rose by 60% to 705mn yuan. This suggests that Yunsheng is gaining value not only from magnet volume, but also from more advanced component-level products.

The NEV sector remained the company’s largest growth driver. Yunsheng’s sales revenue from new energy vehicle applications rose by 9.6% to 2.55bn yuan in 2025.

China sold 12.8mn NEV passenger cars in 2025, up 18% from a year earlier. NEVs accounted for 54% of total domestic passenger car sales, reinforcing the role of electric drivetrains in magnet demand.

NdFeB magnets are critical for high-efficiency motors used in electric vehicles, power steering systems, industrial automation and robotics. As vehicle electrification deepens, magnet suppliers remain closely tied to demand for neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium and terbium.

Consumer electronics also supported Yunsheng’s performance. Revenue from the sector rose by 0.8% to 1.3bn yuan, helped by rapid growth in AI terminal product shipments and continued development of generative AI technologies.

Baotou Expansion Adds High-Performance Magnet Capacity

Ningbo Yunsheng NdFeB magnet output is set to receive further support from capacity expansion. The company had 26,000 t/yr of rough NdFeB magnet capacity and 10,000 t/yr of grain boundary diffusion capacity by the end of 2025.

Grain boundary diffusion is strategically important because it improves magnet performance while helping manage the use of heavy rare earths. This matters for high-performance applications where heat resistance, magnetic stability and material efficiency are critical.

Yunsheng is expanding its Baotou site to 15,000 t/yr of high-performance permanent magnetic materials by June 2026. The first 5,000 t/yr phase has been operating since June 2025, and the second 10,000 t/yr phase is expected to come on line in 2026.

Baotou is a strategically important location because it sits close to China’s rare earth resource and processing base. This gives magnet producers logistical and supply-chain advantages in sourcing rare earth materials and scaling downstream manufacturing.

The expansion also highlights China’s continued dominance in the rare earth magnet value chain. As global demand rises from EVs, AI hardware, robotics, industrial motors and clean-energy systems, Chinese producers are still adding capacity faster than most overseas competitors.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Yunsheng’s results show that rare earth magnet demand is broadening from EVs into AI terminals, robotics and high-efficiency motors. The next strategic risk is not only demand growth, but whether rising Chinese magnet capacity creates inventory pressure while tightening demand for high-quality rare earth feedstock.

China Gallium Production Expands as Jiayuan Prepares Shandong Trial Plant

Jiayuan New Material

China gallium production is set to expand again as Binzhou Jiayuan New Material prepares to put its 30 t/yr gallium plant in Shandong province into trial operation at the end of April. The facility marks the first phase of a two-stage project designed for total capacity of 60 t/yr.

The new plant is located in Lingang Industry Park in the Zhanhua zone of Binzhou city. Domestic producer Zhuhai Fangyuan holds a 24% stake in Jiayuan, giving the project a link to China’s established gallium production base.

China gallium production has become more strategically important since Beijing introduced strict dual-use export controls on the metal in August 2023. Gallium is a critical feedstock for compound semiconductors, power electronics, radio-frequency devices, optoelectronics and other advanced technologies.

Alumina Integration Strengthens Jiayuan’s Feedstock Position

Jiayuan’s feedstock will come from nearby Binzhou Huihong New Material, a subsidiary of major Chinese alumina producer Shandong Weiqiao. Huihong is located in the same industrial park, giving the gallium project a close raw material supply base.

This matters because gallium is typically recovered as a by-product of alumina production. Alumina refineries can extract gallium from process streams, making alumina scale, process control and recovery technology central to gallium supply growth.

Huihong plans to gradually raise alumina output to 8mn t/yr from the current 4mn t/yr. Gallium production is expected to increase to 120 t/yr accordingly, creating a larger integrated alumina-gallium platform in Shandong.

The project therefore shows how China gallium production is increasingly tied to major alumina producers. Companies with large alumina capacity can add gallium recovery as a higher-value by-product route, especially when prices and strategic demand justify investment.

