EU Weighs Extending CBAM to Downstream Industries

EU CBAM

The European Commission is evaluating the possibility of expanding the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) to downstream sectors, a move anticipated by European steel associations and member states. The current CBAM focuses primarily on upstream industries, but this shift aims to curb the rising cost of downstream products and mitigate risks to local steel supply chains.

Steel associations like Eurofer strongly advocate for the CBAM’s extension, as they believe it is essential for controlling carbon emissions and managing increasing imports. The downstream industries have been notably absent from the current framework, a gap that stakeholders fear could lead to "carbon leakage"—where manufacturers relocate outside the EU to take advantage of less stringent climate regulations.

Italian steel association president Paolo Sangoi emphasized the need for a comprehensive approach in April, warning that neglecting downstream sectors would weaken the CBAM’s effectiveness. Steelmaker ArcelorMittal also advocates for "swift and effective" measures to protect the EU steel market, underscoring the importance of extending the CBAM.

Other countries such as Canada, the US, and ASEAN are considering their own versions of CBAM, while the UK plans to implement its CBAM in 2027. However, UK Steel is pushing for an earlier implementation in 2026 to align more closely with the EU's timeline.

India Gas Supply Crunch Raises Steel Supply Risk as Mills Cut Output

India Steel

India gas supply crunch is beginning to disrupt the country’s steel sector, with secondary producers and gas-dependent mills facing rising operational pressure. The crisis has intensified because India sources 67% of its LNG imports from the Middle East, where the US-Israel war with Iran has created major supply disruption.

India gas supply crunch is hitting smaller induction furnace-based steelmakers first. Several producers are rationing available gas, reducing output, and struggling to meet customer requirements. The government has also prioritized domestic natural gas supply for households, which has further tightened availability for industrial users.

India gas supply crunch now threatens more than steelmaking alone. It is affecting cutting operations, maintenance work, downstream galvanizing, packaging materials, plastics, propane, ammonia, limestone logistics, and imported thermal coal costs. As a result, the steel value chain faces a broader cost and supply shock.

Gas-Based Steelmakers and Secondary Mills Face Uneven Pressure

Gas exposure varies sharply across India’s steel industry. Smaller induction furnace-based mills in Mandi Gobindgarh, Punjab, have already reduced production where they rely on piped natural gas. Some manufacturers in the region can meet only about half of customer requirements, while smaller mills in Gujarat are fulfilling about 70% of demand.

Secondary steel producers that use scrap and direct-reduced iron are under particular pressure. These mills often operate with thinner margins and less procurement flexibility than large integrated producers. Rising gas costs, limited availability, and weaker scrap economics can quickly force production cuts.

The pressure is not uniform across regions. Producers in Jalna, Maharashtra, said they had not yet cut production because of gas shortages. However, imported thermal coal prices have affected most secondary mills, and imported scrap has become less viable. This means even coal-based mills are not fully protected from the wider input-cost shock.

Gas-based DRI operations face one of the clearest risks. ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel India is viewed as vulnerable because about 65% of its 9mn t/yr steelmaking capacity uses the gas-based DRI-electric arc furnace route. Market participants expect a potential near-term supply reduction if gas disruption worsens.

Downstream Steel and HRC Prices Face New Volatility

The downstream steel sector is also exposed to the gas shortage. Galvanized steel producers rely heavily on propane, and some integrated mills have already reduced galvanized output marginally while conserving existing gas supplies. Smaller re-rollers are at greater risk of curtailing or stopping operations.

The disruption has also reached trade and service centers. Some plate suppliers are unable to fulfill pending orders because their cutting processes depend on gas. This shows how energy shortages can spread beyond melt shops and rolling mills into finishing, processing, and distribution.

Steel prices may remain firm if input costs stay elevated. Indian domestic hot-rolled coil prices have already risen sharply, with 2.5mm-4mm HRC assessed at Rs54,300/t ex-Mumbai on 6 March, up 17% from mid-December 2025. Higher gas, coal, propane, ammonia, and logistics costs could keep pressure on finished steel prices.

