Eternal Nickel LME listing reshapes Indonesian nickel trade

Eternal Nickel LME listing adds Indonesian cathode capacity and deepens pressure on already oversupplied nickel market.
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Eternal Nickel LME listing reshapes Indonesian nickel trade
Eternal Nickel

The Eternal Nickel LME listing marks a new phase for Indonesian nickel as PTENICO cathodes move toward global benchmark status and add fresh liquidity to a market already facing surplus pressure. Eternal Nickel, a subsidiary of China’s Tsingshan Group, has applied for the Eternal Nickel LME listing with full-plate nickel cathodes produced at Weda Bay in North Maluku, where nameplate capacity reaches 50,000 t/yr. As a result, the Eternal Nickel LME listing would cement Indonesia’s role in refined nickel, not just intermediate products, while also deepening the pool of deliverable brands for price discovery on the London Metal Exchange.

Eternal Nickel LME listing adds to Asian LME nickel capacity

The proposed Eternal Nickel LME listing comes only months after the first Indonesian brand, DX-zwdx, secured LME approval in 2024, lifting new Asian registered capacity to 232,600 t since mid-2023. PTENICO cathodes would be the second Indonesian nickel brand listed, reinforcing the rapid shift of refined nickel capacity toward Indonesia as high-pressure acid leach and conversion projects mature. Meanwhile, surplus nickel has been flowing into LME warehouses because many producers find LME delivery the most efficient route to immediate liquidity. LME nickel stocks climbed to 224,700 t in September from 162,336 t in January, with Chinese-origin material surging to 152,454 t from 81,564 t. Therefore, any additional Indonesian cathode tonnage registered on the LME is likely to weigh further on prices, even if it improves tradability and hedging options for consumers.

Surplus stocks pressure prices as more Indonesian cathodes line up

The Eternal Nickel LME listing would arrive in a market where the official three-month LME nickel price has stayed rangebound around $15,000–16,000/t, averaging just $15,432/t in 2024. However, producers continue to commission new cathode capacity and are actively preparing LME applications, treating warehouses as an outlet for surplus production rather than cutting supply. Indonesian producer Nickel Industries Limited plans to add nickel cathode output, while major producer QMB is upgrading its technology to produce LME-grade cathodes, both from plants in Central Sulawesi. As these projects advance, more Indonesian cathode brands are expected to seek registration, reinforcing the structural oversupply narrative and keeping spot prices under pressure, even as stainless steel and battery sectors look for cost advantages.

The Metalnomist Commentary

The Eternal Nickel LME listing underlines how Indonesia is moving rapidly up the nickel value chain from ore and intermediates to globally deliverable cathode brands. For traders and hedgers, more Indonesian brands enhance liquidity and flexibility, but they also lock in a heavier overhang of exchange stocks that can cap rallies. Strategically, the trend raises important questions for non-Indonesian producers: competing on cost alone against the Weda Bay and Sulawesi hubs will be tough, making product differentiation, specialty alloys and long-term customer partnerships more critical than ever.

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