International Graphite Wogen Offtake Builds Asia-Pacific Supply Route

Graphite

International Graphite Wogen offtake plans could create a new Australia-to-Asia graphite supply route as International Graphite prepares to commission its Collie processing facility in Western Australia. The non-binding agreement combines concentrate supply with downstream sales of micronised spherical graphite.

International Graphite Wogen offtake terms allow Wogen to supply up to 10,000 t/yr of graphite flake concentrate to Collie. In return, International Graphite would supply at least 3,000 t/yr of micronised spherical graphite to Wogen’s Pacific arm for exclusive marketing across Asia-Pacific.

International Graphite Wogen offtake is strategically relevant because Japan and South Korea are major battery and advanced materials markets seeking more diversified graphite sources outside China. Commercial terms will be negotiated on a spot basis, while Wogen may provide credit lines to support transactions.

The companies aim to convert the arrangement into a binding agreement before the 4,000 t/yr Collie facility begins commercial production in mid-2027.

Collie Creates Midstream Graphite Capacity Outside China

The Collie plant gives International Graphite a route into higher-value graphite processing rather than relying only on upstream mining. The facility will produce micronised spherical graphite from imported flake concentrate during its initial operating phase.

This matters because graphite value chains depend heavily on processing. Natural graphite must undergo sizing, shaping, purification and coating before it can qualify as active anode material for lithium-ion batteries.

The material produced at Collie will still require additional processing before use in battery anodes. That means the project sits in the midstream rather than representing a fully integrated battery-anode supply chain.

However, the Wogen agreement creates a commercial bridge into Japan and South Korea. Both markets have established battery, automotive and electronics industries that require secure sources of processed graphite.

Wogen’s ability to supply up to 10,000 t/yr of concentrate also gives International Graphite feedstock flexibility while its own mining plans remain on hold.

The Collie commissioning schedule has moved to mid-2027 from an earlier January 2027 target. Production is expected to ramp over the following 18 months.

Springdale Delay Highlights Processing-First Strategy

International Graphite ultimately plans to source flake graphite from its Springdale project in Western Australia. But the company has paused exploration and drilling while concentrating capital and management resources on Collie and its Italian midstream joint venture with Alkeemia.

This sequencing reflects a pragmatic strategy. Building processing capability first can establish customers, product qualification and market access before the company commits larger capital to mine development.

Springdale received A$4.7mn in Australian federal government support in 2023. The resource could eventually provide domestic feedstock to Collie and create a more vertically integrated Australian graphite chain.

For now, the project will rely on external concentrate. That reduces near-term upstream development risk but increases dependence on third-party feedstock availability and pricing.

The Wogen arrangement helps manage that exposure while providing an outlet for processed material. If converted into a binding contract, it would cover a substantial share of Collie’s planned production capacity.

The broader opportunity is ex-China graphite diversification. China remains dominant in spherical graphite and battery-anode processing, making new midstream capacity in Australia strategically important even before full anode qualification is achieved.

The Metalnomist Commentary

International Graphite is prioritising the hardest commercial step first: building processing capacity and customer routes before expanding its mine. If Collie secures reliable feedstock and qualifies into Asian markets, Springdale can later become the upstream anchor of a more integrated ex-China graphite chain.

Record Temperatures 2026-30 Forecast Raises Climate Risk for Industry

WMO

Record temperatures 2026-30 are likely to keep global heat at or near historic highs, according to a report produced by the UK’s Met Office for the World Meteorological Organization. The forecast points to average annual global near-surface temperatures of 1.3°C-1.9°C above pre-industrial levels.

Record temperatures 2026-30 would extend a period of exceptional heat after 2023-25 became the three hottest years on record. The report also gives an 86% chance that at least one year in 2026-30 will surpass 2024 as the hottest year ever recorded.

Record temperatures 2026-30 carry direct implications for energy, mining, agriculture, logistics and industrial manufacturing. Higher heat levels can increase power demand, strain grids, disrupt water availability and raise operating risk for resource industries.

The outlook also reinforces the gap between climate targets and current warming trends. The Paris Agreement seeks to keep temperature rises well below 2°C and pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C.

Temporary Threshold Breaches Increase Policy Pressure

The report found a 91% chance that global average near-surface temperatures will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year between 2026 and 2030. It also found a 75% likelihood that the five-year mean will breach the same threshold.

That does not mean the Paris Agreement’s long-term goal has formally failed. The agreement’s thresholds refer to sustained warming over an extended period, typically measured over about 20 years.

However, temporary breaches still matter. They increase pressure on governments to accelerate emissions cuts, expand renewable power, improve energy efficiency and strengthen climate adaptation policies.

For metals and mining, this creates a two-sided market effect. Stronger climate action supports demand for copper, aluminium, lithium, nickel, rare earths and electrical steel used in grids, batteries, electric vehicles and renewable energy.

At the same time, higher temperatures increase operational risk. Mines, smelters, refineries and transport corridors can face more heat stress, water constraints, power reliability problems and weather-related disruption.

El Nino Risk Adds Volatility to Industrial Planning

The past 11 years have been the warmest on record, mainly because of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. The report said anomalous warmth was widespread in 2021-25, even though La Nina conditions prevailed in four of those five years.

The forecast now points to a tendency toward El Nino conditions, especially in 2027 and 2028. El Nino typically raises global temperatures, while La Nina usually has a cooling effect.

This matters because El Nino can intensify weather volatility. Heat, drought, floods and shifting rainfall patterns can affect hydropower, crop output, transport, mine operations and energy markets.

Industrial companies will need to treat climate risk as an operating variable, not only a sustainability issue. Power security, water management, site resilience and supply-chain redundancy will become more important in capital planning.

The report’s use of predictions from 13 institutes adds weight to the outlook. The central message is that high-temperature years are becoming more frequent as underlying global warming approaches key climate thresholds.

For resource markets, that means climate policy and physical climate risk will increasingly shape demand, costs and investment decisions at the same time.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The WMO outlook shows that climate risk is moving from long-term scenario planning into near-term industrial reality. Metals demand will benefit from decarbonisation, but producers must also prepare for hotter, more volatile operating conditions.

India-US Critical Minerals Agreement Targets Mining, Processing and Recycling Security

India-US Critical Minerals

India-US critical minerals agreement marks a new step in efforts to secure mining, processing and recycling routes for strategic minerals and rare earth elements. The bilateral framework covers materials needed for electric vehicle batteries, semiconductors, solar panels, defence systems and artificial intelligence hardware.

India-US critical minerals agreement was signed on the sidelines of the Quad Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in New Delhi. Indian external affairs minister S Jaishankar and US secretary of state Marco Rubio attended the signing.

India-US critical minerals agreement reflects growing concern over concentrated supply chains. China dominates refining and processing for lithium, nickel, cobalt and rare earths, leaving India and the US exposed to supply disruption, export controls and price leverage.

The pact covers the full value chain, from extraction and processing to recycling, financing and long-term material management. That broader scope is important because raw mineral access alone does not create industrial supply security.