However, demand risk is also rising. Major steel-consuming industries may face the same gas constraints, which could reduce their production and lower steel procurement. This creates a difficult market balance: supply costs are rising, but demand traction remains uncertain as buyers wait for clearer conditions.

The Metalnomist Commentary

India’s steel sector is facing an energy-security stress test. The biggest risk is not only lower steel output, but a chain reaction across DRI, galvanizing, cutting, re-rolling, and downstream demand.

Cleveland-Cliffs Rare Earths Plan Stalls on US Refining Bottleneck

Cleveland-Cliffs

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths ambitions have been put on hold as limited US refining capacity weakens the economics of upstream exploration. The integrated steelmaker said it has halted plans to shift part of its mining strategy toward rare earths because domestic processing infrastructure remains too limited.

The decision highlights a central weakness in the US critical minerals strategy. Finding rare earth mineralisation is only the first step. Without refining, separation and downstream conversion capacity, upstream resources cannot easily become commercial supply.

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths plans had gained attention because the company owns mining assets and tailings basins in traditional US iron ore regions. Geological surveys last year identified signs of rare earth mineralisation at two company-owned sites, one in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and another in Minnesota.

However, chief executive Lourenco Goncalves said the economics depend on domestic refining capability. He said that infrastructure remains extremely limited in the US, making rare earth development difficult without external processing support.

US Refining Gap Limits Critical Minerals Development

Cleveland-Cliffs is not planning to build rare earth refining capacity on its own. The company said the process is capital-intensive, and the investment case remains weak without a broader domestic refining ecosystem.

This is strategically important because rare earth supply chains are highly segmented. Mining, beneficiation, separation, refining, metal conversion, alloying and magnet manufacturing all require different capabilities.

The US has focused heavily on rare earth resource development, but refining and separation remain among the most difficult parts of the value chain. These stages require chemical processing expertise, environmental controls, long permitting timelines and large capital commitments.

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths development therefore depends on infrastructure beyond its own mining footprint. The company said it remains positioned to enter the market when viable domestic refining capacity becomes available, whether through government-backed projects or third-party investments.

This approach is cautious but realistic. A steelmaker with mineral resources may identify rare earth potential in ore bodies or tailings, but it cannot easily monetise those materials without a customer-ready processing route.

The decision also shows why tailings-based critical minerals projects are harder than they appear. Tailings may contain valuable elements, but recovery depends on grade, mineralogy, processing cost, environmental permitting and access to refining capacity.

For the US government, the message is clear. Critical mineral independence cannot rely only on resource mapping. It needs industrial processing capacity that gives miners and materials companies a practical route to market.

Rare Earth Opportunity Remains Conditional on Policy and Processing

Cleveland-Cliffs had explored rare earths as part of a broader response to rising US-China trade tensions and Washington’s push for critical material independence. The company’s historic identity as an ore producer made the idea strategically plausible.

Cliffs originally operated as an iron ore producer before becoming a major US steelmaker. It expanded downstream in 2020 by acquiring AK Steel and most of ArcelorMittal’s US operations.

That history gives the company mining expertise, industrial assets and a domestic manufacturing base. But rare earths are not the same as iron ore or steel. They require a much more specialised chemical and metallurgical value chain.

Rare earth elements are key feedstocks for electric vehicle motors, semiconductors, wind power, solar technologies, defence systems and advanced electronics. This makes them strategically valuable, but also politically sensitive.

The US wants to reduce dependence on China, which dominates many rare earth processing and magnet supply chains. But companies still need bankable refining options before upstream projects can move forward.

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy may therefore return if domestic refining capacity expands. Government-backed projects, third-party processors or integrated separation facilities could change the economics.

Until then, the company appears unwilling to commit capital to a market where upstream potential is disconnected from downstream processing. That reflects discipline, but also exposes a national supply-chain gap.

