Global Energy Investment to Reach $3.3 Trillion in 2025, Led by Clean Energy

IEA(International_Energy_Agency)

Clean Energy Spending Doubles Fossil Fuel Investment

Global energy investment is forecast to hit a record $3.3 trillion in 2025, with two-thirds allocated to clean energy technologies, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). This marks a 2% real-term increase from 2024, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.

The IEA expects $2.2 trillion to be invested in renewables, nuclear power, grids, storage, low-emissions fuels, energy efficiency, and electrification. In comparison, fossil fuel investment is projected at $1.1 trillion. The agency attributes the surge in clean energy spending to emission reduction goals, industrial policy incentives, energy security concerns, and the competitiveness of electricity-based solutions.

Energy security remains a primary driver of investment growth. While some investors are cautious about new project approvals, the IEA notes minimal disruption to existing developments.

Electricity Sector Investment Surges While Fossil Fuels Decline

The “age of electricity” is shaping global capital flows, with the power sector expected to attract $1.5 trillion in 2025. Solar power will lead the charge, drawing $450 billion alone. However, grid investment, while reaching a record $400 billion, is struggling to keep pace with soaring power demand.

Conversely, fossil fuel supply investment is expected to fall 2% — the first drop since 2020. Upstream oil spending will decline 6% to about $420 billion, while gas investment will also retreat amid price drops, higher operating costs, tariffs, and oversupply concerns. Coal investment will continue to grow, though at a slower 4% annual rate, driven largely by China and India.

Regional Shifts and Policy Impacts

China remains the largest global energy investor, with its share of clean energy investment rising from 25% a decade ago to nearly one-third today. In the US, investment in renewables and low-emission fuels is set to plateau as supportive policies wane. Meanwhile, oil and gas spending is increasingly concentrated in resource-rich Middle Eastern nations.

Spending on low-emissions fuels is projected to hit a record in 2025 but will stay below $30 billion, with projects vulnerable to policy uncertainty. The IEA warns that regional disparities in policy and market dynamics could influence the pace of the clean energy transition.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The IEA’s projection underscores the accelerating momentum of the clean energy transition, even amid economic headwinds. While record spending on renewables and electricity infrastructure marks progress, bottlenecks in grid expansion and regional policy uncertainties could challenge the pace of change. Investors and policymakers will need to address these gaps to secure long-term energy security and decarbonization goals.