Processing Capacity Becomes the Strategic Priority

The agreement directly targets one of the biggest weaknesses in non-China critical mineral supply chains: processing. Mining resources matter, but value is captured when materials are refined, separated and qualified for industrial use.

China accounts for around 60-70% of global refining and processing capacity for key minerals such as lithium, nickel and cobalt. It also controls about 90% of rare earth refining.

That dominance gives China strong influence over battery materials, magnet inputs, semiconductor minerals and advanced manufacturing supply chains. It also makes diversification difficult because new projects must compete with established Chinese scale and cost advantages.

India has significant long-term rare earth potential. Its monazite reserves contain an estimated 7.23mn t of rare earth oxides, but commercial output remains limited.

The new framework could help India convert resource potential into usable supply. That will require investment in mining, separation, refining, metallurgy, environmental management and customer qualification.

For the US, India offers a strategic partner with mineral resources, industrial ambition and a large domestic market. For India, the US can provide financing, technology partnerships, customer demand and policy support.

Rare Earth Corridors Fit India’s Industrial Strategy

India’s latest budget introduced a policy framework to develop rare earth corridors across Odisha, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. These regions could become the foundation for a more integrated rare earth supply chain.

The corridor model matters because rare earth development requires clustering. Mining, mineral sands processing, separation, waste management, logistics and downstream manufacturing need to be connected.

India is also widening its international partnerships. It signed a critical minerals cooperation agreement with Brazil in February 2026, showing that New Delhi wants a diversified supply network across multiple geographies.

The India-US framework adds a stronger strategic layer. It links India’s domestic minerals policy with Washington’s push to reduce dependence on China in defence, batteries, semiconductors and AI-related hardware.

Recycling is also part of the agreement. That inclusion is important because recovered battery metals, rare earth magnets and industrial scrap can reduce long-term import dependence.

However, execution will decide the real impact. India must move faster on permitting, processing technology, financing and downstream customer development if it wants to become a serious critical minerals hub.

The agreement gives both countries a framework. The next challenge is turning policy language into operating mines, refineries, recycling plants and qualified material flows.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The India-US deal shows that critical minerals security is now a full-chain industrial policy issue. The countries that win will not only secure ore; they will control processing, recycling, financing and qualified supply for strategic end markets.

Western Australia Vanadium Battery Plan Targets Grid Storage and Local Supply Chain

Vanadium Battery

Western Australia vanadium battery plans are moving forward as the state government offers A$150mn to support a 50MW battery energy storage system in Kalgoorlie. The project is intended to strengthen energy security in Kalgoorlie and the Eastern Goldfields as the state exits coal-fired power.

Western Australia vanadium battery funding will be awarded through a competitive proposal process. Bids are due by 20 July 2026, with evaluation expected from July and results to be announced later in the year.

Western Australia vanadium battery proposals must also show how they will support the local vanadium supply chain. That condition gives the project industrial significance beyond electricity storage alone.

The plan connects grid reliability, renewable integration and critical minerals development. It also supports Western Australia’s wider Made in WA policy, which aims to build more local manufacturing and clean-energy supply chain capacity.

Kalgoorlie Storage Project Supports Coal Exit

The 50MW Kalgoorlie project is part of Western Australia’s transition away from state-owned coal-fired generation. The government pledged in 2022 to close all state-owned coal plants by 2030.

Several major coal units are already scheduled for closure. Synergy’s Muja C, Muja D and Collie power station will be retired in stages between 2025-26 and 2029-30.

Battery storage is expected to replace part of the capacity and flexibility lost from coal. This is critical because renewable generation requires storage assets that can manage intermittency, stabilise the grid and support peak demand.

Kalgoorlie and the Eastern Goldfields are particularly important because mining regions need reliable electricity. Power disruptions can affect processing plants, mine operations, logistics and regional industrial development.

The government expects more than 1,200MW of new generation and storage to enter the South West Interconnected System in 2025-26 and 2026-27. A further 1,000MW is expected in 2027-28.

The scale of the pipeline shows that Western Australia is not treating storage as a marginal add-on. It is becoming core infrastructure for the state’s post-coal power system.

Vanadium Supply Chain Becomes Part of Energy Policy

The request for proposals is notable because it links battery deployment with local vanadium supply chain investment. This turns the project into both an energy storage initiative and a critical minerals development tool.

Vanadium batteries are attractive for long-duration grid storage because they can offer long cycle life and are suited to stationary applications. They do not compete directly with lithium-ion batteries in every market, but they can serve grid use cases where durability and duration matter.

Western Australia has already invested heavily in battery storage. In 2023, the state awarded A$1bn to support the 500MW Collie battery energy storage system and the 200MW Kwinana battery energy storage system.

The state’s 2025-26 budget also included A$50mn for a local battery manufacturing programme under the Made in WA policy. That aligns with the new vanadium battery proposal, which asks bidders to contribute to regional, economic and community outcomes.

Federal support is also backing Western Australia’s storage buildout. Four lithium-ion battery projects are being partly underwritten through the Capacity Investment Scheme, adding 2.6GWh of storage capacity from late 2027.

This creates a mixed battery landscape. Lithium-ion will remain important for large-scale storage, but vanadium could give Western Australia a route to build a differentiated local supply chain around its own mineral base.

The strategic test will be whether the Kalgoorlie project can move beyond demonstration value. It must prove cost competitiveness, operational reliability and real local supply chain development.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Western Australia is using grid storage procurement to create demand for a local vanadium industry. That is the right industrial logic: critical mineral supply chains need committed end-use demand, not just resource potential.

Sinomine Lithium and Copper Expansion Targets Zimbabwe and Zambia Growth

Sinomine Resources

Sinomine lithium and copper expansion is accelerating as the Chinese miner prepares to raise up to 5.2bn yuan to fund new battery metals, copper and specialty metals projects. The targeted share placement will support projects in Zimbabwe, Zambia and Jiangxi province.

Sinomine lithium and copper expansion reflects the company’s move from a lithium-focused growth story into a broader multi-metal platform. The company entered lithium through the Bikita mine in Zimbabwe in 2021 and added copper exposure through its 65% stake in Zambia’s Kitumba project in 2024.

Sinomine lithium and copper expansion also shows how Chinese mining companies are securing upstream resources while building processing capacity closer to mine sites. That strategy is becoming more important as resource-rich countries push for more domestic value addition.

The fundraising plan will support a 100,000 t/yr lithium sulphate plant in Zimbabwe, the Kitumba copper project in Zambia, and a 2,000 t/yr caesium and rubidium products project in Jiangxi.

Kitumba Copper Project Strengthens Sinomine’s Diversification

The Kitumba copper project is central to Sinomine’s move into copper. Development is advancing through equipment procurement, civil works and installation, with trial concentrator production targeted by the third quarter of 2026.

Full concentrator commissioning is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026. Smelter trial production is also targeted for the fourth quarter, with full operations expected from the first quarter of 2027.

