EU to Launch Aluminium Safeguard Probe Amid Rising Import Pressure

EU Aluminium

New U.S. Tariffs and CBAM Adjustments Prompt EU to Rethink Aluminium Trade Policy

Brussels Acts to Shield European Aluminium Industry

The European Commission will launch a safeguard investigation on 19 March to assess the need for trade defense measures on aluminium imports. This move responds to fears that U.S. tariffs will redirect global aluminium flows into Europe.

Washington reintroduced 25% import tariffs on steel and aluminium on 12 March, prompting the EU to act. European producers risk losing U.S. market access while facing increased inflows of diverted metal. Unlike steel, aluminium is not yet protected by EU safeguard measures.

Since 2021, over half of Europe’s aluminium smelting capacity has been curtailed. Today, just 46% of EU aluminium demand is sourced domestically. The Commission warns that continued pressure from imports threatens the survival of remaining producers.

New 'Melt and Pour' Rule and CBAM Reform

In addition to safeguard measures, the Commission will implement a new “melt and pour” rule. This rule defines the origin of metal products based on where they were originally melted—not where they were later processed. It aims to block minimal transformations that allow products to bypass tariffs or dumping duties.

The carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) will also undergo revisions. The proposed update would extend the carbon levy to more aluminium- and steel-intensive downstream products. This adjustment addresses concerns that carbon-intensive imports could undercut EU-made goods, which comply with stricter climate rules.

The EU also plans to address carbon leakage. It will design compensation mechanisms for CBAM-regulated goods exported from the EU, with new anti-circumvention rules due in Q4 2025, before CBAM fully activates in 2026.

Scrap Export Restrictions and Demand Boosts Ahead

To secure domestic raw materials, the EU plans to tighten scrap metal export controls. The Commission will explore reciprocal restrictions on countries that limit scrap exports to the EU and may impose new charges on outbound scrap.

By the end of 2026, the EU will propose new demand-side targets for steel and aluminium usage in critical sectors like construction. These measures aim to support domestic producers while aligning with climate and circular economy goals.