Export Controls and Semiconductor Demand Drive Capacity Additions

Chinese alumina producers have accelerated gallium capacity investment in recent years after prices surged in 2022. Demand from domestic high-tech sectors and the metal’s strategic role in semiconductor manufacturing have raised the value of integrated gallium recovery.

China’s export controls have further increased the importance of domestic capacity. Gallium is used in gallium arsenide and gallium nitride materials, which support semiconductors, LEDs, lasers, satellite communications, radar systems, chargers and power devices.

Several new Chinese production lines have recently entered the market. Facilities with combined capacity of 140 t/yr came on stream in Guizhou province in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Additional capacity followed in 2025. Vital launched an 80 t/yr facility in Chongqing in the second quarter, while Luoyang Heungkong Wanji started its 60 t/yr smelter and ramped output close to full capacity by September.

More projects are under development. Guizhou Qiya began construction of a 20 t/yr third-phase project in Kaili in September 2025, while Guangxi Xinfa received approval in November 2025 for a 100 t/yr project in Jingxi.

These projects show that China gallium production is expanding across several provinces. However, export licensing still gives Beijing significant control over how much material reaches overseas buyers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Jiayuan’s Shandong plant reinforces China’s ability to turn alumina scale into strategic gallium supply. For global semiconductor and defense supply chains, the key issue is not only how much gallium China can produce, but how much it will allow to leave the country.

Hunan Gold Antimony Output Falls as Ore Supply Tightens in China

Hunan Gold

Hunan Gold antimony output fell sharply in 2025 as China’s domestic ore availability weakened and overseas feedstock flows shifted toward non-Chinese smelters. The major Chinese antimony producer reported 22,998t of antimony products during the year, down 21% from 29,209t in 2024.

The decline continues a multi-year downward trend. Hunan Gold antimony output was also below 31,005t in 2023, 30,715t in 2022 and 39,310t in 2021, showing how resource depletion and feedstock competition are weighing on Chinese production.

Hunan Gold antimony output matters because China remains central to global antimony supply, while antimony is increasingly important for flame retardants, military applications, lead alloys, batteries, cables and strategic industrial uses. Lower output from a major Chinese producer reinforces concerns over tightening availability.

Resource Depletion and Import Competition Reduce Feedstock Access

China’s domestic antimony resources have continued to decline after years of over-exploitation. This has limited ore availability for smelters and placed more pressure on producers that depend on both domestic mines and imported feedstock.

Import supply has also become more difficult. Key overseas ore suppliers have diverted more material to smelters outside China, where buyers are willing to pay higher prices to secure supply.

This shift reflects firmer global antimony prices after China imposed stricter dual-use item export controls. The policy tightened ex-China availability and encouraged foreign buyers to compete more aggressively for ore and intermediate supply.

The result is a structural squeeze for Chinese antimony producers. They face declining domestic resources, stronger competition for imported ore and a more fragmented international feedstock market.

Product Mix Shows Pressure Across Antimony Chain

Hunan Gold’s 2025 antimony production included 5,823t of antimony metal, 9,524t of antimony trioxide, 4,842t of sodium antimonate, 2,506t of ethylene glycol antimony and 303t of antimony oxide masterbatch.

Antimony trioxide remained the company’s largest antimony product by volume. It is widely used in flame retardant systems, making it important for plastics, electronics, textiles and industrial safety applications.

Antimony metal remains strategically important for alloying and defense-linked uses. Sodium antimonate and ethylene glycol antimony also support downstream chemical and industrial applications, linking ore supply constraints to multiple end markets.

Hunan Gold also produced 61t of gold in 2025, up 32% from a year earlier, while tungsten concentrate output fell by 10% to 908t. This shows that the company’s broader metals portfolio performed unevenly, with antimony facing the clearest supply-side pressure.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Hunan Gold’s lower output shows that China’s antimony position is being squeezed from both sides: depleted domestic resources and stronger overseas competition for ore. For global buyers, the key risk is that export controls and falling Chinese output reinforce each other, keeping antimony supply tight.