Kitumba’s mining and processing design capacity remains 3.5mn t/yr of ore. However, smelting design capacity has been revised down to 35,000 t/yr of copper cathode from the previous 60,000 t/yr.

At full capacity, the project is expected to average 33,000 t/yr of copper cathode and 55,000 t/yr of copper concentrate. This gives Sinomine exposure to both refined copper and concentrate flows.

The project matters because copper demand is increasingly tied to grids, electric vehicles, data centres, renewable energy and industrial electrification. Chinese miners are therefore looking beyond lithium to secure copper assets that can support long-term energy transition demand.

Zambia also gives Sinomine a strategic position in the African copper belt. The region remains one of the most important sources of copper growth, but project execution will depend on infrastructure, power, permitting and smelting economics.

Zimbabwe Lithium Sulphate Plan Moves Processing Downstream

Sinomine’s Bikita lithium operations in Zimbabwe have already ramped up after commissioning 2mn t/yr and 1.2mn t/yr expansion projects in July 2023. The projects reached designed capacity and product specifications by November 2023.

Lithium concentrate shipments to China have continued, but Zimbabwe’s policy environment is pushing Chinese lithium firms to process more material locally. The country imposed a ban on concentrate exports in February, accelerating interest in lithium sulphate production.

Sinomine’s planned 100,000 t/yr lithium sulphate plant fits that shift. Details on construction timing and commissioning have not yet been disclosed, but the strategic direction is clear.

Lithium sulphate gives producers a way to move further downstream before exporting material to China or other battery chemical markets. It also helps satisfy local value-addition requirements while preserving access to Zimbabwe’s lithium resource base.

Other Chinese battery materials companies are moving in the same direction. Huayou Cobalt shipped its first lithium sulphate cargo from Zimbabwe to China on 25 April, showing that the processing route is already becoming commercially active.

Sinomine’s specialty metals platform adds another layer. The company is a leading producer of caesium and rubidium salts, with integrated mining, processing and advanced materials capabilities.

The planned 2,000 t/yr caesium and rubidium products project in Jiangxi supports higher-value specialty materials growth. These metals serve specialised industrial, electronic and advanced technology applications.

Sinomine’s latest fundraising plan therefore points to a more integrated strategy. The company is securing lithium, adding copper, and expanding specialty metals processing while responding to changing export rules and downstream demand.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Sinomine’s strategy shows how Chinese miners are adapting to a world where resource ownership alone is no longer enough. The next advantage will come from controlling mine supply, local processing and downstream product routes across lithium, copper and specialty metals.

EU CRMA Strategic Projects Delay Raises Questions Over Critical Minerals Execution

the Critical Raw Materials Act

EU CRMA strategic projects are facing a likely delay as Brussels postpones the next batch of designations under the Critical Raw Materials Act. The announcement was initially expected between mid-May and June, but market sources now expect the process to run into autumn.

EU CRMA strategic projects are intended to accelerate domestic and allied supply chains for critical minerals. The strategic label can give projects faster permitting and better access to EU financing.

EU CRMA strategic projects matter because Europe has set ambitious 2030 targets for extraction, processing and recycling. Any delay risks slowing investment decisions at a time when the bloc is trying to reduce dependence on concentrated foreign supply chains.

The European Commission selected 60 projects in the first round across the EU and partner countries. The second round drew 161 applications, showing strong industry interest but also increasing administrative complexity.

Battery and Rare Earth Projects Dominate Applications

The second round of applications shows where Europe’s supply-chain priorities are concentrated. Of the 161 applications, 95 came from inside the EU and 66 from outside.

Battery-related projects dominated the list with 75 applications. This reflects Europe’s continued effort to build supply chains for lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, graphite and other battery materials.

Rare earths were another major focus, with 21 applications. These projects are strategically important because Europe remains highly dependent on China for rare earth separation, metals, alloys and permanent magnets.

The strategic label is expected to help selected projects access financing under the Resource Action Plan and benefit from accelerated permitting. That support is important because critical minerals projects face high capital costs, long timelines and uncertain market economics.

However, the delay shows that project selection is not simple. The EU must assess technical readiness, strategic value, permitting status, financing needs, environmental standards and supply-chain contribution.

For developers, uncertainty over designation timing can affect financing discussions, offtake negotiations and investment decisions. A project may be commercially promising, but delays in policy support can slow its path to construction.

Europe’s Raw Materials Targets Face Execution Risk

The CRMA sets clear 2030 goals. The EU wants domestic extraction to cover at least 10% of annual consumption, processing to cover at least 40%, and recycling to cover at least 25%.

These targets are ambitious because Europe has limited mining capacity in several critical minerals and remains weak in key midstream stages. Processing and refining remain the hardest gaps to close.

The first round of strategic projects gave the market a positive signal. But industry participants are now questioning whether the mechanism is delivering meaningful progress quickly enough.

The European Court of Auditors warned in February that the EU risks missing its raw materials targets. It pointed to unclear selection criteria and weak data as major concerns.

Transparency has also become a pressure point. Non-governmental organisations and legal groups have challenged the process, arguing that citizens have not received enough disclosure.

This creates a difficult balance for Brussels. The EU wants to accelerate strategic projects, but it must also maintain public trust, environmental credibility and clear selection standards.

The delay is therefore more than an administrative issue. It tests whether Europe can turn critical minerals policy into bankable industrial capacity before global competition locks up capital, feedstock and customers.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The CRMA’s strategic project label is valuable only if it accelerates real investment. Europe has identified the right bottlenecks, but delays in selection and financing risk turning industrial strategy into another slow policy process.

Global Recycled Metals Output Rises as China and Emerging Regions Expand Capacity

Recycled Metals

Global recycled metals output increased further in 2025 as China maintained its leading position and emerging regions expanded recycling capacity. Production of recycled copper, aluminium, lead and zinc reached about 59.2mn t, up 5.6% from a year earlier.

Global recycled metals output is becoming more important to non-ferrous supply security as mining, processing and trade flows face rising geopolitical and cost pressures. Recycling now provides a larger secondary source of industrial metal units for manufacturers, smelters and battery supply chains.

Global recycled metals output accounted for around 34% of total non-ferrous metal production in 2025. The sector also delivered cumulative savings of about 1.2bn t of primary mineral resources, underlining its growing role in resource conservation.

The growth shows that recycled metals are no longer a secondary environmental story. They are becoming a core part of industrial raw material strategy across copper, aluminium, lead, zinc and battery metals.

China Leads as Regional Recycling Capacity Expands

China remained the world’s largest recycled base metals producer in 2025, with output of 20.57mn t. That represented 34.7% of global production.

The country’s scale gives it a major role in recycled copper, aluminium, lead and zinc supply. It also strengthens China’s position across non-ferrous metals at a time when primary raw material security is under pressure.

Europe produced more than 10mn t of recycled base metals, while the US produced more than 6mn t. India and southeast Asia reached around 6mn t and 4mn t, respectively.