The broader implication is that critical minerals policy must connect every stage of the chain. Exploration without refining creates stranded potential. Refining without feedstock creates underused capacity. Magnet and electronics supply chains need both.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Cleveland-Cliffs’ decision shows that the US rare earth challenge is not only geological. The real bottleneck is processing infrastructure, and without it, even strategically located resources can remain commercially stranded.

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy targets US critical minerals security

Cleveland-Cliffs

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy is emerging as the company’s next upstream growth pillar amid rising US-China trade tensions. The US integrated steelmaker now sees rare earths exploration as strategic insurance for American manufacturing supply chains. As a result, Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy is tightly linked to national security and industrial resilience.

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy starts in Michigan’s mining footprint

Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy builds on geological surveys of ore bodies and tailings at two legacy sites. The company has identified indicators of rare earth mineralisation in Michigan’s upper peninsula and in Minnesota. However, it will prioritise the Michigan site first, where state relations are more cooperative.

This first step allows Cleveland-Cliffs to test resource quality and economics before committing major capital. It also keeps the Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy aligned with US policy goals for domestic critical mineral supply. If commercially viable deposits are proven, the firm could leverage existing mining expertise to accelerate development.

Meanwhile, the company is open to cross-border cooperation. Management signalled that Cleveland-Cliffs could work with Canadian partners on rare earths projects. Such collaboration would extend the Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy into a broader North American critical minerals corridor.

Trade tensions push Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy up the agenda

Escalating trade frictions with China are amplifying the urgency behind Cleveland-Cliffs rare earths strategy. China remains the dominant supplier of rare earths, and is tightening export controls on production, processing and foreign trade. At the same time, Washington is threatening sharply higher tariffs on Chinese imports, further destabilising supply expectations.

Rare earths are essential for EV motors, semiconductors, and wind and solar technologies. Therefore, any disruption in Chinese supply could quickly hit US industrial output. Cleveland-Cliffs’ chief executive framed the move as a contribution to reducing reliance on “any foreign nation” for key minerals.

The shift also reflects Cliffs’ roots as an ore producer before its acquisitions of AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA. By adding rare earths to its portfolio, the group can reconnect its mining heritage with downstream steelmaking and advanced manufacturing demand. This integrated approach could appeal to US policymakers seeking reliable, traceable domestic supply chains.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Cleveland-Cliffs is reading the geopolitical map correctly: processing and ownership of critical minerals matter more than raw tonnage alone. The real question is whether US permitting, capital costs and technology can deliver competitive rare earth output at scale. If it succeeds, Cliffs could become a flagship model for legacy steel producers pivoting into strategic materials.

Safran Opens Titanium Compressor Blade Plant in Belgium to Boost Engine Supply Chain

Safran titanium blade

Strategic Investment Enhances Aerospace Manufacturing Capacity

Safran has inaugurated a new titanium compressor blade plant in Marchin, Belgium, to reinforce its engine supply chain resilience. The facility is part of Safran Blades, a partnership between Safran Aero Boosters and Belgian federal and Walloon authorities, representing a €108mn investment. Safran holds a 56% stake, Wallonie Entreprendre owns 28%, and Belgian Federal Holding and Investment has 16%.

The 10,000m² plant will produce 700,000 titanium compressor blades annually. These blades are integral to GE Aerospace’s GEnx engine, which powers Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner, and the LEAP engine by CFM International, a joint venture between Safran and GE Aerospace. Safran also manufactures the low-pressure compressor modules for both programs.

The facility is located on a former ArcelorMittal steel site, closed permanently in 2013. The opening comes as demand for narrow-body jet engines like the LEAP rises due to higher production rates for Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 MAX aircraft. While wide-body programmes such as the 787 are still recovering from supply chain constraints, demand is projected to strengthen over the next few years.

The Metalnomist Commentary

Safran’s investment underscores a strategic shift toward securing titanium component production within Europe’s aerospace sector. As titanium remains critical for high-performance engine parts, localized capacity reduces dependency on global supply chains and strengthens long-term competitiveness in the face of rising demand.