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| China Vanadium |
China vanadium prices are under renewed pressure as higher spot availability, weak alloy demand and softer steel mill tenders weigh on the market. Domestic 98% grade vanadium pentoxide flake prices fell to 82,000-87,000 yuan/t on 8 May, their lowest level since 20 April.
China vanadium prices began to soften in late April after alloy producers slowed purchases and cut procurement bids. Most ferro-vanadium producers lowered feedstock buying levels after steel mill tender prices came in below market expectations.
China vanadium prices are also being pressured by rising output. Domestic vanadium production reached 56,040t of vanadium pentoxide in January-April, up 7.6% from a year earlier.
The market is now facing a classic supply-demand imbalance. Higher vanadium flake and slag production has increased spot availability, while steel-sector demand remains weak and export outlets are slowing.
Higher Flake and Slag Output Increases Spot Availability
China’s vanadium supply increased because stronger earlier prices encouraged producers to lift output from vanadium-bearing steel slag. Vanadium-containing steel slag production rose to 49,320t in January-April, up 8% from a year earlier.
Higher flake prices in the first four months improved margins for slag-based production. Domestic 98% grade vanadium pentoxide flake averaged 80,812 yuan/t ex-works during January-April, up 9.5% from a year earlier.
New capacity has also added pressure. Qinhuangdao Baigong Steel started a 10,000 t/yr vanadium pentoxide flake production line in Hebei province in February.
This additional output arrived just as downstream buying slowed. Major flake suppliers had not finalised some contracts by 8 May, while some alloy producers were buying only limited volumes at lower cash prices.
The increase in spot availability has changed buyer behaviour. Alloy producers are no longer rushing to secure feedstock because they expect further price weakness.
That expectation can reinforce the decline. When buyers delay purchases, sellers face more pressure to reduce offers, especially when inventories rise and steel demand remains poor.
Weak Steel Tenders and Export Slowdown Limit Demand
Ferro-vanadium demand remains the main drag on the vanadium market. Domestic 50% grade ferro-vanadium prices fell to 93,000-94,000 yuan/t ex-works on 8 May, their lowest level since 1 April.
Steel mill tender prices also declined. Prices paid by steelmakers fell to 94,000-95,000 yuan/t delivered, including VAT and payable by acceptance bill, down from late-April levels.
Steelmakers are lowering bids because steel margins remain weak. This is especially important for vanadium because much of its demand comes from alloying in rebar and other steel products.
China’s rebar production fell to 29.54mn t in January-April, down 8.6% from a year earlier, as the real estate slowdown continued to reduce construction-related steel demand.
Steelmakers purchased an estimated 6,865t of vanadium alloys in April, down 17% from a year earlier. This confirms that weaker steel consumption is now feeding directly into lower vanadium alloy demand.
Export conditions are also turning less supportive. China’s vanadium flake exports are expected to decline in the coming months as international production increases.
Canadian producer Largo more than doubled vanadium pentoxide output in the first quarter to 2,616t, supported by higher-grade ore and steadier processing at its Brazilian mine. Russian producer Evraz also started a new 15,000 t/yr vanadium pentoxide flake plant in March and is expected to ramp up by June.
These additions reduce the need for some overseas buyers to rely on Chinese flake. That weakens a potential outlet for excess Chinese supply.
The near-term outlook remains soft. Unless steel mill tenders recover or vanadium exports improve, rising spot availability will likely keep pressure on vanadium pentoxide flake and ferro-vanadium prices.
The Metalnomist Commentary
China’s vanadium market is being hit by the wrong combination: rising supply, weak rebar output and cautious alloy buying. The longer-term battery storage story remains attractive, but near-term pricing still depends heavily on steel demand and feedstock discipline.














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