These figures show that recycling capacity is becoming more geographically distributed. Emerging regions are no longer only consumers of recycled raw materials. They are becoming processing centres in their own right.

Battery-related recycling is also growing quickly. Nickel, cobalt and lithium recovery is supporting the new energy industry as electric vehicle and energy storage supply chains look for more secure material sources.

China aims to increase domestic recycled material recovery to 23mn t by 2030 under its next five-year plan. That target implies annual growth of around 7%.

The country is also expected to strengthen recycled product certification and explore the inclusion of recycled materials in carbon trading systems. This could make recycled metal more valuable for customers seeking traceable and lower-carbon supply.

Trade Flows and Technology Move Toward Asia

Global recycled raw material trade is becoming more regional, more Asia-focused and more diversified. Europe and North America remain major exporters of recycled copper and aluminium feedstock.

Europe exports around 2mn t/yr of recycled copper and aluminium feedstock, while North America exports about 4.2mn t/yr. China and India remain the largest importers, with imports exceeding 4mn t and 2mn t, respectively.

Southeast Asia is becoming a key transshipment hub. Regional recycled aluminium feedstock trade reached about 1.3mn t of imports and 900,000t of exports.

Black mass from spent lithium-ion batteries is also increasingly moving toward Asian processing centres. This reflects Asia’s stronger battery materials processing base and growing demand for recovered nickel, cobalt and lithium units.

Technology is improving the recycling value chain. Advances in laser sorting, intelligent dismantling, multi-metal battery recovery and digital process control are raising recovery rates and product quality.

Leading producers have achieved recycling rates above 94% for aluminium and 95% for lithium. These levels show how recycling is moving closer to industrial-grade resource recovery rather than simple scrap handling.

New products are also expanding. High-strength recycled aluminium alloys, high-purity recycled copper and recycled rare-earth permanent magnets are gaining traction.

This matters because recycled metal must meet customer specifications before it can displace primary material. Better sorting, cleaner chemistry and stronger certification will determine how much recycled metal can enter high-value applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Recycling is becoming a strategic metals supply pillar, not just a sustainability tool. The next competitive edge will come from producers that can turn complex scrap and battery waste into certified, high-purity and customer-ready materials.

Nevada North Lithium Project Resource Growth Strengthens US Lithium Supply Potential

Nevada North Lithium Project has increased its measured and indicated resource base, improving the scale potential of one of the more closely watched US lithium development assets. Canadian developer Surge Battery Metals updated the project’s estimate to 6.7mn t of lithium carbonate equivalent.

Nevada North Lithium Project now carries measured and indicated resources grading 3,820ppm lithium. That compares with 3.6mn t grading 4,016ppm in the project’s preliminary economic assessment.

Nevada North Lithium Project resource growth is strategically important because the US continues to seek domestic lithium supply for batteries, electric vehicles, energy storage and critical minerals security.

The project is jointly owned by Surge Battery Metals, with a 71% stake, and Evolution Mining, with 29%. Surge plans to deliver a comprehensive pre-feasibility study in the fourth quarter of 2026.

Larger Resource Base Improves Development Scale

The revised estimate shows a larger resource base, although the average lithium grade is slightly lower than in the preliminary economic assessment. That trade-off is common as projects expand and include broader mineralised zones.

The resource is constrained by an optimised pit shell based on a lithium carbonate equivalent price of $20,000/t. This assumption helps define what material could be economically considered under the current mine planning framework.

The increase to 6.7mn t of LCE improves the project’s strategic profile. Scale matters in lithium because battery supply chains need long-term, reliable and expandable sources of feedstock.

For Surge, the next milestone is the pre-feasibility study. That study will need to clarify mining design, processing route, capital cost, operating cost, recovery assumptions and permitting requirements.

Nevada North Li Project

US Lithium Projects Gain Momentum as Prices Improve

Recent lithium price increases are encouraging more exploration and development activity. Higher prices can improve project economics and attract financing, especially for assets in strategically important jurisdictions.

Nevada is already central to US lithium ambitions. The state offers domestic resource potential, established mining experience and proximity to battery and electric vehicle supply chains.

However, resource growth alone does not guarantee production. The project must still prove technical feasibility, commercial processing, environmental compliance and customer relevance.

The larger estimate gives Surge a stronger platform heading into the pre-feasibility stage. It also reinforces the wider US push to reduce dependence on imported lithium chemicals and battery raw materials.

If advanced successfully, Nevada North could become part of a more diversified North American lithium supply chain. Its value will depend on whether scale can translate into qualified, cost-competitive lithium production.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Surge’s updated estimate strengthens Nevada North’s strategic relevance, but the real test now moves from resource size to development economics. US lithium security will depend on projects that can pass feasibility, permitting and processing hurdles, not only publish larger resource numbers.

ABM Utah Lithium Project Targets Direct Extraction and Magnesium Output

ABM

ABM Utah lithium project plans could add a new US domestic source of lithium carbonate equivalent and magnesium if feasibility work supports development. American Battery Materials is assessing a direct lithium extraction facility in Utah tied to its Lisbon Valley project.

The ABM Utah lithium project is designed to produce 10,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent. The proposed facility would also produce 20,000 t/yr of magnesium ingots, giving the project a broader critical minerals profile.

The ABM Utah lithium project is located in the Paradox Basin, which straddles southern Utah and Colorado. The region sits in a historic seabed and contains lithium, magnesium, bromine, potash and potassium.

Historical data from Lisbon Valley show lithium values ranging from 81-500ppm. The next test is whether those values can support a commercial direct lithium extraction operation with competitive recovery, cost and product quality.

Direct Lithium Extraction Could Support US Battery Supply

Direct lithium extraction is becoming more important as the US seeks domestic lithium supply without relying only on hard-rock mining or traditional evaporation routes. DLE can potentially recover lithium from brines faster and with a smaller surface footprint.

For ABM, the strategic opportunity is to convert Lisbon Valley brine resources into battery-linked lithium carbonate equivalent. A 10,000 t/yr project would not dominate the market, but it could become a useful domestic supply source if successfully developed.

The project also fits US policy priorities. Washington is trying to secure more lithium, magnesium and other critical materials for batteries, defence, energy storage and manufacturing.

However, DLE projects remain technically demanding. Brine chemistry, recovery rates, reagent consumption, water handling, scaling, impurity control and operating cost will determine whether the Lisbon Valley project can move beyond feasibility.

Product qualification will also matter. Battery customers need consistent lithium carbonate quality, and that requires reliable processing from brine extraction through purification and final product production.

Magnesium Adds Strategic Value to the Project

The planned magnesium output gives the project an additional industrial angle. Magnesium ingots are used in aluminium alloys, die casting, lightweight components and specialty applications.

US magnesium supply has strategic relevance because magnesium supports automotive lightweighting, aerospace materials and defence-linked manufacturing. A domestic source could help reduce exposure to imported material.

