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Aluminum Scrap |
Rising US demand sparks supply concerns and threatens Europe’s circular economy framework
Aluminium Deutschland Warns of Scrap Outflow Risk
Germany's aluminium industry group, Aluminium Deutschland, has urged the EU to impose aluminium scrap export tariffs. This demand follows the United States’ decision to implement a 25% tariff on primary aluminium imports, while keeping aluminium scrap exempt from the tariff.
As a result, US buyers are likely to switch from importing primary aluminium to sourcing cheaper scrap — particularly from Europe. This shift could lead to a serious shortage of scrap for European recyclers, who rely on stable domestic supply for their operations.
US-EU Price Gap Accelerates Market Arbitrage
The arbitrage between US and EU aluminium prices has widened sharply in recent months. According to market data, the premium gap surged from $110/t in November to nearly $700/t in early May 2025. This creates a strong incentive for exporters to redirect scrap to the US market, further tightening EU supply.
Aluminium Deutschland emphasized that this trend could undermine Europe’s recycling industry. President Rob van Gils called for “swift and decisive action” to avoid dismantling years of progress in circular economy infrastructure.
Europe Faces Growing Scrap Scarcity
Europe's aluminium scrap supply is already strained. Sluggish industrial activity has lowered fresh scrap generation, while Asian demand remains strong, forcing EU recyclers to compete globally. If the EU does not act, companies could face escalating shortages, threatening decarbonisation goals and raw materials security.
The Metalnomist Commentary
Germany’s call for aluminium scrap export tariffs reflects a growing geopolitical competition over raw materials. As secondary aluminium becomes a substitute for tariffed primary metal, the EU risks losing strategic feedstock to global arbitrage. Scrap policy will increasingly define the success or failure of Europe’s industrial climate goals.
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