The Paradox Basin’s broader mineral endowment also strengthens the project’s optionality. Lithium, magnesium, bromine, potash and potassium create potential for multi-product development, depending on commercial recovery and market conditions.

Multi-product projects can improve economics if by-products are saleable and processing flows are integrated efficiently. However, they can also add complexity because each product requires its own specification, market and operating route.

For ABM, feasibility work will need to prove both the lithium and magnesium business cases. Investors and customers will watch the project’s recovery assumptions, capital cost, permitting path and development timeline.

If successful, the Lisbon Valley project could support a more diversified US critical minerals base. Its importance lies not only in lithium supply, but in the possibility of linking battery materials with magnesium production from one regional resource system.

The Metalnomist Commentary

ABM’s Utah plan shows how US lithium projects are increasingly being framed as multi-mineral supply platforms. The key question is whether direct lithium extraction can turn Paradox Basin brines into qualified lithium carbonate and meaningful magnesium output at commercial cost.

India Critical Minerals Supply Chain Faces Funding Gap Despite Policy Push

Indonesia nickel mining

India critical minerals supply chain ambitions face a major financing test as the country tries to reduce dependence on imported lithium, cobalt, nickel and rare earth materials. A new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis warns that funding gaps, slow policy execution and raw material import dependence could delay India’s strategy.

India critical minerals supply chain development is becoming urgent because the country imports 100% of the lithium, cobalt and nickel used in clean energy manufacturing. Demand is expected to rise as India targets 30% electric vehicle penetration by 2030, along with 230GW of solar capacity and 140GW of wind capacity.

India critical minerals supply chain policy has moved quickly on paper. The government launched the National Critical Mineral Mission in January 2025 with a seven-year budget of 343bn rupees to support exploration and auctions.

However, the mission still lacks enough direct capital expenditure support for large-scale mining, refining and processing. That is the central weakness in India’s current critical minerals push.

Exploration Targets Need Processing Capital

The National Critical Mineral Mission targets 1,200 exploration projects and more than 100 critical mineral block auctions by 2030-31. This can improve domestic resource visibility, but exploration alone will not create battery, magnet or semiconductor supply chains.

Critical minerals projects require large upfront capital, long permitting timelines and technical processing capability. Mining projects can take 10-15 years to move from exploration to commercial production, creating long periods of uncertainty for investors.

India has identified major resource potential. The country reported 5.9mn t of inferred lithium resources in Jammu and Kashmir as of 2023. It also holds 13.15mn t of monazite deposits containing an estimated 7.23mn t of rare earth oxides.

The Geological Survey of India also identified 482.6mn t of rare earth ore resources through exploration projects in February. These figures suggest significant geological potential, but they do not solve the refining and separation challenge.

Rare earths are a clear example. Monazite and rare earth ore must be separated, purified, converted into metals or alloys, and qualified by downstream users before they can support magnets, defence systems, electronics or clean energy applications.

India’s midstream sector also faces pressure from Chinese overcapacity. China controls around 60-70% of global refining and processing capacity for key minerals such as lithium, nickel and cobalt, and about 90% of rare earth refining.

That dominance suppresses margins and makes new Indian refining projects harder to finance. Without price support, offtake contracts or direct capital backing, investors may hesitate to fund projects that compete against established Chinese capacity.

Import Dependence Extends Beyond Battery Metals

India’s critical minerals strategy now reaches beyond battery materials. The government classified coking coal as a critical and strategic mineral in January to reduce import dependence and support steel expansion.

This widens the funding challenge. India aims to increase crude steel production capacity to 300mn t/yr by 2030 and 500mn t/yr by 2047. Its Mission Coking Coal targets domestic output of 140mn t/yr by 2030, up from 66.49mn t/yr in fiscal 2025-26.

These goals will require long-term investment in mining, washing, transport, processing and related infrastructure. That makes critical minerals policy a broader industrial financing issue, not only an energy transition issue.

India is also seeking overseas supply partnerships. It is working with Australia, Argentina, Peru, Chile, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi and Côte d’Ivoire to secure access to critical minerals.

State-backed Khanij Bidesh India is also pursuing overseas lithium and cobalt assets. These efforts can reduce raw material risk, but they still need downstream processing and domestic industrial integration.

The global funding requirement is enormous. The International Energy Agency estimates that mining and refining will need $915bn in new investment during 2026-35 under its Announced Pledges Scenario.

For India, the strategic question is how to convert policy ambition into bankable projects. Auctions and exploration can identify resources, but refining plants, processing hubs, offtake agreements and financing tools will decide whether domestic supply chains actually emerge.

The Metalnomist Commentary

India has recognised the critical minerals problem, but recognition is not the same as industrial capacity. The next stage must focus on project finance, refining economics and guaranteed demand, or India will remain dependent on imported materials despite its resource potential.

Novandino Lithium Investment Targets $3.5bn Expansion in Chile’s Atacama

Novandino

Novandino lithium investment plans could reshape Chile’s lithium supply outlook as the producer prepares to spend more than $3.5bn to expand output and extend operations at the Atacama salt lake until 2060.

Novandino lithium investment will focus on the Salar Futuro project, which is designed to take production, sustainability and community engagement to a higher level. The company is close to submitting the project’s environmental impact study.

Novandino lithium investment remains subject to environmental approval. That approval is essential because the company needs authorisation for its Atacama operations in northern Chile’s Antofagasta region to continue beyond 2030.

The company is a joint venture between Chile’s state copper miner Codelco and SQM. Its expansion is strategically important because Chile remains one of the world’s most important lithium producers, but new project approvals have moved slowly.

Salar Futuro Could Extend Atacama Output to 2060

Salar Futuro is central to Novandino’s long-term growth strategy. The project would support continued operations at the Atacama salt lake while lifting production and improving environmental performance.

The company expects to produce 270,000t of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2026. Output is then expected to rise to 300,000t in 2027-2028, compared with 233,000t last year.

That growth would strengthen Chile’s position in global lithium supply at a time when Argentina is expanding rapidly and challenging Chile’s regional leadership.

The environmental impact study will be the key near-term milestone. Without approval, the company cannot secure the long operating extension needed to justify the investment.

Chile’s lithium sector has enormous resource strength, but regulatory complexity has slowed new supply. Novandino’s ability to advance Salar Futuro will therefore be closely watched by battery makers, automakers and lithium chemical buyers.

Technology Mix Targets Higher Efficiency and Lower Water Use

Novandino plans to use a combination of next-generation technologies to improve production efficiency and sustainability. The company is considering membrane filtration, mechanical evaporation and direct lithium extraction.

This technology mix matters because Chile’s lithium expansion is increasingly tied to environmental and community expectations. Brine operations must show better water performance, lower ecological impact and stronger local engagement.

The company said its water intensity per unit of production has fallen by 75% since 2016. That improvement is strategically important in the Atacama, where water use remains one of the most sensitive issues for lithium development.

Direct lithium extraction could also become an important part of Chile’s future production model. However, DLE must be adapted to each brine chemistry, making execution, cost control and scale-up critical.

For Chile, the project is more than a company-level expansion. It is a test of whether the country can grow lithium supply while meeting stricter sustainability standards and maintaining state participation through Codelco.

For the battery supply chain, higher Atacama output would provide more lithium carbonate equivalent from an established producing region. But timing will depend on environmental approval, technology deployment and project execution.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Novandino’s $3.5bn plan shows that Chile still has the resource base to defend its lithium position. The real challenge is whether regulatory approval and new extraction technologies can move fast enough to keep pace with Argentina’s accelerating project pipeline.

Brazil Critical Minerals Bill Moves Country Toward Domestic Processing Strategy

Critical Minerals

Brazil critical minerals bill approval by the lower house marks a major step toward turning the country’s mineral reserves into a domestic industrial development strategy. The bill establishes the national policy of critical and strategic minerals and creates incentives for companies to process and transform those materials inside Brazil.

Brazil critical minerals bill measures include a new mineral activity guarantee fund backed by R2bn in federal money. The fund will support projects linked to the production of critical and strategic minerals.

Brazil critical minerals bill incentives also include R5bn in tax credits over five years to encourage processing and transformation. This shows that Brazil does not want to remain only an exporter of raw materials.

The bill will now move to the senate. Mines and energy minister Alexandre Silveira said he will work directly with senators to accelerate approval, framing critical minerals as a matter of economic modernisation and national sovereignty.

Processing Incentives Target Value Creation Inside Brazil

The bill creates the national council for the industrialisation of critical and strategic minerals. The council will decide which minerals qualify as critical and strategic and will update the list every four years.

This structure is important because Brazil has large resource potential but still needs stronger domestic processing capacity. Without refining, separation, transformation and recycling, mineral wealth can leave the country as low-value raw material.

The proposed guarantee fund and tax credits are designed to change that pattern. They will support projects considered strategic under the national policy, with a focus on minerals that can strengthen Brazil’s industrial base.

Congress member Arnaldo Jardim, the bill’s rapporteur, said critical minerals represent a development opportunity for Brazil. He argued that the country should become a major rare earths producer, stimulate recycling through urban mining and make its processing industry more competitive.

That message reflects a broader shift in resource policy. Brazil is trying to position critical minerals as a tool for industrial development, not only export revenue.

Rare earths are especially important. Brazil has significant rare earth potential, and global buyers are searching for alternatives to China-dominated supply chains. If Brazil can move beyond mining into separation and processing, it could become more relevant to magnet, defence, electronics and clean energy markets.

Urban mining also deserves attention. Recycling can strengthen domestic supply, reduce waste and create secondary sources of critical materials from electronics, batteries, industrial scrap and end-of-life equipment.

US Interest Raises Brazil’s Strategic Importance

The bill comes as Brazil and the US are discussing critical minerals more actively. Presidents Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Donald Trump are expected to meet this week, and critical minerals are likely to be part of the agenda.

The US has long sought a critical minerals agreement with Brazil. Goias state has already signed a cooperation agreement with the US, although Brazil’s federal government has challenged its legal validity.

That dispute shows how politically sensitive critical minerals have become. Foreign partnerships can bring investment and market access, but the federal government wants to ensure that strategic minerals serve national interests.

Brazil holds about 10% of global critical minerals reserves, according to domestic research and mining institutions. The sector is expected to attract $21.3bn in investment by 2030.

This gives Brazil strong leverage. The country has rare earths, niobium, graphite, nickel, lithium and other minerals that are increasingly important to batteries, magnets, aerospace, electronics and energy transition technologies.

However, reserves alone will not determine Brazil’s role. The country must build processing capacity, permitting efficiency, infrastructure, financing tools and reliable industrial partnerships.

The new policy could help unlock that pathway. If approved by the senate and implemented effectively, it could shift Brazil from a raw material supplier toward a more integrated critical minerals economy.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Brazil is making the right strategic move by linking critical minerals to processing, tax incentives and industrial policy. The real test will be execution: Brazil must convert resource potential into refining, separation, recycling and customer-ready supply before global competitors secure the next wave of investment.

KoBold Mingomba Copper Project Advances as Zambia Targets Major Supply Growth

KoBold Metals

KoBold Mingomba copper project has broken ground in Zambia, moving one of Africa’s largest planned copper mines closer to development. The project is expected to cost more than $2.3bn and produce more than 300,000 t/yr of copper once fully ramped up.

KoBold Mingomba copper project is strategically important because Zambia wants to lift national copper production to about 3mn t/yr by the early 2030s. A project of this scale could become one of the country’s most important new supply sources.

KoBold Mingomba copper project also highlights the growing role of AI-led exploration in critical minerals. KoBold has used proprietary artificial intelligence and machine-learning tools to define a high-grade copper resource deep underground.

The company acquired Mingomba in December 2022. It is now beginning early construction work before completing all engineering studies, with a final cost estimate expected by early next year.

Zambia Copper Investment Gains Momentum

Mingomba could become one of Zambia’s largest copper investments. At more than 300,000 t/yr of planned output, it would rank with some of the largest single copper assets globally.

The project supports Zambia’s wider copper growth strategy. The country is trying to attract large-scale mining investment after years of operational, tax and policy uncertainty.

Other producers are also expanding in Zambia. Barrick and First Quantum are pursuing projects that could help rebuild national output growth.

This matters because copper demand is rising from grids, electric vehicles, renewable energy infrastructure and AI data centres. But new mine supply remains difficult to deliver.

Permitting delays, declining grades and higher capital costs continue to slow global copper development. This gives high-grade, large-scale African projects greater strategic value.

Zambia has a natural advantage because it already has mining infrastructure, workforce experience and established copper export channels. However, execution still depends on policy stability, power supply, transport and downstream processing capacity.

AI Exploration Adds New Dimension to Copper Supply

KoBold’s approach makes Mingomba more than a conventional copper project. The company has built its strategy around using AI and machine learning to analyse geological data and accelerate discovery.

Technology-led exploration is becoming more important as the mining industry searches for deeper, harder-to-find deposits. Many easy copper discoveries have already been developed.

Mingomba’s deep underground resource shows why new exploration methods matter. Future copper supply will increasingly depend on better data, faster targeting and more efficient drilling.

KoBold is backed by major technology and energy-transition investors, including Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos and Sam Altman. That investor base reflects copper’s growing role in electrification and strategic materials policy.

The company is still assessing smelting and refining options for Mingomba’s output. This will be important because mine production alone does not guarantee secure copper supply.

Processing, logistics and offtake structures will determine how Mingomba’s copper enters global markets. Zambia’s ability to capture more value domestically may also shape the project’s long-term impact.

KoBold is also expanding its African critical minerals strategy. It has outlined plans for lithium exploration in the Democratic Republic of Congo by 2027 and is reviewing lithium and nickel opportunities in Namibia. It has also begun early-stage copper exploration in Botswana.

The broader signal is clear. Africa is becoming central to the next phase of copper and critical minerals supply, while technology-led exploration is changing how new deposits are found and financed.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Mingomba is important because it combines scale, grade and timing in a copper market short of credible new supply. If KoBold can convert AI-led discovery into mine execution, Zambia could gain one of the most strategically important copper assets of the next decade.

Appalachian Lithium Reserves Could Strengthen US Domestic Supply Security

USGS

Appalachian lithium reserves could give the US a much larger domestic resource base than previously recognised, according to a new assessment from the US Geological Survey. The agency said the eastern US Appalachian region may contain enough undiscovered, economically recoverable lithium to replace 328 years of US imports at 2025 levels.

Appalachian lithium reserves are hosted in pegmatites, large-grained rocks similar to granite. The southern Appalachian region is estimated to contain 1.43mn t of lithium oxide, while the northern Appalachian region holds another 0.90mn t.

Appalachian lithium reserves matter because the US still depends heavily on imported lithium. The country has only one current lithium producer and relied on imports for more than half of its supply in 2025.

The assessment adds another possible domestic supply route alongside lithium brine projects in the Smackover formation. Together, these resources could reshape US lithium strategy if they can be converted into permitted, economic and commercially scalable projects.

Pegmatite Resources Add a Hard-Rock Lithium Option

The Appalachian assessment points to hard-rock lithium potential in the eastern US. Pegmatite-hosted lithium is different from brine-based production because it usually requires mining, concentration and chemical conversion.

This gives the US another possible supply pathway. Hard-rock projects can produce spodumene concentrate, which can then be converted into lithium chemicals for batteries, energy storage and industrial uses.

Albemarle is already planning a lithium concentrator facility at Kings Mountain, North Carolina. The project is designed to produce 420,000 t/yr of lithium concentrate from spodumene.

That project is important because it could help rebuild a US hard-rock lithium supply chain. Domestic spodumene production would reduce reliance on foreign raw material and support future US conversion capacity.

However, resource estimates alone do not guarantee supply. Appalachian lithium projects would still need exploration, permitting, mine development, processing investment, environmental approvals and downstream customer qualification.

The strategic significance is still clear. The US lithium conversation is expanding beyond Nevada brines and western projects into eastern hard-rock resources with long-term supply potential.

Smackover Brines and Appalachian Pegmatites Broaden US Lithium Strategy

The Appalachian estimate follows earlier USGS work on the Smackover formation in southwest Arkansas. In 2024, the agency assessed that Smackover brines contain 5mn-19mn t of lithium, although it did not define economically recoverable volumes.

Several companies, including Equinor, ExxonMobil, EnergyX and Standard Lithium, are developing lithium projects in the Smackover region. Some are targeting commercial output around 2027.

The Smackover and Appalachian resource bases are strategically different but complementary. Smackover projects depend on brine extraction and processing technologies, while Appalachian projects would likely depend on hard-rock mining and spodumene concentration.

This diversification matters for US supply security. A lithium strategy based on multiple geological sources is more resilient than one dependent on a single basin, technology or company.

The US will still need processing capacity. Mining lithium ore or extracting lithium from brine does not automatically create battery-grade lithium carbonate or hydroxide.

That midstream gap remains the critical issue. Domestic resources must be connected to refining, chemical conversion, permitting, infrastructure and offtake agreements before they can reduce import dependence.

For battery manufacturers, the Appalachian assessment offers a long-term signal. More domestic resource potential could support future supply chains for electric vehicles, grid storage and defence-related battery applications.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Appalachian lithium assessment is a resource-security signal, not an immediate supply solution. The US has the geology, but the decisive bottleneck will be converting resources into permitted mines, concentrators and battery-grade lithium chemicals.

Critical Metals Tanbreez Acquisition Consolidates Greenland Rare Earth Control

Critical Metals

Critical Metals Tanbreez acquisition will give the US critical minerals developer full ownership of one of Greenland’s most closely watched rare earth projects. The company has agreed to acquire Australian mining firm European Lithium in an all-stock deal valued at $835mn.

The Critical Metals Tanbreez acquisition is designed to consolidate ownership of the Tanbreez rare earth project, where European Lithium currently holds a 7.5% stake. Completion of the transaction would give Critical Metals 100% ownership.

The Critical Metals Tanbreez acquisition strengthens the company’s position in the race to build rare earth supply chains outside China. Greenland is becoming strategically important because western governments and manufacturers want new sources of rare earth concentrate tied to secure processing and offtake routes.

European Lithium shareholders would receive 0.035 Critical Metals shares for each European Lithium share under the letter of intent. The proposed transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026.

Tanbreez Ownership Supports Mine-to-Market Strategy

Full ownership of Tanbreez would give Critical Metals greater control over project development, financing, offtake and downstream strategy. This matters because rare earth projects often struggle when ownership, processing and customer structures are fragmented.

Critical Metals plans to invest $30mn to fast-track development of Tanbreez. That investment signals an effort to move the project beyond resource positioning and toward a more commercial supply-chain role.

Tanbreez could become an important source of rare earth concentrate for non-China buyers. However, concentrate alone is not enough to secure the rare earth value chain. Material must still be separated, refined, converted into metals or alloys, and qualified by downstream users.

The company’s offtake agreements provide early commercial direction. Critical Metals has an agreement with Ucore Rare Earths for as much as 10,000 t/yr of rare earth concentrate and another with REalloy for 15% of Tanbreez’s annual output.

These agreements help anchor future sales channels. They also show that buyers are willing to secure upstream access before full project development is complete.

Saudi Processing Plan Adds Downstream Dimension

Critical Metals also plans to form a joint venture in Saudi Arabia to build a rare earth processing facility. This is strategically important because processing capacity remains the key bottleneck in ex-China rare earth supply chains.

A Greenland-to-Saudi processing route would add a new geopolitical configuration to the rare earth market. It would connect western-controlled resources with Middle Eastern industrial investment and processing ambitions.

Saudi Arabia has been seeking a larger role in critical minerals, downstream processing and industrial diversification. A rare earth processing venture would fit that strategy while giving Critical Metals another route to move beyond concentrate sales.

For global rare earth buyers, the key issue will be reliability. They need traceable feedstock, qualified processing, stable offtake and predictable geopolitical access.

The transaction also reflects a wider industry trend. Rare earth companies are consolidating ownership and building downstream partnerships because customers no longer want isolated mining assets. They want integrated supply chains that can deliver usable material.

Critical Metals’ strategy is therefore not only about acquiring European Lithium. It is about controlling Tanbreez, securing offtake, adding processing optionality and positioning the project as part of an ex-China rare earth supply network.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Critical Metals Tanbreez acquisition shows that rare earth strategy is shifting from exploration ownership to full supply-chain control. The real test will be whether Greenland feedstock, Saudi processing and offtake agreements can become a bankable alternative to China-dominated rare earth flows.

Argentina Lithium Growth Could Challenge Chile’s Regional Lead

Argentina Lithium

Argentina lithium growth could reshape Latin America’s lithium map over the next decade as new projects advance under more investor-friendly rules. Argentina is expected to match Chile’s lithium output by 2035, with some industry participants arguing it could overtake Chile even earlier.

Argentina lithium growth is being supported by faster permitting, large brine resources and stronger investment incentives. By contrast, Chile’s lithium expansion remains constrained by restrictive legislation, lengthy approval processes and uncertainty around new project development.

Argentina lithium growth is strategically important because lithium remains central to electric vehicles, energy storage and battery supply chains. Global buyers want large-scale, politically stable and western hemisphere supply outside more exposed jurisdictions.

Chile remains the region’s largest producer today. However, its future output growth depends heavily on existing producers and slow-moving new projects, while Argentina has a deeper pipeline of advanced developments.

Chile’s Lithium Policy Slows New Supply

Chile has long been Latin America’s dominant lithium producer, but its regulatory system is limiting new investment. Lithium remains non-concessionable and is still treated under legislation linked to nuclear materials.

Companies seeking to extract lithium in Chile must apply for special mining contracts. These contracts are granted through public bidding processes that can be lengthy, bureaucratic and uncertain.

This creates a major exploration problem. Companies may be reluctant to explore land if they cannot be confident of later securing extraction rights.

Chile’s national lithium strategy also requires all new projects to use direct lithium extraction. DLE is viewed as more environmentally friendly than traditional evaporation ponds, but it creates technical and cost challenges.

Each DLE process must be designed around the specific chemistry of each brine resource. That means technology used at one salar cannot simply be copied at another.

This raises development costs and lengthens project timelines. Industry participants estimate that DLE projects may require investment of up to $44,000 per tonne of lithium carbonate equivalent, compared with about $26,000/t for evaporation projects.

Chile’s new supply pipeline is therefore moving slowly. The first major new project, Rio Tinto’s Maricunga, is expected only by the end of 2030, with another new project expected in 2032.

Until then, Chile may rely mainly on capacity increases from existing producers. That could limit its ability to respond to rising lithium demand if Argentina’s project pipeline accelerates.

Argentina’s Rigi Regime Attracts Lithium Capital

Argentina is moving in the opposite direction. Its government has streamlined licensing and introduced the Rigi incentive regime for large investments.

Rigi provides tax exemptions, import-export benefits and legal protections for approved projects. It also allows companies to settle certain disputes in courts outside Argentina, improving investor confidence.

Ten lithium projects have already applied to Rigi, with three approved. The programme has become a major signal to international investors seeking policy stability and faster project execution.

Argentina now has more than 60 active lithium projects and seven producing assets, the most in Latin America. Two new developments are expected to come on line this year, lifting projected output to 159,000t of lithium carbonate equivalent.

That remains below Chile’s 305,000t in 2024. However, Argentina has more than 20 projects in advanced stages, including eight close to production.

Argentina’s mining ministry expects output to reach 583,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2035. That would put the country in position to match or overtake Chile if Chile’s permitting regime does not change.

The investment logic is clear. Argentina offers large brine resources, a more open policy framework and exposure to western hemisphere supply chains. That combination is increasingly attractive to battery makers, automakers and mining companies.

Chile still has enormous lithium potential. But potential alone does not create supply. Without faster approvals and clearer rules, Chile risks losing regional leadership to Argentina.

For the lithium market, this shift matters. Argentina’s rise could increase competition, diversify supply and give buyers more options in South America. It could also make Latin America’s lithium growth less dependent on Chile’s policy choices.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Argentina’s lithium advantage is not only geological; it is regulatory. Chile still has world-class resources, but Argentina is turning policy speed into supply-chain momentum.

NextEra Battery Storage Contracts Rise as US Power Demand Accelerates

NextEra Energy

NextEra battery storage contracts increased in the first quarter as the US utility group added 1.3GW of battery storage-based agreements. The additions formed part of 4GW of renewable and storage originations, alongside 2.2GW of solar and 0.5GW of wind.

NextEra battery storage contracts are rising because US electricity demand is growing faster and customers need capacity that can be deployed quickly. The company said demand for power is not slowing and that speed to power has become essential.

NextEra battery storage contracts also show how storage is becoming a core grid resource, not only a supplement to solar and wind. Battery systems can support peak demand, improve grid reliability and provide flexible capacity as data centres, electrification and industrial load growth increase pressure on power networks.

The company added more battery storage than in the first quarter of 2025, when it originated 0.9GW of storage within 3.2GW of renewable energy and storage capacity.

Storage Pipeline Supports Fast Grid Capacity Growth

NextEra has identified four main growth routes for battery storage. These include standalone projects, co-located storage at existing renewable sites, storage as a grid solution and expansion of existing projects from four-hour to eight-hour duration.

This is important because storage demand is becoming more diverse. Standalone batteries can provide rapid capacity support, while co-located systems can improve the value of solar and wind generation.

Longer-duration battery expansion is also strategically relevant. Moving from four-hour to eight-hour systems can help utilities manage evening demand peaks, renewable intermittency and grid congestion.

NextEra’s standalone and co-located storage pipeline exceeds 110GW, excluding expansion opportunities. That scale gives the company one of the strongest platforms in the US storage market.

The growth reflects a broader shift in power infrastructure. Utilities and large customers increasingly need fast capacity additions because new gas plants, transmission lines and conventional generation projects often face long development timelines.

Battery storage is not a full replacement for all forms of generation. But it is becoming one of the fastest tools available to respond to near-term power demand growth.

Secured Supply Through 2029 Reduces Execution Risk

NextEra said it has secured domestic supply for solar panels and battery storage through 2029 at competitive prices. This reduces exposure to trade disruption, tariff changes and equipment shortages.

Supply security matters because battery storage projects depend on reliable access to cells, modules, inverters, power conversion systems, transformers and grid interconnection equipment.

South Korean battery manufacturer Samsung SDI signed a deal in March 2025 to supply 6.3GWh of battery energy storage systems to NextEra. That agreement supports the company’s ability to execute projects while demand rises.

For battery materials, the growth of utility-scale storage strengthens demand for lithium, graphite, iron phosphate cathode materials, copper, aluminium and power electronics. LFP batteries are especially important in stationary storage because of cost, safety and cycle-life advantages.

NextEra’s first-quarter profit rose to $2.18bn on sales of $6.7bn, up from $833mn in profit and $6.25bn in sales a year earlier. Stronger financial performance gives the company more room to support its renewables and storage buildout.

The industrial significance is clear. Battery storage is becoming a strategic capacity product for the US power system, especially as electricity demand from data centres, manufacturing and electrification continues to rise.

The Metalnomist Commentary

NextEra’s storage growth shows that batteries are becoming part of the core power infrastructure toolkit. The next constraint will not be customer demand, but whether supply chains, interconnection queues and grid equipment can